| 15-05-2026 23:00 |
Torque |
- |
Nacional De Football |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Torque's home average 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, Nacional's away average 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, yields an expected total of 3.00 goals, well above the 2.5 line. Nacional has seen Over 2.5 in 5 of their last 6 away matches (83%), and all 3 recent H2H meetings exceeded 2.5 goals. Additionally, Nacional's GL_5 variance of 2.00 indicates significant bookmaker mispricing on the Over side, and they have conceded 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 away games, reinforcing the Over signal. |
|
| 16-05-2026 00:00 |
Kansas City Current Women |
- |
Houston Dash Women |
Over 9.5 Asian Corners |
82% |
Expected corners (9.85) from home avg 4.9, away conceded 6.8, away avg 4.2, home conceded 3.8 exceeds 9.5 line. Both teams have 100% of last 3 relevant matches over 9.5 (home: 9,11,14; away: 18,10,16). H2H total 12 also supports. Structurally, away concedes 6.8 corners away, indicating defensive pressure. Bookmaker mispricing on corners is severe for away (variance_ac_5=3.30, accelerating), aligning with Over. Confidence 82%. |
|
| 16-05-2026 01:30 |
Plaza Amador |
- |
UMECIT |
Over 8.5 Corners |
85% |
Expected corners total is 10.1 (home avg 6.4 + away conceded avg 3.9 vs away avg 5.8 + home conceded avg 4.1), well above the 8.5 line. Plaza Amador has gone over 8.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 home matches (90%), and UMECIT in 8 of their last 10 away matches (80%). H2H corners average 9.7 (2 of 3 matches over 8.5), and Plaza's home dominance as Eastern Conference leaders supports sustained attacking pressure. |
|
| 16-05-2026 02:15 |
Robina City U23 |
- |
Capalaba Bulldogs U23 |
Over 3.75 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 3.95 (Robina home avg 3.00, Capalaba away conceded avg 1.80; Capalaba away avg 1.10, Robina home conceded 2.00) exceeds line 3.75. Robina hit Over in 75% of recent matches (6/8) with a home attack averaging 3 goals per game. Home GL_5 of 2.15 indicates severe bookmaker mispricing, accelerating Over edge. Structural factors (6th vs 11th, both teams motivated) support an open game. Confidence 73%. |
|
| 16-05-2026 03:00 |
Manningham Utd Blues U23 |
- |
Brunswick Juventus U23 |
Over 1.75 Goals (1st Half) |
78% |
Expected 1st half total is 2.01 goals, above the line of 1.75, driven by Manningham's strong home scoring (90% of matches with a 1st half goal) and Brunswick's away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 away, averaging 2.63 goals conceded per game). Historical data shows 62.5% of each team's recent matches exceeded 1.75 1st half goals, and the quality gap (2nd vs 11th) further supports early attacking pressure. |
|
| 16-05-2026 03:15 |
Adelaide Blue Eagles Reserves |
- |
Fulham United FC Reserves |
Over 1.5, 2.0 Goals 1st Half |
65% |
Expected 1st half total of 1.85 goals (home scores 0.7 HT at home, away concedes 1.5 HT away; away scores 0.5 HT away, home concedes 1.0 HT at home) is slightly above the 1.75 line. Home team has gone over 1.75 HT in 4 of last 6 (66.7%) and away in 4 of last 7 (57%). Structural edge: dominant home side (2nd vs 12th) and away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 3 away). Bookmaker mispricing is moderate (home GL_5=1.60, away GL_5=1.50, both accelerating), adding confidence to the Over side. |
|
| 16-05-2026 04:00 |
Hume City |
- |
Avondale |
Over 3.0 Goals |
80% |
Expected total 3.70 (Hume 1.90 avg home goals + Avondale 1.20 conceded away, averaged; Avondale 2.90 avg away goals + Hume 1.40 conceded at home) exceeds the line 3.0 by 0.70. Avondale's recent away matches saw 3 of 4 produce over 2.5 total goals, while their match history shows 60% Over 3.0. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate and accelerating (GL_5: home 1.55, away 1.75), adding further confidence to the Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 04:00 |
Gold Coast United U23 |
- |
Brisbane City U23 |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total (4.45) from home avg scored (1.8) and conceded (2.7) vs away avg scored (2.2) and conceded (2.2) significantly exceeds line of 3.5, with shot-based potential (4.11) also supporting. Brisbane City U23 (BC) had 60% of recent matches over 3.5, and the only H2H produced 5 goals. High bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.90, away 2.30) indicates consistent underestimation of goals. Both defenses are leaky (home concedes 2.7/game, away 2.2/game), adding structural over signal. |
|
| 16-05-2026 04:00 |
Adamstown Rosebud |
- |
Charlestown Azzurri |
Over 1.25 Goals 1st Half |
75% |
Expected 1st half goals (1.55) exceed the 1.25 line, calculated from home HT avg scored at home (0.60) + away HT avg conceded away (0.90) averaged with away HT avg scored away (0.70) + home HT avg conceded at home (0.90). Charlestown's away 1st half record shows 4 of 5 matches (80%) over 1.25 goals. Their goal line variance (GL_5=1.55) signals moderate bookmaker mispricing favoring over. Defensively, Charlestown have conceded 2+ goals in all 5 away full-time matches, contributing to high-scoring first halves. Confidence 75%: base 50% + gap +5% + away history +10% + structural +5% + GL_5 away +5%. |
|
| 16-05-2026 05:00 |
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 |
- |
Blacktown City |
Blacktown City +0.25 Asian Handicap |
68% |
Blacktown City have won each of their last 5 Asian Handicap bets (100% cover), are unbeaten in 5 matches, and have a positive H2H win (1-0). Western Sydney Wanderers U21 have a poor home record (1 win in last 10 home games) and only 50% AH cover. The odds imply Blacktown as favorites, and their recent form justifies covering the +0.25 line. |
|
| 16-05-2026 05:00 |
North Sunshine Eagles |
- |
Western United FC NPL |
Over 3.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected total goals (4.15) exceeds the 3.75 line, with home averaging 1.70 scored and 1.90 conceded at home, away averaging 2.00 scored and 2.70 conceded away. Away team has conceded 2+ goals in all 4 recent away matches (strong defensive fragility), and 70% of their overall matches go over 3.5. Home team's home matches also trend over at 66.7%. Market mispricing is strong (home GL_5=1.90 accelerating, away GL_5=1.60) aligning with over direction. |
|
| 16-05-2026 05:00 |
Essendon Royals Women |
- |
South Melbourne Women |
Over 1.25 1st Half Goals |
78% |
Expected 1st half goals 1.90 (home avg 1.50 at home + away avg conceded 0.40 away vs home conceded 0.60 + away scored 1.30) far exceeds line 1.25. Essendon Royals Women have 6 of 9 recent matches (67%) with over 1.25 1st half goals. Major market mispricing: home GL_5 1.60, away GL_5 2.40, both accelerating vs GL_10, strongly supporting Over direction. |
|
| 16-05-2026 05:00 |
Dandenong City U23 |
- |
Oakleigh Cannons U23 |
Over 3.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 5.10 (home avg 3.40 scored at home + away avg 1.20 conceded away, away avg 3.30 scored away + home avg 2.30 conceded at home) far exceeds the line of 3.75. Home team has 6 of 7 recent matches over this line (86%), and both teams have GL_5 variance >1.8 (home 2.25, away 2.20 accelerating), indicating persistent bookmaker mispricing. The quality gap (1st vs 9th) and high-scoring profiles further support an Over outcome. |
|
| 16-05-2026 05:00 |
Pocheon Citizen FC |
- |
Changwon City |
Pocheon Citizen FC -0.5 (Asian Handicap) |
67% |
