Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia – Prediction, Odds & Live Stats

	Date	Home	Score	Away	1x2	Drop	Home Asian Handicap	Goal Line	Asian Corners	Dangerous Attacks	Total Shots	Shots on Target	Corners
	07-03-2026 13:00	1 ^[14] Septemvri Sofia	0 - 3 0 - 1	Cherno More Varna ^[5] 3	S: - 3.40 ? K: ?3.25 -	13%	? 1.775 ? 1.875	- ?	? 1.925, 1.875	?-? 26-38	7-8 1-5	?-? 0-2	3-2 0-1
	27-09-2025 14:30	1 ^[5] Cherno More Varna	1 - 1 0 - 1	Septemvri Sofia ^[16] 4	S: - 4.75 ? K: ?4.33 -	15%	? 1.950 ? 1.875	- ?	? 1.925, 1.875	?-? 41-29	27-5 10-5	?-? 1-4	12-3 3-3
	29-11-2024 15:00	1 1 ^[12] Septemvri Sofia	1 - 2 0 - 2	Cherno More Varna ^[3] 3	S: - 3.75 ? K: ?4.33 -	7%	? 1.950 ? 1.925	- ?	-	?-? 18-39	4-6 1-6	?-? 1-5	3-4 2-2
	29-07-2024 18:15	^[11] Cherno More Varna	2 - 0 0 - 0	Septemvri Sofia ^[13] 3	S: - 4.50 ? K: ?4.75 -	9%	? 2.000 ? 1.925	- ?	-	?-? 63-31	18-5 5-2	?-? 1-0	9-3 5-2
	05-09-2022 14:30	2 ^[11] Septemvri Sofia	0 - 0	Cherno More Varna ^[5] 1 3	S: - 3.60 ? K: ?4.00 -	0%	? 2.025 ? 2.050	- ?	-	?-?	11-7	?-?	6-5
No games found

- Minutes
{{home}}	{{h_corners}}	{{h_ycards}}	{{h_rcards}}	{{h_pen}}	{{h_sub}}	{{h_goals}}
{{away}}	{{a_corners}}	{{a_ycards}}	{{a_rcards}}	{{a_pen}}	{{a_sub}}	{{a_goals}}

Full-Time
Cherno More Varna	3	1	0	0	0	3
Septemvri Sofia	1	1	0	0	0	0

1st Half
Cherno More Varna	1	0	0	0	0	2
Septemvri Sofia	0	1	0	0	0	0

2nd half
Cherno More Varna	2	1	0	0	0	1
Septemvri Sofia	1	0	0	0	0	0

Last 5 minutes
Cherno More Varna	2	1	0	0	0	1
Septemvri Sofia	1	0	0	0	0	0

P	Team	W	D	L	Goals	PO
1	Levski Sofia	4	0	0	9:2	12
2	Ludogorets Razgrad	4	0	0	8:3	12
3	CSKA Sofia	3	1	0	8:3	10
4	CSKA 1948 Sofia	3	1	0	9:5	10
5	Spartak Varna	2	1	0	6:2	7
6	Arda Kardzhali	2	1	1	5:3	7
7	Slavia Sofia	1	2	1	4:2	5
8	Botev Plovdiv	1	1	1	4:4	4
9	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1	0	3	2:5	3
10	Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia	0	2	2	4:7	2
11	Cherno More Varna	0	1	3	3:8	1
11	Botev Vratsa	0	1	3	3:8	1
13	Septemvri Sofia	0	1	3	2:9	1
14	Dunav Ruse	0	0	4	2:8	0

P	Team	W	D	L	Goals	PO
1	Levski Sofia	3	0	0	7:1	9
2	CSKA Sofia	2	0	0	5:3	6
3	CSKA 1948 Sofia	2	0	0	4:2	6
4	Ludogorets Razgrad	2	0	0	3:1	6
5	Spartak Varna	1	1	0	3:2	4
6	Botev Plovdiv	1	1	0	2:1	4
7	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1	0	0	2:1	3
8	Arda Kardzhali	1	0	0	1:0	3
9	Slavia Sofia	0	2	0	1:1	2
10	Septemvri Sofia	0	1	1	1:4	1
10	Botev Vratsa	0	1	1	1:4	1
12	Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia	0	0	2	2:5	0
13	Cherno More Varna	0	0	2	2:6	0
14	Dunav Ruse	0	0	2	0:4	0

