| 23-08-2026 05:30 |
Australia NPL Victoria |
South Melbourne |
- |
Heidelberg Utd |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
79% |
Expected FT total (A=2.20, B=1.30, C=1.40, D=1.10) = (2.20+1.30)/2 + (1.40+1.10)/2 = 3.00 vs line 2.75. South Melbourne 7/10 matches over 2.75, Heidelberg 6/10; Heidelberg conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away matches (4-3 vs North Sunshine, 2-1 vs Avondale, 2-2 vs Melbourne City). Away GL_5 2.85 is severe bookmaker mispricing and accelerating vs GL_10 2.13. Confidence: Base 50% + gap 5% + home history 8% + away history 5% + away GL_5 partial 6% + away defensive fragility 5% = 79%. |
|
| 23-08-2026 06:50 |
Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
APIA Leichardt Women |
- |
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL Women |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
71% |
Expected 1H total is 1.85 vs the 1.5 line: APIA home HT averages 1.10 scored and 1.00 conceded, WSW away HT averages 0.90 scored and 0.70 conceded. APIA are 3/4 (75%) over 1.5 in home first halves and have scored in all 4; H2H 1H data is absent, and WSW carry a severe goal-line mispricing at GL_5 3.00, adding a partial +6 edge. Scoring: base 50 + gap 7 + home HT history 8 + away HT history 0 + H2H 0 + structural 0 + GL_5 home 0 + GL_5 away 6 = 71. |
|
| 23-08-2026 07:00 |
Australia WA Premier League Women |
Perth Redstar FC Women |
- |
Perth SC Women |
Over 4 First Half Corners |
80% |
Expected 1st-half corners: (2.70+1.40)/2 + (3.40+3.80)/2 = 5.65 vs line 4.0. Home 6/10 over 4.0 HT corners (60%), away 5/10 (50%), H2H corners lean over (2/3 full-time over 8.5). Away side is 1.61 favourite with strong attacking volume and home concedes 3.80 HT corners per home match. Scoring: base 50 + gap 15 + home history 5 + away 0 + H2H 0 + structural 5 + dominant pressing 5 = 80%. |
|
| 23-08-2026 08:15 |
Czechia 2. Liga |
Slavia Prague B |
- |
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 3.50 (home: 1.70 scored/2.20 conceded at home; away: 1.50 scored/1.60 conceded away), comfortably above the 2.5/3.0 split. Slavia Prague B have gone over 2.5 in 9 of 10 recent matches and Hanacka in 6 of 10; mutual-opponent total is 2.95 vs 2.5, and H2H is only 2 matches (5-0, 0-1) so treated as neutral. Home GL_5 is 1.20 and away 1.05, both mild; raw score capped at 82% standard tier. |
|
| 23-08-2026 08:30 |
Slovakia 2. Liga |
MSK Zilina B |
- |
OFK Malzenice |
Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
80% |
Expected first-half total is 1.15 vs a 1.25 line (home 0.40 scored/0.60 conceded HT, away 0.50 scored/0.80 conceded HT). Zilina B stayed under 1.25 HT in 8/10 matches and Malzenice in 7/10, while Malzenice failed to score in the first half in 3 of their last 5 away. The most recent H2H was 1-0 at halftime, and both teams are low first-half scorers, supporting the under. |
|
| 23-08-2026 08:30 |
Austria Regionalliga West |
SCR Altach II |
- |
FC Lustenau |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total 3.80 vs 3.25 line: home 1.70 scored/1.70 conceded at home, away 1.40 scored/2.80 conceded away. FC Lustenau went over 3.25 in 8 of 10 matches and conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away; mutual-opponent total is 3.95 with away c_avg_on_target 5.7, while H2H is one 0-0 so neutral. Away GL_5 1.50 moderate bookmaker mispricing supports the Over; raw score capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 23-08-2026 10:30 |
South Korea K League 1 |
Daejeon Hana Citizen |
- |
Gangwon FC |
Over 9.0 Corners |
65% |
