| 24-05-2026 22:00 |
San Martin de Tucuman |
- |
CA Atlanta |
Over 1.5,2.0 Goals |
81% |
Expected full-time goals from averages is 1.85, above the 1.75 line, and match potential is 4.31, strongly supporting Over. San Martin's home matches went Over in 75% (3/4) and Atlanta's away matches in 80% (4/5), with the only H2H also Over (4-0). Home team's goal-line mispricing (GL_5=1.50, accelerating) adds further edge. |
|
| 24-05-2026 22:00 |
Montego Bay Utd |
- |
Mount Pleasant FA |
Mount Pleasant FA 0 (Asian Handicap) |
72% |
Montego Bay Utd at home average 2.5 goals scored but only 1.5 conceded, while Mount Pleasant away average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded, yielding an expected FT total of 3.40 goals vs the 2.0 line. However, the away team’s match history shows only 25% of their away games going Over 2.0 (1 of 4), actively contradicting the Over and disqualifying it per the requirement that the other team be at least 50%+ aligned. The HT goal line also fails for the same reason. In Asian Handicap, Mount Pleasant are top of the table (74 pts vs 71) and have dominant AH form (4-1 in last 5) plus a perfect 2-0 H2H record (both wins by 1-goal margins), giving them the edge at pick’em odds of 1.90. |
|
| 24-05-2026 22:00 |
Paradise SC |
- |
Brittons Hill |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
72% |
Expected total 3.70 (Paradise 2.60 at home, Brittons 1.40 conceded away; Brittons 1.90 scored away, Paradise 1.50 conceded home) exceeds the 3.25 line by 0.45. Brittons Hill have conceded 2+ goals in 4/5 away matches (80%), a strong structural Over signal. Paradise SC's home goals average (2.6) and bookmaker mispricing (GL_5=1.80, accelerating) further support the Over. Historical home/away counts show mixed but overall tendency leans over based on averages and defensive fragility. |
|
| 24-05-2026 22:00 |
SV Estrella |
- |
SV River Plate |
Over 4.0 Goals |
74% |
Expected total (4.70) derived from home avg scored 1.70 + away conceded 2.30 and away scored 2.00 + home conceded 3.40, yielding a 0.70 goal gap above the 4.0 line. Home team has severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5=2.55, accelerating) adding 6% edge. Away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away) supports Over. Despite weak match history (33% home, 37.5% away over 4.0), the structural and variance signals justify the Over pick. |
|
| 24-05-2026 23:00 |
San Diego Wave Women |
- |
Orlando Pride Women |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
72% |
Expected total goals 2.90 (San Diego 1.70 at home + Orlando 1.60 conceded away averaged with Orlando 1.40 away + San Diego 1.10 conceded at home) exceeds the effective line of 2.75. Both teams show 60% Over in their last 5 matches, and H2H (1-2) also went Over. Orlando conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches (defensive fragility) and their GL_5 variance of 1.95 (accelerating from 1.45) indicates persistent bookmaker mispricing on the Over side. |
|
| 25-05-2026 00:00 |
SV Caiquetio |
- |
SV Brazil Juniors |
SV Caiquetio (Asian Handicap 0) |
65% |
SV Caiquetio unbeaten in last 7 matches (4 wins, 3 draws) and covers the Asian Handicap 0 in 3 of last 5 (100% win rate excluding voids). SV Brazil Juniors have no wins in their last 6 matches (0-5-1) and lost both recent away games, showing poor form. The handicap line is set at 0 with home odds 1.825, offering value on the home side's strong recent record. |
|
| 25-05-2026 01:00 |
Cavalier |
- |
Portmore United |
Over 8.5 Corners |
68% |
Expected total corners is 9.1 (home avg 4.4 + conceded 5.2; away avg 3.9 + conceded 4.7) vs line 8.5, gap +0.6. Home corner history shows 80% Over (4/5 home matches exceeded 8.5), away corner history 60% Over (3/5 away). Likelihood of Over 8.5 is 75%. Although H2H corners have 2 of 3 Under, the overall structural and historical support for Over is stronger. Moderate bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.00, away GL_5 1.20) not a factor. |