P	Team	W	D	L	Goals	PO
1	Ludogorets Razgrad	2	0	0	5:2	6
2	CSKA Sofia	1	1	0	3:0	4
3	CSKA 1948 Sofia	1	1	0	5:3	4
4	Arda Kardzhali	1	1	1	4:3	4
5	Spartak Varna	1	0	0	3:0	3
6	Slavia Sofia	1	0	1	3:1	3
7	Levski Sofia	1	0	0	2:1	3
8	Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia	0	2	0	2:2	2
9	Cherno More Varna	0	1	1	1:2	1
10	Botev Plovdiv	0	0	1	2:3	0
11	Dunav Ruse	0	0	2	2:4	0
11	Botev Vratsa	0	0	2	2:4	0
13	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0	0	3	0:4	0
14	Septemvri Sofia	0	0	2	1:5	0

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Variance Stats: Shows average differences from starting lines for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Asian Corners to identify mispriced teams in seconds
Comeback Factor: Measures how effectively teams recover after falling behind by tracking how often they score the next goal
xG Stats: Expected goals available on both match pages and in-play pages within the likelihood stats column
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The Comeback Factor is a unique BetBallers metric that measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match:

What it measures: Tracks how often a team scores the next goal after the opponent has taken the lead
How it works: Every time a team falls behind, the system records whether they manage to score the next goal or not
Enhanced accuracy: You can exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics (feature added January 2025)
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Variance Stats (also called Error Stats) show the average difference from starting lines, helping you identify mispriced teams in seconds:

Asian Handicap Variance: Shows which teams consistently outperform or underperform their handicap lines
Goal Line Variance: Identifies teams whose matches regularly go over or under expected totals
Asian Corners Variance: Reveals teams that generate more or fewer corners than bookmakers expect
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What is the Pressure Index and how is it calculated?

The Pressure Index is a composite statistic that measures which team is dominating a match by combining multiple attacking metrics:

Dangerous Attacks: Genuine scoring opportunities where the attacking team gets into dangerous positions
Total Shots: All shot attempts including both on-target and off-target efforts
Corners: Corner kicks awarded, indicating sustained attacking pressure
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What are xG (Expected Goals) stats and how can I use them for betting?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the quality of scoring chances by calculating the probability that a shot will result in a goal:

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Creating effective custom notifications involves combining different statistics and using the backtesting system to validate profitability:

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Use Likelihood Validation: Include likelihood stats to ensure real-time performance is backed by historical patterns
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Filter Results: Use filters to exclude games with incomplete stats or where goals were scored within 2 minutes of notification

Example winning notification:

Home underdog, losing by 1 goal, with 66%+ Pressure Index, current Asian Handicap +0.5 (minimum odds 1.80), and kick-off 1X2 odds under 5.00. This achieved 71% win rate (52 wins from 73 matches).

Fine-tuning takes time, but the backtesting system dramatically speeds up the process by providing instant validation instead of waiting months for real-world results.

Lineup
8 - Mazire Soula	Ivan Georgiev Arsov - 4
35 - Arlind Dakaj	Konstantin Cheshmedjiev - 26
25 - Ivan Dyulgerov	Dimitar Sheytanov - 21
11 - Alex Fernandes	Simeon Slaveykov Aleksandrov - 17
28 - Vlatko Drobarov	Martin Stojanov - 14
6 - Viktor Popov	Krasimir Stanoev - 20
77 - Stefan Dimitrov Velev	Kubrat Jonasc - 15
2 - Tsvetomir Panov	Martin Detelinov Petkov - 3
3 - Zhivko Atanasov	Martin Achkov - 11
86 - Ismail Isa Mustafa	Dimitar Kostadinov - 10
19 - Alexander Vasilev	Petar Cuic - 18
Substitutes
37 - Berk Beyhan	Mikhail Polendakov - 22
32 - Martin Dichev	Martin Tsvetanov Nikolov - 13
10 - Velislav Vasilev	Zachary Atanasov - 24
4 - Rosen Stefanov	Valentin Yoskov - 9
23 - Edgar Pacheco	Mitko Borislavov Mitkov - 19
17 - Angel Angelov	Atanas Kabov - 6
27 - Daniel Dimov	Aykut Ramadan - 7
22 - Georgi Nikolaev Georgiev	Aleksandar Todorov Todorov - 8
9 - Atanas Iliev	Ivan Vasilev - 1

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^[7] Cherno More Varna 3

0 Septemvri Sofia ^[12]

Lineups

Lineup

Substitutes

1X2 Odds

Dangerous Attacks

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Possession

Attacks

Statistics based on last games

Bulgaria First League

Parva Liga 26/27

Parva Liga 26/27

Parva Liga 26/27