| 15-08-2026 23:00 |
Rancho Santana FC |
- |
CD Walter Ferretti |
Over 2.5/3 Goals |
78% |
Expected total 3.25 (home 1.40 scored/1.90 conceded; away 1.10 scored/2.10 conceded) vs line 2.75, gap +0.50. Both teams are 60% over 2.75 in last 10 (6/10 each), mutual-opponent total 3.33 supports Over, and Walter Ferretti conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away matches with away GL_5 1.65 bookmaker mispricing. H2H is a partial cap (1-2 to Over: 0-0/1-1/2-2) and no 1st half goal line is offered. |
|
| 15-08-2026 23:00 |
Nasinu FC |
- |
Navua FC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total 3.35 vs 2.75 line (+0.60) and shot-based potential 5.61 support Over; 1st-half expected 1.45 vs 1.25 line has weak history support (home 50%, away 25%), so full-time is stronger. Nasinu home matches are 3/3 over 2.75 (0-6, 0-4, 2-2), Navua away matches 2/3 over (3-0, 2-1), and Navua conceded 2+ in each of its last 5 away matches. H2H 1-1 is neutral; away GL_5 1.55 moderate bookmaker mispricing aligns with Over, raw score 85.5 capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 16-08-2026 01:00 |
Colorado Switchbacks FC |
- |
Birmingham Legion FC |
Colorado Switchbacks FC -1.25 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Home venue form (5-2-2, 17 pts) vs Birmingham away (1-3-3, 6 pts) supports -1.25. Common opponents strongly favour Colorado: home mutual goals net +0.89 vs Birmingham -0.50, with Colorado taking 4 of 5 stat advantages (w6-d1-l2 vs w0-d4-l2). Recent cover rate is the weak signal (Colorado covered -1.25 only 3 of last 8, 1 of last 5), giving 2 of 3 AH signals and 67% confidence. |
|
| 16-08-2026 01:00 |
Alianza FC |
- |
CD Cacahuatique |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total = (1.40+1.70)/2 + (1.60+1.40)/2 = 3.05 vs line 2.5; Cacahuatique are 6/10 (60%) over 2.5, Alianza 5/10 (50%), and 2 of 3 unique H2H meetings went over 2.5. Mutual opponents total 2.95 > line and away GL_5 of 2.85 is severe bookmaker mispricing aligning Over; Cacahuatique conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 4 away games. Raw score 86 capped to 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 16-08-2026 02:00 |
Orange County SC |
- |
Louisville City FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.20 vs 2.5 line (home 1.60 scored/1.70 conceded at home; away 1.70 scored/1.40 conceded away). Both teams are 7 of 10 over 2.5 goals in recent matches, and mutual opponents combined total is 3.75. Louisville has conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches and their GL_5 bookmaker mispricing is 2.35 accelerating, supporting Over; raw score 85 capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 16-08-2026 02:30 |
Las Vegas Lights FC |
- |
Brooklyn FC |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
73% |
Expected full-time total = (1.30+2.00)/2 + (1.50+1.20)/2 = 3.00 vs split 2.75 line; Las Vegas recent matches are 5/10 over 2.75 and Brooklyn 7/10 over, with Brooklyn conceding 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away. No H2H data; common opponents neutral (mutual_total 2.67 vs 2.75); Las Vegas GL_5=1.50 moderate mispricing. Scoring: base 50 + gap 5 + home history 0 + away history 8 + H2H 0 + common 0 + likelihood 0 + GL home 5 + GL away 0 + structural away fragility 5 = 73. |
|
| 16-08-2026 02:30 |
Preston Lions U23 |
- |
Dandenong Thunder U23 |
Preston Lions U23 -1.25 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Preston Lions U23 hold a 12-point standings edge over Dandenong Thunder U23 (26 vs 14) and won May's H2H 5-2 away. Against mutual opponents, Preston are 4W-1D-4L with +0.22 net goals (2.33 scored, 2.11 conceded) while Dandenong are 0W-1D-8L with -2.22 net goals (1.11 scored, 3.33 conceded); Dandenong also have 0 AH wins in their last 5 (4 losses). |
|
| 16-08-2026 03:00 |
Sacramento Republic |
- |
Lexington SC |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
68% |
A1 expected total is 2.45 (home 1.30 scored/0.80 conceded, away 1.60 scored/1.20 conceded) against a 2.25 line, and mutual-opponent total is 3.17. Home GL_5 is 1.55 accelerating and away GL_5 is 1.90, indicating bookmaker mispricing favouring the over; H2H is neutral (0-0, 2-2). Match history is the weak spot (home 40% over, away 50% over), so confidence lands at 68%. |
|
| 16-08-2026 03:00 |
Suva FC |
- |
