| 29-08-2026 22:30 |
USA NWSL Women |
Kansas City Current Women |
- |
North Carolina Courage Women |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 3.30 (home 1.40 scored/1.40 conceded at home; away 2.10 scored/1.70 conceded away) vs 2.75 line. KC 5 of 10 and NC 7 of 10 last matches saw 3+ goals; NC also conceded 2+ in four of their last five away matches, and away GL_5 1.55 shows moderate bookmaker mispricing toward overs. H2H is only two games (3,2 total goals), so treated as neutral. |
|
| 29-08-2026 23:00 |
USA USL Championship |
Brooklyn FC |
- |
Sporting Jax |
Over 3.0 Goals |
72% |
Expected FT total is 3.60 vs line 3.0 (home 1.30/1.70, away 1.40/2.80). Sporting JAX have conceded 2+ in five straight away games and 6 of their last 10 matches went over 3.0; both H2H meetings finished 2-2. Confidence: 50 base +12 gap +5 away history +0 H2H -5 common opponents +5 away GL_5 1.60 +5 structural = 72. |
|
| 29-08-2026 23:00 |
USA USL League One |
Portland Hearts of Pine |
- |
Fort Wayne FC |
Under 1.25 Goals 1st Half |
78% |
Expected 1st-half total is 1.15 (home 0.60 scored, 0.70 conceded; away 0.80 scored, 0.20 conceded) versus a 1.25 line. Both teams stayed under 1.25 first-half goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, and both have structural low-scoring 1st-half patterns: Fort Wayne failed to score in the first half in 3 of their last 5 away games, while Portland did so in 3 of their last 5 home games. |
|
| 29-08-2026 23:00 |
USA USL League One |
Chattanooga Red Wolves |
- |
AC Boise |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total 3.35 (A=1.70, B=1.50, C=1.40, D=2.10) vs 2.75 line (+0.60), with home and away both 7/10 over 2.75. AC Boise conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away and mutual-opponent total is 3.16, with Chattanooga home GL_5 2.25 showing strong bookmaker mispricing. 1H was weaker (expected 1.55 vs 1.25, 50%/30% over histories), so FT Over 2.75 is the best bet (breakdown 50+12+8+8+0+5+0+4+5=92 capped to 82). |
|
| 29-08-2026 23:15 |
Panama LPF |
CD Universitario |
- |
CD Arabe Unido |
Over 0.75 First Half Goals |
70% |
Expected 1st-half total is 1.10 goals (home 0.80 scored at home HT, away 0.30 conceded away HT; away 0.40 scored away HT, home 0.70 conceded home HT) vs a 0.75 line. CD Universitario have gone over 0.75 HT goals in 7 of 10 recent matches (70%) and CD Arabe Unido in 6 of 10 (60%). Full-time H2H is only two matches (both 1-0), no HT H2H data, so H2H treated neutral; market pricing error is mild (home GL5 0.90, away GL5 1.35) with no confidence boost. |
|
| 30-08-2026 00:00 |
USA USL Championship |
Oakland Roots |
- |
Orange County SC |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.20 (home 0.90 scored/1.60 conceded at home; away 1.70 scored/2.20 conceded away) vs 2.75 line. Orange County are 4 of 5 away matches over 2.75 and conceded 2+ in 3 of 5 away; Oakland 2 of 4 home matches over. H2H split 3-2/0-1 is neutral; mutual-opponent total 3.08 supports Over; home GL_5 1.70 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing. Raw 84 capped at 82 (standard ceiling). |
|
| 30-08-2026 00:00 |
USA USL Championship |
Louisville City FC |
- |
Detroit City FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 2.80 (A 1.70, B 0.70, C 1.60, D 1.60) vs 2.5 line. Louisville 8/10 matches over 2.5, Detroit 5/10 (not contradicting), H2H split 2/4 over. Mutual opponents total 2.91, home GL_5 2.50 and away GL_5 1.70 align Over; raw score 84 capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 01:00 |
Nicaragua Apertura |
Matagalpa FC |
- |
Rancho Santana FC |
Under 1.25 First Half Goals |
78% |
HT expected total is exactly 1.25 ((0.60+0.80)/2 + (0.50+0.60)/2) vs the 1.25 line. Both teams trend under in the first half: Matagalpa 7/9 recent HT matches produced 0-1 goals (78%), Rancho 8/10 (80%). Structural under signals: Rancho averages only 0.50 first-half goals away and failed to score in the first half in 3 of their last 4 away matches with HT data. Score: Base 50% + gap 0% + home HT history +8% + away HT history +10% + low HT scorers +5% + away HT scoreless +5% = 78%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 01:00 |
Mexico Liga de Expansion |
Mineros de Zacatecas |
- |
Jaiba Brava |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total = (2.20+1.40)/2 + (1.00+1.30)/2 = 2.95 vs line 2.5 (+0.45), and shot-based match potential is 5.18, both Over. Mineros are 8/10 over 2.5 and scored 2+ in their last 3 home games (5-1, 3-1, 3-3); Jaiba Brava are 5/10 over 2.5 but their last 3 all went over, while H2H is neutral (1-0, 2-2). Mutual-opponent total is 2.67 vs 2.5 and home market pricing error GL_5 1.90 (accelerating) aligns with Over. Scoring: Base 50 + gap +9 + home history +10 + away history +0 + H2H +0 + common opponents +5 + likelihood +3 + GL_5 home +4 + GL_5 away +0 + structural form +3 = 84 capped at 82. |
|
| 30-08-2026 01:00 |
El Salvador Apertura |
Alianza FC |
- |
Atlético Balboa |
Over 2.5 Goals |
75% |
FT expected total 2.90 vs 2.5 line (Alianza home 1.00 scored/1.30 conceded; Balboa away 1.80 scored/1.70 conceded); 1H expected 1.25 vs 1.0 line but history was weak. Balboa conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away and mutual-opponent total is 3.34, supporting Over. Home GL_5 1.50 and away GL_5 2.35 (accelerating) show strong goal-line mispricing in the Over direction. |
|
| 30-08-2026 01:30 |
Panama LPF |
San Francisco FC |
- |
Plaza Amador |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.80 vs line 2.5 (home scored/conceded at home 1.90/1.20, away scored/conceded away 2.70/1.80); home 7/10 and away 9/10 recent matches over 2.5, with both H2H matches going over. Away conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches (Alajuelense 3-1, Alianza 2-4, Diriangen 4-2, Arabe 2-2), home scored 2+ in 3 straight home matches, and away bookmaker mispricing GL_5 2.65 is severe; raw score capped at standard 82 (H2H only 2 matches). |
|
| 30-08-2026 01:30 |
Honduras Liga Nacional |
Motagua |
- |
Olancho FC |
Under 1.0,1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected first-half total is 0.85 (home 0.60 scored / 0.20 conceded, away 0.40 scored / 0.50 conceded) vs line 1.25, a 0.40 gap. Both teams stayed under 1.25 first-half goals in 7 of 10 matches (Motagua 7/10, Olancho 7/10), and Olancho failed to score in the first half in 3 of last 5 away. Raw score 84% capped at standard 82%: base 50% + gap 8% + home history 8% + away history 8% + low HT scorers 5% + away HT drought 5%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 02:00 |