|
| 25-05-2026 07:30 |
Paju Frontier FC |
- |
Gimpo FC |
Over 0.5,1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half total of 1.30 goals (Paju 0.83 avg scored at home + Gimpo 0.50 avg conceded away = 0.665; Gimpo 0.60 avg scored away + Paju 0.67 avg conceded at home = 0.635) significantly exceeds the 0.75 line by 0.55. Home team has gone Over in 4/6 1st halves (67%), away in 7/10 (70%). Bookmaker mispricing is mild but accelerating for Paju (GL_5 1.45). The structural scoring pattern supports an early goal or two. |
|
| 25-05-2026 09:30 |
South Melbourne |
- |
Avondale |
Under 10.5 Corners |
82% |
Both teams' recent matches show a strong tendency toward low corner totals: South Melbourne's home matches have seen under 10.5 corners in 5 of 7 (71.4%), Avondale's away matches in 3 of 4 (75%), and all 3 H2H meetings also stayed under 10.5. The expected corner total of 9.15 (based on season averages) sits well below the 10.5 line. Bookmaker mispricing is not a factor here, but the consistency of the pattern across all data sources provides high confidence. |
|
| 25-05-2026 12:00 |
Vålerenga 2 |
- |
Heming |
Over 3.75 Goals |
70% |
Expected total of 4.27 goals (home 2.80 scored + 2.30 conceded vs away 1.43 scored + 2.00 conceded) well above the 3.75 line. Home team went Over in all 3 home matches (100%) and away team in 2 of 3 away (67%), while away team's moderate goal line mispricing (GL_5=1.60) adds further edge to Over. |
|
| 25-05-2026 12:00 |
Vanløse |
- |
Næsby |
Over 8.5 Corners |
82% |
Expected total corners of 9.15 (Vanløse home avg 2.7, concede 5.0; Næsby away avg 6.1, concede 4.5) exceeds the 8.5 line. Næsby's recent matches show 60% Over 8.5 corners (6/10), while Vanløse home matches concede 5.0 corners per game, creating a structural Over signal. Severe market mispricing on corners (Næsby AC_5=4.60, home AC_5=2.00) further supports an Over selection. |
|
| 25-05-2026 12:00 |
Welwalo Adigrat |
- |
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC |
Over 1.5,2.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 2.10 goals based on averages (1.10+1.20)/2 + (1.00+0.90)/2 exceeds the line of 1.75. Welwalo at home have 75% Over (3/4 matches) and Mekelle away have 80% Over (4/5), with home team GL_5 of 2.20 showing strong bookmaker mispricing. The shot-based match potential of 3.60 confirms the Over is well-supported. |
|
| 25-05-2026 12:00 |
Hong Kong FC U22 |
- |
Kitchee U22 |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
66% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.65 (home HT avg 1.00, away HT conceded avg 0.80, away HT avg 1.20, home HT conceded 0.30) exceeding the 1.25 line by 0.40. Kitchee U22 (away) have gone Over 1.25 in 7 of their last 10 1st halves (70% agreement), providing a strong signal. Although H2H is neutral (1 of 2 matches Over), the consistent away HT scoring pattern supports an Over pick, and market pricing error is mild (home GL_5 1.15) but not relied upon. |
|
| 25-05-2026 13:00 |
Brattvåg |
- |
Notodden |
Over 2.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total of 3.15 goals (Brattvåg 2.0 scored at home, Notodden 1.5 conceded away; Notodden 1.9 scored away, Brattvåg 0.9 conceded at home) exceeds the effective line of 2.75. Both H2H matches finished Over (6 and 3 total goals), and Notodden's away games show 62.5% Over (5/8). Brattvåg's home attacking form is strong (scored 2+ in 4 of last 5 home league games), while market mispricing on Brattvåg (GL_5 1.80, accelerating) further supports an Over outcome. |
|
| 25-05-2026 13:00 |
Lysekloster |
