| 30-08-2026 11:30 |
China Division 1 |
Guangdong GZ-Power |
- |
Changchun Yatai |
Over 3.0 Goals |
65% |
Expected total (2.10+1.80)/2 + (2.10+0.80)/2 = 3.40 vs 3.00 line. Changchun conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches (Shaanxi 2-1, Suzhou 2-1, Dingnan 2-3, Ningbo 3-1) and their last 10 are 5 over/5 push/0 under on this total. Mutual-opponent total is 3.34; score: Base 50 + gap +5 + home hist 0 + away hist 0 + H2H 0 + common opp +5 + likelihood 0 + GL_5 0 + away fragility +5 = 65. |
|
| 30-08-2026 11:30 |
Estonia Meistriliiga |
JK Nomme Kalju |
- |
FC Levadia Tallinn |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
82% |
FT expected 3.50 goals (home 1.70 for/1.30 against, away 3.20 for/0.80 against) vs a 2.75 line; 1H expected 1.80 vs 1.25 but the FT gap is larger. Away 9/10 over 2.5 goals, home 5/10, mutual opponents combined total 3.15, home GL_5 1.55 bookmaker mispricing; H2H mixed (2 of 3 under) — raw 83.5 capped at 82. |
|
| 30-08-2026 11:30 |
Germany Bundesliga II |
Magdeburg |
- |
Holstein Kiel |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
72% |
1st half expected total is 1.95 vs 1.25 line (A_ht=1.10, B_ht=1.10, C_ht=0.80, D_ht=0.90). Holstein Kiel are 7/10 (70%) over 1.25 first-half goals away, Magdeburg 5/10 (50%), satisfying the Over criteria; last H2H 2026-05-09 had 0-2 at half-time. Confidence: base 50% +14% gap +8% away history = 72%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 11:30 |
Germany Bundesliga II |
Darmstadt |
- |
Hannover 96 |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
78% |
Expected 1st-half total = (0.90+0.60)/2 + (1.30+1.00)/2 = 1.90 goals vs line 1.25, a 0.65-goal edge. Darmstadt home matches cleared 1.25 HT goals in 6 of 10 (60%) and Hannover away in 5 of 10 (50%), while bookmaker mispricing is moderate and accelerating (home GL_5 1.80, away 1.75). Full-time expected total is 3.55 vs line 3.0 but match-history support is weaker (40%/50%), so the 1st-half over is the strongest bet. |
|
| 30-08-2026 11:30 |
Germany 3. Liga |
Saarbrucken |
- |
Hansa Rostock |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total FT = (1.70+2.40)/2 + (2.20+1.40)/2 = 3.85 vs line 3.0 (+0.85), and shot-based match potential also clears the line. Saarbrucken are 3 of last 5 over 3.0, while Hansa Rostock's last 5 produced 4 overs (1 push) and they conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away; home GL_5 2.40 (accelerating) indicates bookmaker mispricing aligned with Over. Raw confidence 94% capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 11:30 |
Estonia Meistriliiga |
JK Nomme Kalju |
- |
FC Levadia Tallinn |
1st Half Over 1.25 Goals |
73% |
FT Over 3.0 was vetoed by H2H (0/3 over 3). 1H expected total is 1.80 vs 1.25 line: Kalju home 1H avg 1.0 scored/0.7 conceded, Levadia away 1H avg 1.6 scored/0.3 conceded. Levadia 6/10 and Kalju 5/10 over 1.25 1H, plus away-dominant quality gap and home GL_5 1.55 moderate mispricing; confidence 72.5% rounded to 73 (50 base +10 gap +5 away history +5 structural +2.5 GL_5 partial). |
|
| 30-08-2026 12:00 |
Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
Konnerud |
- |
Baerum |
Over 4.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total 5.35 vs line 4.5 (home scored 1.50 at home, away conceded 2.00 away, away scored 3.90 away, home conceded 3.30 at home). Baerum are 7/10 over 4.5 in their last 10, H2H was 7-2, and bookmaker mispricing is strong (home GL_5 1.75, away GL_5 2.00). Breakdown: Base 50 + gap 15 + home history 0 + away history 8 + H2H 0 + common opponents -5 + likelihood 3 + GL_5 home 5 + GL_5 away 8 + structural 0 = 84 capped at 82. |
|
| 30-08-2026 12:00 |
Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
Eidsvold TF |
- |
Grorud |
Over 3.25 Goals |
79% |
Expected FT total = (3.40+1.00)/2 + (2.20+1.30)/2 = 3.95 vs line 3.25. Eidsvold last 10: 7/10 Over 3.25; Grorud last 10: 3/10; H2H 2 matches neutral (0-0, 4-0). Confidence: 50% base +10% gap +8% home history +0% away +0% H2H -5% common opponents +0% likelihood +5% home GL5 +8% away GL5 (2.40, accelerating) +3% form momentum = 79%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 12:00 |
Estonia Esiliiga |
JK Nomme United II |
- |
FC Elva |
FC Elva -0.25 Asian Handicap |
67% |
