| 04-09 17:00 |
SV Gloggnitz
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3.60 +0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.40 + 2.60 + 2.00 + 1.20) / 2 = 3.60
Error: 3.60 - Goal line 3.25 = +0.35 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
203 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 2.60 2.00 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
3.57 | 3.23 5.80 | 7.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
5.00 | 8.40 11.60 | 9.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
1.60 | 4.60 5.80 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
31.40 | 38.00 52.60 | 58.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 04-09 17:10 |
Favoritner AC
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2.60 -0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(2.80 + 0.20 + 2.00 + 0.20) / 2 = 2.60
Error: 2.60 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
500 401 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.80 | 0.20 2.00 | 0.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.36 | 35.00 5.90 | 53.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.00 | 7.00 11.80 | 10.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
7.00 | 2.80 6.40 | 4.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
63.80 | 54.60 48.80 | 45.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 04-09 17:30 |
Wiener Sportclub
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3.50 +0.50 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.80 + 1.80 + 1.60 + 1.80) / 2 = 3.50
Error: 3.50 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.50 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 302 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.80 1.60 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.89 | 4.44 6.38 | 4.11 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.60 | 8.00 10.20 | 7.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 4.20 5.20 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
48.40 | 40.00 48.80 | 36.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 04-09 17:30 |
Oberwart
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+2.34 +0.09 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios:
League avg. total shots: 9.58
Heim: 9.58 / ((2.75 + 2.93) / 2) = 3.37
Heim: 9.58 / ((14.00 + 4.50) / 2) = 1.04
Diff: 3.37 - 1.04 = +2.34
Error: +2.34 + AH line -2.25 = +0.09 |
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4.50 +0.75 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(4.00 + 0.60 + 1.60 + 2.80) / 2 = 4.50
Error: 4.50 - Goal line 3.75 = +0.75 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
500 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
4.00 | 0.60 1.60 | 2.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
2.75 | 14.00 4.50 | 2.93 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.00 | 8.40 7.20 | 8.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
7.00 | 3.40 4.00 | 4.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
31.60 | 40.20 42.40 | 37.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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