| 01-05-2026 14:00 |
Caykur Rizespor |
- |
Konyaspor |
Konyaspor +0.25 Asian Handicap |
75% |
Konyaspor have an outstanding Asian Handicap record, covering in all of their last 5 matches (5-0), and are unbeaten in the last 4 H2H meetings (2 draws, 2 wins). Their away form is strong with 3 wins in the last 5 away fixtures, while Rizespor have struggled to secure a win against Konyaspor historically, making the +0.25 handicap a high-confidence selection. |
|
| 01-05-2026 14:00 |
Trofense |
- |
Amarante |
Over 0.75 1st Half Goals |
75% |
Expected 1st half total is 0.90 (home avg 0.30+away conceded 0.40)/2 + (away avg 0.60+home conceded 0.50)/2 = 0.35+0.55=0.90, above the line of 0.75. Trofense's last 5 home matches saw 4 of 5 1st halves over (80%), while Amarante's last 4 away matches saw all 4 1st halves over (100%). Structural quality gap (Amarante top vs Trofense bottom) favors early pressure. H2H full-time is low-scoring but no HT data available. Mild mispricing (GL_5 1.15/1.25) does not add major edge. |
|
| 01-05-2026 14:15 |
Al-Rayyan SC |
- |
Al-Wakrah SC |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected full-time goals 3.50 surpass the 3.25 line, driven by Al-Rayyan's 2.40 home avg and Al-Wakrah's 2.40 away avg and 1.50 conceded away. Al-Wakrah's last 3 away matches all went over 2.5 goals (totals 5,3,4), H2H has 3 of 4 meetings with 3+ goals, and the quality gap (3rd vs 8th) supports an open game. Away team's GL_5 of 1.50 indicates mild bookmaker mispricing. |
|
| 01-05-2026 14:30 |
Septemvri Sofia |
- |
Montana |
Under 2.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total is 1.65 goals (Septemvri home avg 0.60, Montana away avg 0.20, home conceded 1.50, away conceded 1.00), well below the 2.25 line. H2H history shows all 4 matches under 2.5 goals (100% unanimity). Both teams have 60% of recent matches under 2.5 goals, and the home team's GL_5 of 1.70 indicates the market overestimates goals. Combined with the structural weakness of two relegation-threatened sides, the Under is strongly supported. |
|
| 01-05-2026 15:00 |
SK Super Nova |
- |
FK Auda |
Over 2.5 Goals |
73% |
Expected total goals 2.75 (home avg 1.00 + away conceded away 1.30)/2 + (away avg 1.80 + home conceded 1.40)/2 = 2.75, exceeding the 2.5 line. FK Auda's last 5 matches went Over 2.5 in 80% of games, and 3 of 4 head-to-head meetings also went Over (75%). Market pricing error is mild but accelerating (home GL_5 1.25, away 1.15), adding slight edge for the Over side. |
|
| 01-05-2026 15:00 |
FK Dziugas Telsiai |
- |
Hegelmann Litauen |
Over 2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total goals 2.30 (Dziugas home avg 1.20 + Hegelmann away conceded 1.20 vs Hegelmann away scored 1.10 + Dziugas home conceded 1.10) slightly above the 2.25 line, with 2/3 home and 3/5 away matches going Over. Bookmaker mispricing is high for both teams (Dziugas GL5 1.60, Hegelmann GL5 1.90, accelerating), and the quality gap (3rd vs 8th) supports Over. 1st half line (1.0) was weaker with only 1/3 home HT Over, so FT Over is the stronger pick. |
|
| 01-05-2026 15:00 |
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna |
- |
Avia Swidnik |
1st Half Over 1.25 Goals |
67% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.60 goals (home avg 0.70 + away conceded 0.70, away avg 0.70 + home conceded 1.10, averaged), 0.35 above the 1.25 line. Away's away matches show 66.7% (2/3) over 1.25 in 1st half, while home's home matches are 50% (3/6). The massive quality gap (1st vs 15th) favours early Avia Swidnik pressure, and away GL_5 mispricing of 1.20 aligns with the Over direction. |
|
| 01-05-2026 15:00 |
SK Prostejov |
- |
SK Artis Brno |
Over 2.5 Goals |
70% |
Expected total 2.75 (home avg 1.0 at home, away conceded away 1.6, away scored away 1.5, home conceded at home 1.4) exceeds the 2.5 line by 0.25. SK Prostejov have gone Over 2.5 in 4 of their last 5 home matches (80%), and SK Artis Brno average 1.5 goals away while Prostejov concede 1.4 at home, pointing to a goals-friendly matchup. The quality gap (14th vs 3rd) further supports attacking intent, and home market pricing error (GL_5 1.15) indicates mild bookmaker mispricing on the Over side. |
|
| 01-05-2026 15:00 |
Granada Women |
- |
Tenerife Women |