Pocheon (3rd, 20pts) have a strong home record (3-0-1, +5 GD) and cover -0.5 in 3 of 4 home matches, while Changwon (7th, 12pts) have a poor away record (1-1-3). Pocheon’s AH record (4/5 wins last 5) supports, and the sole H2H saw Pocheon win 2-1 covering the line. Goal line Over was considered but away match history (33% Over) failed the 50% threshold, so AH offers the steadiest value. |
|
| 16-05-2026 05:00 |
Fremantle City FC U23 |
- |
Olympic Kingsway U23 |
1st Half Over 1.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected 1st half total 2.00 (home HT avg 1.20 scored + 0.90 conceded; away HT avg 1.30 scored + 0.60 conceded) exceeds the 1.75 line by 0.25. Home HT record: 3/3 Over (100%), away HT away record: 4/5 Over (80%). Both teams consistently score early (home 3/3, away 4/5 scored in first half). Away team's GL_5 of 2.45 indicates bookmaker underestimation of goals in Kingsway matches, supporting Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 05:00 |
Perth RedStar FC U23 |
- |
Armadale U23 |
1st Half Over 1.5,2.0 Goals |
70% |
Expected 1st half total of 1.75 goals aligns with the split line, supported by Perth RedStar's 80% home record going Over 1.5 HT goals and Armadale conceding 1.00 HT goals away. The quality gap (5th vs 11th) adds early pressure, while no H2H data or market mispricing contradicts the pick. |
|
| 16-05-2026 05:00 |
Belmont Swansea United SC |
- |
Valentine Phoenix |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.0 (home avg 2.6, away concede 2.4) exceeds line 3.5. Match potential 6.74 confirms. Home team 70% Over in last 10, home scored 2+ in last 3 home games. Away conceded 2+ in each last 5 away. Home GL_5 error 2.05 shows bookmaker mispricing. Despite away history contradicting, structural quality gap and defensive fragility support Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 05:00 |
University NSW |
- |
Rockdale Ilinden FC |
Over 1.0,1.5 1st Half Goals (Over 1.25) |
70% |
Expected 1st half total (1.55) exceeds the 1.25 line by 0.30 goals, driven by away team’s average of 0.90 goals scored away in the 1st half and home conceding 1.00 at home. Away team Rockdale Ilinden (4th) has scored a 1st half goal in 3 of their last 5 away matches, and the quality gap against 13th-placed University NSW adds attacking pressure. Away AH record (3 wins in last 5) and structural defensive weakness of the home side support an Over bet in the opening period. |
|
| 16-05-2026 05:30 |
Playford |
- |
Adelaide City |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.90 goals (home avg 2.90 scored, away conceded 1.10; away avg 2.10 scored, home conceded 1.70) exceeds the 3.25 line. Playford at home have 60% Over rate (3/5) and scored 2+ in each of last 3 home matches, while Adelaide City away have 57% Over (4/7). Both teams exhibit high bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 2.20, away 1.55), indicating the market consistently underestimates goals in this top-of-table clash. |
|
| 16-05-2026 05:30 |
Sturt Lions |
- |
Croydon FC |
Over 3.25 Goals |
69% |
Expected total 3.70 (home avg 2.00 + away conceded 2.00 vs away scored 1.50 + home conceded 1.90) exceeds the 3.25 line by 0.45 goals. Sturt Lions home matches went over 3.25 in 3 of 5 (60%) and Croydon FC's away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away) provides a structural Over signal, despite Croydon's own away match history showing 0% over. Market pricing error is mild (home GL_5 1.40, away 1.20) and H2H is empty, giving a net 69% confidence. |
|
| 16-05-2026 05:30 |
Adelaide Blue Eagles |
- |
Fulham United FC |
Fulham United FC 0 |
72% |
Fulham United FC are 3rd in the standings (17 pts) vs Adelaide Blue Eagles 8th (11 pts). Their recent Asian Handicap record shows 4 wins in last 5 away matches (80% cover rate). Common opponents like Cumberland United both faced, Fulham won 2-1 away while Blue Eagles won 2-0 at home, confirming the quality gap. Bookmaker mispricing on goal line is high (Fulham GL_5 2.60) indicating systematic underestimation of Fulham's attacking strength. |
|
| 16-05-2026 05:30 |
West Adelaide |
- |
West Torrens Birkalla |
Over 3.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected total goals 3.90 (home avg 1.70 + away conceded avg 1.80 /2 + away avg 2.10 + home conceded 2.20 /2) exceeds the 3.5 line, supported by away team's severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.75, accelerating) and home team's defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 home matches). West Torrens Birkalla's quality advantage (2nd vs 10th) further drives Over probability despite modest historical over rates. |
|
| 16-05-2026 06:00 |
Rochedale Rovers U23 |
- |
Magic United U23 |
Over 4.5 Goals |
65% |
Expected total goals = (home 2.7 at home + away concede 3.3 away)/2 + (away 1.1 away + home concede 0.9 at home)/2 = 4.0, below the 4.5 line. However, shot-based match potential (7.14) strongly supports Over. Home team is 2nd vs last-placed Magic United, with home GL_5 error of 1.90 indicating persistent bookmaker mispricing. Magic United have conceded 3+ in all recent away games (defensive fragility), while Rochedale average 2.7 goals at home and have 60% of home matches going over 4.5. Combined structural edge justifies Over despite the line gap. |
|
| 16-05-2026 06:00 |
Sunshine Coast Wanderers U23 |
- |
St George Willawong U23 |
Under 4.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.60 goals (home avg 1.80 at home + away concede 3.40 away averaged with away score 0.80 away + home concede 1.20 at home) is 0.9 below the 4.5 line. Recent form strongly unders: 83% of Sunshine Coast home matches (5/6) and 78% of St George away matches (7/9) finished Under 4.5, with both H2H matches ending 1-3 and 3-1 (4 goals each). Structural away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in all 5 away matches) is a counter-signal but not strong enough to overcome consistent low-scoring trend and expected total gap. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (home GL_5 1.30, away GL_5 1.05), no adjustment. Confidence capped at 82% under standard ceiling. |
|
| 16-05-2026 06:00 |
Charlestown Azzurri Women |
- |
Adamstown Rosebud Women |
Over 1.5,2.0 Goals (1st Half) |
71% |
Expected 1st half total of 2.15 goals (home HT avg 0.40 scored, 1.50 conceded; away HT avg 0.80 scored, 1.60 conceded) exceeds the line of 1.75 by 0.4 goals. Both teams show 60% Over in their last 5 1st halves (3 of 5). Away team concedes heavily in away matches (2+ in 4 of 4 FT away, and 2 of 4 HT away), adding structural support. Market pricing error is high (home GL_5 2.15, away GL_5 2.05, both accelerating), indicating the bookmaker consistently underestimates goals. |
|
| 16-05-2026 06:15 |
Devonport City |
- |
Glenorchy Knights FC |
Over 1.25 Goals 1st Half |
65% |
Expected 1st half goals at 1.95 (home averages 1.50 HT at home + away concedes 0.80 HT away, averaged) surpass the 1.25 line by 0.70 goals. Devonport City's quality advantage (2nd vs 7th) and home attacking pressure support early scoring. H2H first half saw 2 goals. Home GL_5 at 1.30 and away at 1.05 indicate mild bookmaker mispricing aligning with Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 07:00 |
SD Raiders |
- |
Sutherland Sharks |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 3.45 goals (home avg 1.70 scored, 1.80 conceded; away avg 2.00 scored, 1.40 conceded) well above the 2.75 line. Home team saw 7/10 (70%) and away team 8/10 (80%) of recent matches exceed 2.5 goals. Away team's GL_5 of 1.75 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing accelerating (GL_5 > GL_10), adding edge to the Over. Structural signals lean Over due to weak away defence (conceded 2+ in multiple away games) and no H2H to contradict. Confidence 82% (capped at standard ceiling). |
|
| 16-05-2026 07:00 |
North Geelong |
- |
Langwarrin |
Over 3.75 Goals |
74% |
