Schedule

Find Today's Tips & Predictions

Time	Home	Score	Away	Bet	Probability	Reasoning
18-04-2026 04:00	Edgeworth Eagles	-	Charlestown Azzurri	Asian Handicap home -0.5	67%	Home team Edgeworth Eagles has a strong H2H record, covering -0.5 in 3 of the last 4 meetings, including two wins at home. They are 4th in the league vs away team 6th, and in recent home matches, they have won both, showing solid home form. While overall recent cover rate is mixed, the H2H dominance and home advantage support the handicap.
18-04-2026 04:00	Hume City	-	St Albans Saints	Over 3.0 Goals	78%	Expected total goals 3.35 from home 1.90 avg scored/1.40 conceded and away 1.00 avg scored/2.40 conceded. 75% of Hume City's home matches (3 of 4) and 67% of St Albans Saints' away matches (2 of 3) have gone Over 3.0, with H2H matches 100% Over 3.0. St Albans Saints have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away, showing defensive fragility.
18-04-2026 04:00	Seoul Jungang FC	-	Sejong SA	Over 2.5 Goals	68%	Expected total goals is 3.00 based on home scoring 2.20 on average and away conceding 1.30, with Seoul Jungang FC seeing Over 2.75 goals in 5 of their last 8 matches (62.5%). Market pricing error for the home team shows moderate mispricing (GL_5 1.70) aligning with the Over direction, and the away team's history supports with 55.6% Over.
18-04-2026 05:00	Wellington Phoenix	-	Western Sydney Wanderers	Over 3.0 Goals	73%	Expected total goals 3.15 from home 1.20 scored/conceded 1.70 and away 1.40 scored/2.00 conceded averages, with both teams 60% Over 3.0 in recent matches and H2H 75% Over (3 of 4). Away defensive fragility: conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches, and mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.05) aligns with Over direction.
18-04-2026 05:00	FC Seoul	-	Daejeon Hana Citizen	Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half)	80%	Expected 1st half total of 0.90 goals based on home and away averages (home 0.90 scored, away 0.20 scored), below the 1.0 line. Both teams show 80% Under 1.0 goals in their recent first halves, with away team failing to score in 4 of last 5 away first halves. Structural low-scoring pattern is reinforced by both teams' low first-half averages.
18-04-2026 05:00	Busan I Park	-	Suwon FC	Over 8.5 Corners	73%	Expected corners total 9.55 based on Busan averaging 4.90 corners at home and Suwon FC 6.00 away, with Suwon's away matches going Over 8.5 in 4 of last 5 (80%). H2H corners were 11 and 14 in the last two meetings, and the away team's high variance (AC_5 1.40) indicates bookmaker mispricing in corners.
18-04-2026 05:00	Avondale	-	Melbourne City FC 2	Over 10.0 Asian Corners	75%	Expected total corners is 11.13, calculated from home averaging 5.50 corners at home and away conceding 6.33 corners on the road. Avondale has seen Over 10 corners in 6 of their last 10 matches (60%), and Melbourne City FC 2's high corners conceded away (6.33 avg) provides a structural Over signal, supported by home team's top-half league position.
18-04-2026 05:00	North Sunshine Eagles	-	Melbourne Victory NPL	Over 3.5 Goals	67%	Expected total goals 3.60 exceeds the line (3.5) by 0.10, with away team conceding 2+ goals in all 3 recent away matches (3-2, 2-1, 3-1). Home team scores 1.70 goals at home while away concedes 2.00 away, and market mispricing is strong (GL_5: 2.00 for home team). Both teams show recent high-scoring matches: 3 of home's last 5 and 2 of away's last 3 away matches exceeded 3.5 goals.
18-04-2026 05:00	Bayside Argonauts FC	-	Keilor Park	Under 1.25 Goals 1st Half	75%	Expected 1st half goals are 1.30 based on home scoring 1.10 and away conceding 0.40 per match averages, but away team has failed to score in the first half in 4 of their last 5 away matches, and home team's only home match had just one first-half goal. This strong defensive trend in recent away games and limited early home scoring support a low-scoring start, with 80% of away matches staying under 1.25 goals.
18-04-2026 05:00	Melbourne Srbija U23	-	Eltham Redbacks U23	Over 3.5 Goals	73%	Expected total goals of 3.83 based on home averages (1.20 scored, 2.30 conceded) and away averages (2.33 scored, 1.83 conceded). Away team has 80% of last 5 matches Over 3.5 goals, including high-scoring games like 5-1 and 4-0 wins, while home team's matches average 3.6 total goals in last 5. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate with GL_5 of 1.70 for home and 1.55 for away, supporting Over value.
18-04-2026 05:00	Jeonbuk Motors II	-	Gangneung City	Over 8.5 Corners	70%	Expected corners total 8.6, above the line, with Jeonbuk Motors II's last 5 home matches seeing 80% Over 8.5 (4 of 5, averaging 9.6 corners) and Gangneung City's last 3 away matches all Over 8.5 (3 of 3, averaging 10.7 corners). Both teams are in a relegation battle, likely leading to an open, high-tempo match with sustained attacking pressure and corner opportunities.
18-04-2026 05:00	Magic United	-	Eastern Suburbs	Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)	75%	Expected 1st half goals are 2.05 based on home averaging 0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the first half at home, and away averaging 0.80 scored and 1.10 conceded in the first half away. Magic United has seen Over 1.5 first-half goals in 4 of their last 5 home matches (80%), and the previous H2H first half produced 3 goals. The significant gap of 0.55 goals above the line and moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.65 for home) further support the Over.
18-04-2026 05:00	North Geelong U23	-	Brunswick Juventus U23	Over 3.5 Goals	90%	Expected total goals 4.95 based on home averages (2.70 scored, 2.40 conceded) and away averages (2.20 scored, 2.60 conceded). Home team's recent home matches went Over 3.5 in 3 of 4 (75%), away team's away matches went Over 3.5 in 2 of 3 (67%). Severe bookmaker mispricing for home team (GL_5=3.60) indicates consistent underestimation of goals in their matches.
18-04-2026 05:30	Para Hills Knights	-	Campbelltown City	Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)	69%	Expected first-half goals are 2.05 based on home averages (0.30 scored, 1.70 conceded) and away averages (1.10 scored, 1.00 conceded), above the line of 1.5. Campbelltown City has seen over 1.5 first-half goals in 75% of recent away matches (3 out of 4), and their defensive fragility is confirmed with 2+ goals conceded in three of the last five away games. The away team's high goal line mispricing (GL_5 1.95) indicates consistent underestimation of goals, aligning with the over direction.
18-04-2026 05:30	Sturt Lions	-	Adelaide City	Over 3.5 Goals	90%	Expected total goals calculated at 4.00 from home avg 2.60 scored and 1.50 conceded, and away avg 2.80 scored and 1.10 conceded. Recent match history strongly supports Over with 71% of Sturt Lions' matches and 88% of Adelaide City's matches exceeding 3.5 goals, and H2H shows 75% Over. Additionally, bookmaker mispricing for Sturt Lions' goal line is high at 1.95, indicating consistent underestimation of goals in their matches.
18-04-2026 05:30	North Star U23	-	Ipswich FC U23	Under 10 Corners	73%	Expected corners total is 9.455 based on home avg 5.38 corners at home and away avg 5.10 corners away, below the 10 line. Both teams show strong under trends, with North Star U23 having 6 of 7 recent matches under 10 corners and Ipswich FC U23 having 5 of 7 matches under 10 corners, supporting the Under bet.
18-04-2026 05:45	Broadbeach United U23	-	Brisbane Strikers U23	Over 9 Corners	79%	Expected corners total of 9.9 exceeds the line of 9, driven by away team's 3 of 5 away matches over 9 corners and H2H showing 3 of 4 matches over 9 corners. Home team's only non-push home match produced 10 corners, and the away team's strong attacking form (avg 5.1 corners away) aligns with high corner generation.
18-04-2026 05:45	Redlands United U23	-	Robina City U23	Over 3.5 Goals	73%	Expected total goals of 3.75 from home averages (1.10 scored, 1.90 conceded) and away averages (2.67 scored, 1.83 conceded) exceeds the line. Away team has 67% of recent away matches Over 3.5, and common opponents St George Willawong and Broadbeach United both had high-scoring games. Moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 of 1.75 for away team) aligns with the Over direction.
