| 21-08-2026 22:00 |
Deportivo Madryn |
- |
Club Atletico Mitre |
Over 1.75 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total 2.20 vs line 1.75 (home scored 1.20/conceded 0.90, away scored 0.90/conceded 1.40). Madryn 6/10 recent matches over 1.75, Mitre 8/10 over; lone H2H had 4 goals. Mutual-opponent total 2.34 and Mitre conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away support Over; raw score 83 capped at 82. |
|
| 21-08-2026 22:00 |
Deportivo Laferrere |
- |
Villa Dalmine |
Over 0.75 First Half Goals |
73% |
First-half expected total is 1.05 (home 0.60 for/0.60 against, away 0.40 for/0.50 against) vs a 0.75 line. Laferrere's last 10 matches have 7 over 0.75 first-half goals and Villa Dalmine's have 6, with no first-half H2H data; home market pricing error GL_5=1.70 adds moderate confidence. Full-time was skipped because Villa Dalmine's full-time over record is only 4/10. |
|
| 22-08-2026 01:15 |
North Sunshine Eagles U23 |
- |
Brunswick City U23 |
Over 1.75 Goals - 1st Half |
75% |
Expected 1st-half total is 2.20 (home 0.70 scored and 1.60 conceded at home HT; away 1.00 scored and 1.10 conceded away HT) vs a 1.75 line, a +0.45 gap. Home are 7/10 and away 6/10 over 1.75 HT goals in last 10, and the H2H first half was 2-0. Away side shows moderate bookmaker mispricing (1.70) and conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away matches. |
|
| 22-08-2026 02:00 |
Canberra Olympic U23 |
- |
Brindabella Blues FC U23 |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
72% |
Expected first-half total is 2.07 vs a 1.5 line (gap +0.57), using home 0.90 scored/0.90 conceded and away 0.67 scored/1.67 conceded averages. Brindabella have gone over 1.5 first-half goals in 5 of 7 recent matches (71%) and conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away games, while Canberra Olympic's GL_5 market pricing error is 2.30. |
|
| 22-08-2026 02:30 |
Green Gully U23 |
- |
St Albans Saints U23 |
Green Gully U23 -0.5 Asian Handicap |
68% |
Green Gully have won 4 of their last 5 home games by 2+ goal margins (4-1, 3-1, 4-0, 3-1), covering -0.5 in 80% of those home matches, while St Albans sit 11th on 30 points vs Green Gully 6th on 39. Against shared opponents Green Gully hold a 7W-0D-2L record with a goals net of +1.44 (3.00 scored vs 1.56 conceded) versus St Albans' 5W-1D-3L and +0.44 net. Goal line markets were skipped because away history contradicts over 3.5 and home under history fails the under threshold. |
|
| 22-08-2026 03:00 |
Juarez FC |
- |
Club America |
Over 2.75 Goals |
81% |
FT expected total 3.30 (Juarez home 1.20 scored/2.60 conceded; Club America away 2.00 scored/0.80 conceded) vs 2.75 line. Juarez 8/10 recent matches over this line, Club America 5/10 over; H2H ended 2-1 and mutual-opponent total is 3.0. Juarez's GL_5 bookmaker mispricing is 1.70; 1st-half over was rejected due away 3/10 first-half overs. |
|
| 22-08-2026 03:00 |
West Torrens Birkalla Women |
- |
Campbelltown City Women |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total is (2.0+1.0)/2 + (2.7+1.6)/2 = 3.65 vs the 3.0/3.5 line; West Torrens home matches are 3/4 over 3.25 and Campbelltown away matches are 5/5 over 3.25. H2H is 2-0 and 3-0 but only a two-match sample, treated neutral; mutual-opponent total 3.82 supports Over and Campbelltown have scored 2+ in all five away matches. Raw score 89% capped to 82% standard ceiling (home GL_5 1.50 moderate). |
|
| 22-08-2026 03:00 |
West Torrens Birkalla Women |
- |
Campbelltown City Women |
Over 3.0 Goals |
76% |
Expected FT total is 3.65 (home scored 2.00, away conceded 1.00, away scored 2.70, home conceded 1.60) vs a 3.0 line, a +0.65 over gap. Away Campbelltown are 7/10 over 3.0 with a 2.70 away scoring average; mutual-opponent total is 3.82; home GL_5 is 1.50 (moderate bookmaker mispricing). H2H has only 2 matches (2-0, 3-0), so it is neutral for the over. |