Expected corners 9.65 vs 9.0 line (home 6.20/4.00, away 6.10/3.00). Home 6/10 last matches over 9.0 corners (60%), away 5/10 (50%); H2H corner totals split 7,5,12,12 (2/4 over). Scoring: 50 base +5 gap +5 home history +0 away +0 H2H +5 structural (both teams needing points) = 65%. |
|
| 23-08-2026 10:30 |
South Korea K League 2 |
Chungnam Asan FC |
- |
Yongin City FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total is 2.65 (home 1.60 scored/1.50 conceded, away 1.00 scored/1.20 conceded) versus a 2.5 line. Home are 8/10 over 2.5 in home matches and Yongin are 3/5 over in away matches; H2H is a single 0-0 so neutral, and home GL_10 bookmaker mispricing of 1.53 is moderate and Over-aligned. |
|
| 23-08-2026 10:30 |
South Korea K League 2 |
Seoul E-Land FC |
- |
Paju Frontier FC |
Seoul E-Land FC -1.0 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Seoul E-Land are 3rd (40 pts) hosting 11th-placed Paju Frontier (24 pts), a 16-point/8-place gap. Against shared opponents Seoul have a 5-0 stat edge: goal NET +1.50 vs -0.43, total-shots NET +5.20 vs -0.58, on-target NET +3.00 vs -1.00, dangerous-attacks NET +10.60 vs -10.86, and a better goal-frequency NET. Seoul covered -1 in only 3 of their last 10 (3 pushes, 4 losses), but standings and mutual-opponent signals support a 65-69% call. |
|
| 23-08-2026 10:30 |
South Korea K League 2 |
Jeonnam Dragons |
- |
Hwaseong FC |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total 3.40 vs 2.75 line (+0.65); Jeonnam 6/10 recent matches over 2.75, Hwaseong 8/10; H2H 1/2 over (2 matches, neutral). Bookmaker mispricing severe away GL_5 2.55 (accelerating), home GL_5 1.50 moderate. Raw score 89 (base 50 + gap 10 + home 5 + away 10 + likelihood 3 + GL home 5 + GL away 6) capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 23-08-2026 11:00 |
Sweden Superettan |
IK Oddevold |
- |
Helsingborg |
Over 2.75 Goals |
68% |
Expected total is 3.05 goals (home 1.40 scored/1.40 conceded, away 1.40 scored/1.90 conceded) versus a 2.75 line, giving a 0.30-goal edge; shot-based potential also clears the line. H2H ended 2-2 and 1-4 (both over), mutual opponents average 3.72 total goals, and Helsingborg have conceded 2+ in 5 straight away matches. Home GL_5 market pricing error is 2.55 severe and accelerating, aligning with Over while home are 4/10 and away 5/10 over 2.75. |
|
| 23-08-2026 12:00 |
Sweden Allsvenskan |
Vasteras SK |
- |
Kalmar FF |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total is 3.55 (A=1.70, B=1.70, C=1.90, D=1.80) against a 2.75 line. Vasteras matches are 6/10 over (60%) and Kalmar 7/10 over (70%), with mutual opponents total 3.16 also clearing the line. Kalmar away shows bookmaker mispricing GL_5 of 1.80 (accelerating) and concedes 5.2 shots on target per game, so confidence is capped at 82%. |
|
| 23-08-2026 12:00 |
Denmark Superligaen |
Midtjylland |
- |
Randers FC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total is 3.50: (2.30+2.00)/2 + (1.60+1.10)/2 vs a 2.75 line (+0.75 gap). Randers are 7/10 over 2.75 in recent matches and conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away; mutual opponents combined goal total is 3.39, supporting the over. Raw score 86% capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 23-08-2026 12:00 |
Switzerland Super League |
Young Boys |
- |
FC Vaduz |
Over 3.5,4.0 Goals |
69% |
Expected FT total is 3.90 (Young Boys home 2.90 scored/1.30 conceded; Vaduz away 2.00 scored/1.60 conceded) vs a 3.5/4.0 line, with mutual-opponent total 4.24 and shot-based potential 7.9 supporting Over. Young Boys' goal-line market pricing error is 2.05, indicating strong bookmaker mispricing on the Over; Vaduz have conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away matches (Sion 3-2, Inter 2-1, Lugano 2-1) and Young Boys have scored 2+ in their last 3 home matches. No H2H data exists, but only 40% of Young Boys and 50% of Vaduz matches exceeded 3.5, keeping confidence at 69%. |
