| 01-08-2026 23:00 |
Miami FC |
- |
Detroit City FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
67% |
Expected total 2.85 goals (home 1.70 scored/conceded at home, away 1.40 scored/0.90 conceded away) vs line 2.5. Miami home over 2.5 in 3 of last 5 (60%), Detroit away over 2.5 in 3 of last 5 (60%), and H2H ended 2-1 (Over). Likelihood shows only 45% Over, but historical patterns and mild goal gap align for an Over pick with limited structural negatives. |
|
| 01-08-2026 23:00 |
Lexington SC |
- |
Monterey Bay FC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
72% |
Expected total 2.95 vs line 2.75 gives a slight edge, with shot-based match potential 5.64 heavily over. Lexington's last 5 home matches all produced 3+ goals and they scored 2+ in each, while Monterey Bay's away record is poor (1 goal scored in last 4 away). Bookmaker mispricing is severe (GL_5 home 2.15, away 1.85 both >1.8 and accelerating), supporting Over. H2H also Over with a 3-1 scoreline. |
|
| 01-08-2026 23:15 |
Sporting San Miguelito |
- |
Plaza Amador |
Over 2.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 2.90 (1.10+1.10)/2 + (2.10+1.50)/2 = 2.90, significantly above the 2.25 line. Away team's last 10 matches have 7 over 2.5 goals (70%), and H2H 3 of 4 matches over 2.5 (75%). Structural away defensive fragility: 4 of last 6 away games conceded 2+ goals. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate and accelerating (GL₅ 1.60/1.65). Confidence capped at standard 82% because home history is only 50%, missing the dual‑70% threshold for elevated tier. |
|
| 01-08-2026 23:30 |
Charleston Battery |
- |
Brooklyn FC |
Over 1.0,1.5 Goals First Half |
70% |
Expected 1st half total 1.60 vs line 1.25 — gap 0.35. Charleston home HT Over 1.25 in 4 of 6 recent matches (66.7%), Brooklyn away HT Over 1.25 in 4 of 6 (66.7%). Massive quality gap (Charleston 1st home, Brooklyn 11th away) drives early pressure, and Brooklyn's away fragility (conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5) adds structural Over signal. No bookmaker mispricing edge (GL_5 0.90 for both), but strong consensus from history and matchup. |
|
| 02-08-2026 00:00 |
Santos |
- |
Remo |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.43 (Santos home 2.40 scored, 1.60 conceded; Remo away 1.43 scored, 1.43 conceded) far exceeds the 2.5 line. Santos last 10 matches all over 2.5 (100%), Remo 5 of 7 over (71%). Remo's away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in all 3 recent away games) and Santos GL_5 market mispricing of 1.50 (moderate, accelerating) further support over. Confidence capped at standard 82% tier as no H2H data to meet elevated ceiling. |
|
| 02-08-2026 00:00 |
Tampa Bay Rowdies |
- |
Louisville City FC |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.15 goals (Tampa home: 1.80 scored, 1.00 conceded; Louisville away: 2.00 scored, 1.50 conceded). Both teams hit 60% Over 2.75 in role (Tampa 3/5 home, Louisville 3/5 away). Louisville away defensive fragility conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5. Bookmaker mispricing severe (away GL_5 1.90, accelerating). Confidence capped at 82% standard ceiling — gap from line <0.5. |
|
| 02-08-2026 00:00 |
Tampa Bay Rowdies |
- |
Louisville City FC |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
75% |
Expected total 3.15 (A=1.80, B=1.50, C=2.00, D=1.00) vs line 2.75 gives +0.40 gap. Louisville conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away – strong away defensive fragility. Both teams show accelerating bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.55, away GL_5 1.90) pointing to Over. 60% of Louisville's recent matches went Over 2.75. Home history is mixed (40%) but offset by structural and pricing edges. |
|
| 02-08-2026 01:00 |
Bocas |
- |
Veraguas United Reserves |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.50 (Home: 2.10 scored, 1.50 conceded at home; Away: 1.60 scored, 1.80 conceded away) exceeds the 3.0 line by 0.50 goals. Bocas have scored 12 in their last 3 home matches, and bookmaker mispricing is severe with home GL_5 at 2.20, signalling consistent underestimation of goals in Bocas matches. Full-time confidence breakdown: Base 50% + gap +10% + likelihood +3% + home variance +8% + form momentum +3% = 84% capped at standard ceiling 82%. |
|
| 02-08-2026 01:30 |
AC Boise |
- |
Corpus Christi FC |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
66% |
Expected total 2.80 (home 1.50 scored/1.70 conceded, away 1.20/1.20) vs line 2.75. AC Boise’s last 4 home matches had 3 overs, Corpus Christi’s last 3 away matches had 2 overs. AC Boise 5th at home against Corpus Christi 15th away suggests an open match. |
|
| 02-08-2026 02:00 |
Orange County SC |
