| 01-08-2026 00:00 |
North Carolina Courage Women |
- |
Orlando Pride Women |
Over 2.5/3 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 2.85 (home scored 1.5/home, away conceded 1.2/away; away scored 1.3/away, home conceded 1.7/home). Home team 8 of last 10 matches over 2.75 (80%), away 50% (neutral). Orlando concedes 5.5 shots on target per away game, a structural Over signal. Away team GL_5 1.50 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing in favor of goals. Form momentum: NCC 4 of last 5 matches over 2.75. Combined factors yield 76% confidence. |
|
| 01-08-2026 00:00 |
Diriangen |
- |
UNAN Managua |
Under 1.25 Goals 1st Half |
81% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.40 (home HT scored 1.10 + away HT conceded 0.80/2, away HT scored 0.50 + home HT conceded 0.40/2) vs line 1.25, but match history is decisively under: Diriangen HT under 1.25 in 8/10 (80%), UNAN 7/10 (70%). Both teams failed to score in HT in 3+ of last 5; UNAN failed in all 3 away HT, confirming structural scoring drought. Bookmaker mispricing moderate for UNAN (GL_5 1.55). High under percentages and drought qualify Under with 81% confidence. |
|
| 01-08-2026 01:00 |
SD Atletico Nacional |
- |
Union Cocle Reserves |
Over 9 Corners |
82% |
Expected corners 10.00 surpasses the 9.0 line by 1.0 corners. Home team (SD Atletico Nacional) saw 5 of 6 home matches exceed 9 total corners (83%), while away team had 50% of away matches over 9. Home's Asian corners error (GL_5 2.20) signals severe mispricing and a quality gap between the 2nd‑placed hosts and bottom‑placed visitors adds structural over pressure. Confidence capped at 82% standard ceiling as away history falls below the 70% threshold for elevated tier. |
|
| 01-08-2026 01:15 |
North Sunshine Eagles U23 |
- |
Brunswick Juventus U23 |
Over 4.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 5.00 goals (home 1.30 scored/4.20 conceded, away 1.50 scored/3.00 conceded) significantly exceeds the 4.25 line. Home matches are 4/5 Over, away matches 3/5 Over, with the last H2H finishing 5-1 (6 goals). Both defences are extremely fragile, and bookmaker mispricing is severe (home GL_5 1.90, away GL_5 1.65), giving strong Over value. Raw confidence 98%, capped at standard 82% due to tier limits with only 60% away agreement. |
|
| 01-08-2026 01:30 |
Avondale U23 |
- |
Heidelberg Utd U23 |
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected 1st half total is 2.20 goals (Avondale home HT avg 1.60 + Heidelberg away HT conceded 0.90 = 2.50/2 plus away scored 1.20/2 and home conceded 0.70/2). Avondale's last 5 home 1st halves went Over 1.5 in 4 of 5, and Heidelberg's last 5 away 1st halves saw Over in 3. Last H2H meeting produced 4 first-half goals. Away team's bookmaker mispricing is severe (GL_5 3.55), adding clear edge to the Over. |
|
| 01-08-2026 01:30 |
CD Arabe Unido |
- |
Alianza FC Panama |
Over 0.75 First Half Goals |
79% |
Expected 1st half goals (0.95) +0.20 above the 0.75 line (H:0.40+0.30/2 + A:0.70+0.50/2). Home 1H home overs 50% (3/6) meets threshold; away 1H away overs 100% (4/4) provides strong signal. Away team's severe GL_5 bookmaker mispricing (2.60, accelerating) adds 12% edge, while H2H 1H data (1 match) also went over 0.75. |
|
| 01-08-2026 02:00 |
Canberra Olympic U23 |
- |
Tuggeranong United U23 |
Over 1.5 Goals 1st Half |
74% |
Expected 1st half total 2.00 vs line 1.50 (gap 0.50). Home team 1st half over 1.5 in 60% of matches (6/10), away team 56% over. Away Tuggeranong conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 away matches, indicating defensive fragility. Home team's GL_5 2.20 signals bookmaker mispricing aligned with Over. |
|
| 01-08-2026 02:15 |
Modbury Vista Reserves Women |
- |
Campbelltown City Reserves Women |
Over 3.5/4.0 Goals |
81% |
Expected total 4.02 (Home: 1.90 scored + Away: 1.00 conceded = 1.45; Away: 1.43 scored + Home: 3.70 conceded = 2.57) vs line 3.75, gap 0.27. Home team's last 6 home matches all over 3.5/4.0 (100%), away team 50% over away. Market pricing error: home GL_5 1.70, away GL_5 2.05 (strong), both aligned with Over. Home defence leaks 3.70 goals per home game, cementing the Over signal. |
|
| 01-08-2026 02:30 |
Metrostars Reserves Women |
- |
Adelaide Comets Reserves Women |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total (4.92) far exceeds the 3.0 line, derived from Metrostars Reserves Women home scored 3.00/conceded 1.44 and Adelaide Comets Reserves Women away scored 4.40/conceded 1.00. Home team's last 8 matches had 62.5% over 3.0, away 57.1%. Both teams record extreme bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 home 2.75, away 4.05) with accelerating trend. Metrostars scored 2+ in their last 3 home matches, confirming offensive form. |
|
| 01-08-2026 03:00 |
Gold Coast United U23 |
- |
Gold Coast Knights U23 |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half total 2.05 vs line 1.5 with gap 0.55. Home 70% and away 80% Over 1.5 HT in last 10 matches. H2H last meeting saw 3 first-half goals. Structural factors (high shots on target, both need points) and severe home bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.40 accelerating) reinforce Over. Confidence capped at 82% standard ceiling due to insufficient H2H sample. |
|
| 01-08-2026 03:00 |
Bentleigh Greens U23 |
- |
Oakleigh Cannons U23 |
Over 4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.70 (home avg scored 2.00/ conceded 2.90 at home; away avg scored 2.20/ conceded 2.30 away) clears the 4.0 line by 0.70 goals. Away history 60% over, home 50% and H2H 8 goals support Over. Away conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches (defensive fragility). Market mispricing severe with home GL_5 2.30 and away GL_5 2.10, both >1.8, aligning with overs. Raw score 98% capped at standard ceiling 82%. |
|
| 01-08-2026 03:00 |
Manningham Utd Blues U23 |
- |
Port Melbourne U23 |
Over 4.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.35 (home 2.90 scored at home, away 3.00 conceded away) exceeds line 4.25. Home 75% over in home matches, away 67% over in away matches. Port Melbourne conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away, and quality gap (2nd vs 12th) supports Over. H2H last meeting 6-0. Away team goal-line pricing error (GL_5 1.75) signals moderate bookmaker mispricing. |
|
| 01-08-2026 03:15 |
Fulham United FC Reserves |
- |
Eastern United Reserves |
Over 1.75 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st-half goals 2.00 vs line 1.75 (+0.25 gap). Fulham (home) 70% Over 1H in last 10 (7/10), Eastern (away) 60% Over 1H (6/10). Both teams show early scoring/conceding patterns, and bookmaker mispricing is strong (home GL_5 2.30 accelerating, away 1.85). Away team failed to score in 1st half in 3 of last 5 away, but overall Over signal dominates. No H2H data. Capped at 82% ceiling (gap under 0.5). |
|
| 01-08-2026 04:00 |
Hume City |
- |
Melbourne City FC 2 |
Over 3.0 Goals |
72% |
Expected total 3.45 (Hume home scored 2.20, away conceded 1.20; away scored 2.10, home conceded 1.40) surpasses the 3.0 line by 0.45. Hume City's 10 home matches have 60% over 3.0, while Melbourne City FC 2's away matches are 50% over, both meeting thresholds. Bookmaker mispricing for Hume City (GL_5 1.60, moderate) adds an edge toward over, alongside a quality gap (2nd vs 8th). |
|
| 01-08-2026 04:00 |
South Hobart |
- |
Launceston City |
Over 3.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.15 (South Hobart 3.60 home scored, Launceston City 2.10 away conceded; Launceston City 1.60 scored, South Hobart 1.00 conceded) exceeds 3.75 line by 0.40. South Hobart 60% home overs, Launceston City 50% overs; H2H both over (9 and 4 goals). Severe bookmaker mispricing (SH GL_5 2.65, LC 1.95) aligns with Over. SH in form scoring 2+ in last 3 home matches. |
