| 23-05-2026 09:00 |
Madura United |
- |
PSM Makassar |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total calculated as (home avg 1.30 + away conceded 1.90)/2 + (away avg 1.40 + home conceded 1.80)/2 = 3.20 goals, 0.45 above the 2.75 line. Madura United have 8/10 (80%) and PSM Makassar 7/9 (78%) of recent matches going Over 2.75. Structurally, PSM have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures, and both teams need points in the final relegation-affected round. Market pricing error is low (GL_5 < 1.0 for both), but the strong expected total and history support the Over. |
|
| 23-05-2026 09:15 |
St George City FA |
- |
Manly Utd |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 2.95 goals based on home avg 1.10 and conceded 2.00 vs away avg 1.30 and conceded 1.50. St George City FA have 71% of home matches over 2.5, Manly Utd have 75% of away matches over 2.5. Both teams are near the relegation zone, needing points, suggesting an open game. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (home GL_5=1.15). |
|
| 23-05-2026 09:30 |
JK Tallinna Kalev II |
- |
FC Levadia Tallinn U19 |
Over 4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.55 (home avg 1.60 scored, 2.80 conceded; away avg 1.60 scored, 3.10 conceded) exceeds the 4.0 line by 0.55. Home team's home matches have 60% over 4.0 (3/5) and away team's away matches have 80% over 4.0 (4/5). H2H produced 5 goals. Away team's GL_5 of 2.00 signals strong bookmaker mispricing, and home team's defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in every home match) reinforces the Over. Confidence capped at 82% standard tier. |
|
| 23-05-2026 10:00 |
UKS SMS Lodz Women |
- |
GKS Katowice Women |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.50 (home avg 1.60 + away conceded 1.20)/2 + (away avg 2.60 + home conceded 1.60)/2 = 3.50, well above the 2.75 line. Last 5 home matches for UKS SMS Lodz: 3 of 5 Over (60%); last 6 away matches for GKS Katowice: 4 of 6 Over (66.7%). H2H match ended 2-1 (3 goals, Over). Away team's GL_5 of 1.90 (accelerating from 1.58) indicates significant bookmaker mispricing, supporting an Over bet. |
|
| 23-05-2026 10:00 |
Chungbuk Cheongju |
- |
Hwaseong FC |
Over 0.75 1st Half Goals |
81% |
Expected 1st half total 0.95 (based on home HT avg 0.40 + away HT conceded avg 0.70 and away HT avg 0.50 + home HT conceded avg 0.30) exceeds the 0.75 line by 0.20 goals. Match history shows 7/10 (70%) of Chungbuk Cheongju matches and 8/10 (80%) of Hwaseong FC matches have gone over 0.75 in the first half. Hwaseong's two recent away matches both had 1st half totals over 0.75, supporting the Over. The quality gap (Hwaseong 5th, Chungbuk 15th) adds further confidence. |
|
| 23-05-2026 10:00 |
VJS Vantaa |
- |
KPV |
Over 3.5,4.0 Goals |
80% |
Expected total of 3.80 goals (home avg 1.70 + away conceded avg 3.20 over 2 + away avg 1.20 + home conceded avg 1.50 over 2) exceeds the 3.75 line, supported by KPV's away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 league away) and VJS's home scoring. KPV away matches have 83% Over (5/6) and VJS home matches 50% Over, while strong bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 2.45, away 1.65) adds edge. |
|
| 23-05-2026 10:00 |
FC Metalist Kharkiv |
- |
UCSA |
Over 2.0 Goals (Full-time, split line 2.0/2.5) |
74% |
Expected total 2.25 from home/away averages (Metalist home 0.90+UCSA away conceded 1.40=2.30/2=1.15 + UCSA away scored 1.00+Metalist home conceded 1.20=2.20/2=1.10). Metalist home matches: 7/10 (70%) over 2 goals. UCSA all matches: 5/7 (71%) over 2 goals. H2H match produced 3 goals. Bookmaker split line 2.0/2.5 at 2.025 reflects slight over edge. Likelihood for over 2.5 at 50% but actual expected total above 2.0 supports over. |
|
| 23-05-2026 10:00 |
PFC Oleksandria |
- |
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals calculated as 3.45 (home avg 0.90 at home + away conceded 1.70 away)/2 plus (away scored 2.00 away + home conceded 2.30 at home)/2, well above the 2.5 line. Shot-based match potential of 6.22 also strongly supports Over. Home team Oleksandria saw 4 of 5 home matches (80%) go Over 2.5, and the only H2H ended 3-0. Away team Kryvbas has severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5=2.90, accelerating), adding substantial edge to the Over. Structural concerns from Oleksandria's scoring drought (1 goal in 5 home games) reduce confidence, but the overall case remains strong at 82% confidence. |
|
| 23-05-2026 10:00 |
Saku Sporting Women |
- |
Paide Linnanaiskond Women |
Over 4.0 Goals |
76% |
Expected total of 4.54 goals (home 2.2 scored/2.2 conceded at home, away 3.0 scored/1.67 conceded away) exceeds the 4.0 line. Both H2H matches produced 5 goals, and away team has 66.7% of recent matches over 4.0. Home team's high GL_5 of 2.10 indicates significant bookmaker mispricing, strengthening the Over pick. |
|
| 23-05-2026 11:00 |
HJK Women |
- |
PK-35 Vantaa Women |
Over 1.75 Goals (1st Half) |
70% |