- |
El Paso Locomotive FC |
Over 9.0 Asian Corners |
75% |
Expected total corners 10.05 (Home 3.40 + Away 4.40 averages adjusted for conceded) surpasses the 9.0 line by 1.05. Orange County's last 10 matches show 66.7% Over 9 corners (6 of 9), El Paso away matches 50% Over 9 (2 of 4), meeting the Over threshold. H2H corners totals were 9 and 13, supporting the Over direction. The quality gap (Orange County 1st vs El Paso 8th) adds a structural edge for sustained attacking pressure and corners. |
|
| 02-08-2026 03:00 |
Edgeworth Eagles |
- |
Belmont Swansea United SC |
1st Half Over 1.25 Goals |
76% |
Expected 1st half goals 1.75 (home HT avg 0.90 scored, 0.80 conceded; away HT avg 1.20 scored, 0.60 conceded) exceed the 1.25 line by 0.5. Both teams score or concede in the first half at high rates (home 80%, away 70% of their matches), and away team's 1st half Over record in away games is 66.7%, supporting an Over. This structural early-scoring pattern combined with the gap provides a solid edge. |
|
| 02-08-2026 03:00 |
Sacramento Republic |
- |
Sporting Jax |
Asian Handicap -1.5 (Sacramento Republic) |
67% |
Sacramento (6th, 23 pts) faces bottom-placed Sporting Jax (13th, 8 pts) in a huge quality gap. Sacramento's Asian Handicap record over last 5 matches is 4-1, and Jax has lost by 2+ goals in 5 of their last 10 matches, including a 6-4 home win over common opponent Monterey Bay (where Jax lost 2-1). While Sacramento covered -1.5 in only 2 of their last 10, the structural disparity and Jax's leaky defence (away c_avg_goals 2.80) make this the most viable market with 2 of 3 confidence signals supporting. |
|
| 02-08-2026 04:00 |
South Hobart Women |
- |
Taroona Women |
Over 4.5 Goals |
72% |
FT expected 4.25 (home scored 2.30, home conceded 2.10; away scored 1.70, away conceded 2.40) vs line 4.5, but H2H over 4.5 in all 3 matches (6,5,8 goals). Home team 6 of 10 over 4.5 (60%), away team 4 of 10 (40%). Away defensive fragility: 3 of last 5 away conceded 2+ goals. Taroona's away GL_5 1.60 (moderate bookmaker mispricing) aligns with Over direction as expected total exceeds opening line of 4. Confidence scored at 72% (base 50% + home history 5% + H2H 5% + away variance 2% + quality gap 5% + away fragility 5%). |
|
| 02-08-2026 04:30 |
Brisbane Roar NPL |
- |
Moreton City Excelsior |
Over 3.5,4.0 Goals |
78% |
Expected total 4.40 vs line 3.75, home team's recent matches all Over (3/3), away side's overall away attack averages 2.60 goals, plus H2H 6-0. Bookmaker mispricing on away side (GL_5 1.80) adds edge. Match potential (shots-based) projects over 9 total goals, overwhelmingly exceeding the line. |
|
| 02-08-2026 04:30 |
St George Willawong U23 |
- |
Brisbane Strikers U23 |
Over 1.5,2.0 Goals (1st Half) |
81% |
Expected 1st half total 2.05 (home: 0.30 scored + 1.80 conceded; away: 1.40 scored + 0.60 conceded) beats the 1.75 line. Home’s last 10 matches went over this line 70% of the time, and the only H2H produced 4 first-half goals. Brisbane’s 4th vs 12th quality gap and strong bookmaker mispricing (away GL5 2.30) add clear edge. |
|
| 02-08-2026 04:30 |
Clarence Zebras FC |
- |
Ulverstone |
Over 1.75 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1H total 2.05 vs line 1.75 (gap +0.30). Clarence Zebras home 1H: 67% Over 1.75 (4 of 6 had 2+ goals). Ulverstone concedes 1.90 goals in 1st half away from home with catastrophic defensive record (4.00 conceded per away game full-time). H2H last meeting had 3 first-half goals. Ulverstone's GL_10 of 1.88 signals moderate bookmaker mispricing in Over direction. |
|
| 02-08-2026 04:30 |
Magic United |
- |
Brisbane Olympic FC |
Over 3.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.60 from Magic United's home 2.20 scored/2.90 conceded and Olympic's away 1.50 scored/2.60 conceded. Magic United's last 10 matches had 80% over 3.75, Olympic 60% over. Olympic conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches, reinforcing Over. Home team's goal line variance GL_5 1.85 indicates bookmaker mispricing favouring Over. |
|
| 02-08-2026 05:00 |
Rockdale Ilinden FC |
- |
Manly Utd |
Manly Utd +0.75 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Rockdale have lost 4 of their last 5 home games, conceding 10 goals over that span, with defeats by 2+ goals in two of those. Manly Utd are on a 5-match Asian Handicap winning streak (5-0 ATS), including a 4-1 win and a 0-0 draw in the last two H2H meetings. The 5-point standings gap and Rockdale's 12th-ranked home form do not justify a -0.75 handicap. |
|
| 02-08-2026 05:00 |
Central Coast Mariners U21 |
- |
Inter Lions |
Over 3.25 Goals |
71% |
