| 22-04-2026 08:00 |
PSIM Yogyakarta |
- |
Persija Jakarta |
Over 2.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected total goals 2.90 based on home avg 1.40 goals scored at home, away avg 1.70 goals scored away, and defensive averages. Home team has 70% of last 10 matches Over 2.5, away team 60% in last 5, with no H2H veto. Structural signal: away team conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches. Moderate bookmaker mispricing for away team (GL_5 1.55) aligns with Over direction. |
|
| 22-04-2026 08:00 |
Farul Constanta Women |
- |
Olimpia Cluj Women |
Over 3.0 Goals |
73% |
Expected total goals is 4.35 based on Farul Constanta averaging 3.30 goals scored at home and Olimpia Cluj conceding 1.50 away, combined with Olimpia Cluj's 60% Over 3.0 rate in last 10 matches. Home team has scored 3+ goals in recent home matches (5-1, 8-0, 4-1), and bookmaker mispricing is moderate with GL_5 of 1.80 for Farul Constanta, indicating edge. H2H shows 75% Under but is outweighed by current form and high expected total. |
|
| 22-04-2026 08:30 |
Persis Solo |
- |
Bhayangkara FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected total goals is 2.80, calculated from Persis Solo averaging 1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded at home, and Bhayangkara FC averaging 2.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded away. Over 2.5 has occurred in 67% of Persis Solo's recent home matches and 80% of Bhayangkara's away matches, with Persis Solo scoring 2+ goals in their last three home games. H2H is neutral with one prior match (2-0, under 2.5), and structural signals include a quality gap (4th vs 16th) and home form momentum. |
|
| 22-04-2026 09:30 |
Blacktown City |
- |
Blacktown Spartans |
Over 3.0 Goals |
78% |
Expected total goals of 3.50 exceeds the line of 3.0, calculated from home averages (1.20 scored, 2.10 conceded at home) and away averages (2.50 scored, 1.20 conceded away). Both teams show 60% over rates in recent matches, and away team's defensive fragility is indicated by conceding an average of 6.30 shots on target per away game. No head-to-head history to contradict. |
|
| 22-04-2026 10:00 |
Ohrid |
- |
FK Sileks |
Ohrid +1.5 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Ohrid has covered the +1.5 handicap in all of their last 5 matches, including wins and narrow losses against stronger opponents, while Sileks has failed to cover -1.5 in 3 of their last 5 matches. Ohrid's strong home form (3rd in 2nd league) and Sileks' inconsistent away performance (3rd in 1st league but struggling on the road) provide value on the home team with the handicap. |
|
| 22-04-2026 10:30 |
Daejeon Hana Citizen |
- |
Jeju United |
Under 2.5 Goals |
77% |
Expected goals total is 1.80 based on home averages (0.90 scored, 0.90 conceded) and away averages (1.00 scored, 0.80 conceded). Match history strongly supports Under: home team has 9 of last 10 matches Under 2.5 (90%), away team has 8 of last 10 Under (80%). H2H shows 75% Over but both teams are in low-scoring form recently with no structural scoring droughts. Confidence derived from: base 50% + gap +14% + home history +10% + away history +10% + H2H -10% + likelihood +3% = 77%. |
|
| 22-04-2026 10:45 |
North District U22 |
- |
Southern District U22 |
Over 4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 4.40 based on home avg 3.00 scored/conceded 1.90 and away avg 2.40 scored/conceded 1.50. North District home matches show 2 of 3 (67%) over 4.0, and H2H has 3 of 4 (75%) over 4.0. Strong bookmaker mispricing with GL_5 2.30 (home) and 2.15 (away) supporting over direction. |
|
| 22-04-2026 11:00 |
Unye Gucu FK Women |
- |
Giresun Sanayispor Women |
Under 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 2.95 based on home averages (0.90 scored, 2.20 conceded at home) and away averages (0.80 scored, 2.00 conceded away). Match history strongly supports Under: 87.5% of home matches (7 of 8) and 70% of away matches (7 of 10) under the line, with H2H 75% under (3 of 4 matches). Home team in severe scoring drought, failing to score in 7 of last 8 matches. Bookmaker mispricing is high for away team (GL_5 3.20, accelerating), supporting the Under direction. |
|
| 22-04-2026 11:35 |
Liaoning Ironman |
- |
Dalian Young Boy |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals calculated at 3.30 (home avg 1.70 scored, away avg 2.10 conceded; away avg 1.80 scored, home avg 1.00 conceded) vs line 2.5. Home team has 75% Over 2.5 in recent home matches (3 of 4), away team has 100% Over 2.5 in recent away matches (5 of 5), and H2H shows 100% Over 2.5 (2 matches). Structural signals: away team conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches, and home team scored 2+ in last 3 home matches. Market pricing error is mild (GL_5 1.00 for away) but no significant edge. |
|
| 22-04-2026 12:00 |
Shanghai Shenhua |
- |
Qingdao Hainiu |
Over 10.5 Corners |
65% |
Expected corners total is 10.75 based on home averages of 5.20 corners scored and 7.20 conceded, plus away averages of 5.10 scored and 4.00 conceded. Home team has 3 of 5 recent home matches over 10.5 corners (60%), and H2H shows 3 of 4 matches over 10.5 corners (75%). The structural quality gap with home team 3rd in home standings should drive sustained attacking pressure and corner opportunities. |
|
| 22-04-2026 12:00 |
Cebrayil FK |
- |
Energetik Mingechevir |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.05 (home averages 1.30 scored/2.30 conceded at home, away averages 1.80 scored/0.70 conceded away) exceeds line by 0.55. Home matches at home show 75% Over 2.5 (3/4), away matches away show 60% Over 2.5 (3/5). Both teams show moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.55 and 1.60) supporting Over, offsetting H2H's 75% Under trend given current attacking form and defensive weaknesses. |
|
| 22-04-2026 12:00 |
Merani Martvili |
- |
FC Sioni Bolnisi |
Over 2.5 Goals |
65% |
Expected total goals 2.65 calculated from home averages (1.30 scored, 1.50 conceded at home) and away averages (1.60 scored, 0.90 conceded away). Away team has 60% of recent matches Over 2.5 goals and shows defensive fragility, conceding 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches. Home team has high bookmaker mispricing with GL_5 of 1.90, indicating consistent underestimation of goals in their matches, supporting the Over bet. |
|
| 22-04-2026 12:00 |
Kolkheti Poti |
- |
FC Samtredia |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.15 (home avg 1.50 scored at home, away avg 1.70 conceded away) vs line 2.5, a 0.65-goal gap. Both teams show 70% of recent matches over 2.5 goals, and away team has conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility. Home team's 4th-place quality vs away's 10th-place standing supports sustained attacking pressure. H2H has 75% under 2.5 goals, reducing confidence, but current form and structural signals outweigh this. |
