Schedule

Find Today's Tips & Predictions Mutual Opponents Comparison

Time	Home	Score	Away	Bet	Probability	Reasoning
15-08-2026 09:30	Metrostars	-	Croydon FC	Over 3.5 Goals	80%	FT expected total = (2.20 + 1.80)/2 + (2.90 + 1.00)/2 = 3.95 vs 3.5 line. Croydon away matches over 3.5 in 5/6, Metrostars home 3/5; H2H 2/3 over 3.5. Croydon conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away, away GL_5 1.55 moderate bookmaker mispricing; HT was weaker (home 1/5 over 1.5), so FT selected. Base 50 + gap +5 + away history +10 + H2H +5 + GL_5 away +5 + structural +5 = 80.
15-08-2026 09:30	FC Flora Tallinn Women	-	Paide Linnanaiskond Women	Over 3.5 Goals	82%	FT expected total 4.30 vs line 3.5 (home 2.20 scored + away 1.60 conceded /2 + away 2.90 scored + home 1.90 conceded /2). Home 6/10 and away 7/10 last matches over 3.5; mutual-opponent total 4.05; H2H split 3 and 6 goals; GL_5 1.35/1.10 is mild. Raw score 86 capped at 82 standard ceiling.
15-08-2026 09:30	Saku Sporting Women	-	Viimsi JK Women	Over 3.5/4.0 Goals	90%	Expected full-time goals are 4.95 (home scored 3.00, away conceded 2.00; away scored 2.50, home conceded 2.40) against the 3.5/4.0 line. Saku's last 10 matches went over 3.5 in 9 of 10, Viimsi's in 7 of 10, and H2H is 4/4 with 4+ total goals. Bookmaker mispricing is severe for both teams (GL_5 home 2.35, away 2.05), and Saku have scored 2+ in three straight home matches.
15-08-2026 10:00	Yanbian Longding	-	Dalian K'un City	Over 2.25 Goals	70%	Expected total is 2.80 (home 1.70 scored/1.10 conceded at home; away 1.20 scored/1.60 conceded away) against a 2.25 line. Mutual-opponent total 3.15 and H2H 1-2 (3 goals) lean Over; Dalian conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away (2-0,3-1,2-1,2-0). Home 5/10 and away 4/10 overall over 2.25, but away defensive fragility and mutual-opponent data support Over.
15-08-2026 10:00	Widzew Lodz II	-	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki	Over 3.25 Goals	82%	Expected FT total = (2.8+2.0)/2 + (2.0+1.3)/2 = 4.05 vs 3.25 line; shot model and mutual opponents (4.09 total) support over. Widzew and MKS Swit are both 6/10 recent over 3.25, MKS Swit conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away, and home GL_5 pricing error is 2.20 accelerating; H2H split 5-0/0-1. Corners have no line and 1H goal line is unavailable.
15-08-2026 10:00	FC Metalist Kharkiv	-	PFC Oleksandria	Over 2.0,2.5 Goals	79%	Full-time expected total 2.70 (A=1.40, B=1.70, C=1.30, D=1.00) vs 2.25 line; 1H expected 1.10 vs 1.0 line is weaker, so FT selected. Metalist 5/10 over 2.25, Oleksandria 6/10 over 2.25; mutual opponents total 3.0 supports Over; away market pricing error GL_5 1.70. Score: 50% base +10% gap +0% home history +5% away history +0% H2H +5% common opponents +3% likelihood +0% home GL_5 +2.5% away GL_5 +3% form surge (home 2+ in last 3 home games) = 78.5% rounded to 79.
15-08-2026 10:30	Busan I Park	-	Hwaseong FC	Over 2.75 Goals	82%	Expected full-time total is 3.70 (Busan home: 1.90 scored / 1.50 conceded; Hwaseong away: 2.50 scored / 1.50 conceded) against a 2.75 line, a +0.95 goals gap. Busan home last 10 went over 2.75 in 6 of 10 (60%) and Hwaseong away in 8 of 10 (80%); H2H totals were 5 and 2 goals in two meetings. Away GL_5 is 2.10, a strong bookmaker mispricing signal for Over, and combined likelihood over 2.5 is 70%, with mutual opponents (2.64 total) treated as neutral.
15-08-2026 10:30	Suwon Bluewings	-	Suwon FC	Over 2.75 Goals	82%	Expected full-time total = (1.7+1.3)/2 + (2.1+1.2)/2 = 3.15 vs line 2.75 (+0.40). Suwon Bluewings 7/10 (70%) and Suwon FC 8/10 (80%) recent matches went over 2.5/3.0, mutual opponents total 2.94 supports Over, and the single H2H (3-1) is neutral. Home GL_5 of 1.70 with accelerating trend adds a market pricing-error edge; raw score 86.5% capped at 82% because the line gap is under 0.5.
15-08-2026 10:30	Chungbuk Cheongju	-	Jeonnam Dragons	Over 2.5 Goals	82%	Expected total 3.45 (home 1.5 scored / 2.0 conceded at home; away 1.3 scored / 2.1 conceded away) vs 2.5 line, with shot-based match potential 6.33 supporting Over. Home 7/10 and away 6/10 recent matches over 2.5; H2H 2/2 over; mutual-opponent total 3.06; away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away; away market pricing error GL_5 1.90 aligns Over. Confidence: 50% base +15% gap +8% home +5% away +5% common opponents +4% away GL_5 +5% defensive fragility = 92%, capped at 82% standard.
15-08-2026 10:30	Casuarina FC	-	Garuda FC	Over 4.5 Goals	82%	Expected full-time total: (1.80+5.00)/2 + (0.90+2.40)/2 = 5.05 vs line 4.5. Casuarina 5/10 (50%) and Garuda 8/10 (80%) recent matches over 4.5; Garuda have conceded 2+ in all last 5 away games and 9.14 shots on target conceded in mutual opponents. Breakdown: 50 base +10 gap +0 home hist +10 away hist +0 H2H +5 common opponents +3 likelihood +0 GL_5 home +4 GL_5 away +5 away defensive fragility = 87 raw capped at 82 standard ceiling.
15-08-2026 11:00	KIF Orebro Women	-	Orebro SK Women	1st Half Over 1.0,1.5 Goals	70%	Expected first-half goals = 1.70 (home HT scored 1.40/conceded 0.40; away HT scored 1.00/conceded 0.60) vs the 1.0/1.5 line, gap +0.45. Home KIF and away Orebro SK are each 6/10 (60%) over 1.25 HT goals in their last 10, and the latest H2H had 2 first-half goals; full-time was weaker (3.55 vs 3.25, home/away history 40%/30% over). Scoring: base 50 + gap +5 + home HT +5 + away HT +5 + quality-gap structural +5 = 70.
15-08-2026 11:00	Ängby IF	-	Kungsängens IF	Ängby IF -0.75 Asian Handicap	70%	Ängby IF sit 3rd (31 pts) vs Kungsängens 12th (10 pts) and have covered the Asian Handicap in 8 of their last 10 (1 void, 1 loss). Kungsängens have lost 9 of their last 10 away matches (0W-1D-9L, 5 scored, 27 conceded). Mutual-opponent data strongly favors Ängby: W4 D1 L1 and 1.17–0.67 avg goals vs Kungsängens W0 D1 L5 and 0.67–2.50.
15-08-2026 11:00	BK Olympic	-	Ariana FC Malmo	Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half)	69%	Full-time Over 3.0 failed the 60%+ match-history threshold (home 40%, away 50%). First-half expected total is 1.95 vs a 1.25 line (home HT GF/GA 1.20/0.80, away HT GF/GA 1.10/0.80), with Ariana over 1.25 first-half in 60% and BK Olympic in 50%. The two prior H2H meetings produced 3 and 8 total goals, supporting goal-over bias.
15-08-2026 11:00	Torslanda IK	-	Dalstorps IF	Over 2.75 Goals	76%	FT expected total = (1.70+1.20)/2 + (2.10+1.20)/2 = 3.10 vs line 2.75 (+0.35). Torslanda 7/10 recent matches over 2.75 (70%), Dalstorps 6/10 (60%); mutual-opponent total 3.10 clears the line; H2H 0-0 is only one match (neutral). Scoring: Base 50 + gap 5 + home history 8 + away history 5 + mutual +5 + likelihood +3 = 76%; GL5 1.25/1.30 mild, no structural upgrade.
15-08-2026 11:00	Jonsereds IF	-	Onsala BK	Over 3.25 Goals	66%	Expected full-time total is 3.30 vs a 3.25 line (Jonsereds 1.40 scored/2.00 conceded at home; Onsala 1.80 scored/1.40 conceded away), and the shot-based match potential is 6.47, both leaning Over. Jonsereds are 6/10 over 3.25 in their last 10, H2H is neutral at 2 games (1-0, 2-3), and both teams show GL_5 bookmaker mispricing of 1.55 aligning with Over.
15-08-2026 11:00	Liaoning Ironman	-	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	Over 3 Goals	76%	Expected FT total 3.45 ((1.80+2.00)/2 + (1.70+1.40)/2) vs line 3.0; home and away are each 6/10 over 3.0 in last 10. Mutual-opponent total is 3.50 vs line 3.0, and Shenzhen away conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away while scoring 0 in last 5 away. Score 76% = base 50 + gap 9 + home history 5 + away history 5 + common opponents 5 + away defensive fragility 5 - away scoring drought 3 (H2H 1 match neutral; likelihood/GL_5 excluded under stacking discipline).
15-08-2026 11:00	Wuxi Wugo	-	Guangdong GZ-Power		65%	Wuxi +0.75 is supported by venue-matched mutual opponents: Wuxi won 4 of 5 net stat categories (total shots +3.25 net, dangerous attacks +25 vs Guangdong +9.75, goals net +0.5 vs +0.25) and have covered +0.75 in 6 of 9 recent matches. Guangdong's -0.75 has only 3 outright multi-goal wins in 10, but their 1st-place standing caps confidence at 65.
15-08-2026 11:00	Smedby AIS	-	IF Eker Örebro	Smedby AIS -1.25 Asian Handicap	66%	Smedby AIS (6th, 26 pts) are 12 points clear of IF Eker Örebro (12th, 14 pts), with a home record of 5-1-2 against IF Eker's 1-1-6 away. Mutual opponents give Smedby a 5/5 stat advantage, and IF Eker have lost 5 of 6 away to shared opponents while conceding 2.83 goals per game. Smedby's recent AH cover rate is the main drag (2 of last 8 by -1.25), so confidence is limited to 66.