USA USL Championship |
Monterey Bay FC |
- |
Sacramento Republic |
Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1H total = (0.70+0.30)/2 + (0.90+0.70)/2 = 1.30 vs line 1.0; home 1H history 5/10 over, away 4/10, H2H 1H empty. Bookmaker mispricing is strong/accelerating (home GL_5 2.00 vs GL_10 1.93; away 1.65 vs 1.43) and Sacramento's 15-point/6-place edge over Monterey adds early pressure. Score: Base 50 + gap 5 + home 0 + away 0 + H2H 0 + structural 5 + GL home 8 + GL away 5 = 73%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 02:30 |
USA USL Championship |
Las Vegas Lights FC |
- |
Charleston Battery |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.15 (A 1.30, B 1.30, C 2.50, D 1.20; (1.30+1.30)/2 + (2.50+1.20)/2) vs line 2.5 (+0.65 gap). Charleston are 7/10 (70%) over 2.5 in last 10, Las Vegas 5/10 (50%); Charleston conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away (3,2,2,2,1). Away GL_5 1.55 moderate bookmaker mispricing supports Over; mutual-opponent total 2.80 also clears 2.5; raw score 86 capped at 82 default ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 02:30 |
Australia Victoria PL 1 U23 |
Langwarrin U23 |
- |
North Geelong U23 |
Over 3.5,4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.05 (home 1.10 scored / 3.10 conceded at home; away 2.00 scored / 1.90 conceded away) vs line 3.75, gap +0.30. Home 5/10 and away 6/10 matches over 3.75, H2H 3-1 total 4; mutual opponents total 4.0 and away c_avg_on_target 5.7 support Over. Scoring: base 50% + gap 6% + home history 0% + away history 5% + H2H 0% + common opponents 5% + likelihood 0% + GL_5 home 8% + GL_5 away 5% + structural weak-keeper 5% = 84% raw, capped 82%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 02:30 |
Australia Victoria PL 1 U23 |
Eltham Redbacks U23 |
- |
Melbourne Knights U23 |
Over 1.5 First Half Goals |
82% |
Expected first-half total is 2.30 vs a 1.50 line (home 1.40 scored/0.50 conceded HT at home; away 2.00 scored/0.70 conceded HT away). Melbourne Knights are 8/10 over 1.5 first-half goals, home is 5/10 and not actively contradicting; away also shows structural Over signals with c_avg_on_target 5 in mutual opponents and 3 of last 5 away conceding 2+. Market pricing error GL_5 is 1.65 home/1.50 away, both moderate and aligned; raw 85% capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 02:30 |
Australia Victoria PL 1 U23 |
Brunswick Juventus U23 |
- |
Manningham Utd Blues U23 |
Manningham Utd Blues U23 -1.5 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Standings gap is 22 points (Manningham 1st, 37 pts vs Brunswick 11th, 15 pts) and mutual-opponents data strongly favours Manningham: away side has a better goals NET (-0.2 vs -0.7) and 4 of 5 stat advantages (avg goals, total shots, dangerous attacks, shot-conversion). The only H2H meeting this season ended 9-0, but recent margin form is poor — Manningham covered -1.5 in 1 of 8 matches — so confidence is capped at 65% via 2-of-3 AH signals. |
|
| 30-08-2026 04:30 |
Australia NPL Queensland U23 |
Lions FC U23 |
- |
Gold Coast Knights U23 |
Over 1.5 First Half Goals |
76% |
Expected first-half total is 2.15 ((1.50+0.60)/2 + (1.50+0.70)/2) vs a 1.5 line, a +0.65 gap. Gold Coast Knights' last 10 matches went Over 1.5 first-half goals in 8 of 10 (80%) and Lions in 5 of 10 (50%), with home HT scoring/conceding averages of 1.50/0.70. One H2H match (2-0 FT, no HT data) is neutral; away bookmaker mispricing GL_5 is 1.80, supporting the over. |
|
| 30-08-2026 05:00 |
Australia New South Wales Premier League |
Blacktown City |
- |
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 |
|
65% |
WSW U21 are 7th overall (25 pts) and 3rd away (18 pts) while Blacktown City are 15th overall (18 pts) and 15th at home (7 pts), so the away side is undervalued at +0.75. Against shared opponents WSW hold a 4-1 stat-classification lead with a goals NET of +1.45 versus Blacktown's -0.20, and the venue-adjusted expected margin is only 0.55 home goals (1.90 vs 1.35), below the 0.75 handicap. |
|
| 30-08-2026 05:00 |
Australia New South Wales Premier League |
Wollongong Wolves |
- |
Manly Utd |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total 3.30 vs line 2.5 (home scored 1.60, away conceded 1.10, away scored 1.80, home conceded 2.10); Wollongong 7/10 and Manly 5/10 recent matches over 2.5. Single H2H (0-1) is neutral; mutual opponents total 2.90 supports Over. Scoring: base 50% + gap 15% + home history 8% + away history 0% + H2H 0% + common opponents 5% + likelihood 3% + GL_5 home 0% + GL_5 away 0% (1.20 mild) + structural top-4 vs bottom-4 5% = 86%, capped to standard 82%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 05:00 |
Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
Eltham Redbacks |
- |
Melbourne Knights |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
70% |
Expected total 3.35 vs 3.25 line (home: 2.30 scored/1.50 conceded at home; away: 1.90 scored/1.00 conceded away). Mutual-opponent total is 3.75, the single H2H ended 4-0, and both market mispricing signals align Over (home GL_5 1.60, away GL_5 1.95 accelerating). Home last 10 over 3.25 in 6/10, away last 10 over 3.25 in 3/10 but with strong venue-scored totals supporting Over. |
|
| 30-08-2026 05:00 |
Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
Bulleen Lions |
- |
Northcote City |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total 3.55 (home 2.40 scored/1.60 conceded, away 1.70 scored/1.40 conceded) vs line 3.0 (+0.55). Bulleen home history 7/10 Over 3.0 (70%); Northcote 4/10 Over with 3 pushes, so 70% not under. Away defensive fragility: Northcote conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (North Geelong 2, Bentleigh 3, Melbourne Knights 3). Bookmaker mispricing: away GL_5 1.55 moderate, aligning Over. Scoring: base 50 + gap 10 + home history 8 + away history 0 + H2H 0 + common opponents 0 + likelihood 3 + GL_5 home 0 + GL_5 away 3 + structural defensive fragility 5 + form momentum 3 = 82%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 05:00 |
Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
Brunswick Juventus |
- |