FC Elva sit 4th (38 pts) vs 8th-placed JK Nomme United II (27 pts) and hold a 5/5 mutual-opponent stat advantage (goals NET +0.43 vs -0.70). Elva's last-5 Asian Handicap record is 3W-2L versus Nomme's 2W-3L, giving 2 of 3 qualifying signals; H2H is only 2 matches (both Nomme wins) so treated as neutral. |
|
| 30-08-2026 12:00 |
Estonia Esiliiga B |
JK Tallinna Kalev II |
- |
JK Viljandi Tulevik |
Over 1.5,2.0 First Half Goals |
80% |
Expected first-half total is 2.10 ((1.40+0.90)/2 + (1.00+0.90)/2) vs the 1.5/2.0 line; home Kalev II went over 1.75 in 7 of 10 last HT matches (70%), while away Tulevik are 4/10 (40%). Away Viljandi Tulevik show severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.50, accelerating) and home Kalev II GL_5 1.50, both pointing Over; scoring: base 50 + gap 5 + home HT history 8 + home GL 5 + away GL 12 = 80%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 12:00 |
Denmark Division 2 |
Skive |
- |
Naestved |
Over 2.5 Goals |
67% |
Expected total is 3.05 (home scored/conceded 1.60/1.60, away scored/conceded 1.40/1.50) vs 2.5 line. Mutual-opponent total is 3.08 and shot-based potential is 5.83, both supporting Over; Naestved conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away matches (5-2, 2-2, 4-2). Home/away Over 2.5 records are 3/10 and 5/10, so confidence is moderate at 67%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 12:30 |
Poland I Liga |
Arka Gdynia |
- |
Polonia Bytom |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is (1.40+2.70)/2 + (2.20+1.30)/2 = 3.80 vs line 2.75, a +1.05 gap. Polonia Bytom have hit over 2.75 in 10/10 matches and conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away (5-2, 2-1, 3-2, 4-1); Arka are 3rd home (2-0-0, 7-0 goals) vs Polonia 17th away (0-0-2, 3-7), and Polonia's GL_5 mispricing is 2.20. Raw score 89 capped at 82. |
|
| 30-08-2026 13:00 |
Sweden Superettan |
Varbergs BoIS FC |
- |
IK Oddevold |
Over 2.5 Goals |
69% |
Expected full-time total = (1.60+1.30)/2 + (1.60+1.50)/2 = 3.00 vs 2.5 line, a +0.50 gap. Varbergs are 6/10 over 2.5, mutual opponents combine for 3.51 total goals, and Oddevold's GL_5 is 2.25, indicating strong bookmaker mispricing; H2H is 2 of 3 under (0-0, 1-1, 2-4). Confidence: base 50 + gap 10 + home history 5 + H2H -5 + common opponents 5 + away pricing error 4 = 69%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 13:00 |
Denmark Division 1 |
Esbjerg |
- |
Vendsyssel FF |
Vendsyssel FF +0.25 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Vendsyssel sit 9th (5 pts) vs Esbjerg 10th (4 pts) and have covered the Asian Handicap in 7 of their last 10 (3 of last 5), while Esbjerg have covered just 3 of 10. Against shared opponents Vendsyssel are unbeaten (2W2D) with a +1.25 goal net compared to Esbjerg's -0.17, supporting the away +0.25 at 1.90. |
|
| 30-08-2026 13:00 |
Czechia First League |
Slovan Liberec |
- |
Hradec Kralove |
Slovan Liberec -0.75 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Liberec covered the Asian Handicap in 7 of their last 10 matches (70%), and mutual-opponent aggregates show a 4-1 stat edge: goals net +0.6 vs +0.22, shots net +5.0, on-target net +2.6, dangerous-attacks net +3.2. Hradec also covers well (8-2 last 10), but no standings data is available and H2H is not clearly supportive, so confidence is capped at 65. |
|
| 30-08-2026 13:00 |
Paraguay Division Intermedia |
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes |
- |
Carapegua |
Over 1.0 Goals - 1st Half |
66% |
Expected 1H total 1.40 (home 0.80 GF/0.50 GC, away 0.60 GF/0.90 GC) vs 1.0 line, +0.40 gap. Carapegua conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away and home GL_5 1.75 shows moderate bookmaker mispricing; no H2H data. FT expected total exactly 2.75, so the first-half Over 1.0 is the clearer value. |
|
| 30-08-2026 14:00 |
Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
Lokomotiv Oslo |
- |
Ullern |
Over 4.0 Goals |
71% |
FT expected total is 4.40 (home 1.50 scored/3.30 conceded at home; away 1.80 scored/2.20 conceded away), 0.40 above the 4.0 line. Home are 6/9 over 4.0 excluding one push (67%) and away 5/8 (63%), the only H2H finished with 7 goals, and home GL_5 is 1.60; away defensive fragility (2+ conceded in 3 of last 4 away) supports Over. |