Under 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 1.85 (home avg 1.60 + away avg 1.30, both conceding 0.40) is far below the 2.5 line. Home team has 5/5 home matches under 2.5, away team also 5/5 away matches under 2.5, both 100% agreement. H2H is neutral (only 1 match, 2-2). Bookmaker mispricing is low (Granada GL_5 1.15, Tenerife GL_5 1.25). Likelihood shows 85% chance of Under 2.5. Combined with strong defensive records, the Under is well-supported. |
|
| 01-05-2026 15:00 |
FK Babrungas |
- |
BFA Vilnius |
Over 2.5 Goals |
72% |
Expected total (2.80) slightly above 2.75 line, built from: Babrungas home avg 2.40 scored & 0.50 conceded, BFA Vilnius away avg 1.00 scored & 1.70 conceded (calc: (2.40+1.70)/2 + (1.00+0.50)/2 = 2.80). Home match history: 3 of last 5 home matches Over 2.5 (60%). Away match history: 2 of last 3 away matches Over 2.5 (67%). H2H: 3 of 4 meetings Over 2.5 (75%). Bookmaker mispricing is strong for away team (GL_5=1.95, accelerating), adding partial edge for Over. Likelihood data also supports Over 2.5 at 70%. |
|
| 01-05-2026 15:00 |
FC Spaeri |
- |
Torpedo Kutaisi |
Over 2.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 2.70 (Spaeri home avg 1.50, Torpedo away conceding 0.90; Torpedo away scoring 1.80, Spaeri home conceding 1.20) vs line 2.5. Home history 3/5 Over (60%), H2H 2/3 Over (66%). Bookmaker mispricing strong: Torpedo GL_5 1.85 (accelerating), making the over side undervalued. Prefer Over per philosophy. |
|
| 01-05-2026 15:00 |
NK Grobnican |
- |
NK Kustosija |
NK Grobnican +1 (Asian Handicap) |
67% |
Grobnican covers +1 in 6/6 recent home matches and 3/4 H2H matches (75%). Kustosija has failed to cover -1 in 0/4 away matches, indicating the handicap is too high. Against common opponent Jadran LP, Grobnican won 2-0 while Kustosija lost 0-2, further supporting home side cover. Standings gap (2nd vs 9th) is neutral due to Kustosija's poor away cover record. |
|
| 01-05-2026 15:00 |
ASM Oran |
- |
RC Kouba |
ASM Oran Asian Handicap -0.25 |
67% |
ASM Oran are 3rd in the West with a formidable home record (10-3-1, +17 goal difference). They've won their last 4 home matches by 1-0 or 3-2, covering the -0.25 line every time. RC Kouba are 5th and have covered +0.25 in just 2.5 of 5 recent away games (50% effective rate). The H2H at Stade Habib Bouakeul saw ASM Oran win 1-0. Home AH record is 3-2-0 in last 5, and the modest market mispricing (home GL_5 1.35) supports the advantage, giving a 67% confidence edge. |
|
| 01-05-2026 15:00 |
ES Hammam Sousse |
- |
Sfax Railways |
Over 0.75 Goals (1st Half) |
78% |
Expected 1st half total (1.25 = (0.80 home avg scored HT + 0.30 away conceded HT away)/2 + (1.00 away avg scored HT away + 0.40 home conceded HT home)/2) exceeds the 0.75 line by 0.5. Home team's last 6 home matches saw 4/6 first halves over 0.75 (67%), and Sfax Railways' last 6 away matches also had 4/6 (67%) over, indicating consistent early scoring patterns. H2H only one match but that first half had 1 goal. Bookmaker mispricing is low (home GL_5 0.70, away 0.90), but structural support from match history and expected gap yields strong value. |
|
| 01-05-2026 16:00 |
Viking FK |
- |
Rosenborg |
Over 11 Asian Corners |
82% |
Viking home corners 5.70 and conceded 6.60, Rosenborg away corners 8.20 and conceded 6.20 give expected total 13.35, well above the 11 line. H2H corners split 2-2 but structural quality gap (Viking 2nd, Rosenborg 13th) favours sustained pressure. Away corner variance (GL_5 = 5.80) indicates severe bookmaker mispricing, adding +12% to confidence. Home history 50% Over 11 but combined with expected edge yields 82% confidence. |
|
| 01-05-2026 16:00 |
Puszcza Niepolomice |
- |
Znicz Pruszków |
Over 2.25 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 2.80 (home avg 1.90, away conceded away 1.40; away avg 1.10, home conceded home 1.20) exceeds line 2.25 by 0.55 goals. Puszcza have 80% (8/10) of recent matches Over, Znicz 50% (5/10), H2H 3-0 supports. Likelihood 65% for Over 2.5. Market mispricing mild (away GL_5 1.45). Confidence 73%. |
|
| 01-05-2026 16:00 |
FC Stadlau |
- |
FC 1980 Wien |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
65% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.55 goals (home avg 0.40, away conceded avg 1.10; away avg 0.90, home conceded avg 0.70), 0.30 above the 1.25 line. FC 1980 Wien's GL_5 of 1.70 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing in favor of overs. The quality gap (14th vs 4th) and away team's strong scoring form (avg 2.40 goals FT away) support early goals, though HT history is mixed. Edge from structural context and variance outweighs neutral H2H (no HT H2H data). |
