| 19-08-2026 14:30 |
Gloria Popesti Leordeni |
- |
FC Bacau |
Over 2.5 Goals |
75% |
Expected full-time total = (2.20+1.10)/2 + (2.00+1.10)/2 = 3.20, clear of the 2.5 goal line. Gloria Popesti Leordeni have over 2.5 in 5/10 (50%) recent matches, FC Bacau in 5/7 (71%), and their only H2H finished 3-2. Gloria's home form is surging (5-0, 3-2, 2-0 in last three home games). |
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| 19-08-2026 14:30 |
ACS CIL Blaj |
- |
AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti |
Over 2.75 Goals |
75% |
Expected FT goals 3.05: home at home scored/conceded 1.40/1.70, away away scored/conceded 2.10/0.90 vs line 2.75. Home 5 of 8 (62.5%) and away 6 of 10 (60%) recent matches went over 2.75; H2H empty. Goal-line pricing error GL_5 is 1.70 home and 1.65 away, both moderate and accelerating, supporting the Over. |
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| 19-08-2026 14:30 |
USV Iasi |
- |
CS Sporting Liesti |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total = (1.80+2.30)/2 + (2.20+0.80)/2 = 3.55 vs line 2.75 (+0.80 gap). CS Sporting Liesti's last 7 matches are 6/7 (86%) over 2.75 and they conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches; GL_5 home 1.55 / away 2.05 indicate bookmaker mispricing. 1st half expected total is 1.30 vs 1.25 with weak HT history (home 2/10 over 1.25, away 1/7), so full-time Over is stronger. Scoring: base 50 + gap 15 + away history 10 + away GL_5 8 + home GL_5 5 + away fragility 5 = 93 raw, capped at 82 standard tier (home history only 50%, H2H empty). |
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| 19-08-2026 14:30 |
CS Afumati |
- |
FC Voluntari |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total 3.05 (home 1.2 scored/1.2 conceded; away 1.7 scored/2.0 conceded) vs line 2.5. Home 60% and away 90% of recent matches went over 2.5; away conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away, mutual-opponent total 2.7, and away bookmaker mispricing GL_5 1.50 align Over. Raw score capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
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| 19-08-2026 15:00 |
Siarka Tarnobrzeg |
- |
JKS Jaroslaw |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total is 3.60 vs 3.25 line (home: 1.30 scored/1.60 conceded; away: 2.80 scored/1.50 conceded) and shot-based match potential is 6.60, both pointing Over. JKS are 7/9 over this line and have conceded 2+ goals in five straight; Siarka's severe GL_5 market pricing error of 2.70 aligns with Over. H2H is empty and mutual opponents are insufficient (g=1 each), so no H2H veto applies. |
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| 19-08-2026 15:00 |
KKS 1925 Kalisz |
- |
Notec Czarnkow |
Over 2.75 Goals |
74% |
Expected FT total 3.45 (home 0.80 scored/1.90 conceded, away 2.30 scored/1.90 conceded) vs line 2.75, gap +0.70. Away 7/9 over 2.75, home 5/10 over; H2H empty; mutual opponents neutral (g=1); away GL_5 1.75 moderate market pricing error. Score: 50 + 10 gap + 8 away history + 2.5 pricing error + 3 away form (4/5 away scored 3+) = 73.5 ≈ 74. |
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| 19-08-2026 15:00 |
Wieczysta Krakow II |
- |
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna |
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna +1.25 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Wieczysta Krakow II are only 12th (3 pts) and Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 15th (1 pt), both with -3 goal difference, making a -1.25 home handicap too aggressive. Sokol are 4W-1L on the Asian Handicap over their last 5 and all of their last five full-time results (loss by 1, draw, and three wins) cover +1.25, while Wieczysta are 1W-4L AH last 5 and covered -1.25 in 0 of their last 5. Mutual opponents data is unavailable/neutral. |
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| 19-08-2026 15:00 |
Sparta Katowice |
- |
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj |
Under 1.0 First Half Goals |
76% |
Expected 1st-half total is 0.65 (home 0.10 scored, 0.20 conceded; away 0.50 scored, 0.50 conceded) vs line 1.0. Home matches produced 0-goal first halves in 7 of 10, Sparta scored a 1st-half goal in just 1 of 10, and LKS failed to score in the 1st half in 4 of last 5 away; home GL_5 1.60 moderate bookmaker mispricing supports the Under. H2H meetings were 0-0 and 1-0 full-time. Confidence 76% (base 50 + gap 5 + home HT history 8 + away HT failure 5 + low 1H scorers 5 + GL_5 partial 3). |
