| 05-08-2026 07:30 |
Queanbeyan City U23 |
- |
Tuggeranong United U23 |
Home -0.5 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Queanbeyan City U23 AH record is 4 wins, 1 void in last 5 (80% cover) while Tuggeranong Utd U23 away AH is 2-3. Mutual opponent stats show home advantage in all 5 categories (goals +0.72 NET, shots +3.43, on target +2.43, dangerous attacks +7.86, goal frequency lower 0.21 vs 0.31). H2H is limited but standings gap is small (5th vs 3rd); home -0.5 qualifies at 65% confidence with two of three signals supporting. |
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| 05-08-2026 08:00 |
Villarreal |
- |
Levante |
Over 2.75 Goals |
81% |
Expected total 3.25 (Villarreal home 1.90 scored + 1.60 conceded; Levante away 1.70 scored + 1.30 conceded) vs line 2.75. Both home and away match histories show 60% Over. Mutual opponents total 3.1 > 2.75. Villarreal home form 2+ goals in last 3. Bookmaker mispricing moderate (GL_5 1.55) supports Over. |
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| 05-08-2026 14:30 |
Podhale Nowy Targ |
- |
Chojniczanka Chojnice |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected goals 3.35 (home 2.10 scored at home, 1.30 conceded; away 1.60 scored away, 1.70 conceded). Home team's home matches 4/4 over 2.5, away team's away matches 3/4 over. Away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 away (structural over signal). Market pricing error mild (GL_5 1.25/1.30), but overall strong over profile. |
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| 05-08-2026 15:00 |
OLS |
- |
TPV |
Over 3.75 Goals |
74% |
Expected total 3.80 (home scored 1.70/conceded 1.90 at home, away scored 1.90/conceded 2.10 away) vs line 3.75. OLS home 60% Over 3.75 (3 of 5), TPV away 80% Over (4 of 5). TPV away conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5, clear defensive fragility. Quality gap: OLS 3rd vs TPV 9th. TPV bookmaker mispricing severe (GL_5 2.05) strengthens Over edge. |
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| 05-08-2026 15:00 |
Olimpia Grudziadz |
- |
OKS Swit Skolwin |
Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half total 2.05 vs line 1.0 (gap 1.05). Home 78% and away 67% matches Over 1.0 1st half goals. Both teams show strong bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.90 home, 2.15 away) aligning with Over. Mutual opponents support Over (combined total 3.35). |
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| 05-08-2026 15:00 |
Töölön Taisto |
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Valtti |
Over 3.5/4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.30 exceeds line 3.75; Töölön Taisto's last 10 matches have 90% over 3.75 goals (9/10), Valtti's 60% over (6/10). Valtti have conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away games, mutual opponent goal total is 3.88, and Valtti's GL_5 of 1.55 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing, all pointing towards a high-scoring match. |
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| 05-08-2026 15:15 |
TuPS |
- |
Atlantis II |
Over 3.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.20 (home 2.50 scored, 1.50 conceded; away 1.80 scored, 2.60 conceded) beats the 3.75 line by 0.45. Home matches 3/5 over, away 5/7 over. Away defensive fragility with 3 of last 5 away conceding 2+ goals. Bookmaker mispricing severe: home GL_5 2.50 accelerating. Mutual opponents total 5.25 supports Over. Capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
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| 05-08-2026 15:30 |
SalPa |
- |
JJK |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.05 goals (SalPa home: 1.70 scored, 2.00 conceded; JJK away: 2.30 scored, 2.10 conceded). SalPa home matches over 3.5 in 75% of cases, mutual opponents average 4.17 goals, and JJK conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 aways. Severe bookmaker mispricing on JJK (GL_5 3.15) and accelerating trend add significant edge. |
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| 05-08-2026 15:30 |
Kultsu FC |
