| 16-05-2026 13:00 |
SK Bischofshofen |
- |
FC Lauterach |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.00 (home avg 2.30 scored, 1.30 conceded; away avg 1.80 scored, 2.60 conceded) exceeds 3.25 line. Both teams' recent Over rates are strong (Bischofshofen 60%, Lauterach 71%) and H2H both Over. Structural gap (6th vs 15th) and away defensive fragility (2.6 goals conceded away) support Over. Away team GL_5 mispricing of 1.9 (accelerating) further adds edge. Standard ceiling applied. |
|
| 16-05-2026 13:00 |
GAIS |
- |
Degerfors |
Over 2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total is 3.00 goals (GAIS 1.70 home scored + Degerfors 1.60 away conceded averaged with Degerfors 1.30 away scored + GAIS 1.40 home conceded). GAIS home matches have 3/5 Over 2.5 (60%), Degerfors away matches 2/3 Over (67%), and the sole H2H ended 3-0. Both teams are level on points in mid-table, likely pushing for an open game, and the 0.5-goal gap above the line supports an Over bet. |
|
| 16-05-2026 13:00 |
SK Super Nova |
- |
Ogre United |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 2.9 (home 1.0 avg scored at home, away 2.4 avg conceded away) exceeds line 2.5; both teams have 60% Over in last 10 matches; away Ogre conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (defensive fragility); Ogre's GL_5 of 2.50 indicates severe bookmaker mispricing accelerating towards goals; H2H match ended 1-2 (3 goals) supporting Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 13:00 |
FC Nordsjaelland Women |
- |
HB Koge Women |
Over 1.0,1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
69% |
Expected 1st-half total (1.70) exceeds the line (1.25) by 0.45 goals, driven by FC Nordsjaelland's home 1st-half average of 1.50 goals and HB Koge's 0.30 conceded. Home team's 1st-half Over rate at home is 4/6 (66.7%), and away team's 1st-half Over rate away is 3/5 (60%), both supporting the Over. FC Nordsjaelland's recent home form (3-1, 6-0, 4-1) includes multiple first-half goals, and the over-first philosophy favors this bet given the structural advantage. |
|
| 16-05-2026 13:30 |
Excelsior Maassluis |
- |
Almere City Reserves |
Over 3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected total goals of 3.60 (based on home avg 1.20, away avg conceded 2.30, away avg scored 1.60, home avg conceded 2.10) exceeds the 3.0 line, with match potential of 6.37 further supporting Over. Home team has 60% of last 10 matches exceeding 3 goals, while away team has 50%, meeting the threshold. Structural weakness: Almere City Reserves conceded 2+ goals in their last 5 overall matches, reinforcing the Over outlook. Market pricing error is mild (GL_5 home 1.40, away 1.10), adding marginal confidence. |
|
| 16-05-2026 13:30 |
ACV Assen |
- |
Koninklijke HFC |
Over 10.0 Asian Corners |
80% |
Expected total corners 11.4 (home avg 4.60 + conceded 5.70, away avg 2.90 + conceded 9.60) exceeds line of 10.0. Away team (Koninklijke HFC) has 70% of last 10 matches over 10 corners, while home is neutral at 50%. Away concedes 9.6 corners per away game (defensive fragility) and both teams need points in a relegation battle, driving open play. Away corner variance is high (4.80), indicating bookmaker mispricing. Strong structural and historical support for Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 13:30 |
SC Freiburg |
- |
RB Leipzig |
RB Leipzig 0 Asian Handicap |
75% |
Leipzig (3rd, 65 pts) holds a clear structural advantage over Freiburg (7th, 44 pts), with recent form covering a pick'em in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%). The only H2H meeting this season was a 2-0 Leipzig win, and common opponents like Hamburg (Leipzig won 2-1 away, Freiburg lost 3-2 away) further support the away side. This gives the Asian Handicap bet at evens strong expected value. |
|
| 16-05-2026 13:30 |
Bayer Leverkusen |
- |
Hamburg |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
76% |