Expected total 3.90 (home scored 1.9, away conceded 1.9; away scored 1.6, home conceded 2.4) vs line 3.25. Home team went Over 3.25 in 7 of last 10 (70%), away 5 of 10 (50%) not contradictory. H2H ended 1-5. Likelihood 80% Over 2.5 supports. Gap and home history provide the edge. |
|
| 02-08-2026 05:00 |
Charlestown Azzurri Women |
- |
Lake Macquarie Women |
Over 8.5 Corners |
78% |
Expected corners 9.45 (home avg corners 3.9 + conceded 5.5, away avg 6.5 + conceded 3.0) sits well above the 8.5 line. Home matches 7/10 over 8.5, away 6/10 over, and both H2H meetings (11 and 9 corners) cleared the line. Both teams' recent corner production and the head-to-head trend strongly support an over. |
|
| 02-08-2026 05:30 |
South Melbourne |
- |
St Albans Saints |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
70% |
Expected 1st half total 1.60 (home scored 1.00, conceded 0.60; away scored 0.70, conceded 0.90) vs line 1.25 — gap +0.35. Home 1st half over 1.25 in 5 of 8 decided matches (62.5%), away 1st half over in 4 of 4 decided (100%). St Albans conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches. Bookmaker mispricing mild (away GL_5 1.30). Over-first approach gives edge. |
|
| 02-08-2026 06:50 |
APIA Leichardt Women |
- |
Bulls FC Academy Women |
Over 3.25 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 3.75 (home scored 2.10, away conceded 1.00, away scored 2.90, home conceded 1.50) exceeds line 3.25 by 0.50. Away team GL_5=2.40, severe bookmaker mispricing accelerating. Home 40% Over, away 50% Over. Match potential 4.09 supports Over. No H2H data. |
|
| 02-08-2026 07:00 |
Fremantle City FC Women |
- |
Sorrento Women |
Over 1.5 Goals - 1st Half |
75% |
Expected 1st half total goals 1.95 (home 1.30 scored + away 1.20 conceded /2 = 1.25; away 0.60 scored + home 0.80 conceded /2 = 0.70) exceeds the 1.5 line by 0.45. H2H last two meetings both had 4 goals by half-time. Sorrento’s bookmaker mispricing is severe (GL_5 2.25, accelerating) and aligns with Over. Home team Fremantle heavy favourites and likely to attack early. |
|
| 02-08-2026 08:30 |
Casuarina FC |
- |
Darwin Olympic |
Over 4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected goals (5.10) significantly exceed the 4.0 line – Casuarina at home scores 1.90 and concedes 2.90, while Darwin Olympic away scores 3.00 and concedes 2.40. Recent match history strongly supports Over: 7 of 10 Casuarina home matches and 6 of 9 Darwin Olympic matches (excl. push) finished Over 4.0. Bookmaker mispricing is severe on Darwin Olympic (GL_5 3.20, accelerating) and moderate on Casuarina (GL_5 1.70), boosting confidence in a high‑scoring game. |
|
| 02-08-2026 08:30 |
Hertha Wels |
- |
SV Austria Salzburg |
SV Austria Salzburg +0 (Asian Handicap) |
68% |
Austria Salzburg have avoided defeat in all 5 of their last 5 away matches (1W, 4D), showcasing resilience with 100% Asian Handicap cover rate. Over their last 10 matches, they boast an AH record of 7 wins and 3 voids, consistently outperforming the line. Hosts Hertha Wels have won just 1 of their last 4 home games, highlighting a lack of home dominance, making +0 on the away side a well-supported value pick at odds of 2.00. |
|
| 02-08-2026 10:00 |
Qingdao West Coast |
- |
Qingdao Hainiu |
Over 3.0 Goals |
79% |
Expected full-time total 3.50 (home scored 1.40 at home, away conceded 2.70 away; away scored 1.50 away, home conceded 1.40 at home) vs line 3.0 — gap 0.50. Away team Qingdao Hainiu shipping goals away: conceded 2+ in each of last 5 away matches (avg 2.70 conceded away). Away match history shows 70% Over 3.0. Bookmaker mispricing on away side is moderate (GL_5 1.60) and aligns with Over. Home side in scoring form with 2+ goals in their last 3 home matches. Combined signals point to a high-scoring derby. |
|
| 02-08-2026 10:00 |
Widzew Lodz II |
- |
CK Troszyn |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
78% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.90 (Widzew Lodz II HT home 1.30 scored, 0.80 conceded; CK Troszyn HT away 1.10 scored, 0.60 conceded), well above the line of 1.25. Both teams have 60% of recent matches with 2+ first-half goals. Home team's goal line pricing error is moderate and accelerating (GL_5 1.70), adding edge. |
|
| 02-08-2026 10:30 |
Ulsan HD |
- |
FC Anyang |
Over 2.5 Goals |
75% |
Expected full-time goals (Ulsan home 1.30 scored, 1.40 conceded; Anyang away 1.70 scored, 1.20 conceded) is 2.80, exceeding the 2.5 line. Ulsan home matches are 3/4 Over 2.5, Anyang away 3/5 Over. H2H leans Under (2 of 3 under 2.5) but competitive mid-table clash and accelerating bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.50 for Ulsan) support an Over bet. |
|
| 02-08-2026 10:30 |
Ansan Greeners FC |
- |
Gimhae FC 2008 |
Under 1.0 First Half Goals |
78% |
