| 11-05-2026 12:00 |
Bhayangkara FC |
- |
Madura United |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.60 goals (Bhayangkara home avg 2.20 scored, 1.70 conceded; Madura away avg 1.30 scored, 2.00 conceded) well above line 2.5. Home team went Over in 9/10 last matches (90%), away in 8/10 (80%). H2H neutral (1 match 0-0). Strong structural Over signal from attacking/defensive averages and history, despite mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.15 home, 0.70 away). |
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| 11-05-2026 12:00 |
Ethiopian Insurance FC |
- |
Ethiopia Nigd Bank |
Over 1.5,2.0 Goals |
76% |
Expected total goals 2.05 (home avg 1.20 at home, away conceded 1.00 away, away avg 1.20 away, home conceded 0.70 at home) exceeds line of 1.75. Ethiopian Insurance have 80% of last 10 matches over this line, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 70%. The only H2H had 3 goals, supporting Over. Likelihood data shows 75% probability of over 1.5 goals, reinforcing the pick. |
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| 11-05-2026 12:30 |
Eastern District U22 |
- |
Kitchee U22 |
Under 3.25 Goals |
79% |
Expected total goals 2.90 (home avg 1.40 + away avg 1.60 under/over calculations) is below the 3.25 line. Both teams show 70% of last 10 matches going Under (7/10 for each). H2H both finished Under (1-0 and 0-3 total 1 and 3). Bookmaker mispricing is mild (GL_5 home 1.30, away 1.10) with no strong directional edge, but structural history strongly supports an Under outcome. |
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| 11-05-2026 13:00 |
Aizawl FC |
- |
Real Kashmir FC |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
65% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.50 (home avg 0.40 HT scored at home + away conceded 0.70 + away avg 0.50 HT scored away + home conceded 1.40). Aizawl's home 1st half history: 3/5 over 1.25 (60%), Real Kashmir's away 1st half history: 2/3 over (67%). H2H HT produced 2 goals. Full-time expected 3.55 but weaker history (60% home, 33% away over 3.0) makes 1st half the stronger signal. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (away GL_5 1.45), supporting Over. |
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| 11-05-2026 13:00 |
Famalicao U23 |
- |
Gil Vicente U23 |
Famalicao U23 -0.25 (Asian Handicap) |
72% |
Famalicao U23 covers -0.25 based on strong home AH record (8/10 wins), a standings gap as they sit 2nd in the Championship Round while Gil Vicente are 5th in the Qualifying Round, and H2H dominance (3 wins in last 4 meetings, including a 3-0 away win). Recent home form shows 4 wins in last 5, all covering the -0.25 line, supported by 80% recent home win rate. |
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| 11-05-2026 14:00 |
East Bengal Club |
- |
Punjab FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 2.95 (home avg 2.70 at home, away conceded 0.80 away; away avg 1.50 away, home conceded 0.90 at home) exceeds the 2.5 line by 0.45 goals. East Bengal has 8/10 (80%) of recent full-time matches over 2.5 goals, and H2H is 4/4 (100%) over. Market pricing error is strong: East Bengal GL_5=1.90 (accelerating) and Punjab GL_5=1.55, both aligning with Over. Quality gap (league leaders vs 6th) and attacking form reinforce Over. |
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| 11-05-2026 14:10 |
Al Nasr SC |
- |
Al Ittihad Kalba |
Over 2.75 Goals |
73% |
Expected total is 3.05 (home avg 1.50 + away conceded 2.00, away avg 1.30 + home conceded 1.30) vs line 2.75. Al Ittihad Kalba has 8/10 recent matches Over and conceded 2+ in 4/5 away games, indicating defensive fragility. Market pricing errors (GL_5 home 1.20, away 1.40) are mild but align with Over, supporting the pick. |
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| 11-05-2026 14:10 |
Ajman SCC U23 |
- |
Dibba Al Fujairah U23 |
Over 3.5 Goals |
65% |
Expected FT total is 3.85 (home avg 2.10 + away conceded 1.60 averaged with away avg 2.20 + home conceded 1.80), 0.35 above the 3.5 line. Home team has 60% of last 10 matches over 3.5 goals, away team 50%. Market pricing error shows moderate mispricing for home (GL_5=1.60) in the Over direction, adding edge. Despite H2H being neutral (1 match), the averages and match potential (3.65) consistently point Over, aligning with the over-first philosophy. |
