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France Ligue 1

[13] Angers 0
2 Marseille [2]

Round: 21
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Lineups

Lineup

4-2-3-1 3-4-3
30 - Yahia Fofana Geronimo Rulli - 1
27 - Lilian Raolisoa Amir Murillo - 62
24 - Emmanuel Biumla Leonardo Balerdi - 5
21 - Jordan Lefort Derek Cornelius - 13
26 - Florent Hanin Luis Henrique - 44
6 - Jean Eudes Aholou Ismael Bennacer - 22
93 - Haris Belkebla Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg - 23
18 - Jim Allevinah Quentin Merlin - 3
10 - Himad Abdelli Mason Greenwood - 10
28 - Farid El Melali Amine Gouiri - 9
19 - Esteban Lepaul Adrien Rabiot - 25

Substitutes

16 - Melvin Zinga Luiz Felipe - 4
3 - Jacques Ekomie Jon Rowe - 17
14 - Yassin Belkhdim Bilal Nadir - 26
7 - Ibrahima Niane Neal Maupay - 8
17 - Justin-Noel Kalumba Ulisses Garcia - 6
5 - Marius Courcoul Amar Dedic - 77
20 - Zinedine Ferhat Jeffrey De Lange - 12
15 - Pierrick Capelle Pol Lirola - 29
25 - Abdoulaye Bamba Geoffrey Kondogbia - 19
  • Main (5)
Show 1st half stats
Date Home Score Away 1x2 Drop Home Asian Handicap Goal Line Asian Corners Dangerous Attacks Total Shots Shots on Target Corners     
17-01-2026 20:05 1 [10] Angers 2 - 5 Marseille [3] 1
S: - 3.75 ?
K: ?4.00 -
 4%
?
1.800
-
?
?
1.875, 1.925
?-?

6-24

?-?

6-2

Open single page
29-10-2025 20:05 2 [3] Marseille 2 - 2 Angers [15] 1
S: - 5.50 ?
K: ?6.50 -
 4%
?
1.900
-
?
?
2.000, 1.800
?-?

11-12

?-?

1-5

Open single page
04-10-2024 18:45 3 1 [3] Marseille 1 - 1 Angers [18] 1
S: - 6.00 ?
K: ?5.50 -
 0%
?
1.870
-
?
?
1.800, 2.000
?-?

16-11

?-?

9-3

Open single page
14-05-2023 18:45 1 [3] Marseille 3 - 1 Angers [20] 2
S: - 7.00 ?
K: ?8.50 -
 3%
?
1.990
-
?
?
1.975, 1.825
?-?

16-4

?-?