Expected 1st half goals 2.05 (HJK home HT avg 0.80 scored + 0.50 conceded; PK-35 away HT avg 1.50 scored + 1.30 conceded) exceed the 1.75 line. HJK saw 67% (4/6) home 1st halves over 1.75, PK-35 80% (4/5) away 1st halves over 1.75. Away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 4/5 away matches) and PK-35's high goal variance (GL_5=2.00) support Over despite H2H slightly underwhelming. Over-first philosophy applied. |
|
| 23-05-2026 11:00 |
Grei |
- |
KFUM 2 |
Over 3.5,4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals of 4.35 (Grei home avg 2.1 scored, 2.4 conceded; KFUM 2 away avg 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded) exceeds the 3.75 line by 0.6 goals. Grei's last 3 home matches all cleared 4 goals (8,5,7), and KFUM 2 have conceded 2+ in all 3 away games (4,2,6), while bookmaker mispricing is severe (home GL5 2.00, away 2.20) confirming consistent underestimation of totals. |
|
| 23-05-2026 11:00 |
IF Ready |
- |
Baerum |
Over 3.5,4.0 Goals |
75% |
Expected total of 4.10 goals (home avg 2.30 scored/1.30 conceded, away avg 2.40 scored/2.20 conceded) exceeds the 3.75 line. Away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away) and home scoring momentum (2+ in last 3 home) support Over. Bookmaker mispricing is accelerating (both teams GL_5=1.75>GL_10=1.65), indicating the line is too low. |
|
| 23-05-2026 11:00 |
Frigg |
- |
Nordstrand |
Over 3.75 Goals |
81% |
Expected total is 4.30 goals (Frigg home avg 2.70, Nordstrand away concede 2.30; Nordstrand away avg 1.50, Frigg home concede 2.10). Frigg home matches are 75% Over 3.75 (3 of 4). Nordstrand have conceded 2+ goals in all 3 away matches. Home team has moderate market mispricing (GL_5 1.50), supporting Over. H2H sample too small to override. Structural signals (away defensive fragility) and gap of 0.55 goals from line give 81% confidence. |
|
| 23-05-2026 11:00 |
Shanghai Port |
- |
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers |
Over 2.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total goals of 3.05 (home avg 1.50 + away avg 1.70) exceeds the 2.5 line by 0.55 goals. Shanghai Port have 60% Over in their last 10, and Tianjin have 70% Over, with both teams showing 60%+ agreement. The quality gap (11th vs 16th) and Tianjin's away defensive vulnerabilities support the Over, while SHP's mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5: 1.20) adds marginal edge. |
|
| 23-05-2026 11:00 |
FK Minija |
- |
FK Tauras |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.65 goals (Minija 3.60 at home + Tauras 1.40 conceded away, averaged) far exceeds the 2.75 line, with all 10 of Minija's recent matches going Over 2.5 and 6 of Tauras' 10 also Over. Additionally, Minija's goal line variance (GL_5=2.00, accelerating from GL_10=1.53) shows severe bookmaker mispricing, and Minija's dominant home form (5 wins, 15 goals scored, 3 conceded) provides structural over support. |
|
| 23-05-2026 11:00 |
Pattani FC |
- |
Nong Bua Pitchaya |
Over 3.0 Goals |
76% |
Expected total goals of 3.80 (Pattani's 2.10 home scored and 1.20 conceded vs Nong Bua's 2.00 away scored and 2.30 conceded) is 0.80 above the 3.0 line, with the shot-based match potential also supporting (3.78). Nong Bua's goal line mispricing is high and accelerating (GL_5 1.90 vs GL_10 1.68), showing the market consistently underestimates goals in their matches. Structural factors strengthen the Over: Pattani scored 2+ in 4 of their last 5 home games, Nong Bua's away defence concedes freely (2.30 avg), and both teams are in a tight promotion playoff race, incentivising open play. |
|
| 23-05-2026 11:15 |
Suduva Marijampole |
- |
FK Kauno Zalgiris |
Over 2.25 Goals |
74% |
Expected total 2.90 (home scoring 1.60, conceding 1.10; away scoring 2.30, conceding 0.80) exceeds the line of 2.25 by 0.65. Kauno Zalgiris have 80% of recent away matches over 3 goals, while home side Suduva at home only 40% – but Kauno's league-leading attack (2.3 avg away) and accelerating bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.55, greater than GL_10 1.18) support Over despite H2H contradicting (75% under, but justified by structural quality gap and away form surge). |
|
| 23-05-2026 11:30 |
Stjørdals/Blink |
- |
Kjelsås |
Over 3.0 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 3.65 (home avg 1.1 scored, 2.5 conceded; away avg 2.7 scored, 1.0 conceded) well above 3.0 line. Away team Kjelsås scored 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches and top of table, while Stjørdals bottom with leaky defence. Away team GL_5 mispricing at 1.70 (accelerating) adds edge. Match potential 6.61 also supports over. |
|
| 23-05-2026 11:30 |
Foshan Nanshi |
- |
Dingnan Jiangxi United |
Over 0.75 Goals (1st Half) |
70% |
Expected 1st half total 1.00 (home avg 0.40 scored + 0.60 conceded, away avg 0.50 scored + 0.50 conceded) exceeds the 0.75 line. Home team (Foshan Nanshi) has 3/5 recent matches over 0.75 in the first half, away team (Dingnan Jiangxi United) has 4/5, both showing consistent early scoring. With no strong Under signals and away team's moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.55) supporting the Over direction, the 1st half Over offers clear value. |
|