Nadroga FC |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 4.10 vs a 3.0 line: (1.80+3.70)/2 + (1.50+1.20)/2, driven heavily by Nadroga conceding 3.70 goals per away game and 5 of their last 6 matches finishing over 3.0. Mutual-opponent total of 3.92 and away GL_5 market pricing error of 1.50 both support the over. Raw score 90.5 capped at 82% standard ceiling; Suva's own history is mixed at 3/10 over 3.0, but the away fragility and expected goals are strong enough to back goals. |
|
| 16-08-2026 04:00 |
Belmont Swansea United SC |
- |
Adamstown Rosebud |
Under 5.5 1st Half Corners |
78% |
Expected 1st half corners are 4.65 ((2.3+2.7)/2 + (1.5+2.8)/2) vs the 5.5 line. Both teams stayed under 5.5 first-half corners in 8 of their last 10 matches (80%). Confidence scoring: 50 base +8 corner gap +10 home history +10 away history = 78%. |
|
| 16-08-2026 04:00 |
Valentine Phoenix |
- |
Weston Workers FC |
|
65% |
Weston sit 2nd on 40 points, 15 clear of 7th-placed Valentine Phoenix, and the mutual-opponent comparison favours Weston across all five classified stats (avg_goals NET +1.1 vs -1.2; dangerous attacks +8.3 vs -3.1). Weston's AH record is mixed at 5W-5L over the last 10, so only two of the three AH signals support Weston, capping confidence at the 65% minimum. Goal line and corners were rejected: Valentine have just 2/10 home matches over 3.25 goals, and expected corners 10.25 fail to clear the 10.5 line. |
|
| 16-08-2026 04:00 |
Kahibah FC |
- |
Cooks Hill United |
Cooks Hill United +0.25 Asian Handicap |
70% |
Goal-line value was absent: full-time expected 3.30 goals vs a 3.75 line and 1st half expected 1.50 vs a 1.50 line. Cooks Hill are 6th (30 pts) to Kahibah's 11th (20 pts), won this season's H2H 3-0, and covered +0.25 in 7 of their last 10, while Kahibah covered -0.25 in only 3 of 10. Mutual opponents also lean away: 4 of 5 classified stats favour Cooks Hill, with goals NET -0.3 vs -0.4. |
|
| 16-08-2026 05:00 |
Preston Lions |
- |
Dandenong Thunder |
Under 1.5 First Half Goals |
76% |
Expected 1H total 1.30 ((0.70+1.10)/2 + (0.20+0.60)/2) vs 1.5 line; Preston are under 1.5 HT goals in 6/10 (60%), Dandenong in 7/10 (70%). Dandenong have failed to score in the 1st half in 4 of their last 5 away games (0.20 HT away goals avg) and both teams are low 1H scorers; home GL_5 1.75 moderate bookmaker mispricing aligns. Scoring: Base 50 + gap 0 + home HT 5 + away HT 8 + H2H 0 + low 1H scorers 5 + away HT scoreless 5 + market pricing error 2.5 = 75.5 → 76%. |
|
| 16-08-2026 05:00 |
Brisbane Olympic FC U23 |
- |
Rochedale Rovers U23 |
1st Half Over 1.75 Goals |
77% |
Scoring breakdown: Base 50 + gap from line 3 + home HT history 8 + away HT history 5 + H2H HT 0 + quality gap 5 + early pattern 0 + bookmaker mispricing 6 = 77%. Expected 1st-half total is 1.90 (home 0.40 scored / 1.60 conceded at home HT; away 0.90 scored / 0.90 conceded away HT) vs a 1.75 line, with home 7/10 and away 6/10 recent matches over 1.75 HT. Home GL_5 is 3.10, a severe bookmaker mispricing signal aligned with the Over; the only H2H meeting was 0-0 at HT, a single neutral sample. |
|
| 16-08-2026 05:00 |
Moreton City Excelsior U23 |
- |
Lions FC U23 |
Over 1.5 First Half Goals |
74% |
Expected 1st-half goals total is 2.10 against the 1.5 line: Moreton City Excelsior U23 average 1.60 1st-half goals at home and Lions FC U23 concede 0.50 1st-half goals away. Moreton are Over 1.5 first-half goals in 4 of their last 5 home matches (80%). Lions FC U23's goal-line bookmaker mispricing is high (GL_5 1.85, accelerating), adding edge to the over. |
|
| 16-08-2026 05:00 |
Gold Coast United U23 |
- |
Eastern Suburbs U23 |
Over 1.25 First Half Goals |
73% |
Expected 1H total is 1.60 (home 1.20 scored/0.50 conceded at home; away 1.20 scored/0.30 conceded away) vs a 1.25 line. Both sides are 6/10 over 1.25 in the first half; H2H HT sample is neutral (2 meetings, only one known at 2 first-half goals). Confidence: 50% base +7% gap +5% home history +5% away history +0% H2H +0% structural +6% bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 severe 3.00, one-sided) = 73%. |
|
| 16-08-2026 05:30 |
Heidelberg Utd U23 |
- |
Hume City U23 |
Over 1.75 First Half Goals |
82% |
Expected 1st-half total 1.90 (Heidelberg home 1.60 scored/0.70 conceded; Hume away 0.60 scored/0.90 conceded) vs the 1.75 line. Heidelberg have 6 of 10 first halves over 1.75, and the 4th-vs-13th quality gap supports early home pressure. GL_5 bookmaker mispricing is severe for Heidelberg (2.60) and strong for Hume (2.05), both accelerating and pointing Over; raw score 83 capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 16-08-2026 07:00 |