|
| 01-05-2026 16:00 |
Al Ahli Amman |
- |
Al-Baqa'a |
Over 2.5 Goals |
72% |
Expected goals 3.05 (home 1.20 avg at home, away 2.20 avg conceded away, away 1.50 avg scored away, home 1.20 avg conceded at home) exceeds the 2.5 line. Al-Baqa'a has gone Over 2.5 in 8 of their last 10 matches (80%) and concedes 2.20 goals per away game, a structural defensive fragility. Although H2H shows 3 Under in 4 meetings, the away team's severe market mispricing (GL_5 2.70, accelerating) indicates the bookmaker consistently underestimates goals in Al-Baqa'a matches, supporting the Over side. |
|
| 01-05-2026 16:00 |
Akritas Chlorakas |
- |
Ethnikos Achnas |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half total is exactly 1.00 (Akritas home HT avg 0.20 scored, 0.70 conceded; Ethnikos away HT avg 0.60 scored, 0.50 conceded). In home matches, Akritas' 1st half total went under 1.0 in 3 of 4 (75%), while Ethnikos' away 1st half total went under in all 5 matches (100%). Both teams are low 1st half scorers and in relegation with negative goal differences, providing strong structural support for an under bet. |
|
| 01-05-2026 16:00 |
Olympiakos Nicosia |
- |
Omonia Aradippou |
Omonia Aradippou +0.25 Asian Handicap |
75% |
Omonia Aradippou has covered the +0.25 line in all 4 away matches (100%) and in 3 of 4 H2H (75%). Standings gap (36 vs 31 points) and common opponent results (AEL, Ethnikos, Akritas) consistently favor away. Olympiakos Nicosia's home AH form is poor (1 cover in 4). Bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.35 home) is marginal, but structural signals strongly support the away side. |
|
| 01-05-2026 16:00 |
Buri Cultural SC |
- |
Etehad Al Reef |
Over 2.5 Goals |
73% |
Expected full-time total of 3.15 (Buri's home avg 1.70 scored, 1.90 conceded; Etehad's away avg 0.50 scored, 2.20 conceded) is 0.65 goals above the 2.5 line. Despite Buri's home Over rate (2/4) being only 50%, the structural weakness of Etehad away (league-worst away defence, conceding 2.2 per game) and accelerating bookmaker mispricing on Etehad (GL_5=1.80 vs GL_10=1.38) strongly favour an Over outcome. The lone H2H (Under) is an insufficient sample to override. |
|
| 01-05-2026 16:00 |
Isa Town |
- |
Umm Al Hassam |
Umm Al Hassam +0 (Asian Handicap) |
65% |
Umm Al Hassam are 6th (26 pts) vs Isa Town 9th (16 pts), a clear standings gap. Away from home, Umm Al Hassam have covered the +0 line in 4 of their last 4 away matches (100%), with 1 win and 3 draws. H2H is split (50% cover for the away side), so confidence is moderate at 65%. |
|
| 01-05-2026 16:00 |
Busaiteen |
- |
Al Tadamun Buri |
Under 2.5 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 2.45 below 2.75 line. H2H 4/4 under (all under 2.5). Away team scoreless in 10 away matches; home team failed to score in 3 of last 4 full home matches. Scoring drought and defensive H2H qualify under. Moderate away GL_5 (1.50) adds edge. |
|
| 01-05-2026 16:00 |
Middelfart |
- |
Aarhus Fremad |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.25 (home avg 0.90 + away conceded 1.00 vs away avg 1.40 + home conceded 3.20) exceeds line 2.75. Home history: 4/5 (80%) Over last 5 home matches. H2H: 3/4 (75%) Over. Bookmaker mispricing is high (home GL_5=2.35, accelerating) and aligns with Over. Structural quality gap (Aarhus Fremad 3rd vs Middelfart 6th) adds to Over signal. |
|
| 01-05-2026 16:10 |
Al-Arabi Al-Saudi |
- |
Al Jubail Club |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.05 (home avg 0.80 + away conceded 2.10 adjusted + away avg 0.70 + home conceded 2.50 adjusted) exceeds line 2.75. Home last 5 home matches: 4/5 Over (80%), away last 5 away: 3/5 Over (60%). H2H: 2/3 Over. Structural: Al Jubail conceded 2+ in 4/5 away (fragile). Mispricing mild (home GL_5 1.20, away 0.90) so no extra edge. Confidence capped at standard ceiling 82%. |
|
| 01-05-2026 16:45 |
Al Ain SCC |
- |
Al Wahda Abu Dhabi |
Al Ain SCC -0.5 |
75% |
Al Ain SCC (1st, 59pts) host Al Wahda (5th, 39pts), a significant quality gap. Al Ain's recent AH record is exceptional: 5-0-0 in last 5 and covered -0.5 in 8 of last 9 league matches (including 4 wins by 2+ goals). H2H is mixed but home dominance and structural edge outweigh, giving confidence in the -0.5 line. |
|
| 01-05-2026 17:00 |
Zawisza Bydgoszcz |
- |
