| 09-09-2026 10:30 |
South Korea K League 1 |
Daejeon Hana Citizen |
- |
FC Anyang |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.50 (Daejeon home 2.20 scored, 1.40 conceded; Anyang away 1.20 scored, 2.20 conceded) clears the 2.75 split line by 0.75. Daejeon 8 of 10 and Anyang 9 of 10 recent matches produced 3+ goals; H2H is only 2 matches, treated neutral. Home GL_5 1.55 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing, Anyang concede 5.10 shots on target away, and Daejeon have scored 2+ in three straight home games. |
|
| 09-09-2026 10:30 |
Hong Kong U22 League |
Eastern District U22 |
- |
North District U22 |
Over 1.25 First Half Goals |
79% |
Expected 1H total is 1.90 (home 0.70 scored/1.00 conceded, away 1.30 scored/0.80 conceded) vs a 1.25 line, with home HT over record 50% and away HT over record 67%. Home side East District concede 60% of goals inside 30 minutes, and North District's goal-line mispricing is severe (GL_5 2.70); Base 50 + gap 10 + away history 5 + early scoring 8 + pricing error 6 = 79%. |
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| 09-09-2026 10:45 |
Hong Kong U22 League |
Tai Po U22 |
- |
Lee Man FC U22 |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st-half total is 2.55 (home 1.70 scored, 1.20 conceded; away 0.80 scored, 1.40 conceded) vs line 1.5, and Tai Po are 7/7 (100%) over 1.5 HT, Lee Man 4/6 (67%). Last H2H had a 5-2 first-half scoreline (7 goals), and bookmaker mispricing is elevated (home GL_5 1.80, away GL_5 1.95, both accelerating). Scoring: base 50 + gap 15 + home history 10 + away history 5 + quality gap 5 + GL home 5 + GL away 8 = 98, capped at standard 82 (away history <70%, H2H sample <3). |
|
| 09-09-2026 12:00 |
Portugal U23 League |
Santa Clara U23 |
- |
SC Farense U23 |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total 3.50 vs 2.5 line (A=1.80, B=1.30, C=1.80, D=2.10), shot-based potential 6.36; HT expected 1.50 vs 1.0 but FT gap/history stronger. Santa Clara 9/10 over 2.5 and Farense 6/10 over; H2H 2-0 under (1 match neutral), mutual total 2.515 clears line. Home GL_5 2.00/away 1.65 align over; raw 93 capped at 82 (standard ceiling, away history <70%). |
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| 09-09-2026 12:45 |
Hong Kong U22 League |
Eastern Football Team U22 |
- |
Kitchee U22 |
Over 3.0/3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total = (1.50+1.20)/2 + (2.10+2.80)/2 = 3.80, clear of the 3.25 line; Eastern home matches are 5/6 over 3.25 (83%) and mutual-opponent total 3.57 also clears the line. Home GL_5 2.10 signals strong bookmaker mispricing, and the away side's H2H sample is only 2 matches, so the Over-first read stands. |
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| 09-09-2026 14:30 |
Croatia Cup |
Vukovar 91 |
- |
HNK Cibalia |
Over 2.5 Goals |
65% |
Expected total: (1.3+1.0)/2 + (1.6+2.3)/2 = 3.10 vs 2.5 line (+0.60 over gap); shot-based match potential 5.24 also supports over. Home bookmaker mispricing GL_5 2.55 is severe and accelerating vs GL_10 1.68, while away GL_5 0.75 is well-calibrated. Scoring: Base 50 + gap 12 + home history 0 (5/10 over) + away history 0 (4/10 over) + H2H 0 (2/2 under, <3 neutral) + common opponents 0 (away g<2) + likelihood -3 (45% over 2.5) + GL_5 home +6 + GL_5 away 0 + structural 0 = 65%. |
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| 09-09-2026 14:30 |
Croatia Cup |
HNK Segesta |
- |
NK Osijek |
Over 3.0 Goals (Full Time) |
71% |