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL Women |
- |
Sydney University Women |
Over 3.5 Goals |
65% |
Expected FT total 3.35 (A=2.10, B=1.90, C=1.40, D=1.30) is within 0.15 of the 3.5 line, and shot-based cross-check (54.2/7.69=7.05) supports Over. WSW are over 3.5 in 3 of 5 home matches, Sydney Uni over in 3 of 5 away matches, with Sydney Uni conceding 2+ in all last 5 away (2,2,2,4,2) and WSW scoring 2+ in last 3 overall (2,9,2). Home GL_5 mispricing is 2.90 (severe). |
|
| 16-08-2026 07:00 |
Balcatta FC Women |
- |
Fremantle City FC Women |
Over 4.0 Corners 1st Half |
68% |
Expected first-half corners = (4.20+1.50)/2 + (2.60+1.50)/2 = 4.90 vs line 4.0, a +0.90 gap. Balcatta have cleared 4 HT corners in 6 of 8 recorded home matches (75%) and average 4.20 HT corners at home, while Fremantle concede only 1.50 HT corners away. Structural pressure from Balcatta's early corner dominance and mutual-opponent attacking volume supports the over. |
|
| 16-08-2026 08:15 |
Viktoria Zizkov |
- |
Banik Ostrava B |
Over 2.75 Goals |
81% |
Expected total 3.20 vs 2.75 line (home 1.40 scored/2.20 conceded at home; away 1.80 scored/1.00 conceded away). Home last 5 home games 3/5 over 2.75, away last 5 away games 3/5 over; H2H split (2-2, 0-2), mutual opponents total 2.94 supports over. Confidence 81% = base 50 + gap 9 + home history 5 + away history 5 + H2H 0 + mutual opponents 5 + likelihood 3 + home GL_5 bookmaker mispricing 4 (away 0). |
|
| 16-08-2026 08:30 |
OFK Malzenice |
- |
MSK Povazska Bystrica |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
67% |
Expected total 2.85 (home 1.40 scored/1.30 conceded, away 1.40 scored/1.60 conceded) vs 2.75 line, with shot-based expected ≈2.90 and mutual-opponent total 2.85. H2H went 4-2 and 3-1 (both over), Povazska conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away, and home GL_5 1.80 moderate bookmaker mispricing aligns Over; recent over records are mixed at 30% home/50% away. |
|
| 16-08-2026 08:30 |
First Vienna FC 1894 |
- |
FC Liefering |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
1st-half expected total is 1.80 (home 1.00 scored + away 0.80 conceded /2 = 0.90; away 1.30 scored + home 0.50 conceded /2 = 0.90) vs 1.25 line, a +0.55 gap. Both teams' 1st-half histories clear the line: First Vienna 6/10 Over 1.25, FC Liefering 6/10 Over 1.25; H2H 1st-half data is empty/neutral. Home GL_5 1.60 is moderate bookmaker mispricing aligned with the Over, away GL_5 1.35 is mild; raw score 72.5% rounded to 73%. |
|
| 16-08-2026 09:00 |
Vasas SC II |
- |
Ujpest II |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.65 (home 2.10 scored/2.00 conceded, away 2.40 scored/0.80 conceded) vs line 3.0. Vasas home games are 7/10 over 3.0 with 2+ goals in their last three home matches; Ujpest's record is 4/10 over 3.0 with 4 pushes and only 2 unders. Both teams' goal-line mispricing is moderate (home GL_5 1.60, away 1.50) and points over. |
|
| 16-08-2026 09:00 |
Diosgyori VTK II |
- |
Godolloi SK |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.60 goals ((1.80+1.00)/2 + (2.20+2.20)/2) vs line 2.75. Home 8/10 and away 7/10 last matches over 2.75; mutual-opponents total 3.35 supports over; away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away. Raw score 96% capped at 82% standard ceiling (H2H only 2 matches, neutral). |
|
| 16-08-2026 10:30 |
Seoul E-Land FC |
- |
Ansan Greeners FC |
Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
80% |
First-half expected total is 1.15 (Seoul home HT 0.50 scored/0.50 conceded, Ansan away HT 0.30 scored/1.00 conceded) against a 1.25 line, and both teams have stayed under 1.25 first-half goals in 7 of their last 10 (70%). Ansan have failed to score in the first half in each of their last 4 recorded away matches, and Seoul's market pricing error (GL_5 2.30) supports the under side. |
|
| 16-08-2026 11:00 |
Trelleborgs FF |
- |
Eskilsminne IF |
Over 3.0 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 3.15 (Trelleborgs 1.90 scored/1.00 conceded at home; Eskilsminne 1.50 scored/1.90 conceded away) clears the 3.0 line, and mutual-opponent total is 3.70. Both sides went over 3.0 in 5 of 8 decisive recent matches; Eskilsminne conceded 2+ in 5 straight away games and the only H2H finished 3-2 (5 goals). |
|
| 16-08-2026 11:00 |
Suzhou Dongwu |
- |
Nantong Zhiyun |
Over 0.75 First Half Goals |
75% |