Ansan's last 10 matches saw 7 go under 1.0 first-half goals, while Gimhae had 8 of 10 under, establishing a strong low-scoring HT trend. Both teams average well under 1.0 first-half goals (Ansan 0.30, Gimhae 0.60), and Gimhae failed to score in the first half in 3 of their last 5 away trips, providing structural confirmation for Under 1.0. |
|
| 02-08-2026 10:30 |
Busan I Park |
- |
Seoul E-Land FC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.70 goals (Busan home: scored 2.10, conceded 1.40; Seoul away: scored 2.00, conceded 1.90) significantly above the 2.75 line. Seoul E-Land have gone Over 2.75 in 9 of their last 10 matches, while Busan home matches are Over 60% of the time. Seoul's away defensive fragility is confirmed with 2+ goals conceded in 3 of last 5 away trips. Away team's GL_5 market pricing error of 2.15 (accelerating) indicates consistent bookmaker mispricing on their totals. Both teams are in the promotion mix, adding to the attacking incentive. |
|
| 02-08-2026 11:00 |
Shenzhen Juniors |
- |
Wuxi Wugo |
Over 2.75 Goals |
72% |
Expected goals 3.05 vs line 2.75 (gap +0.30), with Shenzhen GL_5=3.05 and Wuxi GL_5=2.00 both far above the 1.8+ strong‑mispricing threshold and accelerating, indicating severe bookmaker errors. Shenzhen home averages 1.50 scored/conceded, Wuxi away scores 2.00/game, and the sole H2H produced 4 goals, supporting the over despite only 50% match‑history rates. |
|
| 02-08-2026 11:35 |
Liaoning Ironman |
- |
Shanghai Shenhua |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
71% |
Expected 1st half total 1.65 (home 0.40 scored/0.90 conceded, away 1.20 scored/0.80 conceded) exceeds line 1.25 by 0.40. Away team scores 1.20 goals in 1st half away and has defensive fragility conceding 2+ in 3 of last 5 away. Market pricing error high (GL_5 home 1.90, away 1.65, both accelerating) signals consistent bookmaker mispricing towards overs. |
|
| 02-08-2026 12:00 |
Viking 2 |
- |
Mandalskameratene |
Viking 2 -0.75 Asian Handicap |
68% |
Viking 2 have covered -0.75 in 4 of their last 5 home games (80%), with a +20 home goal difference (25 scored, 5 conceded) and dominant home form. Mandalskameratene's away defence has conceded 17 in 6 away games, and common opponents (Åkra, Odd II, Staal Jørpeland) show both teams winning, supporting the home side's ability to win by multiple goals. |
|
| 02-08-2026 12:00 |
Træff |
- |
Jerv |
Over 1.25 First Half Goals |
80% |
Expected 1st half total 2.00 goals (Træff home 1H avg 1.20 scored + Jerv away 1H avg 1.00 conceded, crossed with Jerv away 1H 0.80 scored + Træff home 1H 1.00 conceded) vs line 1.25. Træff have gone Over 1.25 1H goals in all 5 home matches (100%), averaging 2.6 1H goals. Jerv's away 1H Overs are only 2/5, but the home side's flawless first-half scoring record and the quality gap (Jerv top of table, likely to press early) tip the balance strongly toward Over. Market pricing error mild (home GL_5 1.45), not a primary driver. |
|
| 02-08-2026 12:00 |
Follo |
- |
Trygg/Lade |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
70% |
Expected 1st half total 1.75 goals (Follo HT home: 0.40 scored, 1.30 conceded; Trygg/Lade HT away: 0.80 scored, 1.00 conceded), 0.50 above the 1.25 line. Both teams show 60% Over 1.25 in 1st half this season (6 of 10 matches each). H2H 1st half ended 1-1 (Over). Norway Division 2 often produces early goals, and Trygg/Lade’s away defence is vulnerable (3.00 goals conceded per away game full-time), supporting an Over bet. |
|
| 02-08-2026 12:00 |
Bollstanäs SK |
- |
IK Franke |
Over 3.25 Goals |
75% |
Expected total 3.55 goals (home: scored 1.6 at home, conceded 1.5; away: scored 2.0, conceded 2.0 away). Both H2H meetings ended 2-2 (4 goals). Home is 3 of 5 over this line at home; away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 away, showing defensive fragility. Bookmaker mispricing moderate (home GL_5 1.80, accelerating) aligns with Over. |
|
| 02-08-2026 12:00 |
FC Nordsjaelland |
- |
Randers FC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
75% |
Expected total 3.30 goals (home 1.9 scored + 1.1 conceded; away 1.5 + 2.1 conceded) vs line 2.75. Randers FC saw Over 2.75 in 7 of last 10 matches (70%), and their away defense is fragile (4 of last 4 away conceded 2+). Home team's GL_5 pricing error signals bookmaker mispricing (1.70, accelerating), adding edge. |
|
| 02-08-2026 12:00 |
Vendsyssel FF |
- |
Hobro IK |
Vendsyssel FF -0.25 (Asian Handicap) |
68% |
Vendsyssel FF have a dominant Asian Handicap record (4 wins last 5, 8 wins last 10) and covered the -0.25 line in 4 of their last 6 home matches (67%), including three wins by 2+ goals. Hobro IK are in poor AH form (1 win, 4 losses last 5) and have lost 4 of their last 5 away matches. The goal line markets were disqualified: Over 2.5 FT contradicted by Hobro’s 20% away Over rate; Under 2.5 lacked both teams' 70% support. No Asian Corner lines were available. The home AH offers the cleanest edge. |