Expected full-time total 3.05 vs line 3.0 (Segesta home 1.70 scored/1.10 conceded; Osijek away 1.80 scored/1.50 conceded). 3 of 5 Segesta home matches and 3 of 5 Osijek away matches went over 3.0. Osijek's market pricing error GL_5 2.10 is accelerating vs 1.35, and Osijek conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away games; H2H empty. |
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| 09-09-2026 14:30 |
Slovakia Cup |
FC Banik Prievidza |
- |
OFK Banik Lehota |
Over 3.25 Goals |
65% |
FT expected total = (1.70+1.30)/2 + (1.90+2.10)/2 = 3.50 vs line 3.25. Away OFK Banik Lehota are 6/10 over 3.25 and conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches. 1H expected 1.55 vs 1.25 but HT history is weak (home 2/10, away 3/10 over 1.25), so full-time Over 3.25 is the stronger bet; GL_5 1.15 both sides shows only mild bookmaker mispricing. |
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| 09-09-2026 14:30 |
Slovenia Cup |
Roltek DOB |
- |
ND Slovan Ljubljana |
Over 3.0 Goals |
72% |
Expected full-time total is 3.20 using A=1.40, B=2.10, C=1.40, D=1.50 ((A+B)/2+(C+D)/2), above the 3.0 line. Roltek DOB are 4-of-6 over 3.0 and ND Slovan are 6-of-10 over 3.0, with Slovan conceding 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches. No first-half goal line was offered; H2H and mutual opponents are empty/neutral. |
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| 09-09-2026 15:00 |
Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
Samgurali |
- |
Dila Gori |
Over 2.5 Goals |
79% |
Base 50% + gap from line (expected 2.90 vs 2.50) +8% + home history 60% Over +5% + away history 60% Over +5% + H2H 3/4 Over +5% + common opponents +0% + likelihood 65% Over +3% + GL_5 home/away +0% + form momentum +3% = 79%. Expected total 2.90 from A 1.40, B 1.40, C 1.20, D 1.80 vs 2.50 line; both teams 6/10 over 2.5, H2H 3/4 over, recent form 4/5 over for both sides; mutual opponents 2.48 vs 2.50 neutral, home GL_5 1.45 marginal. |
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| 09-09-2026 15:00 |
Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
FC Spaeri |
- |
FC Rustavi |
Over 2.5 Goals |
79% |
Expected total 2.90 vs line 2.5 (Spaeri home: 1.40 scored, 2.00 conceded; Rustavi away: 1.60 scored, 0.80 conceded). Spaeri are 7/10 over 2.5 and Rustavi 5/10 (50%, not contradicting), with H2H 3/4 over 2.5 (totals 4,3,2,3) and mutual-opponent aggregate total 2.65. Raw confidence 79% from gap +8, home history +8, H2H +5, common opponents +5, likelihood +3 on 50 base. |
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| 09-09-2026 15:00 |
Finland Kolmonen |
Lautp |
- |
Kultsu FC |
1st Half Over 1.5,2.0 Goals |
82% |
1st-half expected total is 2.10 (Lautp home HT 1.10 scored/1.00 conceded; Kultsu away HT 1.60 scored/0.50 conceded) vs line 1.75 (1.5/2.0), gap +0.35. Both teams' last 10 matches clear Over 1.75 in 6/10 first halves (60% each), and H2H has only 2 matches so neutral. Market pricing error is high on both sides (home GL_5 2.25, away GL_5 2.45, both accelerating), giving raw 83% capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
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| 09-09-2026 15:30 |
Croatia Cup |
Orijent |
- |
Mladost Zdralovi |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected full-time total is 2.85 (home 1.70 scored/1.60 conceded; away 1.50 scored/0.90 conceded) vs the 2.25 aggregate line, and the shot-based match potential is 5.64. Both teams are 6/10 (60%) over the line in recent matches, the only H2H finished 1-3 (4 goals), and mutual opponents total 2.54 goals per match supports the Over. |
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| 09-09-2026 16:00 |
Estonia Meistriliiga |
Parnu JK Vaprus |
- |
Harju JK Laagri |