|
| 22-08-2026 04:00 |
Port Melbourne SC |
- |
Eltham Redbacks |
Eltham Redbacks -2.0 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Standings gap strongly favours 7th-placed Eltham over 13th-placed Port Melbourne (16 points, 6 places), and mutual opponents data gives Eltham a 5/5 stat advantage. Eltham won the only H2H 8-0. Away AH record is weak (3W-2P-5L last 10), so confidence is held at the 65 threshold. |
|
| 22-08-2026 04:00 |
Hume City U23 |
- |
Caroline Springs George Cross U23 |
Caroline Springs George Cross U23 -1.75 Asian Handicap |
66% |
Away side leads by 35 points (50 vs 15) and holds a 4-1 mutual-opponent advantage (goals net 0.0 vs -0.75; shots net +3.0 vs -3.25). Their last-5 AH record is 3W-1V-1L, but current -1.75 margin cover is only 2/10, capping confidence at 66. |
|
| 22-08-2026 04:30 |
Taroona Women |
- |
Launceston City Women |
Over 8.5 Corners |
82% |
Expected corners 9.25 vs line 8.5 (home: 3.70 for/6.10 against, away: 3.30 for/5.40 against). Corner history: Taroona 4/5 last matches over 8.5 (80%), Launceston City 3/5 (60%), H2H split 7/9 corners. Home is -1 AH favourite and mutual opponents show away c_avg_dang_attacks 101.6 vs home 65.6, supporting sustained pressure for Over corners. |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:00 |
Keilor Park Women |
- |
Box Hill Women |
Over 8 Corners |
80% |
Expected corners total 9.5 (home 4.1 for/5.0 against, away 6.3 for/3.6 against) clears the 8.0 line by 1.5. Corner history supports the over: Keilor home games went over 8 corners in 6 of 9 decisive matches (67%), Box Hill in 5 of 8 (63%). Box Hill's away corner output (6.3 per match) against Keilor's high home corner concession (5.0) is a structural over signal. |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:00 |
Avondale FC Women |
- |
Boroondara Eagles Women |
|
67% |
Avondale have won their last 10 Asian Handicap lines (5/5 last 5), with recent margins +1, +4, +3, +3, +2 covering -1 in four of five. Across 8 mutual opponents Avondale lead all five stats (goals net +1.50 vs +0.87, total shots +2.75 vs +0.87, dangerous attacks +16.0 vs +10.6). Standings were unavailable, so this is a 2-of-3 signal Asian Handicap call capped at 67. |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:00 |
Melbourne Victory NPL Women |
- |
Alamein FC Women |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total is 3.35 (A=1.70, B=1.30, C=1.20, D=2.50) vs an effective 2.75 line, a +0.60 gap. Home matches are over 2.5 in 8/10 and away 5/10; mutual-opponent combined average is 3.36, and home GL_5 of 1.90 (accelerating vs 1.65) signals strong bookmaker mispricing toward Overs. Raw score 86% capped to 82% standard ceiling (away history 50%, one H2H neutral). |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:00 |
Dandenong City U23 |
- |
Preston Lions U23 |
Over 4.0 Goals |
79% |
FT expected total is 4.70 (home 1.90 scored/2.70 conceded at home; away 2.30 scored/2.50 conceded away) vs the 4.0 line. Last H2H finished 4-2 (6 goals), mutual-opponent totals average 4.4, and Preston's away defence has conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away matches; away market pricing error is strong (GL_5 2.05). |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:00 |
Modbury Jets Reserves |
- |
Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total = (2.40+1.10)/2 + (2.80+1.80)/2 = 4.05 vs line 3.5; home 4/6 (67%) and away 3/5 (60%) venue-matched overs, mutual opponents total 5.0, H2H neutral. Confidence: 50 base +10 gap +5 home +5 away +0 H2H +5 common +3 likelihood +8 GL home +8 GL away = 94 raw capped at 82 standard ceiling; bookmaker mispricing GL_5 2.05/2.10 strongly aligns Over. |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:00 |
