| 21-08-2026 22:00 |
Deportivo Madryn |
- |
Club Atletico Mitre |
Over 1.75 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total 2.20 vs line 1.75 (home scored 1.20/conceded 0.90, away scored 0.90/conceded 1.40). Madryn 6/10 recent matches over 1.75, Mitre 8/10 over; lone H2H had 4 goals. Mutual-opponent total 2.34 and Mitre conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away support Over; raw score 83 capped at 82. |
|
| 21-08-2026 22:00 |
Deportivo Laferrere |
- |
Villa Dalmine |
Over 0.75 First Half Goals |
73% |
First-half expected total is 1.05 (home 0.60 for/0.60 against, away 0.40 for/0.50 against) vs a 0.75 line. Laferrere's last 10 matches have 7 over 0.75 first-half goals and Villa Dalmine's have 6, with no first-half H2H data; home market pricing error GL_5=1.70 adds moderate confidence. Full-time was skipped because Villa Dalmine's full-time over record is only 4/10. |
|
| 22-08-2026 01:15 |
North Sunshine Eagles U23 |
- |
Brunswick City U23 |
Over 1.75 Goals - 1st Half |
75% |
Expected 1st-half total is 2.20 (home 0.70 scored and 1.60 conceded at home HT; away 1.00 scored and 1.10 conceded away HT) vs a 1.75 line, a +0.45 gap. Home are 7/10 and away 6/10 over 1.75 HT goals in last 10, and the H2H first half was 2-0. Away side shows moderate bookmaker mispricing (1.70) and conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away matches. |
|
| 22-08-2026 02:00 |
Canberra Olympic U23 |
- |
Brindabella Blues FC U23 |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
72% |
Expected first-half total is 2.07 vs a 1.5 line (gap +0.57), using home 0.90 scored/0.90 conceded and away 0.67 scored/1.67 conceded averages. Brindabella have gone over 1.5 first-half goals in 5 of 7 recent matches (71%) and conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away games, while Canberra Olympic's GL_5 market pricing error is 2.30. |
|
| 22-08-2026 02:30 |
Green Gully U23 |
- |
St Albans Saints U23 |
Green Gully U23 -0.5 Asian Handicap |
68% |
Green Gully have won 4 of their last 5 home games by 2+ goal margins (4-1, 3-1, 4-0, 3-1), covering -0.5 in 80% of those home matches, while St Albans sit 11th on 30 points vs Green Gully 6th on 39. Against shared opponents Green Gully hold a 7W-0D-2L record with a goals net of +1.44 (3.00 scored vs 1.56 conceded) versus St Albans' 5W-1D-3L and +0.44 net. Goal line markets were skipped because away history contradicts over 3.5 and home under history fails the under threshold. |
|
| 22-08-2026 03:00 |
Juarez FC |
- |
Club America |
Over 2.75 Goals |
81% |
FT expected total 3.30 (Juarez home 1.20 scored/2.60 conceded; Club America away 2.00 scored/0.80 conceded) vs 2.75 line. Juarez 8/10 recent matches over this line, Club America 5/10 over; H2H ended 2-1 and mutual-opponent total is 3.0. Juarez's GL_5 bookmaker mispricing is 1.70; 1st-half over was rejected due away 3/10 first-half overs. |
|
| 22-08-2026 03:00 |
West Torrens Birkalla Women |
- |
Campbelltown City Women |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total is (2.0+1.0)/2 + (2.7+1.6)/2 = 3.65 vs the 3.0/3.5 line; West Torrens home matches are 3/4 over 3.25 and Campbelltown away matches are 5/5 over 3.25. H2H is 2-0 and 3-0 but only a two-match sample, treated neutral; mutual-opponent total 3.82 supports Over and Campbelltown have scored 2+ in all five away matches. Raw score 89% capped to 82% standard ceiling (home GL_5 1.50 moderate). |
|
| 22-08-2026 03:00 |
West Torrens Birkalla Women |
- |
Campbelltown City Women |
Over 3.0 Goals |
76% |
Expected FT total is 3.65 (home scored 2.00, away conceded 1.00, away scored 2.70, home conceded 1.60) vs a 3.0 line, a +0.65 over gap. Away Campbelltown are 7/10 over 3.0 with a 2.70 away scoring average; mutual-opponent total is 3.82; home GL_5 is 1.50 (moderate bookmaker mispricing). H2H has only 2 matches (2-0, 3-0), so it is neutral for the over. |
|
| 22-08-2026 04:00 |
Port Melbourne SC |
- |
Eltham Redbacks |
Eltham Redbacks -2.0 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Standings gap strongly favours 7th-placed Eltham over 13th-placed Port Melbourne (16 points, 6 places), and mutual opponents data gives Eltham a 5/5 stat advantage. Eltham won the only H2H 8-0. Away AH record is weak (3W-2P-5L last 10), so confidence is held at the 65 threshold. |
|
| 22-08-2026 04:00 |
Hume City U23 |
- |
Caroline Springs George Cross U23 |
Caroline Springs George Cross U23 -1.75 Asian Handicap |
66% |
Away side leads by 35 points (50 vs 15) and holds a 4-1 mutual-opponent advantage (goals net 0.0 vs -0.75; shots net +3.0 vs -3.25). Their last-5 AH record is 3W-1V-1L, but current -1.75 margin cover is only 2/10, capping confidence at 66. |
|
| 22-08-2026 04:30 |
Taroona Women |
- |
Launceston City Women |
Over 8.5 Corners |
82% |
Expected corners 9.25 vs line 8.5 (home: 3.70 for/6.10 against, away: 3.30 for/5.40 against). Corner history: Taroona 4/5 last matches over 8.5 (80%), Launceston City 3/5 (60%), H2H split 7/9 corners. Home is -1 AH favourite and mutual opponents show away c_avg_dang_attacks 101.6 vs home 65.6, supporting sustained pressure for Over corners. |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:00 |
Keilor Park Women |
- |
Box Hill Women |
Over 8 Corners |
80% |
Expected corners total 9.5 (home 4.1 for/5.0 against, away 6.3 for/3.6 against) clears the 8.0 line by 1.5. Corner history supports the over: Keilor home games went over 8 corners in 6 of 9 decisive matches (67%), Box Hill in 5 of 8 (63%). Box Hill's away corner output (6.3 per match) against Keilor's high home corner concession (5.0) is a structural over signal. |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:00 |
Avondale FC Women |
- |
Boroondara Eagles Women |
|
67% |
Avondale have won their last 10 Asian Handicap lines (5/5 last 5), with recent margins +1, +4, +3, +3, +2 covering -1 in four of five. Across 8 mutual opponents Avondale lead all five stats (goals net +1.50 vs +0.87, total shots +2.75 vs +0.87, dangerous attacks +16.0 vs +10.6). Standings were unavailable, so this is a 2-of-3 signal Asian Handicap call capped at 67. |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:00 |
Melbourne Victory NPL Women |
- |
Alamein FC Women |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total is 3.35 (A=1.70, B=1.30, C=1.20, D=2.50) vs an effective 2.75 line, a +0.60 gap. Home matches are over 2.5 in 8/10 and away 5/10; mutual-opponent combined average is 3.36, and home GL_5 of 1.90 (accelerating vs 1.65) signals strong bookmaker mispricing toward Overs. Raw score 86% capped to 82% standard ceiling (away history 50%, one H2H neutral). |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:00 |
