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Argentina Liga Profesional

[14] Newell's 0
1 Racing Club [6]

Round: 16
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Lineups

Lineup

5-3-2 4-3-3
12 - Juan Espinola Facundo Cambeses - 25
4 - Alejo Montero Facundo Mura - 34
97 - Saul Salcedo Marco Di Cesare - 3
15 - Victor Cuesta Agustin Garcia Basso - 2
3 - Luca Alexander Sosa Hernan Gabriel Rojas - 27
26 - Martin Luciano Bruno Zuculini - 36
13 - Facundo Guch Alan Forneris - 8
27 - Luca Regiardo Richard Sanchez - 26
17 - Valentino Acuna Santiago Solari - 28
32 - Carlos Gonzales Adrian Martinez - 9
21 - Luciano Ramon Herrera Duvan Vergara - 7

Substitutes

47 - Jeronimo Russo Ramiro Matias Degregorio - 41
52 - Francisco Scarpeccio Martin Barrios - 16
43 - Lisandro Sebastian Montenegro Benjamin Gonzalez - 30
38 - Giovani Chiaverano Meroi Gonzalo Reyna - 37
6 - Jherson Mosquera Gaston Martirena - 15
53 - Joaquin Amadio Nazareno Colombo - 23
51 - Alan Mereles Santiago Quiros - 35
5 - Ever Banega Tomas Conechny - 17
9 - Juan Manuel Garcia Adrian Fernandez - 24
29 - Fabian Noguera Gabriel Arias - 21
37 - Luciano Lollo Francisco Gomez - 1
33 - Lucas Hoyos -
  • Main (5)
Show 1st half stats
Date Home Score Away 1x2 Drop Home Asian Handicap Goal Line Asian Corners Dangerous Attacks Total Shots Shots on Target Corners     
02-05-2025 18:30 2 1 [5] Racing Club 1 - 0 Newell's [9] 4
S: - 3.20 ?
K: ?3.60 -
 46%
?
1.825
-
?
?
1.875, 1.925
?-?

8-11

?-?

5-5

Open single page
17-08-2024 0:00 4 [21] Newell's 0 - 1 Racing Club [6] 2
S: - 3.25 ?
K: ?3.00 -
 0%
?
1.850
-
?
?
1.800, 2.000
?-?

16-7

?-?

4-7

Open single page
13-02-2024 0:00 4 [1] Newell's 0 - 4 Racing Club [4] 1
S: - 3.10 ?
K: ?3.00 -
 4%
?
1.875
-
?
?
1.950, 1.850
?-?

12-10

?-?

4-3

Open single page
21-09-2023 0:00 2 [3] Racing Club 2 - 1 Newell's [2] 2
S: - 3.40 ?
K: ?3.25 -
 31%
?
1.875
-
?
?
2.000, 1.800
?-?
10-11
?-?
10-3
Open single page
12-04-2023 22:30 2 [8] Racing Club 0 - 1 Newell's [11] 3
S: - 3.40 ?
K: ?3.50 -
 4%
?
1.825
-
?
?
1.925, 1.875
?-?

16-9

?-?