Modbury Jets Reserves |
- |
Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total 4.05 (home 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded at home; away 2.80 scored and 1.10 conceded away) vs line 3.5. Home 6/10 last matches over 3.5, away 4/10; H2H totals 3 and 4 are neutral. Bookmaker mispricing is strong: home GL_5 2.05, away GL_5 2.10, both above 1.8 and accelerating. |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:15 |
Altona Magic |
- |
Avondale |
Avondale -1 Asian Handicap |
66% |
Avondale are 3rd (41 pts) vs Altona Magic 11th (27 pts) and the mutual-opponent comparison favours Avondale across all five stats (total shots +2.4 net, on-target +0.8, dangerous attacks +7.9, goals net -0.8 vs -0.9). The only H2H was Avondale 5-1. Avondale's recent AH record is weak (2W-0V-3L last 5), so confidence is capped at 66% for -1. |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:30 |
West Adelaide Women |
- |
Salisbury Inter Women |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total is 4.00 ((3.00+1.30)/2+(3.10+0.60)/2) against the 3.0/3.5 line; Salisbury away overs are 6/10 on 3.5 and the mutual-opponent goal total is 4.47. West Adelaide have scored 2+ in each of their last 5 matches, Salisbury have conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away games, and home GL_5 bookmaker mispricing is 1.80 (accelerating), all supporting the Over. |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:30 |
Metrostars Reserves Women |
- |
Adelaide Comets Reserves Women |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
FT scoring: base 50% + gap 15% (expected 4.80 vs line 3.5) + common opponents 5% (mutual total 5.84) + likelihood 3% + market pricing error home 8% (GL5 2.05) + away 12% (GL5 3.20) + structural form 3% = 96%, capped at 82% (home 50%/10, away 56%/9 over 3.5; H2H only one 2-1 match, neutral). Home at home scores 2.90 and concedes 1.50; away away scores 4.20 and concedes 1.00, producing 4.80 expected total; home has scored 2+ in last three home matches and away's GL5 3.20 is severe bookmaker mispricing toward overs. |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:30 |
West Adelaide Women |
- |
Salisbury Inter Women |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
FT Over 3.0: A=3.00 home scored, B=1.30 away conceded, C=3.10 away scored, D=0.60 home conceded gives expected total 4.00 vs line 3.0 (+1.00). Away are 6/10 over 3.0 (5,7,4,4,8,4) and home are 8/10 at 3+; mutual opponents total 4.47 and home GL_5 1.80 accelerating align Over. Base 50 +15 gap +5 away hist +5 common opp +2.5 bookmaker mispricing +5 away defensive fragility = 82.5 raw capped to 82; 1H expected 1.90 vs 1.5 but both teams only 4/10 over 1.5, so FT is stronger. |
|
| 22-08-2026 05:30 |
Metrostars Reserves Women |
- |
Adelaide Comets Reserves Women |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total is 4.80 (home scored 2.90 at home, home conceded 1.50 at home; away scored 4.20 away, away conceded 1.00 away) vs the 3.0/3.5 line. Home are 5/10 and away 5/9 over 3.25, H2H has only one match (2-1, neutral); mutual-opponent total is 5.84 and away bookmaker mispricing is severe (GL_5 3.20). Scoring: base 50% +15% gap +0% home history +0% away history +0% H2H +5% common opponents +3% likelihood +6% bookmaker mispricing +3% form momentum = 82%. |
|
| 22-08-2026 06:00 |
Sutherland Sharks |
- |
St George City FA |
Sutherland Sharks -0.25 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Standings gap favours Sutherland (4th, 43 pts vs 9th, 37 pts) and expected goal margin is +0.35 (home 1.50 vs away 1.15). Mutual opponents reinforce the home lean: Sutherland 1.8 goals scored/1.4 conceded vs St George 0.67/1.44, goals NET +0.4 vs -0.77, W5 D2 L3 vs W2 D1 L6. Recent AH cover is mixed at 2 of last 5 for Sutherland at -0.25, so confidence is set at the 65% qualifying floor. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