18-04-2026 06:00	Bulleen Lions Women	-	South Melbourne Women	Over 3.0 Goals	85%	Expected total goals is 4.05 based on home avg 3.50 goals scored at home and away avg 2.50 goals scored away, with defensive averages of 1.20 and 0.90. Home team has 80% of last 5 matches over 3.0 goals, and H2H shows 75% over in last 4 meetings. Moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 of 1.60 for both teams) aligns with over direction, and home team's form surge with 3+ goals in last 3 home matches adds confidence.
18-04-2026 06:00	Altona Magic U23	-	Dandenong Thunder U23	Over 9.5 Corners	65%	Expected corners total 9.75 (home avg 5.00 at home, away avg 5.70 away). Both teams exceed the line in recent matches: Altona Magic Over 9.5 in 5 of last 8 (62.5%), Dandenong Thunder Over in 4 of last 6 (66.7%). H2H corners are split 2-2, and both bottom-half teams need points, likely leading to open play and more corner opportunities.
18-04-2026 06:30	Macarthur Rams	-	Bulls FC Academy	Over 2.75 Goals	90%	Expected total goals is 3.15 vs line 2.75, driven by away team's 80% Over rate in away matches (4 of last 5) and defensive fragility conceding 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away. Home team averages 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded at home, while away team averages 2.0 scored and 1.3 conceded away, with moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.75 and 1.60) accelerating in favor of Over.
18-04-2026 06:30	Maitland FC	-	Lambton Jaffas	Over 3.25 Goals	85%	Expected total goals calculated at 3.95 versus a line of 3.25, giving a 0.70 goal edge. Away team Lambton Jaffas has seen 4 of their last 6 matches exceed 3.25 goals (66.7% Over), and they have conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 6 away matches, showing defensive fragility. Bookmaker mispricing is significant with a GL_5 of 1.95 for the away team, accelerating in the Over direction.
18-04-2026 06:30	Northern Tigers	-	Hurstville FC	Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)	69%	Expected 1st half goals total is 1.8 based on home averages of 1.40 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the first half, and away averages of 0.80 scored and 0.90 conceded, exceeding the line of 1.5. Home team has seen over 1.5 first-half goals in 6 of their last 9 matches (66.7%), and the quality gap with the home side pressing early adds confidence. Additionally, the away team shows strong bookmaker mispricing with a GL_5 of 1.85, aligning with the Over direction.
18-04-2026 07:00	SD Raiders	-	St George Saints	Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half)	83%	1st half expected goals (1.75) significantly exceeds the line of 1.25, driven by SD Raiders averaging 1.00 goals scored at home and St George Saints conceding 0.80 away in the first half. SD Raiders have gone Over 1.25 in 100% of their last 4 home first halves, while St George Saints have done so in 60% of their last 5 away first halves. St George Saints also show defensive fragility, conceding 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches.
18-04-2026 07:00	South Coast Flame FC	-	Fraser Park	Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half)	67%	1st half expected goals total is 1.85 (home 1.20 scored + away 0.60 conceded = 0.9, away 1.50 scored + home 0.40 conceded = 0.95) versus a line of 1.25. Away team's 1st half away matches: 2 of 3 (67%) over 1.25. Home team's 1st half home matches: 1 of 2 (50%) over 1.25.
18-04-2026 07:00	North Geelong	-	Brunswick Juventus	Brunswick Juventus -0.75	67%	Away team is 2nd in the league with 18 points, three points above 6th-placed North Geelong, and has covered the Asian Handicap in all of their last five matches (5 wins). While common opponent Eltham Redbacks shows home team performing better, the standings gap and recent AH form strongly support away team covering the handicap.
18-04-2026 07:00	Yanbian Longding	-	Shanghai Jiading Huilong	Over 3.5 Corners (1st Half)	75%	Expected 1st half corners total is 4.55, above the 3.5 line, driven by Shanghai's away matches seeing 100% Over 3.5 (6/6) and conceding 3.30 corners on average in the first half away. Yanbian's matches are 50% Over 3.5 (4/8), not contradicting, and structural signals show Shanghai's defensive vulnerability early.
18-04-2026 07:00	Tai Po	-	North District	Over 3.25 Goals	68%	Expected total goals 3.50 based on Tai Po's 1.90 avg home goals and North District's 2.20 avg away goals, with North District's away matches showing 75% Over 3.25 goals. H2H averages 3.25 goals per match, and Tai Po has moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.55) supporting the Over direction.
18-04-2026 07:30	NWS Spirit FC	-	Sydney United 58	Sydney United 58 -0.25 Asian Handicap	70%	Away team leads the league with 28 points vs home's 17, has covered the Asian Handicap in 4 of their last 5 matches (80% cover rate), and shows superior results against common opponents like Rockdale Ilinden FC, whom they beat away while the home team lost at home.
18-04-2026 07:30	Bucheon	-	Incheon Utd	Under 8.5 Corners	77%	Expected corners total of 7.60 well below the 8.5 line, with Bucheon's home matches 60% under (3 of 5) and Incheon's away matches 75% under (3 of 4), supported by 67% of H2H matches (2 of 3) under 8.5 corners reflecting tight tactical history.
18-04-2026 07:30	Daegu FC	-	Cheonan City	Over 2.5 Goals	90%	Expected total goals of 2.95 from Daegu's 1.90 avg scored at home and Cheonan's 1.30 avg conceded away, supported by 80% of Daegu's last 5 home matches exceeding 2.5 goals and Cheonan's defensive fragility with 3 of their last 4 away matches conceding 2+ goals. H2H shows 3 goals in the last meeting, and bookmaker mispricing is high with home GL_5 of 2.10 indicating consistent underestimation of goals.
18-04-2026 07:45	Metrostars	-	White City FK Beograd	Over 3.25 Goals	66%	Expected total goals is 3.40 based on Metrostars averaging 2.00 goals scored at home and White City conceding 1.30 away, with 60% of Metrostars' last 10 matches exceeding 3.25 goals. White City has defensive fragility, conceding 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches, and the home team shows strong bookmaker mispricing with a GL_5 of 2.15 favoring Over. Despite H2H having 75% Under, current form and structural signals support a higher-scoring game.
18-04-2026 08:00	Orlando Pirates Reserves	-	Amazulu Reserves	Orlando Pirates Reserves -1.75	67%	Home team leads the league with 60 points vs away team 12th with 32 points, a 28-point quality gap. Orlando Pirates Reserves have covered the Asian handicap in 3 of their last 5 matches (75% win rate in non-void games), including dominant wins like 3-0 and 5-0. Head-to-head shows a 3-0 away victory in January 2026, supporting their ability to cover large handicaps.
18-04-2026 08:00	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	-	Chippa United Reserves	Over 3.5 Goals	66%	Expected total goals 3.60 based on home averages (2.50 scored, 0.90 conceded at home) and away averages (1.30 scored, 2.50 conceded away). Home team is 2nd vs 16th-place away, with Chippa conceding 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches. H2H shows 1 of 3 matches Over 3.5. Strong bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 2.00) accelerates in favor of Over.
18-04-2026 08:00	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	-	Sekhukhune United Reserves	Over 2.5 Goals	78%	Expected total 2.85 vs line 2.5 (home 1.40 scored + 1.60 conceded, away 1.70 scored + 1.00 conceded). H2H shows 100% Over 2.5 in 4 matches. Home team's last 10 home matches are 67% Over 2.5. Away team conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches. Severe bookmaker mispricing for home team (GL_5=2.90 accelerating).
18-04-2026 08:00	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	-	Heidelberg Utd	Over 10 Corners	70%	Expected total corners calculated at 11.60 based on home avg 5.60 corners scored at home and away avg 6.30 corners scored away, combined with defensive concessions. Away team's matches have seen 60% (6 of 10) exceed 10 corners, while home team's matches show 50% (4 of 8) over the line, meeting the Over threshold. No head-to-head history to contradict, and the significant gap from the line indicates strong value for Over.
18-04-2026 08:15	MFK Chrudim	-	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlašim	Away Asian Handicap 0	67%	Away team holds a 5-point standings advantage (9th vs 12th), has covered the Asian handicap in 3 of their last 5 matches (60% cover rate), and outperformed common opponents Opava and FK Usti nad Labem with winning margins of +2 and +4 compared to home team's losses.