Expected 1st half goals 1.75 (home avg 1.10, away avg 0.70, adjusted by conceded) exceed the 1.5 line. Leverkusen have 3/5 home 1st halves Over (60%) and Hamburg 4/5 away 1st halves Over (80%). Only H2H match had 0-0 HT, but sample limited. Quality gap (6th vs 11th) and Hamburg's weak away defence (3/5 conceded 2+ in 1st half) add structural support for an early goal. |
|
| 16-05-2026 14:00 |
Hegelmann Litauen |
- |
Suduva Marijampole |
Over 2.0, 2.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total goals 2.55 (home avg 1.20 at home, away concedes 1.00 away; away avg 1.40 away, home concedes 1.50 at home) exceeds the split line of 2.0,2.5. Home team's last 10 matches saw 70% with 2+ goals, away team also 70%, and H2H has 75% with 2+ goals. No strong market mispricing (GL5 home 1.40, away 1.05). Over bet preferred per system's bias. |
|
| 16-05-2026 14:00 |
Fredrikstad |
- |
Ham-Kam |
Over 2.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total 3.35 (home avg 1.40 + away conceded 1.60)/2 + (away avg 1.60 + home conceded 2.10)/2 exceeds line 2.75. Home has 75% Over in last 4 home matches (3/4), away 50% Over away (2/4). Away GL_5 of 1.35 indicates mild bookmaker mispricing accelerating. H2H only 2 matches (both Under 2.5) but low sample, treated neutral. Over bet preferred per philosophy. |
|
| 16-05-2026 14:00 |
Arendal |
- |
Jerv |
Over 3.0 Goals |
71% |
Expected total goals of 3.20 (Arendal home avg 1.20 conceded 2.10, Jerv away avg 2.00 conceded 1.10) exceeds the 3.0 line by 0.20. Jerv's away match history shows 2 of 3 matches over 3.0, and H2H has 2 of 3 over, with Jerv scoring 3+ in each of their last 3 away games. The quality gap (Jerv 3rd vs Arendal 12th) and open game context further support Over. Market pricing error is moderate (home GL_5 1.45, away 1.20), adding slight edge. |
|
| 16-05-2026 14:00 |
HPS |
- |
Atlantis |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time goals total 4.75 (HPS averages 1.70 at home vs Atlantis conceding 2.90 away, plus Atlantis scores 2.80 away vs HPS conceding 2.10 at home) well above the goal line of 3.0. Atlantis has gone over 3.0 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches (83%), and HPS in 4 of 7 overall (57%), comfortably meeting the over threshold. Away team GL_5 of 1.75 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing, adding edge to the over side. |
|
| 16-05-2026 14:00 |
Shamrock Rovers Women |
- |
Bohemians Dublin Women |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.85 goals (home avg 2.90 scored, away avg 2.30 conceded, away avg 1.50 scored, home avg 1.00 conceded) exceeds the 3.25 line by 0.60 goals. Bohemians Dublin have conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 4 away matches, signaling defensive fragility. Market mispricing is strong (GL_5 home 1.75, away 2.35 and accelerating), and Shamrock Rovers are heavy favorites, creating sustained attacking pressure. H2H shows high-scoring potential (2-2, 1-0 in two meetings). |
|
| 16-05-2026 14:00 |
LAC Inter |
- |
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
76% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.40 (home avg 0.90 + away conceded 0.60 averaged vs away scored 0.60 + home conceded 0.70, calculated as (0.90+0.60)/2 + (0.60+0.70)/2). Despite being 0.1 below the 1.5 line, LAC Inter's home 1st half history shows 3/3 (100%) matches over 1.5, and they score in the first half in 80% of home games. SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility. The quality gap (LAC Inter 4th, Gerasdorf 7th) adds attacking pressure. Likelihood data gives 60% for Over 1.5 HT. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate (home GL_5=1.50) but not decisive; the structural signals and home first-half dominance drive the pick. |
|
| 16-05-2026 14:00 |
Lecco U19 |
- |
Pisa U19 |
Over 3.0, 3.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 3.75 (Lecco 2.10 avg home goals vs Pisa 1.50 avg away conceded + Pisa 1.90 avg away vs Lecco 2.00 home conceded) exceeds the 3.25 effective line. Home history: 4/6 Lecco matches over 3.0 (66%), away: 3/4 Pisa matches over 3.0 (75%). Likelihood supports with 80% Over 2.5 and 50% Over 3.5, giving solid Over edge. |