Expected 1H goals (0.40+0.50)/2 + (0.90+0.80)/2 = 1.30 vs line 0.75, gap +0.55. Nantong away first halves over 0.75 in 8 of 10 (80%), Suzhou 5 of 10 (50%), H2H first-half data neutral. Scoring: base 50% + gap +10% + away 1H history +10% + home 1H history 0% + H2H 0% + GL_5 home +5% = 75%; home bookmaker mispricing GL_5 1.75 aligns with Over. |
|
| 16-08-2026 11:00 |
Shenzhen Juniors |
- |
Ningbo Professional FC |
Over 4.0 First Half Corners |
73% |
Expected 1H corners = (2.50 + 2.30)/2 + (1.70 + 3.20)/2 = 4.85, 0.85 above the 4.0 line. Shenzhen Juniors' last 10 matches produced 5+ first-half corners in 8 of 10 (80%), while Ningbo Professional FC went over 4.0 in 5 of 10 with 3 pushes. Scoring: base 50% + gap from line +8% + home HT corner history +10% + away history +0% + H2H +0% + structural home pressure +5% = 73%. |
|
| 16-08-2026 11:00 |
Reipas |
- |
PEPO |
PEPO +0 Asian Handicap |
67% |
PEPO lead in standings quality (31 pts vs Reipas 23) and covered the +0 handicap in 4 of their last 5 matches (4-1 MyPa, 2-0 Union Plaani, 3-2 Puiu, 2-0 HPS), with the only H2H being a 2-1 PEPO win. Reipas' superior mutual-opponent profile (W6 D2 L0, GF 2.5/GA 1.38 vs PEPO W3 D2 L3, GF 1.13/GA 1.5) is the main contradiction, capping confidence at 67%. |
|
| 16-08-2026 11:30 |
SK Beveren |
- |
Anderlecht |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 3.60 goals (Beveren home: 2.20 scored/1.20 conceded; Anderlecht away: 2.00 scored/1.80 conceded) against a 2.5 line, a 1.10-goal gap. Both sides are 8/10 (80%) over 2.5 in recent matches, and Anderlecht have conceded 2+ in three of their last five away games (Union Saint-Gilloise 5-1, Club Brugge 4-2, Sint-Truidense 2-0). No H2H data available; GL_5 mispricing is mild at 1.30 for both teams. |
|
| 16-08-2026 11:30 |
Arminia Bielefeld |
- |
Cottbus |
Cottbus +0.75 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Cottbus sit 4th vs Bielefeld 15th and lead the mutual-opponent comparison 4-0 in stat nets (avg goals 2.5 for/1.0 against vs Bielefeld 1.0/1.0). Bielefeld have covered -0.75 in only 3 of their last 5, while Cottbus have lost by 2+ just once in their last 10. |
|
| 16-08-2026 11:30 |
Hansa Rostock |
- |
Waldhof Mannheim |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total 4.10 (Hansa 2.10 scored/2.20 conceded at home, Waldhof 1.90 scored/2.00 conceded away) vs line 3.25; Hansa 6/10 and Waldhof 5/10 recent matches over 3.25, H2H last meeting 4 goals, mutual opponents produce 4.1 total. Waldhof conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches and their GL_5 bookmaker mispricing is 1.55, adding edge to Over. Base 50% + gap +15% + home history +5% + common opponents +5% + away GL_5 +2.5% + defensive fragility +5% = 82%. |
|
| 16-08-2026 14:00 |
Lyngby |
- |
Midtjylland |
Over 4.5 First Half Corners |
65% |
Expected first-half corners: (3.60+1.90)/2 + (3.20+1.30)/2 = 5.00 vs 4.5 line. Lyngby's last 10 matches have Over 4.5 first-half corners in 6/10 (60%), Midtjylland's in 5/10 (50%); no H2H to override. Midtjylland (4th) away at Lyngby (11th) adds a structural early-pressure signal. |
|
| 16-08-2026 14:00 |
Arsenal |
- |
Man City |
Over 2.5 Goals |
79% |
Full-time expected total 2.90 (Arsenal 1.70 home scored, Man City 1.00 away conceded /2 plus Man City 2.10 away scored, Arsenal 1.00 home conceded /2) vs 2.5 line. Arsenal 7/10 and Man City 8/10 recent matches over 2.5; mutual-opponent total 2.655 also clears the line. H2H is mixed at 1-2 toward under (2-1, 0-2, 1-1) but not a veto; no market pricing error adjustment (GL_5 1.30/0.95). |
|
| 16-08-2026 14:00 |
RAAL La Louviere |
- |
Gent |
Under 4.5 First Half Corners |
82% |
Expected 1st-half corners are 2.90 (RAAL home: 1.10 for/1.80 conceded; Gent away: 1.50 for/1.40 conceded) vs line 4.50, a 1.60-corner gap. RAAL home matches stayed under 4.5 HT corners in 9 of 10 (90%) and Gent in 8 of 10 (80%), with H2H only one match and no HT corner split. Confidence: 50% base +15% gap +10% home history +10% away history = 85% raw, capped to 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 16-08-2026 14:30 |
Leixoes |
- |
Tondela |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.25 vs 2.5 line (Leixoes home 2.30 scored/1.10 conceded, Tondela away 1.10 scored/2.00 conceded). Both teams 6 of last 10 matches over 2.5; Tondela conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away, Leixoes scored 2+ in three straight home. Home GL_5 2.05 bookmaker mispricing supports Over; raw score 90% capped at standard 82% ceiling. |