|
| 30-08-2026 14:00 |
Scotland Premiership |
Dundee |
- |
Hibernian |
Over 2.5 Goals |
74% |
Expected full-time total is 2.85 ((1.90+1.10)/2 + (1.40+1.30)/2) versus a 2.5 line. Both recent records support Over: 6/10 Dundee and 6/10 Hibernian matches went over 2.5, and mutual opponents combined total 2.64 clears the line; H2H is split (3-3 over, 2-0 under). Hibernian conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away (Malisheva 2-0, Aberdeen 2-0, Falkirk 4-1), and their goal-line market pricing error GL_5 is 1.95 (strong, accelerating). |
|
| 30-08-2026 14:00 |
Scotland Premiership |
St Mirren |
- |
Motherwell |
Over 2.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected FT total is 3.15 against the 2.5 line (St Mirren home 2.20 scored/1.20 conceded; Motherwell away 1.50 scored/1.40 conceded), a +0.65 gap. Bookmaker mispricing is elevated and accelerating in the over direction (home GL_5 2.30, away GL_5 1.80). H2H is a small neutral sample (0-5, 2-0), and while mutual opponents total 2.02 is below the line, the expected-goals and pricing-error signals support the over. |
|
| 30-08-2026 14:00 |
England League 1 |
Mansfield |
- |
Luton |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total is 3.50 (home 1.90 scored/1.80 conceded, away 2.00 scored/1.30 conceded) vs line 2.75, a +0.75 gap. Mansfield's last 5 all produced 3+ total goals and Luton are 3/5 over 2.75, while Luton conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away matches (Chelsea 2, Reading 3, Barnet 2, Bolton 2). Mutual opponents total of 3.05 supports over, H2H is neutral (2-2, 0-2), and Luton's GL_5 of 1.80 is a moderate bookmaker-mispricing edge; capped at the standard 82% ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 14:00 |
Sweden 1.div Södra |
Trelleborgs FF |
- |
Utsiktens BK |
Over 3.5 Goals |
77% |
Trelleborgs have gone over 3.5 in 4/5 home matches (avg total 4.0) and Utsiktens in 3/5 away matches (avg total 3.8), while Utsiktens conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away games and 8.38 c_avg_on_target against common opponents. Quality gap 1st vs 16th and mutual-opponents total 3.51 vs line 3.5 support over; H2H is only two matches (0-0, 3-1), so neutral. |
|
| 30-08-2026 14:00 |
Denmark Superligaen |
Randers FC |
- |
AGF Aarhus |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.50 (A=1.60, B=2.30, C=1.50, D=1.60) vs line 2.75; home 6/10 and away 9/10 recent matches over 2.75, with H2H also 3 goals. AGF have conceded 2+ in all of their last 5 away games and average 2.30 conceded away. Raw score 88% capped at standard 82% ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 14:00 |
Belgium First Division B |
Excelsior Virton |
- |
Francs Borains |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.25 vs 2.5 line (A=1.80, B=1.30, C=2.00, D=1.40) with a 0.75-goal edge. Both teams are 60% over 2.5 in their last 10 in role, mutual-opponent totals average 2.75, and Excelsior Virton show strong home scoring form (9W1D, 24 goals in 10 home games). No H2H data; raw score 86% capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 14:00 |
Germany Bundesliga Women |
Bayer Leverkusen Women |
- |
Wolfsburg Women |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total = (2.80+1.80)/2+(2.40+0.80)/2=3.90 vs line 3.0; Bayer 6/10 recent overs, Wolfsburg 7/10 overs, mutual opponents total 4.2. Wolfsburg conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away, market pricing error high (home GL5 1.50, away GL5 1.85); raw score 104 capped at standard ceiling 82. |
|
| 30-08-2026 14:15 |
Norway Division 3 Group 2 |
Melhus |
- |
Strindheim |
Over 3.5/4.0 Goals |
80% |
Full-time expected total 4.10 (home 2.60 scored/1.50 conceded at home, away 2.20 scored/1.90 conceded away) vs split line 3.5/4.0. Home 6/10 and away 6/10 exceed 3.5; H2H one match 2-1 total 3 neutral; mutual total 4.46 clears. Scoring: Base 50% + gap +7% + home history +5% + away history +5% + common +5% + GL_5 home +8% = 80% (H2H +0%, likelihood +0%, GL_5 away +0%, structural +0% excluded via stacking). |
|
| 30-08-2026 14:30 |
Switzerland Super League |
FC Vaduz |
- |
