| 24-08 15:00 |
Vihren Sandanski
|
|
-
|
|
2.90 +0.65 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.20 + 1.00 + 1.80 + 0.80) / 2 = 2.90 Error: 2.90 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.65 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
230 311 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 1.00 1.80 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.09 | 7.40 6.89 | 13.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.00 | 7.40 12.40 | 11.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 2.60 5.20 | 4.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
30.80 | 28.00 55.60 | 54.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 25-08 15:00 |
CSKA Sofia II
|
|
+0.60 -0.65 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 9.40 Home: 9.40 / ((4.38 + 3.00) / 2) = 2.55 Away: 9.40 / ((5.40 + 4.25) / 2) = 1.95 Diff: 2.55 - 1.95 = +0.60 Error: +0.60 + AH line -1.25 = -0.65 |
|
3.30 +0.80 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.60 + 1.00 + 1.00 + 2.00) / 2 = 3.30 Error: 3.30 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.80 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 103 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.60 | 1.00 1.00 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.38 | 5.40 4.25 | 3.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.40 | 5.40 4.25 | 6.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.40 | 2.40 1.00 | 1.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
52.00 | 38.40 19.75 | 35.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 25-08 15:30 |
Beroe
|
|
+1.37 +0.62 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 9.40 Home: 9.40 / ((5.70 + 2.40) / 2) = 2.32 Away: 9.40 / ((16.75 + 3.00) / 2) = 0.95 Diff: 2.32 - 0.95 = +1.37 Error: +1.37 + AH line -0.75 = +0.62 |
|
2.90 +0.90 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 0.80 + 1.00 + 2.00) / 2 = 2.90 Error: 2.90 - Goal line 2.00 = +0.90 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 104 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 0.80 1.00 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.70 | 16.75 3.00 | 2.40 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.40 | 13.40 3.00 | 4.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.40 | 5.00 1.80 | 2.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
48.60 | 74.20 16.40 | 42.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 25-08 15:30 |
Beroe
|
-
|
+1.37 - Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 9.40 Home: 9.40 / ((5.70 + 2.40) / 2) = 2.32 Away: 9.40 / ((16.75 + 3.00) / 2) = 0.95 Diff: 2.32 - 0.95 = +1.37 |
-
|
-
|
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 104 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 0.80 1.00 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.70 | 16.75 3.00 | 2.40 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.40 | 13.40 3.00 | 4.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.40 | 5.00 1.80 | 2.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
48.60 | 74.20 16.40 | 42.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|