| 08-05-2026 14:00 |
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora |
- |
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj |
Over 2.75 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 2.95 goals (home 1.10 scored + away 1.60 conceded = 1.35, away 1.30 scored + home 1.90 conceded = 1.60) exceeds line 2.75. Home have 75% Over in home matches (3/4), away have 80% Over in away matches (4/5). Away defensive fragility confirmed (3/5 away conceded 2+ goals). Home GL_5 = 1.60 signals moderate bookmaker mispricing aligning with Over. H2H 1/3 Over not enough to override. Likelihood (65% Over 2.5) supports. |
|
| 08-05-2026 14:00 |
Viktoria FC Women |
- |
Budapest Honved Women |
Over 2.5 Goals |
65% |
Expected total goals 3.30 (1.10 home scored + 1.40 away conceded averaged with 1.70 away scored + 2.40 home conceded) exceeds the 2.75 line by 0.55. Home team's GL_5 variance of 1.50 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing towards goals. Although home match history shows only 4/7 home matches Over 2.5 and away 2/5, the structural defensive weakness (home concedes 2.40/game, away concedes 1.40/game) and the H2H result of 2-2 support an Over outcome. Confidence is 65%, meeting the minimum threshold. |
|
| 08-05-2026 14:00 |
Al-Wehdat |
- |
Al Ahli Amman |
Under 1.0 1st Half Goals |
73% |
Expected 1st half total 0.85 (home HT avg 0.90, away HT conceded away 0.30, away HT scored away 0.30, home conceded HT 0.20) is below the 1.0 line. Home have gone under 1.0 in all 4 recent home HTs (100%), away in 3 of 4 away HTs (75%), confirming a clean low-scoring pattern. Both teams historically low first-half scorers provide two strong structural reasons for an under. |
|
| 08-05-2026 14:00 |
Vision Foot Women |
- |
Cyclone FC Women |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
80% |
Expected 1st half total is 0.85, below the 1.0 line. Home team has 2/2 HT under, away 4/5 HT under (80%), and away failed to score in 1st half in 4 of last 5 away matches. Both teams average low 1st half goals (home 0.20, away 0.40), strongly supporting Under. |
|
| 08-05-2026 14:30 |
BFC Daugavpils |
- |
Riga FC |
Over 1.0,1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
67% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.50 (home avg 0.50 + away conceded 0.60 averaged, plus away avg 1.60 + home conceded 0.30 averaged) vs line 1.25, a 0.25-goal gap. Away team Riga FC have covered Over 1.25 HT in 6 of 7 away matches (86%), while home team Daugavpils have only 20% at home; despite home contradiction, away's strong history and quality gap (2nd vs 4th) drive the Over. Confidence 50% base +5% gap +10% away history +2% structural = 67%. |
|
| 08-05-2026 14:30 |
Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
- |
Arda Kardzhali |
Under 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals of 1.75 (home avg 0.80, away conceded 0.70, away scored 1.00, home conceded 1.00) is well below the 2.0/2.5 line. Lokomotiv's last 5 home matches all finished under 2.5 (100%), and Arda's away matches have 75% under (3/4). H2H also shows 3 of 4 matches under 2.5. Structural under signals are strong with both teams' recent history and H2H alignment, despite mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.15 home, 1.20 away). |
|
| 08-05-2026 14:30 |
Foresters FC |
- |
PTL Bazar Brothers FC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
77% |
Expected total goals 3.15 (Foresters 2.20 home scored, PTL 1.00 conceded away; PTL 2.00 away scored, Foresters 1.10 conceded home). Foresters' last 4 home matches had 75% over 2.75 (scores 3-2, 3-2, 2-1, 2-0). H2H shows 4/4 matches over 2.75 (3-1, 2-1, 3-0, 2-1) with 100% alignment. Likelihood for over 2.5 is 65%, and home market pricing error (GL_5 1.05) mildly supports the Over bias. |
|
| 08-05-2026 15:00 |
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas |
- |
Puchov |
Under 1.0,1.5 Goals (HT) |
75% |
Expected HT total is just 0.90 goals (home HT avg 0.50 + away HT avg 0.40) against a line of 1.25. Both teams have 80% of their last 10 matches finishing under 1.25 HT (8/10 each), and Puchov has failed to score in the first half in 4 of their last 5 away games. The strong structural pattern of low HT scoring overrides the quality gap, making the under bet the best value. |
|
| 08-05-2026 15:00 |
MFK Zvolen |
- |
MSK Zilina B |
Asian Handicap: MFK Zvolen -0.25 |
75% |
Zvolen sits 2nd in the league (46 pts) while Zilina B languishes in 12th (30 pts). Zvolen has covered the Asian Handicap in each of its last 5 matches, while Zilina B has lost 4 of its last 5 away AH games. The most recent H2H saw Zvolen win 3-1 away, reinforcing the quality gap. With a strong home record and clear form advantage, Zvolen -0.25 offers solid value. |
|
| 08-05-2026 15:00 |
Polissya Zhytomyr |
- |
PFC Oleksandria |
1st Half Over 1.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected 1st half total 1.45 (home scores 1.30 at home, away concedes 1.00 away) exceeds line of 1.0. Home scored in 1st half of all 4 home matches, away conceded in 4/5 away matches. Structural quality gap (3rd vs 15th) supports Over. Away market mispricing (GL_5=1.60) adds moderate edge. |
|
| 08-05-2026 15:00 |
OFK Malzenice |
- |
STK Samorin |
Under 1.0 Goals 1st Half |
82% |
Expected 1st half total is just 0.65, calculated from Malzenice's home HT average (0.30) and Samorin's away HT conceded (0.40) plus reverse averages. Malzenice's last 6 home matches saw 83% (5/6) under 1.0 HT goals, and Samorin's last 5 away matches saw 80% (4/5) under 1.0 HT. Samorin failed to score in the 1st half in 3 of those 5 away games, reinforcing the under pattern. Home GL_5 mispricing of 1.85 (accelerating from 1.73) aligns with Under direction, adding edge. H2H history also trends low scoring. All signals point to a low-scoring first half. |
|
| 08-05-2026 15:00 |
FK Kabel Novi Sad |
- |
FK Trayal Krusevac |
Over 2.25 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 2.45 (home avg 1.00, away conceded away 1.10, away scored 0.90, home conceded 1.90) exceeds the line of 2.25. Kabel's recent matches show 75% of home games and 80% of away games going over 2.5. Trayal has conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility. H2H is neutral (2 matches, 1 over, 1 under). Market pricing error is mild (home GL_5 1.40), supporting the over pick. |
|
| 08-05-2026 15:00 |
Olympique Akbou |
- |
CR Belouizdad |
CR Belouizdad 0 Asian Handicap |
75% |