Manningham United Blues |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total is 4.05 ((2.40+3.00)/2 + (1.30+1.40)/2) vs line 3.5 (+0.55); Manningham away games are 4/5 over 3.5 and they have conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away with c_avg_on_target 7.6. Mutual opponents average 4.28 total goals and both GL_5 pricing errors support Over (home 1.55, away 2.00); confidence 82% capped (50 base +10 gap +10 away history +8 GL_5 away +5 away fragility +5 mutual opponents -3 away scoring drought). |
|
| 30-08-2026 05:00 |
Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
Melbourne Victory NPL |
- |
Port Melbourne SC |
Melbourne Victory NPL -2.5 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Melbourne Victory sit 4th (27 pts) vs Port Melbourne 14th (9 pts), and mutual opponents strongly favour Victory: 2.2 avg goals/0.9 conceded vs Port's 0.3/1.7, with Victory winning all five net stat comparisons. Port's away fragility is clear (39 conceded in their last 10 away), though Victory covered -2.5 in only 3 of 10 recent games (1 of last 5), so this is capped at 65% confidence with 2 of 3 AH signals supporting. |
|
| 30-08-2026 05:00 |
Australia NPL Victoria Women |
Spring Hills FC Women |
- |
Avondale FC Women |
|
67% |
Avondale's Asian Handicap record is 9W-1L over its last 10 and 4W-1L over its last 5, while Spring Hills is 2W-3L over its last 5. Against venue-matched common opponents, Avondale's goal net is +1.42 (2.71 scored, 1.29 conceded) versus Spring Hills' -0.12 (0.88 scored, 1.00 conceded), with 4 of 5 comparative stats favouring Avondale. The only H2H meeting (Avondale 0-1 Spring Hills) is neutral on sample size, and Avondale averages 2.9 away goals per game versus Spring Hills' 0.8 home goals scored. |
|
| 30-08-2026 05:00 |
Australia NPL Victoria Women |
Boroondara Eagles Women |
- |
Keilor Park Women |
Over 8.5 Corners |
75% |
Expected corners 9.5 vs line 8.5: home averages 4.6 for and concedes 5.4, away averages 3.8 for and concedes 5.2. Home are 6/10 and away 5/10 over 8.5 corners, with H2H total 9 corners. Quality gap (home 1.42 / away 5.25) plus away's high conceded dangerous attacks and shots volume support sustained pressure. Confidence: Base 50 + gap 10 + home history 5 + away history 0 + H2H 0 + structural 5 + dominant press 5 = 75%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 05:00 |
Australia NPL Victoria Women |
Alamein FC Women |
- |
Bulleen Lions Women |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
71% |
Expected total is 3.00 goals ((1.30+1.70)/2 + (1.90+1.10)/2) against the 2.75 line. Bulleen are 7/10 over 2.5 in their last 10, while Alamein are 5/10; the only H2H meeting finished 2-1. Mutual-opponent total of 3.25 supports Over, and away GL_5 of 1.40 is mild market pricing error with no structural contradictions. |
|
| 30-08-2026 05:00 |
Australia New South Wales Premier League |
Sutherland Sharks |
- |
SD Raiders |
Sutherland Sharks +0.25 Asian Handicap |
70% |
Sutherland covered +0.25 in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and 7 of 10 (70%) by current margins, while SD Raiders covered -0.25 in only 2 of their last 5 (40%). Against common opponents, Sutherland hold a goals net of +0.2 (1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded) versus SD Raiders -0.6 (1.3 scored, 1.9 conceded), with 4 of 5 stat advantages. Overall standings also favour Sutherland (6th vs 10th). |
|
| 30-08-2026 06:00 |
Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
Lake Macquarie Women |
- |
Broadmeadow Magic Women |
Over 3.5 Goals |
67% |
Averages-based expected total is 3.00 (home 1.20 scored/1.50 conceded, away 1.70 scored/1.60 conceded), but shot-based match potential is 5.31 against the 3.5 line. Lake Macquarie are 3/5 over 3.5 at home (60%) and Broadmeadow 2/4 over 3.5 on the road (50%), with H2H 2/3 over 3.5 (5-1, 3-3, 0-0). Broadmeadow have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches, mutual-opponent totals average 3.79, and bookmaker mispricing is severe (away GL_5 2.60, home GL_5 1.90). |
|
| 30-08-2026 07:00 |
Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL Women |
- |
Sydney Olympic FC Women |
|
68% |
Western Sydney covered the AH in 4 of their last 5 (80%), mutual opponents give home a 3-2 stat edge and a goals NET of +0.62 vs -0.38, and the sole H2H finished 0-2 in their favour. Full-time goal-line Over fails (expected 3.10 vs line 3.25; home/away over rates 40%/20%) and corners Overs fail (expected 8.80 vs 9.0), so the home +0.5 handicap is the highest-confidence market at 68%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 07:00 |
Australia NPL Queensland |
Lions FC |
- |
Peninsula Power |
Lions FC -0.5 (Asian Handicap) |
72% |
Lions FC are 1st with a 9-2-0 home record and have covered -0.5 in 9 of their last 10 home matches, including all of the last five (4-0, 2-0, 4-2, 1-0, 5-3). Peninsula Power are 0W-1V-4L on AH away last five, and mutual opponents show Lions 9-1-0 vs Peninsula 6-2-1 with home advantage. H2H at Lions: 1-0 (2026) and 3-0 (2025) both cover -0.5. |
|
| 30-08-2026 08:15 |
Czechia 2. Liga |
Slavia Prague B |
- |
Opava |
Slavia Prague B -0.5 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Slavia Prague B are 2nd (11 pts, home 2W-1D-0L, 9-5 goals) while Opava are 10th (5 pts, away 0W-0D-2L, 0-4 goals). Against mutual opponents Slavia went 4W-4D-2L (1.8 scored vs 1.6 conceded) while Opava went 0W-3D-7L (0.2 scored vs 1.3 conceded), strongly backing home -0.5. Goal-line overs were rejected because Opava's last 10 over 3.0 record is 3/10, actively contradicting the required over history agreement. |
|
| 30-08-2026 08:30 |
Australia Darwin Premier League |
Port Darwin FC |
- |
Mindil Aces |
Over 4.25 Goals |
82% |
Port Darwin home games average 2.60 scored and 3.30 conceded, while Mindil Aces away average 3.50 scored and 1.10 conceded, producing expected FT total 5.25 vs a 4.25 line (+1.00 gap). Both teams have 6/10 recent matches over 4.25, mutual-opponent volume implies 6.01 total goals, and home bookmaker mispricing is severe at GL_5 2.90. Scoring: 50 base +15 gap +6 home GL_5 half adjustment +5 mutual opponents +5 home history +5 away history = 86 raw, capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 08:30 |
Slovakia 2. Liga |
Slovan Bratislava B |
- |
MSK Povazska Bystrica |
