| 23-04-2026 08:30 |
Persita Tangerang |
- |
Bali United |
Over 2.5 Goals |
80% |
Expected total goals 3.10 (home avg 1.00 scored, 1.20 conceded; away avg 2.00 scored, 2.00 conceded) exceeds the 2.5 line by 0.60. Away team has 83% of recent away matches over 2.5 goals, and both teams show strong bookmaker mispricing with GL_5 of 2.15 (home) and 2.45 (away) accelerating, indicating consistent underestimation. Structural signal: away team conceded 2+ goals in 5 of last 6 away matches. Despite H2H favoring under (75% under), away team's defensive fragility and high expected total justify the over bet. |
|
| 23-04-2026 08:30 |
PSM Makassar |
- |
Persik Kediri |
Over 2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total goals is 3.05 based on home scoring 1.20 and conceding 1.70 at home, away scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.70 away. Away team has conceded 2+ goals in all three recent away matches (100% Over 2.5), and home team shows moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.70) accelerating for Over. Likelihood data indicates 70% probability for Over 2.5, and structural away defensive fragility supports Over. |
|
| 23-04-2026 10:30 |
Friends United |
- |
Garhwal FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total goals calculated at 2.85 based on home averages (1.50 scored, 2.10 conceded at home) and away averages (1.40 scored, 0.70 conceded away). Away team's recent away matches show 67% Over 2.5, H2H matches are 75% Over 2.5, and bookmaker mispricing is high with GL_5 of 2.35 for Garhwal FC indicating consistent underestimation of goals in their matches. Home team is in good home form with two straight wins scoring 3 and 2 goals. |
|
| 23-04-2026 12:00 |
Difai FK |
- |
Sabail FC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
68% |
Expected total goals 3.00 exceeds the line of 2.75. Difai FK's home matches have gone Over 2.75 in 5 of the last 6 (83.3%), while Sabail FC's away matches have gone Over in 2 of 5 (40%). Both head-to-head meetings produced Over 2.75 goals. Bookmaker mispricing for goal line is mild for Sabail FC (GL_5: 1.05). |
|
| 23-04-2026 12:00 |
Malut United FC |
- |
Persebaya Surabaya |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.40 from home avg 1.70 goals scored at home and away avg 1.90 goals conceded away. Home team has 100% over 2.5 in last 5 home matches, away team has 100% over 2.5 in last 4 away matches. H2H shows 2 of 3 under, but away team's defensive fragility with 3+ away matches conceding 2+ goals supports over. Bookmaker mispricing mild with GL_5 1.30-1.45. |
|
| 23-04-2026 12:00 |
Etimesgutspor |
- |
Kucukcekmece Sinopspor |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half goals calculated at 1.15 based on home averages (0.80 scored, 0.40 conceded) and away averages (0.70 scored, 0.40 conceded). However, match history strongly favors under: home team's last 10 matches saw 1st half goals over 1.0 in only 10% of cases, while away team had 30% over, with both teams combining for 70%+ under 1.0 in recent matches. Structural trend of low 1st half scoring is confirmed, and H2H data is neutral. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (GL_5 around 1.0-1.4), offering no significant edge for over. |
|
| 23-04-2026 12:15 |
Melaka FC |
- |
Sabah FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
66% |
Expected total goals 2.60 based on Melaka FC averaging 1.30 goals scored at home and Sabah FC conceding 1.40 away, with Melaka's recent matches showing 80% over 2.5 goals. Bookmaker mispricing for Sabah FC (GL_5 1.70) aligns with the over direction, adding edge despite Sabah's 20% over rate in their last 10 matches. |
|
| 23-04-2026 13:00 |
IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
- |
KR Reykjavik |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
80% |