CR Belouizdad covered 4 of last 5 Asian handicaps (80%) and won both H2H meetings (3-2, 2-0). Their points per game (1.78) exceeds Olympique Akbou's (1.63), and common opponent results favor CRB (e.g., beat MC Alger 3-2 while OA lost 1-2). Olympique Akbou's poor home form (only 27% of home matches over 2.0 goals) and lack of recent Over trends further support the away side. Confidence is high at 75% based on three supporting signals: standings gap, recent AH cover, and common opponents. |
|
| 08-05-2026 15:00 |
AS Soliman |
- |
AS Gabes |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half total is 0.35 goals (Soliman HT avg 0.20 home, Gabes HT avg 0.10 away), far below the 1.0 line. Soliman have gone Under 1.0 in 3 of 4 home halves, Gabes in all 5 away halves. Both teams are in scoring droughts (Soliman failed to score in 2 of 4 home matches, Gabes in 4 of 5 away), structurally supporting low scoring. H2H also aligns (3 of 4 FT under 2.5). Bookmaker mispricing is negligible (GL_5 <1.0 for both). |
|
| 08-05-2026 15:00 |
Stade Tunisien |
- |
US Ben Guerdane |
Over 0.5,1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
65% |
Stade Tunisien have hit Over 0.75 HT in all 4 home matches this season (avg 1.0 HT total), while US Ben Guerdane's away HT average is just 0.50. Expected HT total exactly at the line (0.75), but the home side's dominant first-half record and quality gap (4th vs 10th) provide a structural edge. Away team's defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away) adds late-game potential, though the 1st half focus is stronger. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (away GL_5 1.40), not enough to boost confidence further. |
|
| 08-05-2026 15:15 |
Al-Nahda |
- |
Sohar Club |
Over 0.75 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half total 1.10 (home avg 0.50 + away concede 0.50 and away avg 0.50 + home concede 0.70) exceeds line 0.75. Al-Nahda home 1st half Over 0.75 in 7/10 (70%) matches; Sohar away 1st half Over 0.75 in all 5 recent away matches (100%). H2H matches averaged 2+ first-half goals (e.g. 1-1, 1-1, 2-0). Home GL_5 1.35 indicates mild mispricing but primary edge from strong first-half scoring patterns and recent form. |
|
| 08-05-2026 15:30 |
Sabah |
- |
FK Kapaz |
Over 8.5 Corners |
75% |
Expected corners total is 9.05 (Sabah home avg 6.40, Kapaz away concede 4.20), above the 8.5 line. Sabah have gone Over 8.5 in all 4 home matches (100%) and Kapaz away corners have gone Over in 2 of 3 (67%). The quality gap (1st vs 10th) and home attacking dominance create a structural Over signal, compounded by high corner variance (Sabah GL_5=2.40) indicating persistent bookmaker mispricing. |
|
| 08-05-2026 15:30 |
Namungo FC |
- |
Mashujaa FC |
Mashujaa FC +0.5 Asian Handicap |
77% |
Namungo FC have failed to win in their last 10 matches (0 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses), while Mashujaa FC have avoided defeat in 8 of their last 9 away games (3 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss). H2H reinforces this: Mashujaa won all 3 recent meetings 1-0. Standings gap (9th vs 10th) and Mashujaa's strong AH record (60% wins last 5) support the away side covering the +0.5 line. No over bet qualified across other markets, making this the highest-confidence pick at 77%. |
|
| 08-05-2026 16:00 |
SV Kapfenberg |
- |
St Polten |
Under 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total FT goals calculated as (0.90+0.90)/2 + (1.10+1.60)/2 = 2.25, well below the line of 2.75 (gap 0.5). St Polten has a severe scoring drought, failing to score in 4 of last 5 matches, and Kapfenberg has failed to score in 3 of last 5. St Polten's away attack is suppressed (scored in only 25% of away games). Away team GL_5 variance of 1.80 indicates accelerating bookmaker mispricing in the Under direction. St Polten's match history shows 80% Under in last 5, Kapfenberg 60% Under. H2H is neutral (50% Under). Confidence breakdown: 50% base +10% gap +10% away history +5% scoring drought +5% away attack suppression +5% GL_5 away = 85% capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 08-05-2026 16:00 |
SW Bregenz |
- |
FK Austria Vienna II |
Over 9.0 Asian Corners |
73% |
Expected corners total 9.70 (home avg 4.90 + away conceded 4.20 = 9.10/2 = 4.55; away avg 5.20 + home conceded 5.10 = 10.30/2 = 5.15; sum 9.70) exceeds the line of 9.0. Home team's last 4 home matches all went over 9 corners (10, 12, 12, 11), and away team's last 4 away matches saw 3 of 4 over (11, 10, 10, 9). The quality gap (15th vs 7th) supports sustained attacking pressure from the away side, generating corners. H2H corners sample is too small to override. |
|
| 08-05-2026 16:00 |
Hertha Wels |
- |
Sturm Graz II |
Over 9.0 Asian Corners |
82% |
Expected total corners 10.25 (E+H/2 + G+F/2 = 5.25+5.00) exceeds line 9.0 by 1.25. Sturm Graz II away corners are 80% Over (4/5 recent away matches), and their corner mispricing is severe (GL_5=4.40, accelerating). Hertha Wels home corners hit 50% Over. Relegation battle context and high defensive vulnerability from Sturm (conceding 6.70 corners away) further support an open corner count. |
|
| 08-05-2026 16:00 |
SV Austria Salzburg |
- |
Austria Lustenau |
Over 8.5 Asian Corners |
73% |
Expected total corners calculated at 9.0 (home avg 3.80 conceded 6.50, away avg 4.30 conceded 3.40) exceeds the line of 8.5. Home team SV Austria Salzburg has 75% of its last 4 home matches going over 8.5 corners (3 of 4), while the quality gap between 1st-placed Austria Lustenau and 9th-placed Salzburg suggests Salzburg will defend deep, conceding corners from sustained pressure. Both teams show strong corner mispricing (home GL_5 equivalent 1.90, away 2.10), adding further edge. |
|
| 08-05-2026 16:00 |
Honefoss Women |
- |
Valerenga Women |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
65% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.65 goals (home avg 0.70 + away conceded 0.60 averaged with away scored 0.80 + home conceded 1.20), slightly above the 1.5 line. Honefoss have seen Over 1.5 in 5 of their last 6 home half-times (83%), while Valerenga's away half-time record is 50% over. The massive quality gap (Valerenga heavy favorites) and Honefoss' defensive fragility suggest early goals are likely. |
|
| 08-05-2026 16:00 |
Red Star Penzing |
- |
SV Wienerberg |
Over 1.25 First Half Goals |
82% |
SV Wienerberg scores in the first half in 100% of away matches (10/10) and averages 1.60 first-half goals away, while Red Star Penzing concedes 0.40 at home. The expected 1st half total of 1.70 exceeds the 1.25 line, and Wienerberg's GL_5 mispricing of 2.80 indicates strong bookmaker error. Their 4/5 away matches have gone Over 1.25 in the first half. |