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| 11-05-2026 15:00 |
Opava |
- |
SK Artis Brno |
Over 9.5 Asian Corners |
80% |
Expected total corners is 11.15, well above the 9.5 line, driven by Opava's strong home average (7.8) and Artis Brno's away average (6.3). Both teams saw 60% of their last 10 matches exceed 9.5 corners (6/10 each), and the only H2H match produced 12 corners. The mid-table stakes (Opava 6th, Artis 3rd) and Opava's home dominance (2nd in home table) add structural over support, with high corner variance (home GL_AC 4.20) indicating bookmaker mispricing. |
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| 11-05-2026 15:00 |
Hegelmann Litauen II |
- |
FK Transinvest II |
Over 3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected total of 3.70 goals (home avg 1.0 + away conceded avg 2.2, away avg 2.1 + home conceded avg 2.1) exceeds the 3.0 line. Transinvest II shows a high market pricing error (GL_5=1.85), indicating the bookmaker consistently undervalues total goals in their matches. Historical match data shows 4 of the last 7 Hegelmann II matches and 2 of 3 Transinvest II away matches produced 3+ goals, supporting the Over direction. |
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| 11-05-2026 15:00 |
Benfica U23 |
- |
Braga U23 |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half total of 1.75 (A_ht=0.70, B_ht=0.80, C_ht=0.60, D_ht=1.40) exceeds the 1.25 line by 0.50. Benfica home first half: 3/5 over (60%) with scoring in 80% of home first halves and conceding in 100%. Braga away first half: 1/4 over (25%). Structural early scoring pattern adds confidence. Market pricing error is mild (away GL_5=1.0). |
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| 11-05-2026 16:00 |
RB Leipzig Women |
- |
Bayer Leverkusen Women |
Home +1 (Asian Handicap) |
68% |
RB Leipzig have covered a +1 handicap in 9 of their last 10 matches, never losing by more than one goal. Bayer Leverkusen have won by 2+ goals in only 4 of their last 10 matches, and the most recent H2H saw Leipzig lose 3-2, still covering the +1 line. With no qualifying Over bets in goal lines or corners, this Asian Handicap offers the strongest value. |
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| 11-05-2026 16:00 |
OC Safi |
- |
FUS Rabat |
Over 0.75 1st Half Goals |
78% |
OC Safi's home 1st half avg goals (0.70) + FUS Rabat's away 1st half conceded (0.70) plus FUS Rabat's away 1st half scored (0.50) + OC Safi's home 1st half conceded (0.40) yields expected 1.15 goals, well above the 0.75 line. Home 1st half history supports Over in 7/10 matches, away in 5/6. Both teams frequently score early (OC Safi 60% home, FUS Rabat 67% away). Market mispricing is minimal (GL_5 below 1.5), so the edge comes from the expected total gap and strong historical alignment. |
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| 11-05-2026 16:30 |
Slask Wroclaw |
- |
LKS Lodz |
Over 2.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected total goals from averages is 3.25, well above the 2.75 line. Slask Wroclaw have seen Over 2.5 in 75% of their home matches (3/4), while LKS Lodz have 50% away matches over. The only H2H produced 3 goals, and Slask's GL_5 mispricing of 1.60 (moderate) aligns with an Over outcome. |
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| 11-05-2026 16:45 |
Khor Fakkan |
- |
Al Wahda Abu Dhabi |
Over 2.5 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 2.90 (home avg 1.6 + away conc 1.1 + away avg 1.1 + home conc 2.0 averaged) exceeds line 2.75. Home home matches 60% Over, H2H 66.7% Over (2 of 3). Away GL_5=1.7 (moderate mispricing, accelerating) supports Over. Confidence 68% from base 50% + home history +5% + H2H +5% + likelihood +3% + pricing error +10% - away history -5%. |
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| 11-05-2026 17:00 |
Sirius |
- |
Orgryte IS |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Sirius averages 2.70 goals at home and Orgryte concedes 2.70 away giving an expected total of 3.80, above the 3.5 line. Sirius covered Over 3.5 in 4/5 home matches while Orgryte conceded 2+ goals in 4/5 away ties, confirming defensive fragility. Market pricing error is accelerating (home GL_5=1.80, away GL_5=1.65) and a massive quality gap (1st vs 14th) amplifies the Over edge. |