|
| 16-08-2026 14:30 |
Jahn Regensburg |
- |
Saarbrucken |
Over 1.25 First Half Goals |
70% |
Expected 1H total is 1.45 vs line 1.25: (1.20+0.80)/2 + (0.70+0.20)/2 = 1.00+0.45. Home 1H overs are 3/10 and away 1H overs 4/10, but both teams have high market pricing error (home GL_5 2.45, away GL_5 2.40) with accelerating trends aligning over. Breakdown: Base 50 + gap +4 + home HT history +0 + away HT history +0 + H2H HT +0 + structural +0 + pricing error home +8 + away +8 = 70%. H2H has only two 1-1 full-time draws and no usable 1H pattern, so no override. |
|
| 16-08-2026 15:00 |
Molde |
- |
Tromso |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total (A=2.10, B=1.40, C=2.30, D=2.10) is 3.95 vs 2.75 line (+1.20); Molde 10/10 and Tromso 7/10 over 2.75, mutual-opponents total 3.06 also over, H2H only 2 matches neutral, away GL_5 2.15 strong/accelerating. Confidence: base 50 + gap 15 + home history 10 + away history 8 + H2H 0 + mutual 5 + GL_5 4 = 92, capped 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 16-08-2026 15:00 |
Stal Mielec |
- |
Polonia Bytom |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 4.55 (home 2.10 scored/2.30 conceded at home; away 2.30 scored/2.40 conceded away) vs a 3.0 line, a +1.55 gap. Stal Mielec went over 3.0 in 6 of 10 recent matches and Polonia Bytom in 8 of 10, with both H2Hs ending 4-1 (5 goals). Away market pricing error is GL_5 1.95 and Polonia Bytom have conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away games; raw score 106 capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 16-08-2026 15:00 |
WSG Swarovski Tirol |
- |
FC Salzburg |
Over 3.0 Goals |
72% |
Expected full-time total is 3.50 (WSG home: 1.30 scored/2.00 conceded; Salzburg away: 2.60 scored/1.10 conceded) vs a 3.0 line. H2H totals were 5, 4 and 3 (2 over, 1 push), and Salzburg's GL_5 market pricing error is 2.40 with a 4th-vs-10th quality gap. Home/away over-3.0 records are only 5/10 each and common opponents average 2.32, but the H2H and pricing-error signals keep this at 72% confidence. |
|
| 16-08-2026 15:00 |
Hartberg |
- |
FK Austria Vienna |
Over 2.5 Goals |
77% |
Expected total = (1.60+1.20)/2 + (1.90+1.50)/2 = 3.10 and shot-based potential 5.11, both clear the 2.5 line; Hartberg 5/10 and Austria Vienna 6/10 recent matches went over 2.5. Austria Vienna conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away and mutual-opponent total is 3.41; confidence 77% (base 50 + gap 12 + away history 5 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 + away fragility 5 - Hartberg home scoring drought 3). |
|
| 16-08-2026 15:00 |
Racing Santander |
- |
Villarreal |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.30 (home scored 1.70, away conceded 1.50, away scored 1.90, home conceded 1.50). Racing home 7/10 over 2.5 (70%), Villarreal away 6/10 over 2.5 (60%), H2H last meeting finished 2-1. Villarreal conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (Lens 3, Benfica 2, Rayo 2), mutual-opponent matches averaged 5.0 total goals. Raw confidence 86 capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 16-08-2026 15:00 |
Barcelona |
- |
Athletic Bilbao |
Over 3.0 Goals |
65% |
Expected total is 3.35 goals (Barcelona home 1.90 scored/1.00 conceded, Athletic away 2.50 scored/1.30 conceded) against a 3.0 line; mutual-opponent aggregate totals 3.395. H2H is 2/3 over 3.0 (5-0 and 4-0 Barcelona wins). Recent over-3.0 records are only 40% for both sides, so the lean rests on model, H2H and mutual-opponent support rather than recent form. |
|
| 16-08-2026 15:00 |
Racing Santander |
- |
Villarreal |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total is 3.30 (home 1.70 scored/1.50 conceded; away 1.90 scored/1.50 conceded) vs line 2.5. Racing Santander have seen 7 of 10 recent matches over 2.5, Villarreal 6 of 10, and the sole H2H finished 2-1; Villarreal have conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away games (Benfica 2-0, Rayo 2-0, Barcelona 4-1). Scoring: base 50% + gap +15% + home history +8% + away history +5% + common opponents +5% + likelihood +3% + away fragility +5% = 91%, capped to standard 82%. |
|
| 16-08-2026 15:00 |
Valencia |
- |
Real Betis |
Over 2.5 Goals |
79% |
FT expected total 2.80 goals (Valencia home 1.50 scored/1.30 conceded, Real Betis away 1.90 scored/0.90 conceded) clears the 2.5 line by 0.30. Real Betis are 7 of 10 over 2.5 in recent matches and have conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away games, while their GL_5 1.65 pricing-error signal and a 3.05 mutual-opponent total both support over; H2H is split (2-1, 1-1) and neutral. |
