| 04-09 18:30 |
Defensores de Belgrano
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2.10 +0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.60 + 1.60 + 0.60 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.10 Error: 2.10 - Goal line 1.75 = +0.35 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
113 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.60 | 1.60 0.60 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.00 | 3.25 8.00 | 4.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
6.00 | 5.20 4.80 | 5.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.40 | 2.40 1.60 | 3.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
69.00 | 49.00 44.00 | 64.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 04-09 23:00 |
Ferro Carril Oeste
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+0.29 -0.46 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 7.14 Home: 7.14 / ((5.14 + 7.63) / 2) = 1.12 Away: 7.14 / ((3.50 + 13.67) / 2) = 0.83 Diff: 1.12 - 0.83 = +0.29 Error: +0.29 + AH line -0.75 = -0.46 |
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2.20 +0.20 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 0.80 + 0.60 + 1.60) / 2 = 2.20 Error: 2.20 - Goal line 2.00 = +0.20 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 0.80 0.60 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.14 | 3.50 13.67 | 7.63 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
7.20 | 2.80 8.20 | 12.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.60 | 1.20 3.20 | 4.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
53.20 | 56.40 57.00 | 76.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 18:00 |
Tristan Suarez
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1.50 -0.25 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.80 + 0.00 + 0.80 + 1.40) / 2 = 1.50 Error: 1.50 - Goal line 1.75 = -0.25 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
320 203 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.80 | 0.00 0.80 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.25 | - 12.50 | 4.71 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
7.40 | 6.80 10.00 | 6.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.80 | 2.60 4.80 | 3.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
67.00 | 65.20 63.80 | 64.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 18:00 |
CA San Telmo
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1.80 +0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.80 + 1.20 + 0.80 + 0.80) / 2 = 1.80 Error: 1.80 - Goal line 1.75 = +0.05 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
122 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.80 | 1.20 0.80 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.25 | 5.00 7.50 | 7.25 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
8.20 | 6.00 6.00 | 5.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.80 | 2.40 2.60 | 2.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
92.60 | 74.40 46.60 | 58.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 18:30 |
Chacarita Juniors
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1.60 -0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.80 + 0.80 + 0.80 + 0.80) / 2 = 1.60 Error: 1.60 - Goal line 1.75 = -0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.80 | 0.80 0.80 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.00 | 3.25 4.50 | 7.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
5.60 | 2.60 3.60 | 5.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
1.60 | 1.40 2.00 | 1.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
36.00 | 24.40 23.20 | 32.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 18:30 |
Acassuso
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2.20 +0.45 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 1.00 + 0.60 + 1.80) / 2 = 2.20 Error: 2.20 - Goal line 1.75 = +0.45 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 104 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 1.00 0.60 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.40 | 8.20 10.33 | 3.78 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
6.40 | 8.20 6.20 | 6.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.40 | 3.00 2.20 | 4.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
61.20 | 68.20 42.40 | 40.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 19:00 |
Club Atletico Temperley
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+0.24 -0.26 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 7.14 Home: 7.14 / ((8.17 + 5.13) / 2) = 1.07 Away: 7.14 / ((4.13 + 13.00) / 2) = 0.83 Diff: 1.07 - 0.83 = +0.24 Error: +0.24 + AH line -0.50 = -0.26 |
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2.40 +0.65 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 1.60 + 0.40 + 1.60) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 1.75 = +0.65 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 014 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 1.60 0.40 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.17 | 4.13 13.00 | 5.13 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.80 | 6.60 5.20 | 8.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.00 | 3.40 3.00 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
78.40 | 53.60 77.20 | 64.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 20:00 |
Colon
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2.10 +0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 0.40 + 1.40 + 1.20) / 2 = 2.10 Error: 2.10 - Goal line 1.75 = +0.35 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 221 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 0.40 1.40 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.17 | 16.00 5.00 | 7.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.80 | 6.40 7.00 | 9.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.20 | 2.80 3.20 | 3.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
56.20 | 33.60 57.40 | 68.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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