Grasshoppers |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 3.70 vs a 3.0 line (Vaduz home: 2.10 scored/1.80 conceded; Grasshoppers away: 1.60 scored/1.90 conceded). Vaduz have gone over 3.0 in 6/10 matches and Grasshoppers in 5/10, with Grasshoppers showing away defensive fragility (3+ of last 5 away conceded 2+). Scoring: 50 base +14 gap +5 home history +0 away history +0 H2H +0 common opponents +0 likelihood +5 home GL5 bookmaker mispricing (1.60) +0 away GL5 +5 away fragility +3 form momentum = 82%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 14:30 |
Germany 3. Liga |
TSV Havelse |
- |
Waldhof Mannheim |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time goals 3.90 (A=1.6, B=1.8, C=2.0, D=2.4) vs line 3.25, gap +0.65. Both teams 6 of 10 matches over 3.25; H2H 2/2 over (4 and 5 total goals); mutual opponent total 3.72; away conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away (5,2,3,4); home GL_5 1.85 strong bookmaker mispricing. Score: 50 base +10 gap +5 home history +5 common opponents +8 GL_5 home +5 away fragility = 83 raw, capped at standard 82. |
|
| 30-08-2026 14:45 |
Netherlands Eredivisie |
Telstar |
- |
Ajax |
Over 4.5 1st Half Corners |
82% |
Expected 1H corners 6.05 vs line 4.5: Telstar 1H corners 1.90 for/3.60 conceded, Ajax 1H corners 5.40 for/1.20 conceded. Out of last 10, Telstar's matches went over 4.5 1H corners 60% (6/10) and Ajax's 90% (9/10). Eredivisie tempo and Ajax's away 1H corner rate support Over 4.5, with no H2H 1H corner data. |
|
| 30-08-2026 14:45 |
Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
VVV |
- |
FC Emmen |
Over 1.0,1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st-half total is 1.85 (VVV 0.80 scored at home HT / FC Emmen 1.20 conceded away HT; FC Emmen 0.70 scored away HT / VVV 1.00 conceded home HT) vs 1.0/1.5 line, a +0.60 gap. VVV are 6/10 over 1.25 home first halves and FC Emmen are 7/10 over 1.25 away first halves. Scoring: Base 50% + gap 10% + home HT history 5% + away HT history 8% + H2H 0% + structural 0% + GL_5 home 8% + GL_5 away 8% = 89% capped at 82% standard ceiling; market pricing error GL_5 home 1.90 and away 2.15 both point over. |
|
| 30-08-2026 15:00 |
Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
Derry City |
- |
Shamrock Rovers |
Over 9 Corners |
80% |
Expected corners 10.80 vs 9.0 line: Derry home avg corners 6.20 for/5.40 against, Shamrock away 5.10 for/4.90 against. Derry's last 10 matches went over 9 corners in 8 of 10; Shamrock 4 of 10 over with 3 pushes at exactly 9. H2H corner totals were 8,9,13,13 (split), and mutual-opponent shot/dangerous-attack volume supports pressure. |
|
| 30-08-2026 15:00 |
Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
Drøbak/Frogn |
- |
Fram |
Drøbak/Frogn -0.25 (Asian Handicap) |
65% |
Drøbak/Frogn hold an 8W-2L Asian Handicap record over their last 10 (Fram 1W-4L last 5), and the mutual-opponent comparison gives home a 4-1 stat edge with goals net +0.89 vs -1.45. Home also sit 10th vs Fram 13th in the standings, making home -0.25 the best available edge; goal-line and corner Over bets fail match-history thresholds. |
|
| 30-08-2026 15:00 |
Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
Eik Tønsberg |
- |
Sotra |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total is 3.40 (A=1.5, B=1.0, C=1.8, D=2.5) vs the 2.75 line; Eik's recent matches are 7/10 over 2.75 (70%) and Sotra's 6/10 over (60%), with both H2H meetings over (6-0, 2-1). Sotra sit 4th vs Eik 13th, Eik concede 2.5 goals at home and Sotra score 1.8 away, while home GL_5 bookmaker mispricing is a severe 3.05 (accelerating vs 2.08), adding over edge. Raw score 92% capped at standard ceiling 82%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 15:00 |
Norway Eliteserien |
Valerenga |
- |
Molde |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total is 4.55 vs the 3.5 line (Valerenga home 2.40 scored/2.30 conceded; Molde away 2.30 scored/2.10 conceded). Valerenga home overs: 3 of 5 (60%), Molde away overs: 2 of 4 (50%); H2H last two: 5-1 and 4-1 both over; mutual-opponents total 4.39 supports over. Valerenga GL_5 2.55 severe and Molde GL_5 1.65 moderate, both trending up; Molde also conceded 2+ in four straight away games. Raw score 97% capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 15:00 |
Czechia First League |
Viktoria Plzen |
- |
