| 05-09 14:00 |
Charleroi
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2.33 -0.17 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.00 + 1.75 + 0.50) / 2 = 2.33 Error: 2.33 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.17 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 220 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.00 1.75 | 0.50 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
11.57 | 9.80 10.14 | 20.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
16.20 | 9.80 17.75 | 10.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 2.60 6.75 | 2.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
58.80 | 40.00 56.50 | 40.75 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 16:15 |
KV Mechelen
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+0.37 +0.12 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 13.18 Domicile: 13.18 / ((5.40 + 11.50) / 2) = 1.56 Extérieure: 13.18 / ((9.71 + 12.40) / 2) = 1.19 Diff: 1.56 - 1.19 = +0.37 Error: +0.37 + AH line -0.25 = +0.12 |
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3.00 +0.00 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 1.40 + 1.00 + 1.60) / 2 = 3.00 Error: 3.00 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.00 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 203 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 1.40 1.00 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.40 | 9.71 12.40 | 11.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.80 | 13.60 12.40 | 18.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 5.00 5.00 | 4.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
40.20 | 51.40 48.40 | 48.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 18:45 |
Sint-Truidense
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3.33 +0.58 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 1.80 + 1.67 + 2.00) / 2 = 3.33 Error: 3.33 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.58 |
5 3 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
203 102 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 1.80 1.67 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.50 | 7.33 4.60 | 10.17 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.60 | 13.20 7.67 | 20.33 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.20 | 4.40 2.33 | 7.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
65.80 | 38.40 44.33 | 76.33 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 18:45 |
Standard Liege
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2.10 -0.40 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 1.00 + 1.00 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.10 Error: 2.10 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.40 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 1.00 1.00 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.33 | 15.00 12.40 | 16.40 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.40 | 15.00 12.40 | 16.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.20 | 3.60 5.00 | 6.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
50.40 | 42.80 47.00 | 52.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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