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Germany Bundesliga I

[9] Werder Bremen 1
0 Mainz [6]

Round: 20
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Lineups

Lineup

3-5-2 3-4-2-1
1 - Michael Zetterer Robin Zentner - 27
4 - Niklas Stark Danny da Costa - 21
32 - Marco Friedl Stefan Bell - 16
3 - Anthony Jung Dominik Kohr - 31
8 - Mitchell Weiser Anthony Caci - 19
10 - Leonardo Bittencourt Kaishu Sano - 6
14 - Senne Lynen Nadiem Amiri - 18
20 - Romano Schmid Philipp Mwene - 2
29 - Issa Kabore Paul Nebel - 8
11 - Justin Njinmah Lee Jae-sung - 7
7 - Marvin Ducksch Nelson Weiper - 44

Substitutes

17 - Marco Grull Moritz Jenz - 3
19 - Derrick Kohn Andreas Hanche-Olsen - 25
39 - Patrice Covic Lasse Riess - 1
33 - Abdenego Nankishi Armindo Sieb - 11
30 - Mio Backhaus Arnaud Nordin - 9
28 - Skelly Alvero Silvan Widmer - 30
5 - Amos Pieper Lennard Maloney - 15
13 - Milos Veljkovic Hong Hyeon-seok - 14
  • Main (5)
Show 1st half stats
Date Home Score Away 1x2 Drop Home Asian Handicap Goal Line Asian Corners Dangerous Attacks Total Shots Shots on Target Corners     
15-03-2026 14:30 2 [14] Werder Bremen 0 - 2 Mainz [15] 1
S: - 3.40 ?
K: ?3.50 -
 7%
?
1.950
-
?
?
1.825, 1.975
?-?

16-11

?-?

9-4

Open single page
01-11-2025 14:30 1 [16] Mainz 1 - 1 Werder Bremen [9] 3
S: - 3.60 ?
K: ?3.75 -
 12%
?
1.850
-
?
?
1.875, 1.925
?-?

10-5

?-?

2-0

Open single page
15-09-2024 15:30 3 [13] Mainz 1 - 2 Werder Bremen [14] 1 1
S: - 3.75 ?
K: ?3.60 -
 8%
?
1.920
-
?
?
2.000, 1.800
?-?

16-14

?-?

10-4

Open single page
03-02-2024 14:30 4 [17] Mainz 0 - 1 Werder Bremen [10] 3
S: - 3.50 ?
K: ?3.60 -
 45%
?
1.950
-
?
?
2.000, 1.800
?-?

23-6

?-?

11-1

Open single page
08-04-2023 13:30 1 [8] Mainz 2 - 2 Werder Bremen [11] 5
S: - 3.80 ?
K: ?4.00 -
 7%
?
1.850
-
?
?
2.000, 1.800
?-?

16-9

?-?