|
| 22-04-2026 12:00 |
Boditi Ketema |
- |
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC |
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) |
65% |
1st half expected goals total is 1.05 (home avg 0.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded, away avg 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded in first halves). Home team has seen Over 0.5 goals in 7 of last 10 first halves (70%), and away team in 6 of 10 (60%), supporting Over. However, away team has failed to score in first half in all 4 recent away matches, reducing confidence. The bookmaker's 1st half line of 0.5 offers value given the expected total. |
|
| 22-04-2026 12:30 |
Tai Po U22 |
- |
Eastern Football Team U22 |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals calculated at 3.80 (Home: 2.40 scored/1.60 conceded, Away: 1.20 scored/2.40 conceded) exceeds the 3.5 line. Home team has 60% Over 3.5 rate in last 10 matches (6/10), away team shows defensive fragility conceding 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away. H2H matches (3-4, 3-1) both finished Over 3.5, and significant bookmaker mispricing exists (GL_5: home 1.80, away 2.10, both accelerating). |
|
| 22-04-2026 12:45 |
Eastern District U22 |
- |
Lee Man FC U22 |
Over 8.5 Corners |
70% |
Expected corners total 9.15 from averages (home: 3.90 for, 5.00 against; away: 2.80 for, 6.60 against). Home team's last 5 home matches saw 4 matches (80%) with 9+ corners. Away team concedes 6.60 corners on average away. H2H match produced 12 corners. |
|
| 22-04-2026 13:00 |
OFK Malzenice |
- |
Slavia TU Kosice |
Over 3.0 Goals |
81% |
Expected total goals calculated at 3.20 (home averages 1.50 scored at home, away concedes 2.30 away) vs line 3.0. Away team has 60% of recent matches Over 3.0 goals, and the H2H match ended 2-2 (Over). Away team shows defensive fragility, conceding 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches. Bookmaker mispricing is high for home team (GL_5 2.00) and moderate for away team (GL_5 1.75), both aligning with Over. |
|
| 22-04-2026 13:00 |
KF Ferizaj |
- |
KF Llapi |
Over 2.5 Goals |
73% |
Expected total goals calculated at 2.70 from home avg 1.20 scored/conceded at home and away avg 1.20 scored/1.80 conceded away, above the 2.5 line. KF Llapi's away matches have seen Over 2.5 goals in 80% of recent games (4 of last 5), and they have conceded 2+ goals in 4 of those, highlighting defensive fragility. H2H is neutral (2 of 4 Over), and bookmaker mispricing for Llapi (GL_5 of 1.60) adds moderate edge for Over. |
|
| 22-04-2026 13:00 |
FK Zemun |
- |
FK Macva Sabac |
Over 0.75 Goals 1st Half |
65% |
Expected 1st half goals calculated at 1.05 (home averages 1.00 scored at home, away concedes 0.30 away in 1st half), above the line of 0.75. Home team has scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 10 matches (60% Over), and with a quality gap favoring the dominant home side pressing early, the Over holds value despite away team's lower 1st half scoring rate. |
|
| 22-04-2026 13:30 |
Vukovar 91 |
- |
HNK Gorica |
Over 2.5 Goals |
72% |
Expected total goals of 3.20 exceeds the line of 2.50, calculated from Vukovar 91 averaging 0.80 goals scored and 2.20 conceded at home, and HNK Gorica averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded away. Vukovar 91 has seen 60% of their last 5 home matches go over 2.5 goals, and HNK Gorica has a strong market pricing error (GL_5 2.10) indicating bookmakers consistently underestimate goals in their matches. The attacking tendencies and mispricing outweigh the mixed H2H results. |
|
| 22-04-2026 14:00 |
NK Posusje |
- |
Radnik Bijeljina |
NK Posusje -0.5 Asian Handicap |
67% |
NK Posusje have covered -0.5 in 5 of their last 6 home matches (83%), while Radnik Bijeljina have failed to cover +0.5 in their last 10 away matches (0%). H2H: Posusje won the last meeting 1-0 away and previously beat Radnik 4-0 at home. Radnik's poor away attack (scored only 1 goal in last 5 away) and defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 7 of last 10 away) further support a home win by at least one goal. |
|
| 22-04-2026 14:00 |
FK Trayal Krusevac |
- |
FK Tekstilac Odzaci |
Under 2.5 Goals |
75% |
Expected total goals calculated at 2.05 from home averages (0.70 scored, 1.40 conceded at home) and away averages (0.90 scored, 1.10 conceded away). Home team has seen Under 2.5 in 3 of last 4 home matches (75%), with scoring droughts in 3 of those, while away team has Under 2.5 in 50% of recent away matches. H2H results are mixed (one Under, one Over). Structural scoring droughts for both teams and bookmaker mispricing (away team GL_5 1.25) align with Under direction. |
|
| 22-04-2026 14:00 |
FK Kabel Novi Sad |
- |
Borac Cacak |
Borac Cacak Asian Handicap 0 |
70% |
Away team holds a 10-point standings advantage (4th with 25 points vs home 10th with 15 points in Relegation Round), has covered the Asian Handicap in 4 of their last 5 matches (100% win rate excluding voids), and outperformed common opponents like Smederevo (away 2-0 win vs home's 0-3 loss). H2H further supports with a 4-0 away victory in their most recent meeting. |
|
| 22-04-2026 14:00 |
Jendouba Sport |
- |
ES Bouchamma |
Over 0.75 Goals 1st Half |
85% |
Expected 1st half goals 1.45 (home avg 0.70 scored, away avg 1.10 conceded in HT) significantly exceeds the line of 0.75. Home team has seen over 0.75 goals in 100% of recent home first halves (2/2), away team in 75% of away first halves (3/4). The only H2H match had 1 first half goal, supporting Over. Away team's defensive fragility in first halves is evident with 1.10 goals conceded on average away. |
|
| 22-04-2026 14:00 |
Tataouine |
- |
CS Hammam Lif |
Over 0.75 Goals (1st Half) |
65% |
Expected 1st half goals are 0.75 based on home team averaging 0.50 goals scored and 0.40 conceded at home in the first half, and away team averaging 0.40 goals scored and 0.20 conceded away in the first half. Home team has seen over 0.75 goals in 80% of their last 5 home first halves (4 out of 5), while away team has seen over 0.75 in 60% of their last 5 away first halves (3 out of 5). H2H first half data is unavailable, but historical patterns support an Over bet at the minimum confidence threshold. |
|
| 22-04-2026 14:00 |
CSKA Sofia II |
- |
FC Hebar Pazardzhik |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals is 3.30 (home averages 2.10 scored at home, away concedes 1.60 away; away averages 1.70 scored away, home concedes 1.20 at home), well above the 2.5 line. Away team's recent away matches show 60% Over 2.5 goals (3 of 5), and both teams exhibit strong bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.90, away GL_5 2.00) accelerating in the Over direction. H2H is neutral with one prior match (1-1). Structural leaky away defence trend confirmed via high GL_5 acceleration. |
|
| 22-04-2026 14:30 |
STK Samorin |
- |
