| 02-09-2026 16:00 |
UEFA Women's Europa Cup |
FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Women |
- |
Breidablik Women |
Under 2.0 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st-half total is 1.70 (home 0.50 scored/1.00 conceded; away 1.60/0.30) vs 2.0 line. Recorded home 1st halves stayed ≤2 in 4/4; Breidablik recent 1st halves stayed ≤2 in 8/10; only H2H was 5-0 at HT (1-match sample). Severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.20/2.35) aligns under; raw 86% capped at standard 82%. |
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| 02-09-2026 16:30 |
Austria Bundesliga |
FK Austria Vienna |
- |
WSG Swarovski Tirol |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.30 (A 1.90, B 2.30, C 1.20, D 1.20) vs 2.5 line, gap +0.80. Austria Vienna are 3/4 home Over 2.5 and Tirol are 3/4 away Over 2.5; Tirol have conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 away (away c_avg_goals 2.30). Mutual-opponent total 3.38 also supports Over; H2H split 0-0/2-3 is neutral. Raw score 94% capped at standard ceiling 82%. |
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| 02-09-2026 16:30 |
UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying |
PSG Women |
- |
Eintracht Frankfurt Women |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total is 2.95 ((1.80+0.90)/2 + (2.10+1.10)/2) vs the 2.5 line; PSG home overs are 7/10 and Eintracht away overs are 8/10. Mutual-opponent total is 3.0 (supports Over 2.5) and away GL_5 1.55 moderate bookmaker mispricing aligns with the Over; raw score 83 capped at 82. |
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| 02-09-2026 16:30 |
UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying |
Inter Milan Women |
- |
Wolfsburg Women |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time goals: (1.90+1.90)/2 + (2.60+1.10)/2 = 3.75, +0.75 over the 3.0 line. Wolfsburg are 7/10 over 3.0 in recent matches, shot-based match potential is ~7.9, and market pricing errors GL_5 are 2.05 home / 1.85 away, both accelerating. Single H2H was 2-0 under but neutral; home 3/10 over 3.0 keeps this capped at the 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 02-09-2026 16:30 |
Austria Bundesliga |
FK Austria Vienna |
- |
WSG Swarovski Tirol |
Over 2.75 Goals |
78% |
Expected total is 3.20 goals — home Austria Vienna scores 1.40/concedes 1.50 at home, away WSG Tirol scores 1.60/concedes 1.90 away — against a line of 2.75, a +0.45 edge. Austria Vienna went over 2.75 in 60% of recent matches and WSG Tirol in 70%, while mutual opponents average 3.38 total goals and WSG concede 5.30 shots on target per away game. H2H is split 0-0 and 2-3, and market pricing error is mild (GL_5 1.30/1.10), so the Over is supported but not aggressively priced. |
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| 02-09-2026 16:45 |
UEFA Women's Europa Cup |
Valerenga Women |
- |
ZNK Radomlje Women |
Under 1.75 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
1H expected goals = (1.00+0.30)/2 + (0.70+0.40)/2 = 1.20 vs line 1.75, a 0.55-goal gap. 8 of Valerenga's last 10 matches and 8 of Radomlje's 10 away matches had 0-1 first-half goals (80% Under), and the sole H2H was 0-0 at half-time. Confidence breakdown: 50 base +11 gap +10 home history +10 away history +5 home GL_5 +5 away GL_5 (both 1.75 moderate mispricing) = 91 raw, capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
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| 02-09-2026 18:00 |
Netherlands Cup |
TOGB |
- |
Katwijk |
TOGB +1.25 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Venue-split expected goals show TOGB 1.75 vs Katwijk 1.60, yet the line is +1.25. TOGB covered +1.25 in 7/7 recent matches and own a strong AH record (7W-1V-2L last 10), while Katwijk covered -1.25 in only 1 of their last 5 away games. Mutual opponents were insufficient (g<2) and H2H empty, so no counter-signal. |
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| 02-09-2026 18:00 |
UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying |
OH Leuven Women |
- |
Czarni Sosnowiec Women |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total is 4.05 vs line 3.5: (2.10+2.20)/2 + (2.80+1.00)/2. Czarni Sosnowiec away matches are 9/10 over 3.5 and conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 4 away; OH Leuven home matches are 5/10 over 3.5, and the one H2H ended 1-4. Away goal-line market pricing error GL_5 2.05 signals strong bookmaker mispricing in favour of goals. |
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| 02-09-2026 18:00 |
Uruguay Cup |
Cerrito |
- |
Deportivo Maldonado |
Over 0.75 Goals (1st Half) |
65% |
Expected 1st-half total = (0.40+0.70)/2 + (0.60+0.80)/2 = 1.25 vs 0.75 line (+0.50 gap). Cerrito Over 0.75 in 5/10 first halves, Deportivo Maldonado Over 0.75 in 6/10. Confidence: base 50% +10% gap +0% Cerrito history +5% Maldonado history +0% H2H HT (unavailable) +0% structural +0% market pricing error (GL_5 home 0.90, away 1.30) = 65%. |
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| 02-09-2026 18:30 |
Belgium First Division A |
Sint-Truidense |
- |
Union Saint Gilloise |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
FT expected total = (1.80+1.40)/2 + (2.30+1.40)/2 = 3.45 vs 2.75 line; home 6/10 (60%) and away 8/10 (80%) over, H2H split 2-2, mutual-opponent total 2.79 supports Over. Scoring: Base 50% + gap 14% + away history 10% + common opponents 5% + GL_5 home 8% (2.30) + GL_5 away 8% (2.35) = 95% raw, capped at 82% standard ceiling (home history 60% below 70% elevated threshold; home history/likelihood excluded by stacking discipline). |
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| 02-09-2026 18:30 |
