| 29-04-2026 02:00 |
O'Higgins |
- |
Boston River |
Over 9.5 Corners |
82% |
O'Higgins averages 5.40 corners at home and Boston River concedes 7.00 away, giving an expected total of 10.65, well above the 9.5 line. O'Higgins have gone over 9.5 in all 4 recent home matches (100%) while Boston River have 60% over in away games. Boston River's severe corner variance (4.60) signals bookmaker mispricing. O'Higgins' attacking dominance and Boston River's defensive fragility in corners (conceding 7.00 per away game) structurally support the Over. |
|
| 29-04-2026 02:00 |
Deportes Tolima |
- |
Coquimbo Unido |
Over 0.75 1st Half Goals |
65% |
Expected 1st half goals 0.90 (home avg 0.50, away avg 0.40) exceed the 0.75 line. Home HT Over history 83% (5/6) and away HT Over history 60% (3/5) both meet the 60% threshold. Gap from line 0.15 adds marginal edge, and no H2H data to contradict. Confidence 65% (base 50% + home history +10% + away history +5%). |
|
| 29-04-2026 02:00 |
Sporting Cristal |
- |
Junior |
Over 0.5, 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half total 1.30 goals vs line of 0.75 delivers a strong margin. Sporting Cristal have seen Over in 5/6 1st halves at home (83%), while Junior have 3/5 away 1st halves Over (60%). Structural quality gap (Cristal 2nd in group, Junior last) supports early pressure. Home GL_5 mispricing is mild at 1.35 but does not adjust confidence. All signals align for an Over 1st half bet. |
|
| 29-04-2026 02:00 |
San Jose Earthquakes |
- |
Minnesota United |
San Jose Earthquakes -0.75 AH |
68% |
San Jose lead the Western Conference with 27 pts (1st) vs Minnesota's 17 pts (8th), a 10-point gap. San Jose have covered the Asian handicap in 8 of their last 10 matches overall and 4 of their last 5 home starts, including covering -0.75 in 4 of 5 at PayPal Park. Minnesota's away AH record is weaker (6 wins in 10 away) but San Jose's dominant home form and structural quality advantage (top-1 vs mid-table) justify the line despite a 0-2 H2H record (small sample, treated as neutral). |
|
| 29-04-2026 06:00 |
Hawassa City Fc Women |
- |
Arba Minch Women |
Under 2.5, 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals (1.95) is significantly below the line of 2.75, calculated from home's 1.30 avg scored/conceded 0.30 and away's 0.30 scored/2.00 conceded. Both teams have 8/10 (80%) recent matches under 2.5 goals, and H2H is 3/4 (75%) under. Home's strong defence (0.30 conceded at home) and away's poor attack (0.30 scored away) structurally support a low-scoring game, with bookmaker mispricing accelerating (home GL_5=1.60, away GL_5=1.70) confirming the market overestimates goals. |
|
| 29-04-2026 08:00 |
Adama Ketema Women |
- |
Bahir Dar Kenema FC Women |
Over 0.75 Goals (1st Half) |
68% |
Expected 1st half total (0.80) slightly exceeds the line (0.75). Adama Ketema Women have seen Over 0.75 in 4/4 home matches (100%), driven by conceding in the 1st half in 3 of those 4 (defensive fragility). Bahir Dar Kenema FC Women have a 50% Over rate in away 1st halves (2/4). H2H lacks 1st half data, neutral. Structural early scoring pattern supports Over. |
|
| 29-04-2026 08:30 |
Persik Kediri |
- |
Borneo FC |
Borneo FC -0.5 |
80% |
Borneo FC (2nd, 66 pts) are heavy favorites against Persik Kediri (12th, 33 pts) with a massive standings gap. Their Asian Handicap record is superb (4 wins in last 5, 8 in last 10) and they have won 3 of 4 recent H2H matches, including a 2-1 away win here. Persik Kediri are strong at home (only 2 losses) but Borneo's away form (8 wins from 14) and overall quality should secure a victory. |
|
| 29-04-2026 09:00 |
Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
- |
FK Zhenys |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
80% |
Expected 1st half total of 1.50 goals is above the line of 1.0, but historical data shows only 1 of 7 home matches and 0 of 7 away matches went over 1.0 in the first half (14% and 0% Over respectively). Both teams have strong Under trends: home 86% Under (6/7), away 100% Under (7/7). H2H matches have all been low-scoring (0-0, 1-1), and the away team failed to score in the 1st half in 3 of their last 4 away matches, reinforcing the Under bet. |
|
| 29-04-2026 10:00 |
Irtysh Pavlodar |
- |
FK Kyzylzhar |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
78% |
Expected 1st half goals are 0.80 (home 0.50 avg, away 0.10 avg, both conceding 0.50 avg) well below the 1.0 line. Home team has under 1.0 goals in 71% of their last 7 matches (5 of 7), while away team has under in 100% (7 of 7, all with 0 or 1 HT goals). Additionally, FK Kyzylzhar has failed to score in the 1st half in all of their last 3 away matches, reinforcing the structural low-scoring pattern. |
|
| 29-04-2026 10:00 |
Ethiopian Insurance FC |
- |
Hawassa City FC |
Over 1.75 Goals |
74% |
