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Germany Bundesliga I

[5] TSG Hoffenheim 1
2 Mainz [11]

Round: 28
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Lineups

Lineup

4-1-3-2 3-3-2-2
1 - Oliver Baumann Daniel Batz - 33
34 - Vladimir Coufal Danny da Costa - 21
5 - Ozan Kabak Stefan Posch - 4
21 - Albian Hajdari Dominik Kohr - 31
13 - Bernardo Silvan Widmer - 30
18 - Wouter Burger Kaishu Sano - 6
22 - Alexander Prass Philipp Mwene - 2
6 - Grischa Promel Paul Nebel - 8
29 - Bazoumana Toure Lee Jae-sung - 7
11 - Fisnik Asllani Sheraldo Becker - 23
19 - Tim Lemperle Phillip Tietz - 20

Substitutes

2 - Robin Hranac Nelson Weiper - 44
7 - Leon Avdullahu Nikolas Veratschnig - 22
37 - Luca Philipp Sota Kawasaki - 24
33 - Max Moerstedt Armindo Sieb - 11
10 - Muhammed Damar William Boving - 14
25 - Kevin Akpoguma Lennard Maloney - 15
9 - Ihlas Bebou Lasse Riess - 1
27 - Andrej Kramaric Maxim Leitsch - 5
20 - Cole Campbell Kacper Potulski - 48
  • Main (5)
Show 1st half stats
Date Home Score Away 1x2 Drop Home Asian Handicap Goal Line Asian Corners Dangerous Attacks Total Shots Shots on Target Corners     
21-11-2025 19:30 3 1 [17] Mainz 1 - 1 TSG Hoffenheim [6] 2
S: - 3.60 ?
K: ?3.50 -
 8%
?
2.000
-
?
?
2.000, 1.800
?-?

17-19

?-?

7-4

Open single page
12-04-2025 13:30 4 [14] TSG Hoffenheim 2 - 0 Mainz [5] 1 1
S: - 3.60 ?
K: ?3.40 -
 18%
?
1.900
-
?
?
2.000, 1.800
?-?
8-14
?-?
4-7
Open single page
01-12-2024 14:30 1 [10] Mainz 2 - 0 TSG Hoffenheim [14] 3
S: - 3.75 ?
K: ?3.50 -
 0%
?
2.050
-
?
?
1.875, 1.925
?-?

18-10

?-?

8-3

Open single page
13-04-2024 13:30 [16] Mainz 4 - 1 TSG Hoffenheim [8] 2
S: - 3.60 ?
K: ?5.50 -
 33%
?
2.010
-
?
?
1.950, 1.850
?-?

25-5

?-?

9-3

Open single page
26-11-2023 16:30 4 [6] TSG Hoffenheim 1 - 1 Mainz [16] 4
S: - 3.75 ?
K: ?4.00 -
 6%
?
2.030
-
?
?
1.850, 1.950
?-?

15-13

?-?