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| 19-08-2026 15:00 |
Wisla Plock II |
- |
LKS Lomza |
Under 1.25 Goals First Half |
82% |
Expected 1st-half total is 1.05 (home 0.60 scored/0.20 conceded, away 0.60 scored/0.70 conceded) vs a 1.25 line. Home 1st halves have gone under 1.25 in 80% of matches and away in 70%; away failed to score in the first half in 4 of their last 5 away matches (Lechia, MKS Swit, Wigry, Bron Radom). Both teams' low 1st-half scoring averages support the under. |
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| 19-08-2026 15:00 |
CK Troszyn |
- |
Warta Sieradz |
Over 2.75 Goals |
70% |
Expected full-time total is 3.10 (A 1.40 + B 1.30 /2 = 1.35; C 1.60 + D 1.90 /2 = 1.75) vs a 2.75 line, with shot-based match potential 6.49 also supporting Over. H2H was Warta 1-2 CK Troszyn (3 goals, Over) and mutual-opponent total 2.85 clears the line. Home bookmaker pricing error GL_5 is 1.70 (moderate, accelerating) and away Warta concedes 5.1 shots on target away, a structural Over signal, though match-history Over rates are only 40%/50%. |
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| 19-08-2026 15:00 |
Olimpia Elblag |
- |
Widzew Lodz II |
Over 3 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 3.35 (Olimpia Elblag 1.50 scored/1.60 conceded at home; Widzew Lodz II 2.40 scored/1.20 conceded away) vs line 3.0. Mutual-opponent total 3.09 and away GL_5 2.70 severe bookmaker mispricing align with Over; H2H totals were 3-0 and 3-3, with Widzew Lodz II 5/10 away matches exceeding 3.0. |
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| 19-08-2026 15:00 |
Ofk-Sim Raslavice |
- |
FC Kosice |
Over 3.5,4.0 Goals |
66% |
Expected total 3.70 ((1.90+2.10)/2+(2.10+1.30)/2) vs 3.75 line. Home 75% over 3.75 at home (3-2,2-2,2-3,2-0 last four), away 62.5% over away (5/8). Scoring: Base 50 + home 75% over +8 + away 62.5% over +5 + H2H empty +0 + common opponents 3.5 total under lean -5 + likelihood neutral +0 + GL_5 home 1.30 mild +0 + GL_5 away 2.75 severe but direction line-neutral +0 + away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in Skalica/Zilina/Sturm) +5 + home form momentum +3 = 66%. |
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| 19-08-2026 15:30 |
Kluczevia Stargard |
- |
Gedania Gdansk |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.30 vs 3.25 (home 2.00 scored / 1.40 conceded, away 3.00 scored / 2.20 conceded). Gedania went over 3.0/3.5 in 9 of last 10 matches and conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away; away GL_5 2.35 shows strong bookmaker mispricing. H2H empty; home home matches have been landing on exactly 3 goals. |
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| 19-08-2026 15:30 |
Diosgyori VTK II |
- |
Debreceni II |
Over 3.0 Goals |
77% |
Expected full-time total is 3.75 (home 1.60 scored/2.20 conceded at home; away 2.70 scored/1.00 conceded away) vs a 3.0 line, a +0.75 gap. Mutual opponents total of 4.3 supports Over, while both H2H meetings landed exactly 3 (push) and recent histories sit near 50% over 3.0; away market pricing error GL_5 is 1.85, adding edge. Checklist: base 50 +15 gap +0 home history +0 away history +0 H2H +5 common opponents +3 likelihood +0 home GL_5 +4 away GL_5 +0 structural = 77%. |
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| 19-08-2026 16:00 |
Valerenga Women |
- |
Honefoss Women |
Under 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.25 ((1.80+2.00)/2 + (1.20+1.50)/2) sits 0.25 below the 3.5 line; Valerenga and Honefoss each stayed under 3.5 in 7 of their last 10 matches, and H2H finished 0-3 and 0-1. Home team's market pricing error (GL_5 1.70) is in the under direction, and both teams were held scoreless in 2+ of their last 5 in-role matches. |
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| 19-08-2026 16:00 |
FC Levadia Tallinn U19 |
- |
JK Trans Narva II |
FC Levadia Tallinn U19 +0.5 Asian Handicap |
66% |
Levadia are 4-1 ATS over their last five and 7-3 over their last ten, while Trans Narva II are only 4-1-5 ATS over their last ten. Home-away splits also favour Levadia (7-0-4 at home vs Trans 4-0-6 away), and mutual-opponent data leans strongly home: net goals +0.78 vs -0.43 with home advantages in all five compared stat categories. Overall standings favour Trans, but two of the three AH signals support Levadia +0.5. |
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| 19-08-2026 17:00 |
Javor Ivanjica |
- |