Dandenong City U23 |
- |
Preston Lions U23 |
Over 4.0 Goals |
79% |
FT expected total is 4.70 (home 1.90 scored/2.70 conceded at home; away 2.30 scored/2.50 conceded away) vs the 4.0 line. Last H2H finished 4-2 (6 goals), mutual-opponent totals average 4.4, and Preston's away defence has conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away matches; away market pricing error is strong (GL_5 2.05). |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:00 |
Modbury Jets Reserves |
- |
Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total = (2.40+1.10)/2 + (2.80+1.80)/2 = 4.05 vs line 3.5; home 4/6 (67%) and away 3/5 (60%) venue-matched overs, mutual opponents total 5.0, H2H neutral. Confidence: 50 base +10 gap +5 home +5 away +0 H2H +5 common +3 likelihood +8 GL home +8 GL away = 94 raw capped at 82 standard ceiling; bookmaker mispricing GL_5 2.05/2.10 strongly aligns Over. |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:00 |
Modbury Jets Reserves |
- |
Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total 4.05 (home 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded at home; away 2.80 scored and 1.10 conceded away) vs line 3.5. Home 6/10 last matches over 3.5, away 4/10; H2H totals 3 and 4 are neutral. Bookmaker mispricing is strong: home GL_5 2.05, away GL_5 2.10, both above 1.8 and accelerating. |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:15 |
Altona Magic |
- |
Avondale |
Avondale -1 Asian Handicap |
66% |
Avondale are 3rd (41 pts) vs Altona Magic 11th (27 pts) and the mutual-opponent comparison favours Avondale across all five stats (total shots +2.4 net, on-target +0.8, dangerous attacks +7.9, goals net -0.8 vs -0.9). The only H2H was Avondale 5-1. Avondale's recent AH record is weak (2W-0V-3L last 5), so confidence is capped at 66% for -1. |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:30 |
West Adelaide Women |
- |
Salisbury Inter Women |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total is 4.00 ((3.00+1.30)/2+(3.10+0.60)/2) against the 3.0/3.5 line; Salisbury away overs are 6/10 on 3.5 and the mutual-opponent goal total is 4.47. West Adelaide have scored 2+ in each of their last 5 matches, Salisbury have conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away games, and home GL_5 bookmaker mispricing is 1.80 (accelerating), all supporting the Over. |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:30 |
Metrostars Reserves Women |
- |
Adelaide Comets Reserves Women |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
FT scoring: base 50% + gap 15% (expected 4.80 vs line 3.5) + common opponents 5% (mutual total 5.84) + likelihood 3% + market pricing error home 8% (GL5 2.05) + away 12% (GL5 3.20) + structural form 3% = 96%, capped at 82% (home 50%/10, away 56%/9 over 3.5; H2H only one 2-1 match, neutral). Home at home scores 2.90 and concedes 1.50; away away scores 4.20 and concedes 1.00, producing 4.80 expected total; home has scored 2+ in last three home matches and away's GL5 3.20 is severe bookmaker mispricing toward overs. |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:30 |
West Adelaide Women |
- |
Salisbury Inter Women |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
FT Over 3.0: A=3.00 home scored, B=1.30 away conceded, C=3.10 away scored, D=0.60 home conceded gives expected total 4.00 vs line 3.0 (+1.00). Away are 6/10 over 3.0 (5,7,4,4,8,4) and home are 8/10 at 3+; mutual opponents total 4.47 and home GL_5 1.80 accelerating align Over. Base 50 +15 gap +5 away hist +5 common opp +2.5 bookmaker mispricing +5 away defensive fragility = 82.5 raw capped to 82; 1H expected 1.90 vs 1.5 but both teams only 4/10 over 1.5, so FT is stronger. |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:30 |
Metrostars Reserves Women |
- |
Adelaide Comets Reserves Women |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total is 4.80 (home scored 2.90 at home, home conceded 1.50 at home; away scored 4.20 away, away conceded 1.00 away) vs the 3.0/3.5 line. Home are 5/10 and away 5/9 over 3.25, H2H has only one match (2-1, neutral); mutual-opponent total is 5.84 and away bookmaker mispricing is severe (GL_5 3.20). Scoring: base 50% +15% gap +0% home history +0% away history +0% H2H +5% common opponents +3% likelihood +6% bookmaker mispricing +3% form momentum = 82%. |
|
| 22-08-2026 06:00 |
Hume City |
- |
Caroline Springs George Cross FC |
Under 1.25 First Half Goals |
82% |
First-half expected total is 1.20 vs line 1.25 (Hume 0.60 scored / 0.70 conceded; Caroline 0.80 scored / 0.30 conceded away). Hume are 7/10 under 1.25 first-half goals and have failed to score in the first half in 5 straight home matches; Caroline are 7/10 under 1.25 first-half goals and failed to score in 3 of last 5 away first halves. Breakdown: Base 50% + gap 0% + home HT history +8% + away HT history +8% + H2H 0% + low 1st-half scorers +5% + away HT scoring failure +5% + home GL_5 +8% + away GL_5 +5% = 89% raw, capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 22-08-2026 06:00 |
Sutherland Sharks |
- |
St George City FA |
Sutherland Sharks -0.25 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Standings gap favours Sutherland (4th, 43 pts vs 9th, 37 pts) and expected goal margin is +0.35 (home 1.50 vs away 1.15). Mutual opponents reinforce the home lean: Sutherland 1.8 goals scored/1.4 conceded vs St George 0.67/1.44, goals NET +0.4 vs -0.77, W5 D2 L3 vs W2 D1 L6. Recent AH cover is mixed at 2 of last 5 for Sutherland at -0.25, so confidence is set at the 65% qualifying floor. |
|
| 22-08-2026 06:30 |
Hakoah Sydney City East |
- |
Newcastle Jets NPL |
Over 3.5 Goals |
80% |
Expected full-time total is 3.85 against a 3.5 line: home 1.8 scored at home plus away 2.4 conceded away, and away 2.0 scored away plus home 1.5 conceded at home. Newcastle are 6/10 over 3.5 and conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away games; mutual opponents total 3.95 and the H2H ended 3-5. Bookmaker mispricing is elevated (home GL5 1.75, away GL5 2.30). |
|
| 22-08-2026 06:30 |
Darwin Hearts |
- |
University Azzurri FC |
Over 4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 5.55 (home 3.00 scored/2.50 conceded at home; away 4.50 scored/1.10 conceded away) vs 4.0 line; home 7 of 8 non-push over 4.0, away 7 of 10 over 4.0, and mutual-opponent total is 5.15. 1st half expected 2.50 vs 1.75 also supports Over but the full-time gap is larger. Confidence: base 50 + gap 15 + home history 10 + away history 8 + H2H 0 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 + GL_5 home 12 + GL_5 away 8 + structural 5 = 116%, capped at 82% standard ceiling (H2H mixed 4-1, 0-2, 4-0). |