18-04-2026 08:15	Altona Magic	-	Dandenong Thunder	Over 2.5 Goals	73%	Expected total goals 2.45 (home 1.40 scored/1.50 conceded, away 0.80 scored/1.20 conceded) with Dandenong Thunder's last 2 away matches both over 2.5 goals (100%) and 3 of 4 H2H matches over 2.5 (75%). Altona Magic's home matches are low-scoring (1 over in last 4), but away team's defensive fragility (conceded 2+ goals in last 2 away) and market mispricing (GL_5 1.00-1.05 mild error) support an open game.
18-04-2026 08:15	FC Melbourne Srbija	-	Eltham Redbacks	Eltham Redbacks 0 Asian Handicap	75%	Eltham Redbacks are 4th with 16 points, 10 points above 12th-placed FC Melbourne Srbija. They have covered the Asian Handicap in 3 of their last 4 non-draw matches (75%) and have performed better against common opponents (North Sunshine, North Geelong, Langwarrin). H2H matches are draws but only 2 matches, so neutral.
18-04-2026 08:30	Arema FC	-	Persis Solo	Persis Solo +0.5	67%	Persis Solo has covered +0.5 in all 4 recent away matches and won 5 of their last 5 Asian Handicap matches overall. Arema FC has only 2 AH wins in their last 5 and a 50% cover rate at home with -0.5. Common opponents like Semen Padang and Bali United show Persis Solo's competitive away form.
18-04-2026 09:00	Sampdoria U19	-	Padova U19	Over 2.75 Goals	73%	Expected total goals 3.10 from home 1.80 scored at home and away 1.60 conceded away, with both teams showing 60% Over 2.75 in recent matches. Padova's away defence conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away games, indicating fragility, and mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.45) aligns with Over direction.
18-04-2026 09:00	Chindia Targoviste	-	ACS Sepsi	Over 2.5 Goals	65%	Expected total goals calculated from averages is 2.55 (Chindia home avg 1.30, Sepsi away avg 1.70, combined with conceded rates), above the 2.5 line. H2H history shows 75% of matches (3 of 4) had over 2.5 goals. Strong bookmaker mispricing for Chindia (GL_5 of 1.80) accelerating and aligned with over direction adds edge, despite mixed recent match histories (50% over for both teams).
18-04-2026 09:15	St George City FA	-	Marconi Stallions	Over 2.5 Goals	73%	Expected total goals calculated from averages is 2.95, significantly above the 2.5 line. Head-to-head history strongly supports Over with 100% of last 4 matches (3-4 goals each) exceeding 2.5 goals. Additionally, substantial bookmaker mispricing is evident with home team GL_5 error of 2.50 and away team GL_5 error of 1.90, both indicating consistent underestimation of goals aligned with the Over direction.
18-04-2026 09:30	JK Nomme Kalju II	-	Maardu Linnameeskond	Over 3.5 Goals	90%	Expected total goals is 4.40 based on home averaging 1.20 goals scored and 2.50 conceded at home, and away averaging 3.20 scored and 1.90 conceded away. Both teams have 60% of recent matches over 3.5 goals, and the home team shows severe bookmaker mispricing with a GL_5 of 2.70, indicating consistent underestimation of goals in their matches.
18-04-2026 09:30	Benevento U19	-	Pisa U19	Over 2.5 Goals	90%	Expected total goals calculated at 3.50 (home averages 1.30 scored/2.00 conceded, away averages 2.10 scored/1.60 conceded), well above the line. Home team has seen 8 of last 9 matches exceed 2.75 goals, away team 7 of last 10, and H2H shows 3 of 4 matches over 2.75 goals. Strong bookmaker mispricing for away team (GL_5 of 1.90) indicates consistent underestimation of goals in their matches, aligning with the Over bet.
18-04-2026 09:35	Sydney FC	-	Perth Glory	Under 1.25 Goals 1st Half	75%	Expected 1st half total of 0.95 goals based on Sydney FC averaging 0.20 goals scored and Perth Glory averaging 0.50 goals scored in first halves, below the 1.25 line. Sydney FC has 90% of recent matches under 1.25 first-half goals (9/10), and Perth Glory 60% (6/10), with both teams showing low scoring patterns early.
18-04-2026 10:00	Sparta Katowice	-	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	Over 2.5 Goals	78%	Expected total goals of 3.45 derived from home scoring 2.20 and conceding 1.60 at home, plus away scoring 1.40 and conceding 1.70 away. Home team has 67% of home matches over 2.5, and bookmaker mispricing for the away team is moderate (GL_5 1.60), indicating consistent underestimation of goals in their matches.
18-04-2026 10:00	Persipura Jayapura	-	PSIS Semarang	Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half)	73%	Expected 1st half goals calculated at 0.95 (home: 0.70 scored/0.30 conceded, away: 0.40 scored/0.50 conceded) below the 1.0 line. Recent history strongly supports Under: home team 70% Under 1.0 in last 10 matches (7 of 10), away team 90% Under 1.0 (9 of 10). Both teams are low 1st half scorers structurally, and H2H data does not contradict. Market pricing error for full-time is high on away side (GL_5 2.35) but not directly applicable to 1st half.
18-04-2026 10:00	Pacos Ferreira	-	Chaves	Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half)	89%	Expected 1st half goals total is 0.75 (Pacos Ferreira averages 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded at home; Chaves averages 0.10 scored and 0.40 conceded away). Pacos Ferreira failed to score in all 4 recent first halves at home, while Chaves failed to score in 5 consecutive first halves away, with 80% of their away matches under 1.0 goals. Strong bookmaker mispricing on Pacos Ferreira's goal line (GL_5 1.90) aligns with an Under bet given the low expected total.
18-04-2026 10:00	Kolos Kovalivka	-	LNZ Lebedyn	Over 1.5 Goals	75%	Expected total goals of 2.00 exceeds the 1.5 line, driven by away team averaging 2.00 goals scored away and 80% of their away matches finishing Over 1.5. Head-to-head matches show 75% Over 1.5 (3 of 4), and home team's home matches have 50% Over 1.5, supporting the Over. Bookmaker mispricing is low (GL_5 < 1.0 for both teams), indicating the line is well-calibrated but the historical data favors Over.
18-04-2026 10:00	Zaglebie Lubin II	-	Gornik Zabrze II	Over 3.25 Goals	69%	Expected total goals 3.80 based on home averages (2.00 scored, 1.30 conceded at home) and away averages (3.50 scored, 0.80 conceded away), significantly above the 3.25 line. Away team shows 60% Over 3.25 in last 10 matches, and home team's goal line market has mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.45), adding edge to the Over bet.
18-04-2026 10:00	Cracovia Krakow II	-	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	Over 2.75 Goals	70%	Expected total goals 2.90 based on home averages (0.70 scored, 2.30 conceded at home) and away averages (0.70 scored, 2.10 conceded away). Both teams show over 60% of recent matches exceeding 2.75 goals (home 60%, away 67%), with away team conceding 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility. H2H is neutral with only one low-scoring match.
18-04-2026 10:00	Wisla Krakow II	-	Swidniczanka Swidnik	Over 1.5 Goals First Half	65%	Expected first half goals are 1.60 based on home averaging 1.20 goals scored and away conceding 1.50 in the first half. Home team has covered Over 1.5 in 83% of recent home first halves (5 of 6 matches), while away team's away first halves are 50% Over. The home team's quality advantage and early pressing pattern support multiple first-half goals.
18-04-2026 10:00	Kitchee	-	Lee Man FC	Over 2.75 Goals	76%	Expected total goals of 2.85 based on Kitchee's 2.40 avg home goals and Lee Man's 0.90 avg away goals conceded, plus 60% of both teams' recent matches exceeding 2.75 goals (3/5 each) and 75% of H2H meetings (3/4) going Over. Strong bookmaker mispricing for Lee Man (GL_5 of 2.10) indicates consistent underestimation of goals in their matches, adding edge to the Over bet.