Slovacko |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 3.80 (Plzen home 2.10 scored/2.20 conceded; Slovacko away 1.30 scored/2.00 conceded) vs line 3.0. Mutual-opponents total 3.10, Slovacko's away c_avg_on_target 5.0, and 3 of last 5 away matches conceded 2+ all support the over. Home goal-line mispricing GL_5 2.75 is severe and accelerating; raw score 84 capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 15:15 |
France Ligue 1 |
Rennes |
- |
Le Mans |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
76% |
First-half expected total is 1.65 vs a 1.25 line (gap +0.40), built from Rennes home HT 0.90 scored/0.90 conceded and Le Mans away HT 0.80 scored/0.70 conceded. Rennes 1st-half matches went over 1.25 in 7/10 (70%) and Le Mans in 5/10 (50%), with bookmaker mispricing GL_5 elevated at 1.65/1.70 and no H2H to contradict. |
|
| 30-08-2026 15:15 |
France Ligue 1 |
Rennes |
- |
Le Mans |
Over 1.0,1.5 First Half Goals |
73% |
Expected 1st-half total is 1.65 vs a 1.25 line: Rennes home HT averages 0.90 scored/0.90 conceded, Le Mans away HT averages 0.80 scored/0.70 conceded, a +0.40 gap. Rennes exceed 1.25 HT goals in 7/10 recent matches (70%) and Le Mans in 5/10 (50%); H2H is empty. Both teams show moderate bookmaker mispricing on goal lines aligned with the Over (home GL_5 1.65, away GL_5 1.70). |
|
| 30-08-2026 15:30 |
Hungary NB II |
Karcagi SE |
- |
Fehervar FC |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
77% |
Expected FT total 2.70 = (1.30+1.50)/2 + (1.30+1.30)/2 vs 2.25 line. Karcagi 6/10 and Fehervar 7/10 over 2.25; Fehervar conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (2,3,2); mutual-opponent total 2.84; home GL_5 2.25 aligned with Over. Score: Base 50 + gap +5 + away history +8 + common opponents +5 + GL_5 home +4 + structural fragility +5 = 77 (home history/likelihood excluded per stacking discipline). |
|
| 30-08-2026 15:30 |
Germany Bundesliga I |
Augsburg |
- |
Schalke |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
82% |
Augsburg 1.60 scored/1.70 conceded at home plus Schalke 2.10 scored/1.60 conceded away create an expected FT total of 3.50 vs a 2.75 line. Augsburg went over 2.75 goals in 7 of 10 recent matches and Schalke in 7 of 9 unique, while Schalke away conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away (Hallescher 2-5, Erzgebirge Aue 2-4, Gutersloh 2-1). H2H is empty and market pricing error is only mild (GL_5 1.10/1.25), so the standard 82% ceiling applies. |
|
| 30-08-2026 16:00 |
Bulgaria First League |
Spartak Varna |
- |
Ludogorets Razgrad |
Ludogorets Razgrad -1.0 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Ludogorets lead the league (1st, 16 pts) vs Spartak Varna (9th, 7 pts) and the venue-matched mutual-opponent comparison gives Ludogorets a goals NET of +1.57 vs Spartak's +0.20, with an away advantage in 4 of 5 comparison stats. The March 2026 H2H at Varna ended 5-1 to Ludogorets. Recent AH cover for -1 is thin (2 of Ludogorets' last 10 matches won by 2+), so confidence is capped at 65. |
|
| 30-08-2026 16:00 |
Slovenia Prva Liga |
NK Brinje Grosuplje |
- |
NK Celje |
NK Celje -0.75 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Celje sit 3rd (8 pts) while Brinje are 9th (5 pts), and Celje have covered the Asian Handicap in 4 of their last 5 matches while Brinje have covered only 2 of 5. Against common opponents both sides have identical 3W-1D-3L records and equal net goals (-0.14), so the common-opponent signal is neutral; two of the three Asian Handicap signals support the away side. |
|
| 30-08-2026 16:00 |
Cyprus Division 1 |
AEL Limassol |
- |
Anorthosis Famagusta |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total = (1.50+1.40)/2 + (1.80+1.50)/2 = 3.10 vs line 2.25 (+0.85); AEL over 2.25 in 7/10, Anorthosis 5/10, H2H 2/3 over. Away defensive fragility (4 of last 5 away conceded 2+) and away GL_5 2.15 accelerating market pricing error support Over. Confidence: Base 50 + gap 15 + home history 8 + away history 0 + H2H 5 + common opponents 0 + likelihood 0 + GL_5 home 0 + GL_5 away 4 + structural 5 = 87 raw, capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 16:00 |
Cyprus Division 1 |
AEL Limassol |
- |