15-08-2026 11:00	Holbæk	-	Sundby	Over 3.0,3.5 Goals	70%	Expected goals 3.45 vs 3.25 line (Holbæk home 2.80 scored/0.80 conceded, Sundby away 1.30 scored/2.00 conceded). Mutual-opponent total 3.58, and Sundby conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away with 6.8 conceded shots on target. Over 3.25 hit 5/10 for both sides, H2H split 2/4, and away GL_5 1.75 signals moderate bookmaker mispricing toward Over.
15-08-2026 11:00	VfL Osnabruck	-	Magdeburg	Over 1.0,1.5 First Half Goals	73%	First-half expected total 1.60 (Osnabruck 0.50 scored/0.90 conceded at home; Magdeburg 0.90/0.90 away) clears the 1.0,1.5 line by 0.35 goals. Both sides show severe goal-line market pricing error (home GL_5 2.45, away GL_5 2.10, both accelerating), supporting more first-half goals than priced. H2H is empty, so the edge rests on the expected total gap plus bookmaker mispricing.
15-08-2026 11:00	Hertha Berlin	-	Heidenheim	Over 2.75 Goals	82%	FT expected total 3.55 (A=2.10, B=1.60, C=2.00, D=1.40) vs 2.75 line, a +0.80 gap. Away match history is 6/10 over 2.75 (60%) and home 5/10 (50%), H2H empty, mutual-opponents total 5.17 supports Over, and GL_5 mispricing is home 1.75 (moderate) and away 2.00 (strong/accelerating). Raw score 88% capped at standard ceiling 82%: Base 50 + gap 15 + away history 5 + common opponents 5 + GL_5 home 5 + GL_5 away 8.
15-08-2026 11:30	Guangxi Hengchen	-	Meizhou Hakka	Over 3 Goals	76%	Expected FT total: A=2.00, B=1.60, C=1.40, D=1.90 → (2.00+1.60)/2+(1.40+1.90)/2=3.45 vs line 3.0 (+0.45 gap). Home Over 3.0 in 5 of 8 decided (62.5%) and away in 5 of 9 (55.6%); H2H was 2-1 (push). Home bookmaker mispricing GL_5 2.25 is strong, and top-4 vs bottom-4 quality gap plus away defensive fragility (3 of last 5 away conceded 2+) support Over 3.0.
15-08-2026 11:30	Barry Town	-	Cardiff MU	Over 2.5/3.0 Goals	81%	Expected total 3.15 goals (Barry home: 1.7 scored/1.2 conceded; Cardiff away: 2.4 scored/1.0 conceded) clears the 2.75 line by 0.40. Match history supports Over: 6/10 Barry matches and 7/10 Cardiff MU matches went over 2.5. Both sides show elevated goal-line market pricing error (Barry GL_5 1.55, Cardiff GL_5 1.75) with accelerating mispricing, aligning with the Over.
15-08-2026 11:30	FK Teplice Women	-	Sigma Olomouc Women	Over 3.5 Goals	82%	Expected total 4.70 vs 3.5 line (home 1.20 scored/3.30 conceded at home; away 1.40 scored/3.50 conceded away); shot-based potential 6.34 supports Over. Home 6/7 over 3.5, away 3/6 over 3.5, H2H empty, mutual opponents total 4.67 supports Over, away conceded 2+ in 3+ recent away games. Bookmaker mispricing: home GL_5 2.20, away GL_5 2.90 both accelerating; scoring: Base 50% + gap +15% + home history +10% + away history +0% + H2H +0% + common opponents +0% + likelihood +0% + GL_5 home +8% + GL_5 away +12% + structural away defensive fragility +5% + scoring drought +0% = 100% capped at 82%.
15-08-2026 11:30	Standard Liege Women	-	Bayer Leverkusen Women		67%	Standard have covered +2.75 in 8 of their last 9 matches (89%); Bayer Leverkusen have won by 4+ in only 2 of their last 10 (7-0, 0-4), so -2.75 has only 2 clean covers in 10. Expected goals (home 1.00, away 2.15) project a 1.15-goal deficit, well inside the +2.75 cap. Goal line 4.0 lacks qualifying history support (home Over 4 1/9, away Over 4 2/10), so Asian Handicap is the best value market.
15-08-2026 12:00	Lørenskog	-	Eidsvold TF	Over 2.5 Goals	82%	Expected total 3.55 ((1.70+1.30)/2 + (2.90+1.20)/2) vs 2.5 line. Home Lørenskog 3/5 home games over 2.5, Eidsvold 5/5 away games over 2.5; H2H one 0-0 (neutral), mutual opponents total 3.58. Breakdown: 50 base +15 gap +5 home +10 away +0 H2H +5 common +0 likelihood +4 home GL_5 2.00 bookmaker mispricing +0 away GL_5 +0 structural = 89 raw capped at 82 standard ceiling.
15-08-2026 12:00	Torns IF	-	IFK Berga	Over 1.25 First Half Goals	75%	Expected 1st-half total is 1.90 (Torns 0.80 home scored/1.20 conceded, Berga 1.40 away scored/0.40 conceded) vs a 1.25 line (+0.65 gap). Both teams are 6/10 over 1.25 HT goals in their last 10 relevant matches, and the H2H was 4-0 at the break; away side IFK Berga (4th vs 10th) pressed early in that meeting. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (GL_5 1.30 home, 0.85 away), so edge comes from the gap and the HT records.
15-08-2026 12:00	IFK Karlshamn	-	IFK Trelleborg	IFK Trelleborg -0.75 Asian Handicap	67%	IFK Trelleborg sit 5th with 23 pts against bottom-side IFK Karlshamn on 8 pts, and have covered the Asian Handicap in 4 of their last 5 (80%) while Karlshamn are 0-1-4 ATS last 5. Karlshamn have lost four of their last five by 2+ goals, and the mutual opponent comparison is a weak 3-2 stat lean to Trelleborg; goal-line angles fail because Over 3.25 lacks history (home 57%, away 30%) and Under 3.25 scores only 71%, below the 72% Under bar.
15-08-2026 12:00	Esbjerg	-	Hobro IK	Hobro IK +0.5 Asian Handicap	68%	Hobro have covered +0.5 in 4 of their last 5 away matches (80%), while Esbjerg are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 and have yet to win at home this season; Hobro also sit 5th vs Esbjerg 7th. Both prior H2H meetings (1-1 and 2-0) would have covered Hobro +0.5.
15-08-2026 12:00	AIFK	-	EPS	Over 1.25 First Half Goals	78%	Expected 1st-half total is 1.70 (AIFK 0.80 scored/0.70 conceded at home HT, EPS 1.00 scored/0.90 conceded away HT) vs a 1.25 line, a +0.45 goal gap. EPS have gone over 1.25 HT goals in 6 of their last 10 (60%), and the one H2H had 2 first-half goals. Bookmaker mispricing is aligned: AIFK GL_5 of 1.85 (strong, accelerating) and EPS GL_5 of 1.60 both favour the over.
15-08-2026 12:00	SC Freiburg	-	Crystal Palace	Over 1.0,1.5 First Half Goals	69%	First-half expected total is 1.65 goals (home 1.00 scored + away 0.90 conceded = 0.95; away 0.60 scored + home 0.80 conceded = 0.70), +0.40 above the 1.25 split-line midpoint. Freiburg played over the 2-goal threshold in 7 of 10 first halves (70%), Crystal Palace in 5 of 10 (50%); no H2H data. Home GL_5 is 1.45 (mild, below 1.5) and away 0.65, so no bookmaker mispricing boost.
15-08-2026 12:00	FC Roskilde	-	Middelfart	Over 3.0 Goals	71%	FT expected total = (1.60+1.40)/2 + (2.20+1.70)/2 = 3.45 vs 3.00 line; Middelfart 6/10 recent matches over 3.0, Roskilde 5/10. Middelfart's recent away fragility is stark: conceded 2+ in Hobro 3-2, HB Køge 2-0, Lyngby 4-1, Aarhus Fremad 4-1, Silkeborg 8-2. Scoring: Base 50 + gap 5 + home history 0 + away history 5 + H2H 0 + common opponents 0 + likelihood 3 + bookmaker mispricing 0 + away fragility 5 + form momentum 3 = 71%. HT was weaker (expected 1.65 vs 1.25 line, home 40%/away 50% HT overs), so FT Over 3.0 is the best bet.
15-08-2026 12:00	SC Preussen Munster	-	FC Ingolstadt	Over 4.5 Corners (1st Half)	80%	Expected 1H corners 5.60 vs 4.50 line (+1.10); home 60% and away 90% last-10 over 4.5 HT corners, with away conceding 3.90 HT corners away (structural Over). No H2H to contradict. Score: Base 50% + gap 10% + home history 5% + away history 10% + structural 5% = 80%.
15-08-2026 12:00	HIFK	-	Atlantis	Over 1.75 First Half Goals	76%	Expected first-half total 2.35 (HIFK 1.10 scored/0.60 conceded at home HT; Atlantis 1.70 scored/1.30 conceded away HT) vs line 1.75. HIFK 50% (4/8) and Atlantis 80% (8/10) over 1.75 HT line; away GL_5 2.95 severe bookmaker mispricing aligns with Over, and Atlantis conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away games.
15-08-2026 13:00	Hammarby Women	-	Pitea IF Women	Over 1.5 First Half Goals	77%	Expected 1st-half total is 1.55 vs line 1.5: Hammarby home HT avg 1.30 scored / 0.40 conceded, Pitea away HT avg 0.80 scored / 0.60 conceded ((1.30+0.60)/2 + (0.80+0.40)/2 = 1.55). Hammarby have over 1.5 HT in 3 of 4 home matches (75%) and Pitea away in 3 of 5 (60%); Pitea score 60% of goals before 30 mins and Hammarby have 10 straight home wins with 31 goals scored. H2H HT sample is only one match (1-0 Under) and market pricing error is mild, so confidence is 77%.
15-08-2026 13:00	Mjondalen	-	Eik Tønsberg	Over 3.0,3.5 Goals	72%	Expected FT total is 3.60 (A=1.70, B=2.80, C=1.50, D=1.20) vs a 3.25 line. Eik Tønsberg's away defence is fragile: 2.80 goals conceded per game, 6.6 shots on target conceded, and 2+ conceded in 4 straight away matches (4-3, 3-1, 2-0, 6-0). Mjondalen's 2nd vs 14th quality gap and Eik's severe GL_5 market pricing error (3.15) support Over; away history 60% over 3.25, home 30%, H2H one meeting ended 1-2 under the line but sample is neutral.