| 23-05-2026 11:30 |
Guangxi Hengchen |
- |
Nantong Zhiyun |
Over 0.5,1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
68% |
Expected 1st half total of 0.80 goals (home HT avg 0.80 + away HT conceded avg 0.30) exceeds the 0.75 line. Home team has gone Over 0.75 HT in all 5 recent matches (100%), and away team in 3 of 5 (60%). Home scores in 60% of HTs, while away concedes early (40% of goals in first 15 min). Away team's GL_5 of 1.60 signals bookmaker underestimation of goals, supporting the Over. Combined, the evidence favors an Over 1st half bet. |
|
| 23-05-2026 11:30 |
Westerlo Women |
- |
Gent Women |
Over 2.75 Goals |
80% |
Expected total is 3.20 goals (home avg 0.90, away conceded away 1.60, away avg 1.20, home conceded at home 2.70) vs line 2.75, a gap of 0.45. Westerlo Women have seen Over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 matches (70%), while Gent Women have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches (60%). Bookmaker mispricing is moderate for Gent (GL_5: 1.55, accelerating), adding edge to the Over. Match potential (shot-based) also projects 4.29 goals, strongly supporting an Over outcome. |
|
| 23-05-2026 11:30 |
Sigma Olomouc Women |
- |
Ceske Budejovice Women |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 4.65 goals (home avg 1.40 + away conceded 2.20 averaged with away avg 2.00 + home conceded 3.70) far exceeds the 3.25 line. Both teams show strong Over history: home 3/5 (60%) and away 4/5 (80%) of recent matches cleared 3.25. Structural signal: away Ceske Budejovice conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5. Market pricing error is severe for home (GL_5=2.90) and moderate for away (GL_5=1.80), both directionally aligned with Over, adding edge. |
|
| 23-05-2026 12:00 |
Mjondalen |
- |
Sandviken |
Over 2.5 Goals |
77% |
Expected total 3.05 goals (home avg 1.80 + away conceded 1.30 /2 + away avg 1.40 + home conceded 1.60 /2) exceeds the 2.75 line. Mjondalen's last 10 matches have 70% Over 2.5 (7/10), and they have scored 2+ in each of their last 3 home games. Sandviken's GL_5 of 2.65 indicates strong bookmaker mispricing in favour of goals. Match potential (shot-based) also strongly supports an over. Confidence 77%. |
|
| 23-05-2026 12:00 |
Skeid |
- |
Follo |
Over 3.0 Goals |
74% |
Expected total goals 3.40 calculated from Skeid's home avg 1.60 and Follo's away conceded avg 2.50, plus Follo's away avg 1.10 and Skeid's home conceded avg 1.60, exceeds the line of 3.0. Follo's away matches show 75% Over 3.0 (4 of last 5 non-push) and they conceded 2+ in 4 of those 5, indicating defensive fragility. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (Skeid GL_5 1.25, Follo GL_5 1.40) but directionally supports Over. |
|
| 23-05-2026 12:00 |
FK Atmosfera |
- |
FK Garliava |
FK Garliava +0 (Asian Handicap) |
68% |
FK Garliava sits 4th (17 pts, GD +8) vs FK Atmosfera 7th (13 pts, GD +5) and has a superior Asian Handicap record (3/5 wins last 5, 6/10 last 10). Recent form shows 4 covers in last 5 matches (80% win/draw rate), while Atmosfera managed only 1 cover in last 5 home AH bets. No H2H data to counter. Goal line and corner markets lacked 60%+ historical Over support, making this the only qualifying bet with 68% confidence. |
|
| 23-05-2026 12:00 |
Banik Ostrava B |
- |
Sparta Prague B |
Under 1.5 Goals 1st Half |
81% |
Expected 1st half goals are only 1.05, well below the 1.25 line, and both teams show chronic first-half scoring droughts: Banik Ostrava B failed to score in 3 of their last 5 home halves, while Sparta Prague B failed to score in all 5 of their last halves. Moreover, 70% of Banik Ostrava's recent matches and 90% of Sparta Prague's matches have gone Under 1.5 in the first half, giving a strong structural under signal. |
|
| 23-05-2026 12:00 |
Viktoria Zizkov |
- |
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz |
Over 2.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total goals is 2.90 (home avg 1.30 + away conceded avg 0.80 over 2, plus away avg 1.60 + home conceded 2.10 over 2). Viktoria Zizkov have gone Over 2.5 in all 4 home matches this season (100%), and H2H supports with a 3-1 result. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (away GL_5 1.45), but the structural Over signal is strong due to home team's high-scoring home record. |
|
| 23-05-2026 12:00 |
MFK Chrudim |
- |
SK Artis Brno |
Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
81% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.0 goals (home HT avg 0.60, away HT avg 0.50, adjusted for conceded) versus the 1.25 line. Both teams have 70% of their last 10 1st halves going Under 1.25 (Chrudim 7/10, Artis 7/10). H2H 1st halves both 0-0. Structurally, Chrudim failed to score in 1st half in 3 of last 5 home matches, and both sides average low HT scoring. Combined signals yield 81% confidence. |
|
| 23-05-2026 12:00 |
Frem |
- |
Holbæk |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.65 (home avg 2.0 conceded 1.8, away avg 2.3 conceded 1.2) well above line 2.75. Home history 70% over (7/10), away 50% over (5/10). Match potential 4.33 from shot data supports over. Bookmaker mispricing moderate (home GL_5=1.65, away GL_5=1.70) adds edge. H2H neutral (1 over, 1 under). Over-first philosophy confirms strong Over bet. |
