| 14-08-2026 15:00 |
NuPS |
- |
EIF Academy |
EIF Academy -1.25 Asian Handicap |
75% |
Goal-line overs are blocked by NuPS history: expected FT 4.25 / HT 1.85, but NuPS are just 2/10 over 4.0 FT and 4/10 over 1.75 HT. EIF Academy sit 2nd (34 pts) vs NuPS 5th (22 pts), EIF away averages 3.9 scored/1.3 conceded vs NuPS home 1.9/1.4, and EIF covered -1.25 in 5/5 recent away games (+4,+4,+2,+7,+2) with mutual-opponent advantage 4-1 away. H2H is split in two matches, so neutral. |
|
| 14-08-2026 15:00 |
Carina Gubin |
- |
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total = (1.5+1.6)/2 + (1.8+2.4)/2 = 3.65 vs 2.75 line (+0.90). Home 5/6 over 2.5 (83%), away 7/10 (70%), mutual-opponent total 3.10 clears; away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (Lechia 4, Slowianin 2, Sparta 3). Scoring: Base 50 + gap 15 + home history 10 + away history 8 + H2H 0 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 + GL_5 0/0 + structural 5 = 96, capped 82 (standard ceiling; H2H sample too small for elevated). |
|
| 14-08-2026 15:00 |
Gornik Polkowice |
- |
Miedz Legnica II |
Over 3.0 Goals |
75% |
Full-time only (no 1H line offered): expected total 3.80 vs line 3.0 using home 1.70 scored/2.50 conceded at home and away 2.20 scored/1.20 conceded away. Home are 5 of 7 decisive matches over 3.0 (3 pushes), away are 4 of 7 decisive over (3 pushes); H2H is 1 over/1 under (3-3, 0-1), so neutral; mutual-opponent total 2.61 contradicts. Home bookmaker mispricing GL_5 2.35 is strong and aligned; confidence 75%. |
|
| 14-08-2026 15:15 |
LPS Helsinki |
- |
Töölön Taisto |
Over 1.5,2.0 Goals (1st Half) |
80% |
HT expected total = (1.70+0.50)/2 + (1.20+0.90)/2 = 2.15 vs 1.75 line (gap +0.40). Both teams went over 1.75 HT in 7/10 matches, and the only H2H HT was 2 goals. Breakdown: base 50 + gap 8 + home HT record 8 + away HT record 8 + H2H 0 + structural 0 + home GL_5 6 (3.25 severe mispricing, single-team edge) = 80. |
|
| 14-08-2026 15:30 |
RiPS |
- |
TuPS |
Over 1.75 First Half Goals |
77% |
Expected first-half goals 2.00 vs line 1.75 (+0.25 gap); TuPS over 1.75 in 6/10 recent first halves (60%) and RiPS 5/9 (56%), with consistent recent first-half scoring. Market pricing error is severe on TuPS (GL_5 3.05, accelerating from 2.35) and moderate on RiPS (GL_5 1.50, accelerating), both aligned with over. H2H first-half sample only 2 matches, neutral. |
|
| 14-08-2026 15:30 |
TiPS Vantaa |
- |
ToTe |
Over 1.5,2.0 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
1st half expected total 2.20 (home 0.9 scored/1.5 conceded HT, away 1.6 scored/0.4 conceded HT) vs 1.75 line. TiPS home 4/4 first-half games over 1.75 and ToTe away 3/4 over 1.75; market pricing error GL_5 home 2.30 (severe, accelerating) and away 1.50 align Over. Raw score 86% capped to 82% standard ceiling (gap 0.45 < 0.5 needed for elevated). |
|
| 14-08-2026 15:30 |
KeuPa |
- |
FCJ Blackbird |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected first-half total is 1.95 vs line 1.5 (home KeuPa 0.40 scored/1.30 conceded, away FCJ Blackbird 1.20 scored/1.00 conceded). FCJ Blackbird have gone over 1.5 first-half goals in 3 of 3 away games while KeuPa are 2 of 4 at home, and H2H half-time data is empty/neutral. Bookmaker mispricing is severe for KeuPa (GL_5 2.70) and strong for FCJ (GL_10 2.15), both pointing over. |
|
| 14-08-2026 15:30 |
Budapest Honved |
- |
Vasas SC |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
78% |