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas |
Under 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals calculated at 2.55 based on home avg 0.60 goals scored at home, away avg 1.50 conceded away, away avg 1.50 scored away, and home avg 1.50 conceded at home. Both teams show strong under trends: home team's last 5 home matches had 4 under 3.0 goals (80%), away team's last 4 away matches had 3 under (75%), and H2H history shows only 1 of 4 matches over 3.0 goals. Away team's moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.75) aligns with the under direction given the expected total below the line. |
|
| 22-04-2026 14:45 |
NK Radomlje |
- |
NK Brinje Grosuplje |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals is 3.25 based on home avg 1.50 scored and 2.10 conceded, away avg 1.60 scored and 1.30 conceded. Home team has 100% Over 2.5 goals in last 5 home matches (all 3+ goals), away team has 75% Over in last 4 away matches. H2H match had 6 goals. Bookmaker mispricing on away team with GL_5 of 1.55 indicates moderate error favoring Over. Confidence capped at standard ceiling due to strong alignment but limited H2H sample. |
|
| 22-04-2026 15:00 |
FC Telavi |
- |
SFC Shturmi |
SFC Shturmi +0 Asian Handicap |
72% |
SFC Shturmi has a perfect Asian Handicap record in their last 5 matches (5 wins), sit higher in the league (2nd vs 3rd), and are unbeaten against common opponents this season, while FC Telavi has covered only 2 of their last 5 handicaps. |
|
| 22-04-2026 15:00 |
MFK Zvolen |
- |
Slovan Bratislava B |
Asian Handicap Home -0.75 |
70% |
Home team MFK Zvolen is 2nd in the league with 42 points, 12 points above 9th-placed Slovan Bratislava B, showing a clear standings gap. MFK Zvolen has covered the Asian Handicap in all of their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 losses), and in head-to-head, they won 1-0 at home last season, covering the -0.75 handicap. Additionally, Slovan Bratislava B has conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility on the road. |
|
| 22-04-2026 15:00 |
SC Grobinas |
- |
RFS |
Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
75% |
Expected 1st half goals total is 1.05 (home: 0.4 scored, 0.6 conceded; away: 0.8 scored, 0.3 conceded), below the line of 1.25. Home team failed to score in 2 of 3 home first halves, while away team failed to score in all 3 away first halves, with both teams averaging under 1 goal per first half in their respective roles. |
|
| 22-04-2026 15:00 |
FC Spaeri |
- |
FC Iberia 1999 |
Over 2.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total goals of 2.50 based on home averages (1.50 scored, 1.40 conceded) and away averages (1.30 scored, 0.80 conceded). Recent match history strongly supports Over, with home matches 75% Over 2.5 (3 of 4) and away matches 67% Over (2 of 3). Both teams are top-2 and need points for the title, favoring an open attacking game, and home team's market pricing error (GL_5 1.60) adds moderate edge to the Over direction. |
|
| 22-04-2026 15:00 |
FK Radnik Surdulica |
- |
FK Novi Pazar |
Over 2.25 Goals |
65% |
Expected total goals 2.60 based on home averaging 1.30 goals scored at home and away averaging 1.30 goals scored away. Home team has 60% of last 10 matches over 2.25 goals, while away team has 40%, but away team shows moderate bookmaker mispricing with GL_5 of 1.75 indicating the goal line may be undervalued. H2H is neutral with 2 of 4 matches exceeding 2.25 goals. |
|
| 22-04-2026 15:00 |
Vojvodina |
- |
Partizan Belgrade |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals calculated at 3.00 (home averages 1.60 scored/conceded at home, away averages 1.40 scored/1.60 conceded away) versus line 2.5. Home team's last 10 matches show 70% Over 2.5, away team's last 10 show 80% Over. Away team conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility. Bookmaker mispricing is high with GL_5 of 1.95 for the home team, aligning with Over direction. H2H history is neutral with 2 Over and 2 Under in last 4 meetings. |
|
| 22-04-2026 15:15 |
FK Buxoro |
- |
Pakhtakor Tashkent |
Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
65% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.30 goals (Buxoro 0.70 scored + Pakhtakor 0.90 scored, adjusted for defences), 0.30 above the 1.0 line. Pakhtakor has trended Over 1.0 in 4 of 6 non-push 1st halves (66.7%), showing early attacking strength. Buxoro’s 1st half history is neutral (2 Over, 2 Under, 4 pushes). The structural signal of Pakhtakor’s quality (1st place) pressing early adds confidence, though overall confidence is tempered by Buxoro’s mixed 1st half record and lack of 1st half H2H data. |
|
| 22-04-2026 15:45 |
NK Varazdin |
- |
HNK Rijeka |
Over 8.5 Corners |
73% |
Expected corners total 9.20 based on home averages (3.10 earned, 6.40 conceded) and away averages (6.10 earned, 2.80 conceded). H2H corners show 100% Over 8.5 (13, 11, 12, 12 total corners). Away team's recent matches are 70% Over 8.5 corners, and both teams are competing for European spots, likely leading to an open, high-tempo game with sustained attacking pressure. |
|
| 22-04-2026 15:45 |
JK Nomme Kalju |
- |
JK Nomme United |
Over 3.0 Goals |
70% |
Expected total goals 3.50 (home avg 1.60 scored, away conceded 2.60, away scored 2.10, home conceded 0.70) exceeds the line of 3.0. Away team has 60% Over in recent matches, and structural factors like away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away) and quality gap (home 2nd vs away 8th) support Over. Despite H2H showing 75% Under, market pricing error for away team (GL_5 1.50) indicates bookmaker mispricing. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:00 |
Arda Kardzhali |
- |
Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
75% |
Expected 1st half goals total 0.65 based on home 0.50 avg scored, away 0.30 avg conceded in 1st half. Home 1st half history: 3 of last 5 home matches under 1.0 goals (60%), away 4 of last 5 away matches under 1.0 goals (80%). Structural context: both teams are low 1st half scorers (home 0.50 avg, away 0.20 avg). Gap from line: expected 0.65 vs line 1.0, 0.35 below supporting Under. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:00 |
FK Pohronie |
- |
Dukla Banska Bystrica |
Over 2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total goals 2.85 based on home avg 1.00 goals scored at home and away avg 1.60 goals scored away, with both teams conceding 1.60 on average. Home team has 60% of recent matches Over 2.5, away team 60%, and H2H shows 75% Over 2.5 (3 of 4 matches). Away team has conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility supporting Over. Market pricing error is low (GL_5 home 0.65, away 0.90), so no additional edge. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:00 |
FK Sarajevo |
- |
FK Sloga Doboj |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
76% |