Anorthosis Famagusta |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total = (1.5+1.4)/2 + (1.8+1.5)/2 = 3.10 vs line 2.25 (gap +0.85); AEL home record 7/10 over, Anorthosis 5/10; H2H 2/3 over. Away Anorthosis GL_5 2.15 (GL_10 1.68, accelerating market pricing error) and conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches. Score: base 50 + gap 15 + home history 8 + H2H 5 + away GL_5 8 + away fragility 5 = 91 raw, capped at 82 (standard ceiling; away history 50% below elevated-ceiling condition). |
|
| 30-08-2026 16:30 |
Belgium First Division A |
Union Saint Gilloise |
- |
Anderlecht |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
85% |
USG home scoring/conceding gives expected total (2.30+1.30)/2 + (2.00+1.50)/2 = 3.55 against a 2.75 line; USG are 8/10 over 2.75 and Anderlecht 7/10 over 2.75, with H2H 3/4 over (5-1, 3-1, 3-1). Away mutual-opponent on-target conceded of 5.22 per game is a structural Over signal, and USG GL_5 2.40 shows strong bookmaker mispricing aligned with the Over. |
|
| 30-08-2026 17:00 |
Iceland Premier League |
Fram Reykjavik |
- |
KA Akureyri |
Over 1.5 First Half Goals |
82% |
Expected 1st-half total is 2.50 goals ((1.90+1.20)/2 + (0.80+1.10)/2) vs the 1.5 line, a +1.00 goal gap. Fram's HT Over 1.5 record is 9/10 (90%), the sole H2H was 2-3 at half-time, KA concede 1.20 away HT, and the 3rd-vs-11th quality gap supports early pressure. Market pricing error is severe (Fram GL_5 2.05, KA GL_5 2.85 both over-directional); raw score 100% capped at the 82% standard ceiling because away HT history (50%) and H2H sample (1 match) miss elevated-tier conditions. |
|
| 30-08-2026 17:00 |
Cyprus Division 1 |
APK Karmotissa |
- |
Pafos FC |
Over 3.0 Goals |
65% |
Expected full-time total is 3.35 (home 2.30 scored/1.40 conceded at home; away 1.60 scored/1.40 conceded away) vs a 3.0 line. APK Karmotissa have gone Over 3.0 in 4 of 8 home matches and Pafos in 4 of 10 away matches; H2H is empty and mutual opponents are unavailable. Market pricing error is elevated (home GL_5 1.90, away GL_5 1.75, both accelerating), aligning with the Over. |
|
| 30-08-2026 17:00 |
Cyprus Division 1 |
APK Karmotissa |
- |
Pafos FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time goals are 3.35 ((2.30+1.40)/2+(1.60+1.40)/2), comfortably above 2.5. APK Karmotissa recent matches are 6/8 Over 2.5 (75%) and Pafos 5/10 (50%); bookmaker mispricing is strong and accelerating (home GL_5 1.90, away GL_5 1.75). 1st half expected 1.35 vs 1.25 was much weaker, so the full-time Over is the best bet. |
|
| 30-08-2026 17:30 |
Germany 3. Liga |
FC Viktoria Köln |
- |
SC Preussen Munster |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total is 3.15 (A=1.30, B=2.00, C=1.30, D=1.70 => (1.30+2.00)/2 + (1.30+1.70)/2) vs line 2.75, gap +0.40. Home matches are 6/10 over 2.75, away matches are 8/10 over 2.75; mutual opponents total is 5.0; away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 away (Elversberg 3, Hannover 3, Schalke 4). Breakdown: Base 50% + gap 8% + home history 5% + away history 10% + H2H 0% + common opponents 5% + likelihood 3% + home GL_5 0% + away GL_5 0% + structural away fragility 5% = 86% capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:00 |
Argentina Nacional B |
Almirante Brown |
- |
Deportivo Madryn |
Over 1.75 Goals |
81% |
Expected full-time total is 2.25 vs a 1.75 line (Almirante home 1.30 scored/0.50 conceded; Madryn away 1.80 scored/0.90 conceded), a +0.50 gap. Home matches are 6/10 over 1.75 and away 8/10 over 1.75, with the sole H2H ending 2-1; shot-based potential (3.93) also supports the over. Recent form is 8/10 combined overs; market pricing error is mild (GL_5 home 1.00, away 1.15, no adjustment). |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:00 |
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
Central Ballester |
- |
Yupanqui |
Over 1.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total = (0.90+1.50)/2+(1.20+0.90)/2=2.25 vs line 1.75, a 0.50 gap; mutual-opponent total 2.44 also clears the line. Central Ballester 5/10 over 1.75, Yupanqui 9/10 over 1.75, and Yupanqui conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away. Score: base 50 + gap 10 + home 0 + away 10 + H2H 0 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 + GL_5 home 2.5 + GL_5 away 0 + away fragility 5 = 85.5, capped at 82; home GL_5 1.75 accelerating. |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:00 |