18-04-2026 10:30	Diamond Harbour FC	-	Gokulam Kerala FC	Over 2.5 Goals	90%	Expected total goals is 3.25 based on home averages (2.30 scored, 1.20 conceded) and away averages (1.60 scored, 1.40 conceded). Home team has 60% of last 10 matches Over 2.5 goals, and strong bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 of 1.95 for home and 2.40 for away) aligns with Over due to accelerating variance. The quality gap with home team in Championship Round versus away in Relegation Round further supports an open attacking game.
18-04-2026 11:00	Bjarg	-	Kvik Halden FK	Over 2.5 Goals	83%	Expected total goals of 3.60 (from home avg 2.90 goals scored at home and away avg 1.00 conceded away, combined with away avg 2.40 scored away and home avg 0.90 conceded at home) significantly exceeds the 2.5 line. Home team has 85.7% of recent matches Over 2.5, away team 66.7%, with no contradictory H2H. Mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.40 for away) aligns with Over direction.
18-04-2026 11:00	Trelleborgs FF	-	Tvååkers IF	Over 2.5 Goals	86%	Expected total goals 3.10 from home avg 1.20 scored/2.00 conceded at home and away avg 2.10 scored/0.90 conceded away. Away team has 67% Over rate in recent away matches, H2H had 4 goals, and bookmaker mispricing is high for away team (GL_5 2.00) with home team top of the league favoring Over.
18-04-2026 11:00	SC Grobinas	-	Riga FC	Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half)	68%	Expected first-half goals are 1.50 based on home and away averages (home 0.40 scored, 0.50 conceded; away 1.40 scored, 0.70 conceded), above the 1.25 line. Away team Riga FC has 70% of recent matches Over 1.25 first-half goals, showing strong early scoring form, while home team SC Grobinas has a weak attack with only 10% Over. The quality gap—Riga FC 2nd vs Grobinas 6th—supports early dominance and pressure.
18-04-2026 11:00	Ninh Binh	-	PVF-CAND	Over 2.5 Goals	81%	Expected total goals 3.15 based on home avg 2.00 goals scored at home and away avg 1.50 goals conceded away. Ninh Binh has 9 of last 10 matches Over 2.5 goals, and both H2H meetings saw 4+ goals. Structural quality gap with home team 3rd vs away team 13th indicates an open attacking game.
18-04-2026 11:00	Hong Linh Ha Tinh	-	Hai Phong	Under 2.25 Goals	81%	Expected total goals is 2.25 based on home averages of 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded at home, and away averages of 1.30 scored and 1.40 conceded away. Both teams show scoring droughts, with Hong Linh Ha Tinh failing to score in 3 of their last 5 home matches and Hai Phong failing to score in 3 of their last 4 away matches, leading to 80% and 75% of recent matches going Under 2.25 goals respectively. H2H is neutral, but structural factors and match history strongly support Under.
18-04-2026 11:00	Dalian Young Boy	-	Henan	Over 2.5 Goals	90%	Expected total goals is 3.30 based on Dalian averaging 1.70 scored and 2.10 conceded at home, and Henan averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded away. Dalian has seen 6 of their last 7 matches exceed 2.5 goals, and the home team's top-4 ranking versus away's bottom-half, combined with strong bookmaker mispricing (GL_5=1.90 accelerating), strongly supports an Over outcome.
18-04-2026 11:00	Arminia Bielefeld	-	Nurnberg	Over 2.5 Goals	69%	Expected total goals is 3.10 based on home averaging 1.60 scored and 1.70 conceded at home, and away averaging 1.60 scored and 1.30 conceded away. Home team has seen 70% of last 10 matches go Over 2.75 goals, with away team showing defensive fragility conceding 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches. Home form surge includes scoring 2+ goals in each of last 3 home matches, and mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.30) supports the Over direction.
18-04-2026 11:00	Magdeburg	-	Fortuna Dusseldorf	Over 3.0 Goals	85%	Expected total goals 3.55 based on Magdeburg's home avg 2.10 goals scored and Fortuna Dusseldorf's away avg 1.60 conceded, with H2H supporting as 3 of last 4 meetings had over 3.0 goals. Market pricing error is high (GL_5 2.00 for home, 1.55 for away), indicating bookmaker mispricing, and both teams are in a relegation battle, likely leading to an open attacking game.
18-04-2026 11:00	Chiangmai United	-	Nong Bua Pitchaya	Over 3.25 Goals	90%	Expected total goals 4.20 exceeds the 3.25 line, calculated from home avg 1.80 goals scored at home and away avg 2.00 conceded away. Home team's matches have gone over 3.25 in 60% of recent games, while away team has conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches, showing defensive fragility. Strong bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 of 2.50 for home and 2.30 for away) aligns with the over direction.
18-04-2026 11:00	Police Tero FC	-	Phrae United	Over 2.5 Goals	76%	Expected total goals of 2.60 based on Police Tero FC averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded at home, and Phrae United averaging 1.10 scored and 1.30 conceded away. All three recent H2H matches finished Over 2.5 goals, and bookmaker mispricing is severe with GL_5 errors of 2.30 and 2.35, indicating consistent underestimation. Additionally, Phrae United has conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches, highlighting defensive fragility.
18-04-2026 11:00	Slask Wroclaw	-	Znicz Pruszków	Over 2.5 Goals	79%	Expected goals of 2.85 (Slask averages 2.00 scored/1.20 conceded at home, Znicz 1.10 scored/1.40 conceded away) well exceeds the 2.5 line. Slask's last 10 matches saw 70% Over 2.5 goals, while Znicz's away matches show 3 of the last 5 conceding 2+ goals. The sole H2H match produced 3 goals, and structural factors favor Over with Slask (2nd) dominant at home versus relegation-threatened Znicz (17th). Bookmaker mispricing on Znicz's goal line (GL_5 1.65) provides additional edge for Over.
18-04-2026 11:00	FK Garliava	-	FK BE1	Over 2.5 Goals	86%	Expected total goals of 3.95 based on home's 3.70 avg goals scored at home and away's 2.30 avg goals scored away, with defensive records. Away team has 100% of recent matches over 2.5 goals, and home team 57%. Home team shows severe bookmaker mispricing with GL_5 error of 2.10 goals, indicating consistent underestimation.
18-04-2026 11:00	Davao Aguilas FC	-	One Taguig FC	Davao Aguilas FC +1.5 Asian Handicap	67%	Davao Aguilas FC has covered the +1.5 handicap in 4 of their last 5 home matches (80%), including a 2-1 win over Kaya FC. Common opponent analysis shows One Taguig failed to cover -1.5 in a 1-0 away win at Kaya, supporting Davao's ability to stay within the handicap. Despite One Taguig's top-table standing, Davao's recent home form and specific match-ups justify confidence in the cover.
18-04-2026 11:00	Lyngby	-	Hvidovre IF	Over 2.5 Goals	71%	Expected total goals calculated at 2.75 (Lyngby avg 2.00 scored at home, Hvidovre avg 1.00 conceded away). Lyngby scored 2+ goals in all three recent home matches, with 67% of home games Over 2.5. H2H is neutral at 50% Over, but market pricing error for Lyngby shows moderate mispricing (GL_5=1.65) accelerating, adding edge to Over.
18-04-2026 11:00	AB Copenhagen	-	Vendsyssel FF	Over 2.5,3.0 Goals	68%	Expected total goals 2.95 exceeds the line of 2.75, driven by AB Copenhagen's strong home attack (2.90 avg goals scored) and Vendsyssel's vulnerable away defense (0.80 avg conceded). Both H2H matches had 4+ goals, and both teams are in the promotion race, increasing attacking incentive. Away team's recent matches show 60% Over 2.75 agreement.
18-04-2026 11:00	Odder IGF	-	Sundby	Over 2.5 Goals	76%	Expected total goals is 3.00 (home avg 1.10 scored, away avg 1.60 conceded, away avg 1.60 scored, home avg 1.70 conceded). Away team has 70% of recent matches Over 2.75 goals, showing strong offensive form, and has conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility. Home team's market pricing error (GL_5 1.60) adds edge for the Over direction, with H2H results neutral (2 Over, 2 Under).
18-04-2026 11:15	FK Kauno Zalgiris	-	FK Transinvest	Over 2.5 Goals	79%	Expected total goals is 3.00 from home averaging 2.80 scored and 0.30 conceded at home, and away averaging 1.50 scored and 1.40 conceded away. H2H matches show 75% Over 2.5 goals (3 of 4), and away team has 75% Over in recent away matches. Home team's top-league dominance and form momentum support high scoring.