|
| 16-05-2026 14:00 |
FK Kokand 1912 |
- |
AGMK |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 2.70 exceeds the 2.25 line, driven by home averaging 1.00 goals at home and 1.40 conceded, while away scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50 away. Combined history shows 60% of Kokand's last 5 and 80% of AGMK's last 5 went over the line; AGMK's weak away defense (conceded 2+ in 2 of 3 away) adds structural support. Market mispricing is strong: AGMK's GL_5 of 2.15 (accelerating from 1.65) signals consistent bookmaker underestimation of goals. |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:00 |
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz |
- |
FC Brno |
Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.10 goals (home 0.70 HT average at home + away 0.70 HT average away, adjusted by conceded), well below the 1.25 line. Home team failed to score in 5/6 home HT matches (83% under) and away team failed to score in 4/5 away HT matches (80% under), both strong structural under signals. Home team's GL_5 of 1.80 indicates bookmaker mispricing that aligns with the under direction, adding confidence. |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:00 |
Ceske Budejovice |
- |
MFK Chrudim |
Under 1.25 Goals 1st Half |
77% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.20 (home HT avg 0.7+away conceded HT avg 0.4 = 1.1/2=0.55; away HT avg 0.6+home conceded HT avg 0.7=1.3/2=0.65) vs line 1.25. Home team's last 4 home matches: 75% (3/4) Under HT 1.25. Away team's last 4 away matches: 75% (3/4) Under HT 1.25, with MFK Chrudim failing to score in the first half in all 4 away matches, a structural signal for low 1st half goals. |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:00 |
Hohenems |
- |
SV Wals-Grünau |
Over 3.0/3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.00 goals (Hohenems 1.90 at home + SV Wals 2.30 away) exceeds the 3.25 line. Home has 60% (3/5) of last home matches over 3.5, away 50% (2/4). H2H 3-3 supports Over. Structural signals: away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 away, home scored 2+ in last 3 home. Home GL_5 of 1.90 indicates strong bookmaker mispricing, adding edge to Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:00 |
SC Wiener Viktoria |
- |
FC Marchfeld Donauauen |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total FT goals 3.05 (home avg 1.40 at home + away avg 1.65) beats bookmaker line 2.75. Home team has 4/5 (80%) of recent home matches over 2.75 goals; away team has 4/4 (100%) of recent away matches over 2.75. Away defensive fragility is structural: Marchfeld conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 away games. H2H is neutral (2 matches, split 1-1 on total goals). Bookmaker mispricing is mild (home GL_5 1.30, away 1.20) but direction aligns with Over. All signals point to a high-scoring game. |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:00 |
Shelbourne Women |
- |
Galway Women |
Over 2.5 Goals (Asian 2.5,3.0) |
81% |
Expected total goals (2.80) slightly exceeds the 2.75 line, but strongly supported by recent form: Shelbourne Women hit Over in 4 of last 5 (80%) and Galway Women also in 4 of last 5 (80%). Home team averages 1.70 goals scored and concedes 1.10 at home, away team averages 2.20 scored and concedes 0.60 away. Only one H2H saw 3 goals. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate for home side (GL_5 = 1.60, accelerating from 1.33), adding edge. Shot-based match potential (6.96) also supports Over. Structural signals include strong home attacking form (scored 2+ in 3 of last 4 home matches). |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:00 |
AS Trencin |
- |
FC Kosice |
Over 9.5 Corners |
80% |
Expected corners total of 10.55 (home avg 4.10+away conceded 4.40)/2 + (away avg 5.20+home conceded 7.40)/2 exceeds the line of 9.5. Home team has 8/10 recent matches over 9.5 (80%), away team 6/10 (60%), and all 3 H2H matches went over 9.5 (100%). Home team concedes 7.4 corners per home game, indicating sustained pressure and corner opportunities. Strong historical and H2H alignment supports Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:00 |