4-5

Open single page
TSG Hoffenheim Mainz
Substitution 87 - Substitution - Mainz
Substitution 87 - Substitution - TSG Hoffenheim
Substitution 84 - Substitution - TSG Hoffenheim
Corner 84 - 10th Corner - TSG Hoffenheim
81 - 15th Shot Off Target - TSG Hoffenheim
79 - 10th Shot On Target - Mainz
80 - 5th Yellow Card - TSG Hoffenheim
79 - 9th Shot On Target - Mainz
79 - 4th Yellow Card - TSG Hoffenheim
Goal 79 - 3rd Goal - Mainz
79 - 14th Shot Off Target - Mainz
Substitution 75 - Substitution - Mainz
Substitution 75 - Substitution - Mainz
Corner 70 - 9th Corner - TSG Hoffenheim
70 - 13th Shot Off Target - TSG Hoffenheim
67 - 8th Shot On Target - Mainz
Corner 66 - 8th Corner - Mainz
63 - 7th Shot On Target - TSG Hoffenheim
Substitution 61 - Substitution - TSG Hoffenheim
Substitution 61 - Substitution - TSG Hoffenheim
62 - 12th Shot Off Target - Mainz
58 - 11th Shot Off Target - TSG Hoffenheim
55 - 10th Shot Off Target - TSG Hoffenheim
Corner 53 - 7th Corner - Mainz
Corner 51 - 6th Corner - Mainz
48 - 4th Offside - Mainz
47 - 3rd Yellow Card - TSG Hoffenheim
Substitution 46 - Substitution - Mainz
45+2 - 9th Shot Off Target - TSG Hoffenheim
45+2 - 8th Shot Off Target - TSG Hoffenheim
Corner 45+3 - 5th Corner - TSG Hoffenheim
45 - 2nd Yellow Card - TSG Hoffenheim
43 - 7th Shot Off Target - Mainz
41 - 3rd Offside - Mainz
39 - 6th Shot Off Target - TSG Hoffenheim
Substitution 37 - Substitution - Mainz
33 - 5th Shot Off Target - TSG Hoffenheim
31 - 6th Shot On Target - TSG Hoffenheim
Corner 31 - 4th Corner - TSG Hoffenheim
28 - 5th Shot On Target - TSG Hoffenheim
25 - 4th Shot On Target - Mainz
23 - 2nd Assist - TSG Hoffenheim
23 - 3rd Shot On Target - TSG Hoffenheim
Goal 23 - 2nd Goal - TSG Hoffenheim
13 - 4th Shot Off Target - Mainz
13 - 1st Assist - Mainz
13 - 2nd Shot On Target - Mainz
Goal 13 - 1st Goal - Mainz
Corner 11 - 3rd Corner - TSG Hoffenheim
11 - 1st Shot On Target - TSG Hoffenheim
10 - 3rd Shot Off Target - TSG Hoffenheim
Corner 10 - 2nd Corner - TSG Hoffenheim
9 - 2nd Shot Off Target - TSG Hoffenheim
Corner 9 - 1st Corner - TSG Hoffenheim
7 - 1st Yellow Card - Mainz
4 - 1st Shot Off Target - TSG Hoffenheim
4 - 2nd Offside - Mainz
2 - 1st Offside - Mainz
  • Current
  • 1st Half
  • 2nd Half
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
  • Last 15
  • Last 20
  • Last 25
  • Since Last Goal
Full-Time xG Corners Penalties Substitutions Offsides Saves Shots Blocked Fouls Ball Safe Injures Goals
TSG Hoffenheim 1.23 7 4 0 0 4 0 3 6 11 90 0 1
Mainz 2.16 3 1 0 0 5 3 4 2 6 97 1 2
60%
Possession
40%
5
Shots on Target
5
11
Shots off Target
4
127
Attacks
86
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
15:22 - 1x2: 501.000 15.000 1.030
15:20 - Asian Handicap: (0) 1.250, 3.900
15:21 - Goal Line: (3.5) 5.900, 1.140
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
TSG Hoffenheim 1 2 0 0 2 0
Mainz 0 0 0 0 3 1
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
2
1
Shots off Target
1
29
Attacks
21
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
1st Half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
TSG Hoffenheim 5 1 0 0 0 1
Mainz 0 1 0 0 2 1
-
Possession
-
4
Shots on Target
2
7
Shots off Target
2
60
Attacks
37
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
2nd half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
TSG Hoffenheim 2 3 0 0 4 0
Mainz 3 0 0 0 1 1
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
2
67
Attacks
49
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 5 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
TSG Hoffenheim 0 0 0 0 1 0
Mainz 0 0 0 0 1 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Shots off Target
0
14
Attacks
15
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 10 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
TSG Hoffenheim 1 0 0 0 2 0
Mainz 0 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
1
Shots off Target
0
25
Attacks
16
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
TSG Hoffenheim 1 2 0 0 0 0
Mainz 0 0 0 0 3 1
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
2
1
Shots off Target
1
29
Attacks
21
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 20 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
TSG Hoffenheim 1 2 0 0 2 0
Mainz 0 0 0 0 3 1
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
2
1
Shots off Target
1
39
Attacks
21
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 25 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
TSG Hoffenheim 2 2 0 0 2 0
Mainz 0 0 0 0 1 1
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
3
2
Shots off Target
1
52
Attacks
27
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Since Last Goal Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
TSG Hoffenheim 1 0 0 0 2 0
Mainz 0 0 0 0 1 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
1
Shots off Target
0
25
Attacks
16
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
15:22 - 1x2: 501.000 15.000 1.030
15:20 - Asian Handicap: (0) 1.250, 3.900
15:21 - Goal Line: (3.5) 5.900, 1.140

