FC Thun vs Lugano – Prediction, Odds & Live Stats

	Date	Domicile	Score	Extérieure	1x2	Dépôt	Handicap Asiatique a domicile	Ligne de but	Corners asiatiques	Dangereuses Attaques	Nombre total de tirs	Tirs cadrés	Corners
	04-04-2026 16:00	2 ^[4] Lugano	1 - 0 0 - 0	FC Thun ^[1] 3	S: - 3.60 ? K: ?3.50 -	7%	? 1.775 ? 1.900	- ?	? 1.800, 2.000	?-? 20-24	16-14 11-4	?-? 2-1	3-5 1-2
	22-11-2025 19:30	2 ^[1] FC Thun	0 - 1 0 - 0	Lugano ^[6] 1 3	S: - 3.50 ? K: ?3.60 -	6%	? 1.875 ? 1.750	- ?	? 1.800, 2.000	?-? 18-40	22-14 6-7	?-? 4-1	10-5 2-2
	27-07-2025 14:00	2 ^[6] Lugano	1 - 2 1 - 0	underdog FC Thun ^[7] 1	S: - 4.50 ? K: ?3.70 -	39%	? 1.950 ? 1.975	- ?	? 1.975, 1.825	?-? 10-34	11-23 3-13	?-? 2-0	5-2 1-1
	11-07-2025 12:00	Lugano	2 - 4	underdog FC Thun	S: - 4.00 ? K: -	0%	? 1.875 ? -	- ?	? 1.800, 2.000	?-?	0-0	?-?	0-0
	10-02-2022 17:30	FC Thun	3 - 4	Lugano 2	S: - 3.40 ? K: ?3.50 -	5%	? 2.050 ? 1.875	- ?	? 1.850, 1.950	?-?	11-16	?-?	4-3
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- Minutes
{{home}}	{{h_corners}}	{{h_ycards}}	{{h_rcards}}	{{h_pen}}	{{h_sub}}	{{h_goals}}
{{away}}	{{a_corners}}	{{a_ycards}}	{{a_rcards}}	{{a_pen}}	{{a_sub}}	{{a_goals}}

Full-Time	xG							Saves	Shots Blocked	Fouls	Ball Safe
FC Thun	0.75	7	3	0	0	5	0	4	1	10	70	1	0
Lugano	2.47	5	4	0	1	5	1	3	3	13	65	1	1

Dernières 15 minutes
FC Thun	2	1	0	0	0	0
Lugano	0	2	0	1	3	1

1st Half
FC Thun	5	1	0	0	1	0
Lugano	3	1	0	0	1	0

2ème mi-temps
FC Thun	2	2	0	0	4	0
Lugano	2	3	0	1	1	1

Last 5 minutes
FC Thun	1	1	0	0	0	0
Lugano	0	1	0	1	2	1

Last 10 minutes
FC Thun	2	1	0	0	0	0
Lugano	0	1	0	1	1	1

Dernières 15 minutes
FC Thun	2	1	0	0	0	0
Lugano	0	2	0	1	3	1

Last 20 minutes
FC Thun	2	1	0	0	2	0
Lugano	0	2	0	1	3	1

Last 25 minutes
FC Thun	2	1	0	0	2	0
Lugano	1	2	0	1	1	1

Depuis le dernier but
FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0
Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0

P	Équipe	W	D	L	Buts	PO
1	Young Boys	1	0	0	4:2	3
2	FC Thun	1	0	0	3:1	3
3	Lugano	1	0	0	2:1	3
3	St Gallen	1	0	0	2:1	3
5	Basel	1	0	0	1:0	3
6	Grasshoppers	0	1	0	1:1	1
6	FC Lausanne-Sport	0	1	0	1:1	1
8	FC Vaduz	0	0	1	1:2	0
8	FC Zurich	0	0	1	1:2	0
10	Servette	0	0	1	0:1	0
11	FC Sion	0	0	1	2:4	0
12	Lucerne	0	0	1	1:3	0

P	Équipe	W	D	L	Buts	PO
1	Young Boys	1	0	0	4:2	3
2	Lugano	1	0	0	2:1	3
2	St Gallen	1	0	0	2:1	3
4	FC Lausanne-Sport	0	1	0	1:1	1
5	Basel	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	FC Sion	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	FC Thun	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	FC Vaduz	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	FC Zurich	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	Grasshoppers	0	0	0	0:0	0
11	Servette	0	0	1	0:1	0
12	Lucerne	0	0	1	1:3	0

P	Équipe	W	D	L	Buts	PO
1	FC Thun	1	0	0	3:1	3
2	Basel	1	0	0	1:0	3
3	Grasshoppers	0	1	0	1:1	1
4	Lugano	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	Lucerne	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	St Gallen	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	FC Lausanne-Sport	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	Servette	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	Young Boys	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	FC Vaduz	0	0	1	1:2	0
10	FC Zurich	0	0	1	1:2	0
12	FC Sion	0	0	1	2:4	0

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What statistics and features does BetBallers provide for football betting?