Expected total 3.80 goals (North Geelong 1.50 home scored + Langwarrin 2.70 away conceded /2 = 2.10; Langwarrin 1.30 away scored + North Geelong 2.10 home conceded /2 = 1.70) exceeds the 3.75 line. Langwarrin's away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away) and their 70% Over record in recent matches support the Over, despite North Geelong's 40% Over home history. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate (home GL_5=1.55), adding edge to the Over side. |
|
| 16-05-2026 07:00 |
Gold Coast Knights Women |
- |
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Women |
Over 9 Corners |
73% |
Expected corners total 9.1 (home avg 6.5 + away conceded 6.3 averaged with away avg 3.7 + home conceded 1.7) exceeds the 9.0 line. Away team has gone over 9 corners in 80% of recent away matches, and the home team's dominance creates sustained attacking pressure. Bookmaker mispricing is high (home GL_5 2.30, away 2.00) adding further edge to the Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 07:15 |
Adelaide Cobras Reserves |
- |
Modbury Jets Reserves |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
70% |
Expected 1st half total (1.90) exceeds line of 1.5, driven by home team averaging 1.10 goals at home in 1st half and conceding 0.80, while away team averages 1.10 scored and 0.80 conceded away. Home team has recorded 3+ 1st half goals in all 3 home matches (100% Over), and away team has gone Over 1.5 in 2 of 3 away 1st halves (66.7%). No H2H data, but venue-specific trends strongly support Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 07:30 |
NWS Spirit FC |
- |
Marconi Stallions |
Marconi Stallions -0.75 (Asian Handicap) |
72% |
Marconi Stallions have a dominant away record (7-1-2) and sit 13 points above NWS Spirit in the standings. Their Asian Handicap record is 4/5 wins in recent matches, and they have covered -0.75 in 9 of the last 10 matches (including half wins). NWS Spirit have lost 4 of their last 5 AH bets, and their home form is inconsistent. The only H2H match ended 5-0 to NWS, but it's a single data point. With strong structural support from the quality gap and form, Marconi -0.75 offers solid value. |
|
| 16-05-2026 07:30 |
Daejeon Hana Citizen |
- |
FC Seoul |
Under 1.0 Goals 1st Half |
73% |
Daejeon have failed to score a single 1st half goal in their last 5 home matches and 80% of their last 10 matches stayed Under 1.0 at half-time. FC Seoul's away matches show a 70% Under rate in the 1st half. The expected 1st half total (1.05) is only marginally above the line, and Daejeon's extreme home scoring drought provides strong structural support for an Under. |
|
| 16-05-2026 07:30 |
Seoul E-Land FC |
- |
Yongin City FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total calculated as (1.70+1.70)/2 + (1.30+1.10)/2 = 2.90, exceeding the 2.5 line by 0.4 goals. Seoul E-Land are in strong form at home with 80% of home matches going Over 2.5 (4/5), while Yongin City have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 4 away matches (75% away defensive fragility). The quality gap is significant (Seoul 3rd in K League 2 vs Yongin 14th), further supporting an Over outcome. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (away GL_5 = 1.05) and directionally favours Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 07:30 |
Jeonnam Dragons |
- |
Chungbuk Cheongju |
Over 2.25 Goals |
74% |
Expected total 2.45 goals exceeds the 2.25 line, derived from Jeonnam's home average of 1.10 scored and 1.70 conceded, and Chungbuk's away averages of 1.00 scored and 1.10 conceded. 60% of Jeonnam's last 10 matches and all three H2Hs produced 3+ goals, and Chungbuk's GL_5 of 1.75 indicates persistent bookmaker mispricing toward more goals. The shot-based match potential of 4.83 further supports an Over outcome. |
|
| 16-05-2026 07:30 |
Cove |
- |
Adelaide Croatia Raiders |
Over 10.0 Asian Corners |
76% |
Expected corners total 10.65 (Cove 4.7 avg at home + conceded 4.9 vs ACR 5.9 avg away + conceded 5.8) exceeds the 10.0 line. Cove has 4/6 (67%) and ACR 5/7 (71%) of recent matches over 10 corners. Both teams are in playoff contention, likely to play an open game. Over 10 corners offers strong value at odds 1.85. |
|
| 16-05-2026 07:30 |
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai |
- |
Changchun Yatai |
Over 2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total of 2.80 (home avg 1.20 + away conceded 1.80 /2 + away avg 1.40 + home conceded 1.20 /2) exceeds the 2.5 line, supported by Changchun's strong away Over record (4/5 away matches Over 2.5) and the structural quality gap between China League 1 and League 2 sides. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate for Changchun (GL_5 1.45, accelerating from GL_10 1.20), adding further edge to the Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 07:45 |
Metrostars |
- |
Adelaide Comets |
Over 3.5 Goals |
77% |
Expected total goals 3.85 (Metrostars home avg 2.70 + away conceded avg 2.50 vs Comets away avg 1.00 + home conceded avg 1.50) vs line 3.5. Metrostars have 70% Over record (7/10 matches over 3.5) and a quality gap (3rd vs 11th). Comets conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches. Home team GL_5 mispricing of 2.30 (strong/accelerating) suggests the line undervalues goals. |
|
| 16-05-2026 08:00 |
Moreton City Excelsior |
- |
Brisbane Olympic FC |
Over 3.25 Goals |
76% |
Expected total of 3.80 (home avg 2.50 scored, 1.10 conceded; away avg 2.50 scored, 1.50 conceded) exceeds the 3.25 line by 0.55. Away team Brisbane Olympic have conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away matches, and their own matches go Over 3.25 at 60% (6/10). Home Moreton City's strong home form (averaging 2.50 goals per home game) adds further Over support, while H2H record is neutral (only 2 matches, both under). Bookmaker mispricing is mild (home GL_5 1.45, away GL_5 1.30) but structural factors favour goals. |
|
| 16-05-2026 08:00 |
CSA Steaua Bucuresti |
- |
FC Voluntari |
Over 1.0 Goals 1st Half |
71% |
Expected 1st half goals of 1.55 (home avg 1.10 HT at home, away avg 1.00 HT away, home avg 0.70 HT conceded, away avg 0.30 HT conceded) clear the line of 1.0. Home side scores early (38% of goals in first 30 min) and both teams need points in the promotion race, supporting an open start. Away's full-time Over 2.5 record (30%) disqualifies that market, but the 1st half pattern holds with sufficient structural edge. Odds of 1.90 offer value against a 71% expected probability. |
|
| 16-05-2026 08:15 |
FC Melbourne Srbija |
- |
Brunswick City |
Home -0.25 Asian Handicap |
65% |
FC Melbourne Srbija has covered the Asian Handicap in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%), while Brunswick City has only covered in 2 of their last 5 (40%). The standings are tight (1 point apart), but common opponents such as Manningham and Bulleen favour the home side. The sole H2H meeting ended 3-0 to FC Melbourne Srbija, comfortably covering the -0.25 line. No strong over market qualified due to weak historical goal support, making this the best available value. |
|
| 16-05-2026 09:00 |
Bonnyrigg White Eagles |
- |
Sydney University |
1st Half Over 1.25 Goals |
65% |
Expected 1st half total (1.75) exceeds the 1.25 line by 0.5 goals, based on Bonnyrigg's home average of 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded (HT) and Sydney University's away average of 0.7 scored and 0.8 conceded (HT). Bonnyrigg's last 9 matches saw 7 (77.8%) clear the 1.25 HT line, while Sydney University's away HT record is weaker at 37.5% but their expected contribution still lifts the total well above the line. Structural early scoring patterns and mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 = 1.25 home, 1.45 away) support the Over bias. |