1-2

Open single page
Werder Bremen Mainz
97 - 18th Shot Off Target - Mainz
97 - 18th Shot Off Target - Mainz
98 - 9th Yellow Card - Werder Bremen
Corner 97 - 11th Corner - Mainz
Corner 97 - 10th Corner - Mainz
94 - 2nd Red Card - Werder Bremen
93 - 1st Red Card - Werder Bremen
92 - 8th Yellow Card - Werder Bremen
91 - 7th Yellow Card - Werder Bremen
87 - 17th Shot Off Target - Mainz
Substitution 86 - Substitution - Werder Bremen
83 - 16th Shot Off Target - Werder Bremen
82 - 7th Shot On Target - Werder Bremen
Substitution 81 - Substitution - Mainz
Substitution 81 - Substitution - Mainz
83 - 15th Shot Off Target - Werder Bremen
Corner 82 - 9th Corner - Werder Bremen
80 - 6th Yellow Card - Mainz
Substitution 78 - Substitution - Mainz
78 - 5th Yellow Card - Werder Bremen
76 - 14th Shot Off Target - Werder Bremen
75 - 6th Shot On Target - Werder Bremen
75 - 2nd Offside - Werder Bremen
Substitution 70 - Substitution - Werder Bremen
Substitution 70 - Substitution - Werder Bremen
69 - 5th Shot On Target - Mainz
61 - 13th Shot Off Target - Mainz
Corner 62 - 8th Corner - Mainz
Substitution 55 - Substitution - Mainz
53 - 12th Shot Off Target - Mainz
51 - 11th Shot Off Target - Mainz
Corner 51 - 7th Corner - Mainz
50 - 4th Shot On Target - Mainz
49 - 10th Shot Off Target - Mainz
Corner 50 - 6th Corner - Mainz
Corner 49 - 5th Corner - Mainz
47 - 9th Shot Off Target - Werder Bremen
46 - 8th Shot Off Target - Mainz
Corner 46 - 4th Corner - Mainz
Substitution 46 - Substitution - Mainz
44 - 4th Yellow Card - Mainz
42 - 3rd Yellow Card - Werder Bremen
Substitution 36 - Substitution - Werder Bremen
35 - 7th Shot Off Target - Mainz
30 - 3rd Shot On Target - Werder Bremen
28 - 6th Shot Off Target - Mainz
27 - 5th Shot Off Target - Mainz
26 - 2nd Yellow Card - Werder Bremen
14 - 4th Shot Off Target - Werder Bremen
Corner 21 - 3rd Corner - Mainz
19 - 1st Offside - Mainz
19 - 1st Offside - Mainz
14 - 1st Assist - Werder Bremen
14 - 2nd Shot On Target - Werder Bremen
14 - 3rd Shot Off Target - Werder Bremen
Goal 14 - 1st Goal - Werder Bremen
Corner 14 - 2nd Corner - Werder Bremen
12 - 1st Shot On Target - Werder Bremen
12 - Missed Penalty - Werder Bremen
10 - 1st Yellow Card - Mainz
Corner 5 - 1st Corner - Werder Bremen
1 - 2nd Shot Off Target - Werder Bremen
1 - 1st Shot Off Target - Werder Bremen
  • Current
  • 1st Half
  • 2nd Half
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
  • Last 15
  • Last 20
  • Last 25
  • Since Last Goal
  • Since Red
Full-Time xG Corners Penalties Substitutions Offsides Saves Shots Blocked Fouls Ball Safe Injures Goals
Werder Bremen 2.91 3 6 2 1 4 1 2 0 13 66 5 1
Mainz 1.08 8 3 0 0 5 1 2 4 13 81 2 0
37%
Possession
63%
5
Shots on Target
2
8
Shots off Target
10
74
Attacks
140
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
21:30 - 1x2: 1.050 11.000 401.000
21:28 - Asian Handicap: (+0.25) 1.300, 3.600
21:28 - Goal Line: (1.5) 5.500, 1.160
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Werder Bremen 1 4 2 0 1 0
Mainz 2 1 0 0 3 0
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
0
2
Shots off Target
2
13
Attacks
28
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
1st Half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Werder Bremen 2 2 0 1 1 1
Mainz 1 2 0 0 1 0
-
Possession
-
3
Shots on Target
0
4
Shots off Target
3
45
Attacks
58
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
2nd half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Werder Bremen 1 4 2 0 3 0
Mainz 7 1 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
2
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
7
29
Attacks
82
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 5 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Werder Bremen 0 3 2 0 0 0
Mainz 2 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Shots off Target
2
10
Attacks
15
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 10 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Werder Bremen 1 3 2 0 1 0
Mainz 2 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
0
2
Shots off Target
2
11
Attacks
18
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Werder Bremen 1 4 2 0 0 0
Mainz 2 1 0 0 3 0
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
0
2
Shots off Target
2
13
Attacks
28
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 20 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Werder Bremen 1 4 2 0 1 0
Mainz 2 1 0 0 3 0
-
Possession
-
2
Shots on Target
0
3
Shots off Target
2
16
Attacks
41
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 25 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Werder Bremen 1 4 2 0 3 0
Mainz 2 1 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
2
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
2
18
Attacks
54
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Since Last Goal Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Werder Bremen 1 6 2 0 4 0
Mainz 8 2 0 0 5 0
-
Possession
-
4
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
10
50
Attacks
133
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Since Red Card Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Werder Bremen 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mainz 0 0 0 0 5 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Shots off Target
0
0
Attacks
0
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
21:30 - 1x2: 1.050 11.000 401.000
21:28 - Asian Handicap: (+0.25) 1.300, 3.600
21:28 - Goal Line: (1.5) 5.500, 1.160

