| 15-04-2026 22:00 |
Central Cordoba SdE Reserves |
- |
Defensa y Justicia Reserves |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
90% |
Expected goals total of 3.50 based on home avg 1.10 scored and 2.20 conceded at home, away avg 2.20 scored and 1.50 conceded away. Home team has 70% of last 10 matches Over 2.25, away team 60%. Away team conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility. H2H shows 2 of 4 matches Over 2.25. Severe bookmaker mispricing with away team GL_5 of 2.60 strongly favoring Over. |
|
| 15-04-2026 22:00 |
EC Agua Santa |
- |
XV Piracicaba |
Over 2.0 Goals |
84% |
Expected total goals is 2.85 based on home averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded at home, and away averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded away. Recent match history shows 70% of home team's last 10 matches and 60% of away team's last 10 matches Over 2.0 goals. Despite H2H being 75% Under (3 of 4 matches), bookmaker mispricing is high (GL_5 of 1.90 for home and 1.65 for away) with both pointing to Over value given the expected total above the line. |
|
| 15-04-2026 22:00 |
Fluminense PI |
- |
CRB |
Over 2.25 Goals |
67% |
Expected total goals calculated at 2.85 from home avg 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded at home, and away avg 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded away. Both teams' recent match history shows 40% of matches over 2.25 goals, with no scoring droughts. Bookmaker mispricing for away team (GL_5 of 1.75) indicates moderate mispricing favoring Over, as expected total exceeds the line by 0.60 goals. |
|
| 15-04-2026 22:00 |
Caracas |
- |
Independiente Petrolero |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
90% |
Expected total goals 3.0 based on Caracas averaging 1.0 goals scored at home and Independiente Petrolero conceding 2.2 away. Recent matches show 4 of 6 Caracas home games and 3 of 4 Independiente away games had over 2.5 goals, with Independiente conceding 2+ in 3 of last 4 away. Moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.60) for Caracas accelerating and aligning with Over. |
|
| 15-04-2026 22:00 |
Libertad Asuncion |
- |
Rosario Central |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
75% |
Expected 1st half goals are 0.90 based on home avg 0.60 scored/conceded and away avg 0.20 scored/0.70 conceded. Home team has scored only 2 first-half goals in last 5 home matches (40% over 1.0), while away team failed to score in first half in 4 of last 5 away matches (80% under 1.0). Both teams have low first-half scoring averages, and structural signals support a tight first half. |
|
| 15-04-2026 22:00 |
Racing Club |
- |
Botafogo |
Over 2.25 Goals |
73% |
Expected total goals 2.55 from Racing Club's 1.20 home scoring avg and Botafogo's 1.80 away conceding avg, with Botafogo's last 4 away matches all Over 2.25 (100%). Bookmaker mispricing on Botafogo (GL_5 1.75 accelerating) adds edge, and structural factors like Botafogo's high shots conceded (5.00 on target away) support Over despite low-scoring H2H history (2 matches). |
|
| 15-04-2026 22:00 |
Cruzeiro |
- |
Universidad Catolica |
Over 2.5 Goals |
85% |
Expected total goals calculated at 3.15 based on Cruzeiro's 1.30 goals scored at home and 1.20 conceded, plus Universidad Catolica's 2.20 goals scored away and 1.60 conceded. Universidad Catolica's recent matches show 80% Over 2.5 goals, and strong bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.50) aligns with the Over direction, indicating value. Home team's match history is neutral at 50% Over, but away team's high-scoring away form (2.20 avg goals) and defensive vulnerabilities support an Over outcome. |
|
| 15-04-2026 22:00 |
Cruzeiro |
- |
Universidad Catolica |
Over 2.5 Goals |
84% |
Expected total goals of 3.15 exceeds the line of 2.5, derived from Cruzeiro averaging 1.30 goals scored at home and Universidad Catolica averaging 2.20 goals scored away, with both teams conceding 1.20-1.60 on average. Away team's recent away matches show 60% Over 2.5 goals (3 of 5), and home team's home matches show 50% Over (3 of 6). Strong bookmaker mispricing for away team with GL_5 of 2.50 indicates consistent underestimation of goals in their matches, accelerating from GL_10 of 1.90. |