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
Siroki Brijeg |
- |
FK Sarajevo |
Over 2.0 Goals |
81% |
Expected total 2.55 vs the 2.0 line (home 1.70 scored/1.10 conceded, away 1.20 scored/1.10 conceded); Siroki Brijeg are over 2.0 in 7 of 10 matches, FK Sarajevo in 5 of 10. H2H is neutral at 2/4 over, mutual opponents total of 2.33 supports Over, and Sarajevo conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches. |
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| 02-09-2026 18:45 |
England League 1 |
Luton |
- |
Stockport |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.65 (Luton home 2.00 scored/1.80 conceded, Stockport away 2.30 scored/1.20 conceded) vs 2.75 line; 7/10 Luton and 6/10 Stockport matches produced 3+ goals, H2H totals 4/2/3, mutual-opponent total 2.94. Both sides GL_5 2.30 (strong bookmaker mispricing) aligns with Over; scoring 50+15+8+8+8+5=94 capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 02-09-2026 18:45 |
Germany DFB Pokal |
VfL Osnabruck |
- |
Bayern Munich |
Bayern Munich -3.75 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Bayern Munich are top of the Bundesliga while Osnabruck sit 14th in the 2.Bundesliga, and the mutual-opponent comparison favours Bayern across all five stats (goals net +1.0 vs -0.5, shots +13.5 vs +2.0). Osnabruck concede 2.0 goals per home game and 5.2 shots on target against, while Bayern average 2.8 goals scored away, and Osnabruck's Asian Handicap record is just 1W-1V-3L over their last five. Goal line was skipped because full-time expected total was only 3.85 vs a 4.75 line, with both teams under 40% over history at that line. |
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| 02-09-2026 18:45 |
Scotland Premiership |
Kilmarnock |
- |
St Mirren |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total is 3.80 vs the 2.5 line (A=2.00, B=1.40, C=2.40, D=1.80). Kilmarnock 8/10 recent matches and St Mirren 6/10 recent matches went over 2.5, with home/away GL_5 mispricing severe at 2.65/2.25 and both accelerating. Mutual-opponents total of 3.25 also clears the line; raw score capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 02-09-2026 18:45 |
Scotland Premiership |
Celtic |
- |
Aberdeen |
Celtic -1.75 Asian Handicap |
65% |
Celtic sit 1st (9 pts) vs Aberdeen 10th (3 pts), and the mutual-opponent sample is one-sided: Celtic 9W-0D-1L with 2.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, while Aberdeen are 0W-0D-8L with 0.13 goals scored and 2.13 conceded against the same opponents. Celtic have covered -1.75 in 3 of their last 5 matches, and the last H2H at Celtic Park ended 3-1 (half-cover). Two of three Asian Handicap signals support the favourite (standings, mutual opponents), with recent margin cover just under the 65% threshold. |
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| 02-09-2026 21:00 |
Nicaragua Apertura |
HYH Export Sebaco FC |
- |
CD Walter Ferretti |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.15 (home 1.20 scored/1.90 conceded at home; away 1.10 scored/2.10 conceded away) clears the 2.75 line by 0.40. Recent matches trend Over: HYH 70% over 2.5 (7/10), Walter Ferretti 60% over 2.5 (6/10), with high bookmaker mispricing on GL_5 for both sides (home 1.85, away 1.80) and the away side conceding 5.0 shots on target per mutual-opponent match. Raw score capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
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| 02-09-2026 23:00 |
USA USL Championship |
Charleston Battery |
- |
Hartford Athletic |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
80% |
Charleston average 2.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded at home, while Hartford average 1.40 scored and 1.30 conceded away, producing an expected total of 3.00 against a 2.5,3.0 line. Mutual opponents total 3.35 and Charleston's 6 of last 10 over 2.5 support the Over, with elevated bookmaker mispricing on both sides (GL5 1.65 home, 1.55 away) and Hartford conceding 5.1 shots on target away. |
|
| 02-09-2026 23:00 |
Argentina Nacional B |
CA Colegiales |
- |
Ferrocarril Midland |
Over 1.75 Goals |
75% |
FT expected goals 2.20 (home 1.20 scored/0.90 conceded, away 1.30 scored/1.00 conceded) vs 1.75 line, gap +0.45. Away 8/10 over 1.5, home 5/10; only one H2H (2-0); mutual opponents total 2.11 clears line. Confidence 75% = 50 base +10 gap +10 away history +5 common opponents. |
|
| 02-09-2026 23:30 |
USA USL League One |
Charlotte Independence |
- |
Portland Hearts of Pine |
Charlotte Independence -1.25 Asian Handicap |
70% |
Charlotte are 1st overall (46 pts) with an 11-0-1 home record and +21 home goal difference, while Portland are 14th (23 pts) and 2-5-5 away with a -7 away goal difference. Charlotte's AH record is 3W-1V-1L over the last 5 and 6W-1V-3L over the last 10, while Portland are 1W-0V-4L over the last 5. Against shared opponents Charlotte went 9-0-1 averaging 2.6 scored and 1.1 conceded, versus Portland's 2-5-2 with 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. |
|
| 03-09-2026 18:00 |
Algeria Division 1 |
ES Setif |
- |
ES Ben Aknoun |
Over 0.75 First Half Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total 2.95 vs line 2.25, but away Over 2.25 record was only 40% so I passed. 1H expected total is 1.55 (home 0.70 scored/0.70 conceded at home; away 1.00 scored/0.70 conceded away) vs line 0.75, with ES Setif home 4/5 (80%) over that HT line and Ben Aknoun away 3/5 (60%) over; last H2H was 1-1 at HT. Away scores 64% of goals in the first 30 minutes and bookmaker mispricing GL_5 is 1.70/1.50; raw score 98% capped at standard 82%. |
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