Expected 1st half goals: 2.20 (home averages 1.30 scored and 0.50 conceded at home; away averages 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded away). Both teams show strong 1st half Over trends: IBV Over 1.5 in 4 of last 6 (67%), KR Over 1.5 in 6 of last 9 (67%). Structural quality gap with league-leading KR's potent attack (2.00 1st half goals away) against a bottom-half side suggests early dominance and high probability of multiple first-half goals. |
|
| 23-04-2026 14:00 |
Atalanta |
- |
Lazio |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
75% |
Expected 1st half goals calculated at 0.95 based on home averages (0.30 scored, 0.80 conceded) and away averages (0.30 scored, 0.50 conceded). Atalanta's last 10 matches show 80% under 1.0 first-half goals, while Lazio's last 10 show 90% under, with both teams averaging only 0.30 first-half goals scored in their roles. Structural context confirms low early scoring patterns, and the gap from the line supports the under despite mild bookmaker mispricing. |
|
| 23-04-2026 14:00 |
Nasaf Qarshi |
- |
Lokomotiv Tashkent |
Over 0.75 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half goals 1.10 vs line 0.75 (+0.35 gap). Lokomotiv Tashkent has scored in the first half in 100% of recent away matches (6/6 Over 0.75), confirming a strong early scoring pattern. Nasaf Qarshi's 1st half history is weaker (20% Over), but the away team's consistency drives the Over signal. |
|
| 23-04-2026 14:00 |
Navbahor Namangan |
- |
Sogdiana Jizzakh |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals calculated at 2.85 (home avg 1.30 scored, away avg 2.40 conceded) exceeds the 2.5 line by 0.35. Away team's matches show 83% Over 2.5 in recent away games, and H2H history has 75% Over 2.5 (3 of 4 matches). Structural signals include away team's defensive fragility (conceded 2+ goals in all last 5 away matches) and quality gap (home 3rd vs away 15th). Bookmaker mispricing is high for away team with GL_5 of 1.95, accelerating and aligning with Over direction. |
|
| 23-04-2026 14:00 |
Sharjah SCC |
- |
Al Wahda Abu Dhabi |
Over 2.5 Goals |
70% |
Expected total goals of 2.90 exceeds the 2.5 line, calculated from home averages (1.50 scored, 2.20 conceded at home) and away averages (0.90 scored, 1.20 conceded away). Home team's recent matches show 80% over 2.5 goals (8 of last 10), and away team has moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.65) accelerating towards over, while H2H is neutral with 2 of 4 matches over. |
|
| 23-04-2026 14:00 |
Al Ittihad Kalba |
- |
Baniyas SC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
70% |
Expected total goals calculated at 3.10 based on home avg 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded at home, and away avg 1.30 scored and 1.10 conceded away, significantly above the 2.5 line. Home team's recent matches show 9 of 10 over 2.5 goals, and despite H2H favoring under (3 of 4 under), current season form and bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 of 1.50 accelerating) support an over bet. Both teams consistently score, with no scoring droughts, and likelihood data indicates 65% probability for over 2.5. |
|
| 23-04-2026 14:00 |
Esperance de Tunis |
- |
ES Zarzis |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half goals are 0.45 (home: 0.30 scored, 0.20 conceded; away: 0.00 scored, 0.40 conceded), well below the line of 1.0. Both teams have a 0% Over rate in their last 10 matches, with all 1st half totals being 0 or 1 goals. Structural signal: both teams are low scorers in the first half, and away team has failed to score in the first half in 9 of last 10 matches. The gap of 0.55 goals from the line supports a strong Under bet, with confidence capped at the standard ceiling due to lack of H2H 1st half data. |
|
| 23-04-2026 14:00 |
Pyunik Yerevan |
- |
FC Urartu |
FC Urartu +0.75 Asian Handicap |
75% |
FC Urartu is higher in the standings (3rd vs 5th) and has covered +0.75 in all 5 recent away matches. Head-to-head shows Urartu unbeaten in last 4 meetings, covering the handicap each time, including a 1-1 draw and three wins. Home team Pyunik has failed to cover -0.75 in recent H2H and has only 3 covers in last 5 home matches. |