1X2 Odds

Dangerous Attacks

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Possession

Attacks

Statistics based on last games

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UEFA Conference League

  • Overall
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  • Away

UEFA Conference League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Strasbourg 5 1 0 11:5 16
2 Rakow Czestochowa 4 2 0 9:2 14
3 AEK Athens 4 1 1 14:7 13
4 Sparta Prague 4 1 1 10:3 13
5 Rayo Vallecano 4 1 1 13:7 13
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 4 1 1 10:5 13
7 Mainz 4 1 1 7:3 13
8 AEK Larnaca 3 3 0 7:1 12
9 Lausanne Sports 3 2 1 6:3 11
10 Crystal Palace 3 1 2 11:6 10
11 Lech Poznan 3 1 2 12:8 10
12 Samsunspor 3 1 2 10:6 10
13 NK Celje 3 1 2 8:7 10
14 AZ 3 1 2 7:7 10
15 Fiorentina 3 0 3 8:5 9
16 HNK Rijeka 2 3 1 5:2 9
17 Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 3 1 5:4 9
18 Omonia Nicosia 2 2 2 5:4 8
19 FC Noah 2 2 2 6:7 8
20 KF Drita 2 2 2 4:8 8
21 KuPS Kuopio 1 4 1 6:5 7
22 Shkendija Tetovo 2 1 3 4:5 7
23 Zrinjski Mostar 2 1 3 8:10 7
24 Sigma Olomouc 2 1 3 7:9 7
25 CS U Craiova 2 1 3 6:8 7
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC 2 1 3 7:15 7
27 Dynamo Kiev 2 0 4 9:9 6
28 Legia Warsaw 2 0 4 8:8 6
29 Slovan Bratislava 2 0 4 5:9 6
30 Breidablik 1 2 3 6:11 5
31 Shamrock Rovers 1 1 4 7:13 4
32 BK Hacken 0 3 3 5:8 3
33 Hamrun Spartans 1 0 5 4:11 3
34 Shelbourne 0 2 4 0:7 2
35 Aberdeen 0 2 4 3:14 2
36 Rapid Vienna 0 1 5 3:14 1

UEFA Conference League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Rayo Vallecano 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Rakow Czestochowa 3 0 0 7:1 9
3 Mainz 3 0 0 5:1 9
4 AEK Athens 2 1 0 10:3 7
5 Zrinjski Mostar 2 1 0 8:2 7
6 Sparta Prague 2 1 0 7:1 7
7 Lech Poznan 2 1 0 7:2 7
8 AEK Larnaca 2 1 0 5:0 7
9 Lausanne Sports 2 1 0 5:1 7
10 HNK Rijeka 2 1 0 4:0 7
11 Strasbourg 2 1 0 6:3 7
12 NK Celje 2 1 0 5:2 7
13 Shkendija Tetovo 2 1 0 4:1 7
14 AZ 2 1 0 3:0 7
15 Lincoln Red Imps FC 2 1 0 5:3 7
16 Dynamo Kiev 2 0 1 8:2 6
17 Samsunspor 2 0 1 7:2 6
18 Fiorentina 2 0 1 4:2 6
19 FC Noah 2 0 1 4:3 6
19 Slovan Bratislava 2 0 1 4:3 6
21 Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 0 1 3:2 6
22 Breidablik 1 2 0 5:3 5
23 KuPS Kuopio 1 2 0 4:2 5
24 Crystal Palace 1 1 1 5:4 4
25 Shakhtar Donetsk 1 1 1 3:2 4
26 Sigma Olomouc 1 1 1 4:4 4
27 CS U Craiova 1 1 1 3:3 4
28 KF Drita 1 1 1 2:4 4
29 Legia Warsaw 1 0 2 4:3 3
30 Omonia Nicosia 1 0 2 2:2 3
31 Shamrock Rovers 1 0 2 4:5 3
32 Hamrun Spartans 1 0 2 3:4 3
33 BK Hacken 0 2 1 4:5 2
34 Aberdeen 0 1 2 3:5 1
35 Shelbourne 0 1 2 0:4 1
36 Rapid Vienna 0 0 3 0:5 0

