| 23-05-2026 14:00 |
Grotta Seltjarnarnes |
- |
IF Vestri |
Over 3.0 Goals |
72% |
Expected full-time goals of 3.70 (home avg 1.80 + away conceded 2.80 averaged with away scored 1.40 + home conceded 1.40) clear the line of 3.0 by 0.70. IF Vestri's away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 4 of last 6 away matches) and the recent H2H (0-4, 4 goals) support an Over, while home Grotta's consistent 1-goal home scoring limits under potential. Market mispricing is mild (GL_5 home 1.35, away 1.25), so no extra edge, but the structural over signal is sufficient for a 72% confidence. |
|
| 23-05-2026 14:00 |
CK Troszyn |
- |
LKS Lomza |
Over 3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 3.30 (home avg 2.30 at home + away avg 2.40 away, adjusted for conceding) vs line 3.0 provides a +0.30 gap. Home team scored 2+ in all last 3 home matches and away team conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (defensive fragility). H2H (1 match: 5 goals) supports Over. Despite away team's away record only 40% Over, home history at 60% and structural signals push confidence to 68%. |
|
| 23-05-2026 14:00 |
Bohemians Dublin Women |
- |
Waterford FC Women |
Over 3.0 Goals |
66% |
Expected full-time total goals is 3.50 (home avg 1.40 + away conceded 2.50 averaged with away avg 0.90 + home conceded 2.20 = 3.50), exceeding the line of 3.0 by 0.50. Bohemians have severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.20), indicating consistent underestimation of goal totals in their matches. While recent match history shows low Over rates, the shot-based match potential (4.86) and structural defensive fragility of Waterford away (conceding 2.5 per game) favor Over. The H2H split is neutral (2 matches, 1 push, 1 under). |
|
| 23-05-2026 14:00 |
Shamrock Rovers Women |
- |
DLR Waves Women |
Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
74% |
Expected 1st half goals of 1.25 (home HT avg 1.00 + away conceded HT avg 0.60; away HT avg 0.50 + home conceded HT avg 0.40) sit below the 1.5 line. Shamrock Rovers Women's recent home 1st half record shows 3 of 4 matches under 1.5 goals, while DLR Waves Women's away 1st half record is 2 of 2 under. Bookmaker mispricing is not a factor (GL_5 home 2.05 but direction not aligned). Combined historical and expected-value alignment gives a 74% confidence for the under. |
|
| 23-05-2026 14:00 |
Utsiktens BK |
- |
Trelleborgs FF |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.70 (home avg 1.00 + away conceded 1.30)/2 + (away avg 2.20 + home conceded 2.90)/2 exceeds the 3.25 line by 0.45. Both teams show 62.5% of recent matches going over 3.5 goals. Utsiktens have conceded 2+ in all 8 competitive home matches, and the quality gap (1st vs 16th) favors open play. Home GL_5 of 1.65 indicates accelerating bookmaker mispricing on the over side. |
|
| 23-05-2026 14:00 |
Valletta |
- |
Gzira United |
Over 2.25 Goals |
66% |
Valletta average 1.50 goals at home, Gzira concede 1.10 away, giving expected total 2.55 vs line 2.25. Shot-based expected goals of 4.76 from 36 total shots and 7.57 average shot ratio strongly supports Over. Gzira's last 10 matches show 60% Over, Valletta 50% (both at least 50%). Quality gap (Valletta 3rd vs Gzira bottom half) and home form (3 of last 5 home with 2+ goals) add confidence. H2H has 2 of 3 Under but only 67% contradiction, not enough to override. Market pricing error is low (GL_5 home 0.75, away 0.80). Confidence 66% meets threshold. |
|
| 23-05-2026 14:00 |
Lecco U19 |
- |
Albinoleffe U19 |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
73% |
Expected full-time goals 3.70 (Lecco 2.10 at home + Albinoleffe 1.20 conceded away averaged with Albinoleffe 2.10 away + Lecco 2.00 conceded home) exceed the 3.25 line by 0.45. Lecco have gone over 3.5 in 4/6 home matches (67%) and Albinoleffe in 3/5 away (60%). Likelihood data shows 80% chance of over 2.5 and both teams score in 70% of matches. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate with GL_5 1.40 for both teams but accelerating for Albinoleffe. Lecco's home strength (2nd in table, scored in all 6 home matches) adds structural support for an open game. |
|
| 23-05-2026 14:10 |
Emirates Club RAK |
- |
Al Hamriyah |
Over 3.0, 3.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected full-time goals of 3.50 (home avg 1.60 at home, away conceded away avg 1.10; away avg 2.50 away, home conceded home avg 1.80) exceed the 3.0/3.5 line. Al Hamriyah's away matches are 60% Over (3 of 5) and their GL_5 of 2.15 indicates strong bookmaker mispricing aligned with the Over direction. H2H is neutral (1 match 0-0), and likelihood data shows 55% probability for Over 3.5. Combined confidence 71%. |