|
| 02-08-2026 13:00 |
BK Hacken Women |
- |
Eskilstuna Utd Women |
|
66% |
Expected total goals 2.35 well below line 3.25, making a blowout unlikely. BK Hacken have failed to cover -2 in all of their last 5 home matches (max win by 2). Eskilstuna have covered the handicap in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and also covered against common opponents AIK and IFK Norrkoping. Hacken's Asian Handicap record is 2W-1V-2L in the last 5, further supporting the away cover. |
|
| 02-08-2026 13:00 |
IFK Berga |
- |
IFK Trelleborg |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
IFK Berga at home hit Over 1.25 HT goals in 5 of 6 matches (83%) with expected HT total 1.50 vs line 1.25. H2H last meeting had 2 HT goals, and Berga scored in the first half in 5 of 6 home games, indicating a consistent early scoring pattern away team IFK Trelleborg has failed to score in the first half of all 4 away matches this season but that suppression is outweighed by Berga's strong home half-time output. |
|
| 02-08-2026 13:00 |
Sigma Olomouc |
- |
Mlada Boleslav |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.30 (home 2.10 scored, 1.00 conceded; away 2.10 scored, 1.40 conceded) exceeds 2.75 line by 0.55 goals. Sigma home 67% Over (4/6), Mlada away 80% Over (4/5); both H2H meetings cleared 2.75. Mlada away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 and carries GL_5 mispricing of 1.65. Capped at 82% standard ceiling as home history falls short of 70% for elevated tier. |
|
| 02-08-2026 13:00 |
CSA Steaua Bucuresti |
- |
CSM Slatina |
Over 2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total 3.05 goals (home: 1.80 scored, 1.60 conceded; away: 1.60 scored, 1.10 conceded) exceeds 2.5 line by 0.55, shot-based potential 3.08. Home 71% Over in last 7 competitive matches, away 67% Over in last 6. H2H finished 2-1. Home GL_5 1.50 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing. Both teams consistently score, supporting Over. |
|
| 02-08-2026 13:30 |
Connah's Quay |
- |
Caernarfon Town |
Over 2.75 Goals |
78% |
Expected goals total of 3.05 (home scored 1.20 + away conceded 2.20 /2 = 1.70, away scored 1.40 + home conceded 1.30 /2 = 1.35) exceeds the 2.75 line. Caernarfon Town have conceded 2+ goals in all 5 away matches (4 of 5 over 2.75), and the last 4 H2H meetings produced 3 overs (totals 6,2,4,3 goals). While Connah's Quay home overs are only 40%, the away team's defensive fragility and H2H trend strongly favour Over, with shot-based match potential (5.67) confirming attacking threat. Bookmaker pricing error is mild (GL_5 1.45) but aligned. |
|
| 02-08-2026 14:00 |
Waterford FC |
- |
Shelbourne |
Over 2.5 Goals |
85% |
Expected total 3.30 (Waterford 2.00 scored/1.40 conceded at home, Shelbourne 1.70 scored/1.50 conceded away) vs line 2.75. Waterford 7/10 home Overs, Shelbourne 8/10 away Overs, H2H 2/3 Overs. Shels conceded 2+ in last 4 away matches. GL_5 1.80 (Waterford) & 1.70 (Shelbourne), both accelerating – bookmaker mispricing strong Over signal. |
|
| 02-08-2026 14:00 |
Eidsvold TF |
- |
Junkeren |
Over 1.5 HT Goals |
66% |
Expected 1st half total 1.70 (Home 1.30 scored + 0.90 away conceded) vs line 1.50. Eidsvold home first halves: 3 of last 4 Over 1.5 (75%), Junkeren away 50% Over. Quality gap (3rd vs 11th away) and bookmaker mispricing (Junkeren GL_5 1.60, accelerating) add edge for Over. |
|
| 02-08-2026 14:00 |
IK Sleipner |
- |
Karlslunds IF FK |
Over 3.5 Goals |
65% |
Expected total 3.445 (home: 2.00 scored, 2.00 conceded; away: 1.22 scored, 1.67 conceded) within 0.15 of the 3.5 line, so Over preferred. Home team has severe market pricing error (GL_5 2.40, accelerating trend), indicating bookmaker consistently underestimates their goal totals. Karlslunds conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches, a clear structural Over signal. The single H2H this season finished 4-1. Home match history is under (1/6 Over 3.5), but strong variance and away fragility edge it to 65% confidence. |
|
| 02-08-2026 14:00 |
Lilla Torg FF |
- |
Oskarshamns AIK |
Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
78% |
Expected 1st half goals 0.85 (home 0.50/0.30, away 0.40/0.50) vs line 1.25. Home's last 9 HTs: 7 of 9 under 1.25 (78%). Away's last 8 HTs: 5 of 8 under (63%). Oskarshamns failed to score in 1st half in all 4 away league matches this season. Both teams have low HT scoring profiles, no H2H data. |
|
| 02-08-2026 14:00 |
IA Akranes |
- |
Vikingur Reykjavik |
Over 11.5 Asian Corners |
65% |