UEFA Conference League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Shakhtar Donetsk 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 Strasbourg 3 0 0 5:2 9
3 Crystal Palace 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Sparta Prague 2 0 1 3:2 6
5 AEK Athens 2 0 1 4:4 6
6 Omonia Nicosia 1 2 0 3:2 5
7 AEK Larnaca 1 2 0 2:1 5
7 Rakow Czestochowa 1 2 0 2:1 5
9 Rayo Vallecano 1 1 1 5:5 4
10 Mainz 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Samsunspor 1 1 1 3:4 4
12 Lausanne Sports 1 1 1 1:2 4
13 KF Drita 1 1 1 2:4 4
14 Fiorentina 1 0 2 4:3 3
15 Jagiellonia Bialystok 0 3 0 2:2 3
16 Lech Poznan 1 0 2 5:6 3
17 Legia Warsaw 1 0 2 4:5 3
18 CS U Craiova 1 0 2 3:5 3
18 NK Celje 1 0 2 3:5 3
18 Sigma Olomouc 1 0 2 3:5 3
21 AZ 1 0 2 4:7 3
22 KuPS Kuopio 0 2 1 2:3 2
23 HNK Rijeka 0 2 1 1:2 2
24 FC Noah 0 2 1 2:4 2
25 BK Hacken 0 1 2 1:3 1
26 Shelbourne 0 1 2 0:3 1
27 Shamrock Rovers 0 1 2 3:8 1
28 Rapid Vienna 0 1 2 3:9 1
29 Aberdeen 0 1 2 0:9 1
30 Shkendija Tetovo 0 0 3 0:4 0
31 Slovan Bratislava 0 0 3 1:6 0
32 Dynamo Kiev 0 0 3 1:7 0
32 Hamrun Spartans 0 0 3 1:7 0
34 Breidablik 0 0 3 1:8 0
35 Zrinjski Mostar 0 0 3 0:8 0
36 Lincoln Red Imps FC 0 0 3 2:12 0

Germany Bundesliga I

  • Overall
  • Home
  • Away

Bundesliga 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Bayern Munich 24 4 1 105:27 76
2 Borussia Dortmund 19 7 3 60:29 64
3 VfB Stuttgart 17 5 7 60:38 56
4 RB Leipzig 17 5 7 56:36 56
5 Bayer Leverkusen 15 7 7 59:39 52
6 TSG Hoffenheim 15 6 8 57:43 51
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 11 9 9 54:54 42
8 SC Freiburg 10 7 11 41:47 37
9 Mainz 8 9 11 35:43 33
10 Augsburg 9 6 14 36:53 33
11 Union Berlin 8 8 13 33:50 32
12 Hamburg 7 10 12 32:45 31
13 Cologne 7 9 13 43:50 30
14 Borussia M'gladbach 7 9 13 35:49 30
15 Werder Bremen 7 7 15 32:52 28
16 St Pauli 6 7 16 25:50 25
17 Wolfsburg 5 6 18 39:65 21
18 Heidenheim 4 7 18 32:64 19

Bundesliga 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Bayern Munich 12 1 1 56:13 37
2 Borussia Dortmund 11 2 2 33:14 35
3 VfB Stuttgart 11 2 2 26:14 35
4 RB Leipzig 10 2 3 35:18 32
5 Bayer Leverkusen 8 3 3 32:15 27
6 TSG Hoffenheim 8 1 5 29:17 25
7 SC Freiburg 7 4 3 26:19 25
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 7 3 4 25:20 24
9 Augsburg 6 4 5 21:26 22
10 Hamburg 5 6 4 21:18 21
11 Cologne 5 4 6 28:25 19
12 Union Berlin 4 6 4 19:22 18
13 Mainz 4 5 5 17:17 17
14 Borussia M'gladbach 4 5 5 18:23 17
15 Werder Bremen 4 4 6 15:25 16
16 St Pauli 4 4 6 14:25 16
17 Heidenheim 3 5 7 21:35 14
18 Wolfsburg 2 3 10 21:31 9