|
| 23-04-2026 14:00 |
Radnicki Nis |
- |
Javor Ivanjica |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
80% |
Expected 1st half goals are 0.75 based on home avg 0.5 goals scored at home and away avg 0.3 goals scored away, with away conceding 0.0 in the 1st half away. Home team has 80% of matches under 1.0 goals in the 1st half (8 of last 10), away team 100% under (10 of last 10). Both teams show low scoring in first halves, with away team failing to score in 4 of last 5 away matches in the first half. Confidence breakdown: base 50% + gap from line +5% + home history +10% + away history +10% + structural (away fails to score early) +5% = 80%. |
|
| 23-04-2026 14:15 |
FC Bihor Oradea |
- |
ACS Sepsi |
Over 2.25 Goals |
80% |
Expected total goals 2.85 from home averages (1.50 scored, 1.90 conceded) and away averages (1.80 scored, 0.50 conceded) exceeds the 2.25 line. Home team's last 5 home matches all finished Over 2.25 goals (100%), and both H2H meetings had Over 2.25 goals. Bookmaker mispricing is mild with home team GL_5 of 1.20. |
|
| 23-04-2026 14:30 |
Victoria Utd Limbe |
- |
Dynamo de Douala |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
79% |
Expected total goals 2.90 based on home averages (1.30 scored, 1.70 conceded at home) and away averages (1.40 scored, 1.40 conceded away). Away team's recent matches show 70% Over 2.5 goals, and home team's goal line has moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.70) supporting Over. H2H is neutral with 50% Over, and structural factors like competitive mid-table positioning favor an open game. |
|
| 23-04-2026 14:30 |
Stade Renard de Melong |
- |
PWD de Bamenda |
Over 0.75 Goals 1st Half |
73% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.00 goals (home avg 0.50 scored, away avg 0.60 conceded, away avg 0.50 scored, home avg 0.40 conceded) vs line 0.75. Away team has 100% of away matches Over 0.75 in 1st half (5/5), home team 57.1% (4/7). Structural signal: away team consistently involved in high-scoring first halves, with early scoring pattern confirmed. |
|
| 23-04-2026 14:30 |
St Michael |
- |
Saint Louis Suns United |
Over 3 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.55 based on home avg 1.80 scored/conceded 2.50 at home and away avg 1.30 scored/1.50 conceded away. Home team has 60% of recent matches over 3 goals with form surge scoring 4,4,2 in last three home matches, while away team shows defensive fragility conceding 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches. Bookmaker mispricing is high with GL_5 of 2.20 (home) and 1.70 (away), both accelerating and aligned with over direction. |
|
| 23-04-2026 15:00 |
SK Super Nova |
- |
FK Liepaja |
Under 3.0 Goals |
78% |
Expected total goals 2.75 (home avg 1.10 scored, 1.80 conceded; away avg 1.20 scored, 1.40 conceded) is below the 3.0 line. Both teams have 80% of recent matches under 3.0 goals, and H2H is neutral with 50% under. Market pricing error is mild (GL_5 1.05 for both), and no scoring droughts offset the strong historical trend. |
|
| 23-04-2026 15:00 |
FC Flora Tallinn II |
- |
FC Elva |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
70% |
Expected 1st half goals are 1.75 based on home avg 1.30 goals scored and away conceding 0.30 in the first half away, combined with home conceding 1.20 and away scoring 0.70. Home team has seen over 1.5 goals in 100% of recent first halves (5/5 matches), demonstrating consistent early scoring. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate for home team (GL_5 1.50), accelerating and aligned with the over bet. Despite away team's low first-half scoring away, home team's offensive strength at home drives the over value. |
|
| 23-04-2026 15:00 |
JK Trans Narva II |
- |
JK Tammeka Tartu II |
Over 3.5 Goals |
79% |
Expected total goals 4.25 from home avg 2.60 scored/1.20 conceded at home and away avg 1.90 scored/2.80 conceded away. Home team shows 80% Over in last 5 matches, away team 60%, with H2H 75% Under contradicted by home team's form surge (3+ goals in last 3 home matches) and away team's high bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.20) aligning with Over direction. |