|
| 01-08-2026 04:00 |
Adamstown Rosebud |
- |
Valentine Phoenix |
Valentine Phoenix +0.25 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Valentine Phoenix have been strong against the Asian Handicap, covering in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and 8 of their last 10 (80%). Adamstown Rosebud sit 2 places lower in the standings (10th vs 8th) with a weak home record (11th in home standings). The only H2H this season saw Adamstown win 3-0 away, which tempers confidence slightly, but Valentine's recent discipline against the spread supports a +0.25 start. |
|
| 01-08-2026 04:30 |
South East United FC |
- |
Riverside Olympic |
1st Half Over 5.5 Asian Corners |
65% |
Expected 1st half corners total of 6.35 (home 2.70 scored HT, away 3.30 scored HT, home conceded 3.20, away conceded 3.50) exceeds the 5.5 line by 0.85. Riverside Olympic's away matches have seen over 5.5 HT corners in 60% of recent games, while South East United sits at 50% without contradicting. Both teams need points, encouraging an open start and early pressure. This aligns with the high corner variance (GL_5 2.85 / 2.65), indicating bookmaker mispricing on these two sides. |
|
| 01-08-2026 04:30 |
Riverside Olympic Women |
- |
Launceston City Women |
Over 4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.90 goals (A: 0.50, B: 2.70, C: 1.80, D: 4.80). Line 4.0. Home matches went Over 4.0 in 8 of last 10 (80%), away 6 of 10 (60%). H2H neutral (1 Over, 1 Under). Home side concedes 4.80 goals at home and has a GL_5 of 3.20 (severe market mispricing, accelerating trend). Away team conceded 2+ in all 3 away matches sampled, confirming defensive fragility. Home team's scoring drought (-3%) is offset but totals remain high. Raw confidence 91% capped at standard ceiling 82%. |
|
| 01-08-2026 05:00 |
North Sunshine Eagles |
- |
Brunswick Juventus |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected total goals 3.55 (home 1.60 scored/1.50 conceded at home, away 2.30 scored/1.70 conceded away) vs line 3.25. Both teams show severe market pricing error (home GL_5 2.05, away GL_5 3.00) with accelerating trends, signalling consistent bookmaker mispricing that favours Overs. Home 40% Over last 10, away 50%, common opponents trended Under, but the strong variance edge and quality gap (3rd vs 13th) drive the Over bet. |
|
| 01-08-2026 05:00 |
Langwarrin |
- |
Brunswick City |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT goals 3.90 (home 2.00 scored, 1.90 conceded; away 1.90 scored, 2.00 conceded) exceeds line 3.5; 70% of Langwarrin's recent matches over 3.5, 60% for Brunswick City; away defensive fragility with 3 of last 5 away conceding 2+ goals; strong bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.95 home, 2.25 away). |
|
| 01-08-2026 05:00 |
The Cove FC Reserves |
- |
Cumberland United Reserves |
Away +0 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Cumberland United Reserves have won 4 of their last 5 matches (80% win rate), covering the +0 Asian Handicap, while The Cove FC Reserves' recent home matches all finished under 2.5 goals but against weaker opposition. The away side sits higher in the standings, and their strong away form (7-1-2 record) supports the pick despite mixed common opponent results, resulting in 2 of 3 primary signals aligned. |
|
| 01-08-2026 05:30 |
Adelaide Blue Eagles |
- |
Adelaide Croatia Raiders |
Over 1.0,1.5 First Half Goals |
76% |
Expected 1st-half total 1.75 goals (home scored at home 1.20 + away conceded away 0.30 /2 + away scored away 1.40 + home conceded home 0.60 /2) tops the 1.25 line by 0.50. Adelaide Croatia Raiders have 70% of last 10 first halves above 1.25, while Adelaide Blue Eagles are neutral at 50%, meeting the Over criteria. The away side’s top-table quality and recent scoring surge in early phases add structural support; mild bookmaker mispricing on the Raiders (GL5 1.45) further favors the Over. |
|
| 01-08-2026 05:30 |
Adelaide Atletico |
- |
Salisbury United |
Over 3.25 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 3.40 (Adelaide Atletico home: 1.70 scored/1.60 conceded; Salisbury away: 1.40 scored/2.10 conceded) vs line 3.25. Salisbury conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches, confirming defensive fragility. 60% of Adelaide's home matches cleared this total. Market pricing error GL_5=1.55 for Adelaide is moderate and accelerating, supporting the Over direction. Confidence: Base 50% + gap +3% + home history +5% + GL_5 home +5% + away defensive fragility +5% = 68%. |
|
| 01-08-2026 05:45 |
Redlands United U23 |
- |
Caboolture FC U23 |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total is 4.00 (home: 1.10 scored, 3.30 conceded; away: 1.80 scored, 1.80 conceded), exceeding the 3.5 line by 0.50. Home's home matches go Over 3.5 in 67% (2/3), away's away matches in 67% (4/6). Away defensive fragility confirmed — conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away games. Bookmaker mispricing is severe for the home team (GL_5 2.30, accelerating), adding strong edge to the Over. |
|
| 01-08-2026 05:45 |
Modbury Vista Women |
- |
Campbelltown City Women |
Over 1.75 First Half Goals |
65% |
Expected 1st half goals 2.00 vs line 1.75. Modbury Vista's home matches have seen 6 of last 10 over 1.75 first-half goals; Campbelltown City 5 of 10 over. Quality gap is large (away odds 1.14) with Campbelltown scoring 1.40 first-half away goals against Modbury's 1.60 conceded. The only H2H this season had a 4-goal first half. |
|
| 01-08-2026 06:30 |
Dandenong Thunder U23 |
- |
Dandenong City U23 |
Over 4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 5.00 goals (home 1.40/3.20, away 1.90/3.50). Away team has 60% Over 4.0 in last 10 matches and severe bookmaker mispricing with GL_5 2.90, plus conceding 8.1 shots on target per away game. H2H ended 6-1. Home team 50% Over provides no contradiction. |
|
| 01-08-2026 07:00 |
Canterbury Bankstown FC |
- |
Dulwich Hill |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.30 goals, heavily above 3.25 line (gap 1.05). Home team averages 3.00 scored at home, away concedes 2.50 away; away scores 1.50, home concedes 1.60. Dulwich Hill's away matches see Over 3.25 in 80% (4 of last 5), driven by a leaky defence conceding 2+ in 4 of those 5. Canterbury's home form is strong with 4 of last 5 scoring 2+ goals. Away team's GL_5 is 1.80, indicating moderate bookmaker mispricing towards Over. |
|
| 01-08-2026 07:00 |
Hurstville FC |
- |
Northern Tigers |
Hurstville +0.5 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Hurstville are 4th at home (6W-4D-4L) while Northern Tigers are 8th away (5W-4D-3L), reversing the overall standings gap. Hurstville have covered AH in 4 of their last 5 (80%) and 7 of 10 (70%), while Northern Tigers’ away AH win rate is only 44%. The sole H2H (Northern Tigers 1-0 home win) is neutral with only one match. No goal-line or corner bets qualified under the Over-first thresholds, leaving Hurstville +0.5 as the best single bet. |
|
| 01-08-2026 07:00 |
Hills United FC |
- |
Bankstown City Lions FC |
Over 3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 3.60 goals (Home: 2.2 scored + 1.5 away conceded = 1.85; Away: 1.8 scored + 1.7 home conceded = 1.75) comfortably exceeds the 3.0 line. Bankstown's away matches cleared 3.0 goals in 60% (3 of 5 non‑void), while Hills' home record was 50%. H2H (2 matches) both stayed under, but sample too small to override. Bankstown's GL_5 of 1.20 signals mild mispricing toward the Over, and both teams regularly find the net (Hills 90% BTTS at home). |
|
| 01-08-2026 07:00 |
North Geelong |
- |