|
| 08-05-2026 16:00 |
Vojvodina |
- |
FK Cukaricki |
Over 4.0 Corners 1st Half |
68% |
Expected first-half corners total of 4.15 slightly exceeds the 4.0 line. Cukaricki have gone over 4 HT corners in 4 of their last 5 away matches (80%), while Vojvodina are at 50% at home (2/4). Vojvodina’s quality advantage (3rd in standings vs 8th) should sustain attacking pressure, increasing corner counts. Likelihood data shows 75% chance of over 4 HT corners overall. |
|
| 08-05-2026 16:00 |
Thisted FC |
- |
AB Copenhagen |
AB Copenhagen -0.25 (Asian Handicap) |
67% |
AB Copenhagen (59 points, top of Promotion Round) hold a 17-point standings gap over Thisted (42 points, 4th). AB's Asian Handicap record shows 7 wins in last 10, while Thisted has 3 wins in last 10. In recent head-to-head, AB covered the +0.25 line in 3 of 4 meetings (including a draw). AB's recent form (3 AH wins in last 5) and superior squad depth support an edge on the -0.25 handicap at 1.80 odds. |
|
| 08-05-2026 16:00 |
Al Ittifaq Maqaba |
- |
Busaiteen |
Over 8.0 Corners |
82% |
Expected corners total is 9.0 (home avg 4.5 + concede 4.0, away avg 5.6 + concede 3.9, averaged). Al Ittifaq Maqaba has 80% of last 5 home matches over 8 corners and H2H corners are 75% over 8 (totals 9,6,10,14). Structural dominance (1st vs 8th) drives sustained pressure, and away team's high corner variance suggests bookmaker mispricing. |
|
| 08-05-2026 16:00 |
Etehad Al Reef |
- |
Al Ittihad |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
76% |
Away Al Ittihad averages 2.5 goals scored away; home Etehad Al Reef concedes 2.0 at home. Expected total of 3.25 matches the line, with home defense conceding 2+ in 4 of last 5 home games. Quality gap (3rd vs 10th) and high bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.00 home, 1.70 away, both accelerating) favor Over. H2H has 2 of 4 matches over 3 goals; likelihood data shows 70% chance over 2.5 goals. |
|
| 08-05-2026 16:00 |
Anorthosis Famagusta |
- |
Krasava ENY Ypsonas |
Krasava ENY Ypsonas +0.5 (Asian Handicap) |
70% |
Krasava covers +0.5 in 80% of recent away matches (4/5) and drew 1-1 in the only away H2H. Despite Anorthosis having a slight standings edge, away defensive record (1.30 conceded per game) and strong AH form (9/10 recent covers) support the away side. The expected goal line of 2.45 is above the 2.25 line but home history (80% Under) contradicts Over, making the Asian Handicap the best value. |
|
| 08-05-2026 16:30 |
Nurnberg Women |
- |
SGS Essen Women |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total 3.35 (home avg 1.00 + away avg 2.50)/2 + (away avg 0.90 + home avg 2.30)/2 = 1.75 + 1.60) vs line 2.75, gap +0.60. SGS Essen concede 2.50 away, and in last 5 away conceded 2+ in 3 of 5 (defensive fragility). Their last 5 matches all Over 2.5 (100%). H2H: 2 of 3 recent meetings Over. Away team market pricing error (GL_5=1.50, moderate) aligns with Over. Confidence capped at 82% (standard ceiling). |
|
| 08-05-2026 16:45 |
JS Kabylie |
- |
ES Setif |
Over 8.5 Corners |
76% |
Expected corners 9.2 exceeds line 8.5. Home corners over in 3/4 home matches (75%). Away corners 2/4 away matches (50%), neutral. H2H corners split 2-2. Home corner variance 2.0 indicates consistent bookmaker mispricing on the over side. Structural quality gap (home 7th vs away 11th, away weak away) supports an open game with corners. Combined signals yield 76% confidence. |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:00 |
Atus Velden |
- |
Union Gurten |
Over 2.5 Goals |
80% |
Expected total 3.20 (home avg 1.30 scored + conceded 2.70 at home vs away avg 1.30 scored + 1.10 conceded away) clears the 2.75 line by 0.45 goals. Atus Velden have gone Over 2.5 in 5/5 home matches (100%), and their attacking form (scored 2+ in 4 of last 5) overrides Union Gurten's 1/5 away Over record. Both teams show elevated bookmaker errors (home GL5 1.80, away GL5 1.90 accelerating), indicating lines are consistently too low for this matchup. |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:00 |
ASK Voitsberg |
- |
FC Gleisdorf 09 |
Under 4.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.85 goals (home avg 3.60, away avg 1.70, home conceded 0.80, away conceded 1.60) falls below the 4.25 line. Home team's last 10 home matches went under 70% of the time, away team's last 9 matches went under 78%, with structural support from an away scoring drought (9/10 away matches without a goal) and home defensive strength (7/10 clean sheets). Market pricing error is moderate (home GL_5 1.70, away GL_5 1.60) aligning with under direction. H2H shows 2 of 3 over but not unanimous. |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:00 |
Linköpings FC Women |
- |
KIF Orebro Women |
Over 3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected full-time goals 3.70 (home defense 2.40 conceded at home vs away attack 2.50 scored away). Home's last 2 home matches both over 3 (4-0, 2-2), away's last 4 away matches over in 2 (1-5, 2-2). H2H contradicts (1 over in 4) but structural away-attack vs home-defense fragility and accelerating home GL_5 (1.60 > 1.43) support Over. Confidence reduced 10% per H2H rule but remains 68%. |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:00 |
Galtabacks BK |
- |
Torslanda IK |
Over 3.0 Goals |
79% |
Expected total goals of 3.40 (home avg 1.20 scored at home plus away avg conceding 2.30 averaged with away avg 1.70 scored away plus home avg conceding 1.60) exceeds the 3.0 line. Home match history shows 2/3 (66.7%) Over 3.0, away history shows 3/4 (75%) Over. Home GL_5 variance of 1.50 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing. No H2H data to contradict. The Over is well-supported. |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:00 |
Varbergs BoIS FC |
- |
IFK Varnamo |
Over 2.5 Goals |
90% |
Expected total goals 3.25 (Varbergs home avg 1.30, Varnamo away conceded avg 2.00; Varnamo away avg 1.50, Varbergs home conceded avg 1.70) exceeds line of 2.5 by 0.75. Both teams have 80% Over in last 5 Superettan matches. H2H 3/4 Over 2.5 (75%). Away team Varnamo conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches (defensive fragility). Bookmaker mispricing strong for away team (GL_5=1.85, accelerating) adding edge to Over. Confidence capped at 90% under exceptional evidence tier. |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:00 |
Orebro SK |