|
| 23-04-2026 15:00 |
Kiryat Gat SC Women |
- |
Maccabi Tel Aviv Women |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.65 exceeds the line, driven by home team averaging 3.30 goals scored at home and away team conceding 1.90 goals away. Home team has 80% of recent matches Over 3.5, and H2H shows 100% Over in three meetings. Strong bookmaker mispricing (away team GL_5 1.90) and quality gap further support Over. |
|
| 23-04-2026 15:00 |
ZNK Ljubljana Women |
- |
ZNK Radomlje Women |
Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
75% |
Expected 1st half goals total is 1.40 (home avg 0.90 scored, 0.30 conceded; away avg 1.00 scored, 0.60 conceded), below the line of 1.5. Home team's last 6 home matches all had under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (100%), and away team's last 4 away matches all had under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (100%). Structural signal: away team has failed to score in the first half in all recent away matches. No significant bookmaker mispricing for 1st half line. |
|
| 23-04-2026 16:00 |
FC Nordsjaelland |
- |
AGF Aarhus |
Under 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals calculated at 2.60 (home avg 1.70 scored at home, away avg 1.10 conceded away, away avg 1.40 scored away, home avg 1.00 conceded at home) below the 3.0 line. Both teams show 90% of recent matches Under 3.0 goals, and H2H results are 100% Under 3.0 in the last 4 meetings. Structural context includes a defensive H2H pattern with no scoring droughts for either team. |
|
| 23-04-2026 16:00 |
Al-Arabi Doha U23 |
- |
Al Gharafa U23 |
Over 2.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected goals total of 2.75 (home avg 1.30 scored/1.40 conceded at home, away avg 1.20 scored/1.60 conceded away) exceeds the line of 2.25. Away team has 70% of last 10 matches Over 2.25 goals, and H2H shows 75% Over in last 4 meetings. Away team conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility. Bookmaker mispricing is high for home team with GL_5 of 2.10 accelerating, supporting Over. |
|
| 23-04-2026 16:00 |
Maardu Linnameeskond |
- |
FC Tallinn |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals is 4.50 based on home averages (2.30 scored, 2.10 conceded) and away averages (1.50 scored, 3.10 conceded). Away team's last 5 matches all had Over 3.5 goals (100%), and they have conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches, showing defensive fragility. Home team's last 5 matches had 60% Over 3.5, and bookmaker mispricing is high for away team (GL_5 2.45), indicating consistent underestimation of goals in their matches. |
|
| 23-04-2026 16:10 |
Al Najma |
- |
Al Taawon Buraidah |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.50 based on home averages (0.90 scored, 3.00 conceded at home) and away averages (1.40 scored, 1.70 conceded away). Home team's last 5 home matches all exceeded 2.5 goals (100% over), away team's last 5 away matches saw 60% over. Away team conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches, showing defensive fragility. Mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.20 for home) aligns with over direction. |
|
| 23-04-2026 16:30 |
NK Bravo |
- |
NK Aluminij |
Over 2.5 Goals |
74% |
Expected total goals of 2.70 based on home scoring 1.60 and conceding 0.80 at home, and away scoring 1.40 and conceding 1.60 away. Away team has conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 4 away matches, and H2H shows 3 of 4 matches Over 2.5 goals. Despite home team's low Over percentage at home, away team's 75% Over rate in away matches and structural defensive fragility support the Over. |
|
| 23-04-2026 16:30 |
Fortune FC |
- |
North Star Academy FC |
Over 1.75 Goals |
81% |