|
| 23-08-2026 12:30 |
Czechia 2. Liga |
Banik Ostrava B |
- |
Arsenal Ceska Lipa |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.00 (home 2.10 scored/1.10 conceded at home; away 2.70 scored/2.10 conceded away) vs line 3.00. Away 7/10 over 3.0, away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (Banik Sokolov, Usti, Dukla), mutual-opponent total 5.50, away GL_5 1.95 strong bookmaker mispricing; raw 90% capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 23-08-2026 12:30 |
Netherlands Eredivisie |
PSV |
- |
FC Groningen |
FC Groningen +1.5 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Groningen sit 2nd (6 pts) to PSV's 6th (4 pts) and have covered +1.5 in 8 of their last 10 matches (3 of 4 away), while PSV are winless at home this season and have covered -1.5 only 50% last 10. Mutual opponents strongly favour PSV (5-0 stat edge, goals NET 2.1 vs 0.22), so confidence is capped at 67%; H2H split 1-2 (cover) and 4-2 (loss). |
|
| 23-08-2026 13:00 |
France Ligue 1 |
Angers |
- |
Lille |
Lille -0.75 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Mutual opponents give Lille a 4-1 advantage across goals, shots, on-target and danger attacks (goals NET +0.5 vs -0.4), and Lille's Asian Handicap record last 10 is 7W-3L (70%). H2H Lille won both meetings 1-0 and 0-1, covering half stake on -0.75. Round 1 standings are level, so confidence is capped at 65. |
|
| 23-08-2026 13:00 |
France Ligue 1 |
Angers |
- |
Lille |
Over 2.5 Goals |
72% |
Expected total 2.75 (A 1.30, B 0.80, C 1.90, D 1.50) vs line 2.5, with shot-based match potential 5.4 also supporting. Angers home matches are 67% over 2.5 (4/6), Lille away matches 50% over (3/6), and mutual-opponent total is 2.55. Lille's GL_5 market pricing error is 2.05, strong and aligned; confidence 50 base +5 gap +5 home +0 away +0 H2H +5 common +0 likelihood +0/+4 pricing +3 form = 72%. |
|
| 23-08-2026 14:00 |
Estonia Meistriliiga |
Paide Linnameeskond |
- |
JK Nomme United |
Paide Linnameeskond -1.25 Asian Handicap |
66% |
Paide sit 4th overall (36 pts) and 3rd in home standings, while Nomme United are 7th (25 pts) and 6th in away standings, so the standings gap supports the home side. Mutual opponents give Paide a 4-1 classified-stat edge with goals NET -0.1 vs -1.43. Paide have covered -1.25 in only 1 of their last 8 matches, so this is a moderate lean rather than a strong one. |
|
| 23-08-2026 14:00 |
Sweden 1.div Södra |
Skövde AIK |
- |
Kristianstad FC |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
65% |
Expected total 2.85 (home scored 1.00 at home, away conceded 1.40 away, away scored 1.00 away, home conceded 2.30 at home) vs line 2.75. Skövde are 8/10 over 2.5, and Kristianstad conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches (BK Olympic 2-0, Jonkopings 3-0, Atvidabergs 2-1). Mutual opponents lean under (mutual total 2.22), so final confidence is capped at 65%. |
|
| 23-08-2026 14:00 |
Denmark Superligaen |
AC Horsens |
- |
Lyngby |
Under 10.5 Corners |
78% |
Expected corners total is 9.40 (home 4.40 for/4.50 against, away 6.10 for/3.80 against), which is 1.10 below the 10.5 line. Home matches are 8/10 under 10.5 corners and Lyngby away matches are 7/10 under 10.5 corners, with H2H corner totals split (12,6,7,15). Both teams meet the 70% Under history threshold, supporting Under 10.5 corners. |
|
| 23-08-2026 14:30 |
Switzerland Super League |