|
| 15-04-2026 23:00 |
Argentino Quilmes |
- |
San Martin De Burzaco |
San Martin De Burzaco +0.25 Asian Handicap |
68% |
San Martin De Burzaco sits 8th with 14 points, 7 clear of 19th-placed Argentino Quilmes, and they have covered the +0.25 handicap in 8 of their last 10 matches (80% cover rate). Argentino Quilmes has covered the -0.25 line in only 1 of their last 10 (10% cover rate). Head-to-head margins are neutral (2 covers in 4 matches). |
|
| 15-04-2026 23:30 |
Charlotte FC |
- |
Charlotte Independence |
Over 3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected total goals calculated at 3.1 based on home avg 1.40 scored and away avg 1.60 conceded, combined with away team's 80% Over 3.0 goals rate in recent matches. Structural quality gap with MLS-side Charlotte FC facing USL League One opposition favors attacking play, while home team's form includes 3 wins in last 5 with 13 goals scored. Bookmaker mispricing is strong (GL_5 2.05 for home team) and accelerating, though mixed with expected total slightly below line, the Over-first approach and away team's trend support this bet. |
|
| 16-04-2026 00:00 |
Guastatoya |
- |
Antigua GFC |
Antigua GFC +0.25 |
67% |
Antigua GFC holds a higher league position (4th with 30 points) than Guastatoya (8th with 25 points) and has won all four recent head-to-head matches, including a 2-0 victory earlier this season. Their Asian Handicap record shows a 60% cover rate in the last 5 matches, and with a +0.25 handicap, they are well-positioned to avoid defeat given the standings gap and H2H dominance. |
|
| 16-04-2026 00:00 |
Olimpia Asuncion |
- |
Barracas Central |
Over 0.5,1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
76% |
Expected first-half goals total is 0.90 (Olimpia avg 0.70 scored at home, Barracas avg 0.60 scored away) versus a line of 0.75, giving a positive gap. Olimpia has gone Over this line in 70% of recent first halves (7/10 matches), while Barracas has done so in 60% (6/10), with Olimpia showing strong early attacking form at home. |
|
| 16-04-2026 00:00 |
San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
- |
CD Cuenca Jrs |
Over 2.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals calculated at 2.69 based on home averages (1.50 scored, 1.70 conceded at home) and away averages (1.17 scored, 1.00 conceded away). Home team's last two home matches both exceeded 2.25 goals (5-2 and 3-0), while away team's last three away matches all surpassed 2.25 goals (2-3, 1-2, 4-1). Additionally, home team's severe market pricing error (GL_5: 2.95) indicates consistent bookmaker underestimation of goals in their matches. |
|
| 16-04-2026 00:00 |
Olimpia Asuncion |
- |
Barracas Central |
Over 0.75 Goals First Half |
68% |
Expected first-half goals are 0.90 (home scores 0.70 on average, away concedes 0.40), above the 0.75 line. Olimpia's recent matches have seen 70% over 0.75 first-half goals, and Barracas 60%, with Olimpia's attacking dominance from 3.7 shots on target per first half at home likely to exploit Barracas' defensive vulnerability. |
|
| 16-04-2026 00:00 |
Waterhouse |
- |
Tivoli Gardens |
Over 2.5 Goals |
75% |
Expected total goals of 2.60 based on Waterhouse averaging 1.90 goals scored at home and Tivoli Gardens conceding 1.40 away. H2H shows 2 of the last 3 matches had over 2.5 goals, and Waterhouse's home matches are 60% over the line. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate for Tivoli (GL_5 1.50), accelerating and aligning with the Over direction. |
|
| 16-04-2026 00:00 |
Mount Pleasant FA |
- |
Harbour View FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
83% |
Expected total goals is 2.95 based on home team averaging 1.20 goals scored at home and away team conceding 2.00 goals away. Away team has seen over 2.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches, and all 4 head-to-head matches have exceeded 2.5 goals, with away team conceding 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches indicating defensive fragility. |
|
| 16-04-2026 00:00 |
Arnett Gardens |
- |
Montego Bay Utd |
Over 2.5 Goals |
67% |