15-08-2026 13:00	MuSa	-	EBK	Over 3.5/4.0 Goals	82%	Expected FT total = (1.20+3.10)/2 + (1.50+2.70)/2 = 4.25 vs 3.75 line. EBK's last 10 matches are 70% over 3.5 (7/10), MuSa 50% (5/10); EBK conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches, and EBK away GL_5 is 1.80 (moderate bookmaker mispricing), while shot-based potential is 5.83. H2H has only one match (2-0 under), so neutral.
15-08-2026 13:00	Spakenburg	-	Katwijk	Over 3.0/3.5 Goals	73%	Expected total 3.55 (home 1.90 scored/1.30 conceded at home; away 2.10 scored/1.80 conceded away) vs line 3.0/3.5. Katwijk have conceded 2+ in all of their last 5 away matches and the mutual-opponents combined average is 3.95, with away record 6/10 over the line.
15-08-2026 13:00	Kozakken Boys	-	IJsselmeervogels	Over 3.0 Goals	82%	Expected FT total 3.95 (home 1.90 scored/1.70 conceded at home; away 3.10 scored/1.20 conceded away) vs line 3.0. FT histories 4/10 home and 4/10 away over 3.0 with 3 pushes each, H2H split 1-1; 1H expectation 1.55 vs 1.25 was lower-confidence (73%). Bookmaker mispricing is severe away (GL_5 3.50) and moderate home (1.80), both accelerating; away c_avg_on_target 6.5 flags a leaky defence, raw score 90 capped at 82.
15-08-2026 13:00	Barendrecht	-	HHC Hardenberg	Over 3.25 Goals	80%	Full-time Over 3.25 is the best bet: expected total is 3.75 goals (Barendrecht home 1.60 scored/2.70 conceded; HHC away 1.70 scored/1.50 conceded) vs the 3.25 line, with shot-based potential 6.94 and mutual-opponent total 3.70 also clearing. Barendrecht are 6/10 over this line (60%), HHC are 4/10 (40%), and bookmaker mispricing is moderate for both (home GL_5 1.65, away GL_5 1.50); H2H is two matches and treated neutral. The 1st-half expected total is 1.20 vs 1.25, so the full-time Over carries the stronger signal.
15-08-2026 13:00	Amazulu	-	Siwelele FC	Over 2.0 Goals	82%	Expected total 2.70 (home 1.30 scored / 1.20 conceded at home; away 1.40 scored / 1.50 conceded away) vs line 2.0. Amazulu 4/10 and Siwelele 3/10 over 2.0, H2H empty. Common-opponents mutual total 2.78 and away c_avg_on_target 5.75 support Over, with away GL_5 bookmaker mispricing severe at 2.90 and accelerating; raw score capped at 82% standard ceiling.
15-08-2026 13:30	VPS-J	-	JS Hercules	VPS-J -2.25 Asian Handicap	65%	VPS-J score 3.10 goals per home game and JS Hercules concede 2.70 per away game; H2H ended 5-1 to VPS-J. Common opponents strongly favor VPS-J (avg goals 3.9 vs 1.4 conceded; JS Hercules 1.13 vs 2.63 conceded, all five net stats favor VPS-J). VPS-J covered -2.25 in 6 of 10 home games while JS Hercules covered +2.25 in 4 of 6 away games.
15-08-2026 13:30	Almere City Reserves	-	Rijnsburgse Boys	Over 1.5 First Half Goals	82%	Expected first-half total is 1.95 vs line 1.5, with home 60% (6/10) and away 80% (8/10) over 1.5 HT, and H2H HT 2-0 over. Away conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away, mutual opponents total 4.3>3.5, and market pricing error is strong (home GL_5 2.15, away 2.30, both accelerating). Confidence 82% capped at standard ceiling.
15-08-2026 14:00	Augnablik Kopavogur	-	Reynir Sandgerdi	Over 1.5/2.0 First Half Goals	76%	Full-time expected total is 4.75 vs 4.0/4.5, but Augnablik home FT history is only 3/10 over 4.25, failing the 60% threshold, so the 1H signal is stronger. Expected 1H total is (0.80+1.00)/2 + (1.20+0.60)/2 = 1.80 vs 1.75 line, with Reynir away over 1.5/2.0 HT in 9/10 matches (90%) and Augnablik home 5/10 (50%). Recent H2H first half was 2-0, and bookmaker mispricing GL_5 of 1.80/1.55 for home/away supports the over direction.
15-08-2026 14:00	Laholms FK	-	Jonkopings Sodra	Over 2.5,3.0 Goals	77%	Expected full-time total 3.10 (home 1.80 scored/2.00 conceded at home; away 1.40 scored/1.00 conceded away) clears the 2.75 line. Home are 8/10 over 2.5, away are 5/10 over in away games, H2H ended 2-1, and mutual opponents total 3.67; away market pricing error GL_5 2.20 supports the over.
15-08-2026 14:00	IFK Skövde FK	-	Herrestads AIF	Over 3.25 Goals	75%	Full-time expected total is 3.60 (home 2.10 scored/1.30 conceded; away 1.90/1.90) vs a 3.0/3.5 line, and shot-based expected total is 3.6. Herrestads are 6/10 over this line and have conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away matches, while IFK Skövde are 4/10 over; mutual-opponent totals average 3.7. One H2H finished 1-2 (neutral sample) and GL_5 is below the strong-mispricing threshold for both teams.
15-08-2026 14:00	Kristianstad FC	-	Tvååkers IF	Over 2.75 Goals	67%	FT expected total = (1.00+1.60)/2 + (1.60+1.40)/2 = 2.80 vs 2.75 line; shot-based match potential is 31.8/7.35 = 4.33, agreeing Over. Tvååkers have hit over 2.75 in 70% of last 10 (7/10) and in 5 straight matches, while Kristianstad are 50% (5/10) not contradicting; H2H is only one match (1-2, total 3, neutral). Confidence: 50 base +1 gap +0 home history +8 away history +0 H2H +0 common opponents +0 likelihood +0 GL_5 home (ambiguous +0.05 gap) +0 GL_5 away +5 structural weak-goalkeeper/high-shots-conceded (5.9 SOT/game away) +3 away form momentum = 67%.
15-08-2026 14:00	Maardu Linnameeskond	-	FC Tallinn	Maardu Linnameeskond -0.75 Asian Handicap	68%	Maardu cover on standings gap (6th vs 8th overall; 5th vs 9th on home/away splits) and mutual opponents, where Maardu hold all five stat advantages (goals net -0.7 vs -1.37, shots-on-target net -2.2 vs -2.37, W5-D1-L4 vs W2-D2-L4). Maardu's AH record is 7-2-1 in their last 10; H2H is only two draws, so neutral. Goal line Over was rejected: expected total 3.65 vs 3.75 line with home 50% and away 60% over 3.5, so no 65% edge there.
15-08-2026 14:00	KFG Gardabaer	-	Fjardabyggd	Over 1.75 Goals (1st Half)	72%	Expected 1st-half total 2.10 (home HT scored 0.6, home HT conceded 2.0, away HT scored 0.7, away HT conceded 0.9) vs line 1.75, a +0.35 gap. KFG are Over 1.75 HT in 8/10 (80%) and Fjardabyggd 5/10 (50%); the only H2H HT available was 3-1 at the break. Home GL_5 market pricing error is 1.60 (moderate) supporting Over, while KFG's home 1st-half defensive leak (2.00 conceded) is the key structural Over signal.
15-08-2026 14:00	Sunderland	-	Rennes	Over 2.75 Goals	82%	Expected total 3.55 (home scored 1.60, away conceded 2.00, away scored 2.10, home conceded 1.40) vs 2.75 line, gap +0.80. Rennes are 10/10 over 2.5 goals and conceded 2+ in all of their last 5 away games (3,3,3,3,4); Sunderland are 5/10 over 2.5. Breakdown: base 50% + gap 15% + away history 10% + home GL_5 2.05/1.78 accelerating +8% + away GL_5 1.70/1.28 accelerating +5% + away defensive fragility +5% = 93%, capped at 82% standard ceiling.
15-08-2026 14:00	OLS	-	RoPS	Over 3.5 Goals	71%	OLS home: 1.90 scored, 1.80 conceded; RoPS away: 2.30 scored, 1.50 conceded -> expected total 3.75 vs 3.5 line. Both teams 5/10 recent matches over 3.5; H2H none. Market pricing error GL_5 home 2.05 (accelerating) and away 1.85 (stabilising) both >1.8 support Over. Score: 50 base +5 gap +8 home error +8 away error = 71.
15-08-2026 14:00	Forfar	-	Stirling	Over 2.5 Goals	82%	Expected FT total = (0.70+1.50)/2 + (1.40+2.90)/2 = 3.25 vs line 2.5 (+0.75). Forfar 6/10 over 2.5, H2H 3/4 over (0-3, 0-4, 4-2), mutual-opponent total 3.35, and Stirling's 7.33 c_avg_on_target support Over. Stirling's away GL_5 1.90 with accelerating trend adds bookmaker mispricing edge.
15-08-2026 14:00	Dumbarton	-	FC Edinburgh	Over 2.75 Goals	77%	Expected full-time total 3.20 (home 0.80 scored/2.40 conceded at home; away 1.20 scored/2.00 conceded away) vs line 2.75. H2H is 3/3 Over 2.75 (1-2, 4-3, 1-2), mutual opponents total 2.83, away FC Edinburgh conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away, and home bookmaker mispricing GL5 1.80 supports the Over. Scoring: base 50 + gap 9 + H2H 5 + common opponents 5 + home GL5 2.5 + away fragility 5 = 76.5, rounded 77.
15-08-2026 14:00	Annan Athletic	-	Clyde	Over 2.5,3.0 Goals	82%	Expected FT goals: (1.30+2.20)/2 + (1.30+2.40)/2 = 3.60 vs 2.5/3.0 line. Annan 6/10 and Clyde 8/10 recent matches over 2.5; mutual-opponent total 3.10 supports over, and Annan GL_5 market pricing error is 1.85. Raw score 93% capped at standard 82% ceiling.
15-08-2026 14:00	Union Saint Gilloise	-	Zulte-Waregem	Over 3.0 Goals	82%	Expected full-time total is 3.75 (USG 2.60 home scored, Zulte 1.00 away conceded, Zulte 2.40 away scored, USG 1.50 home conceded) against a 3.0 line. USG have gone over 3.0 in 8 of 10 matches with one push and are on a home scoring surge; H2H totals 2, 3, 5 are mixed but not a veto. Bookmaker mispricing is high (home GL_5 2.05, accelerating) and common opponents total 3.04 just clears 3.0, supporting the Over at the 82% standard ceiling.