- |
IK Brage |
Over 2.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total goals 3.05 (Orebro 1.40 avg at home, Brage concedes 1.80 away) exceeds the 2.75 line by 0.30. Orebro's home matches are 60% Over 2.5, and H2H shows 75% Over such as the 9-goal thriller. Brage's GL_5 of 1.75 indicates accelerating market mispricing, adding edge to the Over. |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:00 |
Elfsborg |
- |
Brommapojkarna |
Over 2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total 2.90 goals vs line 2.5 (gap +0.40) based on Elfsborg averaging 1.50 goals at home and conceding 1.10, Brommapojkarna averaging 1.50 goals away and conceding 1.70. Bromma's away matches have gone Over 2.5 in 4 of 5 (80%), and H2H has 3 of 4 Over (75%), while Elfsborg's home history is 4 of 7 (57%) but not contradicting. Structural signal: Bromma conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away. No significant bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 below 1.0 for both). |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:00 |
Internacional de Bogota Women |
- |
Llaneros Women |
Under 1.0 Goals 1st Half |
76% |
Expected 1st half total is 0.97, below the 1.0 line. Home team has gone under 1.0 in 3 of 4 home matches (75%), and away team has gone under in all 3 away matches (100%), including failing to score in the first half in every away game. Combined with low scoring averages (home 0.57, away 0.20), the structural case for under is strong. |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:00 |
AaB |
- |
Middelfart |
Over 3.0 Goals |
80% |
Expected full-time total of 3.50 goals (AaB home avg 1.80, Middelfart away conceded avg 3.20) exceeds the 3.0 line. Middelfart have conceded 2+ in all 5 recent away matches (defensive fragility), and away GL_5 of 1.85 signals moderate bookmaker mispricing. AaB's 50% home Over rate and Middelfart's 60% away Over rate support the Over, while the quality gap (AaB 1st vs Middelfart 6th in relegation group) adds further confidence. |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:00 |
Sundby |
- |
Frem |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
77% |
Expected full-time goals 3.15 (Sundby home avg 1.50, Frem away avg 1.80) exceeds line 2.75. Frem's last 5 away matches all went Over 2.5 (100%), and H2H history is 4/4 Over. Sundby's home Over rate is 60% in last 5, and Frem's GL_5 variance of 2.95 indicates severe bookmaker mispricing on the Over side. |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:00 |
Erzgebirge Aue |
- |
MSV Duisburg |
Over 1.0,1.5 1st Half Goals |
81% |
Expected 1st half total is 2.00 (Aue home HT avg 0.60, Duisburg away conceded HT avg 0.90, Duisburg away scored HT avg 0.70, Aue home conceded HT avg 1.80), 0.75 above the 1.25 line. Aue's last 10 matches show 7/10 Over in 1st half (70%), while Duisburg's are 5/10 (50%). The massive quality gap (Duisburg 3rd, Aue 19th) and Aue's leaky 1st-half defense (conceding 1.80 on average at home) support an Over. Market pricing error for full-time (Aue GL_5=2.00, accelerating) reinforces that the bookmaker systematically underestimates goals in Aue matches. |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:00 |
Eskisehirspor |
- |
Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor |
Eskisehirspor -0.75 |
75% |
Eskisehirspor (2nd, 71 pts) hosts Ayvalikgucu (4th, 59 pts). Home team has won all 6 home matches this season by 2+ goals, covering -0.75 each time. Away team has lost 4 of 6 away matches, including a 2-0 defeat at this venue in the only H2H. Home AH record is 8-1-1 last 10, while away is 5-5 last 10. Structural quality gap and dominant home form strongly support a home win by at least one goal. |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:00 |
52 Orduspor FK |
- |
Yozgat Bozokspor |
Over 2.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected total 2.55 (home avg 1.70 + away con 0.90)/2 + (away avg 2.00 + home con 0.50)/2 just above line 2.5. Home team 75% Over in last 4 home matches (3/4) and away team 80% Over in last 5 away matches (4/5). H2H (2-0) under but only one match neutral. Both teams in playoff needing win, home in strong form (4/5 home matches 2+ goals). Market mispricing moderate and accelerating (home GL_5 1.75, away GL_5 1.50) adds edge to Over. |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:00 |
MC Alger |
- |
MB Rouissat |
Over 2.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected total (2.90) exceeds the 2.5 line by 0.40, driven by MC Alger's strong home scoring (avg 2.10) and MB Rouissat's defensive fragility away (conceded 2+ in all 5 recent away matches). Home team has 75% of home matches going Over 2.5, and away team 66.7% of away matches. The structural quality gap (1st vs 13th) and clear trend of away conceding add further confidence. Market pricing error is mild (GL_5 1.2 for both), so no adjustment needed. |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:00 |
Black Lions FC |
- |
Centre Chiefs |
Centre Chiefs -0.5 (Asian Handicap) |
75% |
Centre Chiefs (3rd, 53pts) face Black Lions (13th, 24pts) with a 29-point gap. The visitors have won their last 5 matches by at least one goal, covering -0.5 each time, and have 2 clean-sheet away wins in league (2-0 vs Township, 1-0 vs Calender). H2H results are both 1-0 wins for Chiefs, reinforcing the handicap cover. Common opponent results (Township, Calender, Police) also favour Chiefs. Strong standings and form signals support this bet. |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:30 |
Oberwart |
- |
Favoritner AC |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.95 from Oberwart home scoring 2.9, Favoritner away conceding 1.4, away scoring 2.1, home conceding 1.5; line 3.0. Full-time history shows 40% overs but expected gap +0.95 and strong bookmaker mispricing (home GL5 2.20, away 1.55) override. Quality gap (7th vs 14th) adds structural upside. Confidence capped at standard ceiling 82%. |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:30 |
Durban City |
- |
Stellenbosch FC |
Over 0.75 Goals (1st Half) |
75% |
Expected 1st half goals (1.10) exceed the line (0.75) by 0.35. Durban City have gone Over the 0.75 HT line in all 3 recent home matches (100%), and Stellenbosch in 2 of 3 away matches (67%). Home GL_5 variance of 1.65 (moderate mispricing, accelerating) adds to Over confidence, while H2H is neutral (1 match only). These form a strong Over case for the first half. |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:30 |