HK Kopavogur |
- |
Throttur Reykjavik |
HK Kopavogur +0.25 Asian Handicap |
70% |
HK Kopavogur are unbeaten at home in the league (8W-1D-0L, 25 pts) and have covered +0.25 in all 5 recent home matches (2-1, 6-2, 5-1, 2-2, 2-1). Throttur's away form is only 4W-2D-3L, and H2H at this venue shows HK wins of 4-3 and 5-2; mutual opponents also favour HK on goals net (0.9 vs 0.6) and W/D/L (7-1-2 vs 4-2-4). |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Atvidabergs FF |
- |
Angelholm |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total is (2.40+1.90)/2 + (1.50+1.70)/2 = 3.75 vs a 2.5/3.0 line (+1.00 gap); Atvidabergs are 9/10 over 2.75 goals and Angelholm 6/10 over, with the sole H2H also 2-2 (over). Mutual-opponent total is 3.36 (over), Angelholm concede 5.1 shots on target away and show GL_5 bookmaker mispricing of 1.95; away scoring drought (1 goal in last 5) is the main negative. Score: 50 +15 gap +10 home history +5 away history +5 common opponents +4 pricing error -3 drought = 86, capped to 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Motherwell |
- |
Aberdeen |
Motherwell -0.25 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Motherwell are 3rd (4pts) vs 8th (3pts) and venue-matched common-opponent data is one-sided: Motherwell W4-D4-L2 with 1.6 scored/0.8 conceded vs Aberdeen W0-D1-L7 with 0.25 scored/2.0 conceded. Motherwell's recent AH cover rate is the weak spot (1W-1V-3L last 5), but with two of three B6 signals backing the home side this is a marginal 65% play. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
FC Edinburgh |
- |
Annan Athletic |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.40 vs 2.75 (A=1.40, B=2.50, C=1.00, D=1.90). Home 6/10 over, away 7/10 over; H2H 2/3 over (3-0, 2-2, 1-1); away Annan conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (Clyde 4-1, Airdrie 3-0, Gretna 2-4) and bookmaker mispricing GL_5 away 1.90. Scoring: Base 50 + gap 13 + home history 0 (excluded) + away history 8 + H2H 5 + common opponents 0 (excluded) + likelihood 0 (excluded) + GL_5 home 0 + GL_5 away 4 (half adjustment) + structural fragility 5 + form 0 = 85 capped to 82 (standard ceiling). |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Wycombe |
- |
Plymouth |
Over 9.5 Asian Corners |
73% |
Expected corners total is 10.90 (Wycombe 5.70/5.00, Plymouth 5.70/5.40), a 1.4-corner gap over the 9.5 line. Plymouth away matches have gone over 9.5 corners in 7 of 10 (70%), Wycombe in 5 of 10 (50%), and H2H corner totals were 16, 8, 10 (2 of 3 over). The over-first corner bias and clear H2H support drive the Over. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Carrick Rangers |
- |
Coleraine |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total 3.65 vs 3.0 line (Carrick home 2.70 scored/1.10 conceded; Coleraine away 2.10 scored/1.40 conceded). Coleraine are 6/10 over 3.0 away, Carrick 3/10 over 3.0 at home (3 pushes); H2H totals 2,5,4,3. Away defensive fragility (2+ conceded in 3 of last 5 away) plus Carrick home GL_5 2.05 (accelerating mispricing) support Over; raw score 84% capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Dungannon Swifts |
- |
Bangor FC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total is 3.55 (home 1.80 scored / 2.10 conceded; away 1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded) against a 2.75 line. Dungannon are 8/10 over and Bangor 6/10 over, mutual-opponent total is 3.02, and Bangor's away c_avg_on_target is 5.10; H2H is 2 of 3 under but not a veto. Raw score 83% capped at 82%. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Sparta Prague Women |
- |
Slovan Liberec Women |
Over 4.0 Goals |
70% |