Expected total 1.95 goals (home avg 1.20 at home, away concede 1.10 away; away avg 1.00 away, home concede 0.60 at home) exceeds 1.75 line. Home history 80% Over, away 60% Over, H2H 4/4 Over. Away team high bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.20, accelerating from 1.40) adds edge. Over-first philosophy and consistent H2H pattern support the pick. |
|
| 29-04-2026 12:00 |
Ethio Electric FC |
- |
Mechal SC |
Under 0.75 Goals (1st Half) |
75% |
Home team scored a first-half goal in just 1 of their last 5 home matches (20% Over 0.75), and away team failed to score in the first half in 3 of their last 5 away matches (60% Under). The only H2H ended 0-0. While expected first-half goals (1.18) exceed the 0.75 line, the strong structural scoring droughts for both teams support a low-scoring first half. Modest bookmaker mispricing (away GL_5 1.15) does not outweigh the historical pattern. |
|
| 29-04-2026 12:00 |
FC Iberia 2010 |
- |
Betlemi |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.17 (home avg 0.50, away conceded 3.20, away scored 1.30, home conceded 3.33) far exceeds the 3.0 line. Betlemi's away defensive fragility is extreme: conceded 3+ goals in all 4 recent away matches (75% Over away). Home team's GL_5 of 2.30 signals severe bookmaker mispricing for Over. Likelihood of Over 2.5 at 75% supports. Strong structural and market error case for Over 3.0. |
|
| 29-04-2026 12:00 |
Kolkheti |
- |
Gardabani |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total (3.10) exceeds 2.5 line by 0.60 goals, built from Kolkheti's home avg (0.80 scored, 1.80 conceded) and Gardabani's away avg (1.40 scored, 2.20 conceded). H2H saw 7 goals (6-1). Gardabani's away matches went Over 2.5 in 60% (3/5) with 3 of last 5 away conceding 3+ goals, a structural Over signal. Gardabani's GL_5 mispricing is high (2.05), indicating the line is too low. Confidence 82%. |
|
| 29-04-2026 12:00 |
Lokomotiv Tbilisi |
- |
FC Didube 2014 |
Over 2.75 Goals |
65% |
Expected total 3.40 (home avg 1.20 at home + away conceded avg 1.70 away) / 2 + (away avg 1.80 away + home conceded avg 2.10 at home) / 2 exceeds line 2.75. Home history 83% Over (5/6 home matches), away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away. Home GL_5 2.05 indicates strong bookmaker mispricing. HT expected 1.45 vs line 1.25 but weak HT history; FT Over is much stronger. |
|
| 29-04-2026 13:00 |
Uganda Police FC |
- |
UPDF FC |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
80% |
Expected 1st half total is 0.80 (Police avg 0.50 HT at home, UPDF avg 0.40 conceded; UPDF avg 0.10 HT away, Police avg 0.60 conceded), well below the 1.0 line. Police have gone Under 1.0 HT in 4 of their last 5 home matches (80%), and UPDF have gone Under in all 5 of their recent away matches with HT data. UPDF's attacking struggles away (0.10 avg HT goals) reinforce the under trend, making this a strong value bet at 1.70. |
|
| 29-04-2026 13:00 |
Buhimba United Saints FC |
- |
Lugazi FC |
Over 0.5,1.0 1st Half Goals |
68% |
Expected 1st half total 1.20 (home concede 1.30 HT avg, away score 0.20 HT avg) well above split line 0.75. Home defense is fragile, conceding in 2 of last 4 home 1st halves. Likelihood data shows 70% chance of Over 0.5 HT at home. Mild bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.15) aligns with Over direction. |
|
| 29-04-2026 13:00 |
FC Astana |
- |
Tobol Kostanay |
Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half goals are 1.80 (Astana's home HT avg 1.30 + conceded 0.80 vs Tobol's away HT avg 0.60 + conceded 0.90), well above the 1.0 line. Astana's last 4 home matches have seen 3 of 4 (75%) go over 1.0 HT goals, while Tobol's last 5 away matches have 3 of 5 (60%) over. Home side's early attacking pattern (52% of goals before 30 min) and Tobol's away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ goals in 4 of 5 away) reinforce the Over. H2H and market pricing error are neutral, but the gap and strong home form cap confidence at the standard ceiling of 82%. |
|
| 29-04-2026 13:00 |
Shaggar City |
- |
Wolaita Dicha |
Under 0.75 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Shaggar City at home have gone Under 0.75 in 5 of 6 1st halves (83%), and Wolaita Dicha away have 0 goals in the 1st half of all 4 recent away matches (100% Under). Expected 1st half total is 0.70, below the line, with both teams averaging just 0.30 first-half goals in their respective roles. This structural pattern of low first-half scoring, combined with Wolaita's consistent failure to score early on the road, gives strong support for the Under. |
|
| 29-04-2026 13:00 |
KF Drita |
- |
FC Prishtina |
Over 2.25 Goals |
70% |
Expected total 2.55 goals (calculated from Drita home avg 1.80, Prishtina away conceded avg 1.20, Prishtina away avg 0.90, Drita home conceded avg 1.20) exceeds the 2.25 line by 0.30. Drita's last 5 home matches all went Over 2.25 (5/6, 83%), and Prishtina's away record is 66% Over, while Drita's home form shows 5 consecutive matches scoring 2+ goals. H2H is neutral (2 matches both Under), but the quality gap (1st vs 4th) and Drita's strong home scoring momentum support the Over. Market pricing error is marginal (Prishtina GL_5 1.05, well-calibrated for Drita), so no additional edge. |