Flota Swinoujscie |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.65 (home avg 2.10 at home + away conceded avg 2.80 away, away avg 1.50 away + home conceded avg 0.90 at home) clears the 3.0 line by 0.65 goals. Flota's recent matches show 75% Over (6/8), and Zawisza's high home scoring (2.10 avg) meets weak away defence (2.80 conceded). Bookmaker mispricing is severe: GL_5 of 2.70 (home) and 2.50 (away) both accelerate from 10-game baselines, confirming the market systematically underestimates goals in this matchup. The only H2H sample is small (2 matches, both under) and is overridden by the structural away defensive fragility and strong variance signals. |
|
| 01-05-2026 17:00 |
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK |
- |
Besiktas |
Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
70% |
Besiktas have failed to score in the 1st half in each of their last 4 away matches (0 HT goals), while Gaziantep scored in only 2 of their last 5 home halves. Expected 1st half total is 1.00 goals, below the line of 1.25. H2H full-time matches have gone under 3.0 in 3 of the last 4 meetings. Away team's goal line variance (GL_5=1.65, accelerating) indicates persistent bookmaker mispricing, adding confidence to the under side. |
|
| 01-05-2026 17:00 |
Brondby |
- |
FC Nordsjaelland |
Under 3.25 Goals |
85% |
Expected total goals 2.35 (Brondby home avg 1.00, conceded 1.10; Nordsjaelland away avg 1.50, conceded 1.10) is well below the 3.25 line. Home team has gone under in 8 of last 10, away team 9 of last 10, and H2H is 75% under (3 of 4). Structural support from Brondby's 3 clean sheets in last 5 home games adds confidence. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (home GL_5 1.15, away GL_5 0.80), not overriding the strong Under alignment. |
|
| 01-05-2026 17:00 |
AaB |
- |
Hobro IK |
AaB Asian Handicap 0 |
65% |
AaB sit 1st in the relegation group (41 pts) vs Hobro's 2nd (34 pts) and have won 4 of their last 5 matches (80% cover at AH 0). Their home record is strong (7-3-3) while Hobro away is 6-4-4, and H2H results are mixed (1 win each, 2 draws). With a 7-point standings gap and recent form edge, AaB have a solid chance to win at odds of 1.85. |
|
| 01-05-2026 17:00 |
Vendsyssel FF |
- |
Thisted FC |
Asian Handicap: Vendsyssel -0.75 |
73% |
Vendsyssel's dominant home record (9-0-3 in promotion round) and 75% Asian handicap cover rate in last 5 matches (3-1-1) support covering -0.75. They've won both recent H2H encounters (2-1, 1-0) and hold a 6-point standings gap over Thisted, who have struggled away (6-2-4) with only 20% FT over goal line history. Market pricing error is mild (GL_5 1.30/1.45), so the edge comes from structural quality and form. |
|
| 01-05-2026 17:00 |
Hellerup IK |
- |
Naestved |
Over 2.75 Goals |
85% |
Expected total (3.30) exceeds line (2.75) by 0.55 goals, driven by Hellerup conceding 3.00 at home and Naestved scoring 1.50 away. Home Over rate 75% (3/4) and away Over rate 80% (4/5) in recent role-specific matches, with H2H 75% Over. Structural signal: Naestved conceded 2+ in 4/5 away matches. Moderate bookmaker mispricing on away side (GL_5=1.70) adds edge. |
|
| 01-05-2026 17:00 |
Al Gharafa |
- |
Umm Salal |
Over 3.25 Goals |
78% |
Expected total goals calculated at 3.50, above the 3.25 line, driven by Al Gharafa's leaky home defense (conceding 2.40 per game) and Umm Salal's strong away scoring (1.70 per game). H2H history strongly supports over with 3 of last 4 meetings exceeding 3.25 goals. Additionally, bookmaker mispricing is severe for Al Gharafa (GL_5=1.90, accelerating), indicating consistent underestimation of goals in their matches. |
|
| 01-05-2026 17:00 |
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich |
- |
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia |
Over 2.25 Goals |
70% |
Expected total 2.65 (home avg 0.70 + away conceded 1.60 /2 + away avg 1.50 + home conceded 1.50 /2) vs line 2.25 gives a 0.40 goal gap. Home team's last 5 home matches went Over 2.25 in 3/5 (60%) and away team's last 5 away matches also 3/5 (60%). Additionally, away team Lokomotiv has conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (home GL_5=1.00, away GL_5=1.25), not a major factor but direction aligns. |
|
| 01-05-2026 17:00 |
AaB |
- |
Hobro IK |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
75% |
Expected HT total 1.20 vs line 1.0; but AaB's home HT went Under in 3/5 (60%) and Hobro's away HT Under in 4/5 (80%). H2H HT (2 matches) both had <1 goal. AaB also failed to score in HT in 3 of last 5 home games. Bookmaker mispricing is high (AaB GL_5=1.95) but aligns with Over, not this pick, so no edge added. Structural low-scoring pattern supports Under 1.0 at 2.05 odds. |
