Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv – Prediction, Odds & Live Stats

	Date	Home	Score	Away	1x2	Drop	Home Asian Handicap	Goal Line	Asian Corners	Dangerous Attacks	Total Shots	Shots on Target	Corners
	03-03-2026 16:30	2 ^[11] Botev Plovdiv	2 - 0 0 - 0	Septemvri Sofia ^[14]	S: - 3.80 ? K: ?4.00 -	18%	? 1.875 ? 1.925	- ?	? 1.900, 1.900	?-? 58-19	19-7 12-4	?-? 4-1	4-1 3-0
	21-09-2025 14:45	3 1 ^[14] Septemvri Sofia	1 - 3 1 - 1	Botev Plovdiv ^[16] 2	S: - 3.20 ? K: ?3.25 -	6%	? 1.900 ? 2.025	- ?	? 1.850, 1.950	?-? 27-35	5-11 3-5	?-? 1-1	2-7 1-4
	12-04-2025 11:00	1 ^[6] Botev Plovdiv	3 - 0 1 - 0	Septemvri Sofia ^[11] 1	S: - 3.80 ? K: ?3.70 -	15%	? 1.950 ? 1.850	- ?	? 1.825, 1.975	?-? 37-33	17-10 8-3	?-? 1-1	7-5 3-0
	04-11-2024 15:30	2 ^[15] Septemvri Sofia	1 - 0 1 - 0	Botev Plovdiv ^[2] 5	S: - 3.60 ? K: ?4.00 -	9%	? 1.950 ? 1.900	- ?	-	?-? 15-26	4-18 3-11	?-? 1-2	3-5 0-4
	26-08-2022 15:30	^[15] Botev Plovdiv	3 - 1	Septemvri Sofia ^[11] 2	S: - 3.80 ? K: ?4.75 -	17%	? 1.850 ? 2.025	- ?	-	?-?	14-4	?-?	4-2
No games found

- Minutes
{{home}}	{{h_corners}}	{{h_ycards}}	{{h_rcards}}	{{h_pen}}	{{h_sub}}	{{h_goals}}
{{away}}	{{a_corners}}	{{a_ycards}}	{{a_rcards}}	{{a_pen}}	{{a_sub}}	{{a_goals}}

Full-Time
Septemvri Sofia	3	3	0	0	0	2
Botev Plovdiv	5	3	0	0	0	1

1st Half
Septemvri Sofia	1	0	0	0	0	1
Botev Plovdiv	3	2	0	0	0	1

2nd half
Septemvri Sofia	2	3	0	0	0	1
Botev Plovdiv	2	1	0	0	0	0

Last 5 minutes
Septemvri Sofia	2	3	0	0	0	1
Botev Plovdiv	2	1	0	0	0	0

P	Team	W	D	L	Goals	PO
1	Levski Sofia	8	0	0	21:4	24
2	Ludogorets Razgrad	6	2	0	14:6	20
3	CSKA Sofia	5	2	0	17:5	17
4	CSKA 1948 Sofia	5	1	2	15:8	16
5	Arda Kardzhali	5	1	2	13:7	16
6	Slavia Sofia	2	4	2	8:6	10
7	Botev Plovdiv	3	1	4	11:14	10
8	Spartak Varna	2	3	3	10:14	9
9	Septemvri Sofia	2	2	4	7:13	8
10	Botev Vratsa	2	1	5	7:17	7
11	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2	0	6	4:10	6
12	Cherno More Varna	1	1	6	8:17	4
13	Dunav Ruse	1	1	6	7:15	4
14	Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia	0	3	4	8:14	3

P	Team	W	D	L	Goals	PO
1	Levski Sofia	5	0	0	14:1	15
2	CSKA Sofia	4	0	0	13:4	12
3	CSKA 1948 Sofia	4	0	0	10:3	12
4	Ludogorets Razgrad	3	1	0	6:2	10
5	Arda Kardzhali	3	0	1	8:4	9
6	Botev Plovdiv	2	1	1	6:6	7
7	Spartak Varna	1	3	1	5:5	6
8	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2	0	2	4:4	6
9	Botev Vratsa	1	1	1	2:4	4
10	Septemvri Sofia	1	1	2	4:7	4
11	Slavia Sofia	0	3	1	3:4	3
12	Cherno More Varna	1	0	2	5:7	3
13	Dunav Ruse	0	1	3	2:7	1
14	Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia	0	0	3	3:7	0

P	Team	W	D	L	Goals	PO
1	Ludogorets Razgrad	3	1	0	8:4	10
2	Levski Sofia	3	0	0	7:3	9
3	Arda Kardzhali	2	1	1	5:3	7
4	Slavia Sofia	2	1	1	5:2	7
5	CSKA Sofia	1	2	0	4:1	5
6	Septemvri Sofia	1	1	2	3:6	4
7	CSKA 1948 Sofia	1	1	2	5:5	4
8	Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia	0	3	1	5:7	3
9	Dunav Ruse	1	0	3	5:8	3
10	Botev Vratsa	1	0	4	5:13	3
11	Spartak Varna	1	0	2	5:9	3
12	Botev Plovdiv	1	0	3	5:8	3
13	Cherno More Varna	0	1	4	3:10	1
14	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0	0	4	0:6	0