|
| 16-05-2026 09:00 |
Pescara U19 |
- |
Albinoleffe U19 |
Over 3.25 Goals |
76% |
Expected total of 3.50 goals (home avg 1.80 at home, away conceded 1.40 away; away scored 2.00 away, home conceded 1.80 at home) exceeds the line of 3.25. Market mispricing is severe for Pescara (GL_5=2.45, accelerating) and moderate for Albinoleffe (GL_5=1.55), both supporting Over. Despite Pescara's home record showing only 40% Over at home, their away record (80% Over) and high variance outweigh this, while Albinoleffe's away defensive struggles add confidence. |
|
| 16-05-2026 09:15 |
North Geelong U23 |
- |
Langwarrin U23 |
Over 3.5 Goals |
74% |
Expected total 4.15 (home avg 2.5, away conceded 1.5, away scored 1.9, home conceded 2.4) exceeds line 3.5 by 0.65. Shot-based model yields 4.20. Home GL_5 variance 3.15 (severe mispricing, accelerating) heavily supports Over. Langwarrin away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 away (75%): structural defensive fragility. Likelihood for Over 3.5 at 45% is a slight negative, but bookmaker mispricing and structural signal outweigh. |
|
| 16-05-2026 09:30 |
FC Flora Tallinn Women |
- |
FC Elva Women |
Over 1.5, 2.0 Goals (1st Half) |
81% |
Flora average 1.6 first‑half goals at home, Elva concede 1.1 away → expected HT total 1.95 (above the 1.75 line). Elva’s last 7 matches saw 5 first‑halves go over (71% agreement). H2H most recent meeting had 3 HT goals. Bookmaker mispricing is strong with Flora’s GL_5 of 2.15. Wide quality gap supports early attacking pressure. |
|
| 16-05-2026 10:00 |
FC Zorya Lugansk |
- |
Polissya Zhytomyr |
Over 2.5 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 2.85 (Zorya home avg 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded; Polissya away avg 1.8 scored, 0.9 conceded) exceeds 2.5 line by +0.35. Zorya's last 10 matches show 60% Over 2.5 (6/10), and Polissya's 50% (5/10) does not contradict. The shot-based match potential (6.65) also strongly supports Over. Bookmaker mispricing is low (home GL_5 0.35, away GL_5 1.30 mild), but quality gap (Polissya 3rd vs Zorya 8th) adds moderate Over signal. |
|
| 16-05-2026 10:00 |
SC Poltava |
- |
Dynamo Kiev |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
80% |
Expected 1st half total of 1.80 goals (Poltava concede 1.40 at home, Dynamo score 1.10 away) surpasses the 1.5 line. Poltava's last 5 home matches saw over 1.5 HT goals in 80% (4/5) and Dynamo's last 5 away in 60% (3/5), with a massive quality gap (16th vs 4th) and Poltava's first-half defensive fragility (conceded in all 5 home matches) strongly supporting goals. |
|
| 16-05-2026 10:00 |
Sparta Katowice |
- |
Skra Czestochowa |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.90 (home scored 2.20, away scored 2.40, home conceded 1.50, away conceded 1.70) well above 2.75 line. Home team's last 6 home matches had 5/6 Over (83.3%), away team's last 3 away matches all Over (100%). H2H match ended 1-2 (3 goals, Over). Structural signal: away team conceded 2+ goals in all 3 away matches. Home team GL_5 at 1.55 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing towards Over. Combined confidence 82%. |
|
| 16-05-2026 10:00 |
Czarni Sosnowiec Women |
- |
GKS Katowice Women |
Over 3.0 Goals |
65% |
Expected total 2.90 (home 1.70 at home, away 2.30 away, away conceded 1.00) within 0.15 of line 3.0. Recent form strong: home 80% Over last 5 (matches avg 4.4 goals), away 60% Over last 5 (avg 3.8 goals). H2H neutral (2 matches, one Under one push). Bookmaker mispricing mild (home GL_5 1.20, away 1.30, both stabilizing). Preference for Over given philosophy and consistent recent scoring. |
|
| 16-05-2026 10:15 |
Kaya FC |
- |
Davao Aguilas FC |
Over 1.25 1st Half Goals |
70% |
1st half expected total calculated as 1.65 goals (0.70+0.90)/2 + (0.90+0.80)/2 = 1.65, well above the 1.25 line. Davao Aguilas have gone over 1.25 in 4 of their last 6 away first halves (66.7%), and their GL_5 variance of 2.15 indicates heavy bookmaker mispricing. Kaya's dominant home form and quality gap further support an open first half. |
|
| 16-05-2026 10:30 |
Hang Yuen Women |
- |
Taichung Sakura Women |
Under 4.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.50 goals (home avg 3.10 scored, 0.60 conceded at home; away avg 1.30 scored, 2.00 conceded away) well below the 4.5 line. Home match history 75% Under (6/8), away 100% Under (9/9). Home defense dominant with clean sheets in last 5 home matches. Market mispricing moderate (home GL_5 1.75, away 1.40; both accelerating) aligns with Under direction. |
|
| 16-05-2026 10:30 |
Port Darwin FC |
- |
Darwin Olympic |
Over 3.5, 4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals calculated at 4.30 from home average 2.70 and away average 2.80, well above the 3.75 line. Home team's last 5 matches all went Over (100%), and H2H record shows 3/3 Over including recent 4-2 and 4-3 scorelines. Both teams have accelerating goal line mispricing (home GL_5 2.20, away 2.60) confirming the bookmaker consistently underestimates goals in this matchup. |
|
| 16-05-2026 11:00 |
Kvik Halden FK |
- |
Sandviken |
Kvik Halden FK -0.75 (Asian Handicap) |
72% |
Kvik Halden FK sit 4th in the table while Sandviken are 9th, a 6-point gap. The home side have covered the Asian Handicap in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%), and common opponents (Arendal, Bjarg) show Kvik Halden outperforming Sandviken by clear margins. Sandviken have lost 3 of their last 5 away matches, reinforcing the home advantage. The line of -0.75 at 1.90 offers value given the structural and historical edge. |
|
| 16-05-2026 11:00 |
Ullern |
- |
Frigg |
Over 3.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.85 (Ullern home avg 2.00 scored + 2.70 conceded, Frigg away avg 2.80 scored + 2.20 conceded) far exceeds the 3.75 line. Ullern has 5/6 (83%) recent matches over 3.5, Frigg 4/6 (67%). Common opponents (Vålerenga 2, Grei) both produced 4+ goals. H2H is a single 0-0 but sample too small to override. Bookmaker mispricing mild but aligns with Over direction. High confidence in Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 11:00 |
Song Lam Nghe An |
- |
Ninh Binh |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.00 (home avg 1.20 + away conceded away 1.70 avg 1.45; away avg away 1.70 + home conceded home 1.40 avg 1.55) exceeds line of 2.5 by 0.5. Ninh Binh’s last 10 matches show 80% Over 2.5, while their away attacking average of 1.70 and defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away) support goals. Home GL_5 of 1.55 (moderate accelerating mispricing) adds edge. Confidence capped at 82% standard ceiling due to home history below 70% agreement. |
|
| 16-05-2026 11:00 |
FK Tauras |
- |
Lietava Jonava |
Over 2.5 Goals |
74% |
Expected total (3.00) exceeds line (2.75) by 0.25 goals, driven by Tauras' 1.5 avg home goals and Jonava's 1.6 away goals conceded. Home team has 60% of last 10 matches over 2.5 goals, away team 70%, while H2H is mixed (1 over, 2 under). Structurally, Jonava conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away matches. Market pricing error is mild (home GL_5 1.20, away 1.10), supporting the over direction. |
|
| 16-05-2026 11:00 |
Vejgaard B |
- |
Sundby |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total (3.25) exceeds 2.5 line by 0.75 goals based on Vejgaard's home averages (1.30 scored, 2.30 conceded) and Sundby's away averages (1.60 scored, 1.30 conceded). Vejgaard have 8/10 recent matches over 2.5, Sundby 6/10, and the only H2H saw 3 goals. Sundby's away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away) further supports Over. Market pricing error is mild (GL_5 1.10 home, 1.00 away) and does not alter the strong structural signal. |