|
| 23-05-2026 14:10 |
Al Fujairah |
- |
Al Dahra FC |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 3.65 (home avg 1.70 + away conceded 2.40, away avg 1.40 + home conceded 1.80) exceeds line 3.25. Away team conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches (defensive fragility). Home team's GL_5 of 2.35 indicates severe bookmaker mispricing for Over. H2H (2 matches) neutral. Combined signals point to Over. |
|
| 23-05-2026 14:10 |
Dubai United |
- |
Al Ittifaq Dubai |
Over 9 Asian Corners |
82% |
Expected corners total is 10.15, well above the 9.0 line, with home (70%) and away (60%) both showing strong Over trends. Dubai United (1st) vs Al Ittifaq (13th) creates a clear quality gap, driving sustained attacking pressure and corner opportunities. Away team's severe corner variance (GL_5 4.00) confirms persistent bookmaker mispricing in this market. |
|
| 23-05-2026 15:00 |
GKS Belchatow |
- |
Jagiellonia Bialystok II |
Over 3.0 Goals |
65% |
Expected total 3.05 (Belchatow home avg 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded; Jagiellonia away avg 1.5 scored, 1.4 conceded) just above the 3.0 line. Both teams show moderate bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.70 accelerating, away GL_5 1.65) aligning with Over. Home team's defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 home) adds structural support. Despite mixed match history (40% Over for Belchatow, 44% for Jagiellonia), the variance and defensive trend favor Over at 65% confidence. |
|
| 23-05-2026 15:00 |
SV Lebring |
- |
SV Wildon |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.00 (home 2.00 at home + away 1.70 conceded, away 1.90 away + home 2.40 conceded) exceeds line 3.25 by 0.75. Home (60%) and away (67%) match history Over the line. Strong home mispricing (GL_5=2.55, accelerating) adds edge. Only one H2H (3-0 Under) but neutral sample. Likelihood supports Over with 80% Over 2.5. Confidence capped at 82% (elevated ceiling not met: away history <70%). |
|
| 23-05-2026 15:00 |
Falkenbergs FF |
- |
IFK Varnamo |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.25 goals (home avg 1.60 scored, 1.40 conceded; away avg 1.50 scored, 2.00 conceded away) exceeds the 2.75 line by 0.5. Both teams show strong Over history: Falkenbergs 70% and Varnamo 80% of recent matches went over 2.75. Away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away) and severe bookmaker mispricing (Varnamo GL_5 = 1.95, accelerating) further strengthen the Over case. |
|
| 23-05-2026 15:25 |
Samail |
- |
Bahla |
Over 1.0 1st Half Goals |
70% |
1st half expected total 1.55 (Samail avg 0.60 HT goals at home, Bahla concedes 1.00 HT away, plus away scores 0.50 HT and home concedes 1.00 HT) is 0.55 above the 1.0 line. Both teams have 60% of their last 10 matches in this role going over 1.0 HT (home 6/10, away 6/10). Bahla's defensive fragility adds support, conceding 2+ in 3 of last 5 away. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (away GL_5=1.05) but directionally aligns with Over. |
|
| 23-05-2026 15:30 |
FC Dornbirn 1913 |
- |
SCR Altach II |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 4.40 (home 3.00 avg at home, away concede 2.40 away; away 1.40 scored away, home concede 2.00) far exceeds the 3.25 line. Home have 70% of last 10 matches over 3.25, and away 50% over. Away conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches (structural fragility). Market pricing error is high: home GL_5=1.80, away GL_5=2.00, signalling bookmaker mispricing favouring over. H2H friendly saw 9 goals, league meeting 2 goals (mixed, only 2 matches so neutral). |
|
| 23-05-2026 15:30 |
Bjelovar |
- |
NK Solin |
Over 2.5 Goals |
66% |
Expected goals total of 2.75 (based on home 1.2 avg scored + away 1.8 avg conceded, away 1.5 avg scored + home 1.0 avg conceded) exceeds the line of 2.5, and NK Solin's away matches have gone Over 2.5 in 60% of their last 5. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate for Solin (GL_5=1.80), adding edge, while shot-based match potential (5.56) strongly supports goals. |
|
| 23-05-2026 15:30 |
NK Grobnican |
- |
NK Trnje |
Over 2.75 Goals |
79% |