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Variance Stats: Shows average differences from starting lines for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Asian Corners to identify mispriced teams in seconds
Comeback Factor: Measures how effectively teams recover after falling behind by tracking how often they score the next goal
xG Stats: Expected goals available on both match pages and in-play pages within the likelihood stats column
Pressure Index: Combines dangerous attacks, total shots, and corners to measure which team is dominating the match

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The Comeback Factor is a unique BetBallers metric that measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match:

What it measures: Tracks how often a team scores the next goal after the opponent has taken the lead
How it works: Every time a team falls behind, the system records whether they manage to score the next goal or not
Enhanced accuracy: You can exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics (feature added January 2025)
Transparency: Hover over any Comeback Factor stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation

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Variance Stats (also called Error Stats) show the average difference from starting lines, helping you identify mispriced teams in seconds:

Asian Handicap Variance: Shows which teams consistently outperform or underperform their handicap lines
Goal Line Variance: Identifies teams whose matches regularly go over or under expected totals
Asian Corners Variance: Reveals teams that generate more or fewer corners than bookmakers expect
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What is the Pressure Index and how is it calculated?

The Pressure Index is a composite statistic that measures which team is dominating a match by combining multiple attacking metrics:

Dangerous Attacks: Genuine scoring opportunities where the attacking team gets into dangerous positions
Total Shots: All shot attempts including both on-target and off-target efforts
Corners: Corner kicks awarded, indicating sustained attacking pressure
Percentage Display: Shows as a percentage (e.g., 66% means one team has twice the combined attacking stats)

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Comeback Factor and Pressure Index statistics
xG Stats on match and in-play pages

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What are xG (Expected Goals) stats and how can I use them for betting?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the quality of scoring chances by calculating the probability that a shot will result in a goal:

Available on Multiple Pages: View xG stats on both the match page and the in-play page for comprehensive analysis
Likelihood Stats Integration: Enable xG display to see these valuable insights directly in the likelihood stats column during live matches
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How to use xG for in-play betting:

Compare xG to actual score - if Team A has 2.3 xG but is losing 0-1, they may be unlucky and due for goals
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Filter Results: Use filters to exclude games with incomplete stats or where goals were scored within 2 minutes of notification

Example winning notification:

Home underdog, losing by 1 goal, with 66%+ Pressure Index, current Asian Handicap +0.5 (minimum odds 1.80), and kick-off 1X2 odds under 5.00. This achieved 71% win rate (52 wins from 73 matches).

Fine-tuning takes time, but the backtesting system dramatically speeds up the process by providing instant validation instead of waiting months for real-world results.

Lineup
3 - Martin Detelinov Petkov	Umeh Emmanuel - 31
11 - Martin Achkov	Krasian Kolev - 5
4 - Ivan Georgiev Arsov	James Armel Eto'o Eyenga - 15
18 - Petar Cuic	Hidajet Hankic - 13
10 - Dimitar Kostadinov	Antoine Baroan - 11
21 - Dimitar Sheytanov	Samuel Souprayen - 18
14 - Martin Stojanov	Jasper Van Heertum - 24
17 - Simeon Slaveykov Aleksandrov	Dylan Mertens - 6
26 - Konstantin Cheshmedjiev	Pa Konate - 3
20 - Krasimir Stanoev	Viktor Genev - 4
5 - Asen Georgiev	Nikolay Minkov - 17
Substitutes
1 - Ivan Vasilev	Dimitar Bozhidarov Papazov - 30
15 - Kubrat Jonasc	Dobromir Danailov Pavlov - 34
19 - Mitko Borislavov Mitkov	Martin Sekulic - 9
23 - Yoan Gavrilov	Georgi Rangelov Argilashki - 1
13 - Martin Tsvetanov Nikolov	Samuel Akere - 16
7 - Aykut Ramadan	Martin Hristov - 28
6 - Atanas Kabov	Atanas Chernev - 27
9 - Valentin Yoskov	Stefan Stefanov - 33
24 - Zachary Atanasov	-

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[13] Septemvri Sofia 2 1 Botev Plovdiv [10]

Lineups

Lineup

Substitutes

1X2 Odds

Dangerous Attacks

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Possession

Attacks

Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv Statistics

Statistics based on last 5 10 15 games

Bulgaria First League

Parva Liga 26/27

Parva Liga 26/27

Parva Liga 26/27

Septemvri Sofia Reply_copy_4_2_ Created with Sketch.

Botev Plovdiv Reply_copy_4_2_ Created with Sketch.

Match notes Reply_copy_4_2_ Created with Sketch.

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^[13] Septemvri Sofia 2

1 Botev Plovdiv ^[10]

Statistics based on last games

Septemvri Sofia

Botev Plovdiv

Match notes