| 26-05-2026 12:00 |
Sidama Bunna |
- |
Ethiopian Insurance FC |
Over 1.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 1.75 (Sidama home avg 1.00 + Insurance away conceded 0.70, Insurance away avg 1.10 + Sidama home conceded 0.70) vs line 1.5 (+0.25 gap). Shot-based match potential 3.73 strongly supports Over. Away team's recent away matches (80% Over 1.5) and H2H (2/3 Over) align. Quality gap (1st vs 11th) favors home dominance. Market pricing error is mild (GL_5 1.05 for both, no added edge). Confidence 76%. |
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| 26-05-2026 15:00 |
IFK Mariehamn |
- |
FC Lahti |
Over 10 Corners |
82% |
Expected total corners 10.70 vs line 10.0 supported by Lahti covering Over 10 in 4 of last 5 away (80%). Mariehamn home corners average 4.3 scored, 6.3 conceded (match potential ~10.6). Structural pressure from both teams needing points, plus severe bookmaker mispricing (home AC_5 2.50, away 2.80) strongly favours Over. |
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| 26-05-2026 16:00 |
SK Brann Women |
- |
Lyn Fotball Women |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
67% |
Expected total 3.45 calculates from SK Brann's home avg 3.00, Lyn's away conceded 1.90, away avg 1.60, and home conceded 0.40, exceeding the 3.25 line. Home team has severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5=2.15) while home history shows 60% Over in 1st half but only 40% in full-time. H2H result 9-0 supports goals. Despite mixed full-time history, quality gap and high variance point to Over. |
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| 26-05-2026 16:00 |
BFC Daugavpils |
- |
FK Auda |
Over 3.0 Goals |
78% |
Expected total 3.25 goals (home 1.30 avg scored + home 1.30 conceded, away 2.20 avg scored + away 1.70 conceded) exceeds the 3.0 line by 0.25. FK Auda's away matches have 80% (4/5) Over the line, and H2H shows 67% (2/3) Over. Away team's goal_line variance (GL_5 1.65 accelerating) indicates bookmaker mispricing in favor of Over. Despite BFC Daugavpils' poor home scoring record, Auda's attacking strength (2.20 away avg goals) provides the Over edge. |
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| 26-05-2026 16:00 |
BK Olympic |
- |
Ariana FC Malmo |
Under 4.5 Corners (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half corners total of 3.4 falls well below the 4.5 line. BK Olympic's home matches have gone under 4.5 HT corners in all 4 tracked games, while Ariana FC's away matches are 3 of 4 under. Additionally, home team's Asian corner variance (AC_5=1.80) suggests the market consistently overestimates corners when Olympic plays, reinforcing the Under value. |
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| 26-05-2026 16:00 |
FC Honka |
- |
VJS Vantaa |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total of 3.70 goals (based on Honka's 3.10 home average and VJS's 1.30 away conceded) exceeds the 3.25 line, with both teams showing 60% over in recent matches. Structural signals are strong: VJS conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away games, and Honka's home scoring average is 3.10. Bookmaker mispricing is elevated (Honka GL_5 1.60, VJS GL_5 2.45 accelerating), adding edge to the Over. |
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| 26-05-2026 16:30 |
Defensa y Justicia Reserves |
- |
CA Independiente Reserves |
Over 0.75 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.75 goals (home avg 1.70 at home + away conceded 0.40 away /2 = 1.05, plus away avg 0.70 away + home conceded 0.70 at home /2 = 0.70, sum 1.75), far above the line of 0.75. Home team has 9/10 1st half overs in their last 10 matches (90%), away team 7/10 (70%), both strongly supporting over. Structural quality gap (home 3rd vs away 6th) and home scoring pattern add further confidence. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate for home (GL_5=1.70) but the HT market appears significantly undervalued. |
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| 26-05-2026 17:00 |
Orebro SK |
- |
Helsingborg |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.45 (home avg 1.30 + away conceded 2.20 averaged with away avg 1.80 + home conceded 1.60) well above 2.5 line. Match potential (shot-based) of 5.07 also strongly supports Over. Orebro's last 5 home matches went Over 2.5 in 3/5 (60%), while Helsingborg's last 4 away matches went Over in all 4 (100%), with the visitors conceding 2+ goals in every away game. Market mispricing is moderate for both teams (home GL_5 1.55, away GL_5 1.80) and accelerating, adding edge to the Over side. |
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| 26-05-2026 17:00 |
Gil Vicente U23 |
- |
Santa Clara U23 |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.70 goals exceeds the 3.0 line by 0.70, built from Gil Vicente averaging 2.20 at home and Santa Clara conceding 2.10 away. History supports Over: 6/10 Gil Vicente home matches and 5/6 Santa Clara away matches surpassed 3.0 goals. Structural signals are strong: Santa Clara conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away (defensive fragility), Gil Vicente scored 2+ in 4 of last 5 home (form surge), and Santa Clara's severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5=2.40, accelerating) indicates systematic underestimation of goals in their matches. |
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| 26-05-2026 17:30 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva |
- |
Maccabi Tel Aviv |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.40 goals (HBS home avg 2.10, MTA away conceded 1.40; MTA away avg 2.00, HBS home conceded 1.30) exceeds 2.75 line by 0.65 goals. MTA's away match history shows 70% Over (7/10), and MTA conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches (defensive fragility). HBS home GL_5 of 2.30 indicates severe bookmaker mispricing accelerating from GL_10 of 1.70, adding edge to Over. H2H split 2-2 neutral. Combined signals yield 82% confidence. |
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| 26-05-2026 18:00 |
Racing Club Reserves |
- |
CA Tigre Reserves |
Over 9.0 Asian Corners |
75% |
Expected total corners 9.45 (Racing home avg 4.5 + Tigre conceded avg away 6.4 averaged) exceeds the 9.0 line. Racing's last 5 home matches produced 3 overs (totals 11, 12, 17) and the only H2H recorded 10 corners. The quality gap (Racing 2nd, Tigre 14th) points to sustained home pressure, supporting the Over. |
|
| 26-05-2026 18:00 |
Bangor Celtic FC |
- |
St Mochtas |
Over 3.0 Goals |
79% |
Expected total 3.35 (home avg 2.30 + away conceded 1.30 /2 + away scored 1.80 + home conceded 1.30 /2) exceeds the line of 3.0. Home scored 2+ in last 3 home matches, away conceded 2+ in all 4 away matches. Both teams' GL_5 variance values (2.30 and 2.25) indicate severe bookmaker mispricing. H2H is neutral (1-1). |
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| 26-05-2026 18:30 |
CS Dock Sud |
- |
Real Pilar |
Over 1.75 Goals |
78% |
Expected total 2.05 goals (calculated from home avg 1.10 conceded at home 0.80, away avg 1.00 conceded away 1.20) exceeds the 1.75 line by +0.30, with 80% of CS Dock Sud's last 10 matches and 60% of Real Pilar's last 10 finishing over this line. Structural support from Real Pilar conceding 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches, while market mispricing is low (GL_5 under 1.0 for both teams). |
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| 26-05-2026 18:45 |
Waterford FC Women |
- |
Shamrock Rovers Women |
Over 8.5 Corners |
80% |
Expected total corners: (2.9+3.1)/2 + (5.4+8.2)/2 = 9.8, above 8.5. Waterford concede 8.2 corners per home game and Shamrock average 5.4 away. Waterford's home corners record (2/3 over 8.5) and H2H corners (2/3 over) support Over. Shamrock's strong attacking profile and high corner variance (AC_5 2.80, accelerating) indicate bookmaker mispricing, favoring more corners. |
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| 26-05-2026 18:45 |
Dundalk |
- |
St Patricks |
Over 2.75 Goals |
76% |
Expected goals from averages (home 1.90 scored at home, 1.50 conceded; away 1.80 scored away, 1.00 conceded) give a total of 3.10, 0.35 above the line of 2.75. Dundalk have 7 of last 10 matches Over 2.5 goals (70%), while St Patricks have 5/10 (50%). Market pricing error is accelerating for both teams (home GL_5 1.50, away GL_5 1.60), indicating systematic underestimation of goals, supporting the Over pick. |
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| 26-05-2026 19:15 |
KR Reykjavik |
- |
Valur Reykjavik |
Over 4.0,4.5 Goals |
85% |
KR Reykjavik average 3.5 goals at home and Valur concede 2.3 away, giving an expected total of 5.05 goals, well above the line of 4.25. 80% of KR's home matches and 80% of Valur's away matches have gone over 4.5, H2H history (3/4 over 4.5) supports, and Valur's away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches) adds structural Over edge. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate (home GL_5 1.50, away GL_5 1.75 accelerating), further strengthening the Over case. |
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| 26-05-2026 19:15 |
Stjarnan |
- |
Vikingur Reykjavik |
Over 3.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 3.80 (Stjarnan home avg 1.80 scored, 2.00 conceded; Vikingur away avg 3.20 scored, 0.60 conceded) clears 3.5 line. All 3 H2H matches went Over 3.5 (5,5,6 goals). Vikingur away record 3-0-0 with 7 scored/1 conceded; Stjarnan conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 home matches. Quality gap (1st vs 9th) and structural fragility support Over. Bookmaker mispricing mild (GL_5 home 1.25, away 1.40) but direction aligns. |
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| 26-05-2026 21:00 |
CD Olimpia Reserves |
- |
Lobos UPNFM Reserves |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 4.75 (home avg 3.10 scored at home + away avg 2.30 conceded away) dwarfs the 3.25 line. Away team conceded 2+ in all 3 recent away matches, while home scored 4, 3, 9 in recent home wins. Away GL_10 mispricing of 2.43 confirms bookmaker underestimation. Over despite home's mixed home history. |
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| 27-05-2026 16:30 |
Sparta Praha II Women |
- |
Hradec Kralove Women |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.75 (home avg 1.90 home goals + away avg 1.30 conceded away)/2 + (away avg 3.10 away goals + home avg 1.20 conceded home)/2) exceeds the 3.0/3.5 line. Home team's last 4 home matches produced 3 overs (75%) and away team's last 3 away matches had 2 overs (67%). Both teams have accelerating GL_5 mispricing (home 2.10, away 2.35), and away team's strong attack (3.10 avg away goals) against a home defense conceding 1.20 supports overs. |
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