7-0

Open single page
30-09-2022 19:00 [14] Angers 0 - 3 Marseille [2]
S: - 3.75 ?
K: ?3.75 -
 0%
?
2.050
-
?
?
1.800, 2.000
?-?
16-14
?-?
6-3
Open single page
Angers Marseille
94 - 13th Shot Off Target - Angers
94 - 12th Shot Off Target - Angers
90 - 11th Shot Off Target - Marseille
Substitution 80 - Substitution - Angers
Substitution 80 - Substitution - Angers
80 - 5th Offside - Angers
77 - 10th Shot Off Target - Marseille
Substitution 75 - Substitution - Angers
Substitution 74 - Substitution - Marseille
Substitution 75 - Substitution - Marseille
Corner 77 - 8th Corner - Marseille
74 - 2nd Assist - Marseille
74 - 10th Shot On Target - Marseille
Goal 74 - 2nd Goal - Marseille
71 - 9th Shot Off Target - Marseille
69 - 1st Assist - Marseille
69 - 9th Shot On Target - Marseille
Goal 69 - 1st Goal - Marseille
68 - 8th Shot Off Target - Marseille
Corner 68 - 7th Corner - Marseille
67 - 4th Offside - Angers
Substitution 64 - Substitution - Marseille
65 - 7th Shot Off Target - Angers
60 - 8th Shot On Target - Marseille
62 - 7th Shot On Target - Marseille
Corner 62 - 6th Corner - Marseille
60 - 6th Shot Off Target - Marseille
Substitution 58 - Substitution - Marseille
58 - 5th Shot Off Target - Marseille
57 - 6th Shot On Target - Marseille
54 - 5th Shot On Target - Marseille
Substitution 54 - Substitution - Angers
Substitution 55 - Substitution - Angers
56 - 4th Shot Off Target - Angers
48 - 3rd Yellow Card - Marseille
48 - 2nd Yellow Card - Angers
37 - 4th Shot On Target - Marseille
45 - 3rd Shot On Target - Marseille
Corner 45 - 5th Corner - Marseille
38 - 2nd Shot On Target - Marseille
37 - 3rd Shot Off Target - Marseille
Corner 36 - 4th Corner - Marseille
29 - 3rd Offside - Angers
25 - 1st Shot On Target - Marseille
Corner 21 - 3rd Corner - Marseille
16 - 1st Yellow Card - Marseille
15 - 2nd Offside - Angers
14 - 1st Offside - Marseille
2 - 2nd Shot Off Target - Angers
2 - 1st Shot Off Target - Marseille
Corner 2 - 2nd Corner - Marseille
Corner 2 - 1st Corner - Angers
  • Current
  • 1st Half
  • 2nd Half
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
  • Last 15
  • Last 20
  • Last 25
  • Since Last Goal
Full-Time xG Corners Penalties Substitutions Offsides Saves Shots Blocked Fouls Ball Safe Injures Goals
Angers 0.44 1 1 0 0 5 4 5 1 10 58 2 0
Marseille 2.43 7 2 0 0 4 1 0 3 8 55 0 2
22%
Possession
78%
0
Shots on Target
8
6
Shots off Target
8
48
Attacks
167
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
21:30 - 1x2: 451.000 51.000 1.002
21:32 - Asian Handicap: (0) 3.250, 1.350
21:37 - Goal Line: (2.5) 8.750, 1.075
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Angers 0 0 0 0 2 0
Marseille 0 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
2
Shots off Target
2
11
Attacks
30
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
1st Half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Angers 1 0 0 0 0 0
Marseille 4 1 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
3
1
Shots off Target
3
24
Attacks
97
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
2nd half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Angers 0 1 0 0 5 0
Marseille 3 1 0 0 2 2
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
5
24
Attacks
70
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 5 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Angers 0 0 0 0 0 0
Marseille 0 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
2
Shots off Target
1
7
Attacks
17
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 10 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Angers 0 0 0 0 0 0
Marseille 0 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
2
Shots off Target
1
11
Attacks
25
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Angers 0 0 0 0 0 0
Marseille 0 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
2
Shots off Target
2
11
Attacks
30
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 20 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Angers 0 0 0 0 3 0
Marseille 1 0 0 0 2 1
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
1
2
Shots off Target
3
14
Attacks
32
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 25 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Angers 0 0 0 0 3 0
Marseille 2 0 0 0 2 2
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
4
15
Attacks
37
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Since Last Goal Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Angers 0 0 0 0 3 0
Marseille 1 0 0 0 1 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
2
Shots off Target
2
11
Attacks
31
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
21:30 - 1x2: 451.000 51.000 1.002
21:32 - Asian Handicap: (0) 3.250, 1.350
21:37 - Goal Line: (2.5) 8.750, 1.075

