| 11-07-2026 17:00 |
Central Cordoba de Rosario |
- |
CA Atlas |
Under 1.75 Goals |
76% |
Expected total (1.95) is just above the 1.75 line, but both teams show 75% Under in their last 4 home/away matches (CCR home: 3/4, Atlas away: 3/4) and H2H ended 0-0. Atlas are in a scoring drought away (1 goal in 4), and their away attack suppression (<40% scored) provides structural Under support. |
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| 11-07-2026 17:00 |
Siroki Brijeg |
- |
Zrinjski Mostar |
Zrinjski Mostar Asian Handicap -0 |
68% |
Zrinjski Mostar cover the Asian Handicap in 8 of last 10 matches (80%) and 5 of last 5 (100%). H2H coverage is 2 of 3 (67%). Common opponents (Radnik, Velez, Borac) show Zrinjski outperforming Siroki in every comparison. Siroki have covered only 4 of last 10 (40%) and lost 4 of last 5 at home. Confidence is 68% based on 2 of 3 core signals (recent form and common opponents agree; standings neutral). |
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| 11-07-2026 17:30 |
Fenerbahce |
- |
Pogon Szczecin |
Over 9 Asian Corners |
82% |
Expected total corners 10.35 (Fener home 7.0 + Pogon away conceded 6.0 averaged with Pogon away 4.0 + Fener home conceded 3.7) exceeds the 9.0 line by 1.35. Fener's home corner history shows 80% (4/5) Over 9, while structural quality gap and dominant home pressure support an Over. Confidence capped at 82% standard ceiling due to away corner history (40%) not meeting 70% threshold. |
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| 11-07-2026 18:00 |
Deportivo Moron |
- |
Deportivo Madryn |
Over 1.75 Goals |
70% |
Expected total 2.40 from home avg 1.30 scored at home, away conceded 1.20, away scored 1.40, home conceded 0.90 exceeds line 1.75. Both teams have 60% Over in last 5 matches, and away team's GL_5 variance of 1.60 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing toward Over. H2H shows 2 Under in 3 but not a veto, and historical data aligns for Over. |
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| 11-07-2026 18:00 |
Panathinaikos |
- |
Grasshoppers |
Over 8.0 Corners |
80% |
Expected total corners at 9.5 (home avg 3.7 & conceded 4.2, away avg 5.7 & conceded 5.4) exceeds the line of 8.0 by 1.5. Both teams have 60% Over records in their last 5 matches (Panathinaikos 3/5 overs, Grasshoppers 3/5 overs), and the recent friendlies show high corner counts (e.g., 17 vs Wil, 16 vs PAOK). Bookmaker mispricing in corners is evident for both sides (AC_5 2.60 home, 3.30 away), indicating the line is too low. |
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| 11-07-2026 18:00 |
CA Estudiantes Caseros |
- |
Club Atletico Mitre |
Over 1.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 2.05 goals (home avg 0.80+ away conceded 1.40, away avg 1.20+ home conceded 0.70) exceeds the 1.5 line by 0.55 goals, and shot-based match potential calculates to 3.92. Away team's last 10 matches show 90% Over 1.5 goals, while home team shows 60%; away also concedes 1.4 per away game and the quality gap (8th vs 17th in Group A) adds attacking pressure. H2H is neutral with only 2 meetings (1 Over, 1 Under). Market pricing error is mild (away GL_5=1.40, home well-calibrated at 0.85), not altering the strong structural Over signal. |
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| 11-07-2026 20:00 |
Bath Estate |
- |
Pointe Michel FC |
Over 4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 5.65 goals (home avg 1.5, away conceded avg 4.3 → (1.5+4.3)/2 = 2.9; away scored 2.6, home conceded 2.9 → (2.6+2.9)/2 = 2.75; total 5.65) far exceeds the line of 4.0. Pointe Michel's away matches have gone Over 4.0 in 4 of the last 5 (80%), and the away team has severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5=3.85). H2H produced 5 goals. Structural weakness in Pointe's defence (conceded 2+ in 4/5 away) supports Over. |
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| 11-07-2026 22:30 |
North Carolina Courage Women |
- |
Washington Spirit Women |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals calculated from season averages is 3.15 (home 1.8 scored/1.3 conceded, away 2.1 scored/1.1 conceded), well above the 2.5 line. North Carolina has 80% of their last 10 matches going over 2.5, while Washington has 60%. Washington's GL_5 of 1.60 shows moderate bookmaker mispricing, and they have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches, adding to the Over case. |
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| 11-07-2026 22:30 |
Promex Harlem United SC |
- |
Mahaut Soca Strikers |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 4.55 goals (home avg 2.50 + away avg 3.00 combined via formula) well above the 3.5 line. Away team averages 3.00 goals scored away and home concedes 2.10 at home, fueling high-scoring expectation. Bookmaker mispricing is strong: home GL_5 1.90 and away GL_5 2.25 (both >1.8) indicate the line is consistently underestimated. Although match history shows only 29% of home matches and 56% of away matches exceeding 3.5 goals, the large expected gap and severe mispricing prevail, supported by away's strong attacking form (scored in all last 5 away) and home's leaky defense. |
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| 11-07-2026 23:30 |
Sarasota Paradise |
- |
Miami FC |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 2.85 (home avg 1.10, away away conceded 1.90, away away scored 1.60, home conceded 1.10) exceeds the line of 2.75. Away history shows 60% (6/10) of matches with 3+ goals, while strong bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.85, away GL_5 2.35, both accelerating) adds significant edge for the Over. Despite home's recent 40% over rate, the overall structural quality gap (Miami from higher division) and variance signal support the Over. |
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| 11-07-2026 23:30 |
Charleston Battery |
- |
Charlotte Independence |
Over 3.0 Goals |
75% |
Expected total 3.35 (home avg 2.40 scored, 1.00 conceded; away avg 2.30 scored, 1.00 conceded) exceeds the 3.0 line. Bookmaker mispricing is high for Charleston (GL_5 2.35, accelerating), adding edge to Over, and the quality gap between a Championship side and a League One side supports sustained attacking pressure. Though match history shows only 50% Overs for both teams, the structural advantage and variance signal justify the pick. |
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