15-08-2026 14:00	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	-	MSK Zilina B	Over 2.5,3.0 Goals	76%	Expected total 3.25 = (1.40+2.10)/2 + (1.50+1.50)/2 vs 2.75 line. Home 5/10 (50%) and away 6/10 (60%) of recent matches go over the line; H2H 1-4 and 3-1 both over. Away side conceded 2+ in four of last five away matches, and home have scored 2+ in their last three home matches.
15-08-2026 14:00	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	-	Anderlecht II	Over 2.5,3.0 Goals	82%	Full-time expected total is 3.40 (A 1.30, B 1.70, C 1.90, D 1.90) vs a 2.75 line; Patro 6/10 and Anderlecht II 7/10 recent matches cleared 2.5 goals, and mutual-opponents total is 3.39. Anderlecht II have conceded 2+ in each of their last 5 away games (RWD 2, Lokeren 4, Beerschot 4, Lommel 2, Genk II 3); H2H was 0-0 twice but is neutral at 2 matches; GL_5 is 1.60 for both teams (home accelerating). Confidence: 50 base +10 gap +5 home history +8 away history +0 H2H +5 common opponents +0 likelihood +0 GL_5 home/away +5 structural = 83 raw, capped at 82 standard ceiling.
15-08-2026 14:00	Plymouth	-	Stockport	Over 4.5 First Half Corners	82%	HT expected corners ((3.70+1.80)/2)+((4.10+2.10)/2)=5.85 vs 4.5 line; Plymouth 7/10 (70%) and Stockport 6/10 (60%) have gone Over 4.5 HT corners. Goal line was weaker (FT expected 2.60 vs 2.75, HT expected 1.10 vs 1.25) so HT corners is the best edge.
15-08-2026 14:00	Crusaders	-	Ballymena Utd	Over 2.5 Goals	70%	Full-time expected total 2.95 (home 1.80 scored/0.90 conceded at home; away 2.00 scored/1.20 conceded away) vs 2.75 line. Ballymena over 2.75 in 6/10 matches and scored 2+ in 4 of last 5 away; mutual-opponents total 2.85. Crusaders GL_5 bookmaker mispricing 1.55 and accelerating vs away 0.85, H2H 2-2 and 1-1 neutral, confidence ~70%.
15-08-2026 14:00	Bangor FC	-	Cliftonville	Over 2.5,3.0 Goals	82%	Expected FT total 3.05 (A=1.30, B=1.70, C=1.40, D=1.70) vs 2.75 line, with shot-based potential 5.74 and mutual-opponent total 3.04 supporting Over; Bangor 5/10 over 2.75, Cliftonville 9/10 over 2.75, and Cliftonville conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (Larne 2-0, Glentoran 3-0, Ballymena 2-2). Home bookmaker mispricing GL_5 1.85 accelerating (away 0.30) aligns Over. Scoring: Base 50 + gap 5 + home hist 0 + away hist 10 + H2H 0 + common opp 5 + likelihood 3 + GL_5 home 4 + GL_5 away 0 + structural 5 = 82 (standard cap).
15-08-2026 14:00	Kidderminster	-	Eastleigh	Over 2.5/3.0 Goals	65%	Full-time expected total 2.65 (A 2.00, B 1.50, C 0.90, D 0.90) vs 2.75 line, with shot-based match potential 4.51 and mutual-opponent total 6.25 supporting Over. Kidderminster 6/10 and Eastleigh 5/10 over the line; Eastleigh away c_avg_on_target 5.1 is a structural weak-goalkeeper/high-shots signal. Breakdown: 50 base +5 home history +5 common opponents +5 structural +3 form -3 Eastleigh scoring drought = 65.
15-08-2026 14:00	Barrow	-	AFC Hornchurch	Over 2.5 Goals	78%	FT expected total 2.85 vs 2.5 line: (1.20+1.00)/2 + (2.00+1.50)/2 = 2.85, while 1st half expected only 1.05 vs 1.0 so FT Over is stronger. Barrow 5/10 and Hornchurch 6/10 recent matches went over 2.5; Hornchurch conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (4,5,4 at Enfield/Maidstone/Dover). H2H empty and mutual opponents unavailable; bookmaker mispricing GL_5 home 1.60 and away 1.70 both align with Over.
15-08-2026 14:00	Halifax	-	Boreham Wood	Over 2.5,3.0 Goals	82%	Expected total 3.80 goals (A 1.9, B 1.0, C 1.9, D 2.8) clears the 2.5/3.0 line; Halifax's last 5 home games all went over 2.5 (7,4,8,4,3 total goals) and Boreham Wood's last 5 away all went over 2.5 (5,5,5,4,5). Halifax GL_5 market pricing error is 2.45, Boreham Wood have conceded 2+ in each of their last 5 away games, and H2H (3-2, 2-1) also points Over.
15-08-2026 14:00	Tamworth	-	AFC Fylde	Over 3.0 Goals	70%	Expected FT total 3.55 vs the 3.0 line (home 2.20 scored/1.50 conceded at home; away 1.70 scored/1.70 conceded away), and mutual-opponent total 4.40 supports Over. AFC Fylde have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away games (Warrington Rylands twice, Merthyr Town), with mutual-opponent away c_avg_on_target 6.0 flagging defensive fragility. Confidence: Base 50 + gap 10 + common opponents 5 + defensive fragility 5 = 70.
15-08-2026 14:00	Sutton Utd	-	Altrincham	Sutton Utd -0.5 Asian Handicap	70%	Sutton sit 2nd (3 pts, 3-0) to Altrincham's 20th (0 pts, 1-3) and won 4 of their last 5 outright (3-0, 3-2, 2-1, 2-0), covering -0.5 each time. Altrincham hold a 1W-4L Asian Handicap record over their last 5, and the venue-matched mutual-opponent comparison leans Sutton 3-2 on shots/dangerous attacks. The two H2H Altrincham wins are treated neutral under the 2-match rule.
15-08-2026 14:00	Aldershot	-	Hartlepool	Over 2.5,3.0 Goals	82%	Expected total 3.30 vs line 2.75 (Aldershot 1.10 scored/1.10 conceded at home; Hartlepool 1.70 scored/2.70 conceded away). Hartlepool away are 8/10 over 2.75 and conceded 2+ in each of their last 5 away games. Away market pricing error 2.25 (home 0.90) adds edge; H2H only 2 matches (1-0, 0-3) so neutral.
15-08-2026 14:00	AFC Totton	-	Billericay Town	Over 2.75 Goals	82%	Expected FT total 3.60 vs 2.75 line (home scored 1.30/conceded 2.00 at home; away scored 2.80/conceded 1.10 away). Home 7/10 and away 8/10 over 2.75, with H2H and mutual opponents neutral; home GL_5 1.50 shows moderate bookmaker mispricing. Raw score 91.5 capped at 82 standard ceiling.
15-08-2026 14:00	Tonbridge Angels	-	Torquay	Over 2.5/3.0 Goals	82%	Full-time expected total is 3.50 ([2.30+1.40]/2 + [1.90+1.40]/2) against a 2.75 line; both Tonbridge and Torquay are 7/10 over that line in their last 10. Two H2H meetings both finished 1-2/1-2 (3 goals, small sample), and Torquay conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away games; home GL_5 bookmaker mispricing is 1.80, aligned with Over. Raw score 96% capped at standard 82% ceiling.
15-08-2026 14:00	Horsham	-	Salisbury FC	Over 2.5,3.0 Goals	74%	Expected total 3.15 (Horsham 1.10 scored/1.50 conceded home; Salisbury 2.40 scored/1.30 conceded away) vs line 2.75. Salisbury's last 10 matches are 8 of 10 over 2.5 and they conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 4 away matches (Tonbridge 3-2, AFC Totton 2-1, Slough 3-3), while Salisbury GL_5 1.50 signals moderate bookmaker mispricing toward the over. H2H is split (2-1, 1-1), so no veto; the away defensive fragility and +0.40 expected-goal gap support Over 2.5/3.0 at 2.00.
15-08-2026 14:00	Macclesfield	-	Radcliffe FC	Over 3.0 Goals	82%	Expected FT total = (1.80+2.40)/2 + (1.20+1.10)/2 = 3.25 vs 3.0 line; mutual-opponent total = 3.80; Radcliffe 6/10 over 3.0 and conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away. Scoring: base 50 + gap 5 + away history 5 + common opponents 5 + GL_5 home 5 + GL_5 away 8 + away fragility 5 = 83 raw, capped at 82; H2H 2 matches neutral.
15-08-2026 14:00	Harborough Town	-	Morecambe	Over 2.5,3.0 Goals	81%	Expected full-time total is 3.35 (home scored 2.00 home, away conceded 2.00 away, away scored 1.40 away, home conceded 1.30 home) vs 2.75 line; 7/10 Harborough and 6/10 Morecambe recent matches exceeded 2.75. Morecambe conceded 2+ in each of last 5 away games (5,2,3,2,4) and Harborough GL_5 is 1.60, supporting Over. Confidence: base 50 + gap 10 + home history 8 + away history 5 + GL_5 home 3 + defensive fragility 5 = 81.
15-08-2026 14:00	Leamington	-	Kettering	Over 2.5 Goals	82%	Expected full-time total is 3.15 goals (Leamington home 1.70 scored/1.90 conceded; Kettering away 1.70 scored/1.00 conceded) vs a 2.5 line, a +0.65 gap. Leamington are 8/10 over 2.5 in their matches, and Kettering have conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away games (Real Bedford 3-1, Stamford 2-1, Alvechurch 2-0, Quorn 2-1); home GL_5 bookmaker mispricing is 1.95 and accelerating vs 1.40, supporting Over.
15-08-2026 14:00	Bromsgrove	-	Anstey Nomads	Over 2.5,3.0 Goals	72%	Expected FT total 3.45 vs line 2.75: (0.90+1.50)/2 + (2.30+2.20)/2 = 3.45; HT expected 1.60 vs 1.0 so FT is the stronger value. Home 3/6 and away 2/6 recent matches over 2.75, H2H none. Anstey conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (Halifax 4-0, Racing Club Warwick 3-2, AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2-2) and away GL_5 1.50 shows moderate bookmaker mispricing; confidence 72% = base 50 + gap 14 + mispricing 2.5 + away fragility 5.