- |
Arendal |
Over 3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected total of 3.35 (home avg 1.70 at home, away conceded away 1.90; away avg 1.20, home conceded at home 1.90) exceeds the line of 3.0. Lysekloster has 60% of recent matches Over 3.0, while Arendal's away defensive fragility is clear (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 away matches). H2H both meetings had 3+ goals, supporting the Over. |
|
| 25-05-2026 13:00 |
Junkeren |
- |
Ullensaker/Kisa |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.45 goals from averages (Junkeren home 1.60 + Ullensaker/Kisa away conceded 3.60) /2 + (Ullensaker/Kisa away scored 2.20 + Junkeren home conceded 1.50)/2. Full-time match history shows Ullensaker/Kisa have gone Over in 4/4 away matches (100%), and match potential (42/5.70=7.37) strongly supports Over. Bookmaker mispricing is strong (away GL_5=2.10, home GL_5=1.65), and structural context includes away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in all 4 away games). Full-time confidence 82% vs 1st half 78% due to Junkeren's poor 1st half home scoring record. |
|
| 25-05-2026 14:00 |
Eb/Streymur |
- |
NSI Runavik |
Over 3.5 Goals |
75% |
Expected full-time total 3.15 (home 1.00 scored + 1.60 conceded, away 2.40 scored + 1.30 conceded averaged) is below the 3.5 line, but shot-based match potential of 5.81 suggests higher goal output. NSI Runavik has 80% (4/5) of away matches over 3.5, and structural signals are strong: quality gap (1st vs 10th), away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away), and attacking form (scored 2+ in 4 of 5 away). H2H is 2/3 over. Despite Eb/Streymur's 0/5 home under record, the overwhelming away-side factors and over-first philosophy favor the Over. Market pricing error is moderate (GL_5 home 1.75, away 1.70) but does not add edge for Over. |
|
| 25-05-2026 14:00 |
Lørenskog |
- |
Levanger |
Levanger +0.25 Asian Handicap |
72% |
Levanger (4th, 15 pts) visits Lørenskog (6th, 13 pts) with a modest standings edge. Levanger's Asian Handicap record shows 4 wins in last 5, and their recent margin history indicates they would have covered +0.25 in 4 of the last 5 matches (4 wins and one half-loss). Lørenskog's AH record is weaker at 3-2 in last 5. With H2H empty and no strong structural counter-signals, Levanger +0.25 offers solid value at 1.80. |
|
| 25-05-2026 15:00 |
USM Khenchela |
- |
USM Alger |
Over 2.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.45 (home avg 1.60 + away concede 1.70 = 3.30/2=1.65, plus away avg 2.10 + home concede 1.50 = 3.60/2=1.80) vs line 2.0 gives 1.45-goal gap. Home history 8/10 Over (80%), away GL_5=1.80 (accelerating) indicates bookmaker mispricing. Shot-based match_potential 8.23 confirms high scoring potential. Despite away history only 40% Over, the strong expected total and market error favor Over. |
|
| 25-05-2026 15:00 |
Stade Gabesien |
- |
Tataouine |
Over 2.0 Goals |
75% |
Expected total 2.50 (Stade Gabesien home avg 1.70, conceded 1.20; Tataouine away avg 1.20, conceded 0.90) exceeds the 2.0 line by 0.5 goals. Home team has 60% of last 10 matches over 2.0, while strong home GL_5 mispricing (2.10, accelerating) adds significant edge. Both teams are in the promotion race, creating a high-tempo contest likely to produce goals. |
|
| 25-05-2026 16:00 |
Johvi FC Phoenix |
- |
Parnu JK Vaprus II |
Over 3.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals from averages is 4.85, well above the 3.75 line. Both teams have 60% of their last 10 matches going over 3.75, and the H2H produced 4 goals. Structurally, away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away) and home attacking form (scored 2+ in each of last 3 home) support Over. Market pricing error is high for away (GL_5 2.25) and moderate for home (GL_5 1.50), indicating bookmaker underestimation of goals. |
