| 19-05-2026 23:00 |
Bagatelle SSC |
- |
Pride of Gall Hill FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
65% |
Expected total goals 2.95 (1.30 home avg scored + 1.90 away conceded averaged with 1.00 away scored + 1.70 home conceded) exceeds the 2.75 effective line. Away defensive fragility is confirmed—Pride of Gall Hill conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away matches—while moderate bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.50, away GL_5 1.45) aligns with the over direction, supporting at least 3 total goals. |
|
| 20-05-2026 01:30 |
South Melbourne |
- |
Vanuatu United |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
South Melbourne averages 2.40 goals scored at home and Vanuatu United concedes 1.40 away, giving an expected total of 3.85 versus the 2.5 line. South Melbourne's last 5 home matches all went over 2.5 goals (100%), and Vanuatu's last 4 away matches had 3 over (75%). The away team's defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of 4 away) combined with strong bookmaker mispricing (Vanuatu GL_5=1.85, accelerating) further support an Over outcome. |
|
| 20-05-2026 08:30 |
Monaro Panthers |
- |
Tigers FC |
Over 3.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total 4.30 (home 2.80 + away 2.80 avg goals at home/away) exceeds the 3.5 line by 0.8 goals. Monaro's home GL_5 variance is 1.95 (accelerating), indicating the bookmaker consistently underestimates goals in their matches. While H2H is split 2-2 and recent match history shows only 30% overs at home, the Over-first philosophy and strong expected total gap support this pick. |
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| 20-05-2026 09:30 |
Caboolture FC |
- |
AC Carina |
Over 4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 5.15 goals (Caboolture home avg 2.20 scored, 2.10 conceded; AC Carina away avg 3.70 scored, 2.30 conceded) far exceeds the 4.0 line. Caboolture home history: 4 of last 5 matches over 4.0; AC Carina away: 2 of 3 away matches over 4.0. Structural quality gap (Caboolture in higher division) and away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in all 3 recent away games) reinforce Over. Caboolture's GL_5 = 2.15 signals accelerating bookmaker mispricing on goal totals. |
|
| 20-05-2026 09:30 |
Peninsula Power |
- |
Moggill |
Under 5.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.95 (home avg 2.40, away avg conceded 1.80, away avg scored 2.20, home avg conceded 1.50) is well below the 5.0 line. Peninsula Power have only 1 of 6 home matches exceeding 5 goals, while Moggill have 0 of 5 away matches over 5. The structural quality gap and low-scoring histories strongly favor an Under outcome. Mild market pricing error (home GL_5 1.35) aligns with this direction. |
|
| 20-05-2026 10:00 |
Shaggar City |
- |
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC |
Over 1.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 2.10 (home avg 1.20 + away avg conceding 1.20) exceeds line 1.75 by 0.35. Both teams show strong over trends: Shaggar 4/5 home matches over (80%) and Mekelle 4/5 away matches over (80%). Shot-based match potential (3.88) further supports the over, while H2H is neutral (single 0-0 draw). Bookmaker mispricing is low (GL_5 0.55/0.95), but the consistent history and team averages provide solid confidence. |
|
| 20-05-2026 11:00 |
Olimpia Cluj Women |
- |
FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Women |
Over 1.0 Goals 1st Half |
70% |
Expected 1st half goals calculated as (1.20+0.50)/2+(0.50+0.30)/2 = 1.25, above the 1.0 line. Home team's last 5 matches with HT data all went Over 1.0 (100%), away team's HT Over rate is 67% (4/6), and both recent H2H meetings with HT data also went Over (0-1, 0-1). Combined with mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 home 1.40, away 1.45) supporting Over, this is a strong structural pick. |
|
| 20-05-2026 12:00 |
Chongqing Tonglianglong |
- |
Yunnan Yukun |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.25 (home 1.50 avg at home + away 2.00 avg away, adjusted for conceding) exceeds 2.5 line by 0.75. Away team has 9/10 (90%) recent matches Over 2.5, including 5/5 away matches. Home team scored 2+ in last 3 home matches (form surge). Away defensive fragility: conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away. Away GL_5 mispricing 1.25 accelerating supports Over. No H2H data contradicts. |