Expected 1st half goals of 1.05 is only slightly above the line of 1.0, but historical data strongly supports Under: FK Sarajevo's matches have seen 70% Under 1.0 goals in the first half (7 of last 10), and FK Sloga Doboj's matches also show 70% Under (7 of last 10). Additionally, Sloga Doboj failed to score in the first half in 4 of their last 5 away matches. The quality gap (home 3rd, away 10th) often leads to cautious starts, reinforcing the Under signal. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:00 |
Harju JK Laagri |
- |
Paide Linnameeskond |
Under 10.0 Corners |
75% |
Expected corners total is 9.30 based on home averages of 4.00 corners scored and 5.80 conceded at home, and away averages of 4.40 corners scored and 4.40 conceded away. This is below the line of 10.0. Away team has 100% of last 5 matches under 10 corners, home team has 60% under, and H2H corners show 2 of 4 matches under 10 with one push, supporting the under bet. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:00 |
Union Berlin Women |
- |
Bayern Munich Women |
Over 3.5 Goals |
75% |
Expected total goals 4.00 calculated from home avg 2.20 goals scored at home and away avg 3.60 goals scored away, with away conceding only 0.50 goals away. Away team Bayern Munich has 66.7% of recent away matches Over 3.5 goals, and bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 of 1.65 for Bayern) indicates consistent underestimation. The head-to-head match had 4 goals, and Bayern's attacking dominance supports a high-scoring game. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:00 |
Vejle |
- |
Silkeborg IF |
Over 2.5, 3.0 Goals |
80% |
Expected total goals calculated at 3.75 (Vejle avg 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded at home; Silkeborg avg 1.90 scored and 2.20 conceded away). Recent match history strongly supports Over: 4 of Vejle's last 6 home games exceeded 2.75 total goals, and all 4 of Silkeborg's last away games exceeded 2.75 goals. H2H shows low-scoring trends but is outweighed by current defensive fragility—Silkeborg conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 4 away matches. Both teams are in a relegation battle, likely leading to an open game. Mild bookmaker mispricing exists with Silkeborg's GL_5 of 1.40. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:00 |
FC Copenhagen |
- |
Odense BK |
Over 9.5 Corners |
75% |
Expected corners total of 10.65 (based on home avg 6.40 corners at home and away avg 5.20 corners away) exceeds the 9.5 line. Both teams show 60% Over 9.5 corners in recent matches (FC Copenhagen 3/5, Odense BK 3/5), and H2H corners average 11.75 per match. The tight relegation round standings (1-point gap) should drive an open, high-tempo game with sustained attacks, favoring corner production. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:00 |
Sabah |
- |
FK Qarabag |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 4.05 (Sabah avg 3.00 scored/1.30 conceded at home, Qarabag avg 2.60 scored/1.20 conceded away) significantly exceeds the 2.5 line. H2H matches show 75% over 2.5 goals (3 of last 4). Sabah's last 4 home matches saw 75% over 2.5 goals. Strong bookmaker mispricing with GL_5 of 1.95 for Sabah and 2.25 for Qarabag indicating consistent underestimation of total goals. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:00 |
FC Spartak Trnava |
- |
Dunajska Streda |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals of 3.00 based on home averages (1.20 scored, 1.80 conceded) and away averages (1.40 scored, 1.60 conceded) exceeds the line. Home team's last 10 matches went Over 2.75 in 70% of cases, away team in 80%, with away team conceding 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches. Bookmaker mispricing is mild for the home team (GL_5 1.35), aligning with the Over direction. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:00 |
Aarhus Fremad |
- |
Middelfart |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.60 vs line 2.75, driven by home avg 1.60 goals scored at home and away avg 3.40 goals conceded away. Away team conceded 2+ goals in all last 4 away matches, and bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.40 for away) indicates consistent underestimation of goals in their games. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:00 |
Hobro IK |
- |
HB Køge |
Under 4.5 Corners (1st Half) |
80% |
Expected 1st half corners calculated at 3.95 based on home averages (2.60 scored, 1.20 conceded) and away averages (2.30 scored, 1.80 conceded), below the line of 4.5. Both teams show 100% under 4.5 corners in their last 5 matches, with Hobro IK's last five 1st half corner totals all under (3,2,3,2,3) and HB Køge's all under (4,3,3,4,2). Structural signals support a low-corner pattern given both teams' historical trends. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:00 |
Apollon Limassol |
- |
Apoel Nicosia |
Over 2.5 Goals |
70% |
Expected total goals is 2.85 based on home avg 1.40 goals scored at home and away avg 1.70 goals conceded away, exceeding the 2.5 line by 0.35. Away team has 60% of recent matches Over 2.5, H2H shows 75% Over (3 of 4 matches), and away defensive fragility is confirmed with 3+ of last 5 away matches conceding 2+ goals. Market pricing error for away team (GL_5 1.05) indicates mild mispricing supporting Over. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:25 |
Jeddah Club |
- |
Al Faisaly Harmah |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.45 based on home avg 0.80 scored/2.20 conceded and away avg 2.90 scored/1.00 conceded. Recent match history strongly supports Over: Jeddah Club 70% Over 2.5 in last 10 matches, Al Faisaly Harmah 90% Over. H2H is neutral. Structural quality gap with away team 4th overall vs home team 13th, and away team's high scoring form. Bookmaker mispricing moderate for away team (GL_5 1.50) aligning with Over direction. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:25 |
Al Orubah |
- |
Al Zulfi |
Over 2.5 Goals |
68% |
Expected total goals 2.70 (home: 1.30 scored, 1.50 conceded; away: 1.80 scored, 0.80 conceded) exceeds the 2.5 line. Away team shows 75% over 2.5 goals in recent away matches, and the sole H2H match had 3 goals. Market pricing error for home team (GL_5 1.55) indicates moderate mispricing accelerating, aligning with the over direction. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:30 |
FC Salzburg |
- |
FK Austria Vienna |
Under 10 Corners |
82% |
Expected total corners is 8.45 based on home 5.70 avg corners scored at home and away 4.60 avg corners scored away. Both teams show strong Under trends with 70% of their last 10 matches staying below 10 corners (home 7/10 Under, away 7/10 Under). H2H corners are neutral (2/4 Over), and structural signals confirm both teams' consistent low-corner output. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:30 |
Rapid Vienna |
- |
Hartberg |