4-5

Open single page
Newell's Racing Club
94 - 9th Shot Off Target - Newell's
94 - 6th Shot On Target - Newell's
92 - 1st Assist - Racing Club
92 - 5th Shot On Target - Racing Club
Substitution 90 - Substitution - Newell's
Goal 92 - 1st Goal - Racing Club
Substitution 90 - Substitution - Newell's
Corner 89 - 7th Corner - Racing Club
Corner 88 - 6th Corner - Racing Club
88 - 4th Shot On Target - Racing Club
Substitution 82 - Substitution - Newell's
81 - 8th Shot Off Target - Newell's
81 - 8th Shot Off Target - Newell's
Substitution 82 - Substitution - Newell's
79 - 4th Yellow Card - Newell's
Substitution 76 - Substitution - Racing Club
Substitution 71 - Substitution - Newell's
Substitution 71 - Substitution - Racing Club
Substitution 71 - Substitution - Racing Club
Corner 71 - 5th Corner - Newell's
68 - 7th Shot Off Target - Newell's
68 - 3rd Shot On Target - Newell's
Corner 68 - 4th Corner - Newell's
63 - 6th Shot Off Target - Racing Club
54 - 5th Shot Off Target - Racing Club
Corner 54 - 3rd Corner - Racing Club
49 - 4th Offside - Racing Club
46 - 4th Shot Off Target - Newell's
45+2 - 3rd Yellow Card - Racing Club
44 - 3rd Shot Off Target - Racing Club
42 - 3rd Offside - Newell's
39 - 2nd Shot Off Target - Newell's
Corner 38 - 2nd Corner - Racing Club
12 - 3rd Offside - Newell's
28 - 2nd Shot On Target - Racing Club
27 - 2nd Yellow Card - Newell's
25 - 1st Shot Off Target - Newell's
Substitution 24 - Substitution - Racing Club
Corner 17 - 1st Corner - Racing Club
9 - 1st Offside - Newell's
8 - 1st Yellow Card - Racing Club
2 - 1st Shot On Target - Racing Club
  • Current
  • 1st Half
  • 2nd Half
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
  • Last 15
  • Last 20
  • Last 25
  • Since Last Goal
Full-Time xG Corners Penalties Substitutions Offsides Saves Shots Blocked Fouls Ball Safe Injures Goals
Newell's 0.36 2 2 0 0 5 2 3 1 6 52 1 0
Racing Club 0.65 5 2 0 0 4 1 2 0 10 75 3 1
31%
Possession
69%
2
Shots on Target
4
6
Shots off Target
3
79
Attacks
111
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
01:10 - 1x2: - - -
01:15 - Asian Handicap: (0.5) 1.775, 2.025
01:15 - Goal Line: (2.0,2.5) 2.000, 1.800
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Newell's 0 1 0 0 4 0
Racing Club 2 0 0 0 1 1
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
0
17
Attacks
19
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
1st Half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Newell's 0 1 0 0 0 0
Racing Club 2 2 0 0 1 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
1
32
Attacks
67
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
2nd half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Newell's 2 1 0 0 5 0
Racing Club 3 0 0 0 1 1
-
Possession
-
2
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
2
47
Attacks
44
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 5 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Newell's 0 0 0 0 2 0
Racing Club 2 0 0 0 0 1
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
2
1
Shots off Target
0
5
Attacks
6
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 10 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Newell's 0 0 0 0 4 0
Racing Club 2 0 0 0 1 1
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
0
10
Attacks
13
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Newell's 0 1 0 0 0 0
Racing Club 2 0 0 0 1 1
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
0
17
Attacks
19
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 20 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Newell's 1 1 0 0 4 0
Racing Club 2 0 0 0 1 1
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
0
20
Attacks
20
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 25 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Newell's 2 1 0 0 5 0
Racing Club 2 0 0 0 1 1
-
Possession
-
2
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
0
26
Attacks
22
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Since Last Goal Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Newell's 0 0 0 0 0 0
Racing Club 0 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Shots off Target
0
0
Attacks
0
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
01:10 - 1x2: - - -
01:15 - Asian Handicap: (0.5) 1.775, 2.025
01:15 - Goal Line: (2.0,2.5) 2.000, 1.800

1X2 Odds

Dangerous Attacks

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Possession

Attacks

Statistics based on last games

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Argentina Liga Profesional

  • Overall
  • Home
  • Away

Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Rosario Central 8 7 1 18:8 31
2 Lanus 9 3 4 20:13 30
3 Deportivo Riestra 8 4 4 19:12 28
4 Velez Sarsfield 7 5 4 19:12 26
5 San Lorenzo 6 6 4 13:11 24
6 River Plate 6 4 6 20:15 22
7 Gimnasia LP 7 1 8 14:16 22
8 CA Talleres de Córdoba 5 6 5 9:12 21
9 Sarmiento 5 5 6 13:17 20
10 San Martin SJ 4 7 5 13:16 19
11 CA Independiente 4 6 6 14:13 18
12 Atlético Tucumán 5 3 8 17:22 18
13 Instituto AC Cordoba 3 7 6 9:17 16
14 Godoy Cruz 1 9 6 11:19 12
15 Platense 2 6 8 12:25 12

Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Boca Juniors 8 5 3 28:12 29
2 Union Santa Fe 6 7 3 20:13 25
3 Racing Club 7 4 5 16:13 25
4 Central Cordoba 5 9 2 17:11 24
5 Argentinos Jrs 7 3 6 18:13 24
6 Barracas Central 5 8 3 19:17 23
7 CA Tigre 5 7 4 14:13 22
8 Estudiantes LP 6 3 7 17:18 21
9 Banfield 6 3 7 15:21 21
10 Belgrano 4 8 4 13:11 20
11 Huracan 5 5 6 10:15 20
12 Defensa y Justicia 5 4 7 14:19 19
13 CA Aldosivi 5 3 8 13:18 18
14 Independiente Rivadavia 3 7 6 14:17 16
15 Newell's 3 5 8 13:23 14

Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Deportivo Riestra 6 1 1 11:3 19
2 Lanus 6 1 1 12:5 19
3 Atlético Tucumán 5 2 1 13:5 17
4 San Lorenzo 4 3 1 6:2 15
5 Rosario Central 3 6 0 8:5 15
6 Velez Sarsfield 4 2 2 11:6 14
7 CA Independiente 3 2 3 9:6 11
8 San Martin SJ 3 2 2 7:6 11
9 River Plate 3 1 3 10:7 10
10 Instituto AC Cordoba 2 4 3 6:12 10
11 CA Talleres de Córdoba 2 3 3 3:5 9
12 Gimnasia LP 3 0 5 7:11 9
13 Sarmiento 2 2 4 8:11 8
14 Platense 1 5 2 7:11 8
15 Godoy Cruz 0 6 2 4:7 6

Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Argentinos Jrs 5 2 0 12:2 17
2 Estudiantes LP 5 1 3 12:9 16
3 Defensa y Justicia 5 1 3 11:10 16
4 Boca Juniors 4 3 1 16:6 15
5 CA Tigre 3 4 1 9:6 13
6 Central Cordoba 3 3 1 9:5 12
7 CA Aldosivi 3 3 2 9:7 12
8 Racing Club 3 2 4 7:7 11
9 Banfield 3 2 3 8:10 11
10 Union Santa Fe 2 4 1 7:5 10
11 Belgrano 2 4 2 6:6 10
12 Huracan 3 1 4 3:8 10
13 Barracas Central 2 3 3 9:11 9
14 Independiente Rivadavia 1 4 3 4:8 7
15 Newell's 1 3 4 7:9 6

Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Rosario Central 5 1 1 10:3 16
2 Gimnasia LP 4 1 3 7:5 13
3 River Plate 3 3 3 10:8 12
4 Velez Sarsfield 3 3 2 8:6 12
5 CA Talleres de Córdoba 3 3 2 6:7 12
6 Sarmiento 3 3 2 5:6 12
7 Lanus 3 2 3 8:8 11
8 Deportivo Riestra 2 3 3 8:9 9
9 San Lorenzo 2 3 3 7:9 9
10 San Martin SJ 1 5 3 6:10 8
11 CA Independiente 1 4 3 5:7 7
12 Instituto AC Cordoba 1 3 3 3:5 6
13 Godoy Cruz 1 3 4 7:12 6
14 Platense 1 1 6 5:14 4
15 Atlético Tucumán 0 1 7 4:17 1

Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Union Santa Fe 4 3 2 13:8 15
2 Boca Juniors 4 2 2 12:6 14
3 Barracas Central 3 5 0 10:6 14
4 Racing Club 4 2 1 9:6 14
5 Central Cordoba 2 6 1 8:6 12
6 Belgrano 2 4 2 7:5 10
7 Huracan 2 4 2 7:7 10
8 Banfield 3 1 4 7:11 10
9 Independiente Rivadavia 2 3 3 10:9 9
10 CA Tigre 2 3 3 5:7 9
11 Newell's 2 2 4 6:14 8
12 Argentinos Jrs 2 1 6 6:11 7
13 CA Aldosivi 2 0 6 4:11 6
14 Estudiantes LP 1 2 4 5:9 5
15 Defensa y Justicia 0 3 4 3:9 3

Copa Libertadores

  • Overall
  • Home
  • Away

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group H

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Velez Sarsfield 3 2 1 11:4 11
2 Penarol 3 2 1 9:4 11
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2 0 4 5:15 6
4 Olimpia Asuncion 1 2 3 9:11 5

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group G

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Palmeiras 6 0 0 17:4 18
2 Cerro Porteno 2 1 3 7:11 7
3 Bolivar 2 0 4 12:11 6
4 Sporting Cristal 1 1 4 6:16 4

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group F

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Internacional 3 2 1 12:8 11
2 Atletico Nacional Medellin 3 0 3 7:6 9
3 EC Bahia 2 1 3 5:7 7
4 Nacional De Football 2 1 3 7:10 7

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group E

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Racing Club 4 1 1 14:3 13
2 Fortaleza 2 2 2 8:5 8
3 Atletico Bucaramanga 1 3 2 6:10 6
4 Colo Colo 1 2 3 5:15 5

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group D

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Sao Paulo 4 2 0 10:4 14
2 Libertad Asuncion 2 3 1 6:5 9
3 Alianza Lima 1 2 3 7:11 5
4 CA Talleres de Córdoba 1 1 4 5:8 4

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group C

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 LDU Quito 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Flamengo 3 2 1 6:3 11
3 Central Cordoba 3 2 1 7:7 11
4 Deportivo Tachira 0 0 6 4:11 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 River Plate 3 3 0 13:7 12
2 Universitario de Deportes 2 2 2 4:4 8
3 Independiente del Valle 2 2 2 8:11 8
4 Barcelona Guayaquil 1 1 4 4:7 4

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Estudiantes LP 4 0 2 11:5 12
2 Botafogo 4 0 2 8:5 12
3 Universidad de Chile 3 1 2 8:6 10
4 Carabobo 0 1 5 2:13 1

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group H

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Penarol 2 1 0 5:2 7
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2 0 1 5:6 6
4 Olimpia Asuncion 1 1 1 4:4 4

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group G

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Palmeiras 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Bolivar 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Cerro Porteno 1 1 1 6:6 4
4 Sporting Cristal 1 0 2 4:5 3

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group F

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Atletico Nacional Medellin 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Internacional 2 1 0 8:4 7
3 EC Bahia 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Nacional De Football 1 0 2 1:3 3

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group E

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Racing Club 2 0 1 6:2 6
2 Fortaleza 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Colo Colo 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Atletico Bucaramanga 0 2 1 4:8 2

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group D

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Sao Paulo 1 2 0 5:4 5
2 CA Talleres de Córdoba 1 1 1 2:1 4
3 Libertad Asuncion 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Alianza Lima 1 0 2 3:5 3

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group C

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 LDU Quito 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Flamengo 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Central Cordoba 1 2 0 3:2 5
4 Deportivo Tachira 0 0 3 3:6 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Independiente del Valle 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 River Plate 1 2 0 7:3 5
3 Universitario de Deportes 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Barcelona Guayaquil 1 0 2 3:4 3

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Botafogo 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Universidad de Chile 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Estudiantes LP 2 0 1 4:2 6
4 Carabobo 0 1 2 2:5 1