|
| 23-05-2026 12:00 |
Sparta Praha II Women |
- |
Hradec Kralove Women |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.75 (home avg 1.90 home goals + away avg 1.30 conceded away)/2 + (away avg 3.10 away goals + home avg 1.20 conceded home)/2) exceeds the 3.0/3.5 line. Home team's last 4 home matches produced 3 overs (75%) and away team's last 3 away matches had 2 overs (67%). Both teams have accelerating GL_5 mispricing (home 2.10, away 2.35), and away team's strong attack (3.10 avg away goals) against a home defense conceding 1.20 supports overs. |
|
| 23-05-2026 13:00 |
Magesi FC |
- |
Richards Bay FC |
Over 1.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 2.25 goals (home avg 1.10 scored + away avg 1.00 conceded away, away avg 0.90 scored + home avg 1.50 conceded home) well exceeds the 1.5 line. Both teams show 60% Over 1.5 in recent matches, and Magesi's severe goal-line mispricing (GL_5=2.40) signals the bookmaker consistently underestimates goals. Magesi's leaky defense (1.5 conceded avg at home) and Richards Bay's decent away scoring (0.9 avg) further support an open game. |
|
| 23-05-2026 13:00 |
Nordic United FC |
- |
IK Brage |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 4.05 (home avg 2.80 at home + away avg conceded 1.80 away averaged with away avg scored 1.60 + home avg conceded 1.90) comfortably above the 2.75 line. Home team has 4/4 home matches over 2.5 (100%), and away team 3/5 away over (60%), with both sides showing strong attacking records. High market pricing error (home GL_5 1.80, away 1.75) indicates the bookmaker consistently underestimates goals in this matchup, supporting an Over bet. |
|
| 23-05-2026 13:00 |
IK Oddevold |
- |
Ostersunds FK |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.35 goals (home 1.9 avg at home + away 1.3 conceded away averaged with away 1.6 scored away + home 1.9 conceded at home) far exceeds the 2.5 line. Oddevold has seen Over 2.5 in 9 of their last 10 matches (90%), Ostersunds in 6 of their last 8 league matches (75%). Away GL_5 of 1.90 signals accelerating bookmaker mispricing in Ostersunds games, aligning with this Over. Structural signals (both teams score consistently, no defensive strength) support a high-scoring game. |
|
| 23-05-2026 13:00 |
Kluczevia Stargard |
- |
Polonia Sroda Wlkp |
Under 1.0,1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
75% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.25 (home 0.60+0.60 + away 0.90+0.40 averaged). Kluczevia's home 1st half history shows 0% of matches over 1.25 (all 5 home matches had ≤1 goal). Polonia's away 1st half history shows 80% under 1.25, and they failed to score in the 1st half in 4 of their last 5 away matches, providing a strong structural under signal. No compelling over signals exist. |
|
| 23-05-2026 13:00 |
Johor Darul Takzim |
- |
Kuching City FC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
66% |
Expected full-time goals of 2.90 (home avg 2.50 at home, away concede 0.70 away, away avg 1.70 away, home concede 0.90 at home) slightly exceed the 2.75 line. Home team's match history shows 70% Over (7/10), but away only 40% Over, though structural quality gap (JDT 1st, Kuching 2nd) and home dominance (65 goals in 12 home matches) support Over. H2H is neutral (2 Over, 2 Under). Despite mild bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.30), the combined factors yield 66% confidence. |
|
| 23-05-2026 13:00 |
Dynamic Herb Cebu FC |
- |
Davao Aguilas FC |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total calculated at 3.80 (Cebu home avg 2.30 + Davao away conceded 1.90 averaged, plus Davao away scored 1.50 + Cebu home conceded 1.90 averaged). Both teams show 60% of recent matches exceeding the 3.0 line (6/10 Cebu home, 3/5 Davao away). Davao's away defensive fragility is clear, conceding 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away. Market mispricing is moderate (home GL_5 1.35, away 1.45), and the expected total exceeds the line by 0.80 goals, supporting the Over. |
|
| 23-05-2026 13:00 |
Diamond Harbour FC |
- |
Shillong Lajong FC |
Over 3.0 Goals |
79% |
Expected total 3.50 (home avg 2.70 + away conceded 0.80 = 3.50/2=1.75; away avg 2.10 + home conceded 1.40 = 3.50/2=1.75) exceeds the 3.0 line by 0.5 goals. Match potential (shot-based) at 6.31 strongly supports overs. Bookmaker mispricing is severe: Shillong Lajong GL_5 is 2.40 (accelerating from 1.70) and Diamond Harbour GL_5 is 2.05 (accelerating from 2.00), both indicating consistent underestimation of goals. Despite recent match history showing only 40% (home) and 30% (away) over 3.0, the structural quality gap and high variance outweigh the historical trend. |
|
| 23-05-2026 13:00 |
Police WFC Women |
- |
Rayon Sports Women |
