| 08-11 12:30 |
Spartak Pleven
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+0.03 -0.72 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 9.54 Home: 9.54 / ((10.00 + 5.64) / 2) = 1.22 Away: 9.54 / ((10.67 + 5.40) / 2) = 1.19 Diff: 1.22 - 1.19 = +0.03 Error: +0.03 + AH line -0.75 = -0.72 |
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3.10 +0.60 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 1.20 + 1.00 + 2.80) / 2 = 3.10 Error: 3.10 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.60| Opponent | Spartak Pleven | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich |
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| Ludogorets Razgrad II | W 1-0 H 21-09-26 | L 1-5 A 27-10-26 | | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | W 3-2 H 07-09-26 | W 2-1 A 27-09-26 | | Vihren Sandanski | L 0-2 H 30-08-26 | L 0-2 A 13-09-26 | | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | L 0-1 H 16-08-26 | L 0-2 A 03-09-26 | | Marek Dupnitsa | W 2-1 H 01-08-26 | L 2-4 A 23-08-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 1.20 - 1.20 | 1.00 - 2.80 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Spartak Pleven | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich |
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| Ludogorets Razgrad II | W 1-0 H 21-09-26 | L 1-5 A 27-10-26 | | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | W 3-2 H 07-09-26 | W 2-1 A 27-09-26 | | Vihren Sandanski | L 0-2 H 30-08-26 | L 0-2 A 13-09-26 | | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | L 0-1 H 16-08-26 | L 0-2 A 03-09-26 | | Marek Dupnitsa | W 2-1 H 01-08-26 | L 2-4 A 23-08-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 1.20 - 1.20 | 1.00 - 2.80 |
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302 104 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 1.20 1.00 | 2.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.00 | 10.67 5.40 | 5.64 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.00 | 12.80 5.40 | 15.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.00 | 5.20 2.60 | 6.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
69.60 | 66.40 35.80 | 78.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 08-11 12:30 |
Vihren Sandanski
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2.70 +0.20 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.20 + 1.00 + 0.40 + 1.80) / 2 = 2.70 Error: 2.70 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.20| Opponent | Vihren Sandanski | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa |
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| Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | W 4-1 H 03-09-26 | L 1-2 A 14-03-26 | | FK Fratria | D 2-2 H 24-08-26 | L 0-3 A 09-04-26 | | Chernomorets Burgas | D 1-1 H 09-08-26 | D 0-0 A 28-02-26 | | CSKA Sofia II | D 1-1 H 28-07-26 | D 1-1 A 23-11-25 | | Minyor Pernik | W 3-0 H 15-05-26 | L 0-3 A 25-04-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 2.20 - 1.00 | 0.40 - 1.80 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Vihren Sandanski | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa |
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| Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | W 4-1 H 03-09-26 | L 1-2 A 14-03-26 | | FK Fratria | D 2-2 H 24-08-26 | L 0-3 A 09-04-26 | | Chernomorets Burgas | D 1-1 H 09-08-26 | D 0-0 A 28-02-26 | | CSKA Sofia II | D 1-1 H 28-07-26 | D 1-1 A 23-11-25 | | Minyor Pernik | W 3-0 H 15-05-26 | L 0-3 A 25-04-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 2.20 - 1.00 | 0.40 - 1.80 |
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230 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 1.00 0.40 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.36 | 8.80 20.50 | 6.33 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.00 | 8.80 8.20 | 11.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.80 | 2.40 2.60 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
48.80 | 45.40 45.80 | 62.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 08-11 14:30 |
Ludogorets Razgrad II
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2.50 -0.25 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 1.40 + 0.75 + 1.25) / 2 = 2.50 Error: 2.50 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.25| Opponent | Ludogorets Razgrad II | Nesebar |
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| FC Hebar Pazardzhik | D 1-1 H 29-08-26 | L 1-2 A 23-10-26 | | Vihren Sandanski | L 0-2 H 18-08-26 | L 0-2 A 27-09-26 | | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | W 2-1 H 03-08-26 | D 1-1 A 15-09-26 | | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | W 3-1 H 11-05-26 | D 1-1 A 15-09-26 | | Sportist Svoge | D 2-2 H 16-02-26 | W 1-0 A 16-08-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 1.60 - 1.40 | 0.75 - 1.25 |
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5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Ludogorets Razgrad II | Nesebar |
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| FC Hebar Pazardzhik | D 1-1 H 29-08-26 | L 1-2 A 23-10-26 | | Vihren Sandanski | L 0-2 H 18-08-26 | L 0-2 A 27-09-26 | | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | W 2-1 H 03-08-26 | D 1-1 A 15-09-26 | | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | W 3-1 H 11-05-26 | D 1-1 A 15-09-26 | | Sportist Svoge | D 2-2 H 16-02-26 | W 1-0 A 16-08-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 1.60 - 1.40 | 0.75 - 1.25 |
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221 112 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 1.40 0.75 | 1.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.00 | 6.43 7.67 | 8.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.20 | 9.00 5.75 | 10.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.80 | 3.60 2.75 | 2.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
31.00 | 25.00 47.25 | 60.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 08-11 14:30 |
FC Hebar Pazardzhik
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2.48 -0.02 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 1.60 + 0.75 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.48 Error: 2.48 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.02| Opponent | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | Marek Dupnitsa |
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| Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | W 4-1 H 14-09-26 | L 0-1 A 07-08-26 | | FK Fratria | D 1-1 H 01-09-26 | W 1-0 A 25-07-26 | | Vihren Sandanski | L 2-3 H 02-08-26 | D 1-1 A 23-10-26 | | Vihren Sandanski | W 1-0 H 28-03-26 | D 1-1 A 23-10-26 | | Spartak Pleven | L 0-3 H 14-03-26 | L 1-2 A 01-08-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 1.60 - 1.60 | 0.75 - 1.00 |
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5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | Marek Dupnitsa |
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| Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | W 4-1 H 14-09-26 | L 0-1 A 07-08-26 | | FK Fratria | D 1-1 H 01-09-26 | W 1-0 A 25-07-26 | | Vihren Sandanski | L 2-3 H 02-08-26 | D 1-1 A 23-10-26 | | Vihren Sandanski | W 1-0 H 28-03-26 | D 1-1 A 23-10-26 | | Spartak Pleven | L 0-3 H 14-03-26 | L 1-2 A 01-08-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 1.60 - 1.60 | 0.75 - 1.00 |
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212 112 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 1.60 0.75 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.13 | 7.25 12.67 | 11.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.00 | 11.60 9.50 | 11.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.00 | 3.80 3.75 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
84.60 | 67.60 50.75 | 72.75 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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