| 30-10 16:45 |
ASO Chlef
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2.30 +0.55 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 1.40 + 0.20 + 1.80) / 2 = 2.30 Error: 2.30 - Goal line 1.75 = +0.55| Opponent | ASO Chlef | ES Setif |
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| MC Alger | D 1-1 H 13-10-26 | L 0-2 A 29-12-25 | | MC Oran | L 0-1 H 18-09-26 | D 0-0 A 08-10-26 | | CR Belouizdad | D 3-3 H 05-09-26 | L 0-1 A 11-09-26 | | JS Kabylie | L 1-2 H 20-05-26 | L 1-5 A 08-05-26 | | Olympique Akbou | W 1-0 H 17-04-26 | L 0-1 A 11-04-26 | | Media goal (F | A) | 1.20 - 1.40 | 0.20 - 1.80 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | ASO Chlef | ES Setif |
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| MC Alger | D 1-1 H 13-10-26 | L 0-2 A 29-12-25 | | MC Oran | L 0-1 H 18-09-26 | D 0-0 A 08-10-26 | | CR Belouizdad | D 3-3 H 05-09-26 | L 0-1 A 11-09-26 | | JS Kabylie | L 1-2 H 20-05-26 | L 1-5 A 08-05-26 | | Olympique Akbou | W 1-0 H 17-04-26 | L 0-1 A 11-04-26 | | Media goal (F | A) | 1.20 - 1.40 | 0.20 - 1.80 |
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122 014 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 1.40 0.20 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.17 | 8.71 46.00 | 7.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.20 | 12.20 9.20 | 13.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.00 | 5.40 3.60 | 5.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
49.00 | 49.40 52.00 | 55.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 30-10 19:00 |
MC Oran
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+0.23 -0.27 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 9.29 Casa: 9.29 / ((12.33 + 7.40) / 2) = 0.94 Trasferta: 9.29 / ((13.67 + 12.50) / 2) = 0.71 Diff: 0.94 - 0.71 = +0.23 Error: +0.23 + AH line -0.50 = -0.27 |
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1.60 -0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 0.60 + 0.40 + 1.00) / 2 = 1.60 Error: 1.60 - Goal line 1.75 = -0.15| Opponent | MC Oran | Olympique Akbou |
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| USM Khenchela | W 1-0 H 17-10-26 | W 1-0 A 28-02-26 | | ES Setif | D 0-0 H 08-10-26 | D 1-1 A 08-11-25 | | USM Alger | D 2-2 H 06-06-26 | L 0-1 A 19-05-26 | | ASO Chlef | W 1-0 H 07-05-26 | L 0-1 A 17-04-26 | | MB Rouissat | W 2-1 H 09-04-26 | L 0-2 A 12-09-26 | | Media goal (F | A) | 1.20 - 0.60 | 0.40 - 1.00 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | MC Oran | Olympique Akbou |
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| USM Khenchela | W 1-0 H 17-10-26 | W 1-0 A 28-02-26 | | ES Setif | D 0-0 H 08-10-26 | D 1-1 A 08-11-25 | | USM Alger | D 2-2 H 06-06-26 | L 0-1 A 19-05-26 | | ASO Chlef | W 1-0 H 07-05-26 | L 0-1 A 17-04-26 | | MB Rouissat | W 2-1 H 09-04-26 | L 0-2 A 12-09-26 | | Media goal (F | A) | 1.20 - 0.60 | 0.40 - 1.00 |
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320 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 0.60 0.40 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
12.33 | 13.67 12.50 | 7.40 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.80 | 8.20 5.00 | 7.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.80 | 3.40 2.20 | 3.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
51.60 | 43.60 44.20 | 51.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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