|
| 29-04-2026 13:55 |
Hatta Dubai |
- |
Al Urooba |
Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
68% |
Expected 1st half goals total 1.20 (home avg 1.00 HT, away conceded 0.30 HT; away scored 0.70 HT, home conceded 0.40 HT) exceeds the line of 1.0. Hatta Dubai have gone Over 1.0 in 83% (5/6) of home 1st halves, while Al Urooba have 50% (3/6) away, meeting the 50%+ threshold. Al Urooba's GL_5 mispricing of 1.55 (moderate, accelerating) supports the Over direction, and Hatta's strong home HT scoring form (scored in all last 5 home HT) adds structural edge. |
|
| 29-04-2026 14:00 |
Neftchi Fergana |
- |
FK Kokand 1912 |
Over 2.5 Goals |
73% |
Expected total goals 2.45 (home avg 2.40 at home, away concede 1.20 away) is within 0.15 of the 2.5 line, and both teams have 60% Over rate in recent matches (6/10 each). Structural factors strongly support Over: Neftchi is 2nd vs Kokand 14th (quality gap), and Kokand have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches (defensive fragility). Bookmaker mispricing is mild (home GL_5 1.20, away GL_5 1.40), H2H neutral (2 matches split). Confidence 73%. |
|
| 29-04-2026 14:00 |
Dinamo Tbilisi II |
- |
FC Tbilisi 2025 |
Over 2.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total of 2.45 goals (home avg 1.20, away conceded 0.50, away avg 2.10, home conceded 1.10) is just below the 2.5 line but Over is preferred per philosophy. Home team has 3/5 (60%) home matches over 2.5, away team has 4/5 (80%) away matches over 2.5, with the away side averaging 2.10 goals scored away and showing strong recent form (4 wins in last 5). No H2H data available; bookmaker mispricing is mild (Home GL_5=1.25, Away GL_5=1.40) and does not adjust confidence. |
|
| 29-04-2026 14:30 |
US Monastir |
- |
AS Gabes |
Under 2.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 1.15 (home avg 0.60 + away conceded 0.90 averaged, plus away avg 0.30 + home conceded 0.50 averaged) is 0.85 below line 2.0. Home matches: 4/6 under (67%), away matches: 9/10 under (90%), H2H: 3/4 under (75%). Both teams have scoring drought in their roles (home failed to score in 2/5 home matches, away in 3/5 away). Low bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 home 1.0, away 0.7). Confidence capped at 82% under standard ceiling. |
|
| 29-04-2026 15:00 |
Apoel Nicosia |
- |
Apollon Limassol |
Over 2.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total goals 2.95 (Apoel 1.50 + conceded 1.80, Apollon 1.30 each) exceeds line 2.5. Apoel went Over in 6/10 recent matches (60%), H2H shows 3/4 Over (75%), and home GL_5 of 1.65 indicates accelerating bookmaker mispricing in the Over direction. Despite Apollon's lower Over rate (40%), the Over-first philosophy and strong expected total push this pick. |
|
| 29-04-2026 15:00 |
Canon de Yaounde |
- |
Aigle Royal Menoua |
Over 2.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 2.75 (home 1.60 avg scored vs away 1.50 conceded, away 1.30 avg scored vs home 1.10 conceded), above the 2.25 line by 0.5 goals. Away team Aigle Royal Menoua has conceded 2+ goals in all 5 recent away matches (80% Over in those), and H2H shows 3 of 4 matches Over 2.5. Home Canon at home is 60% Over in their last 5, and the quality gap (3rd vs 11th) supports sustained pressure. Despite low market pricing error (GL_5 <1.0 for both), the structural defensive fragility and history provide strong edge. |
|
| 29-04-2026 15:00 |
Cotonsport |
- |
Victoria Utd Limbe |
Over 2.25 Goals |
70% |
Expected FT total 2.50 (home avg 1.40 + away conceded 1.50/2 + away avg 1.20 + home conceded 0.90/2) exceeds line 2.25. Home has 75% of home matches over (3/4), away 60% of away matches over (3/5), and H2H 75% over (3/4). Away defence conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away matches, and away GL_5 is 1.60 (accelerating), indicating market underpricing goals. |
|
| 29-04-2026 15:00 |
Atalanta U20 |
- |
Juventus U20 |
Over 2.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total 2.55 goals (home avg 1.40 + away concede 0.90)/2 + (away avg 1.90 + home concede 0.90)/2 barely exceeds the 2.5 line. Juventus U20 have gone Over 2.5 in 3 of their last 4 away matches (75%) and the H2H shows 3 of 4 meetings Over (75%). The away defense has conceded 2+ goals in 3 of 4 recent road games, a clear structural Over signal. Home team Atalanta's home Over rate is only 50% but does not contradict the pick. Bookmaker mispricing is low (home GL_5=0.75, away GL_5=0.35), so the edge comes from clean history and structural fragility rather than line error. |
|
| 29-04-2026 15:00 |
Kaisar Kyzylorda |
- |
Kairat Almaty |