MFK Karvina |
- |
Sigma Olomouc |
Over 2.5, 3.0 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 2.95 (Karvina home avg 1.60, conceded 1.50; Sigma away avg 1.30, conceded 1.50) exceeds the 2.75 line by 0.20. Karvina has 6/6 (100%) home matches Over and Sigma 3/4 (75%) away matches Over the line, both strongly supporting the Over. H2H is neutral (2 matches, 1 Over, 1 Under). Likelihood data shows 80% probability of Over 2.5, reinforcing the pick. Market pricing error is low (GL_5 home 0.50, away 1.25), so no further edge. Confidence built from base 50% + gap +5% + home history +10% + away history +8% + likelihood +3% = 76%, meeting the threshold. |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:15 |
Debreceni VSC |
- |
Ujpest |
Over 3.0 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 3.15 (home 1.60 scored at home, away 1.70 conceded away; away 1.70 scored away, home 1.30 conceded at home) slightly above 3.0 line. Both teams have high bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 2.05, away GL_5 2.15) suggesting systematic under‑pricing of goals. Ujpest have conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 4 away matches (75%), a strong structural Over signal. Recent H2H produced 7 goals. Despite weak historical Over rates (30% each), the odds‑implied line is too low given the quality gap and defensive vulnerabilities, making Over 3.0 the best value. |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:30 |
CF Os Belenenses |
- |
CD Mafra |
Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.60 (home avg 1.00 HT + away concede 0.80 HT + away avg 0.80 HT + home concede 0.60 HT) vs the 1.0 line. Belenenses have gone Over 1.0 in 3 of their last 4 home 1st halves (75%), and H2H 1st halves are 2/3 Over (67%). Structurally, Mafra have conceded 2+ goals in all 4 recent away matches, and their goal line mispricing (GL5=1.70, accelerating) adds edge to the Over. Confidence capped at 82% (standard ceiling due to away 1st half history at 50%). |
|
| 16-05-2026 15:30 |
NK Uljanik |
- |
NK Uskok |
Over 2.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total of 2.60 goals (home avg 1.60 at home + away concede 0.80 away; away avg 1.30 away + home concede 1.50 at home) exceeds the line of 2.5. Home team has gone Over 2.5 in 9 of last 10 matches (90%), while away team is 5/10 (50%). Bookmaker mispricing for away team (GL_5=1.95) is strong and accelerating, supporting an Over bet despite a small gap from the line. |
|
| 16-05-2026 16:00 |
JK Nomme United II |
- |
FC Elva |
Over 3.75 Goals |
71% |
Expected total (3.85) exceeds the 3.75 line, driven by home averaging 2.10 goals at home and away conceding 1.80 away. Home match history shows 70% (7/10) of games going over 3.75, while away's last 5 away matches saw 3+ goals conceded in 3 of them (defensive fragility). The only H2H ended 1-3 (4 goals). Away team's GL_5 of 1.65 (accelerating from 1.45) indicates bookmaker mispricing in the Over direction. Likelihood for Over 3.5 at 60% adds further support. |
|
| 16-05-2026 16:00 |
JK Tallinna Kalev II |
- |
Johvi FC Phoenix |
Over 4.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 4.85 goals (home avg 1.70 scored, 2.80 conceded; away avg 2.50 scored, 2.70 conceded) exceeds the 4.25 line by 0.60. Home team has 80% Over in last 5 home matches (4 of 5). Away team's last 3 away matches all saw 2+ goals conceded (defensive fragility). Bookmaker mispricing on away team (GL_5=2.25, accelerating) adds further edge. Structural signals and over‑first philosophy support the Over pick. |
|
| 16-05-2026 16:00 |
CA Atlanta |
- |
Atletico Rafaela |
Over 1.75 Goals |
71% |
Expected total goals is 2.15 (home avg 1.30 + away conceded 0.90 averaged with away avg 1.10 + home conceded 1.00), exceeding the line of 1.75. CA Atlanta's last 10 matches had 70% over the line (7 of 10), while Atletico Rafaela had 50%. Bookmaker mispricing on Rafaela's goal line is accelerating (GL_5 1.65 vs GL_10 1.18), adding edge to the Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 16:00 |