15-08-2026 14:00	Leiston	-	Rushall Olympic	Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half)	76%	Expected first-half total is 1.20 vs a 1.25 line (Leiston HT 1.20 scored/0.40 conceded; Rushall 0.50 scored/0.30 conceded). Leiston stayed under 1.25 HT goals in 6 of 8 recent matches (75%) and Rushall in 7 of 10 (70%); Rushall also failed to score in the first half in 4 of their last 5 away. Confidence: base 50 + home HT history 8 + away HT history 8 + both low HT scorers 5 + away HT scoreless pattern 5 = 76% (H2H/mutual opponents neutral; market pricing error no adjustment).
15-08-2026 14:00	Hitchin	-	Redditch	Over 2.75 Goals	68%	FT expected total 2.85 = (1.90+1.00)/2 + (1.80+1.00)/2 vs line 2.75. Hitchin 7/10 recent matches over 2.75; Redditch 3/6 over and conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away (Harborough 2, Needham 2, Halesowen 2, Buxton 3). H2H empty; mutual opponents g<2 neutral; confidence 50 base +2 gap +8 home history +0 away +0 H2H +0 common +3 likelihood +0 GL home +0 GL away +5 defensive fragility = 68%.
15-08-2026 14:00	Lancaster City	-	Hyde Utd	Over 2.5 Goals	72%	FT expected total is 2.80 (Lancaster home 1.80 scored / 1.30 conceded; Hyde away 1.20 scored / 1.30 conceded) vs the 2.5 line. Lancaster are 4/6 over 2.5 (66.7%) and Hyde 6/10 over 2.5 (60%); mutual-opponent total is 2.74 and Hyde away conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away with c_avg_on_target 5.17. Offset by Hyde's away scoring drought (0 goals in 4 of last 5 away); 1H expected 1.45 vs 1.0 but histories only 17%/40% over 1.0, so full-time Over is stronger.
15-08-2026 14:00	Workington	-	Guiseley	Guiseley Asian Handicap 0	66%	Guiseley are 9th vs 20th Workington and covered AH 0 in 4 of their last 5 (80%), with away wins at Whitby, Pontefract, and Garforth while Workington are 2W-3L on AH last 5. Goal-line Over 2.25 was close (expected 2.85 vs line 2.25) but match-history Over rates were only 57% home/50% away, leaving it below the 65% threshold. Mutual opponents lean narrowly to Workington, but standings gap and strong recent AH cover give two of three AH signals to Guiseley.
15-08-2026 14:00	Enfield Town	-	Ramsgate	Over 2.75 Goals	70%	Expected full-time total = (1.70+1.40)/2 + (1.30+1.50)/2 = 2.95, above the 2.75 line (+0.20); shot-based match potential 5.15 also supports Over. Enfield home matches are 4/6 over 2.75 (67%) and Ramsgate away matches are 3/5 over 2.75 (60%); H2H is empty and mutual opponents sample is too small (g<2) so treated neutral. Scoring: base 50 + gap 4 + home history 5 + away history 5 + H2H 0 + common opponents 0 + likelihood 3 + GL_5 home 0 + GL_5 away 0 + form momentum 3 = 70%.
15-08-2026 14:00	Eastbourne Borough	-	Brentwood Town	Over 2.75 Goals	82%	Expected total is 3.95 goals ((1.5+2.0)/2 + (1.9+2.5)/2) vs a 2.75 line, a 1.20-goal gap. Eastbourne's recent matches went over 2.75 in 8/10 and Brentwood's in 7/8; H2H is empty and mutual-opponent sample is too small (g=1). Brentwood have conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away matches, and their 1.95 GL_5 market pricing error is accelerating, supporting the over.
15-08-2026 14:00	Carshalton Ath	-	Cray Wanderers	Over 2.5,3.0 Goals	67%	Expected full-time goals are 3.05 (home scored 1.40/away conceded 1.60, away scored 1.60/home conceded 1.50), above the 2.5,3.0 line. Carshalton are 3/5 (60%) over 2.75 at home and Cray are 2/3 (67%) over away, with the last H2H 2-2; away GL_5 1.65 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing in the Over direction. Mutual opponents total 2.13 argues against a high ceiling.
15-08-2026 14:00	Chippenham Town	-	Plymouth Parkway	Over 2.75 Goals	78%	FT expected total 3.05 (home 1.4 scored/home 1.4 conceded, away 1.3 scored/2.0 conceded) vs line 2.75 (+0.30); shot-based potential 5.04 strongly supports Over. Last 5 home and away records each 3/5 over 2.75, no H2H, mutual opponents insufficient (g=1 each). Plymouth conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away (Farnham 4-0, AFC Totton 4-0, Taunton 2-0, Walton & Hersham 2-0) and away concedes 5.1 shots on target/game; GL_5 home 1.50 moderate bookmaker mispricing aligned. Score: 50 base +5 gap +5 home history +5 away history +0 H2H +0 common opponents +3 likelihood +5 GL_5 home +5 structural away fragility = 78%.
15-08-2026 14:00	Dunfermline	-	Ross County	Over 2.5 Goals	82%	FT expected total 3.00 vs 2.5 line (A 1.80, B 0.70, C 2.40, D 1.10); Dunfermline 7/10 over 2.5, Ross County 7/10 over, H2H 4/4 over (2-2, 3-0, 3-2, 2-2). Away GL_5 1.95 strong and home 1.70 moderate bookmaker mispricing, both accelerating. Scoring: base 50 + gap 10 + home history 8 + away history 8 + H2H 5 + common opponents -5 + away GL5 8 = 84, capped at standard 82.
15-08-2026 14:00	Aberdeen	-	Dundee	Over 2.5 Goals	81%	Expected total 3.25 (Aberdeen home 1.90 scored/1.20 conceded, Dundee away 2.00 scored/1.40 conceded) vs 2.5 line = +0.75 gap. H2H 3/4 over 2.5; Aberdeen and Dundee both 60% over in last 10; Dundee GL_5 2.55 severe bookmaker mispricing and away c_avg_on_target 5.6 structural over signal. Mutual-opponent total 2.25 sits slightly under the line, tempering but not offsetting the over evidence.
15-08-2026 14:30	FC Volendam	-	Top Oss	Over 3.0 Goals	77%	Expected full-time total is 3.70 vs a 3.0 line (home 1.70 scored/1.80 conceded, away 2.00 scored/1.90 conceded). Top Oss have gone over 3.0 in 6 of 10 recent matches and conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (Go Ahead 4-1, Almere City 3-2, Dordrecht 2-2), while Volendam are 5 of 10 over; H2H is empty and mutual opponents total 3.0 is neutral. Mild GL_5 mispricing (home 1.10, away 1.15) doesn't adjust the 77% confidence.
15-08-2026 14:30	Ujpest	-	MTK Budapest	Over 3.0,3.5 Goals	82%	Expected FT total 3.50 (Ujpest 2.00 home scored/1.80 conceded; MTK 1.80 away scored/1.40 conceded) vs 3.0/3.5 line. MTK conceded 2+ in all 5 recent away matches, H2H totals 4-7-3 and mutual-opponent total 3.64 support over, with Ujpest GL_5 2.10 showing strong bookmaker mispricing. Raw score 83% capped at 82% standard ceiling.
15-08-2026 14:30	Verl	-	MSV Duisburg	Over 3.0 Goals	67%	Full-time expected total is 2.95 vs a 3.0 line (home scored/conceded 1.30/1.40, away scored/conceded 1.90/1.30). H2H is 4-2 and 2-3 (both over), mutual opponents average 3.2 total goals, and Duisburg conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away matches (Hansa 5-1, Wehen 6-1, Aachen 3-1) with bookmaker mispricing GL_5 1.85. Over 3.0 histories are 2/10 for Verl and 5/10 for Duisburg, but the away defensive fragility and variance edge support Over.
15-08-2026 15:00	Falkenbergs FF	-	Norrby IF	Over 2.75 Goals	82%	Expected full-time total is 3.05 (Falkenbergs home 2.10 scored/1.70 conceded; Norrby away 1.20 scored/1.10 conceded) against the 2.75 line, with Falkenbergs over 2.75 in 8/10 (80%) and Norrby 5/10 (50%). Norrby conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches, the lone H2H was 2-2, mutual opponent total is 2.83, and Norrby's GL_5 is 1.90 (accelerating from 1.43), indicating strong bookmaker mispricing toward the over.
15-08-2026 15:00	STK Samorin	-	OFK Banik Lehota	Over 2.5,3.0 Goals	77%	Expected total 3.15 (A=2.00, B=1.50, C=1.60, D=1.20) vs line 2.75; home and away each 7/10 last matches over 2.5. Away conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away and away GL_5 market pricing error is 1.80, supporting Over; H2H only 2 matches (neutral). Mutual-opponent total 2.465 is a small counter, capping confidence at 77%.
15-08-2026 15:00	Puskas Academy	-	Paksi	Over 1.0,1.5 First Half Goals	76%	Expected 1st-half total is 1.95 ((0.80+1.30)/2+(1.20+0.60)/2), 0.70 above the 1.0/1.5 line. Paksi away has cleared 1.25 in 7 of 10 first halves, Puskas home is 5 of 10, and Paksi's away goal-line bookmaker mispricing of 1.90 supports over; recent Paksi away games conceded 5,2,4,3. H2H 1st-half data is sparse/neutral.
15-08-2026 15:00	SV Wienerberg	-	FCM Traiskirchen	Over 3.0,3.5 Goals	79%	Full-time expected total is 3.85 (home scored 2.00, conceded 1.60 at home; away scored 2.20, conceded 1.90 away) vs line 3.25, with mutual-opponent total 3.67 also clearing. Home are 50% over 3.0/3.5 and away are 60% over; away have conceded 2+ in all of their last 5 away games, and away GL_5 market pricing error is 2.25. No H2H data available.