|
| 22-08-2026 06:45 |
Kingborough Lions |
- |
Launceston City |
Over 11 Asian Corners |
82% |
Expected corners 11.35 (home avg 6.30 won / 5.20 conceded, away 5.40 won / 5.80 conceded) vs line 11.0. Kingborough 60% over 11, Launceston City 70% over 11 in recent matches, with H2H corner totals 12, 11, 19 (2/3 Over). Over-first angle supported by home quality edge and corner history. |
|
| 22-08-2026 07:00 |
Bankstown City Lions FC |
- |
Prospect United |
Over 3.25 Goals |
65% |
FT expected total 2.80 (home scored 1.80, away conceded 1.20, away scored 1.20, home conceded 1.40) is below the 3.25 line, but mutual-opponent volume is 3.30 and Prospect conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches. Bankstown (3rd) vs Prospect (15th) and Bankstown's 2+ goals in last 3 home matches add Over pressure. Confidence: Base 50% + common opponents +5% - likelihood 3% + quality gap +5% + away defensive fragility +5% + form momentum +3% = 65%. |
|
| 22-08-2026 07:00 |
Hills United FC |
- |
Rydalmere Lions FC |
Over 3.0 Goals |
73% |
Expected total is 3.35 (Hills 2.40 scored/1.70 conceded at home, Rydalmere 1.00 scored/1.60 conceded away), clearing the 3.0 line by 0.35. Hills are 6/10 over 3.0 with three pushes, while Rydalmere are 3/10 over 3.0 but have conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away matches; mutual-opponent total is 3.05 and H2H was 2-1 (total 3 push). Bookmaker mispricing is low/neutral (GL_5 home 0.60, away 0.95), so confidence lands at 73%. |
|
| 22-08-2026 07:00 |
Dulwich Hill |
- |
Inter Lions |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.65 (A 1.6, B 1.8, C 1.5, D 2.4) is 0.65 above the 3.0 line. Dulwich Hill are 7/10 over 3.0; Inter Lions are 5/10 over with two 3-goal pushes, and H2H (2-0, 3-0) is only two matches so neutral. Mutual opponents total 3.4 goals, Inter Lions concede 5.6 shots on target against common opponents, and Dulwich Hill's GL_5 pricing error of 2.15 vs GL_10 2.03 is accelerating and Over-aligned (raw score 85 capped at 82). |
|
| 22-08-2026 07:00 |
Bulls FC Academy |
- |
Canterbury Bankstown FC |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total 4.35 (home 1.50 scored / 2.00 conceded, away 3.00 scored / 2.20 conceded away) clears the 3.25 line by 1.10. Home 5/10 and away 6/10 recent matches went over 3.25, H2H was 1-3 (over), and Canterbury conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away. Scoring: base 50 + gap 15 + home history 0 + away history 5 + H2H 0 + common opponents 0 (marginal 0.05 clearance) + likelihood 0 + market pricing error GL_5 home 5 + GL_5 away 5 + away defensive fragility 5 + home scoring drought -3 = 82 (standard ceiling). |
|
| 22-08-2026 07:15 |
Dandenong Thunder |
- |
Oakleigh Cannons |
Under 1.5 First Half Goals |
78% |
Expected 1st-half total is 1.15 vs line 1.5: (0.20+0.10)/2 + (0.80+1.20)/2. Dandenong home HT went under 1.5 in 4/5 (80%) and Oakleigh away HT went under 1.5 in 5/5 (100%), with Oakleigh conceding 0 first-half goals in those 5. Breakdown: Base 50 + gap 5 + home history 10 + away history 10 + H2H 0 + structural 0 + market error 3 = 78; away GL_5 1.55 moderate bookmaker mispricing aligns with Under. |
|
| 22-08-2026 07:30 |
NWS Spirit FC |
- |
SD Raiders |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
81% |
Expected FT goals are 3.05 (home 1.70 scored/1.30 conceded at home; away 1.60 scored/1.50 conceded away) vs a 2.75 line. SD Raiders last 10 went over 2.75 in 8 of 10, mutual opponents total 3.05 supports Over, and away side conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 away. Confidence 81% = Base 50% + gap +5% + away history +10% + common opponents +5% + likelihood +3% + home GL_5 1.55 moderate bookmaker mispricing +3% + away defensive fragility +5% (home history +0%, H2H neutral +0%, away GL_5 +0%, quality gap +0%). |
|
| 22-08-2026 07:30 |
Fulham United FC |
- |
Adelaide Blue Eagles |
Under 4.5 Corners (1st Half) |
72% |
Expected 1st-half corners are 3.90 (Fulham: 1.70 won/2.10 conceded; Adelaide Blue: 2.30 won/1.70 conceded) vs the 4.5 line. Both teams went under 4.5 first-half corners in 7 of their last 10 matches (70%); H2H totals were 7 and 8 but only 2 meetings, so neutral. Confidence: base 50% + gap 6% + home history 8% + away history 8% + H2H 0% + structural 0% = 72%. |
|
| 22-08-2026 08:00 |
CSM Ramnicu Valcea |
- |
FC Bacau |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 3.30 vs the 2.5 line: home averages 1.90 scored/1.30 conceded at home, away averages 2.30 scored/1.10 conceded away. Home are 7/10 Over 2.5 and away 6/7 Over 2.5; mutual-opponent goal volume is 5.0, and shot-based match potential is 5.99. Raw score 91% (base 50% + gap 15% + home history 8% + away history 10% + common opponents 5% + likelihood 3%) capped to 82% standard ceiling because H2H is empty. |
|
| 22-08-2026 08:15 |
Altona City |
- |
Eastern Lions |
Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected first-half goals are 1.20 (Altona HT home: 0.40 scored, 0.60 conceded; Eastern HT away: 0.70 scored, 0.70 conceded) vs a 1.25 line. Altona have stayed under 1.25 in 7 of 10 recent matches and failed to score in the first half in five straight home games, while Eastern Lions are under 1.25 in 8 of 10; the lone H2H was 0-1 at HT. Market pricing error is elevated (Altona GL_5 1.75, Eastern GL_5 2.05) in the under direction; raw confidence 86% capped at the 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 22-08-2026 09:00 |
Prague Raptors Women |
- |
Viktoria Plzen Women |
Over 3.0 Goals |
70% |
Expected full-time total is 3.45 (A=2.70, B=2.30, C=1.20, D=0.70) against a 3.0 line, gap +0.45; shot-based match potential cleared the line at 6.50, agreeing Over. Viktoria Plzen's away defence has conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 4 away matches (0-8 at Slavia, 1-3 at Lokomotiva, 2-5 at FC Prague), and away market pricing error GL_5 is 1.70 (moderate). Home 5/10 and away 4/8 recent matches cleared 3.0 goals with 2 pushes each. |
|
| 22-08-2026 09:00 |
Lokomotiva BH Herspice Women |
- |
Slovacko Women |
Over 3.25 Goals |
69% |