Over 1.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected goals (2.25) exceed the 1.5 line, supported by home team's last 5 matches: 4/5 Over 1.5 (80%) and away team's 3/5 (60%). H2H record (3/4 under 1.5) is overridden by the quality gap (Kairat 1st, Kaisar 13th) and home team's conceding average of 1.1 goals per home game. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (Kairat GL_5 1.35), adding marginal edge. |
|
| 29-04-2026 15:00 |
Adama City |
- |
Dire Dawa |
Over 1.5,2.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 2.30 (Adama home avg 0.90 + Dire Dawa away conceded avg 1.20 averaged with Dire away avg 0.70 + Adama home conceded avg 1.80) well above line of 1.75. Adama City have 8/10 (80%) and Dire Dawa 7/10 (70%) of recent matches going Over 1.75. All 4 H2Hs went Over (1-1, 1-3, 1-1, 1-1). Additionally, both teams are near the relegation zone (14th vs 16th), likely pushing for points in an open game. Home team's goal line variance (GL_5=1.45) indicates mild bookmaker mispricing, supporting Over. |
|
| 29-04-2026 15:00 |
FUS Rabat |
- |
CODM Meknes |
Under 0.75 Goals (1st Half) |
76% |
Expected 1st half total 0.70 goals (home avg 0.50 scored, 0.70 conceded; away avg 0.00 scored, 0.20 conceded) is below the 0.75 line. Home team has kept a clean sheet in all 3 home 1st halves (vs WAC, KACM, HUSA), while away team has failed to score in all 4 away 1st halves (vs FAR, HUSA, Zemamra, RSB). Historical patterns show 67% of home matches and 75% of away matches went under this line. No H2H 1st half data contradicts. Confidence: 50% base + 0% gap + 5% home history + 8% away history + 10% structural (defensive & scoring drought) + 3% likelihood = 76%. |
|
| 29-04-2026 15:00 |
Lietava Jonava |
- |
FK Siauliai |
Over 1.0,1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half total 1.20 goals (home avg 0.9 at home, away concede 0.8 away) vs line 1.25. Home team's last 5 matches saw 80% Over in 1st half (4/5 with 2+ HT goals), away team 60% Over. Early scoring pattern: home scored in 4 of last 5 1st halves. H2H not available for 1st half, no veto. Moderate confidence supports Over. |
|
| 29-04-2026 15:00 |
AS Vallee |
- |
AS Garde Nationale |
Over 0.75 Goals (1st Half) |
79% |
Expected 1st half total of 1.15 goals (home HT avg 0.60 + away HT avg 0.60 over 2, combined with conceded averages) clears the 0.75 line by 0.4 goals. AS Vallee's last 10 matches saw 8 of 10 (80%) with 1+ 1st half goals, while AS Garde Nationale's last 7 matches had 5 of 7 (71%) with 1+ 1st half goals, both well above the 60% threshold. Garde scores in the 1st half in 71% of recent games. No H2H data to override. Away team's mild goal line mispricing (GL_5 1.20) adds slight confidence. Combined structural support and historical pattern point to a strong Over bet in the first half. |
|
| 29-04-2026 15:30 |
Jadran Dekani |
- |
NK Brinje Grosuplje |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.00 (home avg 1.10 at home + away avg conceded 1.20 away + away avg scored 2.10 away + home avg conceded 1.60 at home, calculated as (1.10+1.20)/2 + (2.10+1.60)/2) exceeds the line of 2.75. Home team Jadran Dekani has gone Over in 4 of their last 5 home matches (80%), and away team NK Brinje Grosuplje has gone Over in 3 of their last 4 away matches (75%). Bookmaker mispricing is strong on the away side (GL_5 = 2.25, accelerating), consistently underestimating goals in Brinje's matches, aligning with the Over direction. The quality gap (2nd vs 10th) and Brinje's strong away attack (2.1 goals per game) against Dekani's leaky home defence (1.6 conceded) further support an open game. |
|
| 29-04-2026 16:00 |
Al Taawon Buraidah |
- |
Al Ittihad Jeddah |
Over 2.5 Goals |
66% |
Expected total 3.00 goals (home 1.60+away 1.50/2 + away 1.20+home 1.70/2) exceeds the 2.75 line, with home team covering Over in 80% of away matches and away team conceding 2+ in 3 of last 5 away matches (defensive fragility). Despite H2H showing 75% Under (3 of 4), away team's GL_5 mispricing of 2.15 (strong acceleration) and poor away defense create structural over edge. Confidence reduced 10% due to H2H contradiction but still qualifies as best available value. |
|
| 29-04-2026 16:00 |
Valerenga Women |
- |
Stabaek Women |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
65% |
Expected 1st half total (1.40) slightly above the line (1.25) due to home scoring average (0.90) and away conceding (0.50) plus away scoring (0.80) and home conceding (0.60). Stabaek away 1st half corners/goals: 80% (4/5) of away matches had over 1.25 HT goals. Despite Valerenga's home HT over rate (40%), the quality gap (Valerenga heavy favourite) and early scoring patterns support over. H2H HT data limited (only 1 match with 0-0) so neutral. Confidence 65% meets minimum for over bet. |
|
| 29-04-2026 16:00 |
Werder Bremen Women |
- |
Bayern Munich Women |
Over 1.0,1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
79% |
