| 23-08-2026 18:30 |
Argentina Nacional B |
Club Ciudad de Bolivar |
- |
Racing de Cordoba |
Over 1.75 Goals |
80% |
Expected FT total = (0.90+1.00)/2 + (1.00+1.50)/2 = 2.20 vs 1.75 line. Both Club Ciudad de Bolivar and Racing de Cordoba are 7/10 (70%) over 1.75 in their last 10, mutual-opponent total is 2.40, and the one H2H finished 2-0. Confidence: base 50 + gap 9 + home history 8 + away history 8 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 - home scoring drought 3 = 80%. |
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| 23-08-2026 18:30 |
Argentina Nacional B |
Deportivo Maipu |
- |
Quilmes |
Deportivo Maipu -0.25 Asian Handicap |
70% |
Maipu have covered -0.25 in 5 of their last 7 home matches (71%), and their home record is 7W-2D-3L against Quilmes' away record of 1W-4D-7L. Against mutual opponents, Maipu averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.86 conceded while Quilmes managed just 0.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded with 0 wins in 6 away games, giving a strong home-side edge on all five comparison stats. |
|
| 23-08-2026 18:30 |
Türkiye Super Lig |
Goztepe |
- |
Genclerbirligi |
Goztepe -0.75 Asian Handicap |
66% |
Goztepe's AH record is 4-1 in the last 5 and 6-2-2 in the last 10, and the mutual-opponent comparison strongly favours them: 5W-4D-1L vs 2W-3D-5L, goals NET +0.5 vs 0.0, plus shots and dangerous-attacks advantages. H2H also supports Goztepe, with wins of 1-0 at home and 2-0 away in the last two meetings. |
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| 23-08-2026 19:00 |
Argentina Nacional B |
Club Atletico Temperley |
- |
Ferrocarril Midland |
Over 1.5/2.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time goals 2.25 (home 1.70 scored/0.70 conceded at home; away 1.20 scored/0.90 conceded away) vs current line 1.75, with shot-based match potential 4.65. Both teams have 70% of recent matches over the 1.75 line, and mutual-opponent totals produce 2.36 supporting over. Sole H2H was 0-0 but is a one-match sample treated as neutral; no meaningful market pricing error signal (GL_5 0.95/0.65). |
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| 23-08-2026 19:00 |
Italy Serie B |
Palermo |
- |
Juve Stabia |
Over 2.25 Goals |
70% |
FT expected total 2.75 ((1.70+1.40)/2 + (1.30+1.10)/2) vs line 2.25, a +0.50 gap. Mutual opponents total 2.63 (Palermo 2.2/0.5 vs Juve Stabia 1.33/1.22) clears the line, and Juve Stabia conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away (Frosinone 4-1, Monza 2-1, Venezia 3-1, Mantova 2-0); H2H 2-2 and 1-0 is neutral. |
|
| 23-08-2026 19:00 |
Italy Serie B |
Palermo |
- |
Juve Stabia |
Over 2.25 Goals |
67% |
Expected total (1.70+1.40)/2+(1.30+1.10)/2=2.75 vs 2.25 line; shot-based match potential 5.16. Juve Stabia conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away (Frosinone 4, Monza 2, Venezia 3, Mantova 2); mutual opponents total 2.63 supports Over. Breakdown: 50+10+0+0+0+5-3+0+0+5=67%. |
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| 23-08-2026 19:30 |
Spain La Liga |
Elche |
- |
Barcelona |
Elche +1.5 Asian Handicap |
66% |
Elche +1.5 covered in 9 of their last 10 matches (90%), with the only failure a 1-3 away loss to Celta Vigo. Against shared opponents, Elche posted 5W-4D-1L with a +0.8 goals NET while Barcelona posted 5W-1D-4L with +0.1 NET, tilting value to the home side. H2H is only 2 matches (both Barcelona by 2), so it is treated as neutral under the sample-size rule. |
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| 23-08-2026 21:00 |
Guatemala Liga Nacional |
Deportivo Mixco |
- |
Guastatoya |
Deportivo Mixco -0.25 Asian Handicap |
72% |
Mixco have won 4 of their last 5 home matches and all four H2H meetings were won by the home side, including Mixco 1-0 and 2-0 at home. Mutual opponents show Mixco +1.1 goal differential vs Guastatoya -0.5, with all five matchup stats favouring the home side. Guastatoya's away form is 1W1D3L, failing to score first-half in all five away games. |
