| 05-09 19:00 |
Sarmiento de Resistencia
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2.98 +0.98 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.00 + 1.20 + 1.00 + 2.75) / 2 = 2.98
Error: 2.98 - Goal line 2.00 = +0.98 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 004 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 1.20 1.00 | 2.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
12.20 | 8.50 9.75 | 3.64 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.20 | 10.20 9.75 | 10.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 4.40 4.50 | 6.25 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
58.00 | 50.00 53.50 | 61.75 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 06-09 14:30 |
FADEP Mendoza
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1.80 +0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.60 + 0.00 + 0.50 + 1.50) / 2 = 1.80
Error: 1.80 - Goal line 1.75 = +0.05 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 013 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 0.00 0.50 | 1.50 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.75 | - 12.50 | 8.33 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
7.60 | 8.00 6.25 | 12.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.00 | 1.40 3.00 | 5.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
48.00 | 47.40 42.00 | 50.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 06-09 18:00 |
Deportivo Rincon
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1.23 -0.52 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(0.60 + 0.60 + 0.50 + 0.75) / 2 = 1.23
Error: 1.23 - Goal line 1.75 = -0.52 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 121 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.60 | 0.60 0.50 | 0.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.33 | 4.00 13.00 | 11.33 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
5.00 | 2.40 6.50 | 8.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.20 | 1.60 2.25 | 4.25 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
20.20 | 11.40 50.50 | 50.75 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 06-09 18:00 |
Guillermo Brown
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1.70 -0.30 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.80 + 0.60 + 0.67 + 0.33) / 2 = 1.70
Error: 1.70 - Goal line 2.00 = -0.30 |
5 3 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 120 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 0.60 0.67 | 0.33 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
3.00 | 6.33 9.50 | 29.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
5.40 | 3.80 6.33 | 9.67 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.20 | 1.60 2.67 | 5.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
43.20 | 39.20 68.33 | 80.67 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 06-09 18:30 |
Huracan Las Heras
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+0.45 +0.20 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios:
League avg. total shots: 9.32
Heim: 9.32 / ((12.80 + 5.00) / 2) = 1.05
Heim: 9.32 / ((26.00 + 5.00) / 2) = 0.60
Diff: 1.05 - 0.60 = +0.45
Error: +0.45 + AH line -0.25 = +0.20 |
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1.80 +0.30 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.00 + 0.20 + 0.80 + 1.60) / 2 = 1.80
Error: 1.80 - Goal line 1.50 = +0.30 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
320 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 0.20 0.80 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
12.80 | 26.00 5.00 | 5.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.80 | 5.20 4.00 | 8.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.00 | 0.80 1.40 | 3.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
82.80 | 56.00 34.40 | 44.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 06-09 18:30 |
CA Bartolome Mitre
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1.88 +0.12 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.00 + 1.00 + 0.50 + 1.25) / 2 = 1.88
Error: 1.88 - Goal line 1.75 = +0.12 |
4 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
211 022 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 1.00 0.50 | 1.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.75 | 12.75 16.00 | 7.80 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.75 | 12.75 8.00 | 9.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.75 | 4.00 2.50 | 4.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
61.50 | 56.25 52.50 | 63.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 06-09 19:00 |
Defensores de Belgrano VR
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2.20 +0.20 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(0.80 + 0.60 + 1.67 + 1.33) / 2 = 2.20
Error: 2.20 - Goal line 2.00 = +0.20 |
5 3 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 111 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.80 | 0.60 1.67 | 1.33 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
14.00 | 17.67 3.80 | 9.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.20 | 10.60 6.33 | 12.67 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.00 | 3.40 2.33 | 3.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
84.60 | 71.60 47.00 | 72.67 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 06-09 19:00 |
Independiente Chivilcoy
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2.20 +0.20 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.00 + 1.40 + 0.80 + 1.20) / 2 = 2.20
Error: 2.20 - Goal line 2.00 = +0.20 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
131 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 1.40 0.80 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
15.00 | 7.29 9.00 | 9.33 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.00 | 10.20 7.20 | 11.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.40 | 4.40 2.80 | 2.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
60.40 | 46.60 60.60 | 69.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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