Backtesting Results: 5 Winning strategies for Asian Handicap & Asian Corners bets

Results of AC Market

Many of you are already familiar with the backtesting system, but if you are not, we recommend reading the following article first: In-Play Notifications Backtesting System. In a nutshell, the backtesting system provides you a unique opportunity to determine your custom notifications’ profitability without need to collect data for months. With the latest update – we have excluded games with extra time, fixed multiple bugs, and doubled the number of games analysed by the backtesting system from 40,000 up to 80,000, which is around one year of games in total. It gives a pretty good insight into profitable formulas, we believe.

We have listed five strategies any football bettor can benefit from – two of them are Asian Corners over bets and three underdog ones (+ Asian Handicap market). Use strategies below to build your notifications. The key to success is to combine stats of real-time, likelihood, averages, and odds into a notification. Not to keep you waiting too long, let’s dive into profitable models that are easily achievable to any baller.

Asian Corners Strategies

Over Full-Time Strategy

Let’s start with a real banger, the best model you will find in this article. ROI of 21% says it all, or what?

Results: 90-43 | Win Rate 67.6% | ROI 21.6%

Time Period: 75-85th minute

Type Event Team Equation Value Value type
Likelihood Min. Number of Previous Games 10
Likelihood (Home) Over 9.5 Corners Home More than, or equal to 70 %
Odds (Kick-off) 1×2 Home Less than, or equal to 4
Stats Corners Combined Equal to 6 Sum
Stats Goals difference Away Equal to 1 Sum
Stats Total Shots Combined More than, or equal to 10 Sum
Odds (Last) Asian Corners Over Equal to 7.5 (Min.odds 1.8)

Results of AC Market


Over Half-Time  Strategy

Not as great as the full-time one above, but still provides a decent value and foundation to build your customised notification on top of that.

Results: 73-43 Win Rate 62.9% | ROI 13.22%

Time Period: 25-39th minute

Type Event Team Equation Value Value type
Likelihood (Home) Min. Number of Previous Games 10
Averages HT Avg. Corners Home More than, or equal to 3 Sum
Odds (Last) 1st-half Asian Corners Over More than, or equal to 1.5 (Min. odds 1.8)
Stats Corners Combined Equal to 0 Sum
Stats Goals difference Away Equal to 1 Sum

 


Asian Handicap Strategies

Everybody like underdogs, especially we at BetBallers, thus the next three ones are underdog bets. We have excluded games with incomplete statistics or where the goal was scored within two minutes after the notification moment.

Home Losing by 1: +.0.5 Strategy

Results: 100-52 Win Rate 65.7% / ROI 18.26%

Time Period: 1st half

Type Event Team Equation Value Value type
Stats Goals difference Away Equal to 1 Sum
Stats Pressure Index (Last 20) Home More than equal to 66 %
Odds (Kick-off) 1×2 Home Less than, or equal to 5
Odds (Last) Asian Handicap Home Equal to 0.5 (Min.odds 1.8)


Home Losing by 2 +0.5 Strategy

Results: 50-30 | Win Rate 62.50% | ROI 12.50%

Time Period: 1st half

Type Event Team Equation Value Value type
Stats Goals difference Away Equal to 2 Sum
Stats Pressure Index (Last 20) Home More than equal to 55 %
Stats Total Shots Home More than equal to 0 Sum
Odds (Kick-off) 1×2 Home Less than equal to 6
Odds (Last) Asian Handicap Home Equal to 0.5 (Min.odds 1.8)

 


Away Losing by 1: +0.5 Strategy

Results: 62-38 | Win Rate 62% | ROI 11.60%

Time Period: 1st half

Type Event Team Equation Value Value type
Stats Goals difference Home Equal to 1 Sum
Stats Pressure Index (Last 20) Away More than equal to 70 %
Odds (Kick-off) 1×2 Away Less than equal to 4
Odds (Last) Asian Handicap Away Equal to 0.5 (Min.odds 1.8)

That’s about it for this time. Hopefully, you will get a great starting point to understanding possibilities of creating in-play alerts. We have always told you that it is possible to beat bookmakers if you have the right tools and knowledge. It is hard to spot value with the naked eye in most cases, but with the help of BetBallers, things will get a lot easier for you.
If you are new to BetBallers, we recommend starting with reading the following articles first:

Don’t wait any longer; join with BetBallers and set up notifications to boost your winnings! Bear in mind that the backtesting system is available only to users with an active Gold-Ballers subscription (incl. 1, 3, or 6 months), not including the 2-day Gold-Baller subscription. Notifications are available to all users with any Gold-Baller subscription.

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Latest updates

  • October 2022

    Two new significant features have been added to the app. From now on, it is possible to keep a record of teams better by adding match and team notes. You can add, edit and delete notes on the site or app as both results are synced. Set an alert to target specific odds and lines […]

  • July 2022

    Like fine wine, we are getting better over time – we have launched a new app with an improved user interface for a more efficient and better user experience. With a new code-base, it is way easier to add new features to the app; thus, let us know what should be the next feature to […]

  • April 2022

    Here’s the list of the most notable changes of April: Added a new button to copy rules from another notification Added the kick-off and starting odds of 1×2 to the backtesting export file Added the “Removed leagues” option to exclude leagues from the notification based on these values We increased the interval of sending alerts […]