18-04-2026 11:30	Ruthin Town FC	-	Newtown	Under 3.5 Goals	90%	Expected total goals 3.05 based on Ruthin's home avg 1.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded, and Newtown's away avg 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded. 80% of Ruthin's last 5 home matches and 75% of Newtown's last 4 away matches had under 3.5 goals, with both teams in scoring droughts (Newtown failed to score in 3 of last 4 away). Moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.60 for both teams) aligns with Under direction.
18-04-2026 11:30	Mold Alexandra	-	Flint Mountain FC	Mold Alexandra -0.75	68%	Mold Alexandra has covered the -0.75 handicap in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%), supported by a strong Asian Handicap record of 4 wins in last 5. Standings show a 9-point gap (8th vs 14th), favoring the home team. H2H shows only 1 cover in 3 meetings, but recent form and defensive fragility of Flint Mountain, who conceded 3 goals in their last away match, indicate Mold can win by at least one goal.
18-04-2026 11:30	Pontypridd Utd	-	Caerau Ely	Caerau Ely -1.25	67%	Caerau Ely (4th) holds a 7-place standings advantage over Pontypridd (11th) and has covered -1.25 in 80% of their last 5 matches (4/5). Pontypridd has covered +1.25 in only 60% of their last 5 (3/5), and while H2H shows Pontypridd covered in 2 of 3 meetings, recent form and the quality gap support the away side.
18-04-2026 11:30	VSK Arhus	-	Skive	VSK Arhus 0 Asian Handicap	67%	VSK Arhus holds an 8-point standings advantage over Skive (26 vs 18 points) and has covered the Asian Handicap in 3 of their last 5 matches (75% rate). While common opponent results are mixed, the home team's recent AH record and superior league position provide sufficient edge for this bet.
18-04-2026 13:00	Neftchi Fergana	-	Nasaf Qarshi	Neftchi Fergana -0.75	70%	Neftchi Fergana covers -0.75 handicap in 9 of last 10 home matches (90%), leads the league with 18 points from 7 games, and beat common opponent Dinamo Samarqand 2-1 (Nasaf drew 1-1 away). Nasaf Qarshi has lost by more than 1 goal in only 1 of last 5 away matches, but those opponents were lower in the table.
18-04-2026 13:00	Dukla Praha	-	MFK Karvina	Under 2.5 Goals	86%	Expected total goals 2.15 below the 2.5 line, with home team 80% Under 2.5 in recent home matches (1 of 5 over) and away team 75% Under in away matches (1 of 4 over). H2H shows 75% Under (3 of 4 matches), and both teams are in scoring droughts—home failed to score in 4 of last 5 home games. Market pricing error is low (GL_5 0.95 for both teams), indicating a well-calibrated line.
18-04-2026 13:00	SK Bischofshofen	-	SV Wals-Grünau	Over 3.0 Goals	78%	Expected total goals is 3.60 based on home averages (2.10 scored, 1.20 conceded) and away averages (2.40 scored, 1.50 conceded). Home team has seen 5 of their last 7 matches exceed 3.0 goals (83% Over), while away team has 5 of 10 matches Over 3.0 (62.5% excluding pushes). Bookmaker mispricing is moderate with home GL_5 of 1.70, indicating consistent underestimation of goals in their matches.
18-04-2026 13:00	Sirius	-	Vasteras SK	Over 2.5 Goals	81%	Sirius averages 3.00 goals scored at home and has seen 8 of their last 10 matches total Over 2.5 goals, while Vasteras SK concedes 1.00 goals away on average. The expected total goals is 3.10, well above the 2.5 line, supported by common opponent Elfsborg matches producing high scores and Sirius's strong form with 5 wins in their last 5 home games. Bookmaker mispricing is mild for both teams, not altering the edge.
18-04-2026 13:00	Como U19	-	Venezia U19	Over 3.5 Goals	89%	Expected total goals is 3.85 based on Como U19 averaging 2.10 goals scored at home and Venezia U19 conceding 3.00 goals away on average. Venezia U19 has seen 70% of their last 10 matches exceed 3.5 goals, and H2H history shows 75% Over in the last 4 meetings. Structurally, league-leader Como U19 faces bottom-side Venezia U19, who have conceded 3+ goals in recent away matches. Additionally, bookmaker mispricing is high for Venezia U19 (GL_5 1.95), indicating consistent underestimation of goals in their matches.
18-04-2026 13:00	Avellino U19	-	Bari U19	Avellino U19 -0.75	70%	Avellino U19 is 2nd in the league with 46 points, holding an 18-point advantage over 12th-placed Bari U19, and has covered the -0.75 Asian Handicap in 4 of their last 5 matches. Bari U19 has struggled defensively, conceding 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches, and in common opponents against Ascoli and Cosenza, Avellino secured victories while Bari failed to win. The last head-to-head at Avellino's home resulted in a 1-0 win, covering a similar handicap.
18-04-2026 13:00	Modena	-	Frosinone	Over 9.0 Asian Corners	83%	Expected total corners calculated at 10.50 (Modena avg 5.10 home corners, Frosinone avg 7.90 away corners) versus the line of 9.0, with Frosinone's matches going Over 9.0 corners in 7 of their last 10 (70%) and H2H corners Over in 3 of 4 meetings (75%). Structural signals support Over due to high expected totals and consistent historical alignment.
18-04-2026 13:30	Union Berlin	-	Wolfsburg	Over 2.5 Goals	75%	Expected total goals is 3.20 (Union Berlin avg 0.90 scored at home, Wolfsburg avg 2.40 conceded away), with Wolfsburg's away matches 60% Over 2.5 and conceding 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away. Despite H2H favoring Under (75%), Wolfsburg shows severe defensive fragility and high bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.85 accelerating), supporting Over.
18-04-2026 13:30	Bayer Leverkusen	-	Augsburg	Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half)	76%	Expected 1st half goals calculated from averages is 1.40, but both teams have seen 70% of their last 10 matches finish Under 1.25 goals in the first half. Augsburg has failed to score in the first half in 3 of their last 5 away matches, reinforcing the Under trend early in games.
18-04-2026 13:30	TSG Hoffenheim	-	Borussia Dortmund	Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)	68%	Expected first half goals are 1.80 (home scores 0.90 and concedes 1.20 on average, away scores 0.80 and concedes 0.70), well above the 1.25 line. Home team has exceeded 1.5 first half goals in 70% of recent matches, showing a strong early scoring trend. Despite away team's low first half scoring in away matches, the gap and home form support an Over bet.
18-04-2026 13:30	FC Spartak Trnava	-	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half)	83%	Expected 1st half goals total is 0.95 (based on home avg 0.50 scored/conceded and away avg 0.20 scored/0.60 conceded), well below the 1.25 line. History strongly supports Under: 70% of home team's last 10 matches and 80% of away team's last 10 matches had under 1.25 first-half goals, with H2H first-half goals consistently low. Both teams are historically low scorers in the first half, reinforcing the Under signal.
18-04-2026 13:30	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	-	Dunajska Streda	Over 2.5 Goals	88%	Expected total goals 3.30 from home avg 1.70 goals scored at home and away avg 1.80 conceded away, with away team conceding 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches indicating defensive fragility. Home team has 60% of recent matches Over 2.75, away team 80%, and bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.75 for home) aligns with Over direction.
18-04-2026 14:00	Chesham	-	Chelmsford	Over 2.5,3.0 Goals	90%	Expected total goals 3.70 (Chesham home: 2.50 scored, 1.60 conceded; Chelmsford away: 1.70 scored, 1.60 conceded). Chesham's last 6 home matches saw 5 (83%) exceed 2.75 goals, while Chelmsford's last 5 away had 3 (60%) Over. High bookmaker mispricing (Chesham GL_5 2.40, Chelmsford GL_5 1.60) indicates consistent underestimation. Chelmsford conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away, showing defensive fragility.