Over 3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected goals 3.25 (A 1.70, B 1.70, C 1.50, D 1.60) vs line 3.0. Mutual opponents combined total 3.3 and Povazska conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (Karvina 2-0, GKS Tychy 2-2, Pohronie 1-2) support Over; H2H has only two matches (1-1, 2-4) so neutral. Confidence 68%: base 50 + gap 5 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 + away fragility 5; home/away Over-3.0 history and GL_5 were neutral. |
|
| 30-08-2026 09:00 |
Hungary NB III |
Vasas SC II |
- |
III Keruleti TUE |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.05 (A=2.60, B=0.90, C=2.70, D=1.90) vs line 3.25, gap +0.80. Home are 7/10 over 3.25 (70%), away 5/10 (50%), H2H produced 5 and 4 goals, and mutual-opponent total is 3.50. Home bookmaker mispricing GL_5 2.45 (accelerating vs GL_10 1.78) supports the Over; score capped at 82%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 09:00 |
Hungary NB III |
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II |
- |
Gyulai Termal |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.65 (home 1.90 scored + away 0.60 conceded, away 3.70 scored + home 1.10 conceded) beats the 3.25 line by 0.40. Gyulai's last 10 matches went over 3.25 in 7 of 10, mutual opponents average 3.44 total goals, and GL5 mispricing is strong both sides (home 1.95, away 1.75). Scoring: 50 + gap 8 + away history 8 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 + GL5 home 8 + GL5 away 5 = 87, capped at 82. |
|
| 30-08-2026 10:30 |
South Korea K League 1 |
Incheon Utd |
- |
Jeonbuk Motors |
Jeonbuk Motors -0.25 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Jeonbuk sit 3rd (38 pts) vs Incheon 8th (33), and venue-matched common opponents favour Jeonbuk: 4W-4D-1L with a +0.66 goals net (1.33 GF / 0.67 GA) against Incheon's 3W-2D-5L and 0.00 net. H2H is only two matches (both Incheon by one), so neutral under the rules; Jeonbuk's recent AH record is 1W-1V-3L, leaving a 2-of-3 AH signal at 65%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 10:30 |
South Korea K League 2 |
Gimhae FC 2008 |
- |
Yongin City FC |
Over 8.0 Corners |
70% |
Expected corners total is 9.0 vs an 8.0 line (Gimhae 3.8 for/4.9 conceded, Yongin 3.9 for/5.4 conceded). Yongin have gone over 8 corners in 6 of their last 10 matches (60%) and Gimhae in 5 of 10 (50%), with no H2H data. Yongin's away games concede 5.4 corners per match, a structural Over corner signal. |
|
| 30-08-2026 10:30 |
South Korea K League 2 |
Suwon FC |
- |
Busan I Park |
Suwon FC -0.25 Asian Handicap |
68% |
Suwon FC are unbeaten at home (5W4D0L) and have covered the Asian Handicap in 7 of their last 10 matches (4 of last 5), while Busan I Park are 1W1V3L on the AH in their last 5 and 5W2D4L away. Against mutual opponents, Suwon FC are 4W4D0L with a +1.37 goals net versus Busan's 2W2D3L and -0.28 net. H2H is only one match (Busan 2-1), so it is too small a sample to override the home-side signal. |
|
| 30-08-2026 11:00 |
Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
IF Ready |
- |
Gamle Oslo |
Over 1.75 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st-half total is 2.15 ((0.80+0.70)/2 + (1.90+0.90)/2) vs a 1.75 line; IF Ready are 6/10 over 1.75 HT and Gamle Oslo are 8/10 over 1.75 HT. H2H is one match (3-3 FT) so neutral, and both sides have GL_5 bookmaker mispricing of 2.15 with accelerating trend, supporting Over. |
|
| 30-08-2026 11:00 |
Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
Mandalskameratene |
- |
Varhaug |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total is 4.27 goals (Mandalskameratene home 2.90 for/2.30 against, Varhaug away 1.67 for/1.67 against) vs a 3.5 line, a +0.77 gap. Over 3.5 has hit in 4 of Mandalskameratene's last 5 (80%) and 3 of Varhaug's last 5 (60%), with mutual-opponents average total 4.0 and home bookmaker mispricing GL_5 extremely severe at 3.25 (accelerating vs 2.60). Home side has scored 2+ in three straight home matches (8-3, 2-0, 2-0); raw score capped at standard 82% ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 11:00 |
Scotland Premiership |
Aberdeen |
- |
Rangers |
Over 1.25 Goals 1st Half |
66% |
Expected 1st-half total is 1.55 (Aberdeen 1.00 scored/0.50 conceded HT; Rangers 0.80 scored/0.80 conceded HT) vs a 1.25 line. Rangers away GL_5 is 1.75, showing moderate bookmaker mispricing, and 85% of these matches see Over 0.5 HT goals with 50% over 1.5 HT. Back Over 1.25 HT at 2.00. |
|
| 30-08-2026 11:00 |
China Division 1 |
Ningbo Professional FC |
- |
Meizhou Hakka |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total 3.10 (home: 1.30 for/1.40 against, away: 1.40 for/2.10 against) vs 2.5 line, gap +0.60. Home last 10 over 2.5: 60%, away 70%, H2H 0-3, mutual opponents total 2.86 supports over. Bookmaker mispricing home GL5 2.15 (accelerating) and away GL5 1.60 (accelerating) align with over; raw confidence ~92% capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 11:00 |
China Division 1 |
Dalian K'un City |
- |
Nantong Zhiyun |
Over 2.25 Goals |
75% |
Expected total 3.00 vs 2.25 line: home scores 1.50 and concedes 1.90 at home, away scores 1.70 and concedes 0.90 away. Dalian K'un City are 6/10 over this line in recent matches, Nantong 4/10; H2H is one 1-0 game (neutral sample). Away GL_5 bookmaker mispricing is 1.70 accelerating from 1.33, adding Over edge. |
|
| 30-08-2026 11:00 |
Scotland Premiership |
Aberdeen |
- |
Rangers |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
66% |
Expected 1st-half total is 1.55 vs line 1.25 (+0.30 gap): Aberdeen home HT avg 1.00 scored/0.50 conceded, Rangers away HT avg 0.80 scored/0.80 conceded. Over 1.25 HT history: Aberdeen 5/10 (50%), Rangers 4/10 (40%); H2H HT scores unavailable. Rangers GL_5=1.75 moderate bookmaker mispricing aligns with the Over side, and the quality gap toward Rangers adds early-pressure support. |
|
| 30-08-2026 11:30 |
China Division 1 |
Guangdong GZ-Power |
- |
Changchun Yatai |
Over 3.0 Goals |
65% |
Expected total (2.10+1.80)/2 + (2.10+0.80)/2 = 3.40 vs 3.00 line. Changchun conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches (Shaanxi 2-1, Suzhou 2-1, Dingnan 2-3, Ningbo 3-1) and their last 10 are 5 over/5 push/0 under on this total. Mutual-opponent total is 3.34; score: Base 50 + gap +5 + home hist 0 + away hist 0 + H2H 0 + common opp +5 + likelihood 0 + GL_5 0 + away fragility +5 = 65. |
|
| 30-08-2026 11:30 |
Estonia Meistriliiga |
JK Nomme Kalju |
- |
FC Levadia Tallinn |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
82% |