|
| 01-05-2026 17:30 |
Wiener Sportclub |
- |
FC Marchfeld Donauauen |
Over 2.75 Goals |
72% |
Wiener Sportclub averages 1.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded at home, while FC Marchfeld Donauauen averages 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded away, giving an expected total of 3.55 goals, well above the 2.75 line. The away side has gone Over in 4 of its last 4 away matches, and despite a weak H2H record (1 Over in 4), Marchfeld's recent attacking form (2.6 goals per away game) justifies the Over. Additionally, GL_5 mispricing of 1.85 for Marchfeld indicates the bookmaker consistently underestimates goals in their matches, adding further edge. |
|
| 01-05-2026 17:30 |
Stade Nyonnais |
- |
Wil 1900 |
|
79% |
Wil 1900 have covered +0 in all last 5 away matches (3 wins, 2 draws), while Stade Nyonnais have only 1 win in last 5 home games. H2H shows Wil unbeaten in 3 of the last 4 meetings (2 wins, 1 draw). Stade Nyonnais have severe AH mispricing (GL_5 2.15), indicating inconsistency. Standings gap of 6 points further favors Wil 1900. |
|
| 01-05-2026 17:50 |
Al Draih |
- |
Abha |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.25 goals (Al Draih home avg 2.50, Abha away avg conceded 0.80; Abha away avg 1.90, Al Draih home conceded 1.30) exceeds the 2.5 line by 0.75. Recent form strongly supports: Al Draih 4/5 home matches Over 2.5, Abha 4/5 away matches Over 2.5. H2H saw 3 goals in the only meeting. Both teams are top-two with strong attacking records, creating an open, high-scoring contest. Bookmaker mispricing is low (GL_5 <1.0), but structural signals confirm the Over. |
|
| 01-05-2026 18:00 |
Zalaegerszegi TE |
- |
Puskas Academy |
Asian Handicap: Zalaegerszegi TE -0.25 |
67% |
Zalaegerszegi are 4th (48 pts) vs Puskas 6th (42 pts), with a strong home record: 5 straight home wins covering -0.25. H2H at ZTE Arena shows 2 wins in 2 meetings, reinforcing home advantage. |
|
| 01-05-2026 18:00 |
Benfica Women |
- |
Sporting Women |
Over 2.75 Goals |
69% |
Benfica Women average 3.00 goals at home and concede only 0.60, while Sporting Women average 1.50 away and concede 0.70, yielding an expected total of 2.90, above the 2.75 line. Benfica have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 matches (70%) and Sporting in 6 of 10 (60%), with H2H split 2-2. Benfica's strong attacking form (scored 2+ in each of last 5 home games) supports the Over, and bookmaker mispricing is mild (GL_5 home 1.05, away 1.10) so no extra edge. |
|
| 01-05-2026 18:00 |
24 de Setiembre |
- |
CS Limpeno |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.30 goals (home avg 1.50 + away conceded away avg 2.90 /2 plus away avg scored 1.20 + home conceded 1.00 /2) exceeds line 2.75. CS Limpeno conceded 2+ goals in 6 of last 7 away matches, and their goal line variance of 2.65 indicates severe bookmaker mispricing accelerating. H2H supports Over with 2 of 3 meetings going over 2.5 goals. |
|
| 01-05-2026 18:15 |
Neuchatel Xamax |
- |
Aarau |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
68% |
Expected 1st half total 1.60 (home 0.60 HT avg + away 0.80 HT avg adjusted) exceeds line 1.25 by 0.35. Despite modest 40% Over histories for both teams, strong bookmaker mispricing supports Over: Aarau's GL_5 is 2.30 (accelerating) and Xamax's is 1.60, both aligning with an Over outcome. Additionally, Aarau's away attacking strength (2.30 FT avg) and the quality gap favour early goals, making the 1st half line underpriced. |
|
| 01-05-2026 18:30 |
Gornik Leczna |
- |
Slask Wroclaw |
Over 2.75 Goals |
74% |
Expected total goals 3.05 (home avg 1.40 + away conceded 1.30 averaged with away scored 2.30 + home conceded 1.10) exceed the 2.75 line. Slask Wroclaw have gone Over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 away matches (83%) and their GL_5 of 1.50 indicates the market consistently underprices goals in their games. Structural factors strongly support Over: Slask are 2nd in the league against 16th-placed Gornik, and they have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches, suggesting an open contest. |
|
| 01-05-2026 18:45 |
Raith |
- |
Ross County |
Under 9.5 Asian Corners |
85% |