Jedinstvo UB |
Over 2.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total is 3.25 (Javor home: 1.50 scored, 2.00 conceded; Jedinstvo away: 1.60 scored, 1.40 conceded) vs a 2.0/2.5 line, a +1.00-goal gap. Both teams are 60% over this line in recent matches (6/10 each), mutual opponents have a combined 3.25 total supporting Over, and Javor's GL_5 market pricing error is 2.15 (strong, accelerating). |
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| 19-08-2026 17:00 |
TPV II |
- |
Ylojarvi United |
Over 1.5 First Half Goals |
68% |
Expected 1st-half goals are 1.75 (home 1.40 scored at home, away 0.60 conceded away; away scored 0.90, home conceded 0.60) against a 1.5 line. TPV II have gone over 1.5 first-half goals in 7 of 10 matches (70%) and scored in 9 of 10 first halves; Ylojarvi United are 50% over. Confidence: 50 base + 5 gap + 8 home history + 5 quality gap (2nd vs 5th) = 68%. |
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| 19-08-2026 18:00 |
Mansfield |
- |
Man City U21 |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.90 vs line 3.0 (Mansfield home 1.90 scored/1.40 conceded; Man City U21 away 3.40 scored/1.10 conceded). Home 5/10 and away 4/7 over 3.0; Man City U21 conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away (Everton 3-2, Brighton 2-0, Blackburn 2-0, Bolton 3-0); market pricing error GL_5 1.80/1.65. Scoring: Base 50 + gap 15 + home history 0 + away history 0 + H2H 0 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 + GL_5 home 5 + GL_5 away 5 + away fragility 5 = 88 capped 82. |
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| 19-08-2026 18:45 |
Farnborough |
- |
Chesham |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total is 4.05 (Farnborough 1.9 scored/1.6 conceded at home, Chesham 2.4 scored/2.2 conceded away) versus the 3.0 line. Chesham's away defence is fragile, conceding 2+ in each of their last 5 away (3,3,2,2,2), and 6 of their last 10 matches cleared 3.0. Mutual opponents total 3.57 goals supports the over, and Chesham's GL_5 of 1.90 signals strong bookmaker mispricing. |
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| 19-08-2026 18:45 |
Peamount Utd Women |
- |
Athlone Town Women |
|
67% |
Expected goal split favours Athlone: Peamount average 1.50 scored and 2.30 conceded at home, Athlone average 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded away, implying Athlone by roughly 1.20 goals. Athlone covered -1 in 7 of their last 10 matches (70%), and against shared opponents they hold a +1.17 net goal edge vs Peamount's +0.55 (4W-1D-1L vs 3W-3D-3L). H2H margins support the away side: Athlone won 2-0 and 2-0 in the last two meetings. |
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| 19-08-2026 19:00 |
FK Backa Topola |
- |
Spartak Subotica |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.70 = (2.40+2.60)/2 + (1.10+1.30)/2, 0.95 above the 2.75 line. Home are 7/10 over 2.5 goals, away are 8/10 over 2.5 goals; H2H 2/2 over. Away defensive fragility: Spartak conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away games; mutual_total 2.58 supports Over 2.5. Bookmaker mispricing mild (GL_5 1.15/1.25) adds no extra; raw confidence 96% capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
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| 19-08-2026 19:15 |
KA Asvellir |
- |
Ymir Kopavogur |
Over 3.5/4.0 Goals |
78% |
Expected total 4.15 (home 1.60 scored/3.00 conceded at home; away 1.50 scored/2.20 conceded away) clears the 3.75 line, with shot-based potential 6.58. Home and away records are both 6/10 over 3.75, mutual-opponent total is 4.76, and Ymir have conceded 2+ in 5 of their last 5 away. Scoring: base 50 + gap 5 + home history 5 + away history 5 + mutual opponents 5 + away GL_5 pricing error 3 + away defensive fragility 5 = 78%. |
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| 19-08-2026 23:00 |
Forge FC |
- |
Supra du Quebec |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total 3.50 (A 1.70, B 2.40, C 2.00, D 0.90) vs 2.5/3.0 line, gap +0.75. Forge 6/10 over, Supra 9/10 over; Supra conceded 2+ in all four away matches (3,2,2,5); H2H 1-2 (3 goals) and mutual-opponent total 3.00 support over. Confidence: Base 50% + gap +15% + away history +10% + common opponents +5% + quality gap +5% + away fragility +5% = 90% raw capped at 82% standard (home history +0% excluded, H2H +0%, likelihood +0%, GL_5 home +0% 1.45, GL_5 away +0% 1.25). |
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