Grasshoppers |
- |
FC Sion |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total = (1.60+1.60)/2 + (2.70+1.90)/2 = 3.90 vs line 2.75, a +1.15 goal gap. Grasshoppers are 8/10 and Sion 9/10 over 2.75 in full-time matches; mutual opponents total 3.49 and Sion's away defence conceding 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away games confirm the Over. H2H is 2-2 neutral and bookmaker pricing error is mild (GL_5 1.20/1.30), so raw score capped at 82. |
|
| 23-08-2026 14:30 |
Switzerland Super League |
Lugano |
- |
St Gallen |
Over 3.0 Goals |
80% |
Expected FT total = (2.50+2.30)/2 + (2.00+0.80)/2 = 3.80 vs line 3.0. St Gallen away are 6/10 over 3.0 and conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away; mutual opponents total 3.29 clears the line. H2H is mixed (1/4 over 3.0, totals 3-2-4-1) and St Gallen GL_5 1.80 signals moderate bookmaker mispricing. Confidence: 50 base +15 gap +5 away history +5 mutual opponents +5 defensive fragility +2.5 away GL +3 likelihood -5 H2H = 80.5%. |
|
| 23-08-2026 14:45 |
Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
VVV |
- |
De Graafschap |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total 3.80 (home 1.8 scored/1.8 conceded at home; away 1.9 scored/2.1 conceded away) vs split line 3.0/3.5. VVV and De Graafschap are both 6/10 over 3.5 in recent matches, H2H last meeting 3-3, and bookmaker mispricing is home GL_5 1.95 / away GL_5 1.70. Raw 83% (50+10+5+5+8+5) capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 23-08-2026 15:00 |
Slovakia Super Liga |
AS Trencin |
- |
FC Spartak Trnava |
Over 9.5 Corners |
82% |
Expected total corners 11.50 (Trencin home: 6.30 for / 5.00 conceded; Trnava away: 7.20 for / 4.50 conceded) against a 9.5 line. Trencin have gone over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 10 matches and Trnava in 10 of 10. Raw score 83% capped at standard 82%; the single H2H corner sample (6 total) is too small to override. |
|
| 23-08-2026 15:00 |
Austria Bundesliga |
FK Austria Vienna |
- |
WSG Swarovski Tirol |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.30 (A 1.90, B 2.30, C 1.20, D 1.20) vs 2.5 line, gap +0.80. Austria Vienna are 3/4 home Over 2.5 and Tirol are 3/4 away Over 2.5; Tirol have conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 away (away c_avg_goals 2.30). Mutual-opponent total 3.38 also supports Over; H2H split 0-0/2-3 is neutral. Raw score 94% capped at standard ceiling 82%. |
|
| 23-08-2026 15:00 |
Portugal Primeira Liga |
Estrela |
- |
Braga |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 2.90 vs line 2.5 (Estrela home 1.30 scored/1.70 conceded; Braga away 1.70 scored/1.10 conceded). Estrela 3 of 5 home matches over 2.5 (60%), Braga 3 of 5 away matches over 2.5 (60%), H2H 2-2 and 3-3. Braga conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away, and market pricing error GL_5 2.00/1.60 both align strongly with over (raw 86 capped at 82). |
|
| 23-08-2026 15:15 |
France Ligue 1 |
Le Havre |
- |
Monaco |
Over 3.0 Goals |
70% |
Expected full-time total = (1.30+1.90)/2 + (2.00+1.30)/2 = 3.25 vs line 3.0, gap +0.25. Monaco have conceded 2+ goals in each of their last 5 away matches, and goal-line market pricing error is elevated: Le Havre GL_5 1.75 (accelerating), Monaco GL_10 1.85 (stabilising baseline), both aligned with Over. H2H has only one prior meeting (0-0), so neutral; confidence lands at 70%. |
|
| 23-08-2026 15:30 |
Hungary NB I |
Gyori Eto |
- |
Zalaegerszegi TE |
Gyori Eto -1.25 Asian Handicap |
66% |