Expected total corners is 8.6, below the 9.5 line (home avg 4.2, away avg 4.5 vs conceded 4.3 and 4.2). Raith have gone under 9.5 in 3 of 4 home matches (75%), Ross County under in 4 of 5 away (80%). H2H corners are under in 3 of 4 meetings, confirming a tight tactical pattern. With strong historical alignment across both sides and H2H support, the Under 9.5 corners bet offers solid value despite the Over-first philosophy default. |
|
| 01-05-2026 18:45 |
Morton |
- |
Airdrieonians |
Over 10 Corners |
75% |
Expected corners of 10.65 (Morton home avg 4.20, concede 6.00; Airdrieonians away avg 5.40, concede 5.70) exceed the line of 10. H2H corners have gone Over in 3 of 4 meetings (75%), and Morton's asian corner variance of 2.50 signals severe bookmaker mispricing on the Over side. Combined with away likelihood of 90% Over 10 corners, the Over bet has a strong edge. |
|
| 01-05-2026 18:45 |
Dunfermline |
- |
Arbroath |
Over 2.5 Goals |
70% |
Expected total is 2.15 (Dunfermline home avg 1.80, Arbroath away conceded avg 0.90; Arbroath away avg 0.70, Dunfermline home conceded avg 0.90), but H2H history shows 4/4 matches over 2.5 (totals 6,3,5,5) and Dunfermline's last 5 home matches saw 4/5 over 2.5 (80%). Arbroath's GL_5 of 1.80 signals strong bookmaker mispricing, and with both teams in playoff contention, an open game is expected. |
|
| 01-05-2026 18:45 |
Ayr |
- |
St Johnstone |
Over 9.5 Corners |
65% |
Expected total corners 9.25 (Ayr home average 5.2, conceded 3.6; St Johnstone away average 6.9, conceded 2.8) is within 0.25 of the 9.5 line, and both teams show 60% Over in recent matches (3/5 each). The structural quality gap (1st vs 7th) means St Johnstone will dominate attacking play and earn sustained corners, pushing the total over the line. |
|
| 01-05-2026 18:45 |
Partick |
- |
Queen's Park |
Under 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 1.75 goals (Partick home avg 1.30 scored, 0.70 conceded; Queen's Park away avg 0.60 scored, 0.90 conceded) is well below the 2.5 line. Recent form supports Under: Partick went Under 2.5 in 6 of 10 matches (60%), Queen's Park in 9 of 10 (90%), and Queen's Park failed to score in 6 of their last 10 overall. Market pricing error is mild (GL_5 1.30 and 1.00), leaving the line unbiased, but the structural scoring drought and poor away record make Under the higher-confidence play. |
|
| 01-05-2026 18:45 |
Dundalk |
- |
Shelbourne |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.55 (home avg 2.10 scored at home + away avg 2.10 conceded away) exceeds line 2.5 by 1.05 goals. Dundalk last 5 home: 3 of 5 Over (60%), Shelbourne away last 4: 3 of 4 Over (75%). H2H (4 matches) shows 3 of 4 Over. Away team's GL_5 of 2.45 (strong) overlapping with a quality gap (3rd vs 8th) and strong home form momentum push confidence to 82%. |
|
| 01-05-2026 18:45 |
Athlone Town |
- |
Kerry FC |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 2.65 goals (home avg 1.10 + away conceded 1.60)/2 + (away avg 1.10 + home conceded 1.50)/2 exceeds line 2.25. H2H 3 of 4 meetings at Kerry's home went over 2.25. Kerry conceded 2+ in 4 of its last 5 away matches, a structural over signal. Quality gap: Athlone 4th vs Kerry 9th. Market mispricing mild (away GL_5 1.05). Confidence 73% supports this pick. |
|
| 01-05-2026 18:45 |
Cork City |
- |
Cobh Ramblers |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Cork City average 2.10 goals scored at home and concede 0.80, Cobh Ramblers average 1.30 scored away and concede 1.10, yielding an expected total of 2.65 against a 2.5 line. Cork's home matches have gone Over 2.5 in 5 of 6 (83%) and Cobh's away matches in 3 of 5 (60%). H2H is neutral at 2-2. Structural signals: Cork are 1st vs Cobh 6th, and Cobh have conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away matches. Notably, Cork's GL_5 of 1.70 indicates moderate and accelerating bookmaker mispricing, adding further edge to the Over. |
|
| 01-05-2026 18:45 |
Galway United |
- |
St Patricks |
Over 10 Asian Corners |
84% |
Expected total corners of 10.50 (Galway home avg 5.10, St Patricks away avg 5.90, home conceded 6.40, away conceded 3.60) exceeds the line of 10. Home corner history shows 75% Over (3/4 matches), away history 75% Over (3/4), and all 4 H2H meetings produced 12+ corners (12,14,21,17), strongly supporting Over. The quality gap between 1st-placed St Patricks and 6th-placed Galway adds structural edge for sustained attacking pressure and corner generation. |
|
| 01-05-2026 18:45 |
Wexford FC |
- |
Finn Harps |
|
75% |