Under 1 Goal (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half goals are 1.40, but home Police WFC have scored in only 2/10 home 1st halves (20%) and away Rayon Sports in 3/10 away 1st halves (30%); 80% of home and 90% of away matches stayed under 1 goal in the 1st half. Both H2H matches had 0-0 first halves, reinforcing the low-scoring pattern. Confidence 82% driven by strong historical under rates and a gap from the line. |
|
| 23-05-2026 13:30 |
Amsterdamsche FC |
- |
HHC Hardenberg |
Over 9.5 Asian Corners |
68% |
Expected total corners (10.25) calculated from home avg 5.10 + conceded 5.00, away avg 5.20 + conceded 5.20 exceeds line 9.5 by 0.75. Both teams have 60% over 9.5 in last 10 matches (home 6/10, away 6/10), supporting the Over. No strong structural signals against. Confidence 68% meets threshold. |
|
| 23-05-2026 13:30 |
Kozakken Boys |
- |
Quick Boys |
Over 3.0 Goals |
78% |
Expected total of 3.75 goals (Kozakken Boys average 1.60 at home, Quick Boys average 2.60 away, home concede 1.90, away concede 1.40) exceeds the 3.0 line by 0.75. Quick Boys have strong away scoring (2.6 avg) and a clear quality gap as league leaders (1st vs 9th). Kozakken concede 1.90 at home, and their home GL_5 of 1.60 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing on goal totals. Only 1 H2H match (1-1) but directional signals align for Over. |
|
| 23-05-2026 13:30 |
De Treffers |
- |
HSV Hoek |
Over 3.25 Goals |
80% |
Expected total of 3.50 goals (De Treffers 2.50 at home + HSV Hoek 1.40 conceded away averaged with Hoek 2.20 away + Treffers 0.90 conceded at home) and shot-based match potential of 3.70 both exceed the 3.25 line. HSV Hoek's away matches have 80% Over (4/5 clear). Both teams are level on points in a title-deciding round, ensuring attacking intent. Bookmaker mispricing is severe: De Treffers' GL_5 is 2.70 (accelerating from 1.90) and Hoek's GL_5 is 1.60 (accelerating from 1.18), both supporting the Over side. |
|
| 23-05-2026 13:30 |
Ferencvarosi TC Women |
- |
Puskas FC Women |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals is 4.40 based on Ferencvarosi's home average of 3.80 scored and 0.40 conceded combined with Puskas away averages of 3.90 scored and 0.70 conceded, far exceeding the 3.0 line. Both teams have high historical Over rates (Ferencvarosi 62.5% in their last 10, Puskas 71.4% in their last 9 non-push matches), and H2H shows 2 of 3 matches finishing Over 3.0. Additionally, strong bookmaker mispricing exists with home GL_5 error of 2.15 and away GL_5 error of 2.95, both accelerating, adding further edge to the Over. |
|
| 23-05-2026 14:00 |
Grotta Seltjarnarnes |
- |
IF Vestri |
Over 3.0 Goals |
72% |
Expected full-time goals of 3.70 (home avg 1.80 + away conceded 2.80 averaged with away scored 1.40 + home conceded 1.40) clear the line of 3.0 by 0.70. IF Vestri's away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 4 of last 6 away matches) and the recent H2H (0-4, 4 goals) support an Over, while home Grotta's consistent 1-goal home scoring limits under potential. Market mispricing is mild (GL_5 home 1.35, away 1.25), so no extra edge, but the structural over signal is sufficient for a 72% confidence. |
|
| 23-05-2026 14:00 |
CK Troszyn |
- |
LKS Lomza |
Over 3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 3.30 (home avg 2.30 at home + away avg 2.40 away, adjusted for conceding) vs line 3.0 provides a +0.30 gap. Home team scored 2+ in all last 3 home matches and away team conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (defensive fragility). H2H (1 match: 5 goals) supports Over. Despite away team's away record only 40% Over, home history at 60% and structural signals push confidence to 68%. |
|
| 23-05-2026 14:00 |
Bohemians Dublin Women |
- |
Waterford FC Women |
Over 3.0 Goals |
66% |
Expected full-time total goals is 3.50 (home avg 1.40 + away conceded 2.50 averaged with away avg 0.90 + home conceded 2.20 = 3.50), exceeding the line of 3.0 by 0.50. Bohemians have severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.20), indicating consistent underestimation of goal totals in their matches. While recent match history shows low Over rates, the shot-based match potential (4.86) and structural defensive fragility of Waterford away (conceding 2.5 per game) favor Over. The H2H split is neutral (2 matches, 1 push, 1 under). |
|
| 23-05-2026 14:00 |
Shamrock Rovers Women |
- |
DLR Waves Women |
Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
74% |
Expected 1st half goals of 1.25 (home HT avg 1.00 + away conceded HT avg 0.60; away HT avg 0.50 + home conceded HT avg 0.40) sit below the 1.5 line. Shamrock Rovers Women's recent home 1st half record shows 3 of 4 matches under 1.5 goals, while DLR Waves Women's away 1st half record is 2 of 2 under. Bookmaker mispricing is not a factor (GL_5 home 2.05 but direction not aligned). Combined historical and expected-value alignment gives a 74% confidence for the under. |
|
| 23-05-2026 14:00 |
Utsiktens BK |
- |
Trelleborgs FF |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.70 (home avg 1.00 + away conceded 1.30)/2 + (away avg 2.20 + home conceded 2.90)/2 exceeds the 3.25 line by 0.45. Both teams show 62.5% of recent matches going over 3.5 goals. Utsiktens have conceded 2+ in all 8 competitive home matches, and the quality gap (1st vs 16th) favors open play. Home GL_5 of 1.65 indicates accelerating bookmaker mispricing on the over side. |