Home averages 2.40 goals scored at home and away concedes 2.00 away for a baseline expected total of 3.80, but H2H is 4/4 Over 4.0 (7-0, 5-2, 4-1, 5-0) and mutual-opponent combined goals average 4.36. Shot-based match potential is 7.79 and Slovan conceded 2+ in 3 of 5 away matches (vs Slovacko 2, vs Slavia 3, vs Sparta 7). Confidence: 50 base +5 H2H +5 common opponents +5 quality gap +5 away defensive fragility = 70%. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Folkestone Invicta |
- |
Chelmsford |
Folkestone Invicta +0 (Asian Handicap) |
67% |
Folkestone Invicta sit 8th vs Chelmsford 19th and have covered 4 of their last 5 Asian Handicap lines, while Chelmsford are 0W-2L-3V in that same span. Goal-line signals were only marginal: expected total 2.75 vs a 2.5 line but home over 2.5 at 60% and away at 40%, and 1st-half expected 1.10 vs a 1.0 line with neither side above 40% over 1.0; H2H is empty and mutual opponents are an insufficient 1-game sample, so the +0 handicap is the strongest qualifying angle. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Weston Super Mare |
- |
Dover |
Over 2.5 Goals |
65% |
Expected full-time total is 2.65 (Weston 1.2 scored at home, Dover 1.8 conceded away) vs the 2.5 line. Weston have gone over 2.5 in 60% of recent matches and mutual opponents total 2.6; Dover have conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away games (2-0, 4-0, 2-1, 3-1). H2H is only two matches and split (1-1, 1-2), so no veto. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Braintree Town |
- |
Horsham |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
FT expected goals = (1.20+1.30)/2 + (1.30+2.50)/2 = 3.15 vs 2.5 line (gap +0.65); Braintree 9/10 recent games over 2.5, Horsham 5/10, and Braintree concede 2.50 goals per home game. Horsham conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away and mutual-opponent total 2.625 clears 2.5. Scoring: Base 50 + gap 13 + home 10 + away 0 + H2H 0 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 + GL_5 home 0 + GL_5 away 0 + away fragility 5 - scoring drought 3 = 83, capped at 82 (standard ceiling). |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
South Shields |
- |
Merthyr Town |
South Shields -1.25 Asian Handicap |
65% |
South Shields sit 3rd (6 pts) vs 11th-placed Merthyr Town (3 pts), and against shared opponents the hosts hold a 4-of-5 net-stat advantage (goals +1.1 vs +0.7, shots +8.1 vs +1.1, on-target +5.0 vs +1.2). Home AH record is 4-0-1 across the last five, supporting -1.25, though only 1 of South Shields' last 5 matches was won by 2+ goals, keeping confidence at 65; goal-line markets failed history thresholds (FT expected 2.95 vs 3.25, HT expected 1.30 vs 1.5). |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Harborough Town |
- |
Darlington 1883 |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total 3.40 vs 2.75 line (+0.65 gap: A=2.00, B=1.90, C=1.70, D=1.20). Harborough 6/10 and Darlington 7/10 last-10 matches went over 2.75; Darlington conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away and allow 5.90 on-target per away game. H2H empty/mutual opponents g<2 neutral; raw 83 (base 50 + gap 10 + home history 5 + away history 8 + GL_5 home 5 + defensive fragility 5) capped at 82 standard. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Worksop |
- |
Hereford FC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time goals 3.10 (Worksop home 2.2 scored/1.0 conceded; Hereford away 1.6 scored/1.4 conceded) vs line 2.75. Worksop are over 2.75 in 6 of last 10 (60%) and Hereford in 8 of last 10 (80%); H2H results 2-3 and 2-1 both over. Mutual-opponent total clears line (3.04) and Hereford's away defence is fragile (conceded 2+ in 5 of last 5 away, mutual away c_avg_on_target 5.22). Confidence 82% (base 50% + gap 7% + home history 5% + away history 10% + H2H 0% + common opponents 5% + likelihood 0% + GL_5 home 0% + GL_5 away 0% + structural away fragility 5% + form momentum 0%). |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Laci |