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group H

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Velez Sarsfield 1 1 1 5:2 4
2 Penarol 1 1 1 4:2 4
3 Olimpia Asuncion 0 1 2 5:7 1
4 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 0 0 3 0:9 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group G

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Palmeiras 3 0 0 8:4 9
2 Cerro Porteno 1 0 2 1:5 3
3 Sporting Cristal 0 1 2 2:11 1
4 Bolivar 0 0 3 3:8 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group F

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Internacional 1 1 1 4:4 4
2 Nacional De Football 1 1 1 6:7 4
3 EC Bahia 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Atletico Nacional Medellin 0 0 3 0:5 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group E

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Racing Club 2 1 0 8:1 7
2 Fortaleza 1 1 1 4:2 4
3 Atletico Bucaramanga 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Colo Colo 0 1 2 3:11 1

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group D

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Sao Paulo 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Libertad Asuncion 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Alianza Lima 0 2 1 4:6 2
4 CA Talleres de Córdoba 0 0 3 3:7 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group C

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Central Cordoba 2 0 1 4:5 6
2 Flamengo 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 LDU Quito 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Deportivo Tachira 0 0 3 1:5 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 River Plate 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Universitario de Deportes 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Barcelona Guayaquil 0 1 2 1:3 1
4 Independiente del Valle 0 1 2 3:8 1

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Estudiantes LP 2 0 1 7:3 6
2 Universidad de Chile 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Botafogo 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Carabobo 0 0 3 0:8 0
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Pregame recommendation: **Bet:** Under 2.0, 2.5 Goal Line **Winning Probability:** 70% **Odds:** 1.8 **Reasoning:** Racing Club has an exceptional defensive record, conceding only 0.3 goals per game away and keeping clean sheets in 70% of their last 10 matches. Furthermore, 9 of their last 10 games went under the goal line. Combined team statistics indicate a 70% probability of the match having under 2.5 goals.

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BetBallers is a comprehensive tool designed for football bettors to enhance in-play and pre-game betting performance. The platform provides:

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What is the Comeback Factor and how can I use it for betting?

The Comeback Factor is a unique BetBallers metric that measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match:

  • What it measures: Tracks how often a team scores the next goal after the opponent has taken the lead
  • How it works: Every time a team falls behind, the system records whether they manage to score the next goal or not
  • Enhanced accuracy: You can exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics (feature added January 2025)
  • Transparency: Hover over any Comeback Factor stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation

Use the Comeback Factor to identify teams with strong resilience when trailing, creating valuable in-play betting opportunities when these teams fall behind. The enhanced statistics are available across multiple pages including team profiles and head-to-head comparisons.

How do Likelihood Stats help identify value bets?

Likelihood Stats are one of BetBallers' most powerful features, using an eye-catching color-coding system to show whether current odds are backed by historical statistics:

  • Comprehensive Market Coverage: Covers all possible markets from First Half Overs to Corners and everything in between
  • Color-Coded Indicators: Visual system makes it easy to spot at a glance whether odds represent good value or not
  • Historical Validation: Shows how current match statistics compare to historical performance patterns
  • In-Play Integration: Now includes xG stats directly in the likelihood stats column for even more insights

Combine Likelihood Stats with live statistics to avoid situations where real-time stats aren't backed up by historical performance. This dual approach helps identify genuinely profitable betting opportunities rather than statistical anomalies.

What are Variance Stats and how do they identify mispriced teams?

Variance Stats (also called Error Stats) show the average difference from starting lines, helping you identify mispriced teams in seconds:

  • Asian Handicap Variance: Shows which teams consistently outperform or underperform their handicap lines
  • Goal Line Variance: Identifies teams whose matches regularly go over or under expected totals
  • Asian Corners Variance: Reveals teams that generate more or fewer corners than bookmakers expect
  • Quick Identification: Find the most mispriced teams in your league or competition instantly

Variance Stats help you exploit consistent market inefficiencies by showing which teams the bookmakers systematically misprice across the most popular betting markets.