Expected total 3.25 (home 1.50+away conceded 1.60/2 + away 1.50+home conceded 1.90/2) exceeds the 2.75 line by 0.5. Home match history shows 75% Over (6/8), and away away history shows 71% Over (5/7). H2H 5-1 supports Over. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (home GL_5 1.10, away GL_5 0.85, both stabilising). Combined signals yield 79% confidence for Over. |
|
| 23-05-2026 16:00 |
Peamount Utd Women |
- |
Shelbourne Women |
Over 2.75 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 3.05 (Peamount home avg 2.1, conceded 1.5; Shelbourne away avg 1.6, conceded 0.9) exceeds line 2.75; shot-based potential 3.66 confirms. Home history 67% Over (2/3), away 50% (2/4) – both align. H2H 1-4 supports Over. Market mispricing: away GL_5 = 2.05 (strong, accelerating), adding edge. |
|
| 23-05-2026 16:00 |
Kiffen |
- |
MyPa |
Over 4.0 Goals |
82% |
Kiffen average 2.30 goals at home, MyPa concede 3.90 on the road, so expected total 4.90 exceeds the 4.0 line by +0.90. Kiffen have covered Over 4.0 in 4 of their last 6 matches (67%), while MyPa's goal line record shows 7 Over in last 10 (70%), and their GL_5 mispricing of 1.85 indicates the bookmaker consistently underestimates goals involving them. The structural gap is reinforced by MyPa's league-high away conceded average of 3.90 and Kiffen's home scoring 2.30, creating a projected high-scoring affair in a relegation play-off context. |
|
| 23-05-2026 16:00 |
Braganca |
- |
SC Vianense |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.40 (home avg 1.50 + away conceded 1.00 + away scored 2.90 + home conceded 1.40) exceeds the 2.5 line by 0.90 goals. Away team has 70% of last 10 matches over 2.5, and H2H shows 2 of 3 over. Strong bookmaker mispricing for Vianense (GL_5=2.50, accelerating) points to additional edge. Despite home history at 50% (meets minimum), the overall signal is clear: attacking away side and promotion round urgency favour goals. Confidence capped at 82% due to standard ceiling. |
|
| 23-05-2026 16:00 |
Paide Linnameeskond |
- |
FC Flora Tallinn |
Over 10.0 Corners |
82% |
Expected corners 10.75 (home avg 4.30, conceded 6.30; away avg 8.10, conceded 2.80) exceed the line of 10.0. Flora's away matches show 83% Over (5/6), H2H corners are Over in 3 of last 4 meetings, and severe bookmaker mispricing (Flora variance 4.60, Paide 2.00) strengthens the Over signal. |
|
| 23-05-2026 16:00 |
Villarreal Women |
- |
Valencia Women |
Over 2.25 Goals |
79% |
Expected total goals 2.85 (based on averages: home 1.50+away conceded 1.20/2 + away 1.70+home conceded 1.30/2) exceeds the 2.25 line by 0.60. Both teams have 60% Over records in recent matches, and Valencia's severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5=2.85, accelerating) adds significant edge. H2H is split 2-2, neutral. Structural signals support Over. |
|
| 23-05-2026 16:00 |
US Yacoub El Mansour |
- |
Union de Touarga |
Over 1st Half 0.5,1.0 Goals |
73% |
Expected 1st half total 1.40 (home 0.60 scored & 1.00 conceded at home, away 0.50 scored & 0.70 conceded away) far exceeds the 0.75 line. Home team has covered this line in 10/10 recent matches (100%), away in 5/10 (50%, not contradictory). Structural context of two relegation-threatened teams likely produces an open start. Away GL_5 of 1.65 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing for goals, adding edge to the over. |
|
| 23-05-2026 16:10 |
Al Draih |
- |
Al-Ula |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Al Draih averages 2.70 goals scored at home and concedes 1.00, while Al-Ula averages 2.40 scored away and concedes 1.00, giving an expected total of 3.55 goals, well above the 2.75 line. Home team has gone Over 2.5 in 9 of last 10 matches (90%), away team in 8 of 10 (80%), and both H2H matches ended with 3+ goals. Strong form and attacking patterns support another high-scoring affair. |
|
| 23-05-2026 16:15 |
FCV Dender EH |
- |
Lommel |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.45 goals (Dender home avg 1.20 + conceded 2.10, Lommel away avg 2.30 + conceded 1.30) well above the 2.75 line. Match history strongly supports: Dender home 100% Over (5/5), Lommel away 100% Over (4/4), and H2H produced 5 goals. Market mispricing is mild (GL_5 1.05/1.00) but direction aligns. Confidence capped at 82% per standard ceiling. |
|
| 23-05-2026 18:00 |
Tristan Suarez |
- |
CA Colegiales |
Over 1.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 2.00 goals (home avg 1.10 + away conceded 1.10 / 2 + away avg 1.00 + home conceded 0.80 / 2) is 0.5 above 1.5 line. Home has 9/10 (90%) recent home matches Over 1.5, away has 9/10 (90%) away matches Over 1.5. Structural: quality gap (3rd vs 13th), away conceded 2+ in 4/5 away games. Home GL_5 1.65 (moderate mispricing, accelerating) adds edge. Confidence capped at standard ceiling of 82%. |