18-04-2026 14:00	Chippenham Town	-	AFC Hornchurch	Over 2.5 Goals	90%	Expected total goals of 3.2 (home: 1.5 scored, 1.1 conceded; away: 2.1 scored, 1.7 conceded) significantly exceeds the 2.75 line. Away team has 80% of recent away matches Over 2.75, H2H shows 100% Over in three meetings, and strong bookmaker mispricing (away GL_5 2.55) indicates consistent underestimation of goals in their matches.
18-04-2026 14:00	Dag & Red	-	Weston Super Mare	Over 2.5 Goals	73%	Expected total goals of 2.75 from averages (home 1.40 scored/1.80 conceded, away 1.30 scored/1.00 conceded) exceeds the 2.5 line. Weston Super Mare have a 100% Over record in recent away matches (3/3), and Dag & Red show severe bookmaker mispricing with GL_5 2.60 accelerating, indicating consistent underestimation of goals in their matches.
18-04-2026 14:00	Dorking Wanderers	-	Bath City	Over 3.0 Goals	73%	Expected total goals calculated at 3.30 (Dorking avg 1.40 scored at home, Bath avg 2.20 conceded away), above the 3.0 line. Bath City has conceded 2+ goals in 5 consecutive away matches, showing defensive fragility, and the quality gap is significant with Dorking 2nd in the league vs Bath 22nd. Market pricing error for Bath (GL_5 1.60) indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing supporting an Over bet, and H2H includes high-scoring matches like 3-5 and 2-2.
18-04-2026 14:00	Eastbourne Borough	-	AFC Totton	Under 1.25 Goals 1st Half	83%	Expected 1st half goals total is 1.10 based on home avg 0.50 scored and 0.70 conceded, away avg 0.30 scored and 0.70 conceded, below the line of 1.25. Home team has 80% of last 10 matches Under 1.25 first-half goals, away team has 90% Under, and away team failed to score in the first half in all last 6 away matches, with both teams averaging low first-half goals (0.50 and 0.30).
18-04-2026 14:00	Enfield Town	-	Slough	Over 3.0 Goals	68%	Expected total goals 3.20 (home 0.90 scored/1.70 conceded, away 1.30 scored/2.50 conceded) exceeds the 3.0 line. Slough shows severe away defensive fragility, conceding 2+ goals in 5 of last 5 away matches. H2H matches (3-2, 1-1, 1-6) have 2 of 3 over 3.0 goals. Enfield Town's GL_5 of 2.00 indicates strong bookmaker mispricing aligned with the Over direction.
18-04-2026 14:00	Maidenhead Utd	-	Dover	Under 1.5 Goals 1st Half	78%	Expected 1st half goals are 1.15 based on home avg 0.60 scored and 0.30 conceded, away avg 0.50 scored and 0.90 conceded. Both teams show strong Under trends: 80% of home matches (8/10) and 70% of away matches (7/10) have had under 1.5 first-half goals. Structurally, both are low 1st half scorers, and the expected total is 0.35 goals below the 1.5 line, providing a cushion.
18-04-2026 14:00	Torquay	-	Hemel Hempstead	Over 2.5 Goals	81%	Expected total goals is 3.00 based on Torquay averaging 2.20 goals at home and Hemel Hempstead conceding 1.00 away, with Torquay's recent home matches seeing 83% over 2.75 goals and H2H history 75% over. Structural signals include Torquay's form surge (2+ goals in last three home matches) and both teams needing points for playoff positioning, while market pricing error shows mild mispricing accelerating for the home team.
18-04-2026 14:00	Leamington	-	Kidderminster	Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half)	88%	Expected 1st half goals calculated at 1.85 vs line 1.25, driven by Kidderminster's away 1st half scoring avg (1.20) and Leamington's home 1st half conceding avg (1.10). Kidderminster's away matches have gone over 1.25 in 60% of recent games, and Leamington scores 61.53% of their goals in the first 30 minutes. Strong bookmaker mispricing for Leamington (GL_5 2.00) accelerating in the Over direction adds further edge.
18-04-2026 14:00	AFC Telford	-	Darlington 1883	Over 1.0 Goals 1st Half	73%	Expected 1st half goals total 1.25, derived from home scoring 0.90 and away conceding 0.70 on average. AFC Telford's home matches show 83.3% Over 1.5 in the first half, with a strong early scoring pattern (80% of matches). H2H history reveals 100% Over in full-time meetings, reflecting an attacking dynamic.
18-04-2026 14:00	Curzon Ashton	-	Buxton	Buxton -0.5	67%	Buxton is 9th in the league with 67 points, significantly ahead of 19th-placed Curzon Ashton (51 points), indicating a quality gap. Buxton has covered the -0.5 Asian handicap in 7 of their last 10 matches (70%), including recent away wins, while Curzon Ashton has covered +0.5 in only 4 of their last 10 (40%). H2H margins are mixed but do not strongly contradict, with Buxton covering in one of the last two meetings at Curzon Ashton's ground.
18-04-2026 14:00	Hereford FC	-	Radcliffe FC	Over 3.0 Goals	73%	Expected goal total of 3.25 exceeds the 3.0 line, with away team Radcliffe showing defensive fragility by conceding 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches. H2H history strongly supports Over with 75% of matches (3 out of 4) exceeding 3.0 goals, and significant bookmaker mispricing is indicated by Radcliffe's high GL_5 of 2.40, which accelerates from their GL_10 of 1.80.
18-04-2026 14:00	Oxford City	-	Chester	Over 2.5 Goals	73%	Expected total goals calculated at 2.85 from home averages of 1.80 scored and 1.10 conceded at home, and away averages of 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded away. Away team has 60% of recent matches over 2.5 goals, and H2H shows 2 of 3 matches with over 2.5 goals. Home team is in strong form with 2+ goals scored in each of their last three home matches, supporting an open game. Mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 of 1.05 for both teams) aligns with the over direction.
18-04-2026 14:00	Worksop	-	Peterborough Sports	Over 2.5 Goals	74%	Expected total goals is 3.20 (Worksop averages 1.50 scored and 1.60 conceded at home, Peterborough Sports averages 0.90 scored and 2.40 conceded away). Worksop has scored 2+ goals in each of their last three home matches, and Peterborough Sports' away defence is fragile with 2.40 goals conceded on average. Bookmaker mispricing is severe for the away team (GL_5 1.95), indicating consistent underestimation of goals in their matches.
18-04-2026 14:00	Hartlepool	-	Forest Green	Over 1.5 Goals	88%	Expected total goals is 2.75 based on home averages (0.80 scored, 1.60 conceded) and away averages (2.00 scored, 1.10 conceded). Away team has 80% of last 10 matches Over 1.5 goals, and home team's high market pricing error (GL_5 2.45) indicates bookmaker mispricing for goals, aligning with Over. H2H does not veto Over 1.5, with 50% of matches exceeding 1.5 goals.
18-04-2026 14:00	Morecambe	-	Boreham Wood	Over 3.5 Goals	90%	Expected total goals of 4.10 based on home averaging 2.00 scored and 2.10 conceded at home, away averaging 2.50 scored and 1.60 conceded away. Home team has seen over 3.5 goals in 70% of last 10 matches, away team 60%, with away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away). Strong market mispricing for home team (GL_5 2.00) aligns with over direction.
18-04-2026 14:00	Brackley	-	Aldershot	Over 2.5 Goals	73%	Expected total goals is 3.00 based on Brackley averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded at home, and Aldershot averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded away. Aldershot has seen 60% of their last 10 matches go Over 2.5 goals, including conceding 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away games, and the only H2H match finished 2-2. Both teams are in a relegation battle and need points, likely leading to an open attacking game.
18-04-2026 14:00	Stockton Town	-	Lancaster City	Over 2.5 Goals	76%	Expected total goals calculated at 2.80 (home avg 1.30 scored, away avg 1.20 conceded; away avg 1.90 scored, home avg 1.20 conceded) exceeds the line of 2.50. Match history supports Over with 60% of Stockton Town's last 10 matches and 70% of Lancaster City's last 10 matches going Over 2.5 goals. H2H is neutral (1 Over, 1 Under). Home team's goal line market pricing error (GL_5 1.45) shows accelerating mispricing, adding edge to the Over bet.