FT expected 3.50 goals (home 1.70 for/1.30 against, away 3.20 for/0.80 against) vs a 2.75 line; 1H expected 1.80 vs 1.25 but the FT gap is larger. Away 9/10 over 2.5 goals, home 5/10, mutual opponents combined total 3.15, home GL_5 1.55 bookmaker mispricing; H2H mixed (2 of 3 under) — raw 83.5 capped at 82. |
|
| 30-08-2026 11:30 |
Germany Bundesliga II |
Magdeburg |
- |
Holstein Kiel |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
72% |
1st half expected total is 1.95 vs 1.25 line (A_ht=1.10, B_ht=1.10, C_ht=0.80, D_ht=0.90). Holstein Kiel are 7/10 (70%) over 1.25 first-half goals away, Magdeburg 5/10 (50%), satisfying the Over criteria; last H2H 2026-05-09 had 0-2 at half-time. Confidence: base 50% +14% gap +8% away history = 72%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 11:30 |
Germany Bundesliga II |
Darmstadt |
- |
Hannover 96 |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
78% |
Expected 1st-half total = (0.90+0.60)/2 + (1.30+1.00)/2 = 1.90 goals vs line 1.25, a 0.65-goal edge. Darmstadt home matches cleared 1.25 HT goals in 6 of 10 (60%) and Hannover away in 5 of 10 (50%), while bookmaker mispricing is moderate and accelerating (home GL_5 1.80, away 1.75). Full-time expected total is 3.55 vs line 3.0 but match-history support is weaker (40%/50%), so the 1st-half over is the strongest bet. |
|
| 30-08-2026 11:30 |
Germany 3. Liga |
Saarbrucken |
- |
Hansa Rostock |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total FT = (1.70+2.40)/2 + (2.20+1.40)/2 = 3.85 vs line 3.0 (+0.85), and shot-based match potential also clears the line. Saarbrucken are 3 of last 5 over 3.0, while Hansa Rostock's last 5 produced 4 overs (1 push) and they conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away; home GL_5 2.40 (accelerating) indicates bookmaker mispricing aligned with Over. Raw confidence 94% capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 11:30 |
Estonia Meistriliiga |
JK Nomme Kalju |
- |
FC Levadia Tallinn |
1st Half Over 1.25 Goals |
73% |
FT Over 3.0 was vetoed by H2H (0/3 over 3). 1H expected total is 1.80 vs 1.25 line: Kalju home 1H avg 1.0 scored/0.7 conceded, Levadia away 1H avg 1.6 scored/0.3 conceded. Levadia 6/10 and Kalju 5/10 over 1.25 1H, plus away-dominant quality gap and home GL_5 1.55 moderate mispricing; confidence 72.5% rounded to 73 (50 base +10 gap +5 away history +5 structural +2.5 GL_5 partial). |
|
| 30-08-2026 12:00 |
Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
Konnerud |
- |
Baerum |
Over 4.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total 5.35 vs line 4.5 (home scored 1.50 at home, away conceded 2.00 away, away scored 3.90 away, home conceded 3.30 at home). Baerum are 7/10 over 4.5 in their last 10, H2H was 7-2, and bookmaker mispricing is strong (home GL_5 1.75, away GL_5 2.00). Breakdown: Base 50 + gap 15 + home history 0 + away history 8 + H2H 0 + common opponents -5 + likelihood 3 + GL_5 home 5 + GL_5 away 8 + structural 0 = 84 capped at 82. |
|
| 30-08-2026 12:00 |
Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
Eidsvold TF |
- |
Grorud |
Over 3.25 Goals |
79% |
Expected FT total = (3.40+1.00)/2 + (2.20+1.30)/2 = 3.95 vs line 3.25. Eidsvold last 10: 7/10 Over 3.25; Grorud last 10: 3/10; H2H 2 matches neutral (0-0, 4-0). Confidence: 50% base +10% gap +8% home history +0% away +0% H2H -5% common opponents +0% likelihood +5% home GL5 +8% away GL5 (2.40, accelerating) +3% form momentum = 79%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 12:00 |
Estonia Esiliiga |
JK Nomme United II |
- |
FC Elva |
FC Elva -0.25 Asian Handicap |
67% |
FC Elva sit 4th (38 pts) vs 8th-placed JK Nomme United II (27 pts) and hold a 5/5 mutual-opponent stat advantage (goals NET +0.43 vs -0.70). Elva's last-5 Asian Handicap record is 3W-2L versus Nomme's 2W-3L, giving 2 of 3 qualifying signals; H2H is only 2 matches (both Nomme wins) so treated as neutral. |
|
| 30-08-2026 14:15 |
Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
Melhus |
- |
Strindheim |
Over 3.5/4.0 Goals |
80% |
Full-time expected total 4.10 (home 2.60 scored/1.50 conceded at home, away 2.20 scored/1.90 conceded away) vs split line 3.5/4.0. Home 6/10 and away 6/10 exceed 3.5; H2H one match 2-1 total 3 neutral; mutual total 4.46 clears. Scoring: Base 50% + gap +7% + home history +5% + away history +5% + common +5% + GL_5 home +8% = 80% (H2H +0%, likelihood +0%, GL_5 away +0%, structural +0% excluded via stacking). |
|
| 30-08-2026 14:30 |
Switzerland Super League |
FC Vaduz |
- |
Grasshoppers |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 3.70 vs a 3.0 line (Vaduz home: 2.10 scored/1.80 conceded; Grasshoppers away: 1.60 scored/1.90 conceded). Vaduz have gone over 3.0 in 6/10 matches and Grasshoppers in 5/10, with Grasshoppers showing away defensive fragility (3+ of last 5 away conceded 2+). Scoring: 50 base +14 gap +5 home history +0 away history +0 H2H +0 common opponents +0 likelihood +5 home GL5 bookmaker mispricing (1.60) +0 away GL5 +5 away fragility +3 form momentum = 82%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 14:30 |
Germany 3. Liga |
TSV Havelse |
- |
Waldhof Mannheim |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time goals 3.90 (A=1.6, B=1.8, C=2.0, D=2.4) vs line 3.25, gap +0.65. Both teams 6 of 10 matches over 3.25; H2H 2/2 over (4 and 5 total goals); mutual opponent total 3.72; away conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away (5,2,3,4); home GL_5 1.85 strong bookmaker mispricing. Score: 50 base +10 gap +5 home history +5 common opponents +8 GL_5 home +5 away fragility = 83 raw, capped at standard 82. |
|
| 30-08-2026 14:45 |
Netherlands Eredivisie |
Telstar |
- |
Ajax |
Over 4.5 1st Half Corners |
82% |
Expected 1H corners 6.05 vs line 4.5: Telstar 1H corners 1.90 for/3.60 conceded, Ajax 1H corners 5.40 for/1.20 conceded. Out of last 10, Telstar's matches went over 4.5 1H corners 60% (6/10) and Ajax's 90% (9/10). Eredivisie tempo and Ajax's away 1H corner rate support Over 4.5, with no H2H 1H corner data. |
|
| 30-08-2026 14:45 |
Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
VVV |
- |
FC Emmen |