|
| 16-08-2026 15:00 |
Istra 1961 |
- |
Slaven Belupo |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.50 (Istra home scored 1.70/conceded 1.40, Slaven away scored 1.60/conceded 2.30) vs 2.5 line; Istra 6/10 and Slaven 7/10 recent matches over 2.5, mutual-opponent total 2.63, Slaven conceded 2+ in 5 straight away matches, Istra scored 2+ in 3 straight home games. Market pricing error high (home GL_5 1.75, away GL_5 2.15, both accelerating); raw score 91 capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 16-08-2026 15:30 |
Szentlorinc SE |
- |
Csakvari Tk |
Szentlorinc SE -0.25 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Szentlorinc SE have covered the Asian Handicap in 4 of their last 5 (80%) and sit 6th in home standings with 4 points and 0 goals conceded, while Csakvari are 13th in away standings with 0 points and a 1-3 away defeat. Csakvari's AH record is only 2W-1V-2L over their last 5, and H2H is two draws (2-2, 0-0), which does not support a strong cover, capping confidence at 67. Full-time goal line expected 2.10 vs 2.5 and 1st-half expected 1.05 vs 1.0 did not qualify under the history thresholds. |
|
| 16-08-2026 15:45 |
FK Kauno Zalgiris |
- |
FK Transinvest |
Over 1.0 First Half Goals |
65% |
Expected 1st-half total is 1.30 (home HT 0.80 scored/0.50 conceded; away HT 0.70 scored/0.60 conceded) against a 1.0 line. Kauno Zalgiris home halves went over 1.0 in 3 of 5 (60%) and Transinvest away halves in 4 of 6 (67%). Full-time expected total is 2.55 vs 2.75, so the cleaner value is the first-half over; H2H HT data is limited and GL_5 pricing error is mild at 1.35/1.10. |
|
| 16-08-2026 16:00 |
CSKA Sofia |
- |
Botev Vratsa |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 2.55 vs line 2.5 (CSKA home scored 1.70/conceded 0.90; Botev Vratsa away scored 1.30/conceded 1.20). CSKA are 8/10 over 2.5 in recent matches and Botev are 6/10 over; mutual-opponents total is 2.55 with CSKA holding a 4-1 advantage. Confidence 82% from base 50 + gap 1 + home history 10 + away history 5 + H2H 0 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 + quality gap 5 + form momentum 3. |
|
| 16-08-2026 16:00 |
Harju JK Laagri |
- |
FC Levadia Tallinn |
FC Levadia Tallinn -1.75 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Levadia top the standings (50 pts, 15W-5D-1L) against Harju's 25 pts and hold a clear mutual-opponent edge (6W-2D-0L vs 5W-1D-4L, goals net +1.12 vs +0.60). They average 2.60 goals scored away while Harju concede 1.60 at home; however, Levadia's recent -1.75 cover rate is only 3/8, so confidence is capped at 65%. |
|
| 16-08-2026 16:00 |
Randers FC |
- |
FC Copenhagen |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.9 vs line 3.0: Randers home 1.5 scored/1.8 conceded, Copenhagen away 3.0 scored/1.5 conceded. Both teams are 60% over 3.0 in last 10 matches, all four H2H meetings produced 3+ goals, and mutual-opponent total 3.31 supports over. Raw score 83 capped at standard 82. |
|
| 16-08-2026 16:00 |
Supra du Quebec |
- |
Atletico Ottawa |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Supra averages 2.00 scored/2.30 conceded at home, Ottawa 2.30 scored/2.10 conceded away, giving expected total 4.35 vs the 3.0 line. Supra are Over 3.0 in 6/10 and Ottawa 7/10 (3 pushes), H2H totals were 6,4,8,1. Ottawa conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away; market pricing error GL_5 is 1.90 home/1.50 away, both Over-aligned; raw score 91% capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 16-08-2026 16:00 |
NK Brinje Grosuplje |
- |
NS Mura |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.35 vs 2.5 line (home 1.60 scored/1.40 conceded at home; away 1.30 scored/2.40 conceded away), with Mura's last 5 away all conceding 2+ and 7 of their last 10 over 2.5. Mutual opponents total 3.14 also clears the line, and Mura GL_5 2.00 signals strong bookmaker mispricing; raw score 90% capped at 82% standard ceiling because home record is only 50% over. |
|
| 16-08-2026 16:00 |
CSKA Sofia |
- |
Botev Vratsa |
