| 07-11 12:00 |
Middelfart
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3.20 +0.45 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 1.60 + 1.60 + 1.40) / 2 = 3.20 Error: 3.20 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.45| Opponent | Middelfart | Naestved |
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| Skive | D 3-3 H 24-10-26 | W 2-1 A 30-08-26 | | FC Roskilde | D 3-3 H 17-10-26 | D 2-2 A 31-07-26 | | FA 2000 | W 1-0 H 03-10-26 | D 1-1 A 10-10-26 | | VSK Arhus | D 1-1 H 19-09-26 | D 2-2 A 24-10-26 | | Fremad Amager | D 1-1 H 05-09-26 | D 1-1 A 18-09-26 | | Durchschn. Tore (F | A) | 1.80 - 1.60 | 1.60 - 1.40 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Middelfart | Naestved |
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| Skive | D 3-3 H 24-10-26 | W 2-1 A 30-08-26 | | FC Roskilde | D 3-3 H 17-10-26 | D 2-2 A 31-07-26 | | FA 2000 | W 1-0 H 03-10-26 | D 1-1 A 10-10-26 | | VSK Arhus | D 1-1 H 19-09-26 | D 2-2 A 24-10-26 | | Fremad Amager | D 1-1 H 05-09-26 | D 1-1 A 18-09-26 | | Durchschn. Tore (F | A) | 1.80 - 1.60 | 1.60 - 1.40 |
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140 140 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.60 1.60 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.56 | 5.63 6.63 | 7.71 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.60 | 9.00 10.60 | 10.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 4.80 5.80 | 3.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
47.80 | 37.20 48.00 | 38.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 07-11 13:00 |
FA 2000
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2.70 -0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 2.20 + 1.00 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.70 Error: 2.70 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.05| Opponent | FA 2000 | VSK Arhus |
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| Hellerup IK | L 0-2 H 23-10-26 | W 2-0 A 01-08-26 | | Naestved | D 1-1 H 10-10-26 | W 2-0 A 23-08-26 | | Fremad Amager | L 1-2 H 26-09-26 | L 0-1 A 02-05-26 | | Skive | D 2-2 H 05-09-26 | L 1-4 A 30-10-26 | | Brabrand | L 2-4 H 22-08-26 | D 0-0 A 21-07-26 | | Durchschn. Tore (F | A) | 1.20 - 2.20 | 1.00 - 1.00 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | FA 2000 | VSK Arhus |
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| Hellerup IK | L 0-2 H 23-10-26 | W 2-0 A 01-08-26 | | Naestved | D 1-1 H 10-10-26 | W 2-0 A 23-08-26 | | Fremad Amager | L 1-2 H 26-09-26 | L 0-1 A 02-05-26 | | Skive | D 2-2 H 05-09-26 | L 1-4 A 30-10-26 | | Brabrand | L 2-4 H 22-08-26 | D 0-0 A 21-07-26 | | Durchschn. Tore (F | A) | 1.20 - 2.20 | 1.00 - 1.00 |
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023 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 2.20 1.00 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.17 | 5.00 7.60 | 11.80 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.20 | 11.00 7.60 | 11.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.60 | 5.00 4.00 | 5.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
41.40 | 40.00 37.00 | 41.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 08-11 13:00 |
Nykobing
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+0.54 -0.71 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 11.11 Heim: 11.11 / ((3.67 + 6.00) / 2) = 2.30 Heim: 11.11 / ((4.89 + 7.75) / 2) = 1.76 Diff: 2.30 - 1.76 = +0.54 Error: +0.54 + AH line -1.25 = -0.71 |
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4.90 +1.65 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (4.20 + 1.80 + 1.60 + 2.20) / 2 = 4.90 Error: 4.90 - Goal line 3.25 = +1.65| Opponent | Nykobing | Brabrand |
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| Thisted FC | W 3-0 H 25-10-26 | L 1-3 A 20-09-26 | | VSK Arhus | W 3-1 H 11-10-26 | W 2-0 A 02-10-26 | | Hellerup IK | W 3-0 H 18-09-26 | L 1-2 A 05-09-26 | | FA 2000 | W 3-1 H 13-09-26 | W 4-2 A 22-08-26 | | Middelfart | W 9-7 H 09-09-26 | L 0-4 A 07-08-26 | | Durchschn. Tore (F | A) | 4.20 - 1.80 | 1.60 - 2.20 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Nykobing | Brabrand |
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| Thisted FC | W 3-0 H 25-10-26 | L 1-3 A 20-09-26 | | VSK Arhus | W 3-1 H 11-10-26 | W 2-0 A 02-10-26 | | Hellerup IK | W 3-0 H 18-09-26 | L 1-2 A 05-09-26 | | FA 2000 | W 3-1 H 13-09-26 | W 4-2 A 22-08-26 | | Middelfart | W 9-7 H 09-09-26 | L 0-4 A 07-08-26 | | Durchschn. Tore (F | A) | 4.20 - 1.80 | 1.60 - 2.20 |
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500 203 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
4.20 | 1.80 1.60 | 2.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
3.67 | 4.89 7.75 | 6.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.40 | 8.80 12.40 | 13.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
8.60 | 3.40 5.20 | 6.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
39.80 | 28.60 43.60 | 40.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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