Over 1.0,1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st-half total is 1.85 (VVV 0.80 scored at home HT / FC Emmen 1.20 conceded away HT; FC Emmen 0.70 scored away HT / VVV 1.00 conceded home HT) vs 1.0/1.5 line, a +0.60 gap. VVV are 6/10 over 1.25 home first halves and FC Emmen are 7/10 over 1.25 away first halves. Scoring: Base 50% + gap 10% + home HT history 5% + away HT history 8% + H2H 0% + structural 0% + GL_5 home 8% + GL_5 away 8% = 89% capped at 82% standard ceiling; market pricing error GL_5 home 1.90 and away 2.15 both point over. |
|
| 30-08-2026 15:00 |
Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
Derry City |
- |
Shamrock Rovers |
Over 9 Corners |
80% |
Expected corners 10.80 vs 9.0 line: Derry home avg corners 6.20 for/5.40 against, Shamrock away 5.10 for/4.90 against. Derry's last 10 matches went over 9 corners in 8 of 10; Shamrock 4 of 10 over with 3 pushes at exactly 9. H2H corner totals were 8,9,13,13 (split), and mutual-opponent shot/dangerous-attack volume supports pressure. |
|
| 30-08-2026 15:00 |
Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
Drøbak/Frogn |
- |
Fram |
Drøbak/Frogn -0.25 (Asian Handicap) |
65% |
Drøbak/Frogn hold an 8W-2L Asian Handicap record over their last 10 (Fram 1W-4L last 5), and the mutual-opponent comparison gives home a 4-1 stat edge with goals net +0.89 vs -1.45. Home also sit 10th vs Fram 13th in the standings, making home -0.25 the best available edge; goal-line and corner Over bets fail match-history thresholds. |
|
| 30-08-2026 15:00 |
Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
Eik Tønsberg |
- |
Sotra |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total is 3.40 (A=1.5, B=1.0, C=1.8, D=2.5) vs the 2.75 line; Eik's recent matches are 7/10 over 2.75 (70%) and Sotra's 6/10 over (60%), with both H2H meetings over (6-0, 2-1). Sotra sit 4th vs Eik 13th, Eik concede 2.5 goals at home and Sotra score 1.8 away, while home GL_5 bookmaker mispricing is a severe 3.05 (accelerating vs 2.08), adding over edge. Raw score 92% capped at standard ceiling 82%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 15:00 |
Czechia First League |
Viktoria Plzen |
- |
Slovacko |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 3.80 (Plzen home 2.10 scored/2.20 conceded; Slovacko away 1.30 scored/2.00 conceded) vs line 3.0. Mutual-opponents total 3.10, Slovacko's away c_avg_on_target 5.0, and 3 of last 5 away matches conceded 2+ all support the over. Home goal-line mispricing GL_5 2.75 is severe and accelerating; raw score 84 capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 15:15 |
France Ligue 1 |
Rennes |
- |
Le Mans |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
76% |
First-half expected total is 1.65 vs a 1.25 line (gap +0.40), built from Rennes home HT 0.90 scored/0.90 conceded and Le Mans away HT 0.80 scored/0.70 conceded. Rennes 1st-half matches went over 1.25 in 7/10 (70%) and Le Mans in 5/10 (50%), with bookmaker mispricing GL_5 elevated at 1.65/1.70 and no H2H to contradict. |
|
| 30-08-2026 15:15 |
France Ligue 1 |
Rennes |
- |
Le Mans |
Over 1.0,1.5 First Half Goals |
73% |
Expected 1st-half total is 1.65 vs a 1.25 line: Rennes home HT averages 0.90 scored/0.90 conceded, Le Mans away HT averages 0.80 scored/0.70 conceded, a +0.40 gap. Rennes exceed 1.25 HT goals in 7/10 recent matches (70%) and Le Mans in 5/10 (50%); H2H is empty. Both teams show moderate bookmaker mispricing on goal lines aligned with the Over (home GL_5 1.65, away GL_5 1.70). |
|
| 30-08-2026 15:30 |
Hungary NB II |
Karcagi SE |
- |
Fehervar FC |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
77% |
Expected FT total 2.70 = (1.30+1.50)/2 + (1.30+1.30)/2 vs 2.25 line. Karcagi 6/10 and Fehervar 7/10 over 2.25; Fehervar conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (2,3,2); mutual-opponent total 2.84; home GL_5 2.25 aligned with Over. Score: Base 50 + gap +5 + away history +8 + common opponents +5 + GL_5 home +4 + structural fragility +5 = 77 (home history/likelihood excluded per stacking discipline). |
|
| 30-08-2026 15:30 |
Germany Bundesliga I |
Augsburg |
- |
Schalke |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
82% |
Augsburg 1.60 scored/1.70 conceded at home plus Schalke 2.10 scored/1.60 conceded away create an expected FT total of 3.50 vs a 2.75 line. Augsburg went over 2.75 goals in 7 of 10 recent matches and Schalke in 7 of 9 unique, while Schalke away conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away (Hallescher 2-5, Erzgebirge Aue 2-4, Gutersloh 2-1). H2H is empty and market pricing error is only mild (GL_5 1.10/1.25), so the standard 82% ceiling applies. |
|
| 30-08-2026 16:00 |
Bulgaria First League |
Spartak Varna |
- |
Ludogorets Razgrad |
Ludogorets Razgrad -1.0 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Ludogorets lead the league (1st, 16 pts) vs Spartak Varna (9th, 7 pts) and the venue-matched mutual-opponent comparison gives Ludogorets a goals NET of +1.57 vs Spartak's +0.20, with an away advantage in 4 of 5 comparison stats. The March 2026 H2H at Varna ended 5-1 to Ludogorets. Recent AH cover for -1 is thin (2 of Ludogorets' last 10 matches won by 2+), so confidence is capped at 65. |
|
| 30-08-2026 16:00 |
Slovenia Prva Liga |
NK Brinje Grosuplje |
- |
NK Celje |
NK Celje -0.75 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Celje sit 3rd (8 pts) while Brinje are 9th (5 pts), and Celje have covered the Asian Handicap in 4 of their last 5 matches while Brinje have covered only 2 of 5. Against common opponents both sides have identical 3W-1D-3L records and equal net goals (-0.14), so the common-opponent signal is neutral; two of the three Asian Handicap signals support the away side. |
|
| 30-08-2026 16:00 |
Cyprus Division 1 |
AEL Limassol |
- |
Anorthosis Famagusta |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total = (1.50+1.40)/2 + (1.80+1.50)/2 = 3.10 vs line 2.25 (+0.85); AEL over 2.25 in 7/10, Anorthosis 5/10, H2H 2/3 over. Away defensive fragility (4 of last 5 away conceded 2+) and away GL_5 2.15 accelerating market pricing error support Over. Confidence: Base 50 + gap 15 + home history 8 + away history 0 + H2H 5 + common opponents 0 + likelihood 0 + GL_5 home 0 + GL_5 away 4 + structural 5 = 87 raw, capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 16:00 |
Cyprus Division 1 |
AEL Limassol |
- |
Anorthosis Famagusta |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total = (1.5+1.4)/2 + (1.8+1.5)/2 = 3.10 vs line 2.25 (gap +0.85); AEL home record 7/10 over, Anorthosis 5/10; H2H 2/3 over. Away Anorthosis GL_5 2.15 (GL_10 1.68, accelerating market pricing error) and conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches. Score: base 50 + gap 15 + home history 8 + H2H 5 + away GL_5 8 + away fragility 5 = 91 raw, capped at 82 (standard ceiling; away history 50% below elevated-ceiling condition). |