1X2 Odds

Dangerous Attacks

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Possession

Attacks

Statistics based on last games

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UEFA Conference League

  • Overall
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  • Away

UEFA Conference League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Strasbourg 5 1 0 11:5 16
2 Rakow Czestochowa 4 2 0 9:2 14
3 AEK Athens 4 1 1 14:7 13
4 Sparta Prague 4 1 1 10:3 13
5 Rayo Vallecano 4 1 1 13:7 13
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 4 1 1 10:5 13
7 Mainz 4 1 1 7:3 13
8 AEK Larnaca 3 3 0 7:1 12
9 Lausanne Sports 3 2 1 6:3 11
10 Crystal Palace 3 1 2 11:6 10
11 Lech Poznan 3 1 2 12:8 10
12 Samsunspor 3 1 2 10:6 10
13 NK Celje 3 1 2 8:7 10
14 AZ 3 1 2 7:7 10
15 Fiorentina 3 0 3 8:5 9
16 HNK Rijeka 2 3 1 5:2 9
17 Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 3 1 5:4 9
18 Omonia Nicosia 2 2 2 5:4 8
19 FC Noah 2 2 2 6:7 8
20 KF Drita 2 2 2 4:8 8
21 KuPS Kuopio 1 4 1 6:5 7
22 Shkendija Tetovo 2 1 3 4:5 7
23 Zrinjski Mostar 2 1 3 8:10 7
24 Sigma Olomouc 2 1 3 7:9 7
25 CS U Craiova 2 1 3 6:8 7
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC 2 1 3 7:15 7
27 Dynamo Kiev 2 0 4 9:9 6
28 Legia Warsaw 2 0 4 8:8 6
29 Slovan Bratislava 2 0 4 5:9 6
30 Breidablik 1 2 3 6:11 5
31 Shamrock Rovers 1 1 4 7:13 4
32 BK Hacken 0 3 3 5:8 3
33 Hamrun Spartans 1 0 5 4:11 3
34 Shelbourne 0 2 4 0:7 2
35 Aberdeen 0 2 4 3:14 2
36 Rapid Vienna 0 1 5 3:14 1

UEFA Conference League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Rayo Vallecano 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Rakow Czestochowa 3 0 0 7:1 9
3 Mainz 3 0 0 5:1 9
4 AEK Athens 2 1 0 10:3 7
5 Zrinjski Mostar 2 1 0 8:2 7
6 Sparta Prague 2 1 0 7:1 7
7 Lech Poznan 2 1 0 7:2 7
8 AEK Larnaca 2 1 0 5:0 7
9 Lausanne Sports 2 1 0 5:1 7
10 HNK Rijeka 2 1 0 4:0 7
11 Strasbourg 2 1 0 6:3 7
12 NK Celje 2 1 0 5:2 7
13 Shkendija Tetovo 2 1 0 4:1 7
14 AZ 2 1 0 3:0 7
15 Lincoln Red Imps FC 2 1 0 5:3 7
16 Dynamo Kiev 2 0 1 8:2 6
17 Samsunspor 2 0 1 7:2 6
18 Fiorentina 2 0 1 4:2 6
19 FC Noah 2 0 1 4:3 6
19 Slovan Bratislava 2 0 1 4:3 6
21 Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 0 1 3:2 6
22 Breidablik 1 2 0 5:3 5
23 KuPS Kuopio 1 2 0 4:2 5
24 Crystal Palace 1 1 1 5:4 4
25 Shakhtar Donetsk 1 1 1 3:2 4
26 Sigma Olomouc 1 1 1 4:4 4
27 CS U Craiova 1 1 1 3:3 4
28 KF Drita 1 1 1 2:4 4
29 Legia Warsaw 1 0 2 4:3 3
30 Omonia Nicosia 1 0 2 2:2 3
31 Shamrock Rovers 1 0 2 4:5 3
32 Hamrun Spartans 1 0 2 3:4 3
33 BK Hacken 0 2 1 4:5 2
34 Aberdeen 0 1 2 3:5 1
35 Shelbourne 0 1 2 0:4 1
36 Rapid Vienna 0 0 3 0:5 0