Expected full-time goals: (1.50+1.10)/2 + (2.20+1.10)/2 = 2.95 vs line 2.75; home and away both went over 2.75 in 7/10 (70%). H2H totals 4 and 3 both over, mutual-opponent total 2.97 supports Over, and away GL_5 1.55 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing in Over direction. |
|
| 14-08-2026 15:30 |
HNK Segesta |
- |
NK Dubrava Zagreb |
HNK Segesta +0 (Asian Handicap) |
68% |
Segesta won both H2H 6-0 and 5-0 and hold a strong AH record (8W2L last 10) against Dubrava's 5W5L. Mutual opponents favour Segesta across all 5 key stats with goals NET +1.6 vs -1.5 (2.2 scored/0.6 conceded vs 0.25/1.75). Recent margins show Segesta covered +0 in 6 of last 8 (2 pushes), while Dubrava covered only 4 of 8. |
|
| 14-08-2026 16:00 |
FC Metso |
- |
Komeetat |
Under 1.5,2.0 First Half Goals |
82% |
First-half expected total is 1.35 (home HT avg 1.00 scored/0.50 conceded; away HT avg 0.70 scored/0.50 conceded) vs a 1.75 line. Both teams stayed under that HT line in 4 of their last 5 first halves: home HT totals 2-0-1-0-0, away HT totals 0-1-1-0-2, and Komeetat failed to score in the first half in 3 of their last 5. Away goal-line mispricing is high (GL_5 2.10, accelerating vs GL_10 1.73), supporting the Under. |
|
| 14-08-2026 16:00 |
Dukla Praha |
- |
Slavia Prague B |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total = (1.40+2.20)/2 + (1.40+1.70)/2 = 3.35 vs 2.75 line (+0.60). Match history: Dukla 6/10 over, Slavia Prague B 8/10 over; Slavia B conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away. Scoring: base 50 + gap 12 + home 5 + away 10 + H2H 0 + common opponents 0 + likelihood 3 + GL 0 + structural fragility 5 = 85, capped at 82. |
|
| 14-08-2026 16:00 |
Birzebbuga |
- |
Floriana |
Over 2.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected full-time total 2.95 (home: (2.40+1.20)/2=1.80, away: (1.50+0.80)/2=1.15) vs 2.5 line. Birzebbuga 9/10 recent matches over 2.5, Floriana 6/10; H2H 2-1 (over 2.5, single meeting). Floriana concedes 5.0 shots on target away and Birzebbuga GL_5 1.75 shows moderate bookmaker mispricing aligned with Over. |
|
| 14-08-2026 16:00 |
Victoria Wrzesnia |
- |
KTS-K Luzino |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.30 vs 2.75 line: home avg scored 1.40/conceded 1.80, away scored 1.90/conceded 1.50. Home 4/5 home matches over 2.75, away 3/6 away matches over; H2H 0-1 and 1-0 (only 2 matches, neutral). KTS away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away; GL_5 home 1.50/away 1.85 moderate-strong bookmaker mispricing; raw score 93 capped at 82 default ceiling. |
|
| 14-08-2026 16:00 |
Unia Swarzedz |
- |
Notec Czarnkow |
Over 3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected full-time total is 3.65 goals: home scores 2.20 at home and concedes 1.20, away scores 2.00 away and concedes 1.90, giving (2.20+1.90)/2 + (2.00+1.20)/2 = 3.65 against a 3.0 line. H2H last meeting produced 4 goals (3-1), and while home/away match histories are mixed on Over 3.0, GL_5 bookmaker mispricing is moderate for both sides (home 1.70, away 1.80) and points same direction as the Over. |
|
| 14-08-2026 16:00 |
SR Fach-Donaufeld |
- |
Oberwart |
Over 3 Goals |
78% |
Evaluated both halves: FT expected total 4.20 vs line 3.0 (A=1.50, B=1.80, C=2.80, D=2.30; gap +1.20), while HT expected 2.05 vs 1.25. Away Oberwart are Over 3.0 in 6/10 matches with 0/10 under, H2H ended 2-4, and mutual-opponents total is 3.34; home history is 4/10 over with 2 pushes. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (GL_5 1.45/1.40). |