|
| 23-05-2026 18:00 |
Bayern Munich |
- |
VfB Stuttgart |
Over 3.5 Goals |
90% |
Expected total of 4.55 goals well above 3.5 line, driven by Bayern's home average of 3.30 scored and Stuttgart's away average of 1.80 conceded. Bayern have gone Over 3.5 in 5/5 home matches, Stuttgart in 4/5 away. All three H2H meetings produced 4+ goals. Bayern's severe market mispricing (GL_5=2.9) and Stuttgart's defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in last 5 away) further support the Over. The DFB Pokal final setting also encourages an open game. |
|
| 23-05-2026 18:00 |
Cerro Largo |
- |
Boston River |
Over 2.25 Goals |
80% |
Expected FT total 2.85 (from Cerro Largo avg 1.10 scored at home + Boston River 1.90 conceded away, and Boston River 1.40 scored away + Cerro Largo 1.30 conceded at home) exceeds the 2.25 line by 0.60 goals. Boston River conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches (defensive fragility). Away team's GL_5 of 2.20 indicates strong bookmaker mispricing favoring Over, and shot-based match potential of 4.14 further supports Over. H2H shows one under and one over from 2 matches but is neutral. |
|
| 23-05-2026 20:00 |
Racing Louisville FC Women |
- |
North Carolina Courage Women |
Over 2.5 Goals |
73% |
Expected total goals is 3.10 (home avg 1.50 + away conceded away 1.30 averaged with away avg 1.60 + home conceded 1.80) exceeding the 2.75 line by 0.35. Racing Louisville's last 3 home matches all went over 2.75, and H2H both meetings were over (2-1, 3-1). Home GL_5 of 1.55 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing favouring the over, while both teams average 1.5+ goals per game in their respective roles. |
|
| 23-05-2026 21:30 |
Nacional De Football |
- |
Albion FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.25 from averages (home 1.90+away conceded 0.80)/2 + (away 1.90+home conceded 1.90)/2 = 3.25, well above the 2.5 line. Nacional's last 10 matches show 90% Over 2.5, and the only H2H (Albion 3-2 Nacional) also went over. Away team GL_5 of 2.35 (strong mispricing) and home GL_5 of 1.60 (moderate) both align with Over, adding edge. |
|
| 23-05-2026 21:30 |
Sportivo Trinidense Women |
- |
Nacional-Humaita Women |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 4.55 goals based on home avg 2.0 at home and away avg conceded 3.2 away, plus away avg 1.5 away and home conceded 2.4 at home. Match potential (shot-based) at 7.8 confirms high scoring. Away defensive fragility: 3 of last 5 matches conceded 2+ goals. Bookmaker mispricing is strong: home GL_5 2.05, away GL_5 1.55 both indicate line too low. H2H neutral (only 1 match, 2-2). Over 3.25 is the best value. |
|
| 23-05-2026 22:30 |
SV La Fama |
- |
SV Sporting Aruba |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
74% |
Expected total 3.95 goals (home avg 1.70 scored + away conceded 1.80 = 1.75, away avg 2.00 scored + home conceded 2.40 = 2.20) comfortably exceeds the 3.0/3.5 line. Home has 3/5 home matches over 3.5 (60%), both H2H matches went over 3.5 (4 and 6 total goals), and home team's GL_5 variance of 2.30 indicates strong bookmaker mispricing accelerating from GL_10 of 1.45, further supporting an Over outcome. |
|
| 23-05-2026 23:00 |
Indy Eleven |
- |
Lexington SC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
77% |
Expected full-time total of 3.30 (home avg 1.60 + away avg conceded 1.30 averaged with away scored 2.20 + home conceded 1.50) exceeds the 2.5 line by 0.80 goals. Indy Eleven have gone Over 2.5 in 4 of 5 home matches (80%), and Lexington's away variance (GL_5 1.85, accelerating) indicates persistent bookmaker mispricing on goal totals. Likelihood data also supports a 70% probability of Over 2.5, making this the strongest available bet. |
|
| 24-05-2026 18:00 |
Deportivo Moron |
- |
CA Estudiantes Caseros |
Over 1.75 Goals |
73% |
Expected total goals is 1.95 (home avg 1.20 at home + away conceded 0.80, away avg 0.90 away + home conceded 1.00), above the 1.75 line. Both teams show 60% Over in their respective home/away roles last 5 matches. Structural quality gap (Moron 2nd, Estudiantes 11th) supports Over, and H2H (1-1) also went over. Market mispricing is mild (GL_5 1.40), adding slight edge. |
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