A=1.30 home scored, B=2.50 away conceded, C=1.60 away scored, D=0.90 home conceded: expected total 3.15 vs line 3.25; mutual-opponent total 3.51 and shot-based potential 5.23 support Over. Away 6/9 over 3.25, home 3/8, H2H 1-2 total 3 neutral; away concedes 2.50 away, 4 of last 5 away conceded 2+, c_avg_on_target 5.4; away bookmaker mispricing GL_5 1.95 strong/accelerating. Breakdown: base 50% + gap 0% + home history 0% + away history 5% + H2H 0% + common opponents 5% + likelihood 0% + GL_5 home 0% + GL_5 away 4% + structural defensive fragility 5% = 69%. |
|
| 22-08-2026 10:30 |
Bucheon |
- |
Pohang Steelers |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
77% |
Full-time expected total 2.85 (A=1.30, B=1.20, C=1.60, D=1.60) vs line 2.25. Pohang 6/10 (60%) and Bucheon 7/10 (70%) recent matches went over 2.5 goals; away GL_5 mispricing 2.35 is strong and accelerating. Mutual opponents total 1.85 contradicts slightly, capping confidence. Score: Base 50% + gap 12% + home history 5% + away history 8% + H2H 0% + common opponents -5% + likelihood 3% + GL_5 away 4% + structural 0% = 77%. |
|
| 22-08-2026 10:30 |
Jeonbuk Motors |
- |
Ulsan HD |
Over 3.5 First Half Asian Corners |
65% |
Expected first-half corner total is 4.0 vs the 3.5 line (Jeonbuk 2.70 for + Ulsan 1.90 conceded away; Ulsan 1.60 for + Jeonbuk 1.80 conceded home). Jeonbuk have gone over 3.5 HT corners in 6/10 recent matches (60%) and Ulsan in 5/10 (50%). Both teams are in the K-League championship-round race, supporting an open first half. |
|
| 22-08-2026 10:30 |
FC Anyang |
- |
FC Seoul |
Over 2.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total 2.80 vs the 2.50 line (Anyang home 1.60 scored/1.60 conceded; Seoul away 1.40 scored/1.00 conceded). Anyang are 8/10 over 2.5, Seoul 5/10, H2H 1/3 over (0-0, 1-1, 1-2); FC Seoul GL_5 2.15 (accelerating) is a strong bookmaker mispricing signal aligned with Over. Confidence 71: 50 base +6 gap +10 home history -5 H2H +3 likelihood +4 GL_5 away +3 form momentum. |
|
| 22-08-2026 10:30 |
Daegu FC |
- |
Busan I Park |
Under 1.25 1st Half Goals |
79% |
Expected 1st-half total is 0.95 goals (Daegu HT scored/conceded 0.40/0.70, Busan HT scored/conceded 0.40/0.40) vs a 1.25 line. Daegu stayed under 1.25 in 6 of 10 recent matches and Busan in 8 of 10, with both averaging just 0.40 first-half goals scored. No first-half H2H data to override, and away-side bookmaker mispricing is strong (GL_5 2.00) in the under direction. |
|
| 22-08-2026 10:30 |
Suwon FC |
- |
Gimhae FC 2008 |
Suwon FC -1 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Suwon sit 4th (37 pts) vs Gimhae 17th (12 pts), and against four shared opponents Suwon averaged 2.5 goals scored to 0.5 conceded (W3 D1 L0) while Gimhae averaged 0.75 scored to 1.25 conceded (W1 D1 L2). Suwon's AH record is 4-1 over their last 5, but their margin cover against -1 is weak recently (no wins by 2+ in the last 5, with three one-goal pushes), making this a marginal 2-of-3 signal play at the low end of the 65-69% band. |
|
| 22-08-2026 10:30 |
Ansan Greeners FC |
- |
Seongnam FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
65% |
Expected total 2.75 vs line 2.5 (home score 0.90/concede 2.30 at home; away score 1.10/concede 1.20 away). Ansan last 10 over 2.5 in 7/10, Seongnam 5/10; H2H split 0-1 and 4-0. Confidence 50 base +5 gap +8 home history -5 common opponents +3 likelihood +4 away GL_5 1.90 = 65. |
|
| 22-08-2026 10:30 |
Cheonan City |
- |
Suwon Bluewings |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 2.95 (A=1.30, B=1.20, C=1.60, D=1.80) tops the 2.75 line; Cheonan 6/10 (60%) and Suwon 7/10 (70%) recent matches over 2.75, with H2H over in both meetings (3-2, 5-0). Mutual-opponent total is 3.00, and strong bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 home 2.10, away 1.95, both accelerating) plus Suwon conceding 2+ in 3 of last 5 away games confirm the Over. Raw score 84 capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 22-08-2026 10:30 |
Port Darwin FC |
- |
Hellenic AC |
Over 4.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 5.25 ((3.20+2.30)/2 + (1.30+3.70)/2) versus a 4.5 line; Port Darwin are 8/10 over 4.5 and mutual-opponent totals are 4.84 (h 4.43/2.57, a 0.50/2.17). Home GL_5 of 2.65 is severe bookmaker mispricing and Hellenic have conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away, though H2H is mixed (2-6, 1-0, 1-1). |
|
| 22-08-2026 11:00 |
Ariana FC Malmo |
- |
Lunds BK |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total is 3.75 — (2.40+1.50)/2 + (1.90+1.70)/2 — versus the 2.5/3.0 line, a 1.00-goal edge. Home are 9/10 over 2.5 (90%) and away 7/10 over 2.5 (70%), mutual opponents total 3.4 supports over, and H2H finished 5 goals; raw score 91% capped at standard 82% (H2H only 1 match, no elevated tier). Bookmaker mispricing GL_5 is 0.80 home / 1.05 away, so no variance boost. |
|
| 22-08-2026 11:00 |
Ningbo Professional FC |
- |
Yanbian Longding |
Over 0.75 Goals (1st Half) |
80% |
1st-half expected total is 1.15 (Ningbo HT home scored 0.50, Yanbian HT away conceded 0.60, Yanbian HT away scored 0.70, Ningbo HT home conceded 0.50) against a 0.75 line. Ningbo's matches went over 0.75 HT in 7 of 10 (70%) and Yanbian's in 9 of 10 (90%). No H2H data; Ningbo's GL_5 bookmaker mispricing of 1.90 is a strong over-aligned signal. |
|
| 22-08-2026 11:00 |
Dalian K'un City |
- |
Wuxi Wugo |
Over 2.5 Goals |
77% |
FT expected total is 3.20 ((1.30+1.50)/2 + (1.80+1.80)/2) against a 2.5 line, a +0.70 gap. Wuxi are 7/10 Over 2.5, H2H ended 3-2, and mutual opponents total 2.87 supports over. Confidence: 50 base +14 gap +8 away history +5 common opponents = 77%. |
|
| 22-08-2026 11:00 |
Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal |
- |
Swit Szczecin II |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.70 vs line 3.5 (home 0.90 scored/3.70 conceded at home; away 2.70 scored/2.10 conceded away). Home and away are both 5/7 over 3.5 in recent matches (71%); H2H empty, mutual opponents unavailable. Market pricing error GL_5 2.40 home / 1.85 away supports Over; raw score 97 capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
HK Kopavogur |
- |
Throttur Reykjavik |
HK Kopavogur +0.25 Asian Handicap |
70% |
HK Kopavogur are unbeaten at home in the league (8W-1D-0L, 25 pts) and have covered +0.25 in all 5 recent home matches (2-1, 6-2, 5-1, 2-2, 2-1). Throttur's away form is only 4W-2D-3L, and H2H at this venue shows HK wins of 4-3 and 5-2; mutual opponents also favour HK on goals net (0.9 vs 0.6) and W/D/L (7-1-2 vs 4-2-4). |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Atvidabergs FF |
- |