|
| 14-08-2026 16:00 |
PK-35 Vantaa Women |
- |
HJS Women |
Over 1.5 First Half Goals |
75% |
Expected first-half total is 1.90 vs the 1.50 line (home HT: 0.5 scored/1.8 conceded; away HT: 0.6 scored/0.9 conceded). PK-35 Vantaa's last 10 matches went over 1.5 first-half goals in 7 of 10, and HJS's GL_5 market pricing error is 2.20 (accelerating vs 1.63 GL_10), adding over edge. Full-time expected total was only 3.60 vs 3.5/4.0, so the first-half goal line is the stronger value. |
|
| 14-08-2026 16:00 |
Nea Salamis Famagusta |
- |
Krasava ENY Ypsonas |
Over 2.5 Goals |
72% |
Expected total 3.25 (A=2.20, B=1.80, C=1.50, D=1.00) clears the 2.5 line by 0.75 goals. Nea Salamis are 3 of 5 home matches over 2.5, Krasava are 3 of 6 away matches over 2.5, and the sole H2H finished 2-4. Away side concedes 6.2 shots on target per away game, a structural over signal. |
|
| 14-08-2026 16:15 |
Sölvesborgs GoIF |
- |
Nosaby |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total is (2.10+2.10)/2 + (2.00+1.80)/2 = 4.00 vs line 3.0/3.5. Nosaby have conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches (5,2,5,3,1) and 7 of 10 away matches went over this goal line; H2H finished 1-4. Nosaby's goal-line bookmaker mispricing GL_5 is 1.60, adding edge to the over. |
|
| 14-08-2026 16:30 |
Valtti |
- |
Atlantis FC/Pm |
Over 4.5/5.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total is (2.10+4.00)/2 + (2.50+2.40)/2 = 5.50, 0.75 above the 4.75 line. Atlantis FC/Pm away matches average 6.50 total goals (2.50 scored, 4.00 conceded) and 9 of their last 10 matches finished over 4.75, while Valtti home averages 4.50; bookmaker mispricing is severe for Atlantis (GL_5 2.65) and moderate for Valtti (GL_5 1.65), both aligned with Over. Confidence capped at 82% standard tier due one-sided home history and neutral H2H. |
|
| 14-08-2026 16:30 |
Hestrafors IF |
- |
Qviding FIF |
Over 3.5,4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time goals = (2.60+1.80)/2 + (1.90+2.20)/2 = 4.25 vs 3.5/4.0 line. Hestrafors over 3.5 in 8/10 (80%) and Qviding 6/10 (60%), H2H ended 3-2, and mutual-opponent total was 4.19. Qviding conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away matches; bookmaker mispricing is only mild (GL_5 1.15/1.05), so raw 85 capped at 82. |
|
| 14-08-2026 16:30 |
Hertha Wels |
- |
Rapid Vienna II |
Rapid Vienna II +0.25 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Hertha Wels home split is poor (0W0D1L, 0 GF, 2 GA) while Rapid Vienna II away split is perfect (1W0D0L, 1 GF, 0 GA). Rapid +0.25 covered 9 of their last 10 overall (8W1D1L, 90%) while Hertha -0.25 covered only 4 of 10 (40%). AH record also favours Rapid last 10 (8W2L vs Hertha 6W4L), with mutual opponents the main counter-signal, capping confidence at 67%. |
|
| 14-08-2026 16:30 |
Holstein Kiel |
- |
St Pauli |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Holstein Kiel home matches average 1.90 scored and 1.40 conceded, while St Pauli away average 2.20 scored and 1.90 conceded, giving an expected full-time total of 3.70 against a 2.75 line. Holstein Kiel are 8/10 over 2.75 and St Pauli are 9/10 over 2.75 in their last 10, with the only H2H 1-1 neutral, and St Pauli have conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away games. No team has GL_5 > 1.5, so no market-pricing-error adjustment. |
|
| 14-08-2026 17:00 |
Lunds BK |
- |
Hässleholms IF |