Over 1.25 First Half Goals |
72% |
Expected 1st-half goals total 1.95 ((0.80+0.70)/2 + (1.10+1.30)/2) vs 1.25 line, a +0.70 gap. Parnu are 7/10 over 1.25 first-half goals in last 10 (70%), Harju 5/10 (50%); H2H first-half data is unavailable. Full-time Over 3.0 was skipped because H2H was 0/3 over; GL_5 1.30/1.20 is mild so no pricing-error add. |
|
| 09-09-2026 16:00 |
Finland Kolmonen |
FC Vaajakoski II |
- |
KeuPa |
KeuPa -1.5 Asian Handicap |
70% |
KeuPa hold a 10-point standings edge (27 vs 17) and a 5/5 Asian Handicap cover record over their last 5, while FC Vaajakoski II have covered just 2/5. In pre-computed mutual opponents, KeuPa have a 4-1 stat advantage (goals NET -0.33 vs -3.67, shots 0 vs -3.0, on-target +0.67 vs -2.34, dangerous attacks -13.67 vs -18.33) and a 2-0-1 record vs FCV II's 0-0-3. The only H2H meeting ended 5-1 to KeuPa. |
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| 09-09-2026 16:00 |
Czechia Cup |
SK Prostejov |
- |
Sigma Olomouc |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 3.05 ((1.40+1.00)/2 + (2.20+1.50)/2) vs line 2.75, with home 6/10 and away 8/10 recent matches over 2.75. Mutual opponents total is 3.17, Sigma have scored 2+ in 8 of last 10, while 1st half is weaker (expected 1.05 vs 1.25). Market pricing error is low (GL5 0.80/0.85). |
|
| 09-09-2026 16:10 |
Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
Al Jandal |
- |
Al-Bukayriyah FC |
Over 2.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total is 2.70 versus the 2.25 line (Al Jandal home: 1.40 scored/1.80 conceded; Al-Bukayriyah away: 0.90 scored/1.30 conceded). Home are 4/5 over 2.25 in recent home games (80%) and Al-Bukayriyah are 7/10 over 2.25 in their last 10 away (70%), with mutual-opponent total 2.50 also supporting over; H2H has only two under results (1-1, 0-1) so is neutral. 1st-half expected 1.35 vs 1.00 but HT over histories are weak, while away GL_5 2.00 (accelerating) adds bookmaker-mispricing edge. |
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| 09-09-2026 16:45 |
Finland Kolmonen |
KuPS Akatemia II |
- |
PK-37 |
PK-37 +0.25 Asian Handicap |
68% |
KuPS Akatemia II have lost 5/5 Asian Handicap lines in their last 5 (0W-5L) while PK-37 have won 4/5 AH lines; PK-37 also sit 4 points above KuPS (24 vs 20) in the Eastern Group 2 standings. The only H2H this season finished PK-37 1-0 KuPS, reinforcing the away-side handicap edge. Goal line lacks enough history to clear 65%: expected total 3.9 vs line 4.0, home 50% over, away 14% over. |
|
| 09-09-2026 16:45 |
Netherlands Eredivisie |
FC Twente |
- |
Telstar |
Over 3.5/4.0 Goals |
69% |
Expected total 3.60 vs 3.5/4.0 (home A=2.50, away conceded B=1.70, away C=1.60, home conceded D=1.40). Twente are 7/10 home matches over 3.5 and Telstar 5/10 away over, with home GL_5 1.50 moderate mispricing and Telstar conceding 5.30 shots on target away (6.44 vs mutual opponents) as a structural over signal. Mutual-opponent aggregate total 2.96 and only two low-scoring H2H matches temper confidence but do not override. |
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| 09-09-2026 17:00 |
Sweden Superettan |
Nordic United FC |
- |
IFK Varnamo |
Nordic United FC -0.25 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Nordic United sit 5th (35 pts) vs IFK Varnamo 12th (23 pts), and the home/away split is decisive — Varnamo are 4-0-7 away with a -13 away goal difference while Nordic are 5-4-2 at home. AH record favours Nordic (6W-2V-2L last 10 vs Varnamo 4W-1V-5L), and mutual-opponent comparison gives Nordic a 5-0 stat advantage with goals NET +0.3 vs -1.2. Varnamo have lost 4 of their last 5 away matches, making the low -0.25 line value on the home side. |