Angelholm |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total is (2.40+1.90)/2 + (1.50+1.70)/2 = 3.75 vs a 2.5/3.0 line (+1.00 gap); Atvidabergs are 9/10 over 2.75 goals and Angelholm 6/10 over, with the sole H2H also 2-2 (over). Mutual-opponent total is 3.36 (over), Angelholm concede 5.1 shots on target away and show GL_5 bookmaker mispricing of 1.95; away scoring drought (1 goal in last 5) is the main negative. Score: 50 +15 gap +10 home history +5 away history +5 common opponents +4 pricing error -3 drought = 86, capped to 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Motherwell |
- |
Aberdeen |
Motherwell -0.25 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Motherwell are 3rd (4pts) vs 8th (3pts) and venue-matched common-opponent data is one-sided: Motherwell W4-D4-L2 with 1.6 scored/0.8 conceded vs Aberdeen W0-D1-L7 with 0.25 scored/2.0 conceded. Motherwell's recent AH cover rate is the weak spot (1W-1V-3L last 5), but with two of three B6 signals backing the home side this is a marginal 65% play. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Livingston |
- |
Dunfermline |
Over 2.5 Goals |
80% |
Expected total is 2.85 (home 1.80 scored/1.00 conceded at home; away 1.80 scored/1.10 conceded away) vs a 2.5 line. Livingston home matches are 60% Over 2.5 and Dunfermline away matches are 70% Over 2.5; mutual-opponent total is 3.59, also clearing the line. Home GL_5 is 1.70 (moderate bookmaker mispricing, accelerating), supporting the over. Confidence: 50 base +7 gap +5 home history +8 away history +5 common opponents +5 mispricing = 80% (likelihood and form excluded by stacking discipline). |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Kelty Hearts |
- |
Dumbarton |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.45 (A=1.40, B=2.50, C=0.80, D=2.20) vs line 2.75, match potential 4.92; Kelty 7/10 and Dumbarton 6/10 recent matches over 2.75, H2H 3-3. Dumbarton conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away (Stirling, Dunfermline, Ayr, Clyde), Kelty scored 2+ in last 3 home, Kelty GL_5 bookmaker mispricing 2.30 accelerating. Score: base 50 + gap 14 + home hist 8 + away hist 5 + H2H 0 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 0 + GL_5 home 4 + structural (away fragility 5, form 3) = 94, capped 82 standard (H2H sample <3). |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
FC Edinburgh |
- |
Annan Athletic |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.40 vs 2.75 (A=1.40, B=2.50, C=1.00, D=1.90). Home 6/10 over, away 7/10 over; H2H 2/3 over (3-0, 2-2, 1-1); away Annan conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (Clyde 4-1, Airdrie 3-0, Gretna 2-4) and bookmaker mispricing GL_5 away 1.90. Scoring: Base 50 + gap 13 + home history 0 (excluded) + away history 8 + H2H 5 + common opponents 0 (excluded) + likelihood 0 (excluded) + GL_5 home 0 + GL_5 away 4 (half adjustment) + structural fragility 5 + form 0 = 85 capped to 82 (standard ceiling). |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Clyde |
- |
Forfar |
Over 1.0 First Half Goals |
78% |
Expected 1st-half goals 1.90 vs line 1.0 (Clyde 0.90 scored/1.00 conceded at home HT, Forfar 0.50 scored/1.40 conceded away HT). Clyde 6/10 (60%) and Forfar 7/10 (70%) recent first halves cleared 1.0; full-time Over 2.5 is vetoed by H2H 1-1, 1-1, 0-0 all under 2.5. Scoring: base 50% + gap 15% + home history 5% + away history 8% + H2H HT 0% + early scoring 0% + quality gap 0% + low 1H scorers 0% + away 1H fail 0% + GL_5 0% = 78%. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Wycombe |
- |
Plymouth |
Over 9.5 Asian Corners |
73% |
Expected corners total is 10.90 (Wycombe 5.70/5.00, Plymouth 5.70/5.40), a 1.4-corner gap over the 9.5 line. Plymouth away matches have gone over 9.5 corners in 7 of 10 (70%), Wycombe in 5 of 10 (50%), and H2H corner totals were 16, 8, 10 (2 of 3 over). The over-first corner bias and clear H2H support drive the Over. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Milton Keynes Dons |
- |
Huddersfield |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total is (1.40+1.80)/2+(1.80+1.30)/2=3.15 vs line 2.5, and match_potential is 6.28; Huddersfield's last 10 matches went over 2.5 in 9 of 10, while MK Dons were 5 of 10. H2H is empty but mutual opponents produce a combined total of 3.0, home GL_5 of 1.65 signals moderate bookmaker mispricing toward over, and Huddersfield conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away games. Raw score 88 capped at 82 (standard ceiling). |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Carrick Rangers |
- |
Coleraine |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total 3.65 vs 3.0 line (Carrick home 2.70 scored/1.10 conceded; Coleraine away 2.10 scored/1.40 conceded). Coleraine are 6/10 over 3.0 away, Carrick 3/10 over 3.0 at home (3 pushes); H2H totals 2,5,4,3. Away defensive fragility (2+ conceded in 3 of last 5 away) plus Carrick home GL_5 2.05 (accelerating mispricing) support Over; raw score 84% capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Dungannon Swifts |
- |
Bangor FC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total is 3.55 (home 1.80 scored / 2.10 conceded; away 1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded) against a 2.75 line. Dungannon are 8/10 over and Bangor 6/10 over, mutual-opponent total is 3.02, and Bangor's away c_avg_on_target is 5.10; H2H is 2 of 3 under but not a veto. Raw score 83% capped at 82%. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Sparta Prague Women |
- |
Slovan Liberec Women |
Over 4.0 Goals |
70% |
Home averages 2.40 goals scored at home and away concedes 2.00 away for a baseline expected total of 3.80, but H2H is 4/4 Over 4.0 (7-0, 5-2, 4-1, 5-0) and mutual-opponent combined goals average 4.36. Shot-based match potential is 7.79 and Slovan conceded 2+ in 3 of 5 away matches (vs Slovacko 2, vs Slavia 3, vs Sparta 7). Confidence: 50 base +5 H2H +5 common opponents +5 quality gap +5 away defensive fragility = 70%. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Folkestone Invicta |
- |
Chelmsford |
Folkestone Invicta +0 (Asian Handicap) |
67% |
Folkestone Invicta sit 8th vs Chelmsford 19th and have covered 4 of their last 5 Asian Handicap lines, while Chelmsford are 0W-2L-3V in that same span. Goal-line signals were only marginal: expected total 2.75 vs a 2.5 line but home over 2.5 at 60% and away at 40%, and 1st-half expected 1.10 vs a 1.0 line with neither side above 40% over 1.0; H2H is empty and mutual opponents are an insufficient 1-game sample, so the +0 handicap is the strongest qualifying angle. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Weston Super Mare |