Expected total goals 3.00 from home averages (1.30 scored, 0.90 conceded at home) and away averages (2.40 scored, 1.40 conceded away). Montego Bay Utd's away matches have gone Over 2.5 in 3 of last 5 (60%), and bookmaker mispricing (GL_5=1.60) indicates consistent underestimation of goals in their matches. H2H is neutral with 2 Overs and 2 Unders in last 4 meetings. |
|
| 16-04-2026 00:00 |
Matagalpa FC |
- |
Managua FC |
Managua FC -0.5 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Managua FC holds a 4-point standings advantage (4th with 21 points vs 5th with 17 points) and has won three of the last four head-to-head matches, including a 3-0 victory in November 2025. Matagalpa has failed to win any of their last five matches, with only two draws, and has no wins in their last four home games. |
|
| 16-04-2026 00:30 |
Vitoria |
- |
Piaui |
Under 2.75 Goals |
83% |
Expected total goals of 2.20 (based on Vitoria averaging 1.60 goals scored at home and Piaui conceding only 0.40 away) falls well below the 2.75 line. Recent history strongly supports Under: Vitoria has seen Under 2.75 in 3 of their last 5 home matches (60%), while Piaui has Under in 5 of their last 6 away matches (83%). Defensively, both teams have kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 matches, and Piaui's away defence concedes just 0.40 goals on average. Additionally, Vitoria's market pricing error (GL_5 of 1.50) indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing that aligns with the Under direction. |
|
| 16-04-2026 00:30 |
Vila Nova |
- |
Capital CF |
Over 2.25 Goals |
70% |
Expected total goals of 2.45 based on Vila Nova averaging 1.50 goals scored at home and Capital CF conceding 1.10 goals away, combined with Vila Nova's 70% over 2.25 goals rate in recent matches and a significant quality gap (Serie B vs Serie D). Moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 of 1.55 for Vila Nova) further supports the over. |
|
| 16-04-2026 00:30 |
Avai |
- |
Caxias RS |
Over 0.75 Goals (1st Half) |
75% |
Expected 1st half goals are 1.30 based on home avg 0.90 scored/conceded and away avg 0.40 scored/conceded, significantly above the line of 0.75. Avai has seen 80% of recent home matches exceed 0.75 goals in the first half, while Caxias RS matches hit 50%, meeting the over bet criteria. The quality gap with Avai top of Serie B at home and bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.90 for Avai) further support an over bet in the first half. |
|
| 16-04-2026 00:30 |
River Plate |
- |
Carabobo |
River Plate -1.75 |
67% |
River Plate has covered the -1.75 handicap in 4 of their last 5 matches overall (80% cover rate) and in 3 of their last 4 home matches, including convincing wins by 2+ goals against Belgrano (3-0), Sarmiento (2-0), and Banfield (3-1). Carabobo has shown vulnerability away, with recent draws and narrow losses, and River Plate's superior attacking quality at home (averaging 1.70 goals scored and 5.80 corners per match) should lead to a multi-goal victory. |
|
| 16-04-2026 14:00 |
Spartak Pleven |
- |
FK Fratria |
Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
75% |
1st half expected total goals is 1.35 based on home avg 0.5 goals scored and conceded, and away avg 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded in the half. Home team has seen Over 1.0 in 4 of last 5 home first halves (80%), while away team has Over 1.0 in 3 of last 5 away first halves (60%). Away team's attacking quality (2nd in league) with 1.0 avg first-half goals away supports early scoring, and no H2H first-half data contradicts the over signal. |
|
| 16-04-2026 14:00 |
Vihren Sandanski |
- |
Sportist Svoge |
Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
78% |
Expected 1st half goals are 1.35 based on home averages of 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded at home, and away averages of 0.70 scored and 0.60 conceded away. Home team has scored in the 1st half in 3 of their last 5 home matches (75% Over rate), and as the dominant 4th-place side against 16th-place Sportist Svoge, they are likely to press early. Additionally, away team's goal line mispricing is accelerating (GL_5 1.35 > GL_10 1.23), indicating potential for goals. |
|
| 16-04-2026 14:00 |
Chernomorets Burgas |
- |
Ludogorets Razgrad II |
Under 2.25 Goals |
90% |