Expected total goals 2.235 based on home avg 1.00 goals scored at home and away avg 1.50 conceded away, combined with away avg 1.17 scored away and home avg 0.80 conceded at home. Home team has 60% of last 10 matches Over 1.75, away team 77.8% Over, and away team shows defensive fragility conceding 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches. Market pricing error is mild with GL_5 at 1.10 for home and 1.30 for away, supporting the Over direction. |
|
| 23-04-2026 16:45 |
Go Ahead Eagles |
- |
AZ |
Over 10 Corners |
78% |
Expected total corners calculated at 11.45, exceeding the line of 10 by 1.45 corners. Home team has seen Over 10 corners in 7 of their last 10 matches (70%), while away team shows 5 of 10 (50%). Head-to-head corner totals include 15 and 15 in two of four meetings. Structurally, both teams are competing for European qualification, likely leading to an open, attacking game with sustained pressure and corner opportunities. |
|
| 23-04-2026 16:45 |
Al Bataeh |
- |
Al Ain SCC |
Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
80% |
Expected 1st half goals total is 0.80 based on home and away averages (Al Bataeh 0.50 scored/0.50 conceded at home, Al Ain 0.50 scored/0.10 conceded away), well below the line of 1.25. Match history strongly supports under: Al Bataeh have seen under 1.5 goals in 80% of home 1st halves (4 of last 5), while Al Ain have seen under 1.5 goals in 100% of away 1st halves (4 of last 4). Structural factors include both teams being low 1st half scorers and Al Ain failing to score in 3 of their last 4 away 1st halves, though the quality gap suggests some early pressure from Al Ain. |
|
| 23-04-2026 17:00 |
Levante |
- |
Sevilla |
Over 2.25 Goals |
67% |
Expected total goals is 2.80 based on Levante averaging 1.10 scored and 1.60 conceded at home, and Sevilla averaging 1.10 scored and 1.80 conceded away. H2H shows 75% of matches (3 of 4) over 2.25 goals, and Sevilla has conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility. Match history for over is weak (30-40% agreement), but H2H overrides with strong support. Market pricing error is mild (GL_5 1.30 for Levante, 1.10 for Sevilla) and aligns with the over direction. |
|
| 23-04-2026 17:00 |
Degerfors |
- |
AIK |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals of 3.00 (based on Degerfors' 1.20 home goals avg, AIK's 1.70 away conceded avg, AIK's 1.80 away goals avg, and Degerfors' 1.30 home conceded avg) exceeds the 2.5 line. Recent match history strongly supports Over: Degerfors has 70% Over 2.5 in last 10 matches, AIK has 80%. AIK's away defence shows fragility, conceding 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches, and bookmaker mispricing for AIK (GL_5 1.35) indicates mild underestimation of goals. |
|
| 23-04-2026 17:00 |
GAIS |
- |
Mjallby AIF |
Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half goals are 1.65 based on home scoring 0.90 on average and conceding 0.70, away scoring 1.20 and conceding 0.50. Home team has 3 of last 5 competitive matches Over 1.0 in the 1st half (60%), while away team has 5 of last 5 Over (100%). Both teams show early scoring patterns, with 25% and 35% of their goals coming in the first 30 minutes. No H2H data for the 1st half contradicts this pick. |
|
| 23-04-2026 17:00 |
Thor Akureyri |
- |
Fram Reykjavik |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 4.5 based on home 2.30 scored/1.90 conceded and away 2.60 scored/2.20 conceded, 1.5 above the 3.0 line. Home team's last 3 home matches saw 2 Over 3.0 (66.7%), away team's last 3 away matches show 50% Over 3.0. H2H is neutral (1 Over, 1 Under). Strong bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.15 and 2.10) supports Over. |
|
| 23-04-2026 17:00 |
Vllaznia Shkodër |
- |
FC Dinamo City |
Under 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 1.80 (home avg 1.00 scored/0.60 conceded, away avg 1.10 scored/0.90 conceded) is below the 2.25 effective line. Home team has 70% of last 10 matches under 2.5 goals, away team 80%, and all 4 head-to-head matches finished under 2.5 goals, with mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.00 and 1.05). |