Winterthur |
- |
Lucerne |
Over 10.0 Asian Corners |
82% |
Expected corners 10.45 exceeds the line of 10.0, supported by Lucerne's 60% Over history in recent matches. Structural factors (quality gap, both teams needing points) and severe bookmaker mispricing on corners (Winterthur variance_ac_5=3.10, accelerating) add significant edge. H2H corners are neutral. Confident Over corners at 82%. |
|
| 16-05-2026 16:15 |
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
- |
Hajduk Split |
Over 2.75 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 2.65 is just below the 2.75 line but within 0.15, favoring Over per philosophy. Lokomotiva's last 4 home matches saw 3 Over (75%) and Hajduk's last 5 away had 3 Over (60%). H2H is 2 of 3 Over (67%). Hajduk's GL_5 of 1.50 shows moderate bookmaker mispricing, though direction is ambiguous. Structural quality gap (2nd vs 6th) and Hajduk's strong away scoring (1.8 avg) support goal potential. |
|
| 16-05-2026 17:30 |
Gent Women |
- |
Genk Women |
Over 2.75 Goals |
73% |
Expected full-time total 2.95 (home 1.20 + away 1.90 averages method) above 2.75 line. Away team's recent matches 60% Over (6/10) and H2H 75% Over (3/4) support direction. Both sides have moderate bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.70, away GL_5 1.65) accelerating, increasing edge for Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 18:00 |
FK Backa Topola |
- |
Radnicki Nis |
Over 2.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected total of 3.05 goals (Backa Topola averaging 2.10 scored at home, Radnicki Nis 1.10 scored away) exceeds the 2.5 line by 0.55. Backa Topola's home matches have 4/6 (67%) Over 2.5, and their goal line market pricing error (GL_5=2.30) indicates severe bookmaker mispricing in favour of goals. Additionally, Radnicki Nis have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches, adding structural support for an Over. |
|
| 16-05-2026 19:00 |
Paris FC Women |
- |
PSG Women |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals calculated as (2.50+0.90)/2 + (1.90+1.10)/2 = 3.20, exceeding the 2.5 line by 0.7 goals. Paris FC Women have scored 2+ in each of their last 5 home matches and all 5 recent games went over 2.5. PSG Women have 60% over 2.5 in their last 5, and head-to-head shows 2 of 3 meetings also over. Home team's GL_5 of 1.45 signals mild bookmaker mispricing supporting over. Confidence of 82% capped by standard evidence tier. |
|
| 16-05-2026 22:00 |
Richmond Kickers |
- |
Charleston Battery |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
78% |
Richmond concede 1.10 at home and Charleston score 1.60 away, producing an expected total of 2.70 goals, 0.45 above the 2.25 line. Charleston have gone over 2.5 in 7 of their last 10 matches (70%) and conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away, exposing defensive fragility. The quality gap from the higher-division Charleston further supports an open match with goals. |
|
| 16-05-2026 23:30 |
Fort Wayne FC |
- |
Indy Eleven |
Over 2.5 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 2.80 goals (home avg 1.10 + away conceded away 1.30)/2 + (away avg 1.70 + home conceded 1.50)/2 exceeds the 2.5 line. Indy Eleven show 80% (8/10) of recent matches Over 2.5, while Fort Wayne FC have 57% (4/7). No H2H data available. Market pricing error is low (GL_5 0.95 for both teams), and no structural defensive fragility is apparent. The combination of expected total above the line and strong away history supports Over 2.5. |
|
| 17-05-2026 17:00 |
Leixoes |
- |
Lusitania Lourosa |
Leixoes -0.25 Asian Handicap |
72% |
Leixoes (7th, 47 pts) host Lusitania (10th, 43 pts). Leixoes have covered -0.25 in 4 of last 5 matches (80%) and hold a 70% AH win rate over 10 games. Against 8 common opponents, Leixoes outperformed Lusitania (5-1-2 vs 2-3-3). The standings gap and strong AH record support this handicap. |
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