|
| 16-05-2026 11:00 |
Holbæk |
- |
Odder IGF |
Holbæk -1.25 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Holbæk averages 2.0 goals at home while Odder concedes 1.9 away (expected total 3.30, slightly above 3.0 line), but full-time history is weak for Over (both teams 40% over 3.0 in last 10). More decisively, Holbæk has covered the Asian Handicap in all 5 recent matches, while Odder has lost 3 of its last 5 AH. H2H also favors Holbæk (win margins of +3 and +1) and home team's 5-match winning run suggests they will control the game against a relegation-threatened side. |
|
| 16-05-2026 11:00 |
Guangzhou Dandelion |
- |
Wuxi Wugo |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
78% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.0 (home 0.6 scored + 0.4 conceded, away 0.6 scored + 0.4 conceded) matching the line. Home has gone under 1.0 HT in 6/9 (66.7%) recent matches, away in 7/8 (87.5%). Both teams failed to score in the 1st half in 3 of their last 5 respective home/away games, a strong structural signal for low HT scoring. Likelihood data shows a 80% probability of 0 or 1 HT goal. No H2H data available. Zero confidence from market mispricing variance does not apply directly to HT, but overall GL_5 is high (home 2.10, away 1.75), reinforcing systemic goal underestimation, though not used for HT. Combined confidence 78%. |
|
| 16-05-2026 11:00 |
Nong Bua Pitchaya |
- |
Pattani FC |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Nong Bua and Pattani have a combined expected total of 3.75 goals, well above the 3.0 line. Nong Bua's last 3 home matches all saw 2+ goals from them (3,4,6). Home side's goal line variance (GL_5=2.20) shows severe bookmaker mispricing. Both teams are in a playoff race, adding attacking impetus. 75% of Nong Bua's recent home matches (3/4) and 67% of Pattani's away matches (2/3) have gone Over 3.0. |
|
| 16-05-2026 11:15 |
FK Kauno Zalgiris |
- |
FK Siauliai |
Over 3.0 Goals |
71% |
Expected total is 3.15 (Kauno Zalgiris averages 2.80 goals at home, Siauliai concedes 1.40 away). H2H shows 3 of last 4 meetings (including a 5-0 rout) exceeded 3 goals. At home, Kauno has 3 of 5 matches over 3.0, and the quality gap (1st vs 9th) adds attacking pressure. Market pricing error is low (GL_5 0.85), but structural and H2H signals justify the Over pick. |
|
| 16-05-2026 11:30 |
VfB Stuttgart II |
- |
VfL Osnabruck |
Under 1.25 Goals 1st Half |
80% |
Expected 1st half goals only 1.10 (home 0.50+away 0.40 HT conceding average vs away 0.60+home 0.70 HT conceding), well below the 1.25 line. Home HT over rate is just 40% (4/10) and away HT over rate 30% (3/10). Structurally, both teams are low first-half scorers, and Osnabruck fails to score in the first half in 70% of away matches. Market mispricing is strong: Stuttgart's GL_5 of 2.40 is accelerating (GL_10=1.73), with direction aligning to the under. Combined confidence reaches 80%. |
|
| 16-05-2026 11:30 |
SSV Ulm 1846 |
- |
Rot-Weiss Essen |
Over 10.5 Corners |
78% |
Expected corners total is 11.65 (home avg 4.20 + conceded 5.60, away avg 6.80 + conceded 6.70) above the 10.5 line. Rot-Weiss Essen has 70% of last 10 away matches over this line, and the quality gap (4th vs 18th) combined with promotion motivation should drive sustained attacking pressure. Structural signals for corners are strong, while bookmaker mispricing (away GL_5 2.50) suggests systematic underestimation of game volume. |
|
| 16-05-2026 11:30 |
Schweinfurt 05 |
- |
Erzgebirge Aue |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
75% |
Expected total (3.60) clearly exceeds the goal line of 3.25, driven by poor defenses: Schweinfurt concedes 1.90 at home and Erzgebirge Aue concedes 2.30 away, while Aue's away defensive fragility is extreme (conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away). Match history shows 60% Over for both teams, and the only H2H ended 4-0. Market pricing error is high for Aue (GL_5 = 2.25), confirming consistent mispricing. Confidence capped at 82% (elevated ceiling not met due to gap <0.5), but structural signals strongly favor Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 11:30 |
MSV Duisburg |
- |
FC Viktoria Köln |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
78% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.55 (Duisburg avg 0.70+0.70/2 + Köln avg 0.80+0.90/2) vs line 1.25, a +0.30 gap. Both teams hit Over 1.25 in 60% of last 10 1st halves (Duisburg 6/10, Köln 6/10). Duisburg's home dominance (14-4-0) and Köln conceding 2+ goals in 3/5 away matches (defensive fragility) further support Over. Home GL_5 of 1.50 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing. Combined, 78% confidence. |
|
| 16-05-2026 11:30 |
Jahn Regensburg |
- |
Cottbus |
Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
1st half Under 1.5 Goals is the strongest bet. Expected 1st half total is only 1.25 goals (Regensburg home HT avg 1.10 scored and 0.20 conceded; Cottbus away HT avg 0.70 scored and 0.50 conceded). Both teams show 80% of their last 5 relevant matches going Under 1.5 HT, and Cottbus failed to score in the 1st half in 3 of 5 away games, creating a clear structural Under signal. The expected total is 0.25 goals below the 1.5 line, and no market mispricing contradicts this pick. |
|
| 16-05-2026 11:30 |
Falkirk |
- |
Rangers |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
78% |
Expected 1st half total of 1.75 goals (Falkirk 0.70 HT home avg + Rangers 1.00 HT away avg) exceeds the 1.25 line. Falkirk's home 1st half history shows 80% Over (4/5) with 2+ goals, while Rangers away 1st half average 1.70 total. Rangers' GL_5=1.95 indicates severe bookmaker mispricing, and the quality gap (Rangers 3rd vs Falkirk 6th) further supports an open, attacking first half. |
|
| 16-05-2026 12:00 |
Persis Solo |
- |
Dewa United FC |
Dewa United FC Asian Handicap 0 |
68% |
Dewa United (5th, 53 points) are far superior to relegation-threatened Persis Solo (16th, 28 points) in the standings. Dewa have covered the handicap in 3 of their last 5 matches (60%) and have strong H2H form (5-1 win, 1-1 draw covering the +0 line). Their recent away record is also solid, winning 3 of their last 5 away games, while Persis have lost 4 of their last 5 home matches. This structural quality gap gives Dewa a clear edge. |
|
| 16-05-2026 12:00 |
SK Brann |
- |
KFUM |
Over 1.25 Goals 1st Half |
82% |
Expected 1st half total 2.00 (home 1.40 + away 0.80) vs line 1.25, a gap of 0.75. Brann's last 10 matches: 80% Over 1.25 HT; KFUM's last 10: 60% Over. KFUM have conceded 2+ goals in each of their last 5 away matches, a strong structural Over signal. Home team GL_5 = 1.50 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing. H2H sample too small to override. Confidence capped at 82% per standard ceiling. |
|
| 16-05-2026 12:00 |
Kjelsås |
- |
Skeid |
Over 3.0 Goals |
79% |
Expected total 3.70 (home avg 2.80 scored + away avg 1.60 conceded, divided by 2, plus away avg 1.70 scored + home avg 1.30 conceded, divided by 2) exceeds the line of 3.0 by 0.70. Kjelsås averages 2.80 goals at home and has scored 4,3,2 in recent league home matches, while Skeid's away matches include 5-3 and 2-2 totals. The 1st vs 10th place quality gap and need-for-points context support an open game, and Skeid's stable moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_10=1.68) aligns with Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 12:00 |
Baerum |
- |