Bulleen Lions |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
67% |
North Geelong at home first half: score 0.70, concede 1.30; Bulleen away first half: score 0.50, concede 0.70. Expected FH total 1.60 vs line 1.5 (gap +0.10). North Geelong's last 10 matches had 8/10 over 1.5 FH goals (80%), Bulleen's last 10 50% (neutral). Bulleen conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away, signalling defensive fragility. Away GL_5=1.55 (moderate bookmaker mispricing) aligns with Over direction. H2H single match, neutral. |
|
| 01-08-2026 07:00 |
Bulls FC Academy |
- |
Macarthur Rams |
Macarthur Rams +0.25 Asian Handicap |
72% |
Macarthur Rams are 4th vs 8th-placed Bulls FC Academy, with a standout AH record covering 7 of their last 10 matches. They won the H2H meeting 1-0 this season, and the 6-point standings gap alongside Bulls' poor home AH form (2W-3L last 5) makes the +0.25 handicap value. |
|
| 01-08-2026 08:00 |
Lions FC |
- |
Peninsula Power |
Lions FC -0.5 (Asian Handicap) |
67% |
Lions FC have won all 5 recent home matches, covering -0.5 in each, with 4 of those seeing 2+ goals scored. H2H shows 2 wins from the last 3 meetings. The 1-point standings gap makes this a narrow edge, but home form and head-to-head give a 67% confidence call. |
|
| 01-08-2026 08:00 |
Metaloglobus Bucuresti |
- |
AFC Metalul Buzau |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected full-time goals 3.05 (home 1.20,1.60; away 1.50,1.80) exceeds the 2.25 line by 0.80. Away team's last 10 matches have 60% over 2.5 goals, home team 50%, supporting Over. Away team GL_5 variance of 1.90 signals strong bookmaker mispricing towards goals, and match potential 5.24 from shot data further confirms a high-scoring game. |
|
| 01-08-2026 08:00 |
CSM Ramnicu Valcea |
- |
Gloria Popesti Leordeni |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.30 goals (home 2.40 scored / 1.30 conceded; away 2.00 scored / 0.90 conceded) clear of the 2.5 line. Home over record 7/9 (78%) and away away record 3/4 (75%) both confirm Over. Bookmaker mispricing severe (home GL_5 2.30) and early-season relegation battle adds open‑game pressure. |
|
| 01-08-2026 08:15 |
SK Petrin Plzen |
- |
FK Komarov |
Over 1.0,1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
80% |
Expected 1st half total 1.95 (home 0.40 + away conceded 1.20 / 2 = 0.80; away 1.10 + home conceded 1.20 / 2 = 1.15) vs line 1.25. All 4 home matches with HT data cleared this line. Away team concedes 1.20 1st-half goals away and shows defensive fragility (≥2 conceded in 2 of last 3 away). Mild bookmaker mispricing on full-time totals reinforces high-scoring pattern. |
|
| 01-08-2026 09:00 |
Bayer Leverkusen |
- |
Rot-Weiss Essen |
Over 1.5 First Half Goals |
73% |
Expected first-half total is 1.80 (Leverkusen home HT: scored 1.10, conceded 0.80; Essen away HT: scored 0.70, conceded 1.00), 0.30 above the 1.5 line. Both teams show 60% HT Over 1.5 in relevant home/away matches (Leverkusen 3 of 5, Essen 3 of 5), and the quality gap (Bundesliga vs 3. Liga) points to early dominance and goals. |
|
| 01-08-2026 09:30 |
Adelaide Cobras |
- |
Adelaide Olympic |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total 3.10 from (0.70+1.20)/2 + (2.00+2.30)/2 exceeds 2.75 line by 0.35. Away team's last 5 away matches 80% over 2.75, home team 50% not contradictory. Bookmaker mispricing severe: GL_5 2.05 (home) and 1.85 (away) both accelerating, adding +16%. Quality gap (2nd vs 9th) and Olympic's away defensive fragility (3 of last 5 conceded 2+) further support Over. |
|
| 01-08-2026 09:30 |
De Graafschap |
- |
Excelsior |
Excelsior -0.75 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Excelsior (Eredivisie) holds a clear quality gap over Eerste Divisie side De Graafschap. Excelsior’s Asian Handicap record is strong: 4 wins in last 5 (8/10 overall), while De Graafschap has only 3 wins in last 5 home AH matches. Two of three key signals (standings/quality gap, recent AH cover) support the bet, yielding 67% confidence. No common opponents or H2H data. |
|
| 01-08-2026 10:00 |
Yanbian Longding |
- |
Nanjing City |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
70% |
Expected total 2.50 (home 1.70 scored, 1.10 conceded; away 1.00 scored, 1.20 conceded) vs line 2.25 gives +0.25 goal edge. Yanbian's last 5 home matches 80% over 2.25; Nanjing conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (defensive fragility). Quality gap (2nd vs 10th) and recent 6-1 H2H support Over, though market pricing error is insignificant (GL_5 0.95). |
|
| 01-08-2026 10:00 |
Seoul Amazones Women |
- |
Gangjin Swans Women |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.10 goals (home 1.00 scored + 1.90 conceded; away 1.00 scored + 2.29 conceded). Home 87.5% Over 2.75 in recent matches (7/8), away 75% Over (6/8). H2H ended 3-1 Over. Away defensive fragility: 2+ conceded in 3 of last 4 away, 2.29 conceded avg. Bookmaker mispricing high on Gangjin (GL_5 2.15) adds edge. Raw 87% capped at standard ceiling 82%. |
|
| 01-08-2026 10:00 |
ToTe |
- |
PPS |
Under 2.25 1st Half Goals |
82% |
Expected 1st half goals: (1.30+1.67)/2 + (0.22+0.70)/2 = 1.95 vs line 2.25. ToTe home HT: 5/6 under 2.25 (83%); PPS away HT: 4/5 under 2.25 (80%). PPS failed to score in first half in 4 of last 5 aways. Bookmaker mispricing: away GL_5 = 2.05 supports under; raw score 85% capped at standard 82%. |
|
| 01-08-2026 10:00 |
FK Garliava |
- |
FK Neptunas Klaipeda |
Over 2.75 Goals |
67% |
Away side Neptunas has gone over 2.75 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%), while home team Garliava has scored 2+ in four of its last five home games, suggesting sustained attacking output. The only H2H meeting this season finished 3-0. Expected goals (2.50) are slightly below the 2.75 line, but the strong away trend and home scoring form push confidence to 67% for Over. |
|
| 01-08-2026 10:00 |
Wisla Krakow II |
- |
Star Starachowice |
Over 3.0 Goals |
66% |
Expected total 3.00 (A=1.70, B=2.00, C=1.30, D=1.00) matches the line exactly, but structural signals favour Over. Star Starachowice away defensive fragility is severe — conceded 2+ in 4 of last 6 away matches including a 6-0 and 3-1. Home side Wisla Krakow II scored 2+ in 4 of 6 home games (form surge). Away match history shows 4 of 6 Over 3.0 (66.7%). H2H produced 3-0 and 4-2, both high-scoring. Shot-based match potential of 6.38 dwarfs the 3.0 line, indicating significant attacking potential. Market pricing error mild (GL_5 1.15-1.25), no confidence adjustment applied. Confidence: Base 50% + away history +5% + likelihood +3% + away def fragility +5% + form momentum +3% = 66%. |
|
| 01-08-2026 10:30 |
Hwaseong FC |
- |
Daegu FC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.45 vs line 2.75 (gap +0.70) driven by Hwaseong home scoring 2.40 and Daegu away conceding 0.90, combined with Daegu's solid away attack 1.90. Hwaseong home 80% Over last 5, Daegu away just 40% but mixed signals default to Over. Significant bookmaker mispricing: home GL_5 1.95 accelerating, away 1.65, both aligned with overs. Structural context supports goals with both teams in top-six scoring well. |
|
| 01-08-2026 10:30 |
Cheonan City |
- |
Yongin City FC |
Over 8.5 Corners |
78% |
Expected corners 9.50 (home 3.80 + away conceded 5.40 vs line 8.5), a +1.0 gap. Cheonan's last 10 matches saw Over 8.5 corners in 7/10 (70%), Yongin's last 10 away in 6/10 (60%). Both teams' high conceded corner averages (home 5.60, away 5.40) and a competitive mid-table clash requiring points provide structural Over signal. H2H (1 match) neutral. |
|
| 01-08-2026 10:30 |
Chungbuk Cheongju |
- |