Under 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals calculated at 1.85 based on home avg scored 1.30 and conceded 1.10, away avg scored 0.60 and conceded 0.70, well below the 2.5 line. Recent match history strongly supports Under: Rapid Vienna's last 5 home matches saw 80% Under 2.5 (4 of 5), while Hartberg's last 4 away matches had 100% Under (4 of 4). Additionally, bookmaker mispricing is moderate with GL_5 of 1.55 for Rapid Vienna and 1.70 for Hartberg, both accelerating, indicating the line may be overstated. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:30 |
OFK Beograd |
- |
FK Cukaricki |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
80% |
Expected 1st half goals calculated at 1.00 from home averages (0.80 scored, 0.30 conceded) and away averages (0.30 scored, 0.60 conceded), equal to the line. Home team has seen Under 1.0 in all 5 recent home matches (0% Over), while away team has Under 1.0 in 4 of 5 recent away matches (80% Under). Structurally, both teams show scoring droughts in the first half: home failed to score in 3 of last 5 home first halves, away failed to score in 4 of last 5 away first halves, supporting a low-scoring opening period. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:45 |
Lyon Women |
- |
Dijon Women |
Under 4.0 Goals |
80% |
Expected total goals 2.80 is 1.20 below the line, with Lyon's home matches 75% under 4.0 (3/4) and Dijon's away matches 100% under (3/3), supported by H2H 75% under (3/4). Despite Lyon's attacking dominance, the consistent defensive pattern and large line gap justify the under. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:45 |
Marseille Women |
- |
Nantes Women |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.35 from home averages (1.50 scored, 2.40 conceded) and away averages (1.80 scored, 1.00 conceded) exceeds the line. Marseille's home matches show 80% over 2.5 goals, H2H is 67% over, and home team's high market pricing error (GL_5 1.85) indicates bookmaker mispricing favoring over. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:45 |
FC Fleury 91 Women |
- |
Strasbourg Women |
Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
75% |
Expected 1st half goals calculated at 1.45 (home 0.40 scored + 1.50 conceded, away 0.40 scored + 0.60 conceded). Home team's last 4 home 1st halves: 3 Over 1.0 (75%). Structural early scoring pattern for home team (75% 1st half goals at home). |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:45 |
Le Havre Women |
- |
Lens Women |
Over 2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total goals calculated from averages is 2.80 (home scores 1.30 at home, concedes 2.00; away scores 0.70 away, concedes 1.60), above the 2.5 line. H2H matches are 100% Over 2.5, and home team's recent matches have gone Over in 80% of cases. Away team has conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 4 away matches, confirming defensive fragility. |
|
| 22-04-2026 16:45 |
Excelsior Women |
- |
NAC Women |
Over 11.0 Asian Corners |
85% |
Expected corners total is 13.15 based on home averaging 4.9 corners and conceding 8.2 at home, while away averages 3.5 and concedes 9.7 on the road. Both teams show strong over trends, with 70% of recent matches exceeding 11 corners, and the lone H2H produced 15 corners. Structural support comes from NAC Women's defensive fragility away, conceding nearly 10 corners per match. |
|
| 22-04-2026 17:00 |
PSG |
- |
Nantes |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
68% |
Expected 1st half goals is 1.30 (PSG averages 0.90 goals scored at home in the first half, Nantes concedes 0.60 away in the first half). PSG has scored in 3 of their last 5 home first halves (60% Over 1.5), supported by early scoring tendency (70% first half goals as home). Structural quality gap with PSG top of the league pressing early against bottom-half Nantes adds confidence, though Nantes' first half away history is weak (20% Over 1.5). H2H full-time is low-scoring but 1st half data is unavailable. |
|
| 22-04-2026 17:00 |
Vasteras SK |
- |
BK Hacken |
Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half goals are only 0.80 based on home 0.40 avg scored and 0.50 conceded at home, away 0.60 avg scored and 0.10 conceded away. Both teams show strong under trends: Vasteras SK has 80% of recent 1st halves under 1.5 goals, BK Hacken has 100% under 1.5 in their last five matches. Structural signals include both teams being low 1st half scorers and away team failing to score in 3 of last 5 away 1st halves. |
|
| 22-04-2026 17:00 |
Orgryte IS |
- |
Brommapojkarna |
Over 2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total goals 3.15 from home avg 1.20 goals scored at home and away avg 1.90 goals conceded away. Home team has 2 of 3 home matches Over 2.5 goals (66.7%), away team has 3 of 5 away matches Over 2.5 goals (60%). H2H shows 2 of 3 matches with Over 2.5 goals. Away team conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches, confirming defensive fragility. Moderate bookmaker mispricing for home team (GL_5 1.70) aligns with Over direction. |
|
| 22-04-2026 17:00 |
Elfsborg |
- |
Djurgarden |
Over 2.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total goals 3.00 (home avg scored 1.60, conceded 1.50; away avg scored 1.90, conceded 1.00) exceeds line by 0.50. Home team has 60% of recent matches over 2.5 goals and scored 2+ in last three home matches, indicating form surge. Away team shows moderate bookmaker mispricing with GL_5 of 1.65 aligned with over direction. H2H is neutral with 50% over in last four meetings. |
|
| 22-04-2026 17:00 |
Hammarby |
- |
Halmstad |
Under 10.0 Corners |
90% |
Expected corners total is 7.65 based on Hammarby's home average of 4.40 and Halmstad's away average of 3.90, significantly below the 10.0 line. Both teams show strong Under trends: Hammarby has 70% Under 10.0 in their last 10 matches (e.g., 5,5,7 corners), Halmstad also 70% Under (e.g., 5,6,5 corners). H2H corners are 75% Under (4,9,7 totals in last 3 meetings), and structural signals like tight tactical history support a low-corner game. |
|
| 22-04-2026 17:00 |
Elche |
- |
Atletico Madrid |
Over 2.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected total goals 3.25 from Elche's home averages (1.10 scored, 1.60 conceded) and Atletico's away averages (2.00 scored, 1.80 conceded). Recent match history strongly supports Over: Elche 70% Over 2.5 in last 10 matches, Atletico 80%. H2H shows 75% Under but Atletico's away defensive fragility is key, conceding 2+ goals in 8 of last 10 away matches. Bookmaker mispricing is mild for Elche (GL_5 1.00). |
|
| 22-04-2026 17:00 |
Espanyol Women |
- |
Barcelona Women |
Under 5 Asian Corners 1st Half |
82% |
Expected 1st half corners total is 3.5, based on Espanyol's home averages (1.6 corners scored, 1.8 conceded) and Barcelona's away averages (3.3 corners scored, 0.3 conceded). Both teams show strong Under trends: Espanyol's last five matches saw 4 unders (80%), Barcelona's last five also saw 4 unders (80%). The structural pattern of Barcelona's away matches often featuring fewer first-half corners, combined with the line set at 5, provides clear value on the Under. |