Over 1.25 Goals 1st Half |
66% |
Expected 1st-half total is 1.55 ((0.80+0.40)/2 + (1.10+0.80)/2) vs line 1.25, a gap of +0.30. Lunds BK are 6/10 over 1.25 1H at home and have scored in five straight first halves; Hässleholm away 1H history is weak at 2/10 but their away 1H averages (1.10 scored, 0.40 conceded) keep the projection over. Home GL_5 is 1.55, indicating moderate bookmaker mispricing in the Over direction; no H2H 1H data available. |
|
| 14-08-2026 17:00 |
Ponnistus |
- |
FC Lahti II |
FC Lahti II -0.75 Asian Handicap |
67% |
FC Lahti II sit 3rd in Southern Group 3 on 22 points vs Ponnistus 9th on 11, a clear standings edge. Lahti II have covered the Asian Handicap in 7 of their last 10 matches (4 of last 5), while Ponnistus have covered only 6 of 10; H2H is empty and mutual-opponent data is insufficient (g=1 each), so two of three AH signals support the away side. |
|
| 14-08-2026 17:00 |
PPJ/Lauttasaari |
- |
FC Kontu |
Over 1.75 First Half Goals |
82% |
Expected first-half total is 2.20 (home 1.50 scored + away 1.30 conceded /2 = 1.40; away 0.60 scored + home 1.00 conceded /2 = 0.80) vs a 1.75 line. Recent half-time records are strong: PPJ 4 of 5 home matches over 1.75 HT, FC Kontu 4 of 5 away matches over 1.75 HT; FC Kontu conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away games and home bookmaker mispricing is severe (2.75). |
|
| 14-08-2026 17:00 |
FC Helsingor |
- |
Frem |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.35 vs line 2.5 (A=2.10, B=1.50, C=1.30, D=1.80; gap +0.85). Home matches over 2.5 in 7/10, away 6/10; mutual opponents total 3.75; Frem conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away. Bookmaker mispricing GL_5 1.70 home / 1.55 away. Scoring: base 50% + gap 15% + home history 8% + away history 5% + mutual 5% + GL_5 home 5% = 88% capped at 82%. |
|
| 14-08-2026 17:00 |
Nykobing |
- |
B93 Copenhagen |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total is 4.35 (Nykobing home 3.00 scored/0.90 conceded; B93 away 2.40 scored/2.40 conceded) vs a 2.75 line; Nykobing are 8/10 and B93 9/10 over 2.75, B93 have conceded 2+ in 5 straight away matches, and market pricing error is elevated (home GL_5 1.60, away GL_5 2.10). HT also leans over (2.40 vs 1.25) but FT has stronger histories and a larger gap, so FT Over 2.5/3.0 is the best bet at 82%. |
|
| 14-08-2026 17:00 |
SV Spittal/Drau |
- |
TSV Grafenstein |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
72% |
Expected full-time total = (1.20+1.60)/2 + (2.50+1.80)/2 = 3.55 vs 3.25 line. Home 6/9 recent matches over (67%), away 6/10 over (60%), H2H empty; away GL_5 2.30 (strong bookmaker mispricing, accelerating) and away have scored 2+ in five straight. Confidence: base 50 + gap 5 + home history 5 + away history 5 + H2H 0 + common opponents 0 + likelihood 3 + GL5 home 0 + GL5 away 4 + structural (home drought -3, away scoring run +3) = 72%. |
|
| 14-08-2026 17:00 |
USV Gnas |
- |
Ilzer SV |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 4.05 vs 3.25 ((1.70+1.90)/2+(2.80+1.70)/2); mutual-opponents total is 3.85 and Ilzer have conceded 2+ in each of their last 5 away matches (6/9 Over 3.25). Scoring: base 50% + gap +15% + home GL_5 +5% + away GL_5 +8% + away fragility +5% + common opponents +5% = 88%, capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 14-08-2026 17:29 |
KSZO Ostrowiec |
- |