Expected 1st half total of 1.55 (home 0.30+ away conceded 0.40 /2 + away 1.30+ home conceded 1.10/2) exceeds the 1.0/1.5 line by 0.30 goals. Bayern Munich Women's away 1st half history shows 4 of their last 5 away matches (80%) went over this line. Werder Bremen Women concede early in 42.85% of their home matches in the first 30 minutes. Combined with a strong quality gap and Bayern's attacking dominance, the Over is the clear value pick. |
|
| 29-04-2026 16:00 |
Al-Sadd SC U23 |
- |
Al-Shamal U23 |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
75% |
Expected 1st half total is only 0.75 goals (home HT avg 0.50, away HT avg 0.20), well below the 1.0 line. Home team's last 10 matches saw 80% under 1.0 HT goals, and away team's last 10 saw 90% under. No HT head-to-head data contradicts. This strong historical unders consistency combined with the low expected total gives a 75% confidence edge. |
|
| 29-04-2026 16:00 |
Al-Rayyan SC U23 |
- |
Al-Arabi Doha U23 |
Over 8.0 Asian Corners |
73% |
Expected total corners calculated at 8.55 (home avg 5.60, away conceded 2.60; away avg 5.20, home conceded 3.70). Home team has 60% of last 10 matches exceeding 8 corners, and the structural quality gap (1st vs 11th) favours sustained home pressure. Bookmaker mispricing (home corners GL_5 = 1.80) suggests the line is undervalued. |
|
| 29-04-2026 16:00 |
Al-Wakrah SC U23 |
- |
Al-Sailiya SC U23 |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 2.75 (home avg 1.10 + away conceded 1.90)/2 + (away avg 0.70 + home conceded 1.80)/2 exceeds the 2.5 line by 0.25. Home team has 4/4 home matches Over 2.5, away team 3/5 away matches Over 2.5, and H2H shows 2/3 Over including a 5-0 win for Al-Wakrah. Away team market pricing error is severe (GL_5=2.30, accelerating), indicating the bookmaker consistently underestimates goals in Sailiya matches. Quality gap (7th vs 12th) and away defensive fragility (3 of last 5 away matches conceding 2+ goals) add structural support for Over. |
|
| 29-04-2026 16:10 |
Al Riyadh |
- |
Al Qadisiya Al Khubar |
Over 9.5 Corners |
82% |
Expected total corners 11.10 is well above the 9.5 line. Both teams have 70% of recent matches going Over 9.5 corners (7/10 for each). Al Qadisiya's attacking dominance (4th vs 16th) and Al Riyadh's high corners conceded at home (avg 6.2) create a strong structural Over signal. |
|
| 29-04-2026 16:30 |
Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves |
- |
Atletico Rafaela Reserves |
Over 2.5 Goals |
66% |
Expected total 2.70 (home avg 1.00+away conceded 1.70/2 + away avg 1.30+home conceded 1.40/2) exceeds the 2.5 line. Away team has 60% (6/10) of matches Over 2.5 and has conceded 2+ goals in all 5 away matches, a strong Over signal. Away's GL_5 variance of 1.50 (accelerating from 1.43) indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing aligning with the Over direction. |
|
| 29-04-2026 17:00 |
Tromso |
- |
SK Brann |
Over 2.5 Goals |
80% |
Expected total 2.70 (Tromso home 1.60 + Brann away conceded 1.60 over 2, plus Brann away 1.70 + Tromso home conceded 0.50 over 2) exceeds 2.5 line. H2H all 4 matches Over 2.5 (3,3,4,4 goals). Brann's away defensive fragility: conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away. Bookmaker mispricing moderate and accelerating (home GL_5 1.50, away GL_5 1.75). Structural quality gap (1st vs 14th) supports Over. |
|
| 29-04-2026 17:00 |
Lausanne Sport II |
- |
Young Boys II |
Over 3.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.05 (home avg 0.9 + away avg 2.8 + home conceded 2.9 + away conceded 1.5) exceeds the 3.75 line by 0.30. Young Boys II away matches have 75% over the line in 4 away games, and both H2H matches went over (total 5 and 4 goals). Home team concedes 2.9 per home match, away team scores 2.8 away – structural mismatch. Bookmaker mispricing is severe (home GL_5 = 2.35, away GL_5 = 2.75, both accelerating), confirming the line is too low. |
|
| 29-04-2026 17:00 |
Dynamo de Douala |
- |
Colombe du Dja et Lobo |
Over 0.75 Goals (1st Half) |
81% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.10 goals (home 0.50+0.10 HT avg /2 + away 1.00+0.60 /2), well above the 0.75 line. Dynamo's home HTs went over in 3 of last 4 (75%), while Colombe's away HTs went over in 2 of last 3 (67%), including a 3-goal half. Colombe's strong away scoring (1.00 HT avg) and Dynamo's leaky home defense (0.60 HT conceded) support over. Away GL_5=1.80 (strong mispricing, accelerating) adds edge. Confidence 81% from base 50% + gap +10% + home history +8% + away history +5% + pricing error +8%. |
|
| 29-04-2026 17:00 |
WAC Casablanca |
- |
US Yacoub El Mansour |
Over 8.5 Asian Corners |
80% |