|
| 25-05-2026 16:00 |
FK Union Carl Berner |
- |
Ullern |
Over 4.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected total (home avg 2.29 at home + away away conceded 2.60 -> 3.96) is just below the 4.0 line, but Over-first philosophy and strong structural factors support Over: Ullern have conceded 2+ goals in all 3 away matches (100% fragility) and sit 14th in the table (4 pts) vs 5th-placed FK Union (12 pts). Away record is 66.7% Over in their 3 away matches, while home GL_5 of 2.25 indicates severe bookmaker mispricing. Confidence 68% (base 50% + away history +5%, structural +10%, likelihood +3%). |
|
| 25-05-2026 16:00 |
Asker |
- |
Gamle Oslo |
Over 4.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals (5.45) far exceeds the 4.25 line, derived from Asker's home average of 2.7 scored vs Gamle Oslo's away average of 2.7 conceded and Gamle Oslo's away average of 3.7 scored vs Asker's home average of 1.8 conceded. Asker's last 5 home matches (80% Over 4.25) and Gamle Oslo's away matches (80%+ Over) strongly align. Market mispricing is significant: Asker GL_5=1.55 (accelerating) and Gamle Oslo GL_5=1.85 (strong), both supporting the Over direction. Structural quality and attacking records (Asker 27 goals, Gamle Oslo 30) further back this pick. |
|
| 25-05-2026 16:00 |
Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
- |
Hapoel Kfar Shalem |
Over 3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected total from averages is 3.55 (home 1.2+away conceded 2.2)/2 + (away 1.8+home conceded 1.9)/2, exceeding the 3.0 line. Match potential from shots/goal frequency is 6.48, strongly indicating multiple goals. Away Kfar Shalem has 60% of recent matches over 3.0 and their goal line mispricing is moderate (GL_5=1.55), adding edge. Despite H2H showing only 1 over in 3, the overall attacking/defensive numbers favor an Over outcome. |
|
| 25-05-2026 16:00 |
Manama |
- |
Al Ittihad |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 3.95 goals from (2.40+1.40)/2 + (2.80+1.30)/2, well above the line of 2.75. Home team Manama has 66.7% of recent matches going over 2.75 goals (6/9), while away team Al Ittihad has 90% (9/10). H2H shows one over and one under, neutral but not contradicting. Bookmaker mispricing is severe for Manama (GL_5=2.10, accelerating) and moderate for Al Ittihad (GL_5=1.60, accelerating), both aligning with the over direction. Structurally, Al Ittihad has conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility. Both teams have scored in all but one of their recent matches, further supporting an over outcome. |
|
| 25-05-2026 16:00 |
RFS |
- |
Tukums 2000 |
Over 3.5 Goals |
72% |
Expected total goals 3.60 (RFS home avg 2.50, Tukums away conceded 1.90, Tukums away scored 2.00, RFS home conceded 0.80) and match potential 3.87 from shot data both exceed the 3.5 line. RFS home matches have 60% (3/5) over 3.5, while Tukums away have 50% (2/4), and RFS are top of the table with a dominant home form (scored 2+ in last 3 home matches). Bookmaker mispricing is moderate (RFS GL_5 1.75, Tukums GL_5 1.80) and Tukums have conceded 2+ goals in 60% of recent away games, supporting additional goals. |
|
| 25-05-2026 16:15 |
B68 Toftir |
- |
HB Torshavn |
Over 3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 3.60 (from (1.30+1.70)/2 + (1.70+2.50)/2) exceeds the 3.0 line. H2H shows all 3 meetings went over 3 goals (4, 6, 5). HB Torshavn have conceded 2+ in all 3 recent away matches (at NSI, at B68, at Eb/Streymur), indicating defensive fragility. B68 average 2.50 goals conceded at home, reinforcing the over. Likelihood supports 70% for Over 2.5. Confidence: 50% base +5% gap +5% H2H +3% likelihood +5% structural = 68%. |
|