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HaPK |
Kultsu FC -1.25 Asian Handicap |
75% |
Kultsu FC have covered the -1.25 handicap in 5 of their last 7 home matches (71%), including a 4-0 win at HaPK earlier this season. Mutual opponents data shows Kultsu with a strong advantage across total shots (+7.66), dangerous attacks (+21.66), and goal efficiency, while the standings gap (2nd vs 5th) reinforces the edge. HaPK have conceded 2+ goals in half of their away matches, making the -1.25 line at 1.98 a value bet. |
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| 05-08-2026 16:00 |
Paide Linnanaiskond Women |
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FC Flora Tallinn Women |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.35 ((3.3+1.9)/2 + (2.1+1.4)/2) clearly exceeds line 3.5. Paide at home went Over 3.5 in 4 of 5 (80%), Flora away in 3 of 5 (60%). Mutual opponents combined average 5.75 goals. Paide scored 5 and 4 in last two home games, and bookmaker mispricing is mild but direction aligned. |
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| 05-08-2026 16:00 |
Gornik Leczna |
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KKS 1925 Kalisz |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.25 goals (home 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded at home; away 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded away) vs line 2.75. Home (7/10) and away (7/10) both 70% Over 2.75 in last 10 matches. Away defensive fragility: conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away. Home GL_5 mispricing at 1.70 adds edge. |
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| 05-08-2026 16:00 |
Hobro IK |
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Vendsyssel FF |
Over 2.5 Goals |
75% |
Expected total 3.20 goals vs line 2.5 (gap +0.70); Hobro's last 5 home matches all over 2.5 (100%), conceding 2+ in each. Vendsyssel away sample small but not a strong contradiction; mutual opponents slightly lean under but home trend is dominant. No significant bookmaker mispricing. |
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| 05-08-2026 16:00 |
Atlantis FC/Pm |
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HPS II |
Over 4.5,5.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 5.85 goals, far above the 4.75 line. Atlantis FC/Pm’s home matches have gone Over 4.75 in 8 of 9 games (89%), and HPS II have conceded 2+ goals in all 5 away matches this season, signaling clear defensive fragility. Bookmaker mispricing is severe on the home side (GL_5 = 2.30), reinforcing the Over bet. |
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| 05-08-2026 16:30 |
Jippo II |
- |
PK-37 |
Under 1.5 Goals 1st Half |
81% |
Jippo II have seen 7/10 home matches stay under 1.5 FH goals (70%) and PK-37 6/6 away (100%), with all 2 H2H FH also under (1 goal each). Away structural low scoring (home concede 0.7, away score 1.3 FH) plus 65% likelihood support the Under, with bookmaker goal-line variance neutral due to tight line. |
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| 05-08-2026 16:45 |
Hapoel Petah Tikva |
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Maccabi Netanya |
Over 2.5 Goals |
80% |
Expected total 3.15 (Home scored 0.90 at home, conceded 1.90; Away scored 2.10 away, conceded 1.40) exceeds 2.5 line by 0.65. Home Over 2.5 in 3 of 5 recent home matches (60%), Away Over 2.5 in 4 of 6 away (67%). Mutual opponents average 3.23 goals, both teams show moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL₅ 1.50 home, 1.65 away). |
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| 05-08-2026 17:00 |
Ranheim 2 |
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NTNUI |
Ranheim 2 -0.5 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Home vs. away standings disparity (Ranheim 6th at home, NTNUI 11th away) and strong mutual opponents edge (Ranheim +1.6 goal difference vs shared opponents, NTNUI -0.2) anchor a home win call. Recent home form is moderate (2 wins in last 4 home matches) but the structural quality gap and mutual opponents data outweigh the 40% near‑term cover rate. H2H is a single away loss, so neutral. Confidence 67% (two of three AH signals align: standings gap, mutual opponents). |