Over 2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total is 2.55 vs a 2.5 line (home 1.70 scored/0.90 conceded at home; away 1.30 scored/1.20 conceded away) and CSKA are 8/10 Over 2.5 while Botev Vratsa are 6/10 Over 2.5. Mutual-opponent total is 2.55 and the top-4 vs bottom-4 quality gap support Over; H2H is only 2 low-scoring matches, so neutral. Score: Base 50 + gap 0 + home history 10 + away history 5 + H2H 0 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 + market pricing error 0 + structural 5 = 78%. |
|
| 16-08-2026 16:30 |
FK Zalgiris Vilnius |
- |
Banga Gargzdai |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total = (2.30+0.80)/2 + (1.30+1.90)/2 = 3.15 vs 2.5 line; home are 9/10 Over 2.5, home scored 2+ in last 3 home matches, and shot-based potential clears the line. Away are 4/10 over and H2H is 3-0, 1-1, 0-2 (1/3 over), but home GL_5 2.90 severe/accelerating aligns Over. Scoring: Base 50 + gap 13 + home history 10 + away history 0 + H2H -5 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 0 + GL_5 home 6 + structural 3 = 82. |
|
| 16-08-2026 17:00 |
KFC Komarno |
- |
Dunajska Streda |
Over 2.5 Goals |
74% |
Expected total 3.10 vs 2.5 line (Komarno 1.70 scored/1.40 conceded at home; DAC 1.50 scored/1.60 conceded away). Home matches over 2.5 in 7/10, away 5/10, H2H 2-2 and 1-1 neutral. DAC conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (0-6 Twente, 1-3 Zilina, 0-4 Kosice); away GL_5 1.60 moderate mispricing; confidence 74% (50 base +10 gap +8 home history +0 away +0 H2H -5 mutual +3 likelihood +3 GL away +5 structural). |
|
| 16-08-2026 17:00 |
Liverpool |
- |
Como |
Over 3.0/3.5 Goals |
79% |
Expected total = (2.00+1.30)/2 + (1.80+2.00)/2 = 3.55 vs 3.0/3.5 line (+0.30). Liverpool 7/10 recent matches over, Como 5/10; home GL_5 2.20 (strong, accelerating) and away GL_5 1.75 (moderate) both align with over. H2H empty, mutual opponents neutral (g=1 each). Breakdown: Base 50 + gap 5 + home history 8 + away history 0 + H2H 0 + common opponents 0 + likelihood 3 + GL_5 home 8 + GL_5 away 5 + structural 0 = 79%. |
|
| 16-08-2026 17:00 |
Rapid Vienna |
- |
Grazer AK |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.55 vs a 2.5 line (A=3.00, B=1.30, C=2.00, D=0.80). Rapid Vienna and Grazer AK both cleared 2.5 in 8/10 recent matches; H2H is split 1-2 and 1-1. Home market pricing error GL_5 2.00 adds edge; mutual opponents total 2.3 slightly opposes but away c_avg_on_target 5.57 is a structural Over signal. Confidence capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 16-08-2026 17:00 |
Espanyol |
- |
Levante |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.10 vs line 2.25 (gap +0.85): Espanyol 2.00 scored/1.30 conceded at home, Levante 1.50 scored/1.40 conceded away. Espanyol 7/10 and Levante 6/10 recent matches over 2.25; H2H was 0-0 and 1-1 but only 2 meetings; Levante conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (Real Betis 2-1, Celta Vigo 3-2, Villarreal 5-1); home GL_5 1.55 bookmaker mispricing. Raw 93.5% capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 16-08-2026 17:00 |
Espanyol |
- |
Levante |
Over 2.0/2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total 3.10 (A=2.00, B=1.40, C=1.50, D=1.30) vs split line 2.0/2.5. Espanyol 70% over 2.5 at home (7/10), Levante 60% over 2.5 away (6/10); Levante conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away. Mutual-opponent total 2.7 and Espanyol GL_5 1.55 support Over; H2H only 2 matches (0-0, 1-1) so neutral. |
|
| 16-08-2026 17:30 |
VfB Stuttgart II |
- |
FC Viktoria Köln |
Over 1.0,1.5 First Half Goals |
72% |
Expected 1st-half total is 1.55 (home 0.90 scored/0.80 conceded, away 0.60 scored/0.80 conceded) against the 1.0/1.5 HT line, a +0.30 gap. Both sides have gone Over 1.25 first-half in 6 of 10 relevant matches (60% each). Home GL_5 market pricing error is 2.90 severe and accelerating, supporting the Over, while Viktoria Koln conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away matches. |
|
| 16-08-2026 18:00 |
KR Reykjavik |
- |
Breidablik |
Over 5.5 Corners (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st-half corners are 5.95 vs the 5.5 line (KR home 3.2 for/2.2 against, Breidablik away 3.3 for/3.2 against). KR went over 5.5 first-half corners in 6 of 10 (60%) and Breidablik in 7 of 10 (70%); no first-half H2H corner data. KR are 8-1-0 at home, Breidablik 2-4-3 away, and mutual opponents give KR a 4-1 stat advantage, supporting sustained early corner pressure. |
|
| 16-08-2026 18:00 |
IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
- |
IA Akranes |
Over 3.25 Goals (3.0,3.5) |
75% |