- |
Dover |
Over 2.5 Goals |
65% |
Expected full-time total is 2.65 (Weston 1.2 scored at home, Dover 1.8 conceded away) vs the 2.5 line. Weston have gone over 2.5 in 60% of recent matches and mutual opponents total 2.6; Dover have conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away games (2-0, 4-0, 2-1, 3-1). H2H is only two matches and split (1-1, 1-2), so no veto. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Braintree Town |
- |
Horsham |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
FT expected goals = (1.20+1.30)/2 + (1.30+2.50)/2 = 3.15 vs 2.5 line (gap +0.65); Braintree 9/10 recent games over 2.5, Horsham 5/10, and Braintree concede 2.50 goals per home game. Horsham conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away and mutual-opponent total 2.625 clears 2.5. Scoring: Base 50 + gap 13 + home 10 + away 0 + H2H 0 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 + GL_5 home 0 + GL_5 away 0 + away fragility 5 - scoring drought 3 = 83, capped at 82 (standard ceiling). |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
South Shields |
- |
Merthyr Town |
South Shields -1.25 Asian Handicap |
65% |
South Shields sit 3rd (6 pts) vs 11th-placed Merthyr Town (3 pts), and against shared opponents the hosts hold a 4-of-5 net-stat advantage (goals +1.1 vs +0.7, shots +8.1 vs +1.1, on-target +5.0 vs +1.2). Home AH record is 4-0-1 across the last five, supporting -1.25, though only 1 of South Shields' last 5 matches was won by 2+ goals, keeping confidence at 65; goal-line markets failed history thresholds (FT expected 2.95 vs 3.25, HT expected 1.30 vs 1.5). |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Harborough Town |
- |
Darlington 1883 |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total 3.40 vs 2.75 line (+0.65 gap: A=2.00, B=1.90, C=1.70, D=1.20). Harborough 6/10 and Darlington 7/10 last-10 matches went over 2.75; Darlington conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away and allow 5.90 on-target per away game. H2H empty/mutual opponents g<2 neutral; raw 83 (base 50 + gap 10 + home history 5 + away history 8 + GL_5 home 5 + defensive fragility 5) capped at 82 standard. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Worksop |
- |
Hereford FC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time goals 3.10 (Worksop home 2.2 scored/1.0 conceded; Hereford away 1.6 scored/1.4 conceded) vs line 2.75. Worksop are over 2.75 in 6 of last 10 (60%) and Hereford in 8 of last 10 (80%); H2H results 2-3 and 2-1 both over. Mutual-opponent total clears line (3.04) and Hereford's away defence is fragile (conceded 2+ in 5 of last 5 away, mutual away c_avg_on_target 5.22). Confidence 82% (base 50% + gap 7% + home history 5% + away history 10% + H2H 0% + common opponents 5% + likelihood 0% + GL_5 home 0% + GL_5 away 0% + structural away fragility 5% + form momentum 0%). |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Laci |
- |
Af Elbasani |
Over 2.0 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total is 2.70 (A=2.00, B=1.30, C=1.50, D=0.60) vs a 2.0 line, gap +0.70; shot-based match potential 5.91 agrees. Laci FT history is 5 Overs/3 Unders/2 pushes over 2.0 (62.5% of decided), while Af Elbasani is 9 Overs/0 Unders/1 push (100% of decided); H2H and mutual opponents are empty/neutral; home form surge scored 2+ in each of last 3 home matches (2-0 Pogradeci, 3-1 Burreli, 2-1 Apolonia). Confidence: Base 50% + gap 14% + home history 5% + away history 10% + H2H 0% + common opponents 0% + likelihood 3% + GL5 home 0% + GL5 away 0% + structural 3% = 85% raw, capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Real Bedford |
- |
Stratford Town |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
70% |
Expected total is 3.45 ((2.80+1.10)/2 + (1.10+1.90)/2) against a 3.0/3.5 line. Real Bedford have gone over 3.5 in 8 of their last 10 (80%), and their GL_5 market pricing error is 3.05, severe and accelerating. H2H is 1-0 and 2-3, so no veto, and Stratford's winless away form adds structural over support. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Leek Town |
- |
Bamber Bridge |
Over 1.0 Goals - 1st Half |
68% |
Expected first-half total is 1.30 ((0.90+0.90)/2 + (0.40+0.40)/2) against a 1.0 line. Leek have produced 2+ first-half goals in 4 of 7 home matches (5 of 7 scored first-half) and Bamber have conceded first-half goals in all 3 away matches with 2 of 3 over 1.0; the April H2H was 3-2 with a 1-1 first half. Bamber's away GL_5 is 1.70 (accelerating vs 1.28 GL_10), and they conceded 2+ goals in five straight away matches. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
FC United of Manchester |
- |
Workington |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected goals are (1.10+2.00)/2 + (1.30+1.80)/2 = 3.10 vs a 2.5 line (+0.60). FC United are 4/6 over 2.5 at home (67%) and Workington are 4/5 over 2.5 away (80%), having conceded 2+ in all five away games; away GL_5 is 1.55 (moderate bookmaker mispricing, accelerating). H2H is only two matches (2-2, 0-0) so neutral; raw score 87 after -3 for home scoring drought, capped at 82. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Curzon Ashton |
- |
Guiseley |
Over 2.5 Goals |
75% |
Expected full-time total is 3.20 vs line 2.5 (home 1.5 scored/2.1 conceded at home, away 1.8 scored/1.0 conceded away), a +0.70 gap. Curzon are 7/10 over 2.5 and Guiseley 5/10; H2H is empty and mutual opponents have g<2 so neutral. The first-half signal (expected 1.50 vs 1.0) is weaker because both teams' first-half over records are only around 50%, so FT Over 2.5 is the stronger bet. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Ramsgate |
- |
St Albans |
Over 1.0,1.5 First Half Goals |
70% |
Expected 1st-half total is 1.35 goals (Ramsgate home: 0.50 scored / 0.80 conceded, St Albans away: 0.80 scored / 0.60 conceded) against a 1.25 split line. Home HT history is 100% over (2/2) and away HT history is 67% over (4/6), with the lone H2H HT 0-0 neutral sample. St Albans' goal-line market pricing error is 1.60 and accelerating, adding edge to the over. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Cheshunt |
- |
Burgess Hill Town |
Cheshunt +0 (Asian Handicap) |
65% |
