| 02-11 20:30 |
Orense
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+0.69 -0.06 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 12.18 Home: 12.18 / ((7.55 + 10.20) / 2) = 1.37 Away: 12.18 / ((9.40 + 26.50) / 2) = 0.68 Diff: 1.37 - 0.68 = +0.69 Error: +0.69 + AH line -0.75 = -0.06 |
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2.48 +0.23 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.20 + 1.00 + 0.50 + 1.25) / 2 = 2.48 Error: 2.48 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.23| Opponent | Orense | Tecnico Universitario |
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| Delfin SC | W 4-0 H 24-10-26 | L 0-1 A 01-09-26 | | Deportivo Cuenca | D 0-0 H 11-10-26 | L 1-2 A 16-10-26 | | Guayaquil City | W 4-3 H 08-09-26 | L 0-1 A 26-04-26 | | Macara | L 1-2 H 30-08-26 | D 1-1 A 08-03-26 | | Deportivo Cuenca | W 2-0 H 16-08-26 | L 1-2 A 16-10-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 2.20 - 1.00 | 0.50 - 1.25 |
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5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Orense | Tecnico Universitario |
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| Delfin SC | W 4-0 H 24-10-26 | L 0-1 A 01-09-26 | | Deportivo Cuenca | D 0-0 H 11-10-26 | L 1-2 A 16-10-26 | | Guayaquil City | W 4-3 H 08-09-26 | L 0-1 A 26-04-26 | | Macara | L 1-2 H 30-08-26 | D 1-1 A 08-03-26 | | Deportivo Cuenca | W 2-0 H 16-08-26 | L 1-2 A 16-10-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 2.20 - 1.00 | 0.50 - 1.25 |
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311 013 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 1.00 0.50 | 1.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.55 | 9.40 26.50 | 10.20 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
16.60 | 9.40 13.25 | 12.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.00 | 3.60 5.00 | 4.25 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
48.40 | 39.00 42.00 | 37.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 03-11 20:30 |
Mushuc Runa
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2.10 -0.40 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.60 + 0.80 + 0.80 + 2.00) / 2 = 2.10 Error: 2.10 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.40| Opponent | Mushuc Runa | Manta FC |
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| Orense | D 1-1 H 19-10-26 | D 1-1 A 10-03-26 | | Leones FC | D 1-1 H 08-09-26 | L 0-3 A 22-04-26 | | Delfin SC | W 1-0 H 28-08-26 | L 2-4 A 18-10-26 | | Barcelona Guayaquil | D 0-0 H 16-08-26 | D 1-1 A 03-05-26 | | Club Atletico Libertad | L 0-2 H 27-07-26 | L 0-1 A 24-02-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 0.60 - 0.80 | 0.80 - 2.00 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Mushuc Runa | Manta FC |
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| Orense | D 1-1 H 19-10-26 | D 1-1 A 10-03-26 | | Leones FC | D 1-1 H 08-09-26 | L 0-3 A 22-04-26 | | Delfin SC | W 1-0 H 28-08-26 | L 2-4 A 18-10-26 | | Barcelona Guayaquil | D 0-0 H 16-08-26 | D 1-1 A 03-05-26 | | Club Atletico Libertad | L 0-2 H 27-07-26 | L 0-1 A 24-02-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 0.60 - 0.80 | 0.80 - 2.00 |
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131 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.60 | 0.80 0.80 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
23.67 | 10.50 11.75 | 7.30 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.20 | 8.40 9.40 | 14.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.00 | 3.00 2.80 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
52.20 | 25.80 35.80 | 45.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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