UEFA Conference League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Shakhtar Donetsk 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 Strasbourg 3 0 0 5:2 9
3 Crystal Palace 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Sparta Prague 2 0 1 3:2 6
5 AEK Athens 2 0 1 4:4 6
6 Omonia Nicosia 1 2 0 3:2 5
7 AEK Larnaca 1 2 0 2:1 5
7 Rakow Czestochowa 1 2 0 2:1 5
9 Rayo Vallecano 1 1 1 5:5 4
10 Mainz 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Samsunspor 1 1 1 3:4 4
12 Lausanne Sports 1 1 1 1:2 4
13 KF Drita 1 1 1 2:4 4
14 Fiorentina 1 0 2 4:3 3
15 Jagiellonia Bialystok 0 3 0 2:2 3
16 Lech Poznan 1 0 2 5:6 3
17 Legia Warsaw 1 0 2 4:5 3
18 CS U Craiova 1 0 2 3:5 3
18 NK Celje 1 0 2 3:5 3
18 Sigma Olomouc 1 0 2 3:5 3
21 AZ 1 0 2 4:7 3
22 KuPS Kuopio 0 2 1 2:3 2
23 HNK Rijeka 0 2 1 1:2 2
24 FC Noah 0 2 1 2:4 2
25 BK Hacken 0 1 2 1:3 1
26 Shelbourne 0 1 2 0:3 1
27 Shamrock Rovers 0 1 2 3:8 1
28 Rapid Vienna 0 1 2 3:9 1
29 Aberdeen 0 1 2 0:9 1
30 Shkendija Tetovo 0 0 3 0:4 0
31 Slovan Bratislava 0 0 3 1:6 0
32 Dynamo Kiev 0 0 3 1:7 0
32 Hamrun Spartans 0 0 3 1:7 0
34 Breidablik 0 0 3 1:8 0
35 Zrinjski Mostar 0 0 3 0:8 0
36 Lincoln Red Imps FC 0 0 3 2:12 0

Germany Bundesliga I

  • Overall
  • Home
  • Away

Bundesliga 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Bayern Munich 26 4 1 113:32 82
2 Borussia Dortmund 20 7 4 65:31 67
3 RB Leipzig 19 5 7 62:38 62
4 VfB Stuttgart 17 6 8 63:43 57
5 TSG Hoffenheim 17 6 8 61:45 57
6 Bayer Leverkusen 16 7 8 62:42 55
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 11 10 10 56:58 43
8 SC Freiburg 12 7 12 44:52 43
9 Augsburg 10 7 14 39:55 37
10 Mainz 8 10 13 39:49 34
11 Borussia M'gladbach 7 11 13 36:50 32
12 Werder Bremen 8 8 15 36:54 32
13 Union Berlin 8 8 15 35:55 32
14 Cologne 7 10 14 45:53 31
15 Hamburg 7 10 14 34:50 31
16 St Pauli 6 8 17 26:53 26
17 Wolfsburg 6 7 18 41:66 25
18 Heidenheim 5 7 19 35:66 22

Bundesliga 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Bayern Munich 13 1 1 60:15 40
2 Borussia Dortmund 12 2 2 37:14 38
3 VfB Stuttgart 11 3 2 27:15 36
4 RB Leipzig 11 2 3 38:19 35
5 TSG Hoffenheim 9 1 5 31:18 28
6 SC Freiburg 8 4 3 28:20 28
7 Bayer Leverkusen 8 3 4 33:17 27
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 7 3 5 26:23 24
9 Augsburg 6 5 5 22:27 23
10 Hamburg 5 6 5 22:20 21
11 Cologne 5 4 7 29:27 19
12 Werder Bremen 5 4 6 18:26 19
13 Union Berlin 4 6 5 20:24 18
14 Borussia M'gladbach 4 6 5 19:24 18
15 Mainz 4 5 7 20:22 17
16 St Pauli 4 5 6 15:26 17
17 Heidenheim 4 5 7 23:35 17
18 Wolfsburg 2 4 10 21:31 10