|
| 30-08-2026 16:30 |
Belgium First Division A |
Union Saint Gilloise |
- |
Anderlecht |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
85% |
USG home scoring/conceding gives expected total (2.30+1.30)/2 + (2.00+1.50)/2 = 3.55 against a 2.75 line; USG are 8/10 over 2.75 and Anderlecht 7/10 over 2.75, with H2H 3/4 over (5-1, 3-1, 3-1). Away mutual-opponent on-target conceded of 5.22 per game is a structural Over signal, and USG GL_5 2.40 shows strong bookmaker mispricing aligned with the Over. |
|
| 30-08-2026 17:00 |
Iceland Premier League |
Fram Reykjavik |
- |
KA Akureyri |
Over 1.5 First Half Goals |
82% |
Expected 1st-half total is 2.50 goals ((1.90+1.20)/2 + (0.80+1.10)/2) vs the 1.5 line, a +1.00 goal gap. Fram's HT Over 1.5 record is 9/10 (90%), the sole H2H was 2-3 at half-time, KA concede 1.20 away HT, and the 3rd-vs-11th quality gap supports early pressure. Market pricing error is severe (Fram GL_5 2.05, KA GL_5 2.85 both over-directional); raw score 100% capped at the 82% standard ceiling because away HT history (50%) and H2H sample (1 match) miss elevated-tier conditions. |
|
| 30-08-2026 17:00 |
Cyprus Division 1 |
APK Karmotissa |
- |
Pafos FC |
Over 3.0 Goals |
65% |
Expected full-time total is 3.35 (home 2.30 scored/1.40 conceded at home; away 1.60 scored/1.40 conceded away) vs a 3.0 line. APK Karmotissa have gone Over 3.0 in 4 of 8 home matches and Pafos in 4 of 10 away matches; H2H is empty and mutual opponents are unavailable. Market pricing error is elevated (home GL_5 1.90, away GL_5 1.75, both accelerating), aligning with the Over. |
|
| 30-08-2026 17:00 |
Cyprus Division 1 |
APK Karmotissa |
- |
Pafos FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time goals are 3.35 ((2.30+1.40)/2+(1.60+1.40)/2), comfortably above 2.5. APK Karmotissa recent matches are 6/8 Over 2.5 (75%) and Pafos 5/10 (50%); bookmaker mispricing is strong and accelerating (home GL_5 1.90, away GL_5 1.75). 1st half expected 1.35 vs 1.25 was much weaker, so the full-time Over is the best bet. |
|
| 30-08-2026 17:30 |
Germany 3. Liga |
FC Viktoria Köln |
- |
SC Preussen Munster |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total is 3.15 (A=1.30, B=2.00, C=1.30, D=1.70 => (1.30+2.00)/2 + (1.30+1.70)/2) vs line 2.75, gap +0.40. Home matches are 6/10 over 2.75, away matches are 8/10 over 2.75; mutual opponents total is 5.0; away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 away (Elversberg 3, Hannover 3, Schalke 4). Breakdown: Base 50% + gap 8% + home history 5% + away history 10% + H2H 0% + common opponents 5% + likelihood 3% + home GL_5 0% + away GL_5 0% + structural away fragility 5% = 86% capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:00 |
Argentina Nacional B |
Almirante Brown |
- |
Deportivo Madryn |
Over 1.75 Goals |
81% |
Expected full-time total is 2.25 vs a 1.75 line (Almirante home 1.30 scored/0.50 conceded; Madryn away 1.80 scored/0.90 conceded), a +0.50 gap. Home matches are 6/10 over 1.75 and away 8/10 over 1.75, with the sole H2H ending 2-1; shot-based potential (3.93) also supports the over. Recent form is 8/10 combined overs; market pricing error is mild (GL_5 home 1.00, away 1.15, no adjustment). |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:00 |
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
Central Ballester |
- |
Yupanqui |
Over 1.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total = (0.90+1.50)/2+(1.20+0.90)/2=2.25 vs line 1.75, a 0.50 gap; mutual-opponent total 2.44 also clears the line. Central Ballester 5/10 over 1.75, Yupanqui 9/10 over 1.75, and Yupanqui conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away. Score: base 50 + gap 10 + home 0 + away 10 + H2H 0 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 + GL_5 home 2.5 + GL_5 away 0 + away fragility 5 = 85.5, capped at 82; home GL_5 1.75 accelerating. |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:00 |
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
CSD Flandria |
- |
San Martin De Burzaco |
Over 0.75 First Half Goals |
81% |
Expected 1st-half total is 1.10 (home scored 0.50, away conceded 0.70, away scored 0.50, home conceded 0.50) vs a 0.75 line, a +0.35 gap. Home are 7/10 over 0.75 1H goals and away 6/10, with H2H lacking 1H data; market pricing error GL_5 is 1.50 home and 1.90 away, both pointing over. Breakdown: base 50% + gap 5% + home HT history 8% + away HT history 5% + H2H 0% + structural 0% + GL_5 home 5% + GL_5 away 8% = 81%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:00 |
Czechia First League |
Sparta Prague |
- |
Slavia Prague |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
85% |
Expected full-time total is 3.45 (A=1.80, B=1.10, C=2.30, D=1.70) against a 2.75 line, +0.70 clear gap. Sparta (8/10) and Slavia (8/10) both hit over 2.5 goals in recent matches, H2H totals are 5, 4, 2 (2/3 over), and Slavia have conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away matches. Market pricing error is only mild (home GL_5 0.95, away 1.15) so no extra variance boost, but structural attacking and defensive signals strongly support the over. |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:15 |
Bulgaria First League |
CSKA Sofia |
- |
Cherno More Varna |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 3.10 (home 1.70 scored/1.10 conceded, away 1.20 scored/2.20 conceded), 0.60 above the 2.5 line. CSKA's last 10 matches went over 2.5 in 8/10 and Cherno More's 50% record does not contradict; structural Over signals include Cherno More away c_avg_on_target 6.0, 3+ of last 5 away conceding 2+, and home 3rd vs away 11th. Away bookmaker mispricing GL_5 1.75 (accelerating vs GL_10 1.53) supports the Over; raw score 85 capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:15 |
Bulgaria First League |
CSKA Sofia |
- |
Cherno More Varna |
Over 2.5 Goals |
75% |
Expected total is 3.10 vs the 2.5 line: CSKA Sofia home averages 1.70 scored/1.10 conceded and Cherno More away concedes 2.20 per game, giving (1.70+2.20)/2 + (1.20+1.10)/2 = 3.10. CSKA are 8/10 Over 2.5 (80%) and Cherno More are 5/10 Over (50%), with Cherno conceding 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away games. H2H is limited to one 2-0 match (treated neutral), while away GL_5 bookmaker mispricing is 1.75 and the shot-based match potential also supports Over. |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:30 |