18-04-2026 14:00	Leek Town	-	Whitby	Over 1.0 Goals 1st Half	68%	Expected 1st half goals: 1.20 based on Leek Town's 0.70 scored/0.50 conceded at home and Whitby's 0.70 scored/0.50 conceded away. Whitby's last 5 away matches saw 4 (80%) produce Over 1.0 first-half goals. Whitby have scored in the first half in 4 of their last 5 away matches, showing consistent early involvement.
18-04-2026 14:00	Gainsborough	-	Prescot Cables	Over 2.5 Goals	67%	Expected total goals 2.50 aligns with the line, but Prescot Cables have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches and show a 60% Over 2.5 rate in their last 10. H2H supports with 2 of 3 meetings going Over, and the quality gap (5th vs 20th) suggests Gainsborough's attacking dominance against a leaky defense.
18-04-2026 14:00	Stratford Town	-	Bromsgrove	Over 2.5 Goals	68%	Expected total goals of 2.80 based on Stratford averaging 1.20 goals scored at home and Bromsgrove conceding 2.50 goals away. Bromsgrove have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches, showing defensive fragility. Stratford's last 5 home matches saw 60% over 2.5 goals, and bookmaker mispricing is moderate for Bromsgrove with a GL_5 of 1.50 supporting over.
18-04-2026 14:00	Royston Town	-	Stamford	Over 2.5 Goals	78%	Expected total goals is 3.15 based on home averaging 0.90 scored and 2.30 conceded at home, and away averaging 1.00 scored and 2.10 conceded away. Both teams show 60% of recent matches Over 2.5 goals, and away team has conceded 2+ goals in all last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility. Bookmaker mispricing is mild with GL_5 of 1.25 for away team accelerating, adding edge to the Over bet.
18-04-2026 14:00	Real Bedford	-	Alvechurch	Over 2.5 Goals	83%	Expected total goals is 3.00 based on home averages (2.00 scored, 0.90 conceded at home) and away averages (1.60 scored, 1.50 conceded away). Both teams show 60% of their last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, and the previous H2H match produced 7 goals. Additionally, the home team has a high bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 of 1.80), indicating consistent underestimation of goals in their matches.
18-04-2026 14:00	Kettering	-	Halesowen	Over 3.0 Goals	80%	Expected total goals calculated from home avg 2.20 scored/0.90 conceded and away avg 2.50 scored/1.30 conceded is 3.45 vs line 3.0. Halesowen's away matches show 4 of last 6 over 3.0 goals (66.7% Over), with defensive fragility conceding 2+ goals in 4 of last 6 away. Bookmaker mispricing signals favor Over with home GL_5 of 2.15 and away GL_5 of 1.70, both aligned with expected total above the line.
18-04-2026 14:00	AFC Sudbury	-	Stourbridge	Over 3.0 Goals	75%	Expected total goals of 3.7 exceeds the line of 3.0, calculated from home averages (1.4 scored, 3.0 conceded) and away averages (1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded). The home team shows severe bookmaker mispricing with a GL_5 of 2.80, indicating consistent underestimation of goals in their matches. Likelihood data supports Over with 75% for Over 2.5, and recent high-scoring games like Kettering 6-0 AFC Sudbury and Stourbridge 3-3 Bromsgrove align with this direction.
18-04-2026 14:00	Plymouth Parkway	-	Hanwell Town	Over 3.0 Goals	68%	Expected total goals is 3.30 (0.30 above the 3.0 line), derived from home team averaging 1.40 goals scored at home and conceding 2.20, and away team averaging 1.70 goals scored away and conceding 1.30. Home team has 3 of last 5 home matches over 3.0 goals (60%), away team has 2 of last 3 away matches over 3.0 (67%), and H2H is neutral with 2 of 4 matches over 3.0. Mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.25 for away team) supports the Over direction.
18-04-2026 14:00	Taunton Town	-	Bracknell Town	Bracknell Town +0.5 Asian Handicap	67%	Bracknell Town sits 11th with 54 points, 10 points above 18th-placed Taunton Town, indicating away team strength. Recent Asian Handicap form supports Bracknell: they have covered +0.5 in 7 of their last 9 away matches (77.8% cover rate), while Taunton has covered -0.5 only once in their last 7 matches and has a poor AH record of 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5.
18-04-2026 14:00	Lewes	-	Wingate & Finchley	Over 2.5 Goals	78%	Expected total goals 3.25 calculated from home averages (scored 1.50, conceded 2.30) and away averages (scored 1.60, conceded 1.10). Home team's recent matches show 9 of 10 over 2.75 goals, and H2H has 3 of 4 matches over 2.75 goals. Away team exhibits mild bookmaker mispricing with a GL_5 error of 1.00, supporting the over direction.
18-04-2026 14:00	Cray Wanderers	-	Welling	Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half)	78%	Expected 1st half total is 0.95 goals based on home 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded at home, and away 0.40 scored and 0.30 conceded away. Home team has seen under 1.25 goals in 80% of recent home first halves (4 of 5), while away team failed to score in the first half in 3 of their last 4 away matches, supporting a low-scoring start. The 0.30-goal gap from the 1.25 line and strong historical alignment justify the under bet.
18-04-2026 14:00	Cheshunt	-	Brentwood Town	Brentwood Town -0.25	67%	Brentwood Town is 4th in the league with 74 points, 24 points above 13th-placed Cheshunt, indicating a significant quality gap. They have covered the -0.25 handicap in 4 of their last 5 away matches, demonstrating strong away form. Despite the last H2H being a draw, Brentwood's away performance and league position support them covering the handicap here.
18-04-2026 14:00	Billericay Town	-	Whitehawk	Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)	81%	Expected 1st half goals are 2.15 based on home averaging 1.30 goals scored in the first half at home and away conceding 1.50 in the first half away. Home has 60% of last 10 matches Over 1.5 in the first half, away has 70%. Structurally, Billericay Town is 3rd in the league with strong attacking form, while Whitehawk has defensive fragility, conceding 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches. No contradicting H2H data for the first half.
18-04-2026 14:00	Aveley	-	Carshalton Ath	Carshalton Ath +1.25 Asian Handicap	67%	Carshalton Ath has covered +1.25 in all of their last 4 away matches, losing by exactly 1 goal in three and drawing once, while Aveley has failed to cover -1.25 in 3 of their last 4 home matches. Common opponents like Billericay Town show Carshalton Ath losing by only 1 goal (covering +1.25) compared to Aveley's loss by 1 (not covering -1.25). Despite the standings gap (Aveley 2nd with 80 points, Carshalton Ath 18th with 40 points), recent margin history strongly supports the away team keeping the game within one goal.
18-04-2026 14:00	Ross County	-	Ayr	Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half)	65%	Expected first-half goals total is 1.35, based on Ross County averaging 0.50 scored and 1.20 conceded at home in the first half, and Ayr averaging 0.30 scored and 0.70 conceded away in the first half. Ross County's last four home matches have all seen over 1.0 first-half goals (totals: 3, 3, 2, 1), indicating a strong early-scoring trend. Additionally, moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.60 for Ross County) aligns with the over direction given the expected total above the line.
18-04-2026 14:00	Arbroath	-	Raith	Over 2.0 Goals	81%	Expected total goals 2.30 from home avg 1.10 scored/1.20 conceded and away avg 1.30 scored/1.00 conceded. H2H shows 4/4 matches Over 2.0 (100%), and home/away match history indicates 60%+ Over for both teams. Strong bookmaker mispricing for Arbroath (GL_5 1.90) aligns with Over direction.
18-04-2026 14:00	Stirling	-	Elgin	Over 10 Corners	65%	Expected total corners (10.05) slightly exceeds the line of 10, with Stirling's home corner history showing 60% Over 10 and H2H corners at 75% Over 10. The quality gap of 8 places between teams supports sustained attacking pressure, favoring corner accumulation.
18-04-2026 14:00	Annan Athletic	-	Spartans	Under 1.5 Goals 1st Half	73%	Expected 1st half goals are only 0.95 based on home and away averages (0.90 and 0.50 scored, 0.30 and 0.20 conceded). Spartans failed to score in the 1st half in 3 of their last 4 away matches, and both teams show low 1st half scoring trends. Away 1st half history has 75% of matches under 1.25 goals, supporting the Under pick.