Expected FT total 3.90 (A=2.10, B=2.20, C=1.90, D=1.60) vs line 3.25; shot-based cross-check 3.84; mutual-opponents total 4.36; IA conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (5,4,3). Home/away histories 5/10 and 5/10 Over 3.25, H2H 1/3 Over, but away bookmaker mispricing GL_5 1.95 and structural fragility support Over. Confidence: 50 base +13 gap +0 home +0 away -5 H2H +5 common opponents +3 likelihood +0 home GL_5 +4 away GL_5 +5 structural = 75%. |
|
| 16-08-2026 18:00 |
Universidad Guadalajara |
- |
Jaiba Brava |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
82% |
Home scores 1.40 at home and concedes 1.70; away scores 1.10 away and concedes 1.10, expected total 2.65 vs line 2.25 (+0.40 gap). Home are 3/4 over 2.25 at home; H2H 2/3 over (4-1, 4-1, 1-0). Away GL_5 1.90 is strong bookmaker mispricing aligning Over. Scoring: 50 base +8 gap +8 home hist +0 away hist +5 H2H +0 mutual +3 likelihood +0 home GL +8 away GL +0 structural = 82%. |
|
| 16-08-2026 18:45 |
Lens |
- |
PSG |
Over 2.75 Goals |
80% |
Expected total is 3.25 (Lens home 2.10 scored/1.30 conceded; PSG away 1.60 scored/1.50 conceded) versus a 2.75 line. Both teams are 6/10 over 2.75 recently, mutual opponents average 3.59 total goals, and PSG have conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away matches; H2H has only 2 matches, both under, so treated as neutral. |
|
| 16-08-2026 19:00 |
Gimnasia Jujuy |
- |
CA Chaco For Ever |
Over 2.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected full-time total is 2.50 goals (home scored/conceded 1.40/1.40 at home; away scored/conceded 1.10/1.10 away) against a 2.0 line, a 0.50-goal gap. Home have gone over 2.0 in 6 of 10 matches, H2H produced 3 and 2 goals, and there is a quality gap: home are 1st in Group B home form (9W-2D-1L, 24 GF/9 GA) vs away side 17th in Group A with 2W-3D-7L away (8 GF/16 GA). Both teams' GL_5 are below 1.0, so no market-pricing-error boost. |
|
| 16-08-2026 19:15 |
Lazio |
- |
Mantova |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total 3.45 (A=1.80, B=1.40, C=1.90, D=1.80) vs line 2.75, gap +0.70. Lazio's last 10 produced 3+ goals in 8/10 and Mantova's in 6/10, while Mantova conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away games (Frosinone 5, Modena 2, Palermo 2, Catanzaro 2). Bookmaker mispricing supports Over: home GL5 1.60, away GL5 2.50, both accelerating. |
|
| 16-08-2026 19:15 |
Valur Reykjavik |
- |
KA Akureyri |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total 3.80 vs line 3.5 (A=1.40, B=2.60, C=1.50, D=2.10); Valur home 6/10 over 3.5, KA away 7/10 over 3.5. H2H only one meeting 0-1 (neutral); mutual opponents total 3.96, away c_avg_on_target 6.22; away bookmaker pricing error GL_5 1.75 and conceded 2+ in five straight away. Score: base 50 + gap 5 + home 5 + away 8 + common 5 + likelihood 3 + GL_5 away 3 + away fragility 5 = 84 raw capped at 82. |
|
| 16-08-2026 20:00 |
Racing de Cordoba |
- |
San Martin SJ |
Over 1.75 Goals |
81% |
Expected full-time total 2.10 (home 1.00 scored/1.00 conceded at home; away 1.20 scored/1.00 conceded away) vs 1.75 line. Home 7/10 and away 8/10 recent matches over 1.75; mutual opponents total 2.17 supports Over; H2H 0-0 is a single neutral meeting. Confidence: base 50 + gap 5 + home history 8 + away history 10 + H2H 0 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 + market pricing error 0/0 + structural 0 = 81%. |
|
| 16-08-2026 22:00 |
CD Inca |
- |
CD Luis Angel Firpo |
Over 2.5 Goals |
72% |
Breakdown: Base 50 + gap 0 + home history 10 + away history 5 + H2H 0 + common opponents 5 + likelihood -3 + GL_5 home 0 + GL_5 away 0 + structural (away defensive fragility) 5 = 72. Expected total via venue averages is (1.20+1.00)/2 + (1.70+1.10)/2 = 2.50 exactly the line, but shot-based match potential is 5.31 and mutual-opponent total is 3.50, both clearing 2.5. CD Inca's last 5 are 4/5 over 2.5 and Firpo's last 5 are 3/5 over, while Firpo conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away (Plaza Amador 2-1, Hercules 2-2, Municipal Limeno 2-1, FAS 2-0). |
|
| 16-08-2026 23:15 |
Alianza FC Panama |
- |
Plaza Amador |
Over 2.25 Goals |
79% |
Expected total is 3.40 vs line 2.25 (Alianza home 1.30 scored/1.30 conceded, Plaza away 2.70 scored/1.50 conceded). Plaza have gone 9/10 over 2.25 in their last 10, mutual-opponent total is 3.02, and away GL_5 is 2.30 accelerating. H2H is 75% under, but Plaza's current away attack and 3/5 away matches conceding 2+ structurally support the Over. |
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