Suwon Bluewings |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.00 goals (home 1.60 scored/1.70 conceded at home; away 1.40 scored/1.30 conceded away) vs line 2.5. Home home matches 67% Over 2.5, away away matches 100% Over 2.5 (6/6). Quality gap (2nd vs 13th), away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 4 of 6 away matches) and both teams' need for points reinforce Over. Confidence capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 01-08-2026 11:00 |
Torslanda IK |
- |
Galtabacks BK |
Over 1.5 Goals 1st Half |
71% |
Expected 1st half total 1.45 (Torslanda HT home avg 0.60 scored, 0.80 conceded; Galtabacks HT away avg 0.50 scored, 1.00 conceded). Galtabacks away 1st halves have gone Over 1.5 in 4 of 5 matches (60%+), supported by severe away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away). Away team GL_5 1.85 (strong bookmaker mispricing) aligns with Over direction. Torslanda HT home overs 50% passive. Likelihood 55% Over HT adds minor support. |
|
| 01-08-2026 11:00 |
Angelholm |
- |
Ariana FC Malmo |
Over 1.25 Goals HT |
70% |
Expected 1st half total 1.60 (home 0.60 scored/conceded, away 1.40/0.60) exceeds line 1.25 by 0.35. Away side Ariana Malmo, 2nd in standings, averages 1.40 first‑half goals away and scores in 80% of away first halves. Both teams show moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.50), pointing to an Over edge in the opening period. |
|
| 01-08-2026 11:00 |
Ningbo Professional FC |
- |
Guangxi Hengchen |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
79% |
Expected total 2.90 goals (home scores 1.20, away concedes 1.60; away scores 2.10, home concedes 0.90) exceeds line 2.25 by 0.65. Away team Over 2.25 in 7 of last 10 matches; away GL_5 market mispricing at 2.05 strongly supports Over given bookmaker consistently underestimates their games. |
|
| 01-08-2026 11:00 |
Dalian K'un City |
- |
Shaanxi Union |
Over 2.5 Goals |
72% |
Dalian K'un home avg 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded; Shaanxi away avg 1.90 scored, 1.00 conceded. Expected total 2.70, above 2.5 line. Shaanxi's last 5 aways: 4 of 5 over 2.5, conceded 2+ in 3. H2H (1 match) 3-0, over. Home GL_5 2.35 (accelerating mispricing). Composite confidence 72%. |
|
| 01-08-2026 11:00 |
Oxford Utd |
- |
Ipswich |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
66% |
Expected FT total = (1.70+1.10)/2 + (1.50+1.10)/2 = 2.70 vs 2.75 line; shot-based match potential = 5.58 strongly over. Ipswich last 10: 60% over 2.5, Oxford 50%; H2H both 3-goal games. Premier League vs League One quality gap + Oxford’s 2+ goals in last 3 home friendlies support Over, despite mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.10 & 0.90). |
|
| 01-08-2026 11:00 |
Holbæk |
- |
Frem |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected goals 3.40 (home 2.80 scored, away 2.00 conceded) exceed the 3.0 line by 0.40. Holbæk's recent matches went over 3.0 in 50% (5/10) and Frem in 60% (6/10), while H2H is 2/3 over. Strong structural signals: home team scored 2+ in cada 3 home games, away team conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away, and bookmaker mispricing is moderate (GL_5 home 1.60, away 1.75), all pointing to a high-scoring match. |
|
| 01-08-2026 11:30 |
Ylojarvi United |
- |
FC LeKi |
Over 1.5,2.0 Goals (1st Half) |
76% |
Expected 1st half goals 2.00 vs line 1.75 (gap +0.25). Ylojarvi home 1st halves: 4 of 5 over 1.75 (80%), scored in all 5. FC LeKi away 1st halves: 3 of 4 over 1.75 (75%), scored in 3 of 4. H2H only 1 match (0-0 HT) so neutral. Both teams consistently start fast; LeKi’s away defensive fragility (conceded in 1st half in 3 of last 4 away) adds structural support. Bookmaker mispricing negligible (GL_5 0.70 home, 1.00 away). |
|
| 01-08-2026 12:00 |
Sandviken |
- |
Kvik Halden FK |
Over 3.0 Goals |
67% |
Expected total 3.05 (Sandviken home: 1.40 scored, 2.10 conceded; Kvik Halden away: 1.60 scored, 1.00 conceded) slightly tops the 3.0 line. Bookmaker mispricing is severe (home GL_5 2.75, away 1.75, both accelerating) giving a strong Over edge despite weak historical over percentages (Sandviken 50%, Kvik Halden 30%). H2H is a single 0-0 draw, neutral. |
|
| 01-08-2026 12:00 |
Lørenskog |
- |
Honefoss |
Lørenskog +0 (Asian Handicap) |
68% |
Lørenskog boast an 83% home win rate (5W-0D-1L) while Honefoss manage only 50% away wins (3W-1D-2L). Lørenskog covered the +0 line in 4 of last 5 matches, Honefoss covered in 3 of last 5 away. Common opponents comparison also favours the home side. Standings level but home form is decisive. |
|
| 01-08-2026 12:00 |
Vålerenga 2 |
- |
Lokomotiv Oslo |
Over 4.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.70 goals (home: 2.00 scored, 2.60 conceded; away: 1.90 scored, 2.90 conceded) vs line 4.25. Home overs 3/5 (60%), away overs 4/5 (80%). Away conceded 2+ in all 5 away matches, and both teams show strong bookmaker mispricing (GL_5: home 2.15, away 2.30). |
|
| 01-08-2026 12:00 |
MPS/Atletico Malmi |
- |
Töölön Taisto |
Over 1.75 First Half Goals |
73% |
Expected 1st half total 1.95 (MPS 1.10 scored, 0.80 conceded at home; Taisto 1.40 scored, 0.60 conceded away) vs. line 1.75. MPS last 9 matches: 67% had 2+ first‑half goals; Taisto last 10: 80% had 2+. Both score early (55%/67% 1st‑half goals). MPS near‑perfect home form adds early pressure. No GL_5 edge. Confidence 73%. |
|
| 01-08-2026 12:00 |
Jahn Regensburg |
- |
SSV Ulm 1846 |
Jahn Regensburg -1 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Jahn Regensburg compete in 3. Liga while SSV Ulm play in the Regionalliga, giving a clear quality edge to the home side. Regensburg have won 3 of their last 5 Asian handicap bets, whereas Ulm have covered just 1 of 5. Although recent home margins are mixed, the gap in league level and superior handicap record support a home -1 cover at evens-plus odds. |
|
| 01-08-2026 12:00 |
Middelfart |
- |
Thisted FC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
74% |
Expected total 3.15 goals (home 1.60 scored, 2.00 conceded at home; away 1.10 scored, 1.60 conceded away). Home's last 10 matches went over 2.75 in 8 of 10 (80%), away 5 of 10 (50%). Home's market pricing error (GL_5 1.55) indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing favouring the over, with home team scoring in all last 5 games supporting strong attacking form. |
|
| 01-08-2026 12:00 |
FK Austria Vienna Women |
- |
SKN St Polten Women |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
79% |
Expected goals total 3.60 (A=2.10, B=1.80, C=2.80, D=0.50) far exceeds the 2.25 line by 1.35. St Polten's away matches went Over 2.25 in 2 of 3 (66.7%) and they average 2.80 goals away. Despite H2H showing 3 of 4 Under 2.25, the recent attacking form of both sides – especially St Polten's 2.8 away scoring average and Austria Vienna's 2.1 at home – suggests a higher-scoring contest. Bookmaker mispricing is severe (away GL_5 2.45, accelerating) and aligns with the Over direction, adding further edge. |
|
| 01-08-2026 12:00 |
KV Kortrijk |
- |
Reims |
Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
80% |
Kortrijk home HT avg goals scored 0.70, conceded 0.40; Reims away HT avg scored 0.80, conceded 0.50. Expected HT total 1.20 vs line 1.25. Both teams show 80% Under 1.25 in recent venue HT matches (Kortrijk home 4/5, Reims away 4/5). Reims failed to score in 1st half in 3 of last 5 away, and both teams are historically low 1st‑half scorers, supporting the Under. |
|
| 01-08-2026 12:30 |
FC Dordrecht |
- |
Anderlecht II |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.65 (home 1.70/2.00, away 1.70/1.90) exceeds line 3.0 by 0.65. Both teams show 75% Over 3.0 in relevant home/away matches. Anderlecht II conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away games, and the quality gap (Dordrecht top‑4 vs Anderlecht II bottom‑4) adds structural over signals. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate for the away side (GL_5 1.75). |