Argentina Nacional B |
Patronato Parana |
- |
Almagro |
Over 1.75 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total 2.35 vs 1.75 line (home 1.30 scored/1.50 conceded, away 0.80 scored/1.10 conceded); Patronato 8/10 and Almagro 7/10 over 1.75. Scoring: 50 base +12 gap +10 home history +8 away history +5 mutual opponents +4 home GL_5 +3 form momentum = 92, capped to 82; home market pricing error GL_5 2.40 accelerating, mutual-opponent total 2.35, H2H 0-1 neutral, Patronato scored 2+ in last 3 home matches. |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:30 |
Argentina Nacional B |
CA Atlanta |
- |
San Martin SJ |
Over 1.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total 2.55 (home 1.30 scored/1.50 conceded at home; away 1.30 scored/1.00 conceded away) vs 1.75 line; 1H expected 1.05 vs 0.75, so FT is the stronger signal. CA Atlanta 70% (7/10) and San Martin SJ 80% (8/10) recent matches over 1.75, H2H 1-2 (3 goals), mutual opponents total 2.17, away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away, and home GL_5 1.65 moderate bookmaker mispricing align over. Raw score capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:30 |
Argentina Nacional B |
All Boys |
- |
CA Chaco For Ever |
CA Chaco For Ever +0.25 Asian Handicap |
65% |
All Boys sit 16th (27 pts) vs CA Chaco For Ever 13th (28 pts), and All Boys' Asian Handicap record is 1W-4L in their last 5 (80% fail as -0.25) while Chaco For Ever is 3W-1V-1L. Mutual opponents favour All Boys (home goals net +0.4 vs away -1.23; dang attacks net +19.3 vs -0.88), but standings and AH form give two of three signals for the away side. |
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| 30-08-2026 18:30 |
Argentina Nacional B |
Deportivo Moron |
- |
CA San Miguel |
Over 1.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total 2.35 (home 1.70 scored/1.10 conceded at home; away 0.80 scored/1.10 conceded away) clears the 1.75 line by 0.60. Home side Deportivo Moron are 8/10 over 1.75 and away side San Miguel are 6/10 over 1.75, with their sole H2H finishing 2-1 (3 goals). Moron have scored 2+ in their last three home wins (2-0 Almagro, 4-1 Acassuso, 4-0 Ferro) and the mutual-opponent total is 2.35, supporting the Over. |
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| 30-08-2026 18:30 |
Argentina Nacional B |
CA Estudiantes Caseros |
- |
Ferro Carril Oeste |
Over 1.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total 2.40 (home 1.30 scored/0.90 conceded at home, away 1.50 scored/1.10 conceded away) against a 1.5 line, gap +0.90. Home 7/10 (70%) and away 6/10 (60%) matches over 1.5, mutual opponents total 1.9, away GL_5 1.70 moderate bookmaker mispricing. Raw score 91 capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
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| 30-08-2026 19:00 |
Argentina Nacional B |
Quilmes |
- |
Club Atletico Temperley |
Club Atletico Temperley +0.5 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Temperley are 3rd (43 pts) against Quilmes 11th (32 pts) and have avoided defeat in 10 of 13 away matches (3W-7D-3L), while Quilmes have won only 7 of 13 home games. The season H2H was 3-3, and Temperley avoided defeat in 7 of 10 mutual-opponent matches (1W-6D-3L), covering the +0.5 draw insurance. |
|
| 30-08-2026 19:15 |
Iceland Premier League |
Valur Reykjavik |
- |
IA Akranes |
Over 3.75 Goals |
79% |
Expected FT total (1.4+2.2)/2 + (2.1+2.4)/2 = 4.05 vs line 3.75 (+0.30). Valur 6/10 and IA Akranes 6/10 recent matches over 3.75; H2H 2 games both under but neutral (<3); mutual opponents total 4.35 supports Over; Akranes conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (5-2, 4-0, 3-3) and Valur home GL_5 market pricing error 1.90 accelerating. Score: 50 base +5 gap +5 home history +5 away history +5 common opponents +4 GL_5 home +5 structural = 79%. |
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| 30-08-2026 21:00 |
Argentina Nacional B |
Godoy Cruz |
- |
CA San Telmo |
Over 0.75 First Half Goals |
78% |
Expected 1H total is 1.25 goals (Godoy Cruz 1H at home: 0.80 scored/0.60 conceded; San Telmo 1H away: 0.20 scored/0.90 conceded) against a 0.75 line. Godoy Cruz matches had 1+ first-half goals in 7/10 (70%) and San Telmo in 6/10 (60%), with Godoy Cruz's home 1H scoring and San Telmo's 0.90 away 1H conceded making Over the stronger side. Confidence: Base 50% + gap +10% + home HT history +8% + away HT history +5% + quality gap +5% = 78% (H2H 1H data absent, market pricing error GL_5 both under 1.5). |
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| 30-08-2026 21:00 |
Nicaragua Apertura |
HYH Export Sebaco FC |
- |
Real Esteli |
Over 2.5 Goals |
66% |
Expected full-time total is 2.80 goals ((1.40+1.10)/2 + (1.40+1.70)/2) vs the 2.5 line, with shot-based match potential 5.50. Home are 6/10 over 2.5 and H2H is 3/3 over 2.5 (2-3, 3-2, 3-0); away only 3/10 over, but over-first default applies with H2H support. Home market pricing error GL_5 is 1.50 (moderate), and mutual opponents total 2.42 is roughly line-neutral. |
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| 30-08-2026 23:15 |
Honduras Liga Nacional |
Real Espana |
- |
Atletico Choloma |
Over 2.75 Goals |
81% |
Full-time Over 2.75: expected total 3.15 (A=1.80, B=1.90, C=1.50, D=1.10) vs line 2.75; H2H is 3/3 over (3-2, 2-1, 3-0); Atletico Choloma have conceded 2+ in their last 3 away games. Scoring: Base 50 + gap from line +8 + home history +0 (5/10=50%) + away history +0 (4/7=57%) + H2H +5 + common opponents +5 (mutual total 2.805) + likelihood +3 + GL5 home +0 + GL5 away +0 + quality gap +5 + away defensive fragility +5 = 81%. |
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| 30-08-2026 23:30 |
El Salvador Apertura |
CD FAS |
- |
CD Luis Angel Firpo |
Over 4.5 First Half Corners |
70% |
Expected first-half corners are 5.05 ((3.7+2.4)/2 + (2.1+1.9)/2) vs a 4.5 line. CD FAS home HT corners cleared 4.5 in 3 of 5 recent games (60%: totals 2,6,6,3,7), while CD Luis Angel Firpo away HT corners cleared 4.5 in 3 of 4 (75%: totals 7,8,7,1). Goal-line signals were weaker, so the HT corner market offers the cleanest edge. |
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