18-04-2026 14:00	Montrose	-	Hamilton	Over 2.5 Goals	85%	Expected total goals calculated at 3.15 based on Montrose averaging 1.70 scored and 2.10 conceded at home, and Hamilton averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded away. Both teams have seen 60% of their last 10 matches exceed 2.5 goals, and the quality gap with Montrose 3rd versus Hamilton 17th suggests sustained attacking pressure. Severe bookmaker mispricing in Montrose's matches (GL_5 of 2.55) further supports an Over bet.
18-04-2026 14:00	Inverness CT	-	Kelty Hearts	Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half)	78%	Expected 1st half goals are 1.00 (home scores 0.80 avg, away concedes 0.50 avg in first half), below the 1.25 line. History shows 75% of Inverness CT's home matches and 80% of Kelty Hearts' away matches had under 1.25 first-half goals, with both teams averaging low first-half scoring (0.80 and 0.30 goals). Bookmaker mispricing is minimal with GL_5 below 1.0 for both teams.
18-04-2026 14:00	Reading	-	Cardiff	Over 9.5 Corners	85%	Expected corner total is 10.95, calculated from home avg 3.5 corners at home and away avg 9.6 corners away, well above the 9.5 line. Cardiff's away matches have seen 100% Over 9.5 corners (6/6), and H2H matches show 75% Over (3/4), while Reading's home matches are 50% Over (2/4), not contradicting the Over signal.
18-04-2026 14:00	Leyton Orient	-	Rotherham	Over 9.5 Corners	73%	Expected total corners is 9.80 based on home averages of 4.70 corners scored and 5.30 conceded, and away averages of 4.20 scored and 5.40 conceded. Leyton Orient's last 4 home matches saw 75% Over 9.5 corners (13, 10, 15, 9 totals), while Rotherham's last 5 away matches had 60% Over (12, 10, 11, 8, 5). H2H matches consistently produced high corner totals (14, 10, 11 all Over). Structural signals include Rotherham conceding 5.40 corners on average away, indicating defensive vulnerability.
18-04-2026 14:00	Stevenage	-	Lincoln City	Over 0.75 Goals 1st Half	78%	Expected 1st half goals are 1.05 based on home 0.40 scored/0.40 conceded and away 1.10 scored/0.20 conceded, well above the 0.75 line. Home team has seen Over 0.75 in 60% of recent home first halves (3 of 5), while away team has Over 0.75 in 80% of recent away first halves (4 of 5), with Lincoln scoring in 90% of away first halves this season. No H2H first half data contradicts, and structural signals support early scoring.
18-04-2026 14:00	AFC Wimbledon	-	Plymouth	Over 10.0 Corners	70%	Expected total corners 10.30 exceeds the line of 10.0, derived from home avg 6.80 corners at home and away avg 6.00 corners away. Recent corner history shows 67% of home matches and 60% of away matches Over 10.0 corners, with H2H corners 75% Over (3 of 4 matches). Structural support from both teams' consistent corner production.
18-04-2026 14:00	Mansfield	-	Luton	Over 2.5 Goals	76%	Expected total goals are 2.75 based on home averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded at home, and away averaging 1.90 scored and 1.20 conceded away. Home matches show 60% Over 2.5 (3 of 5), away matches show 75% Over 2.5 (3 of 4), and bookmaker mispricing is high with home GL_5 at 1.75, indicating edge for Over given the expected total exceeds the line.
18-04-2026 14:00	AD Marco 09	-	AD Fafe	Under 2.5 Goals	81%	Expected total goals (2.15) based on home avg 0.60 scored and 1.30 conceded, away avg 1.30 scored and 1.10 conceded. H2H shows 100% Under (three matches: 1-1, 1-1, 0-0). Home and away match history align with Under: 70% of home matches and 60% of away matches finished with under 2.25 goals. Away team failed to score in 3 of last 4 away matches, and bookmaker mispricing is moderate for away team (GL_5 1.70) with expected total below the line.
18-04-2026 14:00	Dinamo Zagreb	-	HNK Rijeka	Over 2.5 Goals	80%	Dinamo Zagreb averages 4.20 goals scored at home, and HNK Rijeka concedes 1.30 goals away, with an expected total of 3.95 goals above the 2.75 line. Home team has 9 of last 10 matches over 2.5 goals, and severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 of 3.55) supports Over. Despite H2H under trend, Dinamo's current attacking form and league dominance justify the pick.
18-04-2026 14:00	Ramsgate	-	Hashtag United	Over 1.0,1.5 Goals (1st Half)	65%	Expected 1st half goals total is 1.50 based on home averages (0.40 scored, 0.60 conceded) and away averages (1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded). Hashtag United's away matches have seen over 1.0 first-half goals in 60% of recent games, and they have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility. The 1st half line offers value with the expected total matching the higher bound of the Asian line.
18-04-2026 14:00	Glenavon	-	Crusaders	Over 2.5 Goals	90%	Expected total goals of 3.80 from home avg 1.40 scored/conceded and away avg 1.40 scored/3.20 conceded, with Crusaders' away matches 80% Over 2.5 in last 5 and H2H 75% Over. Strong bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.85 for Crusaders) aligns with Over direction.
18-04-2026 14:00	Linfield	-	Coleraine	Over 2.5 Goals	73%	Expected goals total is 3.05 (Linfield avg 2.30 home goals, Coleraine avg 2.10 away goals) versus the 2.5 line. H2H history shows 3 of 4 matches had over 2.5 goals, and Coleraine's high market pricing error (GL_5 1.80) indicates consistent bookmaker underestimation of goals in their matches.
18-04-2026 14:00	Antwerp	-	OH Leuven	Over 10.0 Corners	70%	Expected total corners calculated at 10.80 from home averages (4.40 scored, 4.60 conceded) and away averages (6.00 scored, 6.60 conceded). OH Leuven's recent matches show over 10.0 corners in 8 of their last 10 games, and they concede an average of 6.60 corners away, indicating sustained defensive pressure and high corner potential. The line is set at 10.0, offering value with a 0.80 corner gap.
18-04-2026 14:00	Omonia Nicosia	-	Apoel Nicosia	Over 2.5 Goals	71%	Expected total goals calculated at 2.95 from home averages (1.80 scored, 0.80 conceded) and away averages (1.60 scored, 1.70 conceded), well above the 2.5 line. Away team has seen 75% of recent away matches exceed 2.5 goals, and the home team's top-of-table dominance provides structural support for Over. H2H results are neutral, and bookmaker mispricing is mild with GL_5 of 1.05 for the away team.
18-04-2026 14:00	ASM Oran	-	MC Saida	Under 2.0 Goals	84%	Expected total goals 1.80 is below the 2.0 line, reinforced by home team keeping 70% of last 10 matches under 2.0 goals (including 3 clean sheets in last 5 home games) and away team 80% under with a scoring drought of only 1 goal in last 5 away matches. H2H history averages 2.25 goals but shows 50% under 2.0, aligning with the low-scoring trend.
18-04-2026 14:00	Forfar	-	East Kilbride	Forfar +0.25 Asian Handicap (1st Half)	67%	Forfar has covered the +0.25 handicap in all 5 recent home matches at half-time (100%), including a 1-0 lead against East Kilbride on 11/04/26. Common opponents like Spartans, Elgin, Clyde, and Annan Athletic show Forfar covering in similar home situations, while East Kilbride covered only 50% of recent away matches with -0.25. With standings even (both 12 points), the home side offers value.
18-04-2026 14:00	Clydebank FC	-	Caledonian Braves	Over 3 Goals	90%	Home team averages 2.20 goals at home while away team averages 2.70 goals away, leading to an expected total of 4.25 goals vs the 3.0 line. Recent match history shows 67% of home games and 100% of away games exceeding 3 goals, with the lone H2H match totaling 5 goals. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate (GL_5 1.75 for home, 1.50 for away) and accelerating for home, indicating value on Over.
18-04-2026 14:00	Cowdenbeath	-	Hearts B	Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half)	65%	Expected 1st half goals are 1.60 based on home avg 0.70 goals scored and away avg 1.20 goals conceded in the first half, exceeding the line of 1.25. Home team has seen Over 1.25 in 66.7% of recent home matches (2 of 3), while away team has 60% Over rate in away matches (3 of 5). Away team's defensive fragility in the first half, conceding 1.20 avg goals away, supports an Over bet.

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