15-08-2026 15:00	FC Lauterach	-	SC Schwaz	Over 3.25 Goals	82%	Expected full-time goals are 4.45 (A=1.60, B=1.50, C=2.80, D=3.00) versus the 3.25 line; FC Lauterach are 7/10 over 3.25 and SC Schwaz are 5/7 over. H2H was 2-4 over, mutual-opponent total 3.54 clears the line, GL_5 bookmaker mispricing is 1.85 home and 2.25 away with SC Schwaz conceding 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away.
15-08-2026 15:00	Slovacko	-	Sigma Olomouc	Over 2.5 Goals	82%	Expected full-time total is 3.30 against the 2.5 line: Slovacko at home score 1.70/concede 1.80, Sigma away score 2.10/concede 1.00. Slovacko are 7 of 10 over 2.5 and Sigma 8 of 10; H2H was 2-1, mutual opponents total 3.12. Breakdown: base 50 + gap 15 + home history 8 + away history 10 + H2H 0 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 0 + GL home 4 + GL away 0 + structural 0 = 92 raw, capped at 82 standard ceiling (H2H only one match).
15-08-2026 15:00	Pardubice	-	Mlada Boleslav	Over 2.75 Goals	82%	Pardubice home 1.60 scored/1.40 conceded and Mlada Boleslav away 2.30 scored/1.30 conceded give expected total 3.30 vs 2.75 line (+0.55). Home 80% and away 70% of recent matches had 3+ total goals; away conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away and away GL_5 market pricing error is 1.75 (accelerating). Scoring: base 50 + gap 10 + home history 10 + away history 8 + defensive fragility 5 + away market pricing error 2.5 = 85.5, capped at 82 (H2H only 2 matches).
15-08-2026 15:00	Puskas Academy	-	Paksi	Over 1.0,1.5 First Half Goals	76%	Expected first-half total 1.95 (Puskas 1H 0.80 scored/0.60 conceded at home; Paksi 1H 1.20 scored/1.30 conceded away) vs 1.0/1.5 line. Paksi first halves over 1.5 in 7/10, Puskas 5/10, and both sides scored in the first half in 3 of last 5. Away GL_5 1.90 is strong bookmaker mispricing aligned with Over.
15-08-2026 15:30	Kazincbarcikai BSC	-	Kozarmisleny SE	Over 2.75 Goals	76%	Expected total 2.60 from home scored/conceded 1.10/1.40 and away scored/conceded 1.40/1.30, only 0.15 below the 2.75 line; shot-based match potential 4.59 supports Over. Home over record 50% (5/10), away over record 70% (7/10); H2H empty; mutual opponents total 2.80 clears the line and away side conceded 8 on-target shots per shared-opponent game. Structural: 4th vs 16th quality gap, away conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away games, home scored 2+ in last 3 home; home GL_5 1.90 signals strong bookmaker mispricing.
15-08-2026 15:30	Kecskemeti TE	-	Fehervar FC	Over 2.25 Goals	82%	FT expected total 3.05 ((1.70+1.30)/2 + (1.30+1.80)/2) vs line 2.25 (+0.80); Kecskemeti home matches: 8/10 over 2.25, Fehervar 5/10, H2H 2-1 and 3-1 both over but only 2 meetings = neutral. Mutual-opponent total 2.77 supports Over. Scoring: base 50% + gap 15% + home history 10% + away history 0% + H2H 0% + common opponents 5% + likelihood 3% + GL_5 home 0% + GL_5 away 0% + structural 0% = 83% capped at standard ceiling 82%. HT was weaker: expected 1.45 vs line 1.00 but 40%/40% HT over histories.
15-08-2026 15:30	FC Nagykanizsa	-	Soroksar	Soroksar Asian Handicap 0	65%	Soroksar sit 1st (7 pts) vs Nagykanizsa 9th (3 pts) and have a strong AH record: 3W-1V-1L last 5 and 7W-1V-2L last 10, while Nagykanizsa are 2W-1V-2L last 5. Goal line Over 2.5 only projects 2.55 total vs a 2.5 line, with 60% home Over history and 50% away Over history, leaving it below threshold; mutual opponents are neutral (g<2) and no corner line was offered.
15-08-2026 16:00	Tartu JK Welco	-	FC Flora Tallinn II	Over 3.5,4.0 Goals	82%	Expected FT total is 4.20 (A=3.00, B=1.90, C=2.10, D=1.40) against a 3.75 line; Tartu are 7/10 over 3.75 in recent matches, Flora 5/10 away. H2H totals 6,7,2,0 are mixed, but common-opponent mutual total 4.16 supports Over and bookmaker mispricing is strong (home GL_5 2.10, away 1.70, both accelerating); raw score capped at 82.
15-08-2026 16:00	JK Tallinna Kalev	-	FC Elva	Over 3.5 Goals	68%	Home avg 2.8 scored/1.6 conceded at home, away 1.9 scored/1.7 conceded away produce a FT expected total of 4.00 vs line 3.5 (+0.5); JK Tallinna Kalev went Over 3.5 in 5/10, FC Elva in 6/10. H2H is 1/3 Over (both unders totalled exactly 3) but mutual-opponent volume averages 4.13 goals and market pricing error is mild (home GL_5 1.45, away 0.50). Score: 50 base +10 gap +0 home history +5 away history -5 H2H +5 common opponents +3 likelihood = 68%.
15-08-2026 16:00	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz	-	Vysocina Jihlava	Over 2.5 Goals (Full Time)	82%	Full-time expected total 3.30 vs a 2.5 line (A=1.70, B=1.60, C=1.90, D=1.40); Hanacka are 6/10 and Jihlava 8/10 over 2.5 in recent matches, while H2H is a single 0-0 (neutral). First-half expected 1.70 vs 1.0 line was considered, but HT over histories (4/10 and 5/10) were too weak; away GL_5 1.85 gives strong bookmaker mispricing for the Over. Raw 87% capped at 82% standard ceiling.
15-08-2026 16:00	SV Donau	-	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	Over 1.25 First Half Goals	82%	HT expected total is 2.10 (home 1.10 scored, away 0.50 conceded, away 1.20 scored, home 1.40 conceded) vs the 1.25 HT line. SV Donau are over 1.25 HT goals in 7 of 10 matches (70%), FC Marchfeld in 5 of 10 (50%), with strong bookmaker mispricing on goal lines (home GL_5 1.80, away GL_5 2.00). Raw score 50% +15% gap +8% home HT history +5% home GL +8% away GL = 86%, capped at 82% standard ceiling.
15-08-2026 16:00	SV Wildon	-	UFC Fehring	Over 3.25 Goals	82%	Home score 2.30 and concede 2.10 at home; away score 1.70 and concede 2.20 away, giving expected total 4.15 vs a 3.25 line. Home are 6 of 10 over 3.25, mutual-opponent totals clear the line at 3.70, and the single H2H finished 2-2 (4 goals). Home GL_5 mispricing is strong at 2.05 and accelerating, supporting the over.
15-08-2026 16:00	Konyaspor	-	Caykur Rizespor	Over 2.5 Goals	82%	Expected FT total 3.10 vs line 2.5 (A=1.20, B=1.70, C=1.50, D=1.80), with Konyaspor 8/10 and Rizespor 8/10 recent matches over 2.5; H2H only 2 matches. Mutual opponents total 2.79 supports Over and Rizespor conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches. Raw score 93 capped at 82 standard ceiling.
15-08-2026 16:00	Konyaspor	-	Caykur Rizespor	Over 2.5,3.0 Goals	82%	Expected full-time total 3.10 (Konyaspor home 1.20 scored/1.80 conceded; Rizespor away 1.50 scored/1.70 conceded) vs line 2.75, with both sides 8/10 over 2.75 in recent matches. Rizespor's away defensive fragility is clear — they conceded 2+ in four of their last five away (Eyupspor 4, Kayserispor 2, Karagumruk 2, Besiktas 4) — and mutual-opponent total is 2.79 against shared opponents, while the most recent H2H produced five goals.
15-08-2026 16:00	Juventud De Las Piedras	-	Torque	Over 2.25 Goals	74%	Expected total is 2.95 (home 1.10 scored/1.40 conceded at home; Torque 1.80 scored/1.60 conceded away) against a 2.25 line. Torque have 7 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals, H2H totals are 4, 4 and 1 (2 of 3 over), and home's 50% exact-2 games give half-push protection on the split line. Market pricing error is only mild (home GL_5 1.00, away 1.15), so the edge is driven by totals and Torque's away scoring profile.
15-08-2026 16:15	Al Taawon Buraidah	-	Al Khaleej Saihat	Under 9.5 Corners	82%	Expected corners total is 8.2 (home 4.1 for/4.0 against, away 4.2 for/4.1 against) vs a 9.5 line, a 1.3-corner gap under. Al Taawon's matches stayed under 9.5 corners in 7 of 10 (70%) and Al Khaleej's in 8 of 10 (80%), with H2H corner totals of 7, 7, and 14 (2 of 3 under). The line is set too high relative to both teams' recent corner volume, so Under 9.5 Corners is the strongest qualifying bet.
15-08-2026 16:30	Istra 1961	-	Slaven Belupo	Over 2.5 Goals	82%	Expected FT total = (1.70 + 2.30)/2 + (1.60 + 1.40)/2 = 3.50 vs line 2.50, a +1.00 goal gap. Istra are 6/10 over 2.5 and Slaven 7/10 over 2.5, with Slaven conceding 2+ in all of their last 5 away matches; H2H is only 2/4 over but not a veto. Market pricing error is aligned (home GL_5 1.75, away GL_5 2.15, both accelerating); raw score 91% capped at 82% standard ceiling.
15-08-2026 17:00	Thor Akureyri	-	Keflavik	Over 3.5 Goals	69%	Expected total is 3.70 (Thor 1.20 scored/2.40 conceded at home; Keflavik 1.70 scored/2.10 conceded away) vs a 3.5 line. Shot-based match potential 6.24 and mutual-opponent total 3.55 also support Over; GL_5 home 2.40 and away 1.80 show strong/moderate bookmaker mispricing toward goals. H2H is a single 1-0 match, treated as neutral.