|
| 23-05-2026 14:00 |
Valletta |
- |
Gzira United |
Over 2.25 Goals |
66% |
Valletta average 1.50 goals at home, Gzira concede 1.10 away, giving expected total 2.55 vs line 2.25. Shot-based expected goals of 4.76 from 36 total shots and 7.57 average shot ratio strongly supports Over. Gzira's last 10 matches show 60% Over, Valletta 50% (both at least 50%). Quality gap (Valletta 3rd vs Gzira bottom half) and home form (3 of last 5 home with 2+ goals) add confidence. H2H has 2 of 3 Under but only 67% contradiction, not enough to override. Market pricing error is low (GL_5 home 0.75, away 0.80). Confidence 66% meets threshold. |
|
| 23-05-2026 14:00 |
Lecco U19 |
- |
Albinoleffe U19 |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
73% |
Expected full-time goals 3.70 (Lecco 2.10 at home + Albinoleffe 1.20 conceded away averaged with Albinoleffe 2.10 away + Lecco 2.00 conceded home) exceed the 3.25 line by 0.45. Lecco have gone over 3.5 in 4/6 home matches (67%) and Albinoleffe in 3/5 away (60%). Likelihood data shows 80% chance of over 2.5 and both teams score in 70% of matches. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate with GL_5 1.40 for both teams but accelerating for Albinoleffe. Lecco's home strength (2nd in table, scored in all 6 home matches) adds structural support for an open game. |
|
| 23-05-2026 14:10 |
Emirates Club RAK |
- |
Al Hamriyah |
Over 3.0, 3.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected full-time goals of 3.50 (home avg 1.60 at home, away conceded away avg 1.10; away avg 2.50 away, home conceded home avg 1.80) exceed the 3.0/3.5 line. Al Hamriyah's away matches are 60% Over (3 of 5) and their GL_5 of 2.15 indicates strong bookmaker mispricing aligned with the Over direction. H2H is neutral (1 match 0-0), and likelihood data shows 55% probability for Over 3.5. Combined confidence 71%. |
|
| 23-05-2026 14:10 |
Al Fujairah |
- |
Al Dahra FC |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 3.65 (home avg 1.70 + away conceded 2.40, away avg 1.40 + home conceded 1.80) exceeds line 3.25. Away team conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches (defensive fragility). Home team's GL_5 of 2.35 indicates severe bookmaker mispricing for Over. H2H (2 matches) neutral. Combined signals point to Over. |
|
| 23-05-2026 14:10 |
Dubai United |
- |
Al Ittifaq Dubai |
Over 9 Asian Corners |
82% |
Expected corners total is 10.15, well above the 9.0 line, with home (70%) and away (60%) both showing strong Over trends. Dubai United (1st) vs Al Ittifaq (13th) creates a clear quality gap, driving sustained attacking pressure and corner opportunities. Away team's severe corner variance (GL_5 4.00) confirms persistent bookmaker mispricing in this market. |
|
| 23-05-2026 15:00 |
GKS Belchatow |
- |
Jagiellonia Bialystok II |
Over 3.0 Goals |
65% |
Expected total 3.05 (Belchatow home avg 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded; Jagiellonia away avg 1.5 scored, 1.4 conceded) just above the 3.0 line. Both teams show moderate bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.70 accelerating, away GL_5 1.65) aligning with Over. Home team's defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 home) adds structural support. Despite mixed match history (40% Over for Belchatow, 44% for Jagiellonia), the variance and defensive trend favor Over at 65% confidence. |
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| 23-05-2026 15:00 |
SV Lebring |
- |
SV Wildon |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.00 (home 2.00 at home + away 1.70 conceded, away 1.90 away + home 2.40 conceded) exceeds line 3.25 by 0.75. Home (60%) and away (67%) match history Over the line. Strong home mispricing (GL_5=2.55, accelerating) adds edge. Only one H2H (3-0 Under) but neutral sample. Likelihood supports Over with 80% Over 2.5. Confidence capped at 82% (elevated ceiling not met: away history <70%). |
|
| 23-05-2026 15:00 |
Falkenbergs FF |
- |
IFK Varnamo |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.25 goals (home avg 1.60 scored, 1.40 conceded; away avg 1.50 scored, 2.00 conceded away) exceeds the 2.75 line by 0.5. Both teams show strong Over history: Falkenbergs 70% and Varnamo 80% of recent matches went over 2.75. Away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away) and severe bookmaker mispricing (Varnamo GL_5 = 1.95, accelerating) further strengthen the Over case. |
|
| 23-05-2026 15:25 |
Samail |
- |
Bahla |
Over 1.0 1st Half Goals |
70% |
1st half expected total 1.55 (Samail avg 0.60 HT goals at home, Bahla concedes 1.00 HT away, plus away scores 0.50 HT and home concedes 1.00 HT) is 0.55 above the 1.0 line. Both teams have 60% of their last 10 matches in this role going over 1.0 HT (home 6/10, away 6/10). Bahla's defensive fragility adds support, conceding 2+ in 3 of last 5 away. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (away GL_5=1.05) but directionally aligns with Over. |