|
| 24-08-2026 00:00 |
Costa Rica Primera Division |
Alajuelense |
- |
AD San Carlos |
Under 10.5 Corners |
73% |
Expected total corners are 8.6 vs the 10.5 line (Alajuelense 5.5 won/3.4 conceded at home; AD San Carlos 4.1 won/4.2 conceded away). Alajuelense are 7 of 10 under 10.5 total corners and AD San Carlos are 8 of 10 under, with San Carlos losing 10 straight away games and scoring only 4 goals in those matches. H2H is 3 of 4 over 10.5 corners, so a -10% reduction was applied, leaving 73% confidence. |
|
| 24-08-2026 00:15 |
Panama Liga Prom |
Panama City FC |
- |
UMECIT Reserves |
Panama City FC -0.5 (Asian Handicap) |
68% |
Panama City are 2nd in the East-North group (8 pts) vs UMECIT Reserves 5th (4 pts), with a home AH record of 4W-1V-0L in their last 5 (80% cover) and a 7W-1V-2L last 10. Mutual opponents give Panama City the edge in 4 of 5 stats (goals net 0.00 vs -0.66), and the most recent H2H at this venue ended 1-0 to Panama City. |
|
| 24-08-2026 01:00 |
Nicaragua Apertura |
CD Walter Ferretti |
- |
UNAN Managua |
Over 2.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected FT total 3.10 (home 1.40 scored/2.10 conceded at home; away 1.40 scored/1.30 conceded away) vs line 2.5; shot-based potential 5.21. Home are 7/10 Over 2.5, away 4/10; H2H 2-0, 0-0, 1-4 (1/3 Over), mutual-opponent total 2.66 clears the line; away concedes 6.8 shots on target away and home GL_5 mispricing is 1.60. Confidence: 50+12+8+0-5+5+3+2.5+5=80.5%. |
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| 24-08-2026 17:00 |
Sweden Superettan |
Ostersunds FK |
- |
Ljungskile |
Over 2.75 Goals |
67% |
Expected total is 2.55 (A 1.20, B 1.40, C 1.50, D 1.00) vs the 2.75 line, but shot-based match potential 5.89 and mutual-opponent total 2.95 both clear the line. Ljungskile are 6/10 over 2.75 (60%) and conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away; H2H is neutral (1-1). Away GL_5 is 1.55 (moderate bookmaker mispricing) but not direction-aligned; confidence 67%. |
|
| 24-08-2026 17:00 |
Sweden Allsvenskan |
Malmo FF |
- |
Djurgarden |
Over 1.25 First Half Goals |
77% |
Expected first-half total is 2.15 (Malmo 0.90 scored/1.20 conceded at home, Djurgarden 1.30 scored/0.90 conceded away) vs the 1.25 line, a +0.90 gap. Djurgarden away have gone over 1.25 first-half goals in 7 of 10 matches, Malmo home in 5 of 10, and H2H is a neutral 2-match sample. Away GL_5 market pricing error is 2.05 (strong mispricing, slightly accelerating) and aligns with the over. |
|
| 24-08-2026 18:45 |
France Ligue 2 |
Reims |
- |
Annecy |
Over 2.5 Goals |
79% |
Expected total is 3.10 — (Reims home scored 1.90 + Annecy away conceded 1.10)/2 = 1.50, plus (Annecy away scored 1.90 + Reims home conceded 1.30)/2 = 1.60 — clearing line 2.5 by 0.60. Reims are 5/10 over 2.5 (50%, not contradictory) and Annecy are 6/10 (60%); H2H is neutral with only two matches (2-1, 1-1); mutual-opponent total is 2.9 supporting Over. Breakdown: base 50 + gap 12 + home history 0 + away history 5 + H2H 0 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 + bookmaker mispricing home GL_5 4 (2.35 accelerating) + away GL_5 0 + structural 0 = 79%. |
|
| 24-08-2026 23:00 |
Argentina Nacional B |
Ferro Carril Oeste |
- |
All Boys |
Over 1.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total 2.15 (home scored 1.60/conceded 1.20 at home; away scored 0.70/conceded 0.80 away) vs 1.75 line. Ferro 8/10 and All Boys 7/10 recent matches over 1.75; All Boys conceded 2+ in five straight away games (2,2,4,3,2), mutual-opponent total 2.36 supports over. H2H is a single 0-0 meeting (neutral), Ferro GL_5 1.60 marks moderate bookmaker mispricing; raw score 91.5 capped at 82. |
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