Cheshunt have covered the level Asian Handicap in 8 of their last 10 (80%) while Burgess Hill Town have covered in only 5 of 10 (50%). Cheshunt are unbeaten at home with 0 goals conceded (1 draw), while Burgess Hill have lost their only away league match 0-2; mutual opponents sample is below the required threshold and H2H is empty. Goal lines are skipped: FT expected 3.25 vs line 3.0 but only 1 of 6 home and 1 of 7 away matches went over, and HT expected 1.45 vs line 1.25 with just 1 of 6 and 1 of 7 over. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Whitehawk |
- |
Chatham Town |
Over 1.0 First Half Goals |
65% |
Expected first-half total is 1.80 vs the 1.0 line (gap +0.80): Whitehawk concede 1.50 first-half goals at home and Chatham concede 1.00 first-half away, with scoring averages 0.60/0.50 adding to the over. Confidence: base 50% + gap from line +15% = 65%; recent 1H history is mixed (Whitehawk 3/7 over, Chatham 3/6 over), H2H is empty, and GL_5 pricing error is mild at 1.20/1.15. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Chichester City |
- |
Chippenham Town |
Over 2.5 Goals |
68% |
Expected full-time total is 2.90 (home 1.40 scored/1.60 conceded at home; away 1.40 scored/1.40 conceded away) vs 2.5 line. Home have gone over 2.5 in 6 of last 10 (60%) and Chippenham's away defence has conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away games (Uxbridge 2-0, Horsham 3-2, Farnborough 2-1), while their away goal-line market pricing error is 1.50 moderate. Confidence scored 67.5% (gap +5, home history +5, away pricing error +2.5, away defensive fragility +5) capped to 68%. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:30 |
Fortuna Sittard |
- |
AZ |
Over 4.5 1st Half Corners |
65% |
Expected first-half corners total 5.30 (Fortuna home 2.60 for/2.70 against; AZ away 2.80 for/2.50 against) clears the 4.5 line by 0.80. Recent first-half corner history: AZ over 4.5 in 6 of 10 (60%) and Fortuna in 5 of 10 (50%), meeting the Over threshold. Mutual-opponents combined shots and dangerous-attacks volume supports sustained pressure. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:30 |
MSK Povazska Bystrica |
- |
STK Samorin |
Over 2.75 Goals |
76% |
Expected full-time total is 3.10 (home: 1.60 scored/1.50 conceded at home; away: 1.90 scored/1.20 conceded away) vs a 2.75 line, with 6/10 home and 7/10 away recent matches over 2.75. Away defensive fragility is confirmed: Samorin conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away matches; H2H only 2 meetings so neutral. Confidence 76% (base 50% + gap 5% + home history 5% + away history 8% + H2H 0% + common opponents 0% + likelihood 3% + GL_5 home 0% + GL_5 away 0% + away fragility 5% + scoring drought 0% + form momentum 0%). |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:30 |
OFK Banik Lehota |
- |
Slovan Bratislava B |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total 3.50 vs line 2.75 (gap +0.75): home 2.10 scored/1.50 conceded, away 1.90 scored/1.50 conceded. Both teams are 70% over 2.75 in last 10 (7/10 each), mutual-opponent total 3.16 supports over, and home GL_5 1.50 bookmaker mispricing adds edge; H2H only 1 match (1-1) neutral. Raw score 94 capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 22-08-2026 15:00 |
IF Vestri |
- |
Leiknir Reykjavik |
Over 3.0/3.5 Goals |
68% |
Expected FT total is 3.70 (home 0.80 scored/3.00 conceded at home; away 1.80 scored/1.80 conceded away) vs a 3.0/3.5 line. Leiknir conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away games (HK 2-1, Afturelding 3-2, Fylkir 3-0) and IF Vestri concede 3.00 per home match; away goal-line pricing error of 1.85 signals bookmaker mispricing on the over. |
|
| 22-08-2026 15:00 |
SCR Altach |
- |
Hartberg |
Over 2.5 Goals |
69% |
Expected FT goals 2.95 vs line 2.5 (A=1.40, B=1.30, C=1.40, D=1.80); Altach home games 6/10 over 2.5 and mutual-opponent total 2.78 supports over; H2H 0-0/2-2 is neutral with only 2 matches. Score: base 50 + gap 9 + home history 5 + common opponents 5 + market pricing 3 - Hartberg scoring drought 3 = 69. |
|
| 22-08-2026 15:00 |
Rilski Sportist |
- |
Montana |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total is 3.25 (A=1.20, B=2.10, C=1.50, D=1.70) vs the 2.5 line, a +0.75 gap. Montana away overs are 4/5 (80%) and they've conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away games, while Rilski's two current home matches split 1-1 over/under; away GL_5 is 2.60 severe/accelerating bookmaker mispricing. H2H is empty and mutual opponents are insufficient (g<2), so raw score caps at the standard 82% ceiling. |
|
| 22-08-2026 15:00 |
Toulouse |
- |
Lyon |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.80 vs 2.75 line: Toulouse home averages 1.30 scored/2.10 conceded, Lyon away 2.10 scored/2.10 conceded ((1.30+2.10)/2+(2.10+2.10)/2=3.80). 8 of 10 Toulouse and 9 of 10 Lyon recent matches produced 3+ goals, both H2H meetings finished 2-1/1-2, and Lyon conceded 2+ in 3+ of last 5 away games; GL_5 below 1.0 so no variance boost; raw score capped at 82%. |
|
| 22-08-2026 15:00 |
Troyes |
- |
Paris FC |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.25 vs line 2.75: home avg goals 2.00, away conceded 1.60; away scored 2.00, home conceded 0.90. Troyes 6/10 recent matches over 2.5 (60%), Paris FC 8/10 (80%), and mutual-opponents total is 3.25, all supporting over. Paris FC conceded 3,4,2 in 3 of their last 5 away matches, reinforcing the over signal. |
|
| 22-08-2026 15:00 |
FC Trinity Zlin |
- |
Slovan Liberec |
Over 2.5 Goals |
76% |
FT expected total: (1.50+1.10)/2+(1.50+1.90)/2=3.00 vs line 2.5 (+0.50). Zlin 7/10 over 2.5, Liberec 5/10; mutual-opponent total 2.72 supports Over, H2H only 2 matches both under treated neutral, 1st-half signal weaker (1.10 vs 1.0). Confidence: Base 50 + gap 10 + home history 8 + away history 0 + H2H 0 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 = 76%. |
|
| 22-08-2026 15:00 |
Mlada Boleslav |
- |
Slovacko |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total 3.40 (home 2.10 scored/1.40 conceded at home, away 1.40 scored/1.90 conceded away) vs 2.75 line; last 5: home 3/5 over, away 3/5 over, H2H 2/3 over. Raw scoring 50 + gap 13 + home 5 + away 5 + H2H 5 + common opponents -5 + home bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.90) 4 + quality gap 5 = 82. |
|
| 22-08-2026 15:00 |
SK Artis Brno |
- |
Sparta Prague |
Over 3.0 Goals |
76% |
Expected FT total is (1.20+1.80)/2+(1.80+2.30)/2=3.55 vs line 3.0; mutual-opponent total clears at 4.0. Sparta away have conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches (Lyon 3-0, Mlada Boleslav 2-0, FC Brno 3-1, Nordsjaelland 5-1), and Artis Brno GL_5 is 1.55 moderate mispricing supporting over; over-3.0 history is mixed at 40%/50% but structural fragility and expected-goals gap give the edge. |