Dalstorps IF |
- |
Landvetter IS |
Landvetter IS -0.25 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Landvetter (1st, 16 pts) faces Dalstorps (5th, 9 pts) with a clear standings gap. Their Asian Handicap record is 5-0-0 in the last 5 matches (100% cover rate), while Dalstorps covers only 1 of 5. The expected goal total of 3.65 sits above the 3.0 line, but recent match history shows both teams have just 16.7% Over 3.0 rate, making the Over fragile. Landvetter's strong AH form and league position justify a 67% confidence bet on the -0.25 line. |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:30 |
Vikingur Reykjavik |
- |
Thor Akureyri |
Over 11.0 Asian Corners |
70% |
Thor Akureyri went Over 11 corners in all 5 recent away matches (100%), while Vikingur Reykjavik averages 6.5 corners at home and concedes 3.9, yielding an expected total of 11.20. The quality gap (2nd vs 7th) and high away corner variance (2.00) strengthen the Over signal. |
|
| 08-05-2026 17:57 |
Podlasie Biala Podlaska |
- |
Swidniczanka Swidnik |
Over 3.0 Goals |
66% |
Expected total 3.15 (home avg 1.40 scored/1.30 conceded at home, away avg 0.50 scored/3.10 conceded away) just above the 3.0 line. Away team's severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5=2.15) and 3.1 goals conceded per away game strongly support Over. Quality gap (8th vs 17th) adds structural edge. Despite weak home Over record (0/3), the combination of away defensive fragility and market error overrides. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:00 |
Ajax Women |
- |
VV Alkmaar Women |
Under 3.25 Goals |
81% |
Expected total goals (2.85) is below the 3.25 line by 0.40, with Ajax Women going Under in 4/4 home matches (100%) and VV Alkmaar conceding an average of 2.3 goals away. Market misfiring is moderate (home GL_5=1.75, away GL_5=1.55) and aligns with the Under direction, supporting the bet despite VV Alkmaar's 60% away Over history. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:00 |
Excelsior Women |
- |
Feyenoord Women |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Excelsior concede 1.60 goals on average at home in the first half, and Feyenoord score 0.80 away, giving an expected 1st half total of 1.80 vs the 1.50 line. Home history shows 4 of 6 matches (67%) exceeded 1.5 HT goals. Feyenoord's heavy favorite status (odds 1.125) suggests early pressure, and Excelsior's weak first-half defense is a clear structural over signal. Market pricing error data for full-time goal line (GL_5 home 1.75) indicates bookmaker mispricing, though no HT variance available. Over-first philosophy and equal confidence with the FT Under (73%) favor this HT Over bet. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:00 |
NAC Women |
- |
FC Twente Women |
Under 2.5 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half total is just 1.45 goals (NAC average 0.30 scored, 1.20 conceded; Twente average 1.00 scored, 0.40 conceded), well below the 2.25 line. Both teams have seen under 2.5 HT goals in 80% of recent matches, and NAC has scored in only 3 of its last 10 first halves. Away team GL_5 of 1.70 suggests the bookmaker line is overpriced, supporting an under bet. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:00 |
Lommel Reserves |
- |
RFC Liege Reserves |
Over 4.0 Goals |
70% |
Expected total goals (3.90) is just 0.10 below the 4.0 line, but structural signals strongly favour Over: league leaders Lommel (avg 2.20 scored at home) face bottom side RFC Liege (avg 3.40 conceded away), with the away side conceding 4+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches. H2H also supports with 2 of the last 3 meetings going Over 4.0. Additionally, home team's GL_5 mispricing of 2.10 indicates the market has underestimated goals in recent Lommel matches, adding edge to the Over side. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:00 |
PEC Zwolle Women |
- |
HERA United Women |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 2.80 goals (Zwolle 1.10 home avg, concede 1.60; HERA 1.20 away avg, concede 1.70) just above 2.75 line. HERA away matches have 100% Over in last 5 (all 3+ goals), and Zwolle home matches 60% Over, with likelihood at 70%. Minimal bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.45) provides marginal edge. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:00 |
HNK Rijeka |
- |
Vukovar 91 |
Over 8.5 Corners |
78% |
Expected total corners 8.80 (Rijeka home avg 7.40 + Vukovar away conceded avg 4.10 = 5.75, combined with Vukovar away avg 3.30 + Rijeka conceded avg 2.80 = 3.05) exceeds the line of 8.5. Rijeka have gone Over in 5/5 home matches (100%), Vukovar away in 3/4 (75%), and H2H corners are 2/3 Over (67%). The quality gap (4th vs 10th) supports sustained Rijeka pressure and corner generation. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:00 |
Olympique Dcheira |
- |
US Yacoub El Mansour |
Over 0.75 Goals 1st Half |
80% |
Expected 1st half total of 1.40 goals (home avg 0.70 + away conceded 1.20, away avg 0.40 + home conceded 0.50) significantly exceeds the 0.75 line, creating a 0.65 goal gap. Home has 60% (6/10) of recent home matches with 1+ 1st half goals, while away has 80% (8/10) overall and concedes 1.20 per away half. Both relegation-threatened teams need points, favouring an open early tempo, with mild bookmaker mispricing (away GL_5 1.30) supporting the Over. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:00 |
Al Kholood |
- |
Al Hilal Riyadh |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Al Hilal average 1.40 HT goals away, Al Kholood concede 1.50 HT at home; expected HT total 2.05 vs line 1.5 (gap +0.55). Al Kholood's last 5 home first halves saw 3 of 5 over 1.5 (60%), and the quality gap (2nd vs 14th) supports early dominance. H2H history shows 4/4 FT over 3.5, confirming mismatch. Moderate bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.50, away 1.70) aligns with Over direction. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:15 |
Etoile Carouge |
- |
FC Vaduz |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
76% |
Expected 1st half total 1.65 (Etoile Carouge home 1st half avg 0.80 + FC Vaduz away 1st half concede 0.60 averaged with Vaduz away 1st half scored 1.40 + Etoile concede 0.50) exceeds line 1.25, and FC Vaduz have gone over 1.25 in 70% of last 10 matches. Structural quality gap (Vaduz 1st, Etoile 7th) and moderate bookmaker mispricing on Etoile (GL_5 1.55, accelerating) add confidence. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:15 |