15-08-2026 17:00	Kecskemeti TE	-	Fehervar FC	Over 2.0,2.5 Goals	82%	Expected FT goals = (1.70+1.30)/2 + (1.30+1.80)/2 = 3.05, well above the 2.0/2.5 line. Kecskemeti home matches cleared the split line in ~85% and Fehervar away in ~65%; H2H finished 2-1 and 3-1. Mutual-opponent goals total 2.77 and away defensive fragility (3 of last 5 away conceded 2+) support Over; raw score 93 capped to 82 standard ceiling.
15-08-2026 17:30	SK Sturm Graz	-	SCR Altach	Over 2.5 Goals	79%	Expected total 3.35 (home 2.10 scored, 1.20 conceded; away 1.40 scored, 2.00 conceded) vs 2.5 line; Altach 7/10 over 2.5, Sturm 5/10. Altach conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away and averages 5.5 shots on target conceded away; away GL_5 1.55 moderate. H2H 2 of 3 under but not 75% veto. Scoring: 50 base +15 gap +0 home hist +8 away hist -5 H2H +0 mutual +3 likelihood +0 GL5 home +3 GL5 away +5 away fragility = 79%.
15-08-2026 18:00	CA Estudiantes Caseros	-	Chacarita Juniors	CA Estudiantes Caseros -0.5 Asian Handicap	65%	Goal line and corners offered no qualifying edge: FT expected total 1.75 equals the 1.75 line, home 60% over but away only 40% over, mutual opponents total 1.655 below line; Asian corners line absent. For AH, CA Estudiantes Caseros home record (4-4-4, 16 pts) is far stronger than Chacarita Juniors away record (1-3-8, 6 pts), mutual opponents strongly favour home (CA Estudiantes 5W-2D-0L, +0.86 goal net; Chacarita 0W-2D-4L, -0.83; all five stat nets favour home), and H2H was Chacarita 0-3 CA Estudiantes on 2026-03-29. Recent cover is the weak point: home covered -0.5 in 3 of 6 home games, so confidence capped at 65%.
15-08-2026 18:00	Deportivo Moron	-	Almagro	Deportivo Moron -0.25 First Half Asian Handicap	72%	Moron have led at half-time in 4 of their last 5 home matches (80%), with first-half home averages of 1.10 goals scored and 0.20 conceded against Almagro's away 0.30 scored and 0.40 conceded, giving an expected 1H margin of ~0.50 vs the -0.25 line. Moron are unbeaten at home this season (9W-3D-0L) while Almagro are 2W-4D-6L away, and mutual opponents favour Moron on 4 of 5 stats with a stronger goals net (+0.33 vs -0.16).
15-08-2026 18:00	CA San Miguel	-	CA Colegiales	CA San Miguel -0.25 Asian Handicap	65%	San Miguel are far stronger venue-split: 16 home pts vs Colegiales' 5 away pts (1W 2D 8L). Colegiales have lost their last 5 away matches by 1+ goals, so a home -0.25 handicap would have covered 5/5 against them; mutual opponents also lean San Miguel (3-1 NET stat edge). San Miguel's own AH form (1W 4L last 5) is weak, so confidence is capped at 65.
15-08-2026 18:00	Ferro Carril Oeste	-	CA Atlanta	Over 1.5,2.0 Goals	79%	Expected full-time total is 2.50 from (1.30+1.10)/2 + (1.50+1.10)/2, 0.75 above the 1.5/2.0 line; home went over 1.5 in 7 of 10 and away in 7 of 10. H2H is only 2 matches (1-0, 2-1) so neutral, while mutual-opponent total of 1.34 and Atlanta's 1-of-5 away scoring run cap the upside; away GL_5 market pricing error of 1.80 aligns with the over.
15-08-2026 18:00	Central Ballester	-	Club Leandro N. Alem	Over 1.75 Goals	82%	Expected FT total 2.35 (home 0.80 scored/1.60 conceded at home; away 1.10 scored/1.20 conceded away) clears 1.75 line by 0.60. Home/away histories Over 1.75 are 60%/80%; away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away and mutual opponents show away c_avg_on_target 5.67. Home market pricing error GL_5 1.65 aligns with Over; raw score 84.5 capped at 82 standard ceiling.
15-08-2026 18:00	Excelsior	-	PSV	Over 3.5 Goals	81%	Expected FT total is 4.10 vs line 3.5 (gap +0.60): Excelsior averages 2.50 scored/1.30 conceded at home, PSV averages 2.90 scored/1.50 conceded away. Excelsior 8/10 and PSV 7/10 recent matches finished over 3.5; H2H is split 1-1 in two matches and mutual opponents are neutral (mutual_total 3.4). Score: Base 50% + gap +10% + home history +10% + away history +8% + H2H +0% + common opponents +0% + likelihood +3% + GL_5 home +0% + GL_5 away +0% = 81%.
15-08-2026 18:00	Real Pilar	-	CSD Flandria	Asian Handicap Real Pilar -0.5	68%	Real Pilar (7th, 44 pts) host 19th-place CSD Flandria (28 pts, 16-point gap) with strong head-to-head edge: Real Pilar won 2-0 at home and 3-1 away, drawing 1-1. Mutual opponents also lean Real Pilar (5W-2D-3L vs 1W-3D-6L), while Flandria's away form is just 2W-3D-9L, supporting the home -0.5 line at 1.975.
15-08-2026 18:00	Excursionistas	-	Deportivo Laferrere	Over 2.0 Goals	81%	Full-time expected total is 2.50 vs line 2.0 (home 1.60 scored/0.90 conceded at home; away 1.50 scored/1.00 conceded away); home home matches 3/4 over 2, away away matches 3/4 over 2. Mutual opponents total 2.86 supports the Over, and market pricing error is well-calibrated (GL_5 0.55 home / 0.65 away). Full-time signal was stronger than 1st half (expected 1.10 vs 0.75 line).
15-08-2026 18:00	CA Estudiantes Caseros	-	Chacarita Juniors	CA Estudiantes Caseros -0.5 Asian Handicap	65%	Home role gap: CA Estudiantes Caseros home 4W4D4L (16 pts) vs Chacarita away 1W3D8L (6 pts). Mutual opponents strongly favour the home side: home 5W2D0L with goals NET +0.86 vs away 0W2D4L with goals NET -0.83, plus H2H 3-0 to CA Estudiantes. Recent AH cover is only 3/10, so confidence sits at the low end of the 65-69% band.
15-08-2026 18:15	Ludogorets Razgrad	-	Botev Plovdiv	Under 1.0,1.5 First Half Goals	80%	Expected first-half total is 1.05 ((0.60+0.20)/2+(0.90+0.40)/2) vs line 1.25; Ludogorets and Botev went under 1.25 in first halves in 8/10 and 7/10 of their last 10. Ludogorets failed to score in the first half in 3 of their last 5 home matches, both sides concede only 0.40/0.20 first-half goals in role, and away GL_5 1.70 signals bookmaker mispricing toward a low first-half total.
15-08-2026 18:30	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	-	AS Trencin	Over 10.5 Asian Corners	73%	Expected corners total (5.30+5.50)/2 + (6.40+5.40)/2 = 11.30 vs 10.5 line. Home's last 5 home corner totals (16,12,9,19,6) have 3/5 over; away's last 10 include 6/10 over 10.5. H2H corner totals (9,7) were both under but only 2 matches; home top-half side and high mutual-opponent shot/danger-attack volume support over.
15-08-2026 19:00	Club Atletico Mitre	-	CA Guemes	Over 0.75 First Half Goals	79%	Expected first-half total is 1.30 (Mitre HT avg 0.40 scored/1.00 conceded; Guemes HT avg 0.40 scored/0.80 conceded) vs line 0.75, a +0.55 gap. Mitre's last 10 matches went over 0.75 HT in 8 of 10 (80%) and Guemes' last 10 went over in 7 of 10 (70%). Scoring: 50 base +11 gap +10 home history +8 away history = 79%.
15-08-2026 19:30	Colon	-	Patronato Parana	Over 0.75 1st Half Goals	82%	Colon-Patronato 1st half expected total is 1.15 goals vs a 0.75 line: home 0.60 scored + away 0.30 conceded = 0.45 avg, away 0.90 scored + home 0.50 conceded = 0.70 avg. Home matches have 1+ first-half goals in 8/10 (80%) and away in 7/10 (70%), while Patronato's GL_5 market pricing error of 1.85 is strong and accelerating in the Over direction. Colon's home strength (4th, 17GF/6GA) vs Patronato's weak away record (1W-7D-4L, 6GF/12GA) supports early pressure, giving raw 85% capped at 82% confidence.
15-08-2026 21:00	Godoy Cruz	-	Deportivo Maipu	Over 0.75 First Half Goals	82%	Expected 1st-half goals 1.20 (Godoy Cruz home HT avg 0.90 scored / 0.60 conceded; Maipu away HT avg 0.50 scored / 0.40 conceded) vs a 0.75 line. Home HT history over 0.75 is 4/5 (80%) and away is 3/5 (60%); Godoy Cruz are 8-4-0 at home and Maipu are 2-3-7 away. Away market pricing error GL_5 is 1.85 (strong, accelerating) aligning with Over; raw score 83 capped at standard ceiling 82.
15-08-2026 23:00	Rancho Santana FC	-	CD Walter Ferretti	Over 2.5/3 Goals	78%	Expected total 3.25 (home 1.40 scored/1.90 conceded; away 1.10 scored/2.10 conceded) vs line 2.75, gap +0.50. Both teams are 60% over 2.75 in last 10 (6/10 each), mutual-opponent total 3.33 supports Over, and Walter Ferretti conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away matches with away GL_5 1.65 bookmaker mispricing. H2H is a partial cap (1-2 to Over: 0-0/1-1/2-2) and no 1st half goal line is offered.
15-08-2026 23:00	Nasinu FC	-	Navua FC	Over 2.75 Goals	82%	Full-time expected total 3.35 vs 2.75 line (+0.60) and shot-based potential 5.61 support Over; 1st-half expected 1.45 vs 1.25 line has weak history support (home 50%, away 25%), so full-time is stronger. Nasinu home matches are 3/3 over 2.75 (0-6, 0-4, 2-2), Navua away matches 2/3 over (3-0, 2-1), and Navua conceded 2+ in each of its last 5 away matches. H2H 1-1 is neutral; away GL_5 1.55 moderate bookmaker mispricing aligns with Over, raw score 85.5 capped at 82 standard ceiling.