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| 09-09-2026 17:00 |
Sweden Superettan |
Sandvikens IF |
- |
IK Oddevold |
Over 1.0 First Half Goals |
77% |
1st-half expected total 1.70 vs line 1.0 (Sandvikens home HT: 1.10 scored/0.70 conceded; Oddevold away HT: 0.60 scored/1.00 conceded). Both teams went over 1.0 first-half goals in 6 of their last 10 matches. Oddevold has GL_5 1.65 moderate bookmaker mispricing aligned with the Over, and no H2H first-half data contradicts the pick. |
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| 09-09-2026 17:00 |
Kosovo Superliga |
KF Gjilani |
- |
KF Ballkani |
Over 2.5 Goals |
79% |
Expected full-time goals are 2.95 (home 1.50 scored, away 1.50 conceded, away 1.50 scored, home 1.40 conceded) versus a 2.5 line; both teams have 3 of their last 5 matches over 2.5 (60% each), and mutual-opponent totals average 3.29. H2H is neutral (2 of 4 over) and away GL_5 bookmaker mispricing (1.50) aligns with the Over. |
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| 09-09-2026 17:00 |
Iceland 1 Deild |
Njardvik |
- |
Throttur Reykjavik |
Over 3.0 Goals |
80% |
Expected total is 3.95 (Njardvik home: 2.40 scored/1.80 conceded; Throttur away: 2.50 scored/1.20 conceded), 0.95 clear of the 3.0 line. Njardvik's last 10 are 6-3-1 over/under/push on 3.0, Throttur's decisive matches split 4-4 (two pushes), mutual opponents total is 3.65, and Throttur's GL_5 bookmaker mispricing is 1.60. H2H is only one match (1-0) so neutral. |
|
| 09-09-2026 17:15 |
Finland Kolmonen |
LePa |
- |
GrIFK Reservi |
Under 10.5 Corners |
78% |
Expected corners total is 9.20 ((3.40+5.00)/2 + (4.60+5.40)/2), well below the 10.5 line. LePa matches have stayed under 10.5 in 9 of 10 (90%) and GrIFK matches in 7 of 10 (70%), with the sole H2H corner total at 6. |
|
| 09-09-2026 17:30 |
South Africa Premier |
Mamelodi Sundowns |
- |
Siwelele FC |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
71% |
Expected total is 3.50 ((2.20+2.00)/2 + (1.60+1.20)/2) against a 2.5/3.0 line, with Sundowns home scoring 2.20 and Siwelele away conceding 2.00. H2H includes a 7-4 Sundowns win and Siwelele have conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away; home GL_5 market pricing error is 2.00, strong and accelerating. Home/away over 2.5 records are only 50%/40%, but the expected-value gap, 1st vs 14th mismatch, and away defensive fragility drive the Over. |
|
| 09-09-2026 19:45 |
Portugal Primeira Liga |
Moreirense |
- |
Benfica |
Over 1.0,1.5 First Half Goals |
65% |
Expected first-half goals are 1.75 vs the 1.25 line (Moreirense HT home 0.70 scored/1.00 conceded; Benfica HT away 1.60 scored/0.20 conceded). That +0.50 expected-goal gap is the main edge, supported by the quality gap with Benfica 4th vs Moreirense 13th and Benfica averaging 1.60 away first-half goals. Moreirense's recent HT over record is 50% and Benfica's 40%, so this is a marginal 65% lean rather than a high-conviction over. |
|
| 09-09-2026 23:00 |
Uruguay Cup |
Deportivo Maldonado |
- |
Montevideo Wanderers |
Deportivo Maldonado -0.75 Asian Handicap |
72% |
Maldonado are 2nd overall (50 pts) with a 9-4-1 home record and have covered the Asian Handicap in 4 of their last 5, while Wanderers are 7th overall and have covered just 1 of their last 5. Mutual opponents strongly favour Maldonado, who lead 4 of 5 comparison stats (goal NET +0.8 vs -0.86, total shots NET +3.6 vs -0.15), and the most recent H2H was a 2-0 home win covering -0.75. |
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