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
- |
AC Bellinzona |
Over 1.25 Goals 1st Half |
68% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.30 (home 0.20 avg scored + away 1.10 conceded, away 0.60 scored + home 0.70 conceded, averaging to 1.30). Bellinzona have covered Over 1.25 in all 4 of their recent away 1st halves (100%), and they score early (25% of goals in first 15 min), providing a strong structural Over signal that outweighs the narrow gap from the line. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:15 |
Wil 1900 |
- |
Yverdon Sport FC |
Over 1.0, 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.85 (home avg 0.90 + away conceded 0.80, away avg 1.10 + home conceded 0.90) vs line 1.25 – a gap of +0.60 goals. Wil 1900 have covered Over 1.25 in all 4 home matches (100%) with 1st half totals of 3,5,3,2 goals, while Yverdon have covered in all 3 away matches (100%) with 1st half totals of 2,3,3. Likelihood data shows Yverdon score in the first half in 90% of away matches, reinforcing early attacking intent. H2H is neutral with only one recent 0-0 HT sample. Market pricing error (GL_5 1.60 home, 1.55 away) indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing in goals, further supporting the Over. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:30 |
General Lamadrid |
- |
CA Atlas |
Over 0.75 First Half Goals |
80% |
Expected HT total is 0.75, matching the line, but recent form strongly favors Over: home's last 5 home matches had 80% of HT totals over 0.75 (0,1,1,2,1) and away's last 5 away matches had 100% over 0.75 (3,1,1,1,1). Home is top of the group and dominates at home while away is 11th and weak away. Market pricing error is low, but historical pattern is clean. Over 0.75 HT at 1.80 offers solid value. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:30 |
KV Kortrijk Reserves |
- |
Patro EM Reserves |
Over 3.5 Goals |
80% |
Expected total (3.65) exceeds the 3.5 line, calculated from KV Kortrijk's 3.60 home goals scored and 1.40 conceded, and Patro's 1.30 away scored and 1.00 conceded. Severe bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5=3.15, away GL_5=2.05, both accelerating) adds +20% edge. Structural signals align: KV Kortrijk (3rd, 44pts) dominates Patro (10th, 26pts), away defensive fragility is confirmed as Patro conceded 2+ in 3 of 5 away matches, and home side scores 2+ in 4 of 5 home matches. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:30 |
RAAL La Louviere Reserves |
- |
KFCO Beerschot-Wilrijk Reserves |
Over 4.0 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 4.35 goals (home avg 2.3 scored, 2.1 conceded; away avg 2.0 scored, 2.3 conceded) exceeds the 4.0 line. Away team has 60% of recent matches over 4.0, and home 40%, while the lone H2H produced 6 goals. Bookmaker mispricing is strong for away (GL_5=2.10, accelerating) and moderate for home (1.50), supporting an Over edge. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:30 |
AC Reggiana |
- |
Sampdoria |
Over 8.5 Asian Corners |
76% |
Expected total corners is 9.25 (home avg 3.20, conceded 5.20; away avg 5.00, conceded 5.10), above the 8.5 line. Sampdoria have 70% of matches over 8.5, and H2H shows 75% over. Home corner variance (2.70) indicates bookmaker mispricing, supporting Over. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:30 |
Catanzaro |
- |
Bari |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.55 (home avg 2.10 + away conceded 1.90 averaged with away scored 1.20 + home conceded 1.90) exceeds the 2.75 line. Catanzaro's last 4 home matches saw 3 Over 2.5 (75%), while Bari conceded 2+ goals in all 4 recent away matches, confirming defensive fragility. H2H split 2-2 but home GL_5 of 1.55 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing, supporting the Over. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:30 |
Sudtirol |
- |
Juve Stabia |
Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
76% |
Expected 1st half goals total calculated at 1.10 (Sudtirol home 1st half avg 0.20 scored, conceded 1.00; Juve Stabia away 1st half avg 0.50 scored, conceded 0.50). Both teams have 70% of their recent matches finishing under 1.5 first-half goals. Sudtirol have failed to score a first-half goal in their last 6 home matches, a severe scoring drought. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (home GL_5 1.45), but the structural under signal from the home team's lack of first-half output is decisive. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:30 |
Pescara |
- |
Spezia |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.50 well above line 3.0 (Pescara home avg 1.80, Spezia away conceded 2.20; Spezia away scored 1.70, Pescara home conceded 1.30). Pescara 70% and Spezia 60% of recent matches went over 3.0 goals. Spezia's away defensive fragility (conceded 3+ in each of last 4 away) and high bookmaker mispricing (away GL_5 2.25, accelerating) add edge. Over is preferred despite neutral H2H. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:30 |
Frosinone |
- |
Mantova |
Over 3.0 Goals |
66% |
Frosinone (2nd) home averages 2.10 goals scored, 0.80 conceded; Mantova (10th) away averages 1.80 scored, 1.00 conceded, yielding an expected total of 2.85, just 0.15 below the 3.0 line. H2H: 2 of 3 meetings had over 3 goals (6, 4, 3). Mantova has conceded 2+ goals in all 5 away matches, signaling defensive fragility. Frosinone's home form is strong (5 of last 6 home matches with 2+ goals). Bookmaker mispricing is low (GL_5: home 0.80, away 1.05), but the structural away weakness and quality gap support the Over side. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:30 |
Venezia |
- |
Palermo |
Under 1.25 1st Half Goals |
78% |
Expected 1st half total 1.10 (Venezia home HT avg 0.90+conceded 0.10, Palermo away HT avg 0.70+conceded 0.50) is below the line of 1.25. Both teams show strong HT Under trends: Venezia 8/10 (80%) HT matches under 1.25, Palermo 7/10 (70%). Additionally, Palermo failed to score in the 1st half in 3 of their last 5 away matches, adding structural support for a low-scoring first half. H2H is neutral with no HT data contradiction. Confidence 78% meets the 72% minimum for an Under bet. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:30 |
Arbroath |
- |
Dunfermline |
Under 1.0,1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
80% |