Wexford (3rd, 19pts) host Finn Harps (8th, 11pts) with a clear quality gap. Wexford's AH record at home is perfect last 5 (5-0-0) and they have covered -0.75 in 4 of their last 5 home matches (80%), while Finn Harps have covered only 2 of their last 5 away AH bets (40%). Common opponents (UCD, Bray, Treaty, Kerry, Cobh, Athlone) consistently favour Wexford, who took more points and better margins. H2H margins are mixed (2 covers in 4) but the structural advantage in standings, recent form, and home dominance outweigh that, with GL_5 variance mild (1.05 each) not affecting the pick. |
|
| 01-05-2026 18:45 |
Bray Wanderers |
- |
Treaty United FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 2.60 goals based on Bray's home average (1.20 scored, 1.30 conceded) and Treaty's away average (0.90 scored, 1.80 conceded). Bray are 5/5 (100%) Over 2.5 at home; Treaty are 3/5 (60%) Over 2.5 away. Away defensive fragility is strong (Treaty conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away). Bookmaker mispricing is mild but accelerating for Treaty (GL_5 1.45). |
|
| 01-05-2026 18:45 |
Pisa |
- |
Lecce |
1st Half Over 0.5,1.0 Goals |
65% |
Expected 1st half total is 0.95, calculated from Pisa's home HT average of 0.20 and Lecce's away HT conceded average of 0.60, plus Lecce's away HT average of 0.40 and Pisa's home HT conceded average of 0.70. Both teams show 60% of their last 5 relevant matches going Over the 0.75 line (Pisa home: 3/5, Lecce away: 3/5), supporting an Over bet. H2H 1st half data is lacking so no veto applies. Market pricing error is mild (Pisa GL5=1.20, Lecce GL5=0.90) so no adjustment, but the structural gap and history align for a modest edge. |
|
| 01-05-2026 18:45 |
Cercle Brugge |
- |
Zulte-Waregem |
Over 3.0 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 3.10 goals based on Cercle's 1.80 home scoring average, Zulte's 1.50 away conceded, Zulte's 1.60 away scoring and Cercle's 1.30 home conceded. Cercle have 80% of last 10 matches and 100% of last 5 home matches going over 3 goals, Zulte have 60% over. Both teams need points in a relegation battle, favouring an open game. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (GL_5 1.15 home, 1.05 away), providing no extra edge but not conflicting. |
|
| 01-05-2026 19:00 |
Girona |
- |
Mallorca |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 2.70 exceeds the 2.5 line (calculated from Girona home avg 1.40 GF/1.30 GA and Mallorca away avg 1.30 GF/1.40 GA). Girona's last 5 home matches have 4/5 (80%) Over 2.5, and Mallorca's last 4 away have 3/4 (75%) Over 2.5. Mallorca have conceded 2+ goals in all 4 away matches (defensive fragility). Girona's market mispricing is accelerating (GL_5 1.50 vs GL_10 1.15), adding +5% edge for the Over direction. |
|
| 01-05-2026 19:00 |
Motagua Reserves |
- |
CD Choloma Reserves |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 4.25 (home avg 2.50 at home, away concede 3.20 away) well above typical 3.25 line. Home GL_5 mispricing at 3.20 (severe, accelerating) and away at 1.85 (moderate) both favour Over. Motagua scored 2+ in 4 of last 5 home matches; Choloma conceded 3+ in 4 of last 5 away. H2H 1-2, 1-0, 2-2 mixed but recent form and structural defensive fragility point strongly Over. |
|
| 01-05-2026 19:15 |
Throttur Reykjavik |
- |
IR Reykjavik |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 4.65 goals (home avg 2.40, away conceded 2.30, away scored 2.10, home conceded 2.50) far exceeds the 3.25 line. Throttur's last 7 matches have 6 Overs (86%), IR Reykjavik's last 10 have 7 Overs (70%), and IR's away vulnerability to 2+ goals in 5 straight matches plus strong bookmaker mispricing (away GL_5=1.85) reinforce the Over. |
|
| 01-05-2026 19:30 |
Sporting B |
- |
Benfica B |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
75% |
Expected 1st half goals total is 1.10 (home HT avg 0.30, conceded 0.80; away HT avg 0.60, conceded 0.50), just above the 1.0 line but with weak historical Over support. Both Sporting B at home (4/5 Under 1.0 HT, 80%) and Benfica B away (4/5 Under 1.0 HT, 80%) show consistent low-scoring first halves, with scoring droughts (Sporting B failed to score HT in 3/5 home, Benfica B in 4/5 away). Structural trend and high historical Under rate favor this side at 2.00 odds. |
|
| 01-05-2026 20:30 |
Llaneros Women |
- |
Junior Women |
Under 2.25 Goals |
75% |