Expected total corners (9.50) exceeds the line (8.5) by 1.0. Home team WAC Casablanca averages 5.70 corners at home and conceded 4.60, while away team US Yacoub El Mansour averages 4.70 corners away and concedes 4.00. Match history shows 80% of WAC's last 10 matches and 67% of USYEM's last 9 matches went over 8.5 corners. The only H2H match had 10 corners (over). Structural quality gap (home team 6th vs away team 16th) supports sustained attacking pressure. Home team's corner variance (AC_5=1.80) indicates significant bookmaker mispricing. Confidence 80%. |
|
| 29-04-2026 17:00 |
Budapest Honved Women |
- |
Ferencvarosi TC Women |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.40 goals (home avg 2.00 scored + away conceded 0.60 averaged with away avg 3.10 scored + home conceded 1.10). Both teams show 60% Over 3.0 in their last 5 matches. Market mispricing is strong: home GL_5=1.75 (moderate) and away GL_5=1.95 (strong), both accelerating. Quality gap between Ferencvarosi and Honved likely generates goals. Confidence capped at 82% due to standard ceiling. |
|
| 29-04-2026 17:30 |
Siwelele FC |
- |
Kaizer Chiefs |
Over 9.0 Asian Corners |
73% |
Expected total corners is 10.2 (home avg 5.5 + away conceded 5.0 / 2 plus away avg 3.5 + home conceded 6.4 / 2), well above the 9.0 line. Siwelele's home matches hit over 9 in 75% (3/4), and Kaizer Chiefs' away matches hit over 9 in 60% (3/5). Despite the single H2H match having only 4 corners, the sample is too small to override the strong structural signal from high corner rates and quality gap. |
|
| 29-04-2026 18:00 |
Al-Nassr Riyadh |
- |
Al Ahli Jeddah |
Al-Nassr Riyadh -0.5 (Asian Handicap) |
70% |
Al-Nassr's home record is dominant (13-0-1, +29 GD) and they have won all 10 recent matches outright, covering -0.5 in each. Standings gap (1st vs 3rd, +10 pts) and common opponent (Al Fayha: Al-Nassr won 3-1 away, Al Ahli drew 1-1 away) further support. H2H is mixed (1-1-2) but the three positive signals outweigh that, giving 70% confidence in the handicap win. |
|
| 29-04-2026 18:00 |
Arsenal Women |
- |
Leicester Women |
Under 1.75 1st Half Goals |
82% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.35 goals (Arsenal home HT avg 1.10 + Leicester away HT conceded avg 1.10 averaged with Leicester away HT scored avg 0.20 + Arsenal home HT conceded avg 0.30), well below the line of 1.75. Leicester failed to score in the 1st half in 4 of their last 5 away matches (80%), while 71% of Arsenal's home HT matches have gone under 1.75. Both teams show moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.60 for Arsenal, 1.55 for Leicester) aligning with the under direction, confirming value on this line. |
|
| 29-04-2026 18:00 |
Lanus Reserves |
- |
San Martin de San Juan Reserves |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.50 (home avg 1.70 at home, away concede 3.30 away) far exceeds typical 2.5 line. Away team's away record: 4 of 5 matches Over 2.5, conceding 3.30/game. Structural quality gap (home 4th, away 18th) and severe bookmaker mispricing on away team (GL_5=2.45) support Over. H2H last Lanus home match ended 0-3 (Over 2.5). |
|
| 29-04-2026 18:45 |
Spartans Women |
- |
Queens Park Women |
Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half total (1.25) equals line. Home (Spartans) 1st half Over rate 40% (2/5), away (Queens Park) 20% (1/5). Home Under 60% (3/5), away Under 80% (4/5). Likelihood Under 1.5 at 65%. Both teams historically low 1st half scorers (Spartans scored in 2/5 HT, Queens Park in 1/5 HT), providing structural under signal. Away GL_5 high (1.95) but direction ambiguous. H2H HT data unavailable. Combined confidence 73% meets Under threshold. |
|
| 29-04-2026 18:45 |
Dorking Wanderers |
- |
Maidenhead Utd |
Over 2.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total of 2.9 goals (home avg 1.50 + away conceded 0.90 averaged with away avg 1.50 + home conceded 1.90) exceeds the 2.5 line. Dorking's last 10 matches are 80% Over 2.5, and the quality gap (home 1st vs away 6th in home/away standings) supports sustained attacking pressure. Away GL_5 of 1.45 indicates mild mispricing, but the structural and historical signals are sufficient. |
|
| 29-04-2026 18:45 |
Boreham Wood |
- |
Forest Green |
|
66% |
Boreham Wood's strong home record (3rd in home standings, 17-2-4, 48 goals scored) and Forest Green's poor away form (10th, 8-7-8, 33 goals conceded) create a clear quality gap. The 9-point standings difference and recent home momentum (4 wins in last 5) support the handicap, while H2H is neutral (1 draw, 1 away loss). Goal line and corners markets lacked sufficient over/under agreement, making Asian Handicap the best option. |
|
| 29-04-2026 18:45 |
Farnham |
- |
Berkhamsted |
Over 2.75 Goals |
79% |
Expected total (home avg 2.10 scored at home + away avg 1.20 conceded away averaged with away avg 1.10 scored away + home avg 1.60 conceded at home) gives 3.00 goals, 0.25 above the 2.75 line. Farnham's 3 home matches all exceeded 2.75 goals (100% Over), and the quality gap (2nd vs 5th) plus bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 of 2.25, accelerating) support an Over bet. |
|