Korona Kielce II |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.50 vs line 3.0 (home avg 1.50 scored/0.90 conceded; away 2.50 scored/2.10 conceded away). Korona Kielce II are 6/10 over 3.0, conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away, and mutual opponents total 3.93 supports Over; GL_5 mispricing is 1.75 home and 2.45 away. Home history is a drag at 1/10 over 3.0, so raw score 88% is capped at the standard 82% ceiling. |
|
| 14-08-2026 17:30 |
Wiener Sportclub |
- |
SV Gloggnitz |
Over 3 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 4.05 vs 3.0 line (A=2.5, B=2.1, C=2.2, D=1.3). Home 5/10 and away 6/10 went over 3.0, and both H2H meetings went over with totals of 7 and 5 goals. GL_5 mispricing is 1.70 home / 1.65 away, and away concedes 5.0 shots on target per game; mutual opponents total of 2.85 slightly under caps confidence at 82. |
|
| 14-08-2026 17:30 |
Kremser SC |
- |
Parndorf |
Parndorf +0.25 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Parndorf sit 4th (4 pts) vs Kremser 11th (1 pt), and Parndorf's last-5 Asian Handicap record is 3W-1V-1L (70% cover) while Kremser are 2W-0V-3L. The two H2H meetings were draws (0-0, 2-2), which half-cover the away +0.25 line; common-opponent data leans home, but two of the three AH signals support away. |
|
| 14-08-2026 18:00 |
Haukar |
- |
Hviti Riddarinn |
Over 5.5 1st Half Asian Corners |
73% |
Expected 1st-half corners total is 6.05 (Haukar 5.10/1.50, Hviti 3.50/2.00 split) vs 5.5 line. Haukar's recent HT corner overs are 7 of 10 (70%) and Hviti's 5 of 10 (50%), meeting the Over threshold. Haukar's strong home form (7W-1D-0L) and Hviti's winless away league record (0W-5D-3L) support sustained pressure/corners; confidence 50% base +5 gap +8 home history +10 structural = 73%. |
|
| 14-08-2026 18:00 |
Vidir Gardur |
- |
KA Asvellir |
Vidir Gardur -2.25 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Vidir Gardur sit 1st vs 9th (33 pts vs 16) and show a strong home-side mutual-opponent profile, winning all five classified stats (goals net +1.50 vs -1.67, dangerous attacks +18.17 vs -2.16). Home cover rate at -2.25 is 3 of 5 (60%) with margins +4, +3, +5; H2H is only one match (Vidir won 4-1 away). Two of three AH signals support, so confidence is capped at 65%. |
|
| 14-08-2026 18:00 |
NAC |
- |
VVV |
Over 3.0 Goals |
67% |
FT expected goals: (1.5+1.8)/2 + (1.9+1.6)/2 = 3.40, beating the 3.0 line by 0.40. VVV conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away games (Helmond Sport 2-0, FC Emmen 2-2, Maastricht 2-1) and have a GL_5 bookmaker mispricing of 2.00 (accelerating over 1.73). NAC last-10 over rate 30%, VVV 50% over 3.0; H2H empty and mutual opponents sample too small—confidence 67% (base 50 + gap 8 + away GL partial 4 + defensive fragility 5). |
|
| 14-08-2026 18:00 |
Dinamo Zagreb |
- |
NK Rudes |
Under 5.0 Corners (1st Half) |
75% |
Expected 1st-half corners are 4.1 vs the 5.0 line (Dinamo 2.50 for / 1.50 against, Rudes 2.70 for / 1.50 against). Both sides are under 5.0 HT corners in 7 of 10 recent matches (70% each: Dinamo HT totals 5,5,3,4,8,4,4,3,3,4; Rudes 4,3,2,8,0,6,3,1,5,1). Score: base 50 +9 gap below line +8 home history +8 away history = 75%. |
|
| 14-08-2026 18:00 |
Spartak Subotica |
- |
FK Teleoptik Zemun |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
78% |
Expected total 2.85 (Spartak 1.00 scored/2.40 conceded at home; Teleoptik 1.40 scored/0.90 conceded away) edges the 2.75 line. Both teams are 8/10 over 2.75 in their last 10 matches, and the 1st-vs-16th quality gap supports Over; H2H and mutual opponents data are absent. Confidence 78% = 50 base +10 home history +10 away history +3 likelihood +5 quality gap. |