|
| 22-04-2026 17:00 |
Dila Gori |
- |
Dinamo Batumi |
Over 2.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total goals of 2.65 based on Dila Gori averaging 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded at home, and Dinamo Batumi averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.90 conceded away. Dinamo Batumi's last 10 matches show 70% over 2.5 goals, and the quality gap (home 4th vs away 10th) supports an open game, with moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.50) for the away team favoring over. |
|
| 22-04-2026 17:00 |
Elche |
- |
Atletico Madrid |
Over 2.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected total goals calculated at 3.25 from Elche's home averages (1.10 scored, 1.60 conceded) and Atletico Madrid's away averages (2.00 scored, 1.80 conceded). Both teams show strong Over trends in recent matches (Elche 70% Over 2.5 in last 10, Atletico 80% Over 2.5), and while H2H has 75% Under, the quality gap with Atletico top-4 and Elche bottom-4, coupled with both needing points, supports a high-scoring game. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (GL_5 1.00 for Elche, 0.70 for Atletico). |
|
| 22-04-2026 17:00 |
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo |
- |
Crvena Zvezda |
Over 9.5 Corners |
65% |
Expected total corners calculated at 9.90 (home avg 4.80 corners at home, away avg 7.70 corners away, adjusted for conceded) slightly exceeds the 9.5 line. Away team Crvena Zvezda has recorded over 9.5 corners in 60% of their recent matches, and H2H history shows 75% of matches (3 of 4) exceeding 9.5 corners. Structural factors support over: dominant away side (1st place) presses aggressively, averaging high corners away (7.70), while home team concedes 4.20 corners on average at home. |
|
| 22-04-2026 17:00 |
OC Safi |
- |
Renaissance Zemamra |
Over 8.5 Corners |
78% |
Expected corners total is 8.70 based on home averages (3.90 corners scored, 4.00 conceded) and away averages (4.90 corners scored, 4.60 conceded). Home team's last 4 home matches saw 75% Over 8.5 corners (3 of 4), away team's last 2 away matches had 100% Over 8.5 corners (2 of 2), and H2H matches show 75% Over 8.5 corners (3 of 4). Both teams are in a relegation battle, likely leading to high tempo and more corners. |
|
| 22-04-2026 17:30 |
Mamelodi Sundowns |
- |
Stellenbosch FC |
Over 8.5 Asian Corners |
65% |
Expected corners total is 8.25 based on home avg 4.0 corners earned and 4.1 conceded at home, plus away avg 4.6 corners earned and 3.8 conceded away. H2H corners show 75% Over 8.5 (3 of last 4 matches), and structural signals support: dominant home side (2nd in league) presses aggressively likely to earn corners, while away team (9th) may concede sustained pressure. Corner history is neutral but H2H and context provide edge. |
|
| 22-04-2026 18:00 |
Telstar |
- |
Sparta Rotterdam |
Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half goals calculated at 0.95 (Telstar home 1st half avg 0.60 scored, 0.60 conceded; Sparta away 1st half avg 0.20 scored, 0.50 conceded), below the 1.25 line. Telstar's last 4 home matches all had 1st half goals Under 1.25 (0% Over), Sparta's last 5 away matches had 1st half goals Under 1.25 in 4 of 5 (80% Under), with Sparta failing to score in the first half in all 5 away matches. Both teams average low first-half scoring (Telstar 0.60, Sparta 0.20), supporting a tight first half. |
|
| 22-04-2026 18:00 |
Keflavik |
- |
Breidablik |
Over 3.25 Goals |
80% |
Expected total goals is 3.70 based on home averaging 2.40 goals scored at home and away conceding 2.10 away, combined with away averaging 1.20 goals scored away and home conceding 1.70 at home. Home team has seen 6 of last 7 matches exceed 3.5 goals, indicating strong attacking form, while away team's high bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 of 1.75) aligns with Over direction. Structural signals include home team scoring 2+ goals in each of their last 3 home matches, supporting an open game. |
|
| 22-04-2026 18:00 |
IA Akranes |
- |
KA Akureyri |
Over 3.25 Goals |
71% |
Expected total goals calculated at 3.90 (home avg 1.70 scored, away avg 2.40 scored, with defensive leaks), well above the 3.25 line. Away team's matches show 60% Over in recent history and a high market pricing error (GL_5 2.35), indicating consistent bookmaker underestimation of goals. Despite H2H mostly Under, away team's recent defensive fragility in away matches (conceding 3+ goals) supports an Over bet. |
|
| 22-04-2026 18:00 |
Real Sociedad |
- |
Getafe |
Over 0.75 Goals 1st Half |
82% |
Expected 1st half goals total is 1.40 based on home avg 1.00 scored/conceded and away avg 0.70 scored/0.10 conceded, significantly above the 0.75 line. Real Sociedad's last 10 matches show 80% Over 0.75 in the 1st half, and Getafe shows 60%, with both teams demonstrating early scoring patterns. The full-time market is avoided due to Getafe's low 29% Over 2.0 goals history contradicting the Over signal. |
|
| 22-04-2026 18:00 |
Ferencvarosi TC |
- |
Gyori Eto |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals (2.95) exceeds the 2.75 line, with Ferencvarosi averaging 2.00 goals at home and Gyori Eto conceding 0.90 away. Recent history shows Gyori Eto's away matches are 100% Over 2.75 (4/4), and Ferencvarosi has scored 2+ goals in their last 3 home matches. The away team also shows severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5: 2.05), accelerating their mispricing trend and adding edge to the Over bet. |
|
| 22-04-2026 18:00 |
CS Fola Esch |
- |
FC Rodange |
Over 3.0 Goals |
80% |
Expected total goals 3.30 based on home avg 2.40 goals scored at home and away avg 2.10 goals conceded away, plus away avg 0.90 scored and home avg 1.20 conceded. Home team has 80% of last 5 matches Over 3.0 goals, away team 60%, and H2H shows 75% Over (3 of 4 matches). Structural signals: home team scored 2+ goals in last 3 home matches, away team has defensive fragility with moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.70) accelerating, indicating line underestimation. |
|
| 22-04-2026 18:00 |
FC 03 Differdange |
- |
Union Luxembourg |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.20 based on home avg 2.00 goals scored at home, away avg 1.70 goals conceded away, away avg 1.80 goals scored away, and home avg 0.90 goals conceded at home. Home team has 3 of last 5 home matches Over 2.5 (60%), away team 2 of last 3 away matches Over 2.5 (67%). H2H shows 2 of 4 matches Over 2.5 (50%). Strong bookmaker mispricing with GL_5 of 2.00 for home and 2.30 for away, both accelerating, indicating consistent underestimation of goals. Home team is 1st in league vs away 8th, showing attacking dominance. |