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| 11-05-2026 17:00 |
SK Super Nova |
- |
Tukums 2000 |
Over 2.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total goals 2.95 (home avg 1.00 + away conceded 1.70 / 2 + away avg 1.80 + home conceded 1.40 / 2) exceeds the 2.5 line. Away team Tukums 2000 has 70% of last 10 matches going over 2.5, and has conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures (defensive fragility). Bookmaker mispricing is mild but accelerating for the away side (GL_5 1.45 vs GL_10 1.15), adding further support for an Over outcome. |
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| 11-05-2026 17:15 |
FK Fratria |
- |
Dunav Ruse |
Over 0.75 1st Half Goals |
70% |
Expected 1st half goals calculated as (1.00+0.20)/2 + (0.40+0.60)/2 = 1.10, well above the 1st half line of 0.75. Fratria's last 10 matches all had at least one first-half goal (100% Over), and Dunav Ruse's away 1st half record is 60% Over (3/5). H2H is neutral (only one previous meeting). This consistent early scoring pattern and the positive gap from the line make the 1st half Over the best value. |
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| 11-05-2026 18:15 |
Neuchatel Xamax |
- |
Etoile Carouge |
Over 3.0 Goals |
81% |
Expected total goals 3.65 (home avg 1.90 + away conceded avg 1.30)/2 + (away avg 1.90 + home conceded 2.20)/2 = 3.65 vs line 3.0. Home team 4/5 home matches over 3 (80%) and away team 3/5 away matches over (60%). H2H mixed but not contradictory. Bookmaker mispricing mild (away GL_5 1.35). Over 3.0 qualifies with strong confidence. |
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| 11-05-2026 18:15 |
Yverdon Sport FC |
- |
FC Rapperswil-Jona |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
70% |
Expected 1st half total is 2.05 goals based on home averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded at home, and away averaging 1.10 scored and 1.00 conceded away ((1.20+1.00)/2 + (1.10+0.80)/2 = 2.05). The line is 1.25, giving a 0.80-goal edge. Home has gone Over in 3 of last 5 home halves (60%) and away in 4 of 5 away halves (80%). Yverdon's GL_5 of 1.85 indicates strong bookmaker mispricing in their matches, further supporting Over. Combined with a quality gap (3rd vs 6th) and away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away), the 1st half Over offers strong value. |
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| 11-05-2026 20:00 |
Renaissance Zemamra |
- |
Olympique Dcheira |
Over 2.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected total goals 2.25 (home avg 1.00 + away avg 1.50 conceded away) exceeds the 2.0 line. Zemamra have seen Over 2.0 in 60% of home matches, while Dcheira have conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, indicating defensive fragility. Mild market mispricing (home GL_5 1.35) and structural factors support the Over. |
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| 11-05-2026 20:00 |
Deportivo Maldonado |
- |
Boston River |
Deportivo Maldonado -0.5 (Asian Handicap) |
82% |
Deportivo Maldonado are 2nd in the standings with 26 points (9 clear of 12th-placed Boston River) and have won their last 3 home matches, covering the -0.5 handicap in 3 of 4 recent home games (75%). Boston River have lost 4 of their last 5 away matches, conceding 2+ goals in each loss, and have covered only 1 of 5 away handicaps. The quality gap (top 4 vs bottom 4) and home AH record (3 wins in last 5) support a strong home cover, with moderate bookmaker mispricing (away AH variance 1.40) adding confidence. |
|
| 12-05-2026 09:45 |
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Women |
- |
Eastern Suburbs NPL Women |
|
65% |
Eastern Suburbs NPL Women have strong away form, winning 2 of their last 3 away matches by margins of 2 and 3 goals, and their H2H against Sunshine Coast also resulted in a 2-0 win. Common opponent analysis (vs Brisbane Olympic and Gold Coast Knights) shows they consistently perform better than Sunshine Coast, supporting the Asian Handicap -1 cover. With 66% of recent away matches covering the line and a confidence of 65%, this is the best value bet in the match. |
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