| 28-08 16:00 |
Slavia Sofia
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2.00 -0.25 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.40 + 1.00 + 0.40 + 2.20) / 2 = 2.00 Error: 2.00 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.25 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
032 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.40 | 1.00 0.40 | 2.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
23.50 | 12.20 15.50 | 4.18 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.40 | 12.20 6.20 | 9.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.80 | 4.20 2.60 | 4.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
62.40 | 72.60 40.40 | 46.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 28-08 16:00 |
Slavia Sofia
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-
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2.00 -0.25 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.40 + 1.00 + 0.40 + 2.20) / 2 = 2.00 Error: 2.00 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.25 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
032 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.40 | 1.00 0.40 | 2.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
23.50 | 12.20 15.50 | 4.18 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.40 | 12.20 6.20 | 9.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.80 | 4.20 2.60 | 4.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
62.40 | 72.60 40.40 | 46.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 28-08 18:15 |
CSKA 1948 Sofia
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+1.65 +0.65 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 10.09 Home: 10.09 / ((4.78 + 4.50) / 2) = 2.17 Away: 10.09 / ((19.00 + 19.50) / 2) = 0.52 Diff: 2.17 - 0.52 = +1.65 Error: +1.65 + AH line -1.00 = +0.65 |
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2.40 -0.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 0.60 + 0.40 + 2.00) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.10 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 104 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 0.60 0.40 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.78 | 19.00 19.50 | 4.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
8.60 | 11.40 7.80 | 9.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 4.40 3.40 | 4.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
61.60 | 63.00 48.60 | 69.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 28-08 18:15 |
CSKA 1948 Sofia
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+1.65 +0.65 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 10.09 Home: 10.09 / ((4.78 + 4.50) / 2) = 2.17 Away: 10.09 / ((19.00 + 19.50) / 2) = 0.52 Diff: 2.17 - 0.52 = +1.65 Error: +1.65 + AH line -1.00 = +0.65 |
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2.40 -0.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 0.60 + 0.40 + 2.00) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.10 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 104 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 0.60 0.40 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.78 | 19.00 19.50 | 4.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
8.60 | 11.40 7.80 | 9.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 4.40 3.40 | 4.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
61.60 | 63.00 48.60 | 69.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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