|
| 22-04-2026 18:00 |
Bissen |
- |
Progres Niedercorn |
Under 1.5 Goals 1st Half |
79% |
Expected 1st half goals is 1.10 based on Bissen averaging 0.60 goals scored and 0.40 conceded at home in the first half, and Progres Niedercorn averaging 0.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded away in the first half. Both teams show strong Under trends, with 70% of their recent matches (7 out of 10 each) having Under 1.5 goals in the first half. Structural factors support low scoring, as both teams are historically low scorers in the first half, and the away team's defensive fragility is more pronounced in full-time play. |
|
| 22-04-2026 18:00 |
SK Brann |
- |
Aalesund |
Over 3.0 Goals |
73% |
Expected total goals of 3.3 based on home averages (1.40 scored, 1.60 conceded) and away averages (1.80 scored, 1.80 conceded) exceeds the 3.0 line. H2H history strongly supports with 75% of matches (3 of 4) finishing Over 3.0 goals, including high-scoring games like 5-1 and 8-9. Norway's high-tempo league structure favors Over bets, and bookmaker mispricing is moderate for the home team (GL_5: 1.55) with expectation above the line, adding edge. While recent match history for both teams shows only 25% Over 3.0, the H2H and expected goals override this weakness. |
|
| 22-04-2026 18:15 |
Istra 1961 |
- |
Dinamo Zagreb |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 4.05 (Istra 0.80 scored at home, Dinamo 4.00 scored away, combined with conceded averages) exceeds the line by 1.05 goals. Dinamo's away matches show 100% Over 3.0 goals in last 5, and severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 3.20) accelerating. H2H has lower totals but outweighed by Dinamo's dominant attack (league leader) and Istra's home defensive fragility (concedes 1.90 on average). Structural quality gap supports Over. |
|
| 22-04-2026 18:30 |
Zrinjski Mostar |
- |
Borac Banja Luka |
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) |
68% |
Expected 1st half goals total is 0.90 (based on home HT avg goals 0.60, away HT avg goals conceded 0.20, away HT avg goals 0.80, home HT avg goals conceded 0.20), above the 0.75 line. Home team has scored in the 1st half in 3 of last 5 home matches (60% Over), while away team has scored in 3 of last 4 away 1st halves (75% Over). Structural signal from away team's high 1st half scoring rate away supports Over. H2H 1st half data not available, and bookmaker mispricing is not significant for this half. |
|
| 22-04-2026 18:30 |
SK Sturm Graz |
- |
LASK Linz |
Over 2.5 Goals |
65% |
Expected total goals of 3.00 based on home averaging 1.50 scored and 0.80 conceded at home, away averaging 1.90 scored and 1.80 conceded away. Away team shows strong Over trend with 70% of recent matches Over 2.5 goals and defensive fragility, conceding 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches. H2H is neutral at 50% Over. Market pricing error for away team is high at GL_5 1.95, indicating bookmaker mispricing, though direction is ambiguous due to expected total near the line. |
|
| 22-04-2026 18:30 |
Union Saint Gilloise |
- |
Gent |
Over 2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total goals calculated at 2.65 from home averages (1.80 scored, 0.60 conceded at home) and away averages (1.40 scored, 1.50 conceded away), above the 2.5 line. Home team has seen Over 2.5 in 4 of last 6 home matches (67%), away team in all 4 recent away matches (100%), and H2H shows 3 of 4 matches Over 2.5 (75%). Structural quality gap with Union Saint Gilloise top of the table further supports Over. |
|
| 22-04-2026 18:30 |
Club Brugge |
- |
KV Mechelen |
Over 10 Corners |
75% |
Expected total corners calculated at 10.75 based on home averages (7.10 corners scored, 4.40 conceded) and away averages (3.90 corners scored, 6.10 conceded), exceeding the line of 10 by 0.75 corners. Home team Club Brugge has seen over 10 corners in 3 of their last 5 home matches (60%), and structural factors support high corners: dominant home side (2nd in Championship Round) presses aggressively at home, while away team KV Mechelen concedes high corners on the road (6.10 average). H2H corner history is neutral with 2 of 4 matches over 10 corners. |
|
| 22-04-2026 18:45 |
Bayer Leverkusen |
- |
Bayern Munich |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
76% |
Expected 1st half goals total is 1.80 based on home avg HT goals scored (0.90) and conceded (0.70) at home, and away avg HT goals scored (1.50) and conceded (0.50) away, exceeding the line of 1.5. Both teams show high bookmaker mispricing on goal lines (home GL_5 2.30, away GL_5 1.85) aligning with Over direction, and the away team's attacking quality (avg 1.50 HT goals away) supports early scoring. H2H 1st half data is limited but neutral, and structural factors like away team pressing early add confidence. |
|
| 22-04-2026 18:45 |
Cardiff |
- |
Port Vale |
Over 9.5 Asian Corners |
82% |
Expected corners total 11.5 (Cardiff averages 9.7 corners at home, Port Vale concedes 6.5 corners away). Recent matches show 80% of Cardiff's games and 70% of Port Vale's games had over 9.5 corners. Structural signals support Over: dominant home side attacks relentlessly (19.2 total shots per home game) against a weak away defence that concedes high shots (13.6 per away game) and corners. |
|
| 22-04-2026 18:45 |
Malahide Utd |
- |
Killester Donnycarney FC |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half goals (2.00) exceed the line (1.5) by 0.5, with both teams showing strong early scoring patterns: Malahide has scored in 3 of last 5 home first halves (60% Over), Killester in 4 of last 6 away first halves (67% Over). Killester's away defence is fragile, conceding 1.4 first-half goals on average, while Malahide averages 1.2 at home. Both teams' market pricing error is high (GL_5: 1.70 and 2.25), indicating bookmaker mispricing for goal lines, and the structural signal of Malahide's early pressing as heavy favorites supports Over. |
|
| 22-04-2026 18:45 |
St Mochtas |
- |
St Francis FC |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half goals total is 1.85 based on home averages (0.60 scored, 1.30 conceded) and away averages (0.80 scored, 1.00 conceded), surpassing the 1.5 line. Both teams show strong 1st half over trends: St Mochtas' last 8 matches had 5 over 1.5 goals (62.5%), and St Francis FC's last 9 had 6 over (66.7%). Early scoring pattern is confirmed with both teams exceeding 60% over 1.5 in recent history, indicating high first-half activity. H2H data for 1st half is unavailable, so no contradiction. |
|
| 22-04-2026 19:00 |
Atalanta |
- |
Lazio |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
80% |
Expected 1st half goals is 0.95 based on home avg 0.30 scored/conceded and away avg 0.30 scored/0.50 conceded. Home team has seen Under 1.0 in 8 of last 10 matches (80%), away team in 9 of last 10 (90%), and H2H shows low 1st half goals with 0, 1, 0 goals in recent meetings. Structural context confirms both teams are low scorers in the first half. |