|
| 14-08-2026 18:00 |
FC Freienbach |
- |
FC Baden |
Over 3.0 Goals |
70% |
Expected full-time total is 3.50 (home 1.80 scored/1.60 conceded at home; away 1.70 scored/1.90 conceded away) vs the 3.0 line, a +0.50 gap. H2H totals are 3-3 and 3-0, home/away over-3.0 records are 2/4 and 3/6, and FC Baden show structural away fragility with 2+ goals conceded in 3 of their last 5 away matches and 5.2 shots on target conceded per away game. |
|
| 14-08-2026 18:00 |
Al Ittifaq Dammam |
- |
Al Riyadh |
Over 3 Goals |
75% |
FT expected total 3.30 (A=1.80, B=1.70, C=1.50, D=1.60) vs line 3.0; home 7/10 (70%) and away 5/10 (50%) over 3.0, H2H split 2-3 and 0-2. Scoring: 50 base +6 gap +8 home history +3 likelihood +2.5 away GL_5 (1.75 moderate) +5 away defensive fragility (2+ conceded in 4 of last 5 away, c_avg_on_target 5.7) = 74.5% rounded 75. |
|
| 14-08-2026 18:30 |
Balzan FC |
- |
Marsaxlokk FC |
Over 2.25 Goals |
77% |
Expected total = (1.70+1.60)/2 + (1.30+1.40)/2 = 3.00 vs 2.25 line. Balzan 6/10 recent matches over 2.25, Marsaxlokk 7/10 over; H2H only one meeting (1-1) is neutral, while mutual opponents combined 2.0 is below line and away scoring drought was a small negative. Home GL_5 2.15 signals strong bookmaker mispricing on Balzan totals, supporting the Over. |
|
| 14-08-2026 18:45 |
Laval |
- |
Nantes |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
82% |
FT Over: Base 50 + gap 13 + home hist 10 + away hist 0 + H2H 0 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 0 + market pricing error home 5 + market pricing error away 5 + structural 0 = 88 raw, capped 82 at standard ceiling (away 5/10 over 2.0, H2H empty). Expected total 2.90 vs line 2.25: Laval home scored 1.70, conceded 1.50; Nantes away scored 1.50, conceded 1.10; Laval 8/10 over 2.0, Nantes 5/10; mutual opponents total 3.5 and market pricing error GL_5 home 1.70/away 1.75 both accelerating. HT Over 1.0 is weaker: expected 1.20 vs line 1.0, away HT over 1.0 only 3/10. |
|
| 14-08-2026 18:45 |
Reims |
- |
Dunkerque |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.15 vs line 2.5: Reims home 1.70 scored/1.20 conceded, Dunkerque away 1.80 scored/1.60 conceded. Reims are 3/5 over 2.5 at home and Dunkerque 3/3 over 2.5 away, with Dunkerque conceding 2+ in all three away (3-2, 6-2, 2-1); mutual-opponent total 2.85 supports Over and market pricing error (GL_5) is 1.80/1.60. Raw score 95% capped at 82%. |
|
| 14-08-2026 18:45 |
Nancy |
- |
Montpellier |
Over 2.5 Goals |
72% |
FT expected total = (1.80+1.30)/2 + (1.60+1.40)/2 = 3.05 vs line 2.5 (+0.55 gap). Nancy are 6/10 over 2.5 in recent matches, Montpellier are 5/10; H2H last two meetings were 0-3 and 1-4, both over 2.5. Nancy scored 2+ in each of their last 3 home games (2-2, 5-0, 3-2), and home GL_5 of 2.00 signals strong bookmaker mispricing for overs. |
|
| 14-08-2026 18:45 |
Annecy |
- |
Rodez Aveyron |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 3.30 (home scored 1.70 + away conceded 1.20 / 1.45; away scored 2.20 + home conceded 1.50 / 1.85) vs 2.5 line. Annecy home are 70% over 2.5 (7/10) and Rodez away 90% (9/10), with H2H totals both 3 goals and mutual-opponent total 2.92 also over. Scoring: 50% base +15% gap +8% home history +10% away history +5% common opponents +3% likelihood +4% away GL_5 market pricing error = 95%, capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 14-08-2026 18:45 |