Expected corners exactly 11.5, with Vikingur posting 60% Over 11.5 in their recent matches and IA Akranes at 50% not contradicting. IA concedes 6.70 corners per home match, Vikingur earns 6.80 away, and the wide quality gap (1st vs 7th) often produces sustained attacking pressure. Both teams show severe corner market mispricing (AC_5 > 2.0), adding further edge to the Over. |
|
| 02-08-2026 14:00 |
DFK Dainava |
- |
FK Tauras |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
66% |
Expected total 3.10 (home avg 2.10 scored, away avg 2.40 scored away) comfortably exceeds the 2.75 line. FK Tauras away games Over 2.75 in 3/5 (60%), DFK Dainava home 4/7 (57%), and the sole H2H ended 2-1. Dainava's strong home scoring form (9 goals in last 3 home matches) supports the Over. |
|
| 02-08-2026 14:00 |
FK Siauliai II |
- |
BFA Vilnius |
Over 3.0 Goals |
81% |
Expected total 3.30 goals from (0.90+1.30)/2+(1.80+2.60)/2, well above line 3.0. Both teams have 67% of role‑specific recent matches finishing over 3.0, with Siauliai II’s home defence conceding 2.60 per game and BFA Vilnius scoring 1.80 per away trip. The largest structural signal is the quality gap (16th vs 7th), pointing to a dominant away showing. |
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| 02-08-2026 14:30 |
FC Sion |
- |
Lucerne |
Over 3.0 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 4.00 goals (Sion home avg 3.20 scored, 1.20 conceded; Lucerne away avg 1.90 scored, 1.70 conceded). Sion home matches 75% over 3.0, with strong attacking form (2+ goals in all recent home games). Lucerne away concedes 5.2 shots on target per game, indicating defensive fragility. H2H shows two low-scoring meetings but the 3-3 draw confirms high potential. Market pricing error for Sion is moderate (GL_5 1.50) adding marginal edge. |
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| 02-08-2026 15:00 |
FC Karlovy Vary |
- |
Chomutov |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.35 (home 1.80+1.20/2, away 1.80+1.90/2) exceeds line 3.0. Home matches Over 3.0 in 8 of 9 (89%), away 4 of 6 (67%). H2H neutral. Home GL_5 1.85 accelerating, strong bookmaker mispricing. Home form momentum: 4 of last 5 home matches Over 3.0. Shot-based match potential 7.43 supports high-scoring game. |
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| 02-08-2026 15:00 |
Csakvari Tk |
- |
FC Nagykanizsa |
Over 2.5 Goals |
69% |
Expected total 2.70 (home scored 1.40, conceded 1.10 at home; away scored 1.80, conceded 1.10 away). 4 of 10 home matches over 2.5, 5 of 9 away matches over 2.5. Moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 home 1.55, away 1.60) with away trend accelerating, supporting Over. No H2H data. |
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| 02-08-2026 15:00 |
Kozarmisleny SE |
- |
Gyirmot SE |
Over 2.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total 3.00 (home scored 1.60 at home, conceded 1.00; away scored 2.70 away, conceded 0.70) exceeds the 2.5 line by 0.50. Gyirmot's away matches have gone over 2.5 in 2 of their last 3 (66.7%), while Kozarmisleny's home record is neutral at 50% but not contradicting. Recent form and the lone H2H (2-1 over) support the over, with mild bookmaker mispricing (Gyirmot GL_5 1.25) adding marginal edge. |
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| 02-08-2026 15:30 |
Hibernian |
- |
Motherwell |
1st Half Over 1.0 Goals |
75% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.60 goals (Hibernian home scored 1.10, conceded 0.70; Motherwell away scored 0.90, conceded 0.50), well above the 1.0 line. Both teams show 50% first-half overs in recent matches, but the edge is supported by Hibernian's early scoring pattern (61.5% of goals in first 30 minutes) and Motherwell's moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.60) aligning with the over direction. Full-time Over 2.5 was vetoed by 100% H2H unders, making the 1st half the strongest market. |
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| 02-08-2026 16:00 |
Parnu JK Vaprus |
- |
FC Levadia Tallinn |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
80% |
Expected FT total 3.55 (Vaprus home 1.7/1.7, Levadia away 2.7/1.0) exceeds line 3.25. 60% of Vaprus' recent matches and 65% of Levadia's produced over 3.25, with all 4 H2H meetings going over. Home team GL_5 1.55 signals moderate bookmaker mispricing favouring overs. |
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| 02-08-2026 16:00 |
FC Flora Tallinn |
- |
Harju JK Laagri |
Over 1.25 First Half Goals |
75% |
Expected 1st half total 1.70 (A_ht 0.60+B_ht 0.70/2=0.65 + C_ht 1.10+D_ht 1.00/2=1.05) clears 1.25 line by 0.45. Flora home 1st halves Over 1.25 in 4/5 (80%), Harju away 1st halves not contradictory (50%). Quality gap (2nd vs 8th) and Flora's GL_5=1.60 accelerating signal bookmaker mispricing. |