|
| 22-04-2026 19:00 |
Strasbourg |
- |
Nice |
Over 9.5 Corners |
82% |
Expected total corners calculated from averages is 10.80, significantly above the 9.5 line. Strasbourg's recent matches have seen over 9.5 corners in 70% of cases, and all four head-to-head meetings exceeded this line. The quality gap with Strasbourg at home (8th vs 15th) supports sustained attacking pressure and high corner generation. |
|
| 22-04-2026 19:00 |
Atalanta |
- |
Lazio |
Under 2.5 Goals |
73% |
Expected total goals calculated at 2.55 vs line 2.5, with Lazio showing a 100% Under record in their last 5 away matches and H2H matches 75% Under (3 of 4). Likelihood data indicates only 40% probability for Over 2.5, and structural H2H defensive pattern supports Under. |
|
| 22-04-2026 19:00 |
Always Ready |
- |
Oriente Petrolero |
Over 9.5 Corners |
82% |
Expected corners total is 11.40, calculated from home avg 6.80 corners at home and away avg 7.20 corners away, significantly above the 9.5 line. Both teams show strong Over trends, with 70% of their last 10 matches exceeding 9.5 corners each. H2H corners are neutral at 50% Over, but structural signals support high corner volume due to home team's attacking dominance and league tendencies. |
|
| 22-04-2026 19:30 |
Barcelona |
- |
Celta Vigo |
Over 1.5 Goals 1st Half |
65% |
Expected 1st half total of 1.80 goals (based on Barcelona's 1.40 avg goals scored at home in the 1st half and Celta Vigo's 1.00 avg goals conceded away in the 1st half) exceeds the 1.5 line. Barcelona has seen 3 of their last 5 home first halves (60%) produce Over 1.5 goals, with an early scoring pattern (38.46% of their goals come in the first 30 minutes). While Celta Vigo's 1st half away history is weaker (20% Over), Barcelona's attacking dominance at home supports the Over. Full-time H2H shows 75% of matches Over 3.5 goals, indicating a tendency for high-scoring encounters between these teams. |
|
| 22-04-2026 19:45 |
FC Porto |
- |
Sporting |
Over 2.5 Goals |
75% |
Expected total goals of 2.95 from home averages (1.90 scored, 0.90 conceded) and away averages (2.00 scored, 1.10 conceded) significantly exceeds the line of 2.25. Home team scored 2+ goals in each of last 3 home matches, showing form surge, while away team's severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.05) indicates consistent underestimation of goals. Despite H2H favoring Under (75% Under in last 4 meetings), current attacking form and cup match context support Over. |
|
| 22-04-2026 20:30 |
Atletico FC Guayaquil |
- |
Independiente Juniors |
Over 2.0 Goals |
76% |
Expected total goals 2.65 based on home scoring 1.40 at home and away scoring 1.60 away, with both teams conceding 1.20 and 1.10 respectively. Both teams have 60% of recent matches exceeding 2.0 goals, and the market pricing error (GL_5 1.05 for home, 1.20 for away) indicates mild bookmaker mispricing aligning with Over. No H2H data contradicts, and structural factors like competitive top-table clash support open play. |
|
| 22-04-2026 22:00 |
Acassuso |
- |
Gimnasia LP |
Over 0.75 Goals (1st Half) |
79% |
Expected 1st half goals total is 1.30 based on home HT avg 0.50 scored, away HT avg 1.20 scored and conceded data, significantly exceeding the line of 0.75. Away team (Gimnasia LP) has 100% Over 0.75 in last 10 matches' first halves, home team (Acassuso) 50%. Structural signal: away team consistently scores early with perfect HT Over record. Confidence score: base 50% + gap +11% + away history +10% + structural +8% = 79%. |
|
| 22-04-2026 22:00 |
EC Bahia |
- |
Clube Do Remo |
Over 2.5 Goals |
72% |
Expected total goals calculated at 2.75 from home averages (1.70 scored, 1.30 conceded) and away averages (1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded). Home team has seen 4 of last 6 home matches exceed 2.5 goals, while away team has conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches, showing defensive fragility. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate for the away team (GL_5 1.70), aligning with the over direction. |
|
| 22-04-2026 22:00 |
Real Potosi |
- |
Guabira |
Over 2.5 Goals |
68% |
Expected total goals calculated from averages: Real Potosi scores 1.40 at home and concedes 0.70, while Guabira scores 1.20 away and concedes 1.90, yielding 2.60 total. Guabira's recent away matches show 80% Over 2.75 (8 of 10), and the only H2H match had 4 goals. Structurally, Guabira has conceded 2+ goals in all of their last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility, and their high bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.90) suggests consistent underestimation of goals in their games. |
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| 22-04-2026 22:30 |
Santos |
- |
Coritiba |
Over 2.25 Goals |
68% |
Expected total goals (2.80) exceeds the line (2.25) by 0.55, with H2H strongly supporting Over (75% of last 4 matches Over 2.25). Market pricing error for Santos shows moderate mispricing (GL_5 1.55 accelerating), adding edge. Despite mixed match history (Santos 40% Over at home, Coritiba 25% Over away), the gap and H2H align for Over. |
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| 22-04-2026 23:15 |
Real Espana |
- |
CD Platense |
Over 2.5 Goals |
73% |
Expected total goals is 2.90 based on home avg 1.50 scored/conceded and away avg 1.50 scored/1.40 conceded, above the 2.75 line. Home team has scored 2+ goals in each of last 3 home matches, away team has 60% Over rate in recent matches, and H2H shows all 4 past matches had 3+ goals. Away team's goal line mispricing (GL_5 1.65) aligns with Over direction. |
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| 22-04-2026 23:30 |
Rhode Island FC |
- |
Charleston Battery |
Over 8.5 Corners |
70% |
Expected total corners calculated at 10.25 (home avg 4.1 corners at home, away avg 7.2 corners away) exceeds the line by 1.75 corners. Charleston Battery has seen 80% of their recent matches (8 of 10) exceed 8.5 corners, and while H2H corners are lower (1 of 4 over), the away team's strong corner-generating form and structural signal support Over. Bookmaker mispricing is mild but not a key factor. |
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| 22-04-2026 23:30 |
Fortaleza |
- |
CRB |
Under 10 Asian Corners |
80% |
Expected corners total is 7.70 based on Fortaleza averaging 4.10 corners at home and conceding 2.70, while CRB averages 4.80 corners away and concedes 3.80. Recent matches show 0 of 4 Fortaleza home matches and 0 of 5 CRB away matches had over 10 corners, with both teams at 100% under the line. H2H had 12 corners but only one match. Structural factors, including low corner averages and defensive trends, support under. |
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