- |
Af Elbasani |
Over 2.0 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total is 2.70 (A=2.00, B=1.30, C=1.50, D=0.60) vs a 2.0 line, gap +0.70; shot-based match potential 5.91 agrees. Laci FT history is 5 Overs/3 Unders/2 pushes over 2.0 (62.5% of decided), while Af Elbasani is 9 Overs/0 Unders/1 push (100% of decided); H2H and mutual opponents are empty/neutral; home form surge scored 2+ in each of last 3 home matches (2-0 Pogradeci, 3-1 Burreli, 2-1 Apolonia). Confidence: Base 50% + gap 14% + home history 5% + away history 10% + H2H 0% + common opponents 0% + likelihood 3% + GL5 home 0% + GL5 away 0% + structural 3% = 85% raw, capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Real Bedford |
- |
Stratford Town |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
70% |
Expected total is 3.45 ((2.80+1.10)/2 + (1.10+1.90)/2) against a 3.0/3.5 line. Real Bedford have gone over 3.5 in 8 of their last 10 (80%), and their GL_5 market pricing error is 3.05, severe and accelerating. H2H is 1-0 and 2-3, so no veto, and Stratford's winless away form adds structural over support. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Leek Town |
- |
Bamber Bridge |
Over 1.0 Goals - 1st Half |
68% |
Expected first-half total is 1.30 ((0.90+0.90)/2 + (0.40+0.40)/2) against a 1.0 line. Leek have produced 2+ first-half goals in 4 of 7 home matches (5 of 7 scored first-half) and Bamber have conceded first-half goals in all 3 away matches with 2 of 3 over 1.0; the April H2H was 3-2 with a 1-1 first half. Bamber's away GL_5 is 1.70 (accelerating vs 1.28 GL_10), and they conceded 2+ goals in five straight away matches. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
FC United of Manchester |
- |
Workington |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected goals are (1.10+2.00)/2 + (1.30+1.80)/2 = 3.10 vs a 2.5 line (+0.60). FC United are 4/6 over 2.5 at home (67%) and Workington are 4/5 over 2.5 away (80%), having conceded 2+ in all five away games; away GL_5 is 1.55 (moderate bookmaker mispricing, accelerating). H2H is only two matches (2-2, 0-0) so neutral; raw score 87 after -3 for home scoring drought, capped at 82. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Curzon Ashton |
- |
Guiseley |
Over 2.5 Goals |
75% |
Expected full-time total is 3.20 vs line 2.5 (home 1.5 scored/2.1 conceded at home, away 1.8 scored/1.0 conceded away), a +0.70 gap. Curzon are 7/10 over 2.5 and Guiseley 5/10; H2H is empty and mutual opponents have g<2 so neutral. The first-half signal (expected 1.50 vs 1.0) is weaker because both teams' first-half over records are only around 50%, so FT Over 2.5 is the stronger bet. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Ramsgate |
- |
St Albans |
Over 1.0,1.5 First Half Goals |
70% |
Expected 1st-half total is 1.35 goals (Ramsgate home: 0.50 scored / 0.80 conceded, St Albans away: 0.80 scored / 0.60 conceded) against a 1.25 split line. Home HT history is 100% over (2/2) and away HT history is 67% over (4/6), with the lone H2H HT 0-0 neutral sample. St Albans' goal-line market pricing error is 1.60 and accelerating, adding edge to the over. |
|
| 22-08-2026 14:00 |
Whitehawk |
- |
Chatham Town |
Over 1.0 First Half Goals |
65% |
Expected first-half total is 1.80 vs the 1.0 line (gap +0.80): Whitehawk concede 1.50 first-half goals at home and Chatham concede 1.00 first-half away, with scoring averages 0.60/0.50 adding to the over. Confidence: base 50% + gap from line +15% = 65%; recent 1H history is mixed (Whitehawk 3/7 over, Chatham 3/6 over), H2H is empty, and GL_5 pricing error is mild at 1.20/1.15. |
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