1X2 Odds

Dangerous Attacks

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Possession

Attacks

Statistics based on last games

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UEFA Champions League

  • Overall
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  • Away

UEFA Champions League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Arsenal 8 0 0 23:4 24
2 Bayern Munich 7 0 1 22:8 21
3 Liverpool 6 0 2 20:8 18
4 Tottenham 5 2 1 17:7 17
5 Barcelona 5 1 2 22:14 16
6 Chelsea 5 1 2 17:10 16
7 Sporting 5 1 2 17:11 16
8 Man City 5 1 2 15:9 16
9 Real Madrid 5 0 3 21:12 15
10 Inter Milan 5 0 3 15:7 15
11 PSG 4 2 2 21:11 14
12 Newcastle 4 2 2 17:7 14
13 Juventus 3 4 1 14:10 13
14 Atletico Madrid 4 1 3 17:15 13
15 Atalanta 4 1 3 10:10 13
16 Bayer Leverkusen 3 3 2 13:14 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 3 2 3 19:17 11
18 Olympiacos 3 2 3 10:14 11
19 Club Brugge 3 1 4 15:17 10
20 Galatasaray 3 1 4 9:11 10
21 Monaco 2 4 2 8:14 10
22 FK Qarabag 3 1 4 13:21 10
23 Bodo/Glimt 2 3 3 14:15 9
24 Benfica 3 0 5 10:12 9
25 Marseille 3 0 5 11:14 9
26 Pafos FC 2 3 3 8:11 9
27 Union Saint Gilloise 3 0 5 8:17 9
28 PSV 2 2 4 16:16 8
29 Athletic Bilbao 2 2 4 9:14 8
30 Napoli 2 2 4 9:15 8
31 FC Copenhagen 2 2 4 12:21 8
32 Ajax 2 0 6 8:21 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 1 1 6 10:21 4
34 Slavia Prague 0 3 5 5:19 3
35 Villarreal 0 1 7 5:18 1
36 Kairat Almaty 0 1 7 7:22 1

UEFA Champions League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Bayern Munich 4 0 0 12:2 12
2 Tottenham 4 0 0 10:0 12
3 Arsenal 4 0 0 12:3 12
4 Chelsea 4 0 0 10:1 12
5 Sporting 4 0 0 11:3 12
6 Barcelona 3 0 1 13:5 9
7 Newcastle 3 0 1 9:2 9
8 Atletico Madrid 3 0 1 11:5 9
9 Real Madrid 3 0 1 10:4 9
10 Liverpool 3 0 1 11:6 9
11 Man City 3 0 1 8:3 9
12 Juventus 2 2 0 9:5 8
13 PSG 2 1 1 11:6 7
14 Borussia Dortmund 2 1 1 10:5 7
15 Club Brugge 2 1 1 10:7 7
16 Napoli 2 1 1 6:4 7
17 Galatasaray 2 1 1 5:3 7
18 FK Qarabag 2 1 1 9:8 7
19 Atalanta 2 1 1 6:5 7
20 Pafos FC 2 1 1 8:8 7
21 Benfica 2 0 2 8:6 6
22 Inter Milan 2 0 2 6:5 6
22 Marseille 2 0 2 6:5 6
24 Monaco 1 3 0 3:2 6
25 Olympiacos 1 2 1 6:5 5
26 FC Copenhagen 1 2 1 8:9 5
27 Bayer Leverkusen 1 2 1 8:10 5
28 Bodo/Glimt 1 1 2 7:7 4
29 Athletic Bilbao 1 1 2 5:6 4
30 PSV 1 0 3 10:10 3
31 Eintracht Frankfurt 1 0 3 6:11 3
32 Union Saint Gilloise 1 0 3 3:11 3
33 Slavia Prague 0 2 2 4:9 2
34 Villarreal 0 1 3 5:9 1
35 Kairat Almaty 0 1 3 1:10 1
36 Ajax 0 0 4 1:9 0

UEFA Champions League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Arsenal 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Inter Milan 3 0 1 9:2 9
2 Liverpool 3 0 1 9:2 9
4 Bayern Munich 3 0 1 10:6 9
5 PSG 2 1 1 10:5 7
6 Man City 2 1 1 7:6 7
7 Bayer Leverkusen 2 1 1 5:4 7
8 Barcelona 2 1 1 9:9 7
9 Real Madrid 2 0 2 11:8 6
10 Union Saint Gilloise 2 0 2 5:6 6
11 Atalanta 2 0 2 4:5 6
12 Ajax 2 0 2 7:12 6
13 Olympiacos 2 0 2 4:9 6
14 Newcastle 1 2 1 8:5 5
15 Tottenham 1 2 1 7:7 5
16 PSV 1 2 1 6:6 5
17 Juventus 1 2 1 5:5 5
18 Bodo/Glimt 1 2 1 7:8 5
19 Chelsea 1 1 2 7:9 4
20 Sporting 1 1 2 6:8 4
21 Borussia Dortmund 1 1 2 9:12 4
22 Atletico Madrid 1 1 2 6:10 4
23 Athletic Bilbao 1 1 2 4:8 4
24 Monaco 1 1 2 5:12 4
25 Marseille 1 0 3 5:9 3
26 Galatasaray 1 0 3 4:8 3
27 Benfica 1 0 3 2:6 3
28 Club Brugge 1 0 3 5:10 3
29 FC Copenhagen 1 0 3 4:12 3
30 FK Qarabag 1 0 3 4:13 3
31 Pafos FC 0 2 2 0:3 2
32 Eintracht Frankfurt 0 1 3 4:10 1
33 Napoli 0 1 3 3:11 1
34 Slavia Prague 0 1 3 1:10 1
35 Kairat Almaty 0 0 4 6:12 0
36 Villarreal 0 0 4 0:9 0