|
| 23-04-2026 17:00 |
AaB |
- |
B93 Copenhagen |
Over 3.0 Goals |
66% |
Expected total goals 3.05 (home avg 1.50 scored/conceded at home, away avg 1.20 scored and 1.90 conceded away) slightly above the 3.0 line. B93 Copenhagen shows defensive fragility, conceding 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches. Home team AaB has strong bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.90) indicating consistent underestimation of goals, adding edge to the over. However, head-to-head history (75% under 3.0 goals) reduces confidence. |
|
| 23-04-2026 17:00 |
Levante |
- |
Sevilla |
Over 2.5 Goals |
72% |
Expected total goals 2.80 based on Levante's home averages (1.10 scored, 1.60 conceded) and Sevilla's away averages (1.10 scored, 1.80 conceded). H2H shows 75% Over 2.5 (3 of 4 matches), and Sevilla conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility. Market pricing error is mild for both teams (GL_5 1.30 for Levante, 1.10 for Sevilla). |
|
| 23-04-2026 17:00 |
Swieqi Utd |
- |
Birzebbuga |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals calculated at 3.50 based on Swieqi Utd averaging 2.80 goals scored at home and Birzebbuga averaging 1.70 goals scored away, with Birzebbuga conceding 1.50 on average away. Birzebbuga's away matches show 100% Over 2.75 in last 6 games, including conceding 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away. The lone H2H match ended 2-2 (4 goals), and structural signals like away defensive fragility support Over. Market pricing error is mild for both teams (GL_5 1.30-1.35). Confidence: Base 50% + gap +15% + away history +10% + likelihood +3% + structural +5% = 83% capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 23-04-2026 17:00 |
Rapid Vienna II |
- |
SV Leobendorf |
Over 3.25 Goals |
65% |
Expected total goals is 3.45 based on home averages (1.70 scored, 2.00 conceded) and away averages (1.80 scored, 1.40 conceded). Home team has seen 3 of their last 5 home matches exceed 3.25 goals (60% over), while away team's away matches show 50% over. Market pricing error for away team is high (GL_5 1.90), indicating bookmaker mispricing favoring Over, and home team's higher division status suggests attacking dominance. H2H is neutral with one over and one under in two matches. |
|
| 23-04-2026 17:45 |
Al-Saqer FC |
- |
Al Jeel |
Over 2.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected total goals calculated at 3.00 (home avg 2.40 goals scored at home, away avg 1.20 conceded away, away avg 1.70 scored away, home avg 0.70 conceded at home), exceeding the line by 0.50 goals. Away team shows 66.7% of recent matches over 2.5 goals, and bookmaker mispricing is high with home team GL_5 of 2.10 accelerating, indicating consistent underestimation of goals. No H2H data contradicts, and structural signals like away team's moderate defensive fragility support over. |
|
| 23-04-2026 18:00 |
Casa Pia |
- |
Braga |
Over 2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total goals calculated at 2.6 (based on Casa Pia averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded at home, Braga averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded away). H2H strongly supports with 4/4 matches over 2.5 goals, and Braga has 60% of last 10 matches over 2.5. High bookmaker mispricing indicated by GL_5 of 1.85 for Casa Pia and 1.70 for Braga, both accelerating and aligning with the over direction. |
|
| 23-04-2026 18:00 |
Rayo Vallecano |
- |
Espanyol |
Over 2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total goals based on home/away averages is 2.95, well above the 2.5 line. Espanyol's away matches have seen over 2.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 games, and head-to-head history shows 75% over 2.5. Additionally, Espanyol has conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility that supports an over bet. |
|
| 23-04-2026 18:00 |
Damac FC |
- |
Al Okhdood |
Over 9.5 Corners |
75% |