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
CSD Flandria |
- |
San Martin De Burzaco |
Over 0.75 First Half Goals |
81% |
Expected 1st-half total is 1.10 (home scored 0.50, away conceded 0.70, away scored 0.50, home conceded 0.50) vs a 0.75 line, a +0.35 gap. Home are 7/10 over 0.75 1H goals and away 6/10, with H2H lacking 1H data; market pricing error GL_5 is 1.50 home and 1.90 away, both pointing over. Breakdown: base 50% + gap 5% + home HT history 8% + away HT history 5% + H2H 0% + structural 0% + GL_5 home 5% + GL_5 away 8% = 81%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:00 |
Czechia First League |
Sparta Prague |
- |
Slavia Prague |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
85% |
Expected full-time total is 3.45 (A=1.80, B=1.10, C=2.30, D=1.70) against a 2.75 line, +0.70 clear gap. Sparta (8/10) and Slavia (8/10) both hit over 2.5 goals in recent matches, H2H totals are 5, 4, 2 (2/3 over), and Slavia have conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away matches. Market pricing error is only mild (home GL_5 0.95, away 1.15) so no extra variance boost, but structural attacking and defensive signals strongly support the over. |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:15 |
Bulgaria First League |
CSKA Sofia |
- |
Cherno More Varna |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 3.10 (home 1.70 scored/1.10 conceded, away 1.20 scored/2.20 conceded), 0.60 above the 2.5 line. CSKA's last 10 matches went over 2.5 in 8/10 and Cherno More's 50% record does not contradict; structural Over signals include Cherno More away c_avg_on_target 6.0, 3+ of last 5 away conceding 2+, and home 3rd vs away 11th. Away bookmaker mispricing GL_5 1.75 (accelerating vs GL_10 1.53) supports the Over; raw score 85 capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:15 |
Bulgaria First League |
CSKA Sofia |
- |
Cherno More Varna |
Over 2.5 Goals |
75% |
Expected total is 3.10 vs the 2.5 line: CSKA Sofia home averages 1.70 scored/1.10 conceded and Cherno More away concedes 2.20 per game, giving (1.70+2.20)/2 + (1.20+1.10)/2 = 3.10. CSKA are 8/10 Over 2.5 (80%) and Cherno More are 5/10 Over (50%), with Cherno conceding 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away games. H2H is limited to one 2-0 match (treated neutral), while away GL_5 bookmaker mispricing is 1.75 and the shot-based match potential also supports Over. |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:30 |
Argentina Nacional B |
Patronato Parana |
- |
Almagro |
Over 1.75 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total 2.35 vs 1.75 line (home 1.30 scored/1.50 conceded, away 0.80 scored/1.10 conceded); Patronato 8/10 and Almagro 7/10 over 1.75. Scoring: 50 base +12 gap +10 home history +8 away history +5 mutual opponents +4 home GL_5 +3 form momentum = 92, capped to 82; home market pricing error GL_5 2.40 accelerating, mutual-opponent total 2.35, H2H 0-1 neutral, Patronato scored 2+ in last 3 home matches. |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:30 |
Argentina Nacional B |
CA Atlanta |
- |
San Martin SJ |
Over 1.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total 2.55 (home 1.30 scored/1.50 conceded at home; away 1.30 scored/1.00 conceded away) vs 1.75 line; 1H expected 1.05 vs 0.75, so FT is the stronger signal. CA Atlanta 70% (7/10) and San Martin SJ 80% (8/10) recent matches over 1.75, H2H 1-2 (3 goals), mutual opponents total 2.17, away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away, and home GL_5 1.65 moderate bookmaker mispricing align over. Raw score capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:30 |
Argentina Nacional B |
All Boys |
- |
CA Chaco For Ever |
CA Chaco For Ever +0.25 Asian Handicap |
65% |
All Boys sit 16th (27 pts) vs CA Chaco For Ever 13th (28 pts), and All Boys' Asian Handicap record is 1W-4L in their last 5 (80% fail as -0.25) while Chaco For Ever is 3W-1V-1L. Mutual opponents favour All Boys (home goals net +0.4 vs away -1.23; dang attacks net +19.3 vs -0.88), but standings and AH form give two of three signals for the away side. |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:30 |