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| 02-08-2026 16:00 |
PSV |
- |
AZ |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
PSV at home average 3.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded (expected 4.15 total vs 3.5 line). PSV’s last 10 matches have 70% overs, AZ 60% overs, with AZ away market pricing error GL₅ = 2.00 signalling strong bookmaker mispricing. AZ conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away, while PSV’s home firepower makes Over 3.5 a high-value pick. |
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| 02-08-2026 16:00 |
Hegelmann Litauen |
- |
FK Transinvest |
Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half total 1.50 vs line 1.0 (gap +0.50); Hegelmann home 1st half 3 of 4 over 1.0 goals (75%), FK Transinvest away 1st half 5 of 6 over (83%); both teams show strong 1st half scoring patterns. Full-time home history contradicts Over (25%), but 1st half clear. Both sides have accelerating bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.55, away 1.60), adding +10% edge. Structural: FK Transinvest away conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches, defensive fragility supports early goals. Confidence capped at 82% (standard ceiling) despite raw 88% because H2H 1st half data absent for elevated tier. |
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| 02-08-2026 16:00 |
Silkeborg IF |
- |
FC Copenhagen |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.65 (A=1.90, B=1.20, C=2.40, D=1.80) far above line 3.0. Home matches 70%+ Over 3.5, away 60%+ Over 3.5; all 4 H2H meetings produced 4+ goals. Moderate bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.60, away 1.55) with accelerating trend and strong quality gap (top vs 9th) adding edge. |
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| 02-08-2026 17:15 |
SK Brann |
- |
Rosenborg |
Over 1.0,1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
70% |
Expected 1st half goals 1.75 (Brann home 0.80 scored + 1.00 conceded; Rosenborg away 1.00 scored + 0.70 conceded) vs line 1.25, gap +0.50. Brann home 1st half Over (≥2 goals) in 4 of 6 matches (67%), Rosenborg away 1st half Over in 2 of 3 (67%). Both teams show strong early scoring in their roles, outweighing neutral H2H and no HT variance data. Over-first philosophy reinforces the pick given the consistent 1st half trends. |
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| 02-08-2026 17:30 |
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
- |
Puszcza Niepolomice |
Over 2.75 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 2.75 matches the line, but both sides' last 10 matches hit Over 2.75 at 60% (6 of 10 for each). Away defensive fragility is acute, conceding 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches. Quality gap (home 3rd vs away 15th) and shot-based match potential of 4.60 further support Over despite the neutral H2H (1-1 draw). |
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| 02-08-2026 18:00 |
Club Ciudad de Bolivar |
- |
Club Atletico Mitre |
Over 1.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 2.55 vs line 1.5 (home 1.30 scored/1.20 conceded at home, away 1.00 scored/1.60 conceded away). Home 60% Over 1.5, away 80% Over 1.5 in last 10. Home GL_5 1.75 (accelerating mispricing) reinforces expectation. Home team 4th vs 14th, in strong home form, with away defence conceding 1.60 on the road. Raw score 93.5% capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
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| 02-08-2026 18:00 |
Bohemians Dublin |
- |
Galway United |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
69% |
Expected total 3.10 vs line 2.75 (Home 1.70 scored, 1.20 conceded; Away 1.70 scored, 1.60 conceded). Galway away matches over 2.75 in 3 of last 4 (75%), Bohemians home 50% over. H2H 1 over, 2 under but latest was 6-goal. Quality gap (3rd vs 7th) and home market pricing error GL_5=1.50 support Over. |
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| 02-08-2026 18:00 |
OFK Mladost DG |
- |
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj |
Over 1.0 1st Half Goal Line |
65% |
Expected 1st half total 1.30 (home 0.90 scored / 0.40 conceded, away 0.90 scored / 0.40 conceded) vs line 1.0, gap 0.30. Both teams frequently score in first half (Mladost 6 of 9 HT periods, Otrant 4 of 6). Severe bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 2.05 accelerating, away GL_5 1.55) adds edge to the Over. |
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| 02-08-2026 18:00 |
Pardubice |
- |
FK Jablonec |