Bundesliga 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Bayern Munich 12 3 0 49:14 39
2 Borussia Dortmund 8 5 1 27:15 29
3 TSG Hoffenheim 7 5 3 28:26 26
4 Bayer Leverkusen 7 4 4 27:24 25
5 RB Leipzig 7 3 4 21:18 24
6 VfB Stuttgart 6 3 5 34:24 21
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 6 5 29:34 18
8 Mainz 4 4 6 18:26 16
9 Union Berlin 4 2 9 14:28 14
10 Borussia M'gladbach 3 4 8 17:26 13
11 Werder Bremen 3 3 9 17:27 12
12 SC Freiburg 3 3 8 15:28 12
13 Wolfsburg 3 3 8 18:34 12
14 Cologne 2 5 7 15:25 11
15 Augsburg 3 2 9 15:27 11
16 Hamburg 2 4 8 11:27 10
17 St Pauli 2 3 10 11:25 9
18 Heidenheim 1 2 11 11:29 5
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    The Comeback Factor What is it? The Comeback Factor measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match. It tells you how often a team can bounce back by scoring the next goal after the other team has taken the lead. How does it work? Every time a team falls behind, […]

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Everything you need to know about football betting statistics, live scores, and using BetBallers effectively

What statistics and features does BetBallers provide for football betting?

BetBallers is a comprehensive tool designed for football bettors to enhance in-play and pre-game betting performance. The platform provides:

  • Live Match Statistics: Real-time stats including dangerous attacks, corners, shots, and pressure index for all in-play matches
  • Likelihood Stats: Color-coded system covering all markets from First Half Overs to Corners, making it easy to spot whether odds are backed by statistics
  • Variance Stats: Shows average differences from starting lines for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Asian Corners to identify mispriced teams in seconds
  • Comeback Factor: Measures how effectively teams recover after falling behind by tracking how often they score the next goal
  • xG Stats: Expected goals available on both match pages and in-play pages within the likelihood stats column
  • Pressure Index: Combines dangerous attacks, total shots, and corners to measure which team is dominating the match

The platform features a customizable and user-friendly layout with the best coverage of games to ensure you never miss potential betting opportunities.

How does the BetBallers notification system work?

BetBallers offers a powerful notification system that significantly reduces the chance of missing potential bets:

  • Custom Notifications: Create pre-set or fully customizable notifications using combinations of real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds
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Example notification: Alert for home underdogs losing by 1 goal but with 66%+ Pressure Index, Asian Handicap +0.5, and kick-off odds under 5.00. This specific notification has achieved a 71% win rate (52 wins, 21 losses) in backtesting.

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The Backtesting System is a game-changing feature that validates your in-play betting strategies in minutes instead of waiting months for results:

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  • Retrospective Likelihood Stats: Each game's likelihood stats are calculated retrospectively from that particular match for accurate testing
  • Results in Minutes: Get comprehensive backtest results in minutes or even seconds, depending on your rule complexity
  • Advanced Filtering: Filter results by Asian Handicap, Goal Line, Asian Corners, specific days, goals scored within 2 minutes, or missing dangerous attacks

The backtesting system excludes E-Soccer, Beach Soccer, and other shortened matches to ensure data quality. This feature is available to all Gold-Ballers subscription users (1, 3, or 6-month plans).

How does the AI Assistant enhance betting decisions?

BetBallers' AI Assistant helps identify the best value bets and provides quick match insights to enhance your betting strategy:

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  • Live Match Intelligence: Each live game includes an AI assistant tab providing real-time analysis based on your customized dataset preferences
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What is the Comeback Factor and how can I use it for betting?

The Comeback Factor is a unique BetBallers metric that measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match:

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  • Enhanced accuracy: You can exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics (feature added January 2025)
  • Transparency: Hover over any Comeback Factor stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation

Use the Comeback Factor to identify teams with strong resilience when trailing, creating valuable in-play betting opportunities when these teams fall behind. The enhanced statistics are available across multiple pages including team profiles and head-to-head comparisons.

How do Likelihood Stats help identify value bets?

Likelihood Stats are one of BetBallers' most powerful features, using an eye-catching color-coding system to show whether current odds are backed by historical statistics:

  • Comprehensive Market Coverage: Covers all possible markets from First Half Overs to Corners and everything in between
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  • Historical Validation: Shows how current match statistics compare to historical performance patterns
  • In-Play Integration: Now includes xG stats directly in the likelihood stats column for even more insights

Combine Likelihood Stats with live statistics to avoid situations where real-time stats aren't backed up by historical performance. This dual approach helps identify genuinely profitable betting opportunities rather than statistical anomalies.