Expected total goals of 2.20 based on home 1.10 scored/0.50 conceded and away 1.30 scored/1.50 conceded averages. Recent match history shows 80% of home matches and 75% of away matches finished Under 2.25, with both teams failing to score in 2 of their last 5 home/away matches. H2H results support with 67% Under, and away team's high bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.80) aligns with the Under direction. |
|
| 16-04-2026 15:00 |
NK Aluminij |
- |
NS Mura |
Over 2.75 Goals |
75% |
Expected total goals 2.95 based on Aluminij's home averages (1.60 scored, 1.60 conceded) and Mura's away averages (0.90 scored, 1.80 conceded). Aluminij's last 10 matches saw 80% Over 2.75, Mura's 60% Over, and H2H shows 75% Over (3 of 4). Mura's away defensive fragility is confirmed with 3+ goals conceded in 3 of their last 5 away matches. |
|
| 16-04-2026 15:00 |
BFC Daugavpils |
- |
FK Jelgava |
Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
65% |
Expected first half goals total is 1.35 (home avg 0.70 scored, away avg 0.90 conceded in first half), above the line of 1.0. Home team scores in the first half in 70% of home matches, and away team's high full-time goal line mispricing (GL_5 2.00) suggests bookmaker underestimation of goals. Despite mixed full-time history, the first half signal is stronger with a 0.35 goal gap. |
|
| 16-04-2026 15:00 |
Pirin Blagoevgrad |
- |
FC Hebar Pazardzhik |
Over 2.5 Goals |
70% |
Expected total goals calculated at 2.30 based on home averaging 0.60 goals scored at home and away conceding 1.60 away. Away team Hebar has conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches, including a recent 4-3 win, indicating defensive fragility. H2H includes a 4-2 result this season, and bookmaker mispricing is high with GL_5 of 1.80 for Hebar, suggesting the line undervalues goals. |
|
| 16-04-2026 15:00 |
Al-Jazeera |
- |
Al-Baqa'a |
Over 2.5 Goals |
90% |
Expected total goals 3.50 from averages (home 1.20 scored, 1.90 conceded; away 1.60 scored, 2.30 conceded). Over 2.5 landed in 67% of home's recent home matches and 75% of away's away matches, with away conceding 2+ in 3 of last 4 away. Severe bookmaker mispricing (avg 3.25-goal error for away) accelerates Over edge. |
|
| 16-04-2026 15:00 |
FC Gonio |
- |
Dinamo Tbilisi II |
Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
85% |
Expected 1st half goals total is 0.80 based on home 0.20 avg scored/conceded and away 0.30 avg scored/0.50 avg conceded, significantly below the 1.25 line. Home team has 0/5 recent home matches Over 1.25 HT, away team has 1/5 recent away matches Over 1.25 HT, with both teams averaging low 1st half goals. Structural context shows both teams are historically low scorers in the first half, reinforcing the Under signal. |
|
| 16-04-2026 16:00 |
JK Tallinna Kalev |
- |
FC Flora Tallinn II |
Over 3.5 Goals |
79% |
Expected total goals of 3.90 based on home scoring 1.60 and conceding 2.20 at home, and away scoring 2.00 and conceding 2.00 away. Home's recent home matches show 3 of 4 (75%) Over 3.5, including 5-1 and 3-1 wins, while away's away matches show 2 of 3 (67%) Over 3.5, with a 1-3 win and 3-1 loss. H2H includes a recent 3-1 Over result. Moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5=1.65 for home) aligns with the Over direction. |
|
| 16-04-2026 16:00 |
Al Hidd |
- |
Al-Muharraq |
Over 2.5 Goals |
90% |
Expected total goals of 3.30 vs line 2.5, calculated from home avg 1.50 goals scored at home, away avg 2.90 goals scored away, and defensive averages. Home team has 75% over 2.5 in recent home matches (3/4), and H2H shows 75% over in last 4 meetings. Moderate bookmaker mispricing for Al Hidd (GL_5=1.50) aligns with over direction. |
|
| 16-04-2026 16:00 |
Al-Rayyan SC U23 |
- |
Umm Salal U23 |
Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
65% |
Al-Rayyan averages 1.30 1st half goals at home and has gone over 1.0 goals in all 3 recent home first halves, while Umm Salal concedes 0.70 avg in away first halves and has failed to score in 4 of last 5 away first halves. Expected 1st half total of 1.35 vs line 1.0 provides value with home team's strong attacking quality as 2nd in the league. |
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