Expected full-time goals 2.35 (home avg 0.80 at home + away conceded 1.90 away divided by 2 plus away avg 0.90 away + home conceded 1.10 at home divided by 2) slightly above line 2.25, but three H2H matches all ended Under (0-0,1-0,2-0), home team has 5/5 home matches Under 2.25, away team failed to score in 3 of last 4 away matches (scoring drought), and home team kept 4 clean sheets in last 5 home matches. Two strong structural reasons (away attack drought, home defense) plus unanimous H2H underpin the Under pick despite mild market mispricing (away GL_5 1.45 not direction-aligned). |
|
| 01-05-2026 20:30 |
Atletico Nacional Women |
- |
Independiente Medellin Women |
Over 2.25 Goals |
74% |
Expected total goals 2.75 (home avg 1.90 at home plus away conceded 1.50 away, away avg 1.40 away plus home conceded 0.70 at home) exceeds the line of 2.25 by 0.5 goals. Home team has gone Over in 3 of 4 recent home matches (75%), while away team has 2 of 4 away matches Over (50%), meeting the Over criteria. Home team also scored 2+ in each of their last 3 home games, showing form momentum. Market pricing error is mild (home GL_5 1.30, away GL_5 1.25), providing marginal edge. |
|
| 01-05-2026 20:45 |
Sportivo Trinidense |
- |
2 de Mayo |
Over 2.25 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 2.85 goals (home avg 1.60 + away conceded away 2.10 /2 + away avg 0.90 + home conceded 1.10 /2) exceeds the 2.25 line. Home team has 4 of last 6 home matches over the line (67%) and has scored 2+ in each of its last 3 home games. Away team conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away matches and allows 5.1 shots on target away, indicating structural defensive fragility. H2H is evenly split but does not override the strong directional signals. Market mispricing (away GL_5 1.20) is mild and aligned with the over. |
|
| 01-05-2026 20:45 |
Sportivo Trinidense |
- |
2 de Mayo |
Over 2.25 Goals |
76% |
Sportivo Trinidense averages 1.60 goals at home and 2 de Mayo concedes 2.10 away, yielding an expected total of 2.85 vs the line of 2.25. 4 of 6 home matches for Trinidense (67%) and 3 of 6 away matches for 2 de Mayo (50%) have gone over this line, while 2 de Mayo have conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away games (strong Over signal). The away team's GL_5 of 1.20 indicates mild bookmaker mispricing on the over side. |
|
| 01-05-2026 21:00 |
Zacatecoluca FC |
- |
Inter FA |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.20 (Zacatecoluca concede 2.6 at home, Inter FA score 1.3 away) exceeds 2.5 line by 0.7 goals. Home history 4/5 Over 2.5, away 3/5 Over, H2H 3/4 Over. Severe bookmaker mispricing for home side (GL_5 2.20) and structural quality gap (12th vs 3rd) reinforce the Over. |
|
| 01-05-2026 21:15 |
Real Potosi |
- |
Real Oruro |
Over 2.75 Goals |
77% |
Expected total goals (3.45) exceeds the line (2.75) by 0.7, driven by Real Oruro's away defensive vulnerability (conceding 2.80 avg, 100% Over in last 4 away games) and Real Potosi's home attacking capability (1.40 avg scored at home). Both teams are near the relegation zone, encouraging open play. Market mispricing is mild (away GL_5 1.45), adding no extra edge but direction supports the Over. |
|
| 01-05-2026 23:00 |
DC Power Women |
- |
Dallas Trinity Women |
Under 1.0 Goals 1st Half |
78% |
Expected 1st half goals 0.95 is below the 1.0 line. DC Power failed to score in the 1st half in 3 of their last 5 home matches (60%), while Dallas Trinity failed to score in the 1st half in 4 of their last 5 away matches (80%). Both teams' 1st half match history shows 80% Under 1.0, and likelihood supports Under (75% chance). These two structural signals confirm the Under. No market mispricing (GL_5 < 1.0 for both). |
|
| 01-05-2026 23:00 |
Richmond Kickers |
- |
Westchester SC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.15 (Richmond 1.30+1.80/2=1.55, Westchester 1.90+1.30/2=1.60) well above the 2.75 line. Home have 60% Over in last 5 home games, away 80% Over in last 5 all games, and H2H shows 2/3 Over. Westchester's GL_5 of 2.25 indicates strong bookmaker mispricing, and they have conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 matches, adding structural Over support. |
|
| 01-05-2026 23:00 |
Libertad Asuncion |
- |
Sportivo San Lorenzo |
Over 2.5 Goals |
67% |
Expected goals total 2.55 (home avg 1.00 at home + away conceded 1.40 away blended with away scored 0.80 + home conceded 1.90) vs line 2.5, with H2H 3/3 all Over (7-0, 2-1, 2-1) and San Lorenzo conceding 2+ in 3 of last 5 away. Away GL_5 variance at 1.50 (moderate, accelerating) adds edge. Home history only 50% Over but structural signals support Over. |
|