France Ligue 1

  • Overall
  • Home
  • Away

Ligue 1 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 PSG 16 3 2 48:16 51
2 Lens 16 1 4 37:17 49
3 Lyon 13 3 5 34:20 42
4 Marseille 12 3 6 46:27 39
5 Lille 10 3 8 34:30 33
6 Rennes 8 7 6 31:34 31
7 Strasbourg 9 3 9 34:27 30
8 Toulouse 8 6 7 31:24 30
9 Angers 8 5 8 22:25 29
10 Monaco 8 4 9 32:33 28
11 Lorient 7 7 7 27:33 28
12 Brest 7 5 9 28:33 26
13 Le Havre 5 8 8 18:26 23
14 Nice 6 5 10 27:38 23
15 Paris FC 5 7 9 26:34 22
16 Auxerre 3 5 13 14:29 14
17 Nantes 3 5 13 19:37 14
18 Metz 3 4 14 21:46 13

Ligue 1 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Lens 10 0 1 21:5 30
2 PSG 9 1 0 27:4 28
3 Lyon 8 0 2 17:7 24
4 Marseille 7 2 1 27:11 23
5 Angers 6 2 3 16:12 20
6 Strasbourg 6 1 3 17:7 19
7 Lille 6 1 3 17:12 19
8 Monaco 6 1 4 22:18 19
9 Lorient 5 4 1 20:16 19
10 Rennes 5 3 2 19:11 18
11 Brest 5 3 3 16:13 18
12 Le Havre 4 5 2 13:10 17
13 Toulouse 4 4 3 19:15 16
14 Nice 4 4 3 14:14 16
15 Auxerre 3 2 6 10:12 11
16 Paris FC 2 4 4 14:17 10
17 Metz 2 3 5 9:15 9
18 Nantes 1 2 8 10:22 5

Ligue 1 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 PSG 7 2 2 21:12 23
2 Lens 6 1 3 16:12 19
3 Lyon 5 3 3 17:13 18
4 Marseille 5 1 5 19:16 16
5 Toulouse 4 2 4 12:9 14
6 Lille 4 2 5 17:18 14
7 Rennes 3 4 4 12:23 13
8 Paris FC 3 3 5 12:17 12
9 Strasbourg 3 2 6 17:20 11
10 Monaco 2 3 5 10:15 9
11 Nantes 2 3 5 9:15 9
12 Angers 2 3 5 6:13 9
13 Lorient 2 3 6 7:17 9
14 Brest 2 2 6 12:20 8
15 Nice 2 1 7 13:24 7
16 Le Havre 1 3 6 5:16 6
17 Metz 1 1 9 12:31 4
18 Auxerre 0 3 7 4:17 3
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Likelihood Statistics
Previous Matches
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    Enhanced Winning and Comeback Statistics We’ve refined our winning and comeback formulas with two key improvements: New filtering option: You can now exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics Transparency feature: Hover over any stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation These enhanced statistics are now available across […]

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    We’re thrilled to announce two awesome updates that will take your match analysis to the next level! 1️⃣ You can now view xG stats not only on the match page but also on the in-play page! Simply enable it, and you’ll find these valuable insights in the likelihood stats column.   2️⃣ We’ve introduced two […]

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    The Comeback Factor What is it? The Comeback Factor measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match. It tells you how often a team can bounce back by scoring the next goal after the other team has taken the lead. How does it work? Every time a team falls behind, […]

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The most comprehensive football betting platform with live scores, in-play statistics, AI assistant, backtesting tools, and unique analytical features

  • Live Football Scores & In-Play Stats

    Real-time match data with live scores, in-play statistics, dangerous attacks, and pressure index for informed betting decisions.