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| 05-08-2026 17:00 |
Portugalete |
- |
Rayo Cantabria |
Over 3.0 Goals |
81% |
Expected total 3.55 goals (home scored 2.10, away conceded 1.70; away scored 2.50, home conceded 0.80) exceeds the 3.0 line by 0.55. Rayo Cantabria conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches and have a high goal-line mispricing (GL_5 2.20), while 60% of their recent away games finished over 3.0 goals. Portugalete have scored 2+ in three consecutive home matches, adding form momentum. |
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| 05-08-2026 17:00 |
FC Lasten |
- |
TP-T |
Over 1.5,2.0 1st Half Goals |
71% |
FC Lasten (home) averages 1.10 HT goals scored and 0.50 conceded at home; TP-T (away) averages 0.80 scored and 0.70 conceded away, yielding an expected HT total of 1.55 against a line of 1.75. Home's last 10 matches show 70% over this HT line (7/10 with 2+ goals), away 60% over (6/10). Quality gap is huge (1st vs 8th in group), and home dominance suggests early pressure. Likelihood data points to 60% Over 1.5 HT for both. Market pricing error on full‑time GL is mild (GL_5 1.35) and does not directly boost HT confidence. Confidence: base 50% + HT history home +8% + away +5% + structural quality gap +5% + likelihood +3% = 71%. |
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| 05-08-2026 17:15 |
LePa |
- |
LOPA |
LePa -0.25 Asian Handicap |
72% |
LePa sit 3rd (23 pts) vs LOPA 6th (19 pts), covering Asian Handicap in 4 of last 5 and 8 of last 10. Mutual opponents heavily favour LePa (5-0 advantage across goals, shots, on-target, dangerous attacks, conversion). Expected full-time goals (3.30) vs 3.75 line and expected corners (8.10) vs 8.5 line do not meet Over thresholds; Under bets lack required structural signals and 70%+ history from both teams. Asian Handicap -0.25 at 1.90 offers the clearest edge. |
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| 05-08-2026 17:30 |
MPS |
- |
GrIFK Reservi |
Over 1.0,1.5 Goals 1st Half |
68% |
Expected 1st half goals 1.85 from home HT scored 0.60/conceded 1.40 and away away HT scored 0.80/conceded 0.90, 0.60 above the 1.25 line. MPS concede 1.40 HT at home, GrIFK away HT total 1.70; last 10 for each side saw 5 overs in 1H, sole H2H had 4 first-half goals. Home GL_5 1.60 signals moderate bookmaker mispricing supporting an over. |
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| 05-08-2026 17:30 |
Siero |
- |
Caudal |
Caudal -0.5 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Expected goals 2.50 vs line 2.75, so Over not viable and Under lacks both history (Siero home 50%, Caudal away 50%) and structural signals. Mutual opponents give Caudal a 5-0 stat advantage (net goals +0.43 vs -0.28) and Caudal's recent away AH record is 7-3 (70% cover). H2H Caudal won 2-1 at Siero in January. Two of three key AH signals support Caudal -0.5. |
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| 05-08-2026 18:00 |
Keflavik |
- |
KA Akureyri |
Over 3.5,4.0 Goals |
79% |
Expected total 4.05 goals (Keflavik home 1.80 scored, 2.20 conceded; KA Akureyri away 1.70 scored, 2.40 conceded) versus line 3.75. KA's away defense is fragile—conceded 2+ in 5 of 6 away matches, and 83% of those games went over the line. Both teams have moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.55/1.50) aligning with Over. High-scoring Iceland league context supports attacking game. |
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| 05-08-2026 18:00 |
Almagro |
- |
Gimnasia y Tiro |
Over 1.5,2.0 Goals |
65% |
Expected total 1.95 (home 1.20 scored, 1.00 conceded; away 1.00 scored, 0.70 conceded) clears the 1.75 line. Almagro home matches 4/5 Over 1.75, while Gimnasia y Tiro away 50% Over. Mutual opponents show combined 1.79 goals, supporting Over. No H2H data to contradict. Mild market variance (GL_5 1.10/0.80) limits confidence. |
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