| 29-04-2026 18:45 |
Real Bedford |
- |
Kettering |
Over 2.75 Goals |
66% |
Expected total 2.85 (home avg 2.00 + away conceded 0.70, away avg 2.10 + home conceded 0.90) exceeds line 2.75. Home recent form shows 60% Over in last 5 home matches, while away scored 7 and 4 in their last two away games. Bookmaker mispricing is strong for away (GL_5 2.15) and moderate for home (GL_5 1.80), indicating consistent underestimation of goals. |
|
| 29-04-2026 18:45 |
Billericay Town |
- |
Chatham Town |
Over 2.75 Goals |
76% |
Expected total goals 3.00 (home avg 3.00 + away conceded 1.10 avg over 2 gives 2.05; away avg 0.90 + home conceded 1.00 over 2 gives 0.95) exceeds the 2.75 line by 0.25. Billericay's home matches have 80% Over (8/10) while Chatham's away 40%, but Billericay's GL_5 of 2.15 (strong, accelerating mispricing) adds edge for Over. H2H is neutral (2 Over, 2 Under). The 1st half signal was weaker (expected 1.45 vs line 1.25, home 60%, away 30%), so full-time Over is the best value. |
|
| 29-04-2026 18:45 |
SS Cosmos |
- |
Pennarossa |
Under 1.0 Goals 1st Half |
82% |
Expected 1st half total is just 0.55 goals (Cosmos 0.20 avg at home, concedes 0.20; Pennarossa 0.10 avg away, concedes 0.60), well below the 1.0 line. Cosmos have had 0 1st half goals in 10/10 matches (100% Under 1.0), and Pennarossa in 9/10 (90% Under 1.0). No countervailing H2H 1st half data exists. Market pricing error is mild (GL_5: 1.35 home, 1.40 away) and not accelerating, so no adjustment. Combined structural low-scoring history and low expected total make this a solid Under pick. |
|
| 29-04-2026 18:45 |
Juvenes/Dogana |
- |
AC Libertas |
Over 1.25 Goals 1st Half |
66% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.4 goals (home avg 0.80, conceded 0.60; away avg 0.60, conceded 0.80) vs line 1.25. Juvenes/Dogana have gone Over 1.25 in 3 of 4 home 1st halves (75%), and AC Libertas have scored in the first half in 4 of 6 away matches (67%). Away defensive fragility and early scoring patterns support an Over in the first half. |
|
| 29-04-2026 18:45 |
St Mochtas |
- |
Ballymun United |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 4.35 goals (home avg 2.00 + away concede 3.40, away avg 1.40 + home concede 1.90) exceeds the 3.5 line by 0.85. St Mochtas' home matches have 75% Over 3.5 (3/4), while Ballymun United have conceded 2+ goals in all 4 away matches (avg 3.40/game). H2H results show St Mochtas winning 3-1 and 3-0. Bookmaker mispricing is severe: home GL_5=2.00 (strong) and away GL_5=3.30 (extreme), both accelerating, indicating the Over is undervalued. |
|
| 29-04-2026 18:45 |
St Francis FC |
- |
Malahide Utd |
Over 1.0,1.5 1st Half Goals |
73% |
Expected 1st half total of 1.80 goals (home HT avg 0.70 scored, conceded 1.30; away HT avg 1.20 scored, conceded 0.40) exceeds the 1.25 line by 0.55. St Francis FC's home 1st half record is 4/4 Over, and overall 7/9 (77.8%) Over. Malahide Utd's recent 1st half history is 4/10 Over, but St Francis's strong home HT scoring (all home games Over) plus home GL_5 error of 1.75 (moderate and accelerating) support Over. H2H no conflict for HT. Confidence 73% (base 50 + gap +10 + home HT history +8 + GL_5 +5). |
|
| 29-04-2026 19:00 |
Unisport Bafang |
- |
Fauve Azur Elite |
Under 2.25 Goals |
81% |
Expected total 2.10 (home avg 1.40 + away avg 0.50) is below the 2.25 line. Home has 0/3 home matches over 2.5, away 1/5 away matches over 2.5, and H2H both under (1-0, 0-0). Structural reasons: away team failed to score in 3/5 away matches and home kept clean sheets in last 3 home matches. Market mispricing is mild (away GL_5 1.05), supporting the Under. |
|
| 29-04-2026 19:00 |
MAS Fes |
- |
HUSA Agadir |
Over 2.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected total goals = 2.10 (home avg 1.70 at home + away conceded 1.00 away, away avg 0.90 away + home conceded 0.60 at home). Home scored 2+ in 3 of last 5 home matches; away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away. Quality gap: 1st vs 12th. GL_5 mispricing low (home 0.45, away 0.95). HT Over 0.75 weaker (65%) due to away failing to score in HT in last 5 away. |
|
| 29-04-2026 19:15 |
Sporting |
- |
Tondela |
Over 10.0 Asian Corners |
78% |
Expected total corners 10.70 (home avg 6.60 + away conceded 5.30 averaged with away avg 4.90 + home conceded 4.60) exceeds line 10.0. Sporting's home corner history shows 75% Over (3 of 4), H2H corners consistently at 10+ (11,10,12,10), and the quality gap (3rd vs 17th) suggests sustained attacking pressure. Despite Tondela's low away corner count, the structural dominance and H2H alignment support the Over. |
|
| 29-04-2026 20:30 |
Envigado FC |
- |
Tigres FC |
Over 8.5 Corners |
80% |