Bundesliga 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Bayern Munich 13 3 0 53:17 42
2 Borussia Dortmund 8 5 2 28:17 29
3 TSG Hoffenheim 8 5 3 30:27 29
4 Bayer Leverkusen 8 4 4 29:25 28
5 RB Leipzig 8 3 4 24:19 27
6 VfB Stuttgart 6 3 6 36:28 21
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 7 5 30:35 19
8 Mainz 4 5 6 19:27 17
9 Wolfsburg 4 3 8 20:35 15
10 SC Freiburg 4 3 9 16:32 15
11 Borussia M'gladbach 3 5 8 17:26 14
12 Augsburg 4 2 9 17:28 14
13 Union Berlin 4 2 10 15:31 14
14 Werder Bremen 3 4 9 18:28 13
15 Cologne 2 6 7 16:26 12
16 Hamburg 2 4 9 12:30 10
17 St Pauli 2 3 11 11:27 9
18 Heidenheim 1 2 12 12:31 5
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Datasets to include

Likelihood Statistics
Previous Matches
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Scoring and Conceding Statistics
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Pregame recommendation: **Bet:** Over 10.0 Corners **Winning Probability:** 65% **Odds:** 1.8 **Reasoning:** Expected corners total is 10.20 (home avg 6.70, conceded 5.10; away avg 4.20, conceded 4.40), slightly above the line of 10.0. TSG Hoffenheim's recent matches show 8 of 10 (80%) over 10.0 corners, and all 4 head-to-head matches had over 10.0 corners, supporting the over.

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    The Comeback Factor What is it? The Comeback Factor measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match. It tells you how often a team can bounce back by scoring the next goal after the other team has taken the lead. How does it work? Every time a team falls behind, […]

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Everything you need to know about football betting statistics, live scores, and using BetBallers effectively

What statistics and features does BetBallers provide for football betting?

BetBallers is a comprehensive tool designed for football bettors to enhance in-play and pre-game betting performance. The platform provides:

  • Live Match Statistics: Real-time stats including dangerous attacks, corners, shots, and pressure index for all in-play matches
  • Likelihood Stats: Color-coded system covering all markets from First Half Overs to Corners, making it easy to spot whether odds are backed by statistics
  • Variance Stats: Shows average differences from starting lines for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Asian Corners to identify mispriced teams in seconds
  • Comeback Factor: Measures how effectively teams recover after falling behind by tracking how often they score the next goal
  • xG Stats: Expected goals available on both match pages and in-play pages within the likelihood stats column
  • Pressure Index: Combines dangerous attacks, total shots, and corners to measure which team is dominating the match

The platform features a customizable and user-friendly layout with the best coverage of games to ensure you never miss potential betting opportunities.

How does the BetBallers notification system work?

BetBallers offers a powerful notification system that significantly reduces the chance of missing potential bets:

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Example notification: Alert for home underdogs losing by 1 goal but with 66%+ Pressure Index, Asian Handicap +0.5, and kick-off odds under 5.00. This specific notification has achieved a 71% win rate (52 wins, 21 losses) in backtesting.

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The Backtesting System is a game-changing feature that validates your in-play betting strategies in minutes instead of waiting months for results:

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  • Retrospective Likelihood Stats: Each game's likelihood stats are calculated retrospectively from that particular match for accurate testing
  • Results in Minutes: Get comprehensive backtest results in minutes or even seconds, depending on your rule complexity
  • Advanced Filtering: Filter results by Asian Handicap, Goal Line, Asian Corners, specific days, goals scored within 2 minutes, or missing dangerous attacks

The backtesting system excludes E-Soccer, Beach Soccer, and other shortened matches to ensure data quality. This feature is available to all Gold-Ballers subscription users (1, 3, or 6-month plans).

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BetBallers' AI Assistant helps identify the best value bets and provides quick match insights to enhance your betting strategy:

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What is the Comeback Factor and how can I use it for betting?

The Comeback Factor is a unique BetBallers metric that measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match:

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  • Enhanced accuracy: You can exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics (feature added January 2025)
  • Transparency: Hover over any Comeback Factor stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation

Use the Comeback Factor to identify teams with strong resilience when trailing, creating valuable in-play betting opportunities when these teams fall behind. The enhanced statistics are available across multiple pages including team profiles and head-to-head comparisons.