    Live Scores In-Play Stats Real-Time Data

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    Proprietary metric measuring how teams recover after falling behind - exclusive to BetBallers for underdog betting strategies.

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    Complete match statistics including corners, shots, Asian handicap data, head-to-head records, and betting odds comparison.

    Statistics Betting Odds Asian Handicap

  • Momentum Betting Tracker aka Pressure Index

    Track game momentum shifts in real-time to identify betting opportunities during live matches with visual momentum indicators.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about football betting statistics, live scores, and using BetBallers effectively

What statistics and features does BetBallers provide for football betting?

BetBallers is a comprehensive tool designed for football bettors to enhance in-play and pre-game betting performance. The platform provides:

  • Live Match Statistics: Real-time stats including dangerous attacks, corners, shots, and pressure index for all in-play matches
  • Likelihood Stats: Color-coded system covering all markets from First Half Overs to Corners, making it easy to spot whether odds are backed by statistics
  • Variance Stats: Shows average differences from starting lines for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Asian Corners to identify mispriced teams in seconds
  • Comeback Factor: Measures how effectively teams recover after falling behind by tracking how often they score the next goal
  • xG Stats: Expected goals available on both match pages and in-play pages within the likelihood stats column
  • Pressure Index: Combines dangerous attacks, total shots, and corners to measure which team is dominating the match

The platform features a customizable and user-friendly layout with the best coverage of games to ensure you never miss potential betting opportunities.

How does the BetBallers notification system work?

BetBallers offers a powerful notification system that significantly reduces the chance of missing potential bets:

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  • Visual Alerts: Notifications appear on the top right corner when matches meet your set criteria
  • Results Tracking: The system tracks all notifications received with results easily filterable by different options

Example notification: Alert for home underdogs losing by 1 goal but with 66%+ Pressure Index, Asian Handicap +0.5, and kick-off odds under 5.00. This specific notification has achieved a 71% win rate (52 wins, 21 losses) in backtesting.

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The Backtesting System is a game-changing feature that validates your in-play betting strategies in minutes instead of waiting months for results:

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  • Retrospective Likelihood Stats: Each game's likelihood stats are calculated retrospectively from that particular match for accurate testing
  • Results in Minutes: Get comprehensive backtest results in minutes or even seconds, depending on your rule complexity
  • Advanced Filtering: Filter results by Asian Handicap, Goal Line, Asian Corners, specific days, goals scored within 2 minutes, or missing dangerous attacks

The backtesting system excludes E-Soccer, Beach Soccer, and other shortened matches to ensure data quality. This feature is available to all Gold-Ballers subscription users (1, 3, or 6-month plans).

How does the AI Assistant enhance betting decisions?

BetBallers' AI Assistant helps identify the best value bets and provides quick match insights to enhance your betting strategy:

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  • Live Match Intelligence: Each live game includes an AI assistant tab providing real-time analysis based on your customized dataset preferences
  • Quick Match Overviews: Get instant summaries of match situations without manually reviewing all statistics

The AI Assistant helps you make faster, more informed betting decisions by processing complex statistical relationships that would be time-consuming to analyze manually.

What is the Comeback Factor and how can I use it for betting?

The Comeback Factor is a unique BetBallers metric that measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match:

  • What it measures: Tracks how often a team scores the next goal after the opponent has taken the lead
  • How it works: Every time a team falls behind, the system records whether they manage to score the next goal or not
  • Enhanced accuracy: You can exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics (feature added January 2025)
  • Transparency: Hover over any Comeback Factor stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation

Use the Comeback Factor to identify teams with strong resilience when trailing, creating valuable in-play betting opportunities when these teams fall behind. The enhanced statistics are available across multiple pages including team profiles and head-to-head comparisons.