Argentina Nacional B |
Deportivo Moron |
- |
CA San Miguel |
Over 1.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total 2.35 (home 1.70 scored/1.10 conceded at home; away 0.80 scored/1.10 conceded away) clears the 1.75 line by 0.60. Home side Deportivo Moron are 8/10 over 1.75 and away side San Miguel are 6/10 over 1.75, with their sole H2H finishing 2-1 (3 goals). Moron have scored 2+ in their last three home wins (2-0 Almagro, 4-1 Acassuso, 4-0 Ferro) and the mutual-opponent total is 2.35, supporting the Over. |
|
| 30-08-2026 18:30 |
Argentina Nacional B |
CA Estudiantes Caseros |
- |
Ferro Carril Oeste |
Over 1.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total 2.40 (home 1.30 scored/0.90 conceded at home, away 1.50 scored/1.10 conceded away) against a 1.5 line, gap +0.90. Home 7/10 (70%) and away 6/10 (60%) matches over 1.5, mutual opponents total 1.9, away GL_5 1.70 moderate bookmaker mispricing. Raw score 91 capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 30-08-2026 19:15 |
Iceland Premier League |
Valur Reykjavik |
- |
IA Akranes |
Over 3.75 Goals |
79% |
Expected FT total (1.4+2.2)/2 + (2.1+2.4)/2 = 4.05 vs line 3.75 (+0.30). Valur 6/10 and IA Akranes 6/10 recent matches over 3.75; H2H 2 games both under but neutral (<3); mutual opponents total 4.35 supports Over; Akranes conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (5-2, 4-0, 3-3) and Valur home GL_5 market pricing error 1.90 accelerating. Score: 50 base +5 gap +5 home history +5 away history +5 common opponents +4 GL_5 home +5 structural = 79%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 21:00 |
Argentina Nacional B |
Godoy Cruz |
- |
CA San Telmo |
Over 0.75 First Half Goals |
78% |
Expected 1H total is 1.25 goals (Godoy Cruz 1H at home: 0.80 scored/0.60 conceded; San Telmo 1H away: 0.20 scored/0.90 conceded) against a 0.75 line. Godoy Cruz matches had 1+ first-half goals in 7/10 (70%) and San Telmo in 6/10 (60%), with Godoy Cruz's home 1H scoring and San Telmo's 0.90 away 1H conceded making Over the stronger side. Confidence: Base 50% + gap +10% + home HT history +8% + away HT history +5% + quality gap +5% = 78% (H2H 1H data absent, market pricing error GL_5 both under 1.5). |
|
| 30-08-2026 21:00 |
Nicaragua Apertura |
HYH Export Sebaco FC |
- |
Real Esteli |
Over 2.5 Goals |
66% |
Expected full-time total is 2.80 goals ((1.40+1.10)/2 + (1.40+1.70)/2) vs the 2.5 line, with shot-based match potential 5.50. Home are 6/10 over 2.5 and H2H is 3/3 over 2.5 (2-3, 3-2, 3-0); away only 3/10 over, but over-first default applies with H2H support. Home market pricing error GL_5 is 1.50 (moderate), and mutual opponents total 2.42 is roughly line-neutral. |
|
| 30-08-2026 22:00 |
Argentina Nacional B |
Quilmes |
- |
Club Atletico Temperley |
Club Atletico Temperley +0.5 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Temperley are 3rd (43 pts) against Quilmes 11th (32 pts) and have avoided defeat in 10 of 13 away matches (3W-7D-3L), while Quilmes have won only 7 of 13 home games. The season H2H was 3-3, and Temperley avoided defeat in 7 of 10 mutual-opponent matches (1W-6D-3L), covering the +0.5 draw insurance. |
|
| 30-08-2026 23:15 |
Honduras Liga Nacional |
Real Espana |
- |
Atletico Choloma |
Over 2.75 Goals |
81% |
Full-time Over 2.75: expected total 3.15 (A=1.80, B=1.90, C=1.50, D=1.10) vs line 2.75; H2H is 3/3 over (3-2, 2-1, 3-0); Atletico Choloma have conceded 2+ in their last 3 away games. Scoring: Base 50 + gap from line +8 + home history +0 (5/10=50%) + away history +0 (4/7=57%) + H2H +5 + common opponents +5 (mutual total 2.805) + likelihood +3 + GL5 home +0 + GL5 away +0 + quality gap +5 + away defensive fragility +5 = 81%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 23:30 |
El Salvador Apertura |
CD FAS |
- |
CD Luis Angel Firpo |
Over 4.5 First Half Corners |
70% |
Expected first-half corners are 5.05 ((3.7+2.4)/2 + (2.1+1.9)/2) vs a 4.5 line. CD FAS home HT corners cleared 4.5 in 3 of 5 recent games (60%: totals 2,6,6,3,7), while CD Luis Angel Firpo away HT corners cleared 4.5 in 3 of 4 (75%: totals 7,8,7,1). Goal-line signals were weaker, so the HT corner market offers the cleanest edge. |
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