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Likelihood Stats are one of BetBallers' most powerful features, using an eye-catching color-coding system to show whether current odds are backed by historical statistics:

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Variance Stats (also called Error Stats) show the average difference from starting lines, helping you identify mispriced teams in seconds:

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Variance Stats help you exploit consistent market inefficiencies by showing which teams the bookmakers systematically misprice across the most popular betting markets.

What is the Pressure Index and how is it calculated?

The Pressure Index is a composite statistic that measures which team is dominating a match by combining multiple attacking metrics:

  • Dangerous Attacks: Genuine scoring opportunities where the attacking team gets into dangerous positions
  • Total Shots: All shot attempts including both on-target and off-target efforts
  • Corners: Corner kicks awarded, indicating sustained attacking pressure
  • Percentage Display: Shows as a percentage (e.g., 66% means one team has twice the combined attacking stats)

Use Pressure Index in custom notifications to identify matches where one team is dominating but hasn't scored yet. For example, a notification for home teams with 66%+ Pressure Index while losing 1-0 achieved a 71% win rate in backtesting across 100,000 games.

What subscription plans does BetBallers offer and what features are included?

BetBallers offers a free trial and multiple subscription tiers to suit different betting needs:

  • Free 2-Day Trial: €4.90 - Test all features with full access for 2 days
  • 1-Month Gold-Baller: €29.99 - Full access to all features including AI Assistant and backtesting system
  • 6-Month Gold-Baller: €149.90 - Extended subscription with significant savings per month

All Gold-Baller subscriptions include:

  • Live scores and in-play statistics for all major leagues
  • Custom notification system with unlimited alerts
  • Backtesting system (100,000 games analysis)
  • AI Assistant for schedule and live match analysis
  • Likelihood Stats with color-coding for all markets
  • Variance Stats for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Corners
  • Comeback Factor and Pressure Index statistics
  • xG Stats on match and in-play pages

Note: The 2-day trial does not include access to the backtesting system. Backtesting is only available with 1, 3, or 6-month Gold-Baller subscriptions.

What are xG (Expected Goals) stats and how can I use them for betting?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the quality of scoring chances by calculating the probability that a shot will result in a goal:

  • Available on Multiple Pages: View xG stats on both the match page and the in-play page for comprehensive analysis
  • Likelihood Stats Integration: Enable xG display to see these valuable insights directly in the likelihood stats column during live matches
  • Quality vs Quantity: xG reveals whether a team is creating genuine scoring opportunities or just accumulating low-quality shots
  • Value Betting Indicator: When a team has high xG but hasn't scored, it often indicates the score doesn't reflect match dominance

How to use xG for in-play betting:

  • Compare xG to actual score - if Team A has 2.3 xG but is losing 0-1, they may be unlucky and due for goals
  • Look for xG gaps between teams - a 1.5+ xG difference suggests one team is creating significantly better chances
  • Combine with Pressure Index - high xG plus 66%+ Pressure Index confirms genuine dominance
  • Use in notifications - create alerts for matches where xG doesn't match the scoreline for value betting opportunities

xG stats were added to the in-play page in August 2024, making BetBallers one of the few platforms to provide real-time expected goals data during live matches for immediate betting decisions.

How do I create effective custom notifications using BetBallers?

Creating effective custom notifications involves combining different statistics and using the backtesting system to validate profitability:

  • Mix Different Stats: Combine real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds for more accurate filtering
  • Use Likelihood Validation: Include likelihood stats to ensure real-time performance is backed by historical patterns
  • Test Thoroughly: Run backtests on your notifications to validate profitability across 100,000 historical matches
  • Refine and Iterate: If results are unsatisfactory, tweak your rules and run backtests again until you find winning combinations
  • Filter Results: Use filters to exclude games with incomplete stats or where goals were scored within 2 minutes of notification

Example winning notification:

Home underdog, losing by 1 goal, with 66%+ Pressure Index, current Asian Handicap +0.5 (minimum odds 1.80), and kick-off 1X2 odds under 5.00. This achieved 71% win rate (52 wins from 73 matches).

Fine-tuning takes time, but the backtesting system dramatically speeds up the process by providing instant validation instead of waiting months for real-world results.