Expected corners total is 10.5 based on home avg 4.9 corners scored and 5.7 conceded, away avg 3.1 scored and 7.3 conceded. Damac FC's home matches have seen 67% (4 of 6) exceed 9.5 corners, while Al Okhdood concedes 7.3 corners on average away. The only H2H match produced 13 corners, and both teams are in a relegation battle, likely leading to open play and high corner counts. |
|
| 23-04-2026 18:00 |
Sonderjyske |
- |
Midtjylland |
Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half goals total is only 0.60 (home scores 0.10, concedes 0.70; away scores 0.20, concedes 0.20), well below the 1.25 line. Sonderjyske's last 10 matches had 80% under 1.25 HT goals, Midtjylland 100% under, and both teams average low 1st half scoring with no H2H contradiction. |
|
| 23-04-2026 18:00 |
Rayo Vallecano |
- |
Espanyol |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 2.95 (home avg 1.30 scored, away avg 2.30 conceded) exceeds the line by 0.70 goals. Espanyol has conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches, showing defensive fragility, and H2H matches are 75% Over 2.5 goals. Away team's match history is 83% Over away, supporting the Over bet despite home team's 40% Over at home. |
|
| 23-04-2026 18:00 |
Al Hilal Riyadh |
- |
Al Kholood |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.70 from home avg 2.60 goals scored and away avg 2.30 conceded, with H2H all 4 matches over 3.5 goals. Al Hilal has 60% over 3.5 in last 10 matches, and Al Kholood concedes 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches, showing defensive fragility. Bookmaker mispricing is high for Al Hilal with GL_5 of 1.85, indicating consistent underestimation of goals. |
|
| 23-04-2026 18:00 |
Mladost Lucani |
- |
FK Radnicki 1923 |
Over 8.5 Corners |
68% |
Expected total corners is 9.10 based on home averages (4.30 scored, 5.70 conceded) and away averages (4.00 scored, 4.20 conceded). Home team Mladost Lucani has seen 75% of recent home matches exceed 8.5 corners (3 of 4), and both teams are in a relegation battle likely to produce attacking play and corners. H2H corners are mixed but do not strongly contradict, and the expected total exceeds the line by 0.6 corners. |
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| 23-04-2026 18:00 |
Spartak Subotica |
- |
FK Backa Topola |
Over 2.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 2.70 based on home avg 1.20 scored/1.90 conceded at home and away avg 1.20 scored/1.10 conceded away. Home team's home matches show 80% Over 2.25, away team's away matches 60% Over. H2H neutral (2 Over, 2 Under). Both teams in relegation battle need points, likely open play. Bookmaker mispricing moderate for away team (GL_5 1.50) supporting Over direction. |
|
| 23-04-2026 18:30 |
Sint-Truidense |
- |
Anderlecht |
Over 10.0 Corners |
70% |
Expected corners total is 11.55, calculated from home averages (6.50 corners scored, 5.20 conceded) and away averages (5.40 corners scored, 6.00 conceded). Sint-Truidense has produced over 10.0 corners in 8 of their last 10 matches (80%), while Anderlecht has done so in 5 of 10 (50%). Both teams are in the Championship Round competing for European spots, driving an attacking tempo and sustained pressure that typically generates corners. Although H2H corners are lower (only 1 of 4 matches over 10.0), current form and situational need for points outweigh historical trends. |
|
| 23-04-2026 18:30 |
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen |
- |
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk |
Over 2.5 Goals |
74% |
Expected total goals calculated at 3.25 vs line 2.5 (gap +0.75). Home team has seen over 2.5 goals in 7 of last 10 matches (70%), while away team has 5 of 10 (50%). H2H shows 75% under (3 of 4 matches), but away team's severe goal line mispricing (GL_5 2.00) indicates bookmaker consistently underestimates goals in their matches, adding edge to the over bet. Likelihood data supports over 2.5 at 60%. |
|
| 23-04-2026 18:45 |
VfB Stuttgart |
- |