|
| 20-05-2026 12:30 |
Nongkseh Scc |
- |
Shillong Lajong Reserves |
Over 2.5 Goals |
73% |
Full-time expected goals total 3.30 (home 2.70 scored at home + away 0.80 conceded away averaged with away 2.30 scored away + home 0.80 conceded at home) exceeds the line of 2.5 by 0.80. Home team has 60% of their last 10 matches going Over 2.5, away team 50%. H2H shows 2 of 3 unders but not enough to veto (66.7%). Away team conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, signalling defensive fragility. Home team's recent form includes a 4-0 and 2-1 win. Bookmaker mispricing is mild for home (GL_5 1.05) but direction aligns. Confidence: 50% base + 15% gap + 5% home history + 0% away history - 5% H2H + 3% likelihood + 0% variance + 5% structural (defensive fragility) = 73%. |
|
| 20-05-2026 13:00 |
CS Gloria 2018 Bistrita-Nasaud Women |
- |
Farul Constanta Women |
Under 1.5 Goals 1st Half |
82% |
Expected 1st half goals are 1.65 (home avg 1.1 + away avg 0.2 /2 + away avg 1.5 + home conceded 0.5 /2 = 1.65) just above the 1.5 line, but match history strongly favors Under: CS Gloria's home 1st half went Under in 5/6 (83%) and Farul's away 1st half went Under in 6/7 (86%), with away team failing to score in the first half in all 7 away matches. The H2H 1st half is also Under (1 match). Structural low-scoring patterns from both teams give high confidence in an Under result. |
|
| 20-05-2026 15:00 |
Tukums 2000 |
- |
Riga FC |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half total 2.10 (home 0.80+away 1.10 combined) vs line 1.25, gap +0.85. Tukums 60% and Riga 80% of last 10 matches went Over 1.25 HT. Quality gap (2nd vs 7th) and early scoring patterns (Tukums scored 1st half in 6/10, Riga 8/10) support Over. Market mispricing high: home GL_5 1.90 and away 1.70, both accelerating, pointing to underrated goal totals. |
|
| 20-05-2026 16:00 |
FV Austria XIII |
- |
First Vienna II |
Over 9.5 Asian Corners |
78% |
Expected total corners is 10.3 (home avg 4.5 + away conceded 6.0 avg + away avg 4.9 + home conceded 5.2 avg) exceeding the line of 9.5. First Vienna II away matches have gone over 9.5 corners in all 4 of their last 4 away fixtures (18,15,13,11). The only H2H match produced 10 corners, supporting the over side. |
|
| 20-05-2026 16:00 |
FK Transinvest |
- |
Hegelmann Litauen |
Over 2.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected total goals of 2.85 (home 1.60 + away concede 1.70 / 2 combined with away 1.40 + home concede 1.00 / 2) clears the 2.5 line. Both teams' recent form supports Over (70% of last 10 FT matches each), and structural signals—FK Transinvest as 2nd vs Hegelmann 8th, plus away defensive fragility (3/5 away matches conceding 2+)—further back the Over call. |
|
| 20-05-2026 16:00 |
ZFK Crvena Zvezda Women |
- |
ZFK Spartak Subotica Women |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.90 (home avg 3.50 scored, 0.90 conceded at home; away avg 2.10 scored, 1.30 conceded away) exceeds line 3.0 by 0.9 goals. Home team has 9/10 home matches Over 3.0, while H2H is 2/4 Over. Structural dominance (home team scoring heavily at home) and severe bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 2.70, accelerating) strongly support Over. |
|
| 20-05-2026 17:00 |
FC 1980 Wien |
- |
SV Wienerberg |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total (4.10) far exceeds line (3.0), driven by away average 3.10 scored away and home conceding 1.90 at home. Away team covers 70% of last 10 matches over 3.0 goals. Severe bookmaker mispricing on away side (GL_5=2.60, accelerating) adds edge. Structural quality gap (1st vs 4th) supports over. |
|
| 20-05-2026 18:00 |
OFK Mladost DG |
- |
Sutjeska Niksic |
Over 2.5 Goals |
65% |
Expected total 2.55 (home 1.20 scored, away 2.00 scored, home conceded 1.20, away conceded 0.70) slightly exceeds the 2.5 line. Home team has 60% of last 10 matches over 2.5, away 50%, and H2H shows 66% over (2 of 3). Quality gap (1st vs 6th) suggests goals. Market pricing error is mild (GL_5 home 1.15, away 1.00), no strong under signals. 1st half signal weaker (expected 0.95 vs line 1.0, history low). Over 2.5 qualifies at 65% confidence. |