Expected corners calculated at 9.40 (home avg 3.60, conceded 6.30; away avg 3.50, conceded 5.40). Tigres away corner history shows 100% Over 8.5 in last 4 away matches (9,10,11,10 total). Structural signals: Envigado concedes 6.3 corners per home game, Tigres concedes 5.4 away — both teams contribute to high totals. H2H corners are 2/3 Over. Home team's corner variance (3.90) indicates significant bookmaker mispricing, boosting Over edge. |
|
| 29-04-2026 22:00 |
Juventud De Las Piedras |
- |
Academia Puerto Cabello |
Over 0.75 Goals (Asian 1st Half) |
70% |
Juventud De Las Piedras have scored in the first half in 4 of their last 5 home matches, and Academia Puerto Cabello have scored in 3 of their last 5 away matches, producing an expected 1st half total of 1.10 goals against a line of 0.75. Both teams show over 60% recent 1st half over trends, and bookmaker mispricing (away GL_5 1.0) is mild. With no H2H data to contradict, the 1st half over offers solid value. |
|
| 29-04-2026 22:00 |
Deportivo Riestra |
- |
Torque |
Torque +0.25 Asian Handicap |
72% |
Torque tops Group F with 6 points while Riestra sits 3rd with 1 point. Torque's away AH record shows 3 wins and 2 losses in last 5, with 4 of 5 recent away matches covering +0.25. Common opponents (Gremio and Palestino) also favor Torque (win vs draw/loss for Riestra). |
|
| 29-04-2026 22:00 |
Mirassol |
- |
Always Ready |
Over 9.5 Corners |
82% |
Expected corner total 11.5 (Mirassol home avg 5.60 + concede 5.70; Always Ready away avg 6.70 + concede 5.00) exceeds the line 9.5 by 2.0 corners. Mirassol's last 10 matches have 60% Over 9.5 corners, and Always Ready's last 10 matches have 70% Over, both above the 60% threshold. Structural corner signals (home advantage, competitive group) support Over, and high market pricing error (home variance_ac_5 = 3.70, away = 3.70) indicates significant bookmaker mispricing on this line. |
|
| 29-04-2026 23:00 |
Washington Spirit Women |
- |
Racing Louisville FC Women |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
78% |
Expected total (2.70) slightly below the 2.75 line but within the 0.15 threshold for Over preference. Away team (Racing Louisville) has conceded 2+ goals in all 4 recent away matches, a strong structural Over signal. H2H shows 75% Over (3 of 4 matches). Away team's GL_5 of 2.00 indicates significant bookmaker mispricing accelerating in the Over direction. Home team's home record is 33% Over but away team's away record is 100% Over, combined with structural and variance edges yields 78% confidence. |
|
| 29-04-2026 23:00 |
New York Red Bulls |
- |
New York City FC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 4.00 goals (home avg 1.70 scored at home + away avg 2.10 scored away) heavily exceeds the 2.75 line. Home team has 70% of last 10 matches over 2.75, away team 60%, and both teams show strong bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.95, away GL_5 2.35) aligned with the over direction, despite a neutral H2H record (2 over, 2 under). |
|
| 29-04-2026 23:30 |
Columbus Crew |
- |
One Knoxville SC |
Over 9.5 Corners |
70% |
Columbus Crew (avg 6.2 corners at home) vs One Knoxville SC (avg 5.3 corners away) yields expected total 11.2 corners, well above the 9.5 line. Knoxville's away matches show 83% over 9.5 corners (5/6), and the MLS vs USL quality gap suggests sustained Columbus pressure, earning corners. Structural over signal and large gap from line drive confidence to 82% (capped from 85%). |
|
| 29-04-2026 23:30 |
New England Revolution |
- |
Orlando City SC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
80% |
New England at home averages 1.80 goals/game vs Orlando away conceding 2.90/game; expected total 3.40 vs line 2.75 gives a 0.65-goal gap favoring Over. Home team has 62.5% of recent matches Over, away 66.7%, and all 4 head-to-heads went Over (3-6 goals). Away defensive fragility is severe (conceded 2+ in 4/5 away matches). Bookmaker mispricing on away side is strong (GL_5=1.90), adding further edge for Over. |
|
| 30-04-2026 16:00 |
Al Okhdood |
- |
Al Ittifaq Dammam |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected FT goals 3.20 (home avg 0.90 + away conceded 2.00 /2 = 1.45; away scored 1.30 + home conceded 2.20 /2 = 1.75) exceed the 2.75 line by 0.45. Away team's GL_5 mispricing of 1.85 (accelerating) indicates the bookmaker consistently underestimates goals in their games. Away defensive fragility confirmed: 3 of last 5 away matches conceded 2+ goals. Home defense weak (conceding 2.20 avg at home). Despite mixed match history (home 20% Over, away 40% Over), structural factors and mispricing support Over. |
|
| 30-04-2026 18:00 |
Al Kholood |
- |
Al Fayha |
Over 2.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total goals 3.15 (home avg 1.30, away conceded away 1.30; away avg 1.40, home conceded 2.30) exceeds the 2.5 line. Home match history: 3/4 (75%) Over in last 4 homes; away: 3/5 (60%) Over in last 5 aways. H2H is mixed (1/3 Over) but not a veto. Market pricing errors are low (home GL_5 1.05, away 0.95). Over is favored per philosophy and signals align moderately. |
|