Standings gap supports home -1.25 (Gyori 5th, Zalaegerszegi 11th; away away 0 pts with 0-8 goals) and mutual opponents strongly favour Gyori (8-2-0 vs 3-2-4; goals net +1.6 vs -0.45; all five stat nets home). Home recent AH cover is weak (1W-3L-1V last 5, only 1 of last 5 margins covered -1.25), so confidence is capped at 66% (2 of 3 AH signals). H2H is only 2 matches, both Zalaegerszegi one-goal wins, so neutral. |
|
| 23-08-2026 15:30 |
Lithuania A Lyga |
Hegelmann Litauen |
- |
Banga Gargzdai |
Banga Gargzdai -0.5 Asian Handicap |
70% |
Full-time Over 2.5 was skipped: Hegelmann are only 4/10 over 2.5 (40%) and Banga 5/10 (50%), while HT Over 1.0 has home 60% but away just 40%. Banga are the strongest AH play: they are 4th to Hegelmann's 8th with a 14-point gap, Banga's away AH record is 7-3 over the last 10, Hegelmann are 1-4 AH over the last 5, and H2H margins cover Banga -0.5 in 3 of 4 meetings. |
|
| 23-08-2026 15:30 |
Hungary NB II |
Csakvari Tk |
- |
Kazincbarcikai BSC |
Kazincbarcikai BSC 0.0 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Kazincbarcikai are 3rd (8 pts) vs Csakvari TK 12th (3 pts), a 5-point gap, and hold a 4-1 AH record over their last 5 compared to Csakvari's 2-3. On the 0.0 line, Kazincbarcikai's last five matches produced 2 wins, 0 losses and 3 pushes; mutual opponents are a 1-game sample and treated neutral. |
|
| 23-08-2026 16:00 |
Germany DFB Pokal |
Fortuna Dusseldorf |
- |
SC Freiburg |
Under 9.5 Corners |
82% |
Expected corners (4.30+5.00)/2 + (2.90+3.30)/2 = 7.75, well below the 9.5 line. Fortuna Dusseldorf stayed under 9.5 corners in 8/10 (80%) and Freiburg in 7/10 (70%) recent matches. The single H2H went over with 11 corners but is a neutral one-match sample. |
|
| 23-08-2026 16:35 |
UAE Pro League |
Sharjah SCC |
- |
Al Jazira SC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total 3.45 vs line 2.75 (gap +0.70) from Sharjah home 1.6 scored/1.5 conceded and Al Jazira away 1.8 scored/2.0 conceded. Both sides have 7 of last 10 over 2.75, mutual-opponent total 3.12 supports over, H2H 5-0 over (small sample), and goal-line mispricing is moderate (GL_5 1.75 home, 1.60 away). Raw score 98 capped at 82 standard ceiling due to insufficient H2H sample for elevated tier. |
|
| 23-08-2026 16:45 |
Azerbaijan Premier League |
Neftchi Baku |
- |
Araz FK |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
78% |
FT expected goals 2.85 vs 2.75 line (Neftchi home 1.9 scored/0.9 conceded; Araz away 1.3 scored/1.6 conceded). Neftchi 7/10 recent matches over 2.75, Araz 6/10, H2H 3/3 over (2-1, 4-0, 2-2). Araz conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away (Sumqayit 2, Qarabag 6, Sabah 4, Neftchi 2) and Neftchi GL_5 1.80 vs GL_10 1.25 accelerating signals bookmaker mispricing on over. Scoring: Base 50% + gap +2% + home history +8% + H2H +5% + common opponents +5% + away fragility +5% + GL_5 home +2.5% = 77.5% rounded to 78% (away history, likelihood, form momentum set to 0 per stacking discipline). |
|
| 23-08-2026 17:00 |
Poland I Liga |
LKS Lodz |
- |
Stal Mielec |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total = (1.40+2.40)/2 + (2.50+1.50)/2 = 3.90 vs line 2.75; both teams are 8/10 over 2.75, H2H ended 1-2, and mutual-opponent total is 3.45. Stal Mielec have conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away games and away GL_5 is 2.45 (accelerating bookmaker mispricing). Scoring: base 50 + gap 15 + home history 10 + away history 10 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 + away GL_5 4 + away defensive fragility 5 - away scoring drought 3 = 99 raw, capped at 82% standard tier. |
|
| 23-08-2026 17:00 |
Slovakia Super Liga |
MSK Zilina |
- |