|
| 22-08-2026 15:00 |
Sabah |
- |
FK Sumqayit |
Under 1.25 First Half Goals |
80% |
Expected 1st-half total: (0.50+0.80)/2 + (0.40+0.50)/2 = 1.10 vs line 1.25. Sabah home first halves went under 1.25 in 4/4 (0,0,1,0 HT goals) and Sumqayit away first halves went under in 4/4 (0,1,1,1), with both teams failing to score in 3+ of those matches. Scoring: Base 50% + home HT history 10% + away HT history 10% + low 1st-half scorers 5% + away HT scoring failure 5% = 80%. |
|
| 22-08-2026 15:15 |
Lens |
- |
Auxerre |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
73% |
Expected FT total 3.05 ((1.80+1.20)/2 + (1.90+1.20)/2) vs 2.75 line, with Lens 50% and Auxerre 60% over 2.75; mutual opponents total 3.12 and Auxerre c_avg_on_target 5.38 also support over. 1st half expected total 1.35 vs 1.25 is weaker, and H2H has only 2 matches (neutral), so FT over is the stronger signal. |
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| 22-08-2026 16:00 |
Harju JK Laagri |
- |
JK Nomme Kalju |
Over 1.25 First Half Goals |
73% |
Expected first-half total is 1.80 (home 1.10 scored / 0.60 conceded at home, away 1.30 scored / 0.60 conceded away) against a 1.25 line, a 0.55-goal edge. Home and away first-half over records are 40% and 50%, but both sides show accelerating goal-line mispricing (home GL5 1.80, away GL5 1.95), supporting the Over. No H2H first-half data is available. |
|
| 22-08-2026 16:00 |
Njardvik |
- |
Volsungur |
Over 3.5 Goals |
73% |
Base 50% + gap +5% + home history +0% + away history +5% + H2H +0% + common opponents +5% + likelihood +0% + GL_5 home +0% + GL_5 away +0% + structural (away defensive fragility +5%, form surge +3%) = 73%. Expected total 3.90 vs 3.5 line: Njardvik home 2.00 scored/1.70 conceded, Volsungur away 2.00 scored/2.10 conceded. Volsungur are 6/10 over 3.5, conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (3-1 at Fylkir, 3-3 at Leiknir, 4-4 at IR), and mutual opponents total 3.80 also clears 3.5. |
|
| 22-08-2026 16:00 |
Dunajska Streda |
- |
FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova |
Dunajska Streda -0.75 (Asian Handicap) |
67% |
Dunajska Streda have won all four H2H meetings (2-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0), all by margins that cover -0.75. Home AH record is 4 wins in their last 5, while Podbrezova covered only 2 of their last 5. Mutual opponents show home edge in 4 of 5 comparison stats, including goals net +0.9 vs +0.29 and total shots net +7.3 vs -0.14. |
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| 22-08-2026 16:00 |
Udinese |
- |
Como |
Como -0.5 Asian Handicap |
66% |
Como's AH record last 5 is 3W-0V-2L vs Udinese's 0W-2V-3L, and Como covered -0.5 in 3 of their last 5 overall while Udinese covered +0.5 only 1 of 5. Mutual opponents strongly favor Como across all five stats (goal net +1.4 vs +0.1, shot net +2.1 vs -0.8, dangerous attacks +8.7 vs +2.2), with Como also ahead on standings sort position. H2H is a small sample and neutral: 0-0 and 1-0 Como. |
|
| 22-08-2026 16:00 |
Caykur Rizespor |
- |
Samsunspor |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT goals 3.05 ((1.40+1.30)/2+(1.80+1.60)/2) vs 2.5 line. Rizespor 7/10 home and Samsunspor 8/10 recent matches over 2.5; mutual-opponent total 3.69, likelihood 80%, market pricing error GL_5 mild (1.15/1.40). Score: 50 base +10 gap +8 home +10 away +0 H2H +5 common-opponents +3 likelihood +0 GL_5 +0 structural = 86%, capped at 82% standard (H2H only 2 matches). |
|
| 22-08-2026 16:00 |
Caykur Rizespor |
- |
Samsunspor |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total 3.05 (A 1.40, B 1.30, C 1.80, D 1.60) vs line 2.5, gap +0.55. Home 7/10 (70%) and away 8/10 (80%) recent matches over 2.5; mutual-opponent total 3.69 over; H2H 4-1 and 1-1 is only 2 matches so neutral. Confidence: 50 base +10 gap +8 home +10 away +0 H2H +5 common opponents +3 likelihood +0 GL5/structural = 86, capped at 82 (standard ceiling; no 3+ H2H support for elevated). |
|
| 22-08-2026 16:30 |
Udinese |
- |
Como |
Over 8.5 Corners |
73% |
Expected corners 9.6 vs 8.5 line (E=3.8, H=4.9, G=6.1, F=4.4; gap +1.1). Como away over 8.5 in 5/7 (71%), Udinese home 3/6 (50%); H2H corners only 2 matches (8,5) neutral; mutual opponents combined 47.1 shots/165.1 dangerous attacks supports pressure. Score 73%: base 50 + gap 10 + away history 8 + structural 5. |
|
| 22-08-2026 16:30 |
Slaven Belupo |
- |
HNK Gorica |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.20 vs line 2.5 (gap +0.70): Slaven home 1.60 scored/2.40 conceded, Gorica away 0.80 scored/1.60 conceded; shot-based match potential 4.81 clears line. Last 5: Slaven 4/5 Over 2.5, Gorica 3/5 Over 2.5; H2H 3/4 Over; mutual opponents total 2.90. Gorica conceded 2+ goals in all last 5 matches. Breakdown: Base 50% + gap +10% + home history +10% + away history +5% + H2H +5% + common opponents +5% + structural defensive fragility +5% + GL_5 home +0% + GL_5 away +0% = 90% raw, capped at standard 82% (elevated tier not met: away history 60%, not 70%+). |
|
| 22-08-2026 16:30 |
AB Copenhagen |
- |
Hvidovre IF |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.35 (A=2.10, B=1.80, C=1.60, D=1.20) vs split line mid 2.75, gap +0.60. Both teams 6/10 last matches over 2.5; mutual opponents total 3.875 clears the line; Hvidovre away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5. Breakdown: 50 + gap 12 + home history 5 + away history 5 + H2H 0 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 0 + GL_5 home 0 + GL_5 away 0 + away defensive fragility 5 = 82, standard ceiling. |
|
| 22-08-2026 16:30 |
Al Sadd |
- |
Al-Ahli Doha |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total 4.05 vs 3.5 line (home 2.70 scored/1.90 conceded at home; away 1.90 scored/1.60 conceded away), home 7/10 over 3.5, away 4/8 over, mutual-opponent total 3.58. Away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away and home last 3 home matches all scored 2+. Scoring: Base 50 + gap 10 + home history 8 + away history 0 + H2H 0 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 + GL5 0/0 + structural 8 = 84 capped at 82. |
|
| 22-08-2026 17:00 |
Crusaders |
- |
Portadown |
Over 2.5 Goals |
65% |
Expected total is 2.80 vs the 2.5 line: (1.9+1.4)/2 + (1.3+1.0)/2 = 2.80. H2H is 3/3 over 2.5 (4-0, 0-4, 2-1), and mutual opponents produce a 3.38 total, also clearing the line. Home/away recent histories are both 50% over and GL_5 is under 1.0 for both, so confidence lands at 65%. |
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