| 25-05-2026 17:00 |
Dinamo Batumi |
- |
FC Rustavi |
Over 2.25 Goals |
72% |
Expected total of 2.75 goals (home avg 1.50 at home + away conceded 0.80 away → 1.15; away avg 1.40 away + home conceded 1.80 → 1.60) exceeds the 2.25 line by 0.5. Dinamo Batumi have 9 of their last 10 matches going Over 2.5 (including 3-1, 4-1, 2-2), and the sole H2H match also had 3 goals. Although Rustavi's away record is mixed, the structural edge from Batumi's home attacking form (scored 2+ in 4 of last 5 home) and the expected total gap support an Over. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (home GL_5 0.85, away 1.15), not enough to adjust confidence significantly. |
|
| 25-05-2026 17:00 |
Elfsborg |
- |
BK Hacken |
Over 2.5 Goals |
68% |
Expected total of 3.0 from (1.4+1.6)/2 + (2.0+1.0)/2 exceeds the 2.5 line by 0.5 goals. BK Hacken concede 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches, a structural Over signal. Their GL_5 variance of 1.75 (accelerating) indicates systematic bookmaker mispricing, adding edge to the Over. |
|
| 25-05-2026 17:00 |
ZED FC |
- |
El Masry |
Over 0.75 First Half Goals |
75% |
Expected 1st half goals of 1.30 (home 0.8 + away conceded 0.6 avg, away 0.5 + home conceded 0.7 avg) exceed the 0.75 line by 0.55 goals. Both teams show strong 1st half Over trends: ZED FC have 80% (8/10) and El Masry have 60% (6/10) of their recent matches going Over the 0.75 line. The home team's 80% HT Over rate and the gap from the expected total provide solid value, with market mispricing of 1.75 on the FT line suggesting the bookmaker may also underestimate first-half scoring. |
|
| 25-05-2026 17:05 |
IFK Norrkoping |
- |
Osters IF |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.50 (home avg 1.60 + away conceded 2.60 averaged with away avg 1.50 + home conceded 1.30) exceeds the 3.0 line. Osters IF have conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches (80% defensive fragility), and their severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5=2.05, accelerating) adds further Over value. Away team history shows 60% of last 5 matches going Over 3.0, while structural signals support goals despite Norrkoping's mixed home record. |
|
| 25-05-2026 17:25 |
Al Tadamon SC |
- |
Al Qadsia SC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
79% |
Expected total (3.10) exceeds line (2.75) by 0.35 goals, based on home scoring 1.20/game at home and conceding 2.20, away scoring 1.60/game away and conceding 1.20. Home team has 7/10 (70%) Over in recent matches, while away defensive fragility is evident (conceded 2+ in 4/5 away). Bookmaker mispricing moderate (home GL_5 1.60). Structural factors (quality gap, both teams need points) support an open game. |
|
| 25-05-2026 18:45 |
Treaty United FC |
- |
Cork City |
Treaty United +1 (Asian Handicap) |
75% |
Treaty United have covered the +1 handicap in 4 of their last 5 home matches (80%), while Cork City have failed to cover -1 away in 2 of their last 4. The home team's strong AH record at home, combined with Cork's inconsistency on the road, gives Treaty +1 solid value despite the standings gap. No H2H data available, but the recent margin history supports this selection. |
|
| 25-05-2026 22:30 |
General Caballero JLM |
- |
Guairena FC |
Over 2.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals calculated at 3.50 (home 2.20+away conceded 1.40)/2 + (away 1.60+home conceded 1.80)/2, well above the 2.25 line (+1.25 gap). General Caballero JLM's last 10 matches have 70% over 2.5 goals (7 of 10), including 4-2, 3-2, and 6-2 wins. Home GL_5 mispricing is 1.90 (strong), indicating bookmaker underestimation of goals, and the quality gap (home 2nd vs away 7th) plus home form surge support Over. |
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