Asker |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 4.50 goals (home avg 2.70 at home + away conceded 2.10 away; away avg 2.30 away + home conceded 1.90 at home) exceeds the bookmaker line of ~3.75, strongly favouring Over. Baerum's last 3 home matches and Asker's last 3 away matches both show 66.7% Over 3.5 goals, confirming consistent high-scoring patterns. Home team's market pricing error (GL_5 = 1.65) is moderate and accelerating, indicating the bookmaker systematically underestimates goals in Baerum matches, adding further edge. |
|
| 16-05-2026 12:00 |
BFA Vilnius |
- |
FK Atmosfera |
Over 2.5 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 3.15 (BFA home avg 1.10 + Atmosfera away avg 1.80) exceeds line 2.5 by 0.65. Away team has 66.7% of last 9 matches over 2.5 goals, supporting Over. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (home GL_5=1.40, stabilising) and direction aligns; however home history at 55.6% tempers confidence. |
|
| 16-05-2026 12:00 |
London City Lionesses Women |
- |
Aston Villa Women |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
81% |
Expected total 3.45 goals (home avg 1.40 at home + away conceded 2.90 away /2 plus away avg 1.10 away + home conceded 1.50 home /2) well above line 2.75. Away team conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches (80% defensive fragility). Away match history shows 70% of last 10 matches went over the line. H2H saw 4 goals (over). Away GL_5 of 1.60 indicates moderate market mispricing directionally supporting over. Combined signals give 81% confidence. |
|
| 16-05-2026 12:00 |
Liverpool Women |
- |
Arsenal Women |
Over 9.5 Corners |
81% |
Expected total corners 10.55 (calculated from (6.00+3.60)/2 + (6.60+4.90)/2) exceeds the line of 9.5. Liverpool's last 10 matches show 70% over (7/10) and Arsenal's show 70% over (7/10). The only H2H match had 10 corners (over 9.5). Liverpool's corner variance (AC_5=3.70) suggests bookmaker mispricing favoring the Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 12:00 |
Brighton Women |
- |
Tottenham Women |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals of 3.40 (Brighton's 1.40 avg at home + Tottenham's 2.30 conceded away) clears the 2.75 line. Tottenham's 80% Over record (8/10) and defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in all last 5 away) strongly support Over, while bookmaker mispricing (GL_5=2.25, accelerating) adds further edge. |
|
| 16-05-2026 12:00 |
Frem |
- |
IF Lyseng |
Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half Asian Goal Line) |
82% |
Frem's last 4 home first halves averaged 0.5 goals (all under 1.25). Lyseng's last 4 away first halves averaged 0.75 goals (under in 3 of 4). H2H first half totals under in 2 of 3 meetings. The expected total equals the line at 1.25, but the consistent low-scoring history provides strong structural support for the Under. |
|
| 16-05-2026 12:00 |
Slavia Prague Women |
- |
Sparta Prague Women |
Over 3.0 Goals |
65% |
Expected total goals of 3.60 (Slavia home avg 2.80, Sparta away avg 2.50, adjusted for conceding) exceed the 3.0 line by 0.60. Sparta have gone Over 3.0 in 60% of recent home and away matches, signalling consistent high scoring. Both teams average over 2.5 goals per game in their roles, with no strong structural under signals, making Over the value pick. |
|
| 16-05-2026 13:00 |
SK Bischofshofen |
- |
FC Lauterach |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.00 (home avg 2.30 scored, 1.30 conceded; away avg 1.80 scored, 2.60 conceded) exceeds 3.25 line. Both teams' recent Over rates are strong (Bischofshofen 60%, Lauterach 71%) and H2H both Over. Structural gap (6th vs 15th) and away defensive fragility (2.6 goals conceded away) support Over. Away team GL_5 mispricing of 1.9 (accelerating) further adds edge. Standard ceiling applied. |
|
| 16-05-2026 13:00 |
GAIS |
- |
Degerfors |
Over 2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total is 3.00 goals (GAIS 1.70 home scored + Degerfors 1.60 away conceded averaged with Degerfors 1.30 away scored + GAIS 1.40 home conceded). GAIS home matches have 3/5 Over 2.5 (60%), Degerfors away matches 2/3 Over (67%), and the sole H2H ended 3-0. Both teams are level on points in mid-table, likely pushing for an open game, and the 0.5-goal gap above the line supports an Over bet. |
|
| 16-05-2026 13:00 |
SK Super Nova |
- |
Ogre United |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 2.9 (home 1.0 avg scored at home, away 2.4 avg conceded away) exceeds line 2.5; both teams have 60% Over in last 10 matches; away Ogre conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (defensive fragility); Ogre's GL_5 of 2.50 indicates severe bookmaker mispricing accelerating towards goals; H2H match ended 1-2 (3 goals) supporting Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 13:00 |
Lecco U19 |
- |
Pisa U19 |
Over 3.0, 3.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 3.75 (Lecco 2.10 avg home goals vs Pisa 1.50 avg away conceded + Pisa 1.90 avg away vs Lecco 2.00 home conceded) exceeds the 3.25 effective line. Home history: 4/6 Lecco matches over 3.0 (66%), away: 3/4 Pisa matches over 3.0 (75%). Likelihood supports with 80% Over 2.5 and 50% Over 3.5, giving solid Over edge. |
|
| 16-05-2026 13:00 |
FC Nordsjaelland Women |
- |
HB Koge Women |
Over 1.0,1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
69% |
Expected 1st-half total (1.70) exceeds the line (1.25) by 0.45 goals, driven by FC Nordsjaelland's home 1st-half average of 1.50 goals and HB Koge's 0.30 conceded. Home team's 1st-half Over rate at home is 4/6 (66.7%), and away team's 1st-half Over rate away is 3/5 (60%), both supporting the Over. FC Nordsjaelland's recent home form (3-1, 6-0, 4-1) includes multiple first-half goals, and the over-first philosophy favors this bet given the structural advantage. |
|
| 16-05-2026 13:30 |
Excelsior Maassluis |
- |
Almere City Reserves |
Over 3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected total goals of 3.60 (based on home avg 1.20, away avg conceded 2.30, away avg scored 1.60, home avg conceded 2.10) exceeds the 3.0 line, with match potential of 6.37 further supporting Over. Home team has 60% of last 10 matches exceeding 3 goals, while away team has 50%, meeting the threshold. Structural weakness: Almere City Reserves conceded 2+ goals in their last 5 overall matches, reinforcing the Over outlook. Market pricing error is mild (GL_5 home 1.40, away 1.10), adding marginal confidence. |
|
| 16-05-2026 13:30 |
ACV Assen |
- |
Koninklijke HFC |
Over 10.0 Asian Corners |
80% |
Expected total corners 11.4 (home avg 4.60 + conceded 5.70, away avg 2.90 + conceded 9.60) exceeds line of 10.0. Away team (Koninklijke HFC) has 70% of last 10 matches over 10 corners, while home is neutral at 50%. Away concedes 9.6 corners per away game (defensive fragility) and both teams need points in a relegation battle, driving open play. Away corner variance is high (4.80), indicating bookmaker mispricing. Strong structural and historical support for Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 13:30 |
SC Freiburg |
- |
RB Leipzig |
RB Leipzig 0 Asian Handicap |
75% |
Leipzig (3rd, 65 pts) holds a clear structural advantage over Freiburg (7th, 44 pts), with recent form covering a pick'em in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%). The only H2H meeting this season was a 2-0 Leipzig win, and common opponents like Hamburg (Leipzig won 2-1 away, Freiburg lost 3-2 away) further support the away side. This gives the Asian Handicap bet at evens strong expected value. |
|
| 16-05-2026 13:30 |
Bayer Leverkusen |
- |
Hamburg |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
76% |
Expected 1st half goals 1.75 (home avg 1.10, away avg 0.70, adjusted by conceded) exceed the 1.5 line. Leverkusen have 3/5 home 1st halves Over (60%) and Hamburg 4/5 away 1st halves Over (80%). Only H2H match had 0-0 HT, but sample limited. Quality gap (6th vs 11th) and Hamburg's weak away defence (3/5 conceded 2+ in 1st half) add structural support for an early goal. |