What are Variance Stats and how do they identify mispriced teams?

Variance Stats (also called Error Stats) show the average difference from starting lines, helping you identify mispriced teams in seconds:

  • Asian Handicap Variance: Shows which teams consistently outperform or underperform their handicap lines
  • Goal Line Variance: Identifies teams whose matches regularly go over or under expected totals
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Variance Stats help you exploit consistent market inefficiencies by showing which teams the bookmakers systematically misprice across the most popular betting markets.

What is the Pressure Index and how is it calculated?

The Pressure Index is a composite statistic that measures which team is dominating a match by combining multiple attacking metrics:

  • Dangerous Attacks: Genuine scoring opportunities where the attacking team gets into dangerous positions
  • Total Shots: All shot attempts including both on-target and off-target efforts
  • Corners: Corner kicks awarded, indicating sustained attacking pressure
  • Percentage Display: Shows as a percentage (e.g., 66% means one team has twice the combined attacking stats)

Use Pressure Index in custom notifications to identify matches where one team is dominating but hasn't scored yet. For example, a notification for home teams with 66%+ Pressure Index while losing 1-0 achieved a 71% win rate in backtesting across 100,000 games.

What subscription plans does BetBallers offer and what features are included?

BetBallers offers a free trial and multiple subscription tiers to suit different betting needs:

  • Free 2-Day Trial: €4.90 - Test all features with full access for 2 days
  • 1-Month Gold-Baller: €29.99 - Full access to all features including AI Assistant and backtesting system
  • 6-Month Gold-Baller: €149.90 - Extended subscription with significant savings per month

All Gold-Baller subscriptions include:

  • Live scores and in-play statistics for all major leagues
  • Custom notification system with unlimited alerts
  • Backtesting system (100,000 games analysis)
  • AI Assistant for schedule and live match analysis
  • Likelihood Stats with color-coding for all markets
  • Variance Stats for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Corners
  • Comeback Factor and Pressure Index statistics
  • xG Stats on match and in-play pages

Note: The 2-day trial does not include access to the backtesting system. Backtesting is only available with 1, 3, or 6-month Gold-Baller subscriptions.

What are xG (Expected Goals) stats and how can I use them for betting?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the quality of scoring chances by calculating the probability that a shot will result in a goal:

  • Available on Multiple Pages: View xG stats on both the match page and the in-play page for comprehensive analysis
  • Likelihood Stats Integration: Enable xG display to see these valuable insights directly in the likelihood stats column during live matches
  • Quality vs Quantity: xG reveals whether a team is creating genuine scoring opportunities or just accumulating low-quality shots
  • Value Betting Indicator: When a team has high xG but hasn't scored, it often indicates the score doesn't reflect match dominance

How to use xG for in-play betting:

  • Compare xG to actual score - if Team A has 2.3 xG but is losing 0-1, they may be unlucky and due for goals
  • Look for xG gaps between teams - a 1.5+ xG difference suggests one team is creating significantly better chances
  • Combine with Pressure Index - high xG plus 66%+ Pressure Index confirms genuine dominance
  • Use in notifications - create alerts for matches where xG doesn't match the scoreline for value betting opportunities

xG stats were added to the in-play page in August 2024, making BetBallers one of the few platforms to provide real-time expected goals data during live matches for immediate betting decisions.

How do I create effective custom notifications using BetBallers?

Creating effective custom notifications involves combining different statistics and using the backtesting system to validate profitability:

  • Mix Different Stats: Combine real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds for more accurate filtering
  • Use Likelihood Validation: Include likelihood stats to ensure real-time performance is backed by historical patterns
  • Test Thoroughly: Run backtests on your notifications to validate profitability across 100,000 historical matches
  • Refine and Iterate: If results are unsatisfactory, tweak your rules and run backtests again until you find winning combinations
  • Filter Results: Use filters to exclude games with incomplete stats or where goals were scored within 2 minutes of notification

Example winning notification:

Home underdog, losing by 1 goal, with 66%+ Pressure Index, current Asian Handicap +0.5 (minimum odds 1.80), and kick-off 1X2 odds under 5.00. This achieved 71% win rate (52 wins from 73 matches).

Fine-tuning takes time, but the backtesting system dramatically speeds up the process by providing instant validation instead of waiting months for real-world results.