Expected 1st half total 0.90 goals vs line 1.25; Arbroath home HT goals in last 5: 0,1,2,1,0 (80% under 1.25), Dunfermline away HT goals: 1,1,2,1,3 (60% under 1.25); both teams average under 0.5 goals per half, and home team kept 3 clean sheets in last 5 at home. Home GL_5 = 1.60 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing in the under direction. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:45 |
Shelbourne |
- |
Sligo Rovers |
Over 2.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total 2.75 (Shelbourne 1.60 avg home goals + Sligo 1.20 avg away conceded / 2 = 1.40, plus Sligo 0.80 avg away goals + Shelbourne 1.90 avg home conceded / 2 = 1.35). Shelbourne home record: 3 of last 4 home matches went Over 2.5. H2H split 2 Over, 2 Under. Home GL_5 = 1.8 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing aligning with Over. Form momentum: Shelbourne's last 3 home games all exceeded 2.5 total goals. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:45 |
Galway United |
- |
Shamrock Rovers |
1st Half Over 1.0 Goals |
65% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.30 goals (Galway 0.60 avg scored at home + 0.30 conceded, Shamrock 1.00 avg scored away + 0.70 conceded), exceeding the 1.0 line by 0.30. Shamrock (1st) dominate the league and have a GL_5 of 1.50, indicating bookmaker mispricing that favours Over. The quality gap and away attacking strength support an Over bet despite limited historical 1st half overs in the small sample. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:45 |
Dundalk |
- |
Bohemians Dublin |
Over 10.0 Corners |
68% |
Expected total corners 11.20 exceeds line 10.0 (gap +1.20). Dundalk's home corner history shows 60% Over 10.0 (6/10) and Bohemians' away corner history 50% Over (5/10). Likelihood data (75%) aligns, and no strong H2H contradiction. Bet Over 10.0 corners. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:45 |
Drogheda United |
- |
Derry City |
Over 2.25 Goals |
67% |
Expected full-time goals total of 2.75 (Drogheda 1.30 avg at home + Derry 1.10 conceded away averaged vs Derry 1.10 away + Drogheda 2.00 conceded at home) exceeds the line of 2.25 by 0.5. Drogheda's GL_5 mispricing of 2.15 (severe) suggests the bookmaker systematically underestimates goals in their matches, adding edge to the Over. Likelihood data shows a 60% chance of Over 2.5, supporting direction. H2H is evenly split (2 Over, 2 Under) but does not contradict. Selected Over as per philosophy. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:45 |
Wexford FC |
- |
Longford Town |
Under 1.0 Goals 1st Half |
82% |
Expected 1st half total is 0.55, well below the 1.0 line. Wexford's last 5 home 1st halves all went under 1 goal (0,1,0,1,1), and Longford's last 5 away 1st halves all went under (1,0,1,0,0), with Longford failing to score in any of those. Structural signals include Longford's away 1st half scoring drought and both teams' low 1st half averages (0.30 and 0.20). |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:45 |
Torino |
- |
Sassuolo |
Over 9.0 Asian Corners |
66% |
Expected total corners 9.1 (Torino avg 3.2 at home, concede 5.5; Sassuolo avg 4.2 away, concede 5.3) just exceeds the 9.0 line. Away corner history shows 60% over in last 10 matches, and high bookmaker mispricing (variance_ac_5=3.30 for Sassuolo) supports the Over. Both teams concede high corner counts, creating a structural Over signal. |
|
| 08-05-2026 18:45 |
Standard Liege |
- |
OH Leuven |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half total calculated as 0.60 (Standard Liege home avg 0.40, conceded avg 0.20; OH Leuven away avg 0.40, conceded avg 0.20). Both teams show 80% Under 1.0 in recent matches (8/10 each). Structural factors: Standard Liege average only 0.40 1st half goals at home, and OH Leuven failed to score in the 1st half in 3 of last 5 away. Away team's GL_5 of 1.50 signals moderate mispricing supporting Under. |
|
| 08-05-2026 19:00 |
Levante |
- |
Osasuna |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
78% |
Expected 1st half total is 0.95, below the 1.0 line. Levante's 1st half match history shows 80% of their recent games go Under 1.0, while Osasuna's rate is 70%. Both teams have struggled to score early (Levante scored in only 20% of 1st halves, Osasuna 20%). Levante's GL_5 of 1.50 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing aligned with the Under direction. |
|
| 08-05-2026 19:00 |
Macara Women |
- |
CD Espuce Women |
Over 2.75 Goals (Full Time) |
72% |
Expected total goals is 3.40, derived from Macara's home avg 1.40 + Espuce's away conceded 2.30 (home side) and Espuce's away scored 1.00 + Macara's home conceded 2.10 (away side), well above the 2.75 line. Macara's 2 home matches both went Over 2.5 (100%), while Espuce's 2 away matches stayed Under; H2H shows 33% Over (1/3), creating a mild contradiction. Bookmaker mispricing is strong for Espuce (GL_5=2.05, accelerating), adding +4% edge to Over, and structural factors like Espuce conceding 2.30 away on average support the Over. Total confidence reaches 72% after adjusting for contradictory H2H. |
|
| 08-05-2026 19:00 |
St Francis FC |
- |
Inchicore Athletic FC |
Over 1.25 1st Half Goals |
76% |
St Francis has seen 4/5 recent matches (80%) clear 1.25 HT goals, averaging 2.0 HT goals per home game (0.7 scored, 1.3 conceded). Inchicore has 3/4 away matches (75%) over the same line, with 0.8 scored and 0.5 conceded away. Expected HT total of 1.65 (derived from season averages) exceeds the line of 1.25, and both teams' attacking tendencies (St Francis 2.1 FT goals per home game, Inchicore 2.3 FT goals per away game) suggest early goal activity. |
|
| 08-05-2026 19:15 |
Njardvik |
- |
Fylkir Reykjavik |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total of 3.55 goals (home avg 1.80 scored at home + away avg 1.50 conceded away, averaged with away avg 2.70 scored away + home avg 1.10 conceded at home) is well above the 2.75 line. Fylkir Reykjavik's strong away scoring (2.70 avg) and Njardvik's poor home defense (1.10 conceded) support overs, while home GL_5 of 2.15 and away GL_5 of 2.00 both show accelerating bookmaker mispricing. The quality gap (Fylkir 1st, Njardvik 9th) and Fylkir's consistent over-rate (60% of last 5 matches over the line) further strengthen the pick. |
|
| 08-05-2026 19:15 |
Leiknir Reykjavik |
- |
Afturelding |
Over 3.0 Goals |
80% |
Expected total 3.65 goals (Leiknir home avg 1.80, Afturelding away conceded 1.80; Afturelding away scored 1.30, Leiknir home conceded 2.40) exceeds the 3.0 line by 0.65. Home team history shows 62.5% Over (5/8) and away 50% (3/6), satisfying the 60%+ threshold. H2H is split 2-2, neutral. Structural edge from quality gap (4th vs 10th). Away team goal line variance accelerating (GL_5 1.85 > GL_10 1.48) indicates bookmaker mispricing. Total confidence 80% supports Over 3.0. |