|
| 01-08-2026 13:00 |
Mjondalen |
- |
Notodden |
Mjondalen -0.5 Asian Handicap |
70% |
Mjondalen have won all 5 home matches this season (16 goals scored, 5 conceded). Notodden are strong away (5W1D1L) but lost 2-0 at Brattvåg and drew 2-2 at Arendal. The only H2H this season saw Mjondalen win 2-1 at Notodden. Standings gap (2nd vs 6th) and perfect home record support the -0.5 handicap. |
|
| 01-08-2026 13:00 |
Atlantis II |
- |
FC Lahti II |
FC Lahti II +0 (Asian Handicap) |
70% |
FC Lahti II have covered the 0 handicap in 2 of their last 3 away matches (66.7%), while Atlantis II have drawn both recent home games. The away side sits higher in the standings (4th vs 6th), and common opponents like ToTe/Tapio show both won away. H2H also saw FC Lahti II win 1-0. |
|
| 01-08-2026 13:00 |
Kristianstads Women |
- |
AIK Women |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.45 (home scored 1.50 home, away conceded 1.50 away, away scored 1.80 away, home conceded 2.10 home = (1.50+1.50)/2+(1.80+2.10)/2) vs line 2.75. Home 7/10 and away 8/10 last matches over 2.75. AIK conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away games (defensive fragility). Market pricing error GL_5 1.55 for home signals moderate mispricing. Confidence capped at 82% standard tier as H2H sample too small for elevated ceiling. |
|
| 01-08-2026 13:00 |
Varbergs BoIS FC |
- |
Falkenbergs FF |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.70 (Varbergs home 2.00 scored, 1.30 conceded; Falkenbergs away 2.30 scored, 1.80 conceded) exceeds line 3.0 by 0.70. Falkenbergs away matches over 3.0 in 85.7% (6 of 7 non-push), Varbergs home 57.1%. H2H: 3-0 and 3-2, both at or over line. Both teams chasing promotion, producing high-scoring games. Bookmaker mispricing mild (GL_5 home 1.30, away 1.40), but structural over signals outweigh. |
|
| 01-08-2026 13:00 |
Plymouth |
- |
Bristol City |
Over 3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 3.15 exceeds the 3.0 line (Plymouth home: 2.10 GF, 1.00 GA; Bristol City away: 1.70 GF, 1.50 GA). Shot-based match potential strongly supports Over. Bristol City conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches (defensive fragility). Bookmaker mispricing on Plymouth is moderate and accelerating (GL_5 1.50 vs GL_10 1.08), adding edge to the Over side. |
|
| 01-08-2026 13:00 |
Victoria Wrzesnia |
- |
Lech Poznan II |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.25 (home 1.20 scored/1.40 conceded at home, away 2.10 scored/1.80 conceded away) vs line 3.0. Home matches over 3.0 in 2 of 3 settled, away away over 3.0 in 3 of 4. Lech Poznan II away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of 4) and strong bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.05 accelerating). |
|
| 01-08-2026 13:00 |
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk |
- |
Zulte-Waregem |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.75 (home 2.40 scored + away 1.00 conceded) vs line 2.75. Both teams show 80% recent matches over 2.75 goals. Home GL_5 market pricing error of 1.65 (moderate) adds edge to over, and home form momentum with 2+ goals in last 3 home games reinforces the pick. |
|
| 01-08-2026 13:30 |
MKP Pogon Siedlce |
- |
Termalica BB Nieciecza |
Over 2.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total goals 3.15 (MKP Pogon Siedlce home 1.00 scored, 1.90 conceded; Termalica away 1.90 scored, 1.50 conceded). Away team's last 5 away matches have seen 4 overs (80%) and they scored 2+ in 4 of those, showing strong attacking form. Shot-based match potential of 5.14 further confirms a high-scoring game. |
|
| 01-08-2026 13:30 |
Arka Gdynia |
- |
Stal Rzeszow |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.45 (Arka home: scored 1.10, conceded 1.70; Stal away: scored 1.50, conceded 2.60) exceeds the 3.0 line by 0.45. Stal's away matches Over 3.0 at 66.7% (2/3), with 3 of last 5 away conceding 2+ goals, confirming defensive fragility. Market pricing error is strong for Stal (GL_5 2.30, accelerating) and moderate for Arka (GL_5 1.55), both supporting Over. Confidence 82% capped at standard ceiling. |
|
| 01-08-2026 13:30 |
Cardiff MU |
- |
Holywell Town |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.50 (Cardiff MU 1.80 home scored / 1.20 conceded; Holywell 2.50 away scored / 1.50 conceded) exceeds the 3.0 line by 0.50. Holywell have conceded 2+ goals in 4 of 5 away matches and their goal-line mispricing is severe (GL_5 2.60, accelerating), signaling consistent bookmaker underestimation. Cardiff MU have scored 2+ in 4 of their last 5 home games, and match-potential analysis (3.89) aligns with the Over. |
|
| 01-08-2026 13:30 |
Carmarthen |
- |
Caerau Ely |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.95 (home scored at home 2.70, away conceded away 0.80, away scored away 2.10, home conceded at home 2.30). 8 of 10 Carmarthen matches (80%) and 6 of 10 Caerau Ely matches (60%) went Over the line. H2H neutral (1 Over, 1 Under in 2 meetings). Structural: Carmarthen's recent form shows 4+ goals in 4 of last 5; combined with severe bookmaker mispricing for away team (GL_5 2.90, accelerating) and moderate mispricing for home (GL_5 1.75), this creates a strong Over signal at 2.75. |
|
| 01-08-2026 13:30 |
Ynyshir Albions |
- |
Cardiff Draconians |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.40 (home: 1.30 scored, 1.50 conceded; away: 1.80 scored, 2.20 conceded). Ynyshir home matches 60% Over 3.0, Cardiff away 50% Over. Cardiff defensive fragility away (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4) and severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.15 home, 2.25 away, both accelerating) confirm Over. H2H split 1-1, neutral. Confidence capped at 82% due to gap <0.5. |
|
| 01-08-2026 13:30 |
Treowen Stars |
- |
Pontypridd Utd |
Over 3.0 Goals |
90% |
Expected total is 4.00 (home 1.80 scored + 2.60 conceded, away 1.80 scored + 1.80 conceded) vs line 3.0. Both sides hit Over 3.0 in 80% (home) and 70% (away) of recent matches, all three H2H meetings went over 3.0, and Pontypridd conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away. Bookmaker mispricing is severe with accelerating GL_5 of 2.10 and 2.00. |
|
| 01-08-2026 13:30 |
Mold Alexandra |
- |
Caersws |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.50 comfortably exceeds the 3.0 line, driven by Mold Alexandra’s home average of 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, and Caersws’ away averages of 1.70 scored and 1.70 conceded. Recent history supports Over strongly: Caersws’ away games have gone Over 3.0 in 75% of matches, while Mold Alexandra’s home games hit at 60%. Caersws’ away defence is fragile – conceding 2+ goals in 3 of their last 4 away trips – and Mold Alexandra’s moderate goal-line pricing error (GL_5 1.55) signals bookmaker mispricing in favour of a high-scoring match. |
|
| 01-08-2026 14:00 |
Hässleholms IF |
- |
Atvidabergs FF |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total 3.75 (home scored 1.90, conceded 1.70; away scored 2.40, conceded 1.50) vs line 3.0. Home matches 2 of 3 non-push Over, away matches 3 of 4 non-push Over. Away team GL_5 2.00 indicates strong bookmaker mispricing, and away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away. H2H neutral. |
|
| 01-08-2026 14:00 |
FC Flora Tallinn Women |
- |
Viimsi JK Women |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