|
| 23-05-2026 15:30 |
FC Dornbirn 1913 |
- |
SCR Altach II |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 4.40 (home 3.00 avg at home, away concede 2.40 away; away 1.40 scored away, home concede 2.00) far exceeds the 3.25 line. Home have 70% of last 10 matches over 3.25, and away 50% over. Away conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches (structural fragility). Market pricing error is high: home GL_5=1.80, away GL_5=2.00, signalling bookmaker mispricing favouring over. H2H friendly saw 9 goals, league meeting 2 goals (mixed, only 2 matches so neutral). |
|
| 23-05-2026 15:30 |
Bjelovar |
- |
NK Solin |
Over 2.5 Goals |
66% |
Expected goals total of 2.75 (based on home 1.2 avg scored + away 1.8 avg conceded, away 1.5 avg scored + home 1.0 avg conceded) exceeds the line of 2.5, and NK Solin's away matches have gone Over 2.5 in 60% of their last 5. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate for Solin (GL_5=1.80), adding edge, while shot-based match potential (5.56) strongly supports goals. |
|
| 23-05-2026 15:30 |
NK Grobnican |
- |
NK Trnje |
Over 2.75 Goals |
79% |
Expected total 3.25 (home 1.50+away conceded 1.60/2 + away 1.50+home conceded 1.90/2) exceeds the 2.75 line by 0.5. Home match history shows 75% Over (6/8), and away away history shows 71% Over (5/7). H2H 5-1 supports Over. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (home GL_5 1.10, away GL_5 0.85, both stabilising). Combined signals yield 79% confidence for Over. |
|
| 23-05-2026 16:00 |
Peamount Utd Women |
- |
Shelbourne Women |
Over 2.75 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 3.05 (Peamount home avg 2.1, conceded 1.5; Shelbourne away avg 1.6, conceded 0.9) exceeds line 2.75; shot-based potential 3.66 confirms. Home history 67% Over (2/3), away 50% (2/4) – both align. H2H 1-4 supports Over. Market mispricing: away GL_5 = 2.05 (strong, accelerating), adding edge. |
|
| 23-05-2026 16:00 |
Kiffen |
- |
MyPa |
Over 4.0 Goals |
82% |
Kiffen average 2.30 goals at home, MyPa concede 3.90 on the road, so expected total 4.90 exceeds the 4.0 line by +0.90. Kiffen have covered Over 4.0 in 4 of their last 6 matches (67%), while MyPa's goal line record shows 7 Over in last 10 (70%), and their GL_5 mispricing of 1.85 indicates the bookmaker consistently underestimates goals involving them. The structural gap is reinforced by MyPa's league-high away conceded average of 3.90 and Kiffen's home scoring 2.30, creating a projected high-scoring affair in a relegation play-off context. |
|
| 23-05-2026 16:00 |
Braganca |
- |
SC Vianense |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.40 (home avg 1.50 + away conceded 1.00 + away scored 2.90 + home conceded 1.40) exceeds the 2.5 line by 0.90 goals. Away team has 70% of last 10 matches over 2.5, and H2H shows 2 of 3 over. Strong bookmaker mispricing for Vianense (GL_5=2.50, accelerating) points to additional edge. Despite home history at 50% (meets minimum), the overall signal is clear: attacking away side and promotion round urgency favour goals. Confidence capped at 82% due to standard ceiling. |
|
| 23-05-2026 16:00 |
Paide Linnameeskond |
- |
FC Flora Tallinn |
Over 10.0 Corners |
82% |
Expected corners 10.75 (home avg 4.30, conceded 6.30; away avg 8.10, conceded 2.80) exceed the line of 10.0. Flora's away matches show 83% Over (5/6), H2H corners are Over in 3 of last 4 meetings, and severe bookmaker mispricing (Flora variance 4.60, Paide 2.00) strengthens the Over signal. |
|
| 23-05-2026 16:00 |
Villarreal Women |
- |
Valencia Women |
Over 2.25 Goals |
79% |
Expected total goals 2.85 (based on averages: home 1.50+away conceded 1.20/2 + away 1.70+home conceded 1.30/2) exceeds the 2.25 line by 0.60. Both teams have 60% Over records in recent matches, and Valencia's severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5=2.85, accelerating) adds significant edge. H2H is split 2-2, neutral. Structural signals support Over. |
|
| 23-05-2026 16:00 |
US Yacoub El Mansour |
- |
Union de Touarga |
Over 1st Half 0.5,1.0 Goals |
73% |
Expected 1st half total 1.40 (home 0.60 scored & 1.00 conceded at home, away 0.50 scored & 0.70 conceded away) far exceeds the 0.75 line. Home team has covered this line in 10/10 recent matches (100%), away in 5/10 (50%, not contradictory). Structural context of two relegation-threatened teams likely produces an open start. Away GL_5 of 1.65 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing for goals, adding edge to the over. |
|
| 23-05-2026 16:10 |
Al Draih |
- |
Al-Ula |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Al Draih averages 2.70 goals scored at home and concedes 1.00, while Al-Ula averages 2.40 scored away and concedes 1.00, giving an expected total of 3.55 goals, well above the 2.75 line. Home team has gone Over 2.5 in 9 of last 10 matches (90%), away team in 8 of 10 (80%), and both H2H matches ended with 3+ goals. Strong form and attacking patterns support another high-scoring affair. |
|
| 23-05-2026 16:15 |
FCV Dender EH |
- |