How do Likelihood Stats help identify value bets?

Likelihood Stats are one of BetBallers' most powerful features, using an eye-catching color-coding system to show whether current odds are backed by historical statistics:

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  • Historical Validation: Shows how current match statistics compare to historical performance patterns
  • In-Play Integration: Now includes xG stats directly in the likelihood stats column for even more insights

Combine Likelihood Stats with live statistics to avoid situations where real-time stats aren't backed up by historical performance. This dual approach helps identify genuinely profitable betting opportunities rather than statistical anomalies.

What are Variance Stats and how do they identify mispriced teams?

Variance Stats (also called Error Stats) show the average difference from starting lines, helping you identify mispriced teams in seconds:

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Variance Stats help you exploit consistent market inefficiencies by showing which teams the bookmakers systematically misprice across the most popular betting markets.

What is the Pressure Index and how is it calculated?

The Pressure Index is a composite statistic that measures which team is dominating a match by combining multiple attacking metrics:

  • Dangerous Attacks: Genuine scoring opportunities where the attacking team gets into dangerous positions
  • Total Shots: All shot attempts including both on-target and off-target efforts
  • Corners: Corner kicks awarded, indicating sustained attacking pressure
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Use Pressure Index in custom notifications to identify matches where one team is dominating but hasn't scored yet. For example, a notification for home teams with 66%+ Pressure Index while losing 1-0 achieved a 71% win rate in backtesting across 100,000 games.

What subscription plans does BetBallers offer and what features are included?

BetBallers offers a free trial and multiple subscription tiers to suit different betting needs:

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  • Variance Stats for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Corners
  • Comeback Factor and Pressure Index statistics
  • xG Stats on match and in-play pages

Note: The 2-day trial does not include access to the backtesting system. Backtesting is only available with 1, 3, or 6-month Gold-Baller subscriptions.

What are xG (Expected Goals) stats and how can I use them for betting?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the quality of scoring chances by calculating the probability that a shot will result in a goal:

  • Available on Multiple Pages: View xG stats on both the match page and the in-play page for comprehensive analysis
  • Likelihood Stats Integration: Enable xG display to see these valuable insights directly in the likelihood stats column during live matches
  • Quality vs Quantity: xG reveals whether a team is creating genuine scoring opportunities or just accumulating low-quality shots
  • Value Betting Indicator: When a team has high xG but hasn't scored, it often indicates the score doesn't reflect match dominance

How to use xG for in-play betting:

  • Compare xG to actual score - if Team A has 2.3 xG but is losing 0-1, they may be unlucky and due for goals
  • Look for xG gaps between teams - a 1.5+ xG difference suggests one team is creating significantly better chances
  • Combine with Pressure Index - high xG plus 66%+ Pressure Index confirms genuine dominance
  • Use in notifications - create alerts for matches where xG doesn't match the scoreline for value betting opportunities

xG stats were added to the in-play page in August 2024, making BetBallers one of the few platforms to provide real-time expected goals data during live matches for immediate betting decisions.

How do I create effective custom notifications using BetBallers?

Creating effective custom notifications involves combining different statistics and using the backtesting system to validate profitability:

  • Mix Different Stats: Combine real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds for more accurate filtering
  • Use Likelihood Validation: Include likelihood stats to ensure real-time performance is backed by historical patterns
  • Test Thoroughly: Run backtests on your notifications to validate profitability across 100,000 historical matches
  • Refine and Iterate: If results are unsatisfactory, tweak your rules and run backtests again until you find winning combinations
  • Filter Results: Use filters to exclude games with incomplete stats or where goals were scored within 2 minutes of notification

Example winning notification:

Home underdog, losing by 1 goal, with 66%+ Pressure Index, current Asian Handicap +0.5 (minimum odds 1.80), and kick-off 1X2 odds under 5.00. This achieved 71% win rate (52 wins from 73 matches).

Fine-tuning takes time, but the backtesting system dramatically speeds up the process by providing instant validation instead of waiting months for real-world results.