FC Flora Tallinn Women average 2.50 goals scored at home, Viimsi JK Women average 2.60 scored away; expected total 4.40 goals vs. 3.25 line (+1.15 gap). Flora's full-time history sees 70% overs (7/10), Viimsi 60% (6/10) on this line. Structural signals include Flora's consistent high-scoring matches and Viimsi's leaky away defence (conceded 2+ in 5 of last 10 away games). Bookmaker mispricing moderate (Viimsi GL_5 1.65) supports the Over, while small H2H sample (2 matches, both under) remains neutral. |
|
| 01-08-2026 14:00 |
JBK |
- |
FC Vaajakoski |
Over 1.5 Goals 1st Half |
85% |
JBK at home and FC Vaajakoski away combine for an expected 1st half total of 2.05 goals (home scored 1.00/ conceded 1.10, away scored 0.80/ conceded 1.20), exceeding the 1.5 line by 0.55. In their last 10 matches, 90% of JBK's and 70% of FC Vaajakoski's 1st halves went over 1.5. Away team conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches, and home GL_5 2.15 indicates strong, accelerating bookmaker mispricing, supporting the Over. |
|
| 01-08-2026 14:00 |
EPS |
- |
FC Honka |
Over 3.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected full-time total (4.15) exceeds the 3.5 line by 0.65 goals, driven by EPS home (2.20 scored, 1.60 conceded) and FC Honka away (3.00 scored, 1.50 conceded). FC Honka's last 10 matches hit Over 3.5 in 60% of games, and their market pricing error (GL_5=1.75) indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing favouring the over. H2H only has one match (neutral). |
|
| 01-08-2026 14:00 |
Doncaster |
- |
Lincoln City |
Doncaster +0.25 Asian Handicap |
68% |
Doncaster covered +0.25 AH in 7 of last 10 matches (70%, including home draws and tight losses). Lincoln City covered -0.25 fully in only 2 of 7 away games, with heavy friendly defeats (e.g., 5-1 at Grimsby). Common opponents Stevenage (1-1 draw) and Reading (1-0 win) both saw Doncaster avoid defeat, reinforcing the handicap value. The Championship vs League One quality gap is offset by Lincoln’s poor away AH record and Doncaster’s consistency on this line. |
|
| 01-08-2026 14:00 |
Stockport |
- |
Preston |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
69% |
Expected 1st half total 1.45 (Stockport home 0.80 scored/0.50 conceded; Preston away 0.70 scored/0.90 conceded) vs line 1.25. Stockport home 1H over 1.25 in 3 of 5, Preston away over in 5 of 6. Preston away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away) and both teams scoring early in most matches supports Over. No H2H data. FT Over disqualified by Stockport home history contradiction. |
|
| 01-08-2026 14:00 |
Stirling |
- |
Dumbarton |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
80% |
Expected total 3.05 goals (A:1.00, B:2.30, C:1.10, D:1.70) exceeds the 2.75 line by 0.30, with H2H showing 3 of 4 matches over 2.75 (3,2,3,4 goals). Away side Dumbarton have conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away matches, and both teams show accelerating goal-line mispricing (GL_5 1.50 home, 1.65 away), confirming a strong Over signal. |
|
| 01-08-2026 14:00 |
East Kilbride |
- |
Queen of South |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.65 (home 2.60 scored/1.30 conceded, away 1.70/1.70) far exceeds line 2.75. Home 7/10 and away 8/10 recent matches over 2.75; away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away. East Kilbride home GL_5 2.55 signals severe bookmaker mispricing for Over. |
|
| 01-08-2026 14:00 |
Forest Green |
- |
Swindon |
Over 1.25 Goals in 1st Half |
68% |
Expected 1st half total 1.65 (home 0.8 scored, 1.1 conceded; away 0.7 scored, 0.7 conceded) exceeds 1.25 line by 0.40. Forest Green home HT 60% Over, early scoring patterns strong (Swindon 60% first 30 min, Forest Green concede 53% first 30 min) add structural Over signal. Swindon away HT drought tempers but overall edge remains. Bookmaker mispricing mild. |
|
| 01-08-2026 14:00 |
Elana Torun |
- |
Lipno Steszew |
Over 2.75 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 3.10 vs line 2.75 (home scored 1.20/conceded 2.10 at home, away scored 1.50/conceded 1.40 away). Home matches: 8/10 over 2.5 goals. Away GL_5 1.60 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing. H2H (1-1, 2-2) shows both can score, supporting over. |
|
| 01-08-2026 14:00 |
Salford City |
- |
Bradford |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
66% |
Expected total 2.80 (Salford home 1.70 scored, 1.00 conceded; Bradford away 1.70 scored, 1.20 conceded) edges the 2.75 line. Bradford's away matches went over 2.75 in 67% of last 6, Salford scored 2+ in all last 3 home games. Bradford's market pricing error (GL_5 2.00) indicates significant bookmaker mispricing in recent matches, reinforcing the over value. |
|
| 01-08-2026 14:00 |
Cheltenham |
- |
Milton Keynes Dons |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 2.95 goals (home scores 1.50 at home, concedes 1.90; away scores 1.50 away, concedes 1.00) exceeds the 2.75 line. Cheltenham have 7 of 10 recent matches over 2.75, MK Dons 5 of 10. H2H both matches went over. Away scoring drought (0 goals in 3 of last 5 away) tempers the signal, but the divisional quality gap (MK Dons League One) and accelerating bookmaker mispricing (away GL_5 1.50) support an Over bet. |
|
| 01-08-2026 14:00 |
Southend |
- |
Aveley |
Over 3.25 Goals |
71% |
Expected total 3.40 goals (Southend home 1.60/1.30, Aveley away 2.20/1.70) edges the line of 3.25. Aveley's away games are high-scoring (3 of 6 over 3.25, avg 3.9 total). Bookmaker mispricing significant: Aveley GL_5=2.15 (severe) and Southend GL_5=1.55 (moderate) indicating goals systematically underestimated. Shot-based model projects 6.88 total, confirming strong over potential. |
|
| 01-08-2026 14:30 |
Szekszardi |
- |
PEAC FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.15 goals (home: 0.90 scored, 2.60 conceded at home; away: 1.20 scored, 1.60 conceded away) vs 2.5 line (+0.65 gap). Szekszardi home matches 100% Over 2.5 (2/2), PEAC FC away matches 67% Over 2.5 (4/6). Away defensive fragility confirmed (PEAC FC conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away) and quality gap (Szekszardi bottom-4, PEAC FC top-4) add structural Over signals. Shot-based match potential 4.63 reinforces Over. Mild mispricing (PEAC FC GL_5 1.25) but no confidence adjustment. Raw score 88% capped at 82% due to away history <70% for elevated tier. |
|
| 01-08-2026 15:00 |
WSG Swarovski Tirol |
- |
SK Sturm Graz |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.45 (home 1.30 scored, 1.80 conceded; away 2.60 scored, 1.20 conceded) significantly exceeds the 2.75 line. Both teams have 6 of last 10 matches Over 2.75 (60%), away Sturm conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away trips, and Sturm’s GL_5 of 1.55 signals moderate bookmaker mispricing in favour of goals. |
|
| 01-08-2026 15:00 |
SV Wienerberg |
- |
FC Marchfeld Donauauen |
Over 1.25 Goals 1st Half |
73% |
Expected 1st half goals 1.90 (home avg 1.40 scored/0.70 conceded, away 0.90 scored/0.80 conceded). Home over 1.25 in 5/10 (50%), away 6/10 (60%). Both teams scored in 1st half in 7 of last 10 matches, confirming early scoring pattern. Gap +0.65 above line 1.25. |
|
| 01-08-2026 15:00 |
Hamburg |
- |
Everton |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.35 (Hamburg home 1.60 scored, 2.10 conceded; Everton away 1.40 scored, 1.60 conceded) far exceeds the 2.5 line. Hamburg's last 4 home matches saw 3 overs (75%), Everton's last 7 away saw 4 overs (57%). Both teams show accelerating bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.55 home, 1.80 away), supporting Over. Structural signal: strong recent goal form across friendlies. |
|
| 01-08-2026 15:00 |
Slovacko |
- |