KFC Komarno |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.35 (A=1.6, B=1.6, C=1.5, D=2.0) vs line 2.75; Zilina 6/10 over, Komarno 7/10 over, mutual-opponent total 3.03 also clears; H2H 1-0 and 1-3 split (neutral). Komarno conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (Vasas 3-1, Paksi 4-1, Kosice 2-1) and Zilina bookmaker mispricing GL_5=2.65. Score: base 50% + gap +12% + away history +8% + home GL_5 +6% + structural +5% + common opponents +5% = 86%, capped at 82%. |
|
| 23-08-2026 17:00 |
Iceland Premier League |
KA Akureyri |
- |
KR Reykjavik |
Over 10.5 Corners |
82% |
Expected corners 12.95 vs line 10.5 (home 4.70+conceded 7.70, away 8.10+conceded 5.40). Both teams cleared 10.5 in 70% of last 10: home 7/10, away 7/10; H2H produced 19 corners. Away KR's strong attacking volume and the 9-place quality gap support sustained pressure/corner over. Raw score 86 capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 23-08-2026 17:00 |
Iceland Premier League |
Keflavik |
- |
IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
Over 3.25 Goals |
75% |
Expected total 3.65 (A 1.80, B 1.80, C 1.60, D 2.10) vs 3.25 line, with mutual-opponents total 3.715 also clearing the line and away c_avg_on_target 5.63 as a structural Over signal. Keflavik last 10 are 30% over 3.25 and IBV last 10 are 50% over 3.25, but home market pricing error GL_5 1.90 adds edge and the sole H2H finished 6-1. |
|
| 23-08-2026 17:00 |
Türkiye Super Lig |
Goztepe |
- |
Genclerbirligi |
Goztepe -0.75 Asian Handicap |
68% |
Full-time goal line fails: expected total 2.70 vs line 2.75 with home 5/10 over and away 6/10 over; 1st half expected 1.45 vs 1.25 but home 3/10 over and away 4/10 over, so neither Over history qualifies. Goztepe are 4-1 ATS last 5 and 6-2-2 ATS last 10, won both H2H meetings 1-0 and 2-0, and mutual opponents show a 4-1 home advantage with net goals +0.5 vs 0.0, while Genclerbirligi's away record is 1W-0D-9L. Corners market has no offered line. |
|
| 23-08-2026 18:00 |
Czechia First League |
Sigma Olomouc |
- |
Pardubice |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.15 vs line 2.75 (home 2.30 scored/0.90 conceded, away 1.60 scored/1.50 conceded); home 8/10 over 2.75 (80%), away 7/10 (70%), Pardubice conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away, mutual-opponent total 2.93 clears the line. Confidence: 50 base +8 gap +10 home history +8 away history +0 H2H +5 common opponents +0 likelihood +0 GL5 +5 away defensive fragility = 86, capped at 82. |
|
| 23-08-2026 18:00 |
Uruguay Clausura |
Torque |
- |
Montevideo Wanderers |
Over 2.5 Goals |
72% |
Expected total is 2.75 (home 1.5 scored/1.5 conceded, away 1.5 scored/1.0 conceded), above the 2.5 line. Torque have gone over 2.5 in 6 of 10 home matches, H2H has 2 of 3 over 2.5, and Wanderers have conceded 2+ goals in each of their last 5 away matches (Penarol 5-1, Progreso 2-1, Boston River 4-1, Albion 2-1, Nacional 2-0). Mutual-opponent total of 2.99 also supports the Over. |
|
| 23-08-2026 18:30 |
Argentina Nacional B |
Club Ciudad de Bolivar |
- |
Racing de Cordoba |
Over 1.75 Goals |
80% |
Expected FT total = (0.90+1.00)/2 + (1.00+1.50)/2 = 2.20 vs 1.75 line. Both Club Ciudad de Bolivar and Racing de Cordoba are 7/10 (70%) over 1.75 in their last 10, mutual-opponent total is 2.40, and the one H2H finished 2-0. Confidence: base 50 + gap 9 + home history 8 + away history 8 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 - home scoring drought 3 = 80%. |
|
| 23-08-2026 18:30 |
Argentina Nacional B |
Deportivo Maipu |
- |
Quilmes |
Deportivo Maipu -0.25 Asian Handicap |
70% |