What is the Pressure Index and how is it calculated?

The Pressure Index is a composite statistic that measures which team is dominating a match by combining multiple attacking metrics:

  • Dangerous Attacks: Genuine scoring opportunities where the attacking team gets into dangerous positions
  • Total Shots: All shot attempts including both on-target and off-target efforts
  • Corners: Corner kicks awarded, indicating sustained attacking pressure
  • Percentage Display: Shows as a percentage (e.g., 66% means one team has twice the combined attacking stats)

Use Pressure Index in custom notifications to identify matches where one team is dominating but hasn't scored yet. For example, a notification for home teams with 66%+ Pressure Index while losing 1-0 achieved a 71% win rate in backtesting across 100,000 games.

What subscription plans does BetBallers offer and what features are included?

BetBallers offers a free trial and multiple subscription tiers to suit different betting needs:

  • Free 2-Day Trial: €4.90 - Test all features with full access for 2 days
  • 1-Month Gold-Baller: €29.99 - Full access to all features including AI Assistant and backtesting system
  • 6-Month Gold-Baller: €149.90 - Extended subscription with significant savings per month

All Gold-Baller subscriptions include:

  • Live scores and in-play statistics for all major leagues
  • Custom notification system with unlimited alerts
  • Backtesting system (100,000 games analysis)
  • AI Assistant for schedule and live match analysis
  • Likelihood Stats with color-coding for all markets
  • Variance Stats for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Corners
  • Comeback Factor and Pressure Index statistics
  • xG Stats on match and in-play pages

Note: The 2-day trial does not include access to the backtesting system. Backtesting is only available with 1, 3, or 6-month Gold-Baller subscriptions.

What are xG (Expected Goals) stats and how can I use them for betting?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the quality of scoring chances by calculating the probability that a shot will result in a goal:

  • Available on Multiple Pages: View xG stats on both the match page and the in-play page for comprehensive analysis
  • Likelihood Stats Integration: Enable xG display to see these valuable insights directly in the likelihood stats column during live matches
  • Quality vs Quantity: xG reveals whether a team is creating genuine scoring opportunities or just accumulating low-quality shots
  • Value Betting Indicator: When a team has high xG but hasn't scored, it often indicates the score doesn't reflect match dominance

How to use xG for in-play betting:

  • Compare xG to actual score - if Team A has 2.3 xG but is losing 0-1, they may be unlucky and due for goals
  • Look for xG gaps between teams - a 1.5+ xG difference suggests one team is creating significantly better chances
  • Combine with Pressure Index - high xG plus 66%+ Pressure Index confirms genuine dominance
  • Use in notifications - create alerts for matches where xG doesn't match the scoreline for value betting opportunities

xG stats were added to the in-play page in August 2024, making BetBallers one of the few platforms to provide real-time expected goals data during live matches for immediate betting decisions.

How do I create effective custom notifications using BetBallers?

Creating effective custom notifications involves combining different statistics and using the backtesting system to validate profitability:

  • Mix Different Stats: Combine real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds for more accurate filtering
  • Use Likelihood Validation: Include likelihood stats to ensure real-time performance is backed by historical patterns
  • Test Thoroughly: Run backtests on your notifications to validate profitability across 100,000 historical matches
  • Refine and Iterate: If results are unsatisfactory, tweak your rules and run backtests again until you find winning combinations
  • Filter Results: Use filters to exclude games with incomplete stats or where goals were scored within 2 minutes of notification

Example winning notification:

Home underdog, losing by 1 goal, with 66%+ Pressure Index, current Asian Handicap +0.5 (minimum odds 1.80), and kick-off 1X2 odds under 5.00. This achieved 71% win rate (52 wins from 73 matches).

Fine-tuning takes time, but the backtesting system dramatically speeds up the process by providing instant validation instead of waiting months for real-world results.