SK Artis Brno |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.80 goals (home 1.60 scored + away 2.20 conceded /2, away 1.80 scored + home 2.00 conceded /2), line 2.75 – surplus 1.05. Slovacko home matches 5/6 over 2.75, Artis Brno away 5/7 over, with the away side conceding 2+ in 4 of those 7. H2H both 3+ goals. Away GL_5 at 2.00 indicates strong bookmaker mispricing, aligning with Over. |
|
| 01-08-2026 15:00 |
Banik Ostrava |
- |
Slavia Prague |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Banik Ostrava home: 2.10 scored, 0.80 conceded; Slavia Prague away: 2.50 scored, 1.10 conceded. Expected FT total 3.25 vs line 2.5 (+0.75 gap). Slavia 90% over 2.5 in last 10, Banik 60%. H2H limited (2x 2-0) but Slavia's attacking quality and recent 5-1 win signal Over. Market pricing error low, no adjustment needed. |
|
| 01-08-2026 15:00 |
SK Kosmonosy |
- |
FK Neratovice-Byskovice |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.95 (A=2.1, B=2.7, C=1.4, D=1.7) exceeds line 3.25 by 0.70. Away side away matches 100% Over 3.25 (4/4) and conceding 2+ in 3 of last 4 away. Bookmaker mispricing severe (away GL_5=3.60, accelerating), adding strong edge. Capped at 82% as home match history sample too small to clear elevated ceiling. |
|
| 01-08-2026 15:00 |
SK Steti |
- |
Varnsdorf |
Over 3.5 Goals |
67% |
Expected total 3.45 goals vs line 3.5. Both teams Over 3.5 in 60% of last 5 (SK Steti 3/5, Varnsdorf 3/5). SK Steti conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 home matches, away team strong favorite creating open game. Bookmaker mispricing: home GL_5 2.05, away GL_5 1.80. |
|
| 01-08-2026 16:00 |
FC Levadia Tallinn U21 |
- |
FC Elva |
Over 3.75 Goals |
82% |
Levadia U21 home matches this season average 3.70 total goals and all 5 recent home games cleared the 3.75 line. Elva away matches see 80% over 3.75, with 4 of 5 exceeding. H2H has 2 of 3 meetings over 3.75. Shot‑based match potential (7.59 expected goals) dwarfs the 3.75 line, confirming sustained attacking pressure. Expected goals from averages (3.45) understates the true scoring level due to recent high‑scoring form and massive shot volume. |
|
| 01-08-2026 16:00 |
JK Viljandi Tulevik |
- |
JK Tammeka Tartu II |
Over 4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.85 goals (home 2.50 scored + away 1.70 conceded avg; away 3.50 scored + home 2.00 conceded avg) significantly above the 4.0 line. Both sides show 67% Over in recent matches, H2H meetings ended 2-2 and 3-1, and the promotion battle demands open play. Bookmaker mispricing is strong (home GL_5 1.80, away GL_5 1.65), adding clear value to the Over. |
|
| 01-08-2026 16:00 |
FC Zurich |
- |
Servette |
Servette -0.5 Asian Handicap |
68% |
Servette has won 4 of last 5 AH bets (9/10 overall), while FC Zurich lost all 5. Common opponents like Grasshoppers, Lucerne, and Lausanne show Servette with stronger winning margins, supporting a -0.5 cover. FT goal line Over is vetoed by 100% H2H under 3.0, and corner markets lack the required historical alignment, making AH the only qualifying bet with clear edge. |
|
| 01-08-2026 16:00 |
FK Ekranas |
- |
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II |
Over 2.75 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 3.10 goals (home scored 1.10/home, conceded 1.90; away scored 1.50/away, conceded 1.70) beats 2.75 line by 0.35. Ekranas home matches 4 of 5 over 2.75 (80%). Zalgiris II away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4, signaling defensive fragility. Shot-based expected goals 5.14 concurs. Confidence 73%. |
|
| 01-08-2026 16:00 |
Trinec |
- |
Vysocina Jihlava |
Over 2.5 Goals |
73% |
Expected total goals from averages: (1.40+1.70)/2 + (1.70+1.00)/2 = 2.90 vs line 2.5. Shot-based expected goals 3.24 strongly supports Over. Away Jihlava: 80% of last 10 matches went Over 2.5. Home Trinec mixed (50%), but away scoring trend and models align for goals. Market pricing error (GL_5 1.35) indicates mild mispricing, no confidence adjustment. |
|
| 01-08-2026 16:00 |
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 |
- |
SV Gloggnitz |
Over 3.25 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 3.75 goals (home: scored 2.00, conceded 1.20 at home; away: scored 2.20, conceded 2.10 away) vs line 3.25. Away team's recent matches hit Over 3.25 in 67% of cases, and strong bookmaker mispricing (GL_5=2.15) signals consistent overs. Home team's low recent scoring (0-4,0-2 in last home matches) trims confidence, but away goal-filled games (4-2,7-4,6-1 in recent months) support Over. |
|
| 01-08-2026 16:00 |
Samgurali |
- |
Meshakhte Tkibuli |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.30 goals (home 1.60 scored, away 2.70 conceded) far exceeds 2.75 line. Samgurali 60% (6/10) and Meshakhte 67% (6/9) Over in recent matches. Samgurali shows severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.60) with accelerating trend, supporting Over. |
|
| 01-08-2026 16:00 |
Torpedo Kutaisi |
- |
Odishi 1919 Zugdidi |
Under 3.0 Goals |
78% |
Expected total 2.50 (home 1.20 scored + 1.20 conceded; away 1.00 scored + 1.60 conceded) sits well below the 3.0 line. Torpedo home matches: 3 of 4 under 3.0; Odishi away: 7 of 8 under 3.0, with Odishi failing to score in 6 of 8 away first halves, confirming attacking drought. Both sides’ recent low‑scoring form and the 0.50 deficit to the line support Under, with bookmaker mispricing mild but directionally aligned. |
|
| 01-08-2026 16:00 |
FC Rustavi |
- |
FC Spaeri |
Asian Handicap Home -0.25 |
73% |
Rustavi are 2nd with 7 home wins from 9 (78%) and covered -0.25 in 80% of recent home matches (8/10). Spaeri sit 8th and lost heavily to common opponents like Dila Gori (1-3) where Rustavi won 1-0. The gap in league position and superior head-to-head form (2-1 win in May) support the home handicap. |
|
| 01-08-2026 16:00 |
Lautaro de Buin |
- |
Rodelindo Roman |
Over 2.75 Goals |
81% |
Expected total 3.20 (home: 1.60 scored, 2.00 conceded at home; away: 1.40 scored, 1.40 conceded away) is 0.45 above the 2.75 line. Home matches at home: 3/5 over 2.75; away away: 2/3 over. Home GL_5 2.05 signals strong bookmaker mispricing on overs, reinforced by home defensive fragility (2.00 goals conceded average) and shot-based match potential far above the line. |
|
| 01-08-2026 16:30 |
VJS Vantaa II |
- |
Atlantis FC/Pm |
1st Half Over 2.0 Goals |
81% |
Expected 1st half total 2.65 goals (home 1.20 scored, 1.10 conceded; away 1.40 scored, 1.60 conceded) vs line 2.0. Away team's last 8 matches saw 62.5% Over 2.0 HT, home 50%, H2H produced 5 first-half goals. Both sides score early: Atlantis scored in every 1st half across last 8, VJS in 60% of last 10, confirming a strong early-pattern Over signal. |
|
| 01-08-2026 16:30 |
Exeter |
- |
Bristol City |
Over 2.75 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 2.80 goals (Exeter home: 1.20 for, 1.20 against; Bristol City away: 1.70 for, 1.50 against) slightly exceeds the 2.75 line. Exeter home matches went over 2.75 in 3 of 4 (75%), while Bristol City away matches went over in 4 of 6 (67%). Bristol City have conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away games, confirming structural defensive fragility, and the quality gap (Championship vs League Two) adds further over support. |
|
| 01-08-2026 17:00 |
Gyirmot SE |
- |
Kozarmisleny SE |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.00 goals (home scored 2.70 home, conceded 0.70 home; away scored 1.60 away, conceded 1.00 away) vs line 2.5. Both teams 7 of last 10 matches over 2.5 (70%). Home side in dominant form – 3+ goals in last 3 matches, away side bottom of table with 4-0 defeat last league match, quality gap supports Over. |
|
| 01-08-2026 17:00 |
Kecskemeti TE |
- |