|
| 16-05-2026 14:00 |
Hegelmann Litauen |
- |
Suduva Marijampole |
Over 2.0, 2.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total goals 2.55 (home avg 1.20 at home, away concedes 1.00 away; away avg 1.40 away, home concedes 1.50 at home) exceeds the split line of 2.0,2.5. Home team's last 10 matches saw 70% with 2+ goals, away team also 70%, and H2H has 75% with 2+ goals. No strong market mispricing (GL5 home 1.40, away 1.05). Over bet preferred per system's bias. |
|
| 16-05-2026 14:00 |
Fredrikstad |
- |
Ham-Kam |
Over 2.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total 3.35 (home avg 1.40 + away conceded 1.60)/2 + (away avg 1.60 + home conceded 2.10)/2 exceeds line 2.75. Home has 75% Over in last 4 home matches (3/4), away 50% Over away (2/4). Away GL_5 of 1.35 indicates mild bookmaker mispricing accelerating. H2H only 2 matches (both Under 2.5) but low sample, treated neutral. Over bet preferred per philosophy. |
|
| 16-05-2026 14:00 |
Arendal |
- |
Jerv |
Over 3.0 Goals |
71% |
Expected total goals of 3.20 (Arendal home avg 1.20 conceded 2.10, Jerv away avg 2.00 conceded 1.10) exceeds the 3.0 line by 0.20. Jerv's away match history shows 2 of 3 matches over 3.0, and H2H has 2 of 3 over, with Jerv scoring 3+ in each of their last 3 away games. The quality gap (Jerv 3rd vs Arendal 12th) and open game context further support Over. Market pricing error is moderate (home GL_5 1.45, away 1.20), adding slight edge. |
|
| 16-05-2026 14:00 |
HPS |
- |
Atlantis |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time goals total 4.75 (HPS averages 1.70 at home vs Atlantis conceding 2.90 away, plus Atlantis scores 2.80 away vs HPS conceding 2.10 at home) well above the goal line of 3.0. Atlantis has gone over 3.0 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches (83%), and HPS in 4 of 7 overall (57%), comfortably meeting the over threshold. Away team GL_5 of 1.75 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing, adding edge to the over side. |
|
| 16-05-2026 14:00 |
Shamrock Rovers Women |
- |
Bohemians Dublin Women |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.85 goals (home avg 2.90 scored, away avg 2.30 conceded, away avg 1.50 scored, home avg 1.00 conceded) exceeds the 3.25 line by 0.60 goals. Bohemians Dublin have conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 4 away matches, signaling defensive fragility. Market mispricing is strong (GL_5 home 1.75, away 2.35 and accelerating), and Shamrock Rovers are heavy favorites, creating sustained attacking pressure. H2H shows high-scoring potential (2-2, 1-0 in two meetings). |
|
| 16-05-2026 14:00 |
LAC Inter |
- |
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
76% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.40 (home avg 0.90 + away conceded 0.60 averaged vs away scored 0.60 + home conceded 0.70, calculated as (0.90+0.60)/2 + (0.60+0.70)/2). Despite being 0.1 below the 1.5 line, LAC Inter's home 1st half history shows 3/3 (100%) matches over 1.5, and they score in the first half in 80% of home games. SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility. The quality gap (LAC Inter 4th, Gerasdorf 7th) adds attacking pressure. Likelihood data gives 60% for Over 1.5 HT. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate (home GL_5=1.50) but not decisive; the structural signals and home first-half dominance drive the pick. |
|
| 16-05-2026 14:00 |
FK Kokand 1912 |
- |
AGMK |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 2.70 exceeds the 2.25 line, driven by home averaging 1.00 goals at home and 1.40 conceded, while away scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50 away. Combined history shows 60% of Kokand's last 5 and 80% of AGMK's last 5 went over the line; AGMK's weak away defense (conceded 2+ in 2 of 3 away) adds structural support. Market mispricing is strong: AGMK's GL_5 of 2.15 (accelerating from 1.65) signals consistent bookmaker underestimation of goals. |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:00 |
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz |
- |
FC Brno |
Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.10 goals (home 0.70 HT average at home + away 0.70 HT average away, adjusted by conceded), well below the 1.25 line. Home team failed to score in 5/6 home HT matches (83% under) and away team failed to score in 4/5 away HT matches (80% under), both strong structural under signals. Home team's GL_5 of 1.80 indicates bookmaker mispricing that aligns with the under direction, adding confidence. |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:00 |
Ceske Budejovice |
- |
MFK Chrudim |
Under 1.25 Goals 1st Half |
77% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.20 (home HT avg 0.7+away conceded HT avg 0.4 = 1.1/2=0.55; away HT avg 0.6+home conceded HT avg 0.7=1.3/2=0.65) vs line 1.25. Home team's last 4 home matches: 75% (3/4) Under HT 1.25. Away team's last 4 away matches: 75% (3/4) Under HT 1.25, with MFK Chrudim failing to score in the first half in all 4 away matches, a structural signal for low 1st half goals. |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:00 |
Hohenems |
- |
SV Wals-Grünau |
Over 3.0/3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.00 goals (Hohenems 1.90 at home + SV Wals 2.30 away) exceeds the 3.25 line. Home has 60% (3/5) of last home matches over 3.5, away 50% (2/4). H2H 3-3 supports Over. Structural signals: away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 away, home scored 2+ in last 3 home. Home GL_5 of 1.90 indicates strong bookmaker mispricing, adding edge to Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:00 |
SC Wiener Viktoria |
- |
FC Marchfeld Donauauen |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total FT goals 3.05 (home avg 1.40 at home + away avg 1.65) beats bookmaker line 2.75. Home team has 4/5 (80%) of recent home matches over 2.75 goals; away team has 4/4 (100%) of recent away matches over 2.75. Away defensive fragility is structural: Marchfeld conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 away games. H2H is neutral (2 matches, split 1-1 on total goals). Bookmaker mispricing is mild (home GL_5 1.30, away 1.20) but direction aligns with Over. All signals point to a high-scoring game. |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:00 |
Shelbourne Women |
- |
Galway Women |
Over 2.5 Goals (Asian 2.5,3.0) |
81% |
Expected total goals (2.80) slightly exceeds the 2.75 line, but strongly supported by recent form: Shelbourne Women hit Over in 4 of last 5 (80%) and Galway Women also in 4 of last 5 (80%). Home team averages 1.70 goals scored and concedes 1.10 at home, away team averages 2.20 scored and concedes 0.60 away. Only one H2H saw 3 goals. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate for home side (GL_5 = 1.60, accelerating from 1.33), adding edge. Shot-based match potential (6.96) also supports Over. Structural signals include strong home attacking form (scored 2+ in 3 of last 4 home matches). |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:00 |
AS Trencin |
- |
FC Kosice |
Over 9.5 Corners |
80% |
Expected corners total of 10.55 (home avg 4.10+away conceded 4.40)/2 + (away avg 5.20+home conceded 7.40)/2 exceeds the line of 9.5. Home team has 8/10 recent matches over 9.5 (80%), away team 6/10 (60%), and all 3 H2H matches went over 9.5 (100%). Home team concedes 7.4 corners per home game, indicating sustained pressure and corner opportunities. Strong historical and H2H alignment supports Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:00 |