Lommel |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.45 goals (Dender home avg 1.20 + conceded 2.10, Lommel away avg 2.30 + conceded 1.30) well above the 2.75 line. Match history strongly supports: Dender home 100% Over (5/5), Lommel away 100% Over (4/4), and H2H produced 5 goals. Market mispricing is mild (GL_5 1.05/1.00) but direction aligns. Confidence capped at 82% per standard ceiling. |
|
| 23-05-2026 18:00 |
Tristan Suarez |
- |
CA Colegiales |
Over 1.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 2.00 goals (home avg 1.10 + away conceded 1.10 / 2 + away avg 1.00 + home conceded 0.80 / 2) is 0.5 above 1.5 line. Home has 9/10 (90%) recent home matches Over 1.5, away has 9/10 (90%) away matches Over 1.5. Structural: quality gap (3rd vs 13th), away conceded 2+ in 4/5 away games. Home GL_5 1.65 (moderate mispricing, accelerating) adds edge. Confidence capped at standard ceiling of 82%. |
|
| 23-05-2026 18:00 |
Deportivo Moron |
- |
CA Estudiantes Caseros |
Over 1.75 Goals |
73% |
Expected total goals is 1.95 (home avg 1.20 at home + away conceded 0.80, away avg 0.90 away + home conceded 1.00), above the 1.75 line. Both teams show 60% Over in their respective home/away roles last 5 matches. Structural quality gap (Moron 2nd, Estudiantes 11th) supports Over, and H2H (1-1) also went over. Market mispricing is mild (GL_5 1.40), adding slight edge. |
|
| 23-05-2026 18:00 |
Bayern Munich |
- |
VfB Stuttgart |
Over 3.5 Goals |
90% |
Expected total of 4.55 goals well above 3.5 line, driven by Bayern's home average of 3.30 scored and Stuttgart's away average of 1.80 conceded. Bayern have gone Over 3.5 in 5/5 home matches, Stuttgart in 4/5 away. All three H2H meetings produced 4+ goals. Bayern's severe market mispricing (GL_5=2.9) and Stuttgart's defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in last 5 away) further support the Over. The DFB Pokal final setting also encourages an open game. |
|
| 23-05-2026 18:00 |
Cerro Largo |
- |
Boston River |
Over 2.25 Goals |
80% |
Expected FT total 2.85 (from Cerro Largo avg 1.10 scored at home + Boston River 1.90 conceded away, and Boston River 1.40 scored away + Cerro Largo 1.30 conceded at home) exceeds the 2.25 line by 0.60 goals. Boston River conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches (defensive fragility). Away team's GL_5 of 2.20 indicates strong bookmaker mispricing favoring Over, and shot-based match potential of 4.14 further supports Over. H2H shows one under and one over from 2 matches but is neutral. |
|
| 23-05-2026 20:00 |
Racing Louisville FC Women |
- |
North Carolina Courage Women |
Over 2.5 Goals |
73% |
Expected total goals is 3.10 (home avg 1.50 + away conceded away 1.30 averaged with away avg 1.60 + home conceded 1.80) exceeding the 2.75 line by 0.35. Racing Louisville's last 3 home matches all went over 2.75, and H2H both meetings were over (2-1, 3-1). Home GL_5 of 1.55 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing favouring the over, while both teams average 1.5+ goals per game in their respective roles. |
|
| 23-05-2026 21:30 |
Nacional De Football |
- |
Albion FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.25 from averages (home 1.90+away conceded 0.80)/2 + (away 1.90+home conceded 1.90)/2 = 3.25, well above the 2.5 line. Nacional's last 10 matches show 90% Over 2.5, and the only H2H (Albion 3-2 Nacional) also went over. Away team GL_5 of 2.35 (strong mispricing) and home GL_5 of 1.60 (moderate) both align with Over, adding edge. |
|
| 23-05-2026 21:30 |
Sportivo Trinidense Women |
- |
Nacional-Humaita Women |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 4.55 goals based on home avg 2.0 at home and away avg conceded 3.2 away, plus away avg 1.5 away and home conceded 2.4 at home. Match potential (shot-based) at 7.8 confirms high scoring. Away defensive fragility: 3 of last 5 matches conceded 2+ goals. Bookmaker mispricing is strong: home GL_5 2.05, away GL_5 1.55 both indicate line too low. H2H neutral (only 1 match, 2-2). Over 3.25 is the best value. |
|
| 23-05-2026 22:30 |
SV La Fama |
- |
SV Sporting Aruba |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
74% |
Expected total 3.95 goals (home avg 1.70 scored + away conceded 1.80 = 1.75, away avg 2.00 scored + home conceded 2.40 = 2.20) comfortably exceeds the 3.0/3.5 line. Home has 3/5 home matches over 3.5 (60%), both H2H matches went over 3.5 (4 and 6 total goals), and home team's GL_5 variance of 2.30 indicates strong bookmaker mispricing accelerating from GL_10 of 1.45, further supporting an Over outcome. |
|
| 23-05-2026 23:00 |
Indy Eleven |
- |
Lexington SC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
77% |
Expected full-time total of 3.30 (home avg 1.60 + away avg conceded 1.30 averaged with away scored 2.20 + home conceded 1.50) exceeds the 2.5 line by 0.80 goals. Indy Eleven have gone Over 2.5 in 4 of 5 home matches (80%), and Lexington's away variance (GL_5 1.85, accelerating) indicates persistent bookmaker mispricing on goal totals. Likelihood data also supports a 70% probability of Over 2.5, making this the strongest available bet. |
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