Tiszakecske FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.30 vs line 2.5 (gap 0.80). Kecskemeti at home: 3 of last 4 home matches over 2.5 (75%), including 5-1 in H2H. Tiszakecske away: conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5, confirming defensive fragility. Home side form surge: 2+ goals in last 3 home games. Away team GL_5=1.70 (moderate bookmaker mispricing, accelerating), adding edge. Capped at standard ceiling 82% due to away match history just at 50%. |
|
| 01-08-2026 17:00 |
Real Murcia |
- |
Eldense |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected goals 2.85 (H: 1.50 scored/1.10 conceded, A: 1.50 scored/1.60 conceded) exceeds line 2.5; Real Murcia overs 67% at home, Eldense 100% away in last 10; H2H 2 of 3 over 2.5; Eldense conceded 2+ in last 5 away matches, signaling defensive fragility. |
|
| 01-08-2026 17:30 |
FC Salzburg |
- |
Hartberg |
Over 1.25 First Half Goals |
65% |
Expected 1st half total 1.75 (Salzburg home 1.20 scored, 0.70 conceded; Hartberg away 1.00 scored, 0.60 conceded) exceeds the 1.25 line by 0.50. Quality gap and early pressing favor over. Full-time over was skipped due to H2H (75% under/void) and away match history below 50%. |
|
| 01-08-2026 18:00 |
Ferro Carril Oeste |
- |
Godoy Cruz |
Asian Handicap: Ferro Carril Oeste -0.5 |
75% |
Ferro has won all 6 recent home matches by at least one goal, covering -0.5 AH, while Godoy Cruz lost all 5 recent away matches by 1+ margins. Ferro top of Group A (43 pts, 1st) hosts Godoy (31 pts, 7th), with a 12-point gap and strong AH record (3 wins, 1 void in last 5). The single H2H saw a narrow 2-1 win for Godoy at home, but Ferro’s home dominance and Godoy’s away scoring drought (4 of 5 away without a goal) make the handicap clear. |
|
| 01-08-2026 18:00 |
Deportivo Liniers |
- |
Club Comunicaciones |
Over 0.75 First Half Goals |
74% |
HT expected goals 1.15 vs line 0.75 (gap +0.40). Liniers 70% home HT over 0.75 in last 10 matches; Comunicaciones 60% away HT over. Away team failed to score in HT in 3 of last 5 away, but overall HT scoring data strongly favors over. Market pricing error GL_5 home 0.40, away 0.90 – no additional edge. Both teams' HT histories and expected total point to value on Over 0.75 HT. |
|
| 01-08-2026 18:00 |
Argentino Merlo |
- |
Deportivo Laferrere |
Over 0.5,1.0 Goals 1st Half |
73% |
Expected 1st half goals 1.15 vs line 0.75 (gap 0.40). Home 1st half history: 60% over 0.5 goals; away 1st half: 80% over 0.5 goals. Away team averages 0.90 1st half goals away and scored in all last 4 away 1st halves. Home 1st half total average 0.90 goals, strong early scoring profiles from both teams. |
|
| 01-08-2026 18:00 |
Viktoria Plzen |
- |
FC Brno |
1st Half Over 4.5 Corners |
68% |
Expected HT corners 5.2 (Plzen home 3.5 for, 1.5 against; Brno away 3.5 for, 1.9 against) vs line 4.5, gap +0.7. Plzen home HT overs at 71% (5/7). Brno away sample small but neutral. Both teams need points, suggesting high early tempo and corner opportunities. |
|
| 01-08-2026 18:00 |
Acassuso |
- |
Colon |
Over 0.75 1st Half Goals |
78% |
Expected 1st half goals 1.00 (home Acassuso scores 0.30 HT at home, concedes 0.40 HT at home; away Colon scores 0.90 HT away, concedes 0.40 HT away) vs line 0.75. Acassuso home HT Over 0.75 in 3 of 4 matches (75%), Colon away HT Over 0.75 in 5 of 6 (83%). Quality gap (Colon 3rd vs Acassuso 16th) adds early scoring pressure. Bookmaker mispricing mild (away GL_5 1.10, home 0.85). |
|
| 01-08-2026 18:00 |
Kruger United |
- |
Kaizer Chiefs |
Over 0.75 First Half Goals |
66% |
Expected 1st half total 0.95 (home scored 0.60, conceded 0.40; away scored 0.40, conceded 0.50) exceeds line 0.75 by 0.20. Kruger United home 1st halves hit Over 0.75 in 3 of 4 (75%), while Kaizer Chiefs away 1st halves are 4 of 8 (50%) – meeting the 50% minimum. FT Over 2.0 dismissed as Chiefs away games had only 25% Over 2.0. Bookmaker mispricing mild (home GL_5 1.20). Likelihood of Over 0.5 HT 65% adds +3% to reach 66% confidence. |
|
| 01-08-2026 18:00 |
Deportivo Maldonado |
- |
Juventud De Las Piedras |
Deportivo Maldonado -0.5 Asian Handicap |
68% |
Deportivo Maldonado sit 1st overall in the league while Juventud De Las Piedras are 12th, reflecting a large quality gap. Maldonado have covered the -0.5 line in 6 of their last 10 matches (67%) and won the only H2H this season 2-1 at home. Juventud have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches and concede heavily on the road, making a home win the most probable outcome. |
|
| 01-08-2026 18:30 |
FC Kosice |
- |
AS Trencin |
Over 4.5 Corners 1st Half |
70% |
Expected 1st half corners 5.70 (home 1st half avg corners 2.50 + away 1st half conceded 3.10 /2 = 2.80; away 1st half avg corners 2.70 + home 1st half conceded 3.10 /2 = 2.90) vs line 4.5, gap +1.20. Both teams have 60% over 4.5 corners in last 10 matches (Kosice 6/10, Trencin 6/10). No contradictory H2H data. Good value at 1.75. |
|
| 01-08-2026 21:30 |
Genesis de Comayagua |
- |
Atletico Choloma |
Genesis de Comayagua -0.5 (Asian Handicap) |
68% |
Genesis de Comayagua have a strong recent Asian Handicap record, winning 4 of their last 5 and 7 of their last 10 such bets, indicating they consistently outperform handicap expectations. The sole H2H meeting ended in a 2-1 away victory for Genesis, and both teams posted comfortable winning margins against common opponent CD Victoria (Genesis 2-0, Atletico 5-2), supporting their ability to win by at least one goal. While the overall stand‑ings provide no signal, the combination of excellent AH form and positive H2H/common‑opponent alignment gives this bet a 68% confidence level. |
|
| 01-08-2026 23:00 |
Miami FC |
- |
Detroit City FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
67% |
Expected total 2.85 goals (home 1.70 scored/conceded at home, away 1.40 scored/0.90 conceded away) vs line 2.5. Miami home over 2.5 in 3 of last 5 (60%), Detroit away over 2.5 in 3 of last 5 (60%), and H2H ended 2-1 (Over). Likelihood shows only 45% Over, but historical patterns and mild goal gap align for an Over pick with limited structural negatives. |
|
| 01-08-2026 23:00 |
Lexington SC |
- |
Monterey Bay FC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
72% |
Expected total 2.95 vs line 2.75 gives a slight edge, with shot-based match potential 5.64 heavily over. Lexington's last 5 home matches all produced 3+ goals and they scored 2+ in each, while Monterey Bay's away record is poor (1 goal scored in last 4 away). Bookmaker mispricing is severe (GL_5 home 2.15, away 1.85 both >1.8 and accelerating), supporting Over. H2H also Over with a 3-1 scoreline. |
|
| 01-08-2026 23:15 |
Sporting San Miguelito |
- |
Plaza Amador |
Over 2.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 2.90 (1.10+1.10)/2 + (2.10+1.50)/2 = 2.90, significantly above the 2.25 line. Away team's last 10 matches have 7 over 2.5 goals (70%), and H2H 3 of 4 matches over 2.5 (75%). Structural away defensive fragility: 4 of last 6 away games conceded 2+ goals. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate and accelerating (GL₅ 1.60/1.65). Confidence capped at standard 82% because home history is only 50%, missing the dual‑70% threshold for elevated tier. |
|
| 01-08-2026 23:30 |
Charleston Battery |
- |
Brooklyn FC |
Over 1.0,1.5 Goals First Half |
70% |
Expected 1st half total 1.60 vs line 1.25 — gap 0.35. Charleston home HT Over 1.25 in 4 of 6 recent matches (66.7%), Brooklyn away HT Over 1.25 in 4 of 6 (66.7%). Massive quality gap (Charleston 1st home, Brooklyn 11th away) drives early pressure, and Brooklyn's away fragility (conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5) adds structural Over signal. No bookmaker mispricing edge (GL_5 0.90 for both), but strong consensus from history and matchup. |
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