|
| 08-05-2026 19:15 |
Stjarnan |
- |
KR Reykjavik |
Over 1.75 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half total is 2.50 (Stjarnan home HT avg 1.20, conceded 0.90; KR away HT avg 2.40, conceded 0.50) vs line 1.75, a gap of +0.75. KR has 80% (4/5) of away 1st halves over 1.75, and Stjarnan 66.7% (4/6) of home 1st halves over 1.75. KR's dominant away attack (avg 2.40 HT goals) and Stjarnan's leaky home defense (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 home) support Over. Severe bookmaker mispricing (KR GL_5 2.50) and 80% likelihood for HT Over 1.5 confirm edge. |
|
| 08-05-2026 19:15 |
IA Akranes |
- |
Keflavik |
Under 1.25 1st Half Goals |
82% |
Expected 1st half total is 0.95 (home avg 0.50 + away conceded 0.80)/2 + (away avg 0.30 + home conceded 0.30)/2 = 0.95, well below the 1.25 line. Home team IA Akranes has 3 of 4 home 1st halves Under (75%), away team Keflavik has 3 of 5 away 1st halves Under (60%), and Keflavik failed to score in the 1st half in 3 of their last 5 away matches. Both teams are low 1st half scorers structurally, supporting an Under. Confidence 82% meets the higher Under threshold. |
|
| 08-05-2026 19:15 |
Breidablik |
- |
FH Hafnarfjordur |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half total 2.15 goals (derived from avg HT goals: home 0.60 + away conceded 1.30 /2 + away 1.30 + home conceded 1.10 /2 = 2.15) exceeds the 1.5 line by 0.65 goals. FH Hafnarfjordur have gone Over 1.5 in 6 of their last 7 away first halves (86%), and Breidablik's home first half record is 50%, meeting the minimum threshold. Structural quality gap (3rd vs 11th) and accelerating market mispricing (Home GL_5=1.60, Away GL_5=1.80) further support an Over in the first half. |
|
| 08-05-2026 19:15 |
Fram Reykjavik |
- |
Valur Reykjavik |
Over 11 Corners |
85% |
Expected corners total is 12.25 (Fram home avg 7.00, Valur away conceded 7.50; Valur away avg 5.20, Fram home conceded 4.80). Fram's last 5 matches all exceeded 11 corners (100%: 12, 16, 13, 13, 14), Valur's last 5 have 4 overs and 1 push (80%: 15, 12, 15, 14). H2H shows 3 of 4 meetings over 11 (75%: 14, 14, 13). Structural edge from Fram's strong home attack (2nd in home table) vs Valur's mid-table away form. Both teams show severe bookmaker mispricing on corners (Fram variance_ac_5=2.50, Valur 2.10), supporting overestimating totals. |
|
| 08-05-2026 20:00 |
IR Reykjavik |
- |
Grindavik |
Over 3.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total goals 3.95 (home avg scored 1.80, conceded 2.40; away avg scored 1.20, conceded 2.50) exceeds the 3.5 line. IR Reykjavik have gone Over 3.5 in 3 of last 4 home matches (75%), Grindavik in 3 of last 5 away (60%), and H2H has 3 of 4 Over (75%). Grindavik's away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away) and accelerating goal line mispricing (GL_5 1.85 vs GL_10 1.58) further support the Over. |
|
| 08-05-2026 20:00 |
KACM Marrakesh |
- |
Renaissance Zemamra |
Over 1.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total 1.75 goals derived from KACM Marrakesh's home averages (0.80 scored, 0.60 conceded) and Renaissance Zemamra's away averages (0.90 scored, 1.20 conceded). Zemamra have conceded 2+ goals in all three recent away matches (100%), signaling defensive fragility, and their away games have all gone over 1.5 total goals. KACM's home history shows 50% over 1.5 (3/6), and the sole H2H finished 1-1. Market mispricing is accelerating for both teams (home GL_5 1.45 > GL_10 1.13, away GL_5 1.55 > GL_10 1.38), with away moderate mispricing adding edge. Overall confidence 78%. |
|
| 08-05-2026 20:00 |
Boca Juniors De Cali |
- |
Alianza |
Over 0.75 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half total 1.05 (home avg scored 0.60 + conceded 0.70; away avg scored 0.60 + conceded 0.20) vs line 0.75 gives a +0.30 gap. Boca's home matches have 75% (3/4) over 0.75 1st half, Alianza's away matches 60% (3/5). Alianza's goal line mispricing is accelerating (GL_5 1.80 vs GL_10 1.43), favouring the over side. No H2H data to contradict, so the 1st half over offers the best value. |
|
| 08-05-2026 21:30 |
LDU Portoviejo |
- |
Atletico FC Guayaquil |
1st Half Over 0.75 Goals |
70% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.03 goals (home avg 0.30 + away avg 0.63 in respective halves) vs line 0.75, a gap of 0.28. Atletico FC Guayaquil have gone Over 0.75 in 5/5 away 1st halves (100%), and they scored in the first half in 80% of away games. LDU Portoviejo's home 1st half record is mixed (1/2 over) but the away team's dominant trend and the positive gap support the Over. No H2H data, but the structural early scoring pattern confirms edge. |
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| 08-05-2026 22:30 |
Racing Louisville FC Women |
- |
Portland Thorns Women |
Over 2.25 Goals |
75% |
Expected total = (1.40+0.80)/2 + (1.50+1.70)/2 = 2.70, above the 2.25 line (gap +0.45). Racing's 2 home matches both had over 2.5 (100%), H2H 3/4 over (75%), and Racing's GL_5 = 2.25 (accelerating severe mispricing) strongly supports over. Portland's away matches only 50% over, but the structural signals and variance outweigh. Confidence: 75%. |
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| 08-05-2026 23:00 |
Metropolitanos FC |
- |
Estudiantes Merida |
Under 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 2.00 (home 1.00 + away conceded 1.20)/2 + (away 1.50 + home conceded 0.30)/2 = 2.00, below the 2.5 line. Both teams show 80% of their recent respective home/away matches going under 2.5 (Metropolitanos 4/5 home, Estudiantes Merida 4/5 away). Home team has 4 clean sheets in its last 5 home games and H2H at home produced 2-0 and 1-0 wins. Home GL_5 of 1.60 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing favoring the under direction. |
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| 08-05-2026 23:30 |
Lexington SC |
- |
Monterey Bay FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
67% |
Expected total calculated as (1.90+1.70)/2 + (0.60+1.20)/2 = 2.70 goals, exceeding the 2.5 line by 0.20. Lexington has 4 of 6 home matches Over 2.5 (67%), while Monterey has 2 of 4 away matches Over (50%). H2H is split 1-1. Both teams show moderate market mispricing (home GL_5 1.65, away 1.50) aligned with the Over direction, adding confidence. |
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