SC Freiburg |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.35 (home avg 1.90 scored at home, away avg 2.10 scored away) exceeds the line by 0.60 goals. H2H shows 75% over 2.5 goals in last 4 meetings. Home team is 3rd in home standings with strong form, while away team is 9th in away standings with defensive fragility. Bookmaker mispricing moderate for home team (GL_5 1.75) accelerating, adding edge. |
|
| 23-04-2026 19:00 |
PSV |
- |
PEC Zwolle |
Over 10.0 Corners |
78% |
Expected corner total of 11.05 exceeds the line of 10.0, derived from PSV averaging 7.60 corners at home and PEC Zwolle conceding 4.80 corners away. PSV's recent matches show 70% over 10 corners, and the dominant home side versus weak away team structural signal supports high corner counts due to sustained attacking pressure. |
|
| 23-04-2026 19:00 |
San Antonio Bulo Bulo |
- |
Real Oruro |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 4.25 based on home averages (2.30 scored, 1.80 conceded) and away averages (1.90 scored, 2.50 conceded). Home team's last 10 matches saw 60% over 3.5 goals, away team's last 10 had 70% over, with away team showing defensive fragility conceding 2+ goals in recent away matches. Bookmaker mispricing is high for away team (GL_5 1.95), favoring Over in a high-tempo Bolivia league. |
|
| 23-04-2026 19:15 |
Valur Reykjavik |
- |
FH Hafnarfjordur |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
65% |
Expected 1st half goals are 2.15 based on home averaging 0.70 scored and 1.50 conceded at home in the first half, and away averaging 1.10 scored and 1.00 conceded away in the first half. Away team has 60% of recent away matches (3 of 5) Over 1.5 first-half goals, while home team shows 40% Over. The expected total exceeds the line by 0.65 goals, and bookmaker mispricing for away team's goal line is high with a GL_5 of 1.85, indicating value on Over. |
|
| 23-04-2026 19:15 |
Vikingur Reykjavik |
- |
Stjarnan |
Over 3.25 Goals |
65% |
Expected total goals 3.45 exceeds the line of 3.25, calculated from home's 2.10 avg goals scored at home, away's 1.40 avg conceded away, away's 2.80 avg goals scored away, and home's 0.60 avg conceded at home. H2H shows 100% Over 3.25 goals in last 4 meetings. Away team has 67% of away matches Over 3.25 goals. Home team has moderate bookmaker mispricing with GL_5 of 1.55, adding value to the Over bet. |
|
| 23-04-2026 19:30 |
Oviedo |
- |
Villarreal |
Over 2.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total goals is 2.85 based on Oviedo's home scoring (1.30) and conceding (1.40) averages, and Villarreal's away scoring (1.70) and conceding (1.30) averages. Villarreal has 70% of recent matches Over 2.5 goals, and the quality gap (3rd vs 20th) suggests attacking dominance. Bookmaker mispricing is mild for Oviedo (GL_5 1.45) but not significant, and H2H has only one match Under 2.5 but sample is too small to override. |
|
| 23-04-2026 19:30 |
Oviedo |
- |
Villarreal |
Over 2.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total goals calculated at 2.85 based on Oviedo's home scoring (1.30) and conceding (1.40) averages and Villarreal's away scoring (1.70) and conceding (1.30) averages. Villarreal's recent matches show 70% Over 2.5 goals, and the quality gap (3rd vs 20th) suggests sustained attacking pressure. Mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.45 for Oviedo) aligns with the Over direction. |
|
| 24-04-2026 01:00 |
Tapatio |
- |
Cancun FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals = 3.45 (home avg 1.90 scored + away avg 1.40 conceded)/2 + (away avg 1.90 scored + home avg 1.70 conceded)/2. Both teams show strong Over trends: Tapatio's last 5 home matches all finished Over 2.5 (100%), Cancun FC's last 5 away matches saw 4 Over 2.5 (80%). Recent form shows Tapatio scored 3, 3, 2 goals in last three home matches. H2H is neutral (2 Over, 2 Under). Away team's market pricing error (GL_5=1.05) shows mild mispricing in Over direction. |
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