| 31-10 17:30 |
Rangers
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3.38 +0.62 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.60 + 0.40 + 2.00 + 1.75) / 2 = 3.38 Error: 3.38 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.62| Opponent | Rangers | Aberdeen |
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| Kilmarnock | W 3-1 H 10-10-26 | W 4-2 A 12-09-26 | | Celtic | W 3-0 H 13-09-26 | L 0-3 A 02-09-26 | | St Mirren | W 1-0 H 09-09-26 | L 0-2 A 04-04-26 | | Motherwell | W 1-0 H 05-09-26 | W 4-0 A 15-09-26 | | St Mirren | W 5-1 H 16-08-26 | L 0-2 A 04-04-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 2.60 - 0.40 | 2.00 - 1.75 |
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5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Rangers | Aberdeen |
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| Kilmarnock | W 3-1 H 10-10-26 | W 4-2 A 12-09-26 | | Celtic | W 3-0 H 13-09-26 | L 0-3 A 02-09-26 | | St Mirren | W 1-0 H 09-09-26 | L 0-2 A 04-04-26 | | Motherwell | W 1-0 H 05-09-26 | W 4-0 A 15-09-26 | | St Mirren | W 5-1 H 16-08-26 | L 0-2 A 04-04-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 2.60 - 0.40 | 2.00 - 1.75 |
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500 202 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.60 | 0.40 2.00 | 1.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.69 | 22.50 4.75 | 9.57 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
20.00 | 9.00 9.50 | 16.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.60 | 3.20 3.50 | 6.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
59.20 | 41.60 46.00 | 79.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 01-11 13:00 |
Falkirk
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-0.13 +1.12 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 12.56 Home: 12.56 / ((7.71 + 8.33) / 2) = 1.57 Away: 12.56 / ((6.36 + 8.44) / 2) = 1.70 Diff: 1.57 - 1.70 = -0.13 Error: -0.13 + AH line 1.25 = +1.12 |
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3.67 +0.42 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 2.20 + 2.25 + 1.50) / 2 = 3.67 Error: 3.67 - Goal line 3.25 = +0.42| Opponent | Falkirk | Celtic |
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| Kilmarnock | W 3-0 H 24-10-26 | W 5-1 A 09-08-26 | | Dundee | L 1-2 H 10-10-26 | W 2-1 A 05-04-26 | | Rangers | L 1-2 H 02-09-26 | L 0-3 A 13-09-26 | | St Mirren | L 0-2 H 01-08-26 | W 2-1 A 05-09-26 | | Rangers | L 2-5 H 16-05-26 | L 0-3 A 13-09-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 1.40 - 2.20 | 2.25 - 1.50 |
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5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Falkirk | Celtic |
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| Kilmarnock | W 3-0 H 24-10-26 | W 5-1 A 09-08-26 | | Dundee | L 1-2 H 10-10-26 | W 2-1 A 05-04-26 | | Rangers | L 1-2 H 02-09-26 | L 0-3 A 13-09-26 | | St Mirren | L 0-2 H 01-08-26 | W 2-1 A 05-09-26 | | Rangers | L 2-5 H 16-05-26 | L 0-3 A 13-09-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 1.40 - 2.20 | 2.25 - 1.50 |
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104 301 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 2.20 2.25 | 1.50 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.71 | 6.36 8.44 | 8.33 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.80 | 14.00 19.00 | 12.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.20 | 6.00 8.25 | 5.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
37.20 | 31.60 56.75 | 38.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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