|
| 20-05-2026 18:00 |
Atletico Rafaela Reserves |
- |
Defensa y Justicia Reserves |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals is 3.40 (home avg 1.10 @ home, away avg conceded 1.20 away, away avg 2.60 away, home avg conceded 1.90 @ home), well above the 2.75 line. Both teams have 70% Over in their last 10 matches, and Defensa's strong away attack (avg 2.6 goals) vs Atletico's weak defence creates a clear quality gap. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (home GL_5 1.15, away GL_5 1.10), supporting an Over bet. |
|
| 20-05-2026 18:00 |
Al Najma |
- |
Al Shabab Riyadh |
Over 9.5 Asian Corners |
70% |
Expected total corners is 10.60 (Al Najma home avg 3.20, concede 6.80; Al Shabab away avg 5.70, concede 5.50) surpassing the 9.5 line. Al Shabab's last 10 matches show 60% Over 9.5 corners, and the only H2H produced 14 corners. Corner variance above 2.0 for both teams signals bookmaker mispricing on this line. |
|
| 20-05-2026 18:00 |
Al Najma |
- |
Al Shabab Riyadh |
Over 3.25 Goals (3.0,3.5) |
71% |
Expected full-time goals calculated as (1.00+2.10)/2 + (1.40+2.50)/2 = 3.50, exceeding the 3.25 line. Al Najma home matches have 60% (3/5) over 3.25, while Al Shabab away matches have 50% (2/4) over, meeting the Over requirement. Al Shabab's goal line variance (GL_5=1.75) indicates moderate mispricing accelerating, favouring Over. Recent home form (last 3 totals 3,4,4) adds momentum. Confidence breakdown: base 50% + gap +5% + home history +5% + away history +0% + H2H +0% + likelihood +3% + away GL_5 +5% + structural form +3% = 71%. |
|
| 20-05-2026 18:00 |
Bangor Celtic FC |
- |
Ballymun United |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half goals calculated at 2.05 (home HT avg 0.90 + away conceded 1.60)/2 + (away HT avg 0.80 + home conceded 0.80)/2. Away team has 70% of last 10 matches over 1.5 HT goals, while home has 50% (neutral). Structural weakness: away conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away games, driving over HT. Bookmaker mispricing supports with away GL_5 of 2.45 (high variance) aligning with over direction. |
|
| 20-05-2026 19:00 |
SC Freiburg |
- |
Aston Villa |
Over 2.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.50 goals (Freiburg home avg 1.80, Villa away conceded 1.30; Villa away avg 2.30, Freiburg home conceded 1.60) far exceeds the 2.25 line. Freiburg have gone Over in 80% of their last 10 matches (8/10) and Villa in 70% (7/10), with both teams scoring 2+ in recent games. Match potential (3.06 goals) also supports Over. Bookmaker mispricing is mild but accelerating for Freiburg (GL_5 1.40 > GL_10 1.15), adding slight edge. |
|
| 20-05-2026 20:00 |
Sol de America |
- |
3 de Noviembre |
1st Half Over/Under Goal Line Over 0.5,1.0 |
68% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.05 (home avg 0.60 scored + away avg 0.70 conceded vs away avg 0.20 scored + home avg 0.60 conceded), above the 0.75 line. 3 de Noviembre's last 10 matches have seen 1st half goals in 80% (8/10), and Sol de America's last 7 in 57% (4/7), with no H2H data contradicting. The away team's consistent first-half involvement gives a structural edge for the Over. |
|
| 20-05-2026 22:00 |
Paysandu |
- |
Nacional AM |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total (3.30) calculated from Paysandu's 2.30 home goals scored and Nacional AM's 0.80 away goals conceded comfortably clears the 2.5 line. Paysandu has gone over 2.5 in 70% of recent matches (7/10), the sole H2H produced 7 goals, and the home team's GL_5 bookmaker mispricing of 2.05 (accelerating) strongly supports an Over outcome. The quality gap (Serie C vs Serie D) further tilts the match toward goals. |
|
| 20-05-2026 23:00 |
Mount Pleasant FA |
- |
Portmore United |
Over 0.5,1.0 (Over 0.75) 1st Half Goals |
82% |
Expected 1st half total 1.10 (home HT avg 0.60 + away HT avg 0.60 + conceded avg 0.50 each) exceeds line 0.75 by 0.35 goals. Mount Pleasant's last 4 home matches with HT data show 3/4 Over (75%), while Portmore's last 5 away matches show 5/5 Over (100%). Both teams score early with Portmore scoring in 4/5 away first halves. Strong early scoring patterns support Over despite H2H not contradicting for HT. |
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