| 29-07-2026 23:30 |
Liverpool |
- |
Wrexham |
Over 8.5 Corners |
73% |
Expected corners total of 9.15 (Liverpool home avg 6.00 + Wrexham away concede 5.20) exceeds the 8.5 line. Liverpool home matches over 8.5 corners in 4 of 6 (67%), Wrexham away in 5 of 7 (71%). The massive quality gap will see Liverpool dominate possession and force corners from sustained attacking pressure. |
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| 30-07-2026 00:00 |
UMECIT |
- |
Deportivo Saprissa |
Over 2.5 Goals |
74% |
Expected total 3.05 goals (home scored 1.70/home conceded 1.30; away scored 2.20/away conceded 0.90) exceeds 2.5 line by 0.55. Saprissa conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away matches showing defensive fragility, while UMECIT's GL_5 of 1.90 (accelerating) flags bookmaker mispricing. Quality gap between Saprissa and UMECIT supports an open game despite mixed match history. |
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| 30-07-2026 01:00 |
Utah Royals Women |
- |
Washington Spirit Women |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected full-time total 2.70 goals (home 1.70 scored + 1.10 conceded at home; away 1.50 scored + 1.10 conceded away) is close to the 2.75 line. Home matches show 3 of last 5 at home went over (totals 4,3,3), and Utah's overall goal line record is 4 wins in last 5, signaling an accelerating over trend. Home team's GL_5 variance of 2.00 indicates consistent bookmaker mispricing of Utah's matches towards unders, further supporting the over. Away Washington's 50% overs in away matches provides no contradiction. |
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| 30-07-2026 02:00 |
Alianza FC |
- |
Antigua GFC |
Over 0.75 Goals 1st Half |
80% |
Expected 1st half total 1.55 goals (home 0.70 scored + away 0.40 conceded / away 1.20 scored + home 0.80 conceded) vs line 0.75. Alianza's last 10 matches: 9/10 over 0.75 HT goals (90%), Antigua 6/10 over (60%). No H2H contradiction. Antigua's terrible away record suggests early vulnerability. |
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| 30-07-2026 08:00 |
Mallorca |
- |
Al Ittihad Jeddah |
Over 2.75 Goals |
69% |
Expected total 2.80 (home 1.60/1.00, away 1.60/1.40) vs line 2.75; 60% of Mallorca's last 10 and 60% of Al Ittihad's last 10 had 3+ goals; Mallorca scored 2+ in 4 of last 5 home games; Al Ittihad's goal line pricing error (GL_5 1.65) indicates the market frequently underestimates goal totals in their matches, supporting the over. |
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| 30-07-2026 16:00 |
SIF |
- |
FC Kiisto |
Over 1.25 1st Half Goals |
82% |
Expected 1st half total 2.05 vs line 1.25 (gap +0.80). SIF home HT overs 90% (9 of last 10), FC Kiisto away HT overs 78% (7 of last 9). H2H HT finished 1-2 with 3 goals. Bookmaker mispricing severe for Kiisto (GL_5 2.50) indicating consistent underestimation of goals. Confidence capped at 82% as H2H sample <3 matches limits tier elevation. |
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| 30-07-2026 16:00 |
SJK-j |
- |
Sporting Kristina |
Sporting Kristina +0.5 (Asian Handicap) |
75% |
Sporting Kristina have covered the +0.5 Asian Handicap in all 5 of their last 5 away matches (3 wins, 2 draws), while SJK-j have lost 3 of their last 5 home matches. The standings gap (6th vs 9th, 4 points) suggests a closely matched contest, and Sporting have outperformed SJK-j against common opponents, notably winning 4-1 away at VPV while SJK-j lost 0-2 at home to the same opponent. |
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| 30-07-2026 16:00 |
FC Ylivieska |
- |
VIFK |
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals |
69% |
Expected 1st half total: 1.95 goals (FC Ylivieska home HT avg 1.30 scored, 1.00 conceded; VIFK away HT avg 0.90 scored, 0.70 conceded). Home HT history 67% Over 1.5 (4/6), away HT history 67% Over 1.5 (2/3). Bookmaker mispricing: home GL_5 1.95 indicates large errors in goal lines, favoring Over. |
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| 30-07-2026 16:00 |
VPV Pallo-Veikot |
- |
LBK |
Over 1.75 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half goals: 2.05 (VPV home HF: 0.90 scored, 1.00 conceded; LBK away HF: 0.90 scored, 1.30 conceded) vs line 1.75. Home HF history 80% (4/5) with 2+ goals, away 67% (2/3). Likelihood 75% on Over 1.5. Away defensive fragility (2+ conceded in all 3 away matches) adds structural edge. |
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| 30-07-2026 17:00 |
FC Lasten |
- |
TPV II |
Over 1.5 First Half Goals |
82% |
Expected 1st half total 1.70 goals, exceeding the 1.5 line. FC Lasten’s home matches have gone Over 1.5 HT goals in all 5 (2.0+ average), and TPV II away has 3 of 5 Over. Moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.6 home, 1.8 away) supports the Over, with FC Lasten pressing early at home a structural signal. |
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| 30-07-2026 17:00 |
PPJ/Lauttasaari |
- |
LPS Helsinki |
Over 4.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 5.9 (home 4.4 scored/home, away 2.6 conceded/away, away 3.1 scored/away, home 1.7 conceded/home) far exceeds the 4.75 line. PPJ's home overs at 75% and LPS's away defensive fragility (2+ conceded in 3 of last 4 away) support the Over. Significant bookmaker mispricing (home GL5 1.65, away GL5 2.20) adds edge, with H2H neutral. |
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| 30-07-2026 17:00 |
FC Andorra |
- |
CE Europa |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.05 (home scored 1.90, conceded 1.00; away scored 1.50, conceded 1.70) comfortably above 2.5 line. CE Europa has 6/10 recent matches over 2.5, and their away defence is fragile — conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away games. Both H2H meetings were overs (3-2, 3-1). Strong bookmaker mispricing: FC Andorra GL_5 1.90, CE Europa GL_5 2.05, both accelerating — consistent error in goal line pricing. |
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| 30-07-2026 17:45 |
PAOK Salonika |
- |
Dynamo Kiev |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT goals (A1) = (2.50+1.20)/2 + (1.90+1.60)/2 = 3.60, far above the 2.5 line. PAOK home: 6/7 matches over 2.5; Dynamo away: 3/4 over 2.5. Dynamo conceded 2+ in all 4 away matches. Both teams' GL_5 >1.8 (PAOK 1.95, Dynamo 2.35) with accelerating trends, indicating strong bookmaker mispricing. H2H: 5 goals. Raw score 99% capped at standard 82% ceiling. |
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| 30-07-2026 23:30 |
Sunderland |
- |
Leeds |
Over 2.75 Goals |
77% |
Expected total 3.35 (Home: 1.90 scored, 1.80 conceded; Away: 1.60 scored, 1.40 conceded) far exceeds the 2.75 line. Leeds away matches hit Over 2.75 in 67% (4/6) and conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 6 aways, showing defensive fragility. Sunderland's market pricing error GL_5 is 2.05 (strong mispricing, accelerating), adding confidence to the Over. |
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