Maipu have covered -0.25 in 5 of their last 7 home matches (71%), and their home record is 7W-2D-3L against Quilmes' away record of 1W-4D-7L. Against mutual opponents, Maipu averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.86 conceded while Quilmes managed just 0.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded with 0 wins in 6 away games, giving a strong home-side edge on all five comparison stats. |
|
| 23-08-2026 18:30 |
Türkiye Super Lig |
Goztepe |
- |
Genclerbirligi |
Goztepe -0.75 Asian Handicap |
66% |
Goztepe's AH record is 4-1 in the last 5 and 6-2-2 in the last 10, and the mutual-opponent comparison strongly favours them: 5W-4D-1L vs 2W-3D-5L, goals NET +0.5 vs 0.0, plus shots and dangerous-attacks advantages. H2H also supports Goztepe, with wins of 1-0 at home and 2-0 away in the last two meetings. |
|
| 23-08-2026 19:00 |
Argentina Nacional B |
Club Atletico Temperley |
- |
Ferrocarril Midland |
Over 1.5/2.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time goals 2.25 (home 1.70 scored/0.70 conceded at home; away 1.20 scored/0.90 conceded away) vs current line 1.75, with shot-based match potential 4.65. Both teams have 70% of recent matches over the 1.75 line, and mutual-opponent totals produce 2.36 supporting over. Sole H2H was 0-0 but is a one-match sample treated as neutral; no meaningful market pricing error signal (GL_5 0.95/0.65). |
|
| 23-08-2026 19:00 |
Italy Serie B |
Palermo |
- |
Juve Stabia |
Over 2.25 Goals |
70% |
FT expected total 2.75 ((1.70+1.40)/2 + (1.30+1.10)/2) vs line 2.25, a +0.50 gap. Mutual opponents total 2.63 (Palermo 2.2/0.5 vs Juve Stabia 1.33/1.22) clears the line, and Juve Stabia conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away (Frosinone 4-1, Monza 2-1, Venezia 3-1, Mantova 2-0); H2H 2-2 and 1-0 is neutral. |
|
| 23-08-2026 19:00 |
Italy Serie B |
Palermo |
- |
Juve Stabia |
Over 2.25 Goals |
67% |
Expected total (1.70+1.40)/2+(1.30+1.10)/2=2.75 vs 2.25 line; shot-based match potential 5.16. Juve Stabia conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away (Frosinone 4, Monza 2, Venezia 3, Mantova 2); mutual opponents total 2.63 supports Over. Breakdown: 50+10+0+0+0+5-3+0+0+5=67%. |
|
| 23-08-2026 19:30 |
Spain La Liga |
Elche |
- |
Barcelona |
Elche +1.5 Asian Handicap |
66% |
Elche +1.5 covered in 9 of their last 10 matches (90%), with the only failure a 1-3 away loss to Celta Vigo. Against shared opponents, Elche posted 5W-4D-1L with a +0.8 goals NET while Barcelona posted 5W-1D-4L with +0.1 NET, tilting value to the home side. H2H is only 2 matches (both Barcelona by 2), so it is treated as neutral under the sample-size rule. |
|
| 23-08-2026 21:00 |
Guatemala Liga Nacional |
Deportivo Mixco |
- |
Guastatoya |
Deportivo Mixco -0.25 Asian Handicap |
72% |
Mixco have won 4 of their last 5 home matches and all four H2H meetings were won by the home side, including Mixco 1-0 and 2-0 at home. Mutual opponents show Mixco +1.1 goal differential vs Guastatoya -0.5, with all five matchup stats favouring the home side. Guastatoya's away form is 1W1D3L, failing to score first-half in all five away games. |
|
| 24-08-2026 23:00 |
Argentina Nacional B |
Ferro Carril Oeste |
- |
All Boys |
Over 1.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total 2.15 (home scored 1.60/conceded 1.20 at home; away scored 0.70/conceded 0.80 away) vs 1.75 line. Ferro 8/10 and All Boys 7/10 recent matches over 1.75; All Boys conceded 2+ in five straight away games (2,2,4,3,2), mutual-opponent total 2.36 supports over. H2H is a single 0-0 meeting (neutral), Ferro GL_5 1.60 marks moderate bookmaker mispricing; raw score 91.5 capped at 82. |
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