BetBallers is a comprehensive tool designed for football bettors to enhance in-play and pre-game betting performance. The platform provides:

Live Match Statistics: Real-time stats including dangerous attacks, corners, shots, and pressure index for all in-play matches
Likelihood Stats: Color-coded system covering all markets from First Half Overs to Corners, making it easy to spot whether odds are backed by statistics
Variance Stats: Shows average differences from starting lines for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Asian Corners to identify mispriced teams in seconds
Comeback Factor: Measures how effectively teams recover after falling behind by tracking how often they score the next goal
xG Stats: Expected goals available on both match pages and in-play pages within the likelihood stats column
Pressure Index: Combines dangerous attacks, total shots, and corners to measure which team is dominating the match

The platform features a customizable and user-friendly layout with the best coverage of games to ensure you never miss potential betting opportunities.

How does the BetBallers notification system work?

BetBallers offers a powerful notification system that significantly reduces the chance of missing potential bets:

Custom Notifications: Create pre-set or fully customizable notifications using combinations of real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds
Automated Scanning: The system automatically scans all in-play games and alerts you when your criteria is met
Visual Alerts: Notifications appear on the top right corner when matches meet your set criteria
Results Tracking: The system tracks all notifications received with results easily filterable by different options

Example notification: Alert for home underdogs losing by 1 goal but with 66%+ Pressure Index, Asian Handicap +0.5, and kick-off odds under 5.00. This specific notification has achieved a 71% win rate (52 wins, 21 losses) in backtesting.

What is the Backtesting System and how does it work?

The Backtesting System is a game-changing feature that validates your in-play betting strategies in minutes instead of waiting months for results:

Massive Data Analysis: Every test analyzes the last 100,000 finished games (approximately 5-6 months of matches) from the database
Live Scenario Simulation: Simulates live betting scenarios based on your custom notification rules for each game
Retrospective Likelihood Stats: Each game's likelihood stats are calculated retrospectively from that particular match for accurate testing
Results in Minutes: Get comprehensive backtest results in minutes or even seconds, depending on your rule complexity
Advanced Filtering: Filter results by Asian Handicap, Goal Line, Asian Corners, specific days, goals scored within 2 minutes, or missing dangerous attacks

The backtesting system excludes E-Soccer, Beach Soccer, and other shortened matches to ensure data quality. This feature is available to all Gold-Ballers subscription users (1, 3, or 6-month plans).

How does the AI Assistant enhance betting decisions?

BetBallers' AI Assistant helps identify the best value bets and provides quick match insights to enhance your betting strategy:

Schedule Page Analysis: AI scans upcoming matches and highlights value betting opportunities with higher probability of success
Specific Betting Tips: Get concrete betting recommendations with explanations instead of sorting through raw data yourself
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The AI Assistant helps you make faster, more informed betting decisions by processing complex statistical relationships that would be time-consuming to analyze manually.

What is the Comeback Factor and how can I use it for betting?

The Comeback Factor is a unique BetBallers metric that measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match:

What it measures: Tracks how often a team scores the next goal after the opponent has taken the lead
How it works: Every time a team falls behind, the system records whether they manage to score the next goal or not
Enhanced accuracy: You can exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics (feature added January 2025)
Transparency: Hover over any Comeback Factor stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation

Use the Comeback Factor to identify teams with strong resilience when trailing, creating valuable in-play betting opportunities when these teams fall behind. The enhanced statistics are available across multiple pages including team profiles and head-to-head comparisons.

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Likelihood Stats are one of BetBallers' most powerful features, using an eye-catching color-coding system to show whether current odds are backed by historical statistics:

Comprehensive Market Coverage: Covers all possible markets from First Half Overs to Corners and everything in between
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Historical Validation: Shows how current match statistics compare to historical performance patterns
In-Play Integration: Now includes xG stats directly in the likelihood stats column for even more insights

Combine Likelihood Stats with live statistics to avoid situations where real-time stats aren't backed up by historical performance. This dual approach helps identify genuinely profitable betting opportunities rather than statistical anomalies.

What are Variance Stats and how do they identify mispriced teams?

Variance Stats (also called Error Stats) show the average difference from starting lines, helping you identify mispriced teams in seconds:

Asian Handicap Variance: Shows which teams consistently outperform or underperform their handicap lines
Goal Line Variance: Identifies teams whose matches regularly go over or under expected totals
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The Pressure Index is a composite statistic that measures which team is dominating a match by combining multiple attacking metrics:

Dangerous Attacks: Genuine scoring opportunities where the attacking team gets into dangerous positions
Total Shots: All shot attempts including both on-target and off-target efforts
Corners: Corner kicks awarded, indicating sustained attacking pressure
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Custom notification system with unlimited alerts
Backtesting system (100,000 games analysis)
AI Assistant for schedule and live match analysis
Likelihood Stats with color-coding for all markets
Variance Stats for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Corners
Comeback Factor and Pressure Index statistics
xG Stats on match and in-play pages

Note: The 2-day trial does not include access to the backtesting system. Backtesting is only available with 1, 3, or 6-month Gold-Baller subscriptions.