Derry City Women |
- |
Linfield Women |
Over 4.0,4.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.90 vs line 4.25 (Derry home 2.50 scored/2.00 conceded; Linfield away 3.70 scored/1.60 conceded). Linfield away are 4/4 over 4.25 while Derry home are 3/6 over; GL_5 pricing error home 3.00 severe and away 1.80 moderate align Over, mutual opponents total 5.09 supports Over. Raw score 95 capped to 82 (home history 50% blocks elevated ceiling). |
|
| 14-08-2026 18:45 |
Lisburn Rangers Women |
- |
Cliftonville Women |
Over 4.0 Goals |
68% |
FT expected total = (1.30+0.90)/2 + (3.30+2.90)/2 = 4.20 vs line 4.0; mutual opponents total 4.37 also clears the line, and only 3 of 18 combined recent matches stayed under 4.0 (2/8 home, 1/10 away). Confidence: Base 50% + gap from line +5% + home/away history +0% + H2H neutral +0% + common opponents +5% + likelihood +3% + GL_5 home +0% + GL_5 away +0% + structural quality gap +5% = 68%. |
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| 14-08-2026 18:45 |
Cercle Brugge |
- |
Sint-Truidense |
Over 2.75 Goals |
78% |
FT expected total 3.30 (A=2.10, B=1.10, C=1.50, D=1.90) vs line 2.75. Cercle Brugge 9/10 (90%) over 2.75, Sint-Truidense 5/10 (50%) over, mutual-opponent total 2.98 supports Over; H2H 2 matches neutral. Confidence 78 = 50 base +10 gap +10 home history +0 away history +0 H2H +5 shared opponents +3 likelihood +0 GL_5 home (1.45 mild) +0 GL_5 away (1.10 mild) +0 structural. |
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| 14-08-2026 18:45 |
Monza |
- |
Avellino |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.20 vs a 2.5 line (Monza home: 1.70 scored/1.60 conceded; Avellino away: 1.80 scored/1.30 conceded). Monza are 6/10 over 2.5, Avellino's last five all went over, mutual-opponent totals average 2.68, and Avellino's GL_5 market pricing error is 2.05 with 3 of their last 5 away matches conceding 2+. Confidence: base 50 + gap 14 + common opponents 5 + away GL_5 4 + quality gap 5 + away defensive fragility 5 = 83, capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
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| 14-08-2026 18:45 |
Llandudno |
- |
Holywell Town |
Over 1.0,1.5 First Half Goals |
82% |
Expected 1st-half total 2.30 ((1.40+1.10)/2 + (1.60+0.50)/2) vs line 1.0/1.5. Holywell away 1st-half over record 70% (7/10), away GL_5 2.15 strong bookmaker mispricing, and Llandudno 2nd vs Holywell 16th quality gap support Over. H2H only 2 matches so neutral. |
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| 14-08-2026 18:45 |
Cambrian United |
- |
Flint Town Utd |
Over 2.75 Goals |
81% |
Expected total 3.15 vs line 2.75 from home 2.00 scored/0.90 conceded and away 1.60 scored/1.80 conceded; Cambrian 6/10 and Flint 7/10 recent matches over 2.75. Mutual opponents total 3.075 supports over, Flint conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away, and away GL_5 1.60 shows moderate bookmaker mispricing. |
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| 14-08-2026 18:45 |
Airbus UK |
- |
Ammanford AFC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.60 vs 2.75 line (Airbus 3.00 scored/1.00 conceded at home; Ammanford 2.00 scored/1.20 conceded away). Airbus 7/10 and Ammanford 8/10 recent matches cleared 2.75 goals, Ammanford conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away matches, and Airbus goal-line mispricing GL_5 is 1.75. Raw confidence capped at 82% with no H2H sample. |