MFK Karvina |
- |
Sigma Olomouc |
Over 2.5, 3.0 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 2.95 (Karvina home avg 1.60, conceded 1.50; Sigma away avg 1.30, conceded 1.50) exceeds the 2.75 line by 0.20. Karvina has 6/6 (100%) home matches Over and Sigma 3/4 (75%) away matches Over the line, both strongly supporting the Over. H2H is neutral (2 matches, 1 Over, 1 Under). Likelihood data shows 80% probability of Over 2.5, reinforcing the pick. Market pricing error is low (GL_5 home 0.50, away 1.25), so no further edge. Confidence built from base 50% + gap +5% + home history +10% + away history +8% + likelihood +3% = 76%, meeting the threshold. |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:15 |
Debreceni VSC |
- |
Ujpest |
Over 3.0 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 3.15 (home 1.60 scored at home, away 1.70 conceded away; away 1.70 scored away, home 1.30 conceded at home) slightly above 3.0 line. Both teams have high bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 2.05, away GL_5 2.15) suggesting systematic under‑pricing of goals. Ujpest have conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 4 away matches (75%), a strong structural Over signal. Recent H2H produced 7 goals. Despite weak historical Over rates (30% each), the odds‑implied line is too low given the quality gap and defensive vulnerabilities, making Over 3.0 the best value. |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:30 |
CF Os Belenenses |
- |
CD Mafra |
Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.60 (home avg 1.00 HT + away concede 0.80 HT + away avg 0.80 HT + home concede 0.60 HT) vs the 1.0 line. Belenenses have gone Over 1.0 in 3 of their last 4 home 1st halves (75%), and H2H 1st halves are 2/3 Over (67%). Structurally, Mafra have conceded 2+ goals in all 4 recent away matches, and their goal line mispricing (GL5=1.70, accelerating) adds edge to the Over. Confidence capped at 82% (standard ceiling due to away 1st half history at 50%). |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:30 |
NK Uljanik |
- |
NK Uskok |
Over 2.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total of 2.60 goals (home avg 1.60 at home + away concede 0.80 away; away avg 1.30 away + home concede 1.50 at home) exceeds the line of 2.5. Home team has gone Over 2.5 in 9 of last 10 matches (90%), while away team is 5/10 (50%). Bookmaker mispricing for away team (GL_5=1.95) is strong and accelerating, supporting an Over bet despite a small gap from the line. |
|
| 16-05-2026 16:00 |
JK Nomme United II |
- |
FC Elva |
Over 3.75 Goals |
71% |
Expected total (3.85) exceeds the 3.75 line, driven by home averaging 2.10 goals at home and away conceding 1.80 away. Home match history shows 70% (7/10) of games going over 3.75, while away's last 5 away matches saw 3+ goals conceded in 3 of them (defensive fragility). The only H2H ended 1-3 (4 goals). Away team's GL_5 of 1.65 (accelerating from 1.45) indicates bookmaker mispricing in the Over direction. Likelihood for Over 3.5 at 60% adds further support. |
|
| 16-05-2026 16:00 |
JK Tallinna Kalev II |
- |
Johvi FC Phoenix |
Over 4.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 4.85 goals (home avg 1.70 scored, 2.80 conceded; away avg 2.50 scored, 2.70 conceded) exceeds the 4.25 line by 0.60. Home team has 80% Over in last 5 home matches (4 of 5). Away team's last 3 away matches all saw 2+ goals conceded (defensive fragility). Bookmaker mispricing on away team (GL_5=2.25, accelerating) adds further edge. Structural signals and over‑first philosophy support the Over pick. |
|
| 16-05-2026 16:00 |
Winterthur |
- |
Lucerne |
Over 10.0 Asian Corners |
82% |
Expected corners 10.45 exceeds the line of 10.0, supported by Lucerne's 60% Over history in recent matches. Structural factors (quality gap, both teams needing points) and severe bookmaker mispricing on corners (Winterthur variance_ac_5=3.10, accelerating) add significant edge. H2H corners are neutral. Confident Over corners at 82%. |
|
| 16-05-2026 16:15 |
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
- |
Hajduk Split |
Over 2.75 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 2.65 is just below the 2.75 line but within 0.15, favoring Over per philosophy. Lokomotiva's last 4 home matches saw 3 Over (75%) and Hajduk's last 5 away had 3 Over (60%). H2H is 2 of 3 Over (67%). Hajduk's GL_5 of 1.50 shows moderate bookmaker mispricing, though direction is ambiguous. Structural quality gap (2nd vs 6th) and Hajduk's strong away scoring (1.8 avg) support goal potential. |
|
| 16-05-2026 17:30 |
Gent Women |
- |
Genk Women |
Over 2.75 Goals |
73% |
Expected full-time total 2.95 (home 1.20 + away 1.90 averages method) above 2.75 line. Away team's recent matches 60% Over (6/10) and H2H 75% Over (3/4) support direction. Both sides have moderate bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.70, away GL_5 1.65) accelerating, increasing edge for Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 18:00 |
FK Backa Topola |
- |
Radnicki Nis |
Over 2.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected total of 3.05 goals (Backa Topola averaging 2.10 scored at home, Radnicki Nis 1.10 scored away) exceeds the 2.5 line by 0.55. Backa Topola's home matches have 4/6 (67%) Over 2.5, and their goal line market pricing error (GL_5=2.30) indicates severe bookmaker mispricing in favour of goals. Additionally, Radnicki Nis have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches, adding structural support for an Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 19:00 |
Paris FC Women |
- |
PSG Women |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals calculated as (2.50+0.90)/2 + (1.90+1.10)/2 = 3.20, exceeding the 2.5 line by 0.7 goals. Paris FC Women have scored 2+ in each of their last 5 home matches and all 5 recent games went over 2.5. PSG Women have 60% over 2.5 in their last 5, and head-to-head shows 2 of 3 meetings also over. Home team's GL_5 of 1.45 signals mild bookmaker mispricing supporting over. Confidence of 82% capped by standard evidence tier. |
|
| 16-05-2026 20:00 |
CA Atlanta |
- |
Atletico Rafaela |
Over 1.75 Goals |
71% |
Expected total goals is 2.15 (home avg 1.30 + away conceded 0.90 averaged with away avg 1.10 + home conceded 1.00), exceeding the line of 1.75. CA Atlanta's last 10 matches had 70% over the line (7 of 10), while Atletico Rafaela had 50%. Bookmaker mispricing on Rafaela's goal line is accelerating (GL_5 1.65 vs GL_10 1.18), adding edge to the Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 22:00 |
Richmond Kickers |
- |
Charleston Battery |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
78% |
Richmond concede 1.10 at home and Charleston score 1.60 away, producing an expected total of 2.70 goals, 0.45 above the 2.25 line. Charleston have gone over 2.5 in 7 of their last 10 matches (70%) and conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away, exposing defensive fragility. The quality gap from the higher-division Charleston further supports an open match with goals. |
|
| 16-05-2026 23:30 |
Fort Wayne FC |
- |
Indy Eleven |
Over 2.5 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 2.80 goals (home avg 1.10 + away conceded away 1.30)/2 + (away avg 1.70 + home conceded 1.50)/2 exceeds the 2.5 line. Indy Eleven show 80% (8/10) of recent matches Over 2.5, while Fort Wayne FC have 57% (4/7). No H2H data available. Market pricing error is low (GL_5 0.95 for both teams), and no structural defensive fragility is apparent. The combination of expected total above the line and strong away history supports Over 2.5. |
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