What are xG (Expected Goals) stats and how can I use them for betting?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the quality of scoring chances by calculating the probability that a shot will result in a goal:

Available on Multiple Pages: View xG stats on both the match page and the in-play page for comprehensive analysis
Likelihood Stats Integration: Enable xG display to see these valuable insights directly in the likelihood stats column during live matches
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Value Betting Indicator: When a team has high xG but hasn't scored, it often indicates the score doesn't reflect match dominance

How to use xG for in-play betting:

Compare xG to actual score - if Team A has 2.3 xG but is losing 0-1, they may be unlucky and due for goals
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Use Likelihood Validation: Include likelihood stats to ensure real-time performance is backed by historical patterns
Test Thoroughly: Run backtests on your notifications to validate profitability across 100,000 historical matches
Refine and Iterate: If results are unsatisfactory, tweak your rules and run backtests again until you find winning combinations
Filter Results: Use filters to exclude games with incomplete stats or where goals were scored within 2 minutes of notification

Example winning notification:

Home underdog, losing by 1 goal, with 66%+ Pressure Index, current Asian Handicap +0.5 (minimum odds 1.80), and kick-off 1X2 odds under 5.00. This achieved 71% win rate (52 wins from 73 matches).

Fine-tuning takes time, but the backtesting system dramatically speeds up the process by providing instant validation instead of waiting months for real-world results.

Lineup
4-2-2-2	3-4-3
24 - Niklas Steffen	David Von Ballmoos - 16
19 - Jan Bamert	Antonios Papadopoulos - 6
4 - Genis Montolio	Lars Lukas Mai - 17
23 - Marco Burki	Hannes Delcroix - 3
27 - Michael Heule	Mattia Zanotti - 46
6 - Leonardo Bertone	Anto Grgic - 8
14 - Mattias Kait	Uran Bislimi - 25
47 - Fabio Fehr	Yanis Cimignani - 21
7 - Kastriot Imeri	Renato Steffen - 11
18 - Christopher Ibayi	Georgios Koutsias - 9
74 - Elmin Rastoder	Daniel Dos Santos - 27
Substitutes
25 - Tim Spycher	Ahmed Kendouci - 14
20 - Noah Rupp	Carbone - 44
37 - Lucien Dahler	Elias Pihlstrom - 24
70 - Nils Reichmuth	Ezgjan Alioski - 7
16 - Justin Roth	Kevin Behrens - 91
78 - Valmir Matoshi	Hicham Mahou - 18
9 - Furkan Dursun	Mohamad Belhadj Mahmoud - 29
77 - Franz Ethan Meichtry	Amir Saipi - 1
96 - Brighton Labeau	Mattia Bottani - 10

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^[1] FC Thun 0

1 Lugano ^[3]

Lineups

Lineup

Substitutes

1X2 Cotes

Dangereuses Attaques

Tirs cadrés

Tirs non cadrés

Possession

Attaques

Statistiques basées sur les dernières jeux

Switzerland Super League

Super League 26/27

Super League 26/27

Super League 26/27

FC Thun

Lugano

Match notes

Ask our AI Assistant

Datasets to include

Latest updates

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Match

Match

Blog

Match

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Match

Why Choose BetBallers for Football Betting Statistics?

Live Football Scores & In-Play Stats

Comeback & Winning Factor Analysis Unique

Football Betting Statistics & Odds

Momentum Betting Tracker aka Pressure Index

Match Schedule, Results & Standings

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AI Betting Assistant & Agent AI Powered

Betting Strategy Backtesting Pro

Popular Football Betting Categories

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[1] FC Thun 0 1 Lugano [3]

Lineups

Lineup

Substitutes

1X2 Cotes

Dangereuses Attaques

Tirs cadrés

Tirs non cadrés

Possession

Attaques

Statistiques basées sur les dernières 5 10 15 jeux

Switzerland Super League

Super League 26/27

Super League 26/27

Super League 26/27

FC Thun Reply_copy_4_2_ Created with Sketch.

Lugano Reply_copy_4_2_ Created with Sketch.

Match notes Reply_copy_4_2_ Created with Sketch.

Ask our AI Assistant

Datasets to include

Why Choose BetBallers for Football Betting Statistics?

Live Football Scores & In-Play Stats

Comeback & Winning Factor Analysis Unique

Football Betting Statistics & Odds

Momentum Betting Tracker aka Pressure Index

Match Schedule, Results & Standings

Customizable Betting Alerts

AI Betting Assistant & Agent AI Powered

Betting Strategy Backtesting Pro

Popular Football Betting Categories

Frequently Asked Questions

^[1] FC Thun 0

1 Lugano ^[3]

Statistiques basées sur les dernières jeux

FC Thun

Lugano

Match notes