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| 14-08-2026 18:45 |
Connah's Quay |
- |
Trefelin BGC |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time goals are 3.85 vs the 3.25 line: home 1.60 scored/1.30 conceded at home, away 3.20 scored/1.60 conceded away. Trefelin BGC are 9 of 10 matches over 3.25, but Connah's Quay are 3 of 10; H2H is empty and mutual opponents are neutral (away g=1). First-half was also Over-leaning (1.90 vs 1.25) but full-time has the stronger away overs sample; market pricing error GL_5 home 1.55/away 1.70 adds moderate edge. Raw 85% capped at standard 82%. |
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| 14-08-2026 18:45 |
UCD |
- |
Derry City |
UCD +1.25 Asian Handicap |
70% |
UCD are 9-1-4 at home and have covered +1.25 in 9 of their last 10 matches, while Derry City are just 1-7-5 away in the league and covered -1.25 in only 3 of their last 10. UCD home scoring (2.00 goals/match) plus Derry's weak away scoring (1.40 goals/match) and poor away form support UCD keeping it close, with Derry needing a 2+ goal win to beat the spread. |
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| 14-08-2026 18:45 |
Kilmarnock |
- |
Ayr |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.15 (home 2.30 scored/1.30 conceded at home; away 1.90 scored/0.80 conceded away) vs line 2.5; Kilmarnock 8/10 Over 2.5, Ayr 5/10, H2H empty. Ayr conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (Stranraer, Ross County, Raith); home GL_5 2.95 severe/accelerating. Score: 50+10+10+0+0+0+3+6+5=84 capped at 82. |
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| 14-08-2026 19:00 |
Crusaders Strikers Women |
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Lisburn Women |
Over 3.5,4.0 Goals |
82% |
FT expected goals = (2.4+2.6)/2 + (1.2+2.9)/2 = 4.55 vs 3.75 line; Crusaders 9/10 over 3.5, Lisburn 6/10; H2H 2 games neutral (0-3, 2-3). Lisburn conceded 2+ in 4/5 away, mutual-opponent total 5.85, away GL_5=1.50 supports Over. Score: Base 50 + gap 15 + home 10 + away 5 + H2H 0 + common 5 + likelihood 0 + GL_5 home 0 + GL_5 away 5 + structural 5 = 95 capped at 82. |
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| 14-08-2026 19:15 |
HK Kopavogur Women |
- |
KR Reykjavik Women |
Over 3.5, 4.0 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total 4.25 (home 2.50/1.90, away 2.80/1.30) clears the 3.75 line by 0.50. HK and KR have 5/9 and 6/10 over records at this line, H2H last meeting was 6-0, and KR conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 4 away. Market pricing error is elevated (home GL_5 2.15, away GL_5 2.05, both accelerating); scoring: base 50 + gap 10 + away history 5 + GL_5 home 8 + GL_5 away 8 + structural 5 = 86, capped at 82 (home history, H2H single match, common opponents, likelihood set to +0). |
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| 14-08-2026 22:00 |
Fernando de la Mora |
- |
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval |
Over 2.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.60 vs 2.25 (home 2.40 scored/1.70 conceded; away 1.70 scored/1.40 conceded; shot-based 3.69). Over 2.25 in 7/10 home and 5/10 away matches; H2H 0-1 only one match, mutual-opponent combined total 2.80 and home GL_5 2.90 severe bookmaker mispricing. Raw confidence 87% capped at standard 82%. |
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