Over 2.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 2.80 (Pardubice home avg 1.80 scored, 1.20 conceded; Jablonec away avg 1.70 scored, 0.90 conceded) exceeds line 2.5. Pardubice 7/10 recent matches over 2.5. Jablonec away defensive fragility: conceded 2+ in all last 5 away games. Jablonec GL_5 1.55 signals persistent overperformance. |
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| 02-08-2026 18:00 |
Central Espanol |
- |
Liverpool Montevideo |
Under 9 corners |
82% |
Expected corners 7.30 (home earn 2.80, concede 4.90; away earn 3.60, concede 3.30) well below line of 9.0. Central Espanol home matches stayed under 9 corners in 4 of last 5 (80%), Liverpool away also 4 of 5 under 9 (80%). H2H only 1 match (12 corners) insufficient to override. Combined team corner averages and strong under trends support the bet. |
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| 02-08-2026 18:00 |
Central Espanol |
- |
Liverpool Montevideo |
Over 0.75 First Half Goals |
80% |
Expected 1st half goals 1.10 (home 0.40 scored + 0.50 conceded vs away 0.60 scored + 0.70 conceded) exceeds the 0.75 line by 0.35 goals. Liverpool away: all 5 recent away matches cleared 0.75 HT goals (100%), with 3 of 5 reaching 2+ goals. Central Espanol home: 3 of 5 HT matches over 0.75 (60%). Last H2H finished 3-3, confirming open play between these sides. Liverpool's GL_5 of 1.50 (accelerating from GL_10 of 1.23) signals moderate bookmaker mispricing toward unders on goal lines involving them. Combined 80% confidence. |
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| 02-08-2026 18:15 |
NK Brinje Grosuplje |
- |
FC Koper |
Over 2.5 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 3.10 (home 1.70/1.30, away 1.80/1.40) beats 2.5 line by 0.60. Home matches over 2.5 60% (3/5), away away matches over 2.5 60% (3/5). FC Koper scored in all 5 away games; Brinje scored in 3 of 5 at home. Both teams show consistent attacking output, supporting Over. |
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| 02-08-2026 19:00 |
Deportivo Madryn |
- |
All Boys |
Over 1.75 Goals |
76% |
Expected total of 2.05 (Madryn home 1.40 scored + 1.20 conceded; All Boys away 0.60 scored + 0.90 conceded) exceeds the 1.75 line by 0.30 goals. Madryn's home matches have gone Over 1.75 in 75% (3 of 4) and All Boys away in 60% (3 of 5). Home team's GL_5 of 1.60 signals moderate bookmaker mispricing toward Over, while shot-based match potential (3.50) strongly supports goals. |
|
| 02-08-2026 20:00 |
Leeds |
- |
Liverpool |
Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
75% |
Expected 1st half total 1.15 vs line 1.25. Leeds home 1st half: 8 of last 10 (80%) produced 1 goal or fewer. Liverpool away 1st half: also 8/10 under 1.25, with the Reds failing to score at all in the first half of all five recent away matches. The away team's prolonged first-half scoring drought on the road provides a strong structural under signal. |
|
| 02-08-2026 21:00 |
CD Aguila |
- |
CD Cacahuatique |
Away +0.75 Asian Handicap |
67% |
CD Cacahuatique has covered the Asian Handicap in 4 of their last 5 matches (80% win rate) and 6 of their last 10 overall. CD Aguila has covered just 1 of their last 5 home AH bets (20%). In head-to-heads with Aguila at home, Cacahuatique is unbeaten and would have covered +0.75 in both meetings (1-1 and 3-0). Away form for Cacahuatique is strong, losing by more than one goal only once in their last six away games. The line is mispriced in their favour. |
|
| 02-08-2026 22:00 |
HFX Wanderers |
- |
Forge FC |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
79% |
Expected total 3.05 goals (HFX home 1.20 scored/1.90 conceded, Forge away 2.20 scored/0.80 conceded) comfortably above the 2.75 line. Forge have gone Over 2.5 in 8 of their last 10 matches (80%), while HFX are 50% at home against the line but have high market pricing error (GL_5 1.90) indicating bookmakers consistently misprice their matches. Forge have scored 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away games, adding to the Over signal. |
|
| 02-08-2026 22:00 |
Deportivo Saprissa |
- |
AD San Carlos |
Deportivo Saprissa -1.5 Asian Handicap |
68% |
Saprissa (1st) face bottom-side San Carlos (9th) with a clear quality gap. Saprissa have covered the -1.5 handicap in 4 of their last 5 home matches (80%), including dominant wins over Municipal Perez Zeledon (5-1) and Guadalupe (5-0). H2H sees Saprissa covering -1.5 in 2 of the last 3 meetings, most recently a 2-0 home victory. San Carlos’ away form against +1.5 is mixed (4/5 cover), but their defence conceded 5 at Liberia and 2 at Cartagines, highlighting fragility against top attacks. Common opponents absent, so confidence sits at 68%. |
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