My favourites

Time

Home

Score

Away

1x2

Drop

Asian Handicap

Goal Line

Asian Corners

Time

Home

Score

Away

1x2

Drop

Asian Handicap

Goal Line

Asian Corners

Get the App Now

My favourites

Ordered by: -

Latest updates

August 2026

March 2026

May 2025

Blog

The Comeback and Winning Factor

Top 5 Least Exciting Football Leagues to Bet On

Top 5 Most Exciting Football Leagues to Bet On

Why Choose BetBallers for Football Betting Statistics?

Live Football Scores & In-Play Stats

Comeback & Winning Factor Analysis Unique

Football Betting Statistics & Odds

Momentum Betting Tracker aka Pressure Index

Match Schedule, Results & Standings

Customizable Betting Alerts

AI Betting Assistant & Agent AI Powered

Betting Strategy Backtesting Pro

Popular Football Betting Categories

Frequently Asked Questions

Get the App Now

Schedule

Today's Football AI Assistant Tips & Predictions

My favourites

Ordered by: -

Why Choose BetBallers for Football Betting Statistics?

Live Football Scores & In-Play Stats

Comeback & Winning Factor Analysis Unique

Football Betting Statistics & Odds

Momentum Betting Tracker aka Pressure Index

Match Schedule, Results & Standings

Customizable Betting Alerts

AI Betting Assistant & Agent AI Powered

